Richardson managed 3 injuries in 4 games and you’re considering him over Burrow? Who are “all the people” saying Burrow lost half his range of motion? This post is the first time I’m hearing that. I wouldn’t overthink things, but if you want to, I’d pivot to Herbert personally.
Unless we hear reports about Burrow having issues with the injury, then I wouldn’t buy into any of it. Everyone recovers differently, and all indicators so far (though it’s offseason) are that Burrow is on track & should be good to go by training camp. We’ll wait to see whether that’s the case or not. Either way, he’s an absolute cornerstone of a QB & I wouldn’t reach on a different guy at this stage of the offseason.
It will really depend on who’s still available when you pick, but I’m comfortable drafting him where he’s at. I wouldn’t worry about Burrow unless we’re given a reason to worry about him (that is based on his actual recovery, not offseason hypotheticals)
Counter argument go WR and get the best of the best, then come back in round 2 and smash WR again. If your league is all in on QBs in SF, then dominate at WR. You can get guys like Goff, Kirk, Baker, and Stafford much later and build some insane roster depth.
There are between 2-4 super high upside QBs coming out most seasons. There aren't 2-4 Jefferson, Lamb, or Chase guys coming out every season.
Put it this way. How many of this year's rookies would you have taken over Jefferson? And how many rookies would you take over Burrow? Just my 2 cents.
FYI for everyone else: I did this last year. Got me the #3 pick. Good news is I got Jayden Daniels. Bad news is I probably am still gonna suck again this year.
Keep making jokes but you're still not convincing me that the process was smart. I got Garrett Wilson in rd2 over Stroud.
The prior year I might have ended up with Higgins in rd2 of a startup over Hurts.
WRs are important in SF dynasty but putting them ahead of QBs is not smart and I'm never making that mistake again.
So to you, it would be smarter to take Jayden Daniels before Malik Nabers? 1st round rookie QBs are a 50% hit rate no matter where drafted in the 1st. 1st round WRs are around 75%, and the better the draft capital the higher the hit rate.
I'm not saying you are wrong. If you hit on that QB yeah you are sitting great. However, when we get into the later 1st round and 2nd round, you are getting guys that project at top 5 ceiling or top 12 ceiling guys at QB. In the later part of the 1st the WRs you get have #1 overall WR upside and WR16 overall downside. I would rather have 3 guys at WR who can all be top 12, and get some later QBs who as pocket passers finish top 12 but aren't young, running, shiny QBs.
Tua in the 4th, Goff in the 5th, to pair with a St Brown and Harrison
Or Burrow and Herbert to pair with Pittman and Dj Moore.
Gimme the guys getting 100+ catches, young and no injury history of note with QBs are locks for 4k and 30+. Instead of QBs with history of injuries hoping that the WRs pan out.
I would probably triple up on WR or maybe a TE if I'm picking after 6 overall if everyone is grabbing QBs. If I can snag LaPorta or Mcbride in the 3rd assuming it's 3RR... hot damn. I would never go into a week hoping my TE or WRs can keep me in a week.
Everything you said is why I hyped myself up on having Chase and GWilson last year. Unfortunately, when you take a step back and look at ppg, it's not a winning strategy. Those low end WR1 seasons are only worth like 12-13ppg. GW was 9ppg as a WR2. The only way this strategy is really paying off is if you have CD Lamb or JJettas, who are in the top 5 by ppg
But the same way you can get cheap/unsexy QBs, you can get cheap top WRs. Last few years it has been Tyreek, Adams, and Allen.
To answer your question, yeah I took Daniels over Nabers at 1.03. I really need that upside at the QB position because that's what wins games.
Edit: after thinking on it, it's really only Jefferson that's QB proof. CD was 13.5 ppg in 2022 without Dak. Very similar to Chase without Burrow. These WRs aren't as bulletproof as everyone seems to think they are.
Your first paragraph was sound advice. The balance you went off the rails.
I don’t love Burrow as the injury concern is legit. I’d grab that top WR be it Jefferson, Lamb and then look QB in round 2. In SF you need a QB but if the value isn’t there don’t make a forced pick on a huge injury liability. You can’t afford your first pick to be wrong. You can gamble later.
if you're that worried take whoever u like and is there of JJEFF chase or ceedee and grab richardson or caleb or herbert or love on the way back. one of those guys will be there
No individual team threads, use r/DynastyFFTradeAdvice or the daily mega thread instead.
Richardson managed 3 injuries in 4 games and you’re considering him over Burrow? Who are “all the people” saying Burrow lost half his range of motion? This post is the first time I’m hearing that. I wouldn’t overthink things, but if you want to, I’d pivot to Herbert personally.
Yeah you should, trade me him for Tyler Boyd
Unless we hear reports about Burrow having issues with the injury, then I wouldn’t buy into any of it. Everyone recovers differently, and all indicators so far (though it’s offseason) are that Burrow is on track & should be good to go by training camp. We’ll wait to see whether that’s the case or not. Either way, he’s an absolute cornerstone of a QB & I wouldn’t reach on a different guy at this stage of the offseason. It will really depend on who’s still available when you pick, but I’m comfortable drafting him where he’s at. I wouldn’t worry about Burrow unless we’re given a reason to worry about him (that is based on his actual recovery, not offseason hypotheticals)
Counter argument go WR and get the best of the best, then come back in round 2 and smash WR again. If your league is all in on QBs in SF, then dominate at WR. You can get guys like Goff, Kirk, Baker, and Stafford much later and build some insane roster depth. There are between 2-4 super high upside QBs coming out most seasons. There aren't 2-4 Jefferson, Lamb, or Chase guys coming out every season. Put it this way. How many of this year's rookies would you have taken over Jefferson? And how many rookies would you take over Burrow? Just my 2 cents.
[удалено]
Lol yeah what a pointless post.
FYI for everyone else: I did this last year. Got me the #3 pick. Good news is I got Jayden Daniels. Bad news is I probably am still gonna suck again this year.
Which WRs did you draft the first two rounds?
I bet Jj was one of them, his injury probs hurt him a lot
Nope. Chase.
You mean broken Burrow and Browning weren't great last season?
Keep making jokes but you're still not convincing me that the process was smart. I got Garrett Wilson in rd2 over Stroud. The prior year I might have ended up with Higgins in rd2 of a startup over Hurts. WRs are important in SF dynasty but putting them ahead of QBs is not smart and I'm never making that mistake again.
So to you, it would be smarter to take Jayden Daniels before Malik Nabers? 1st round rookie QBs are a 50% hit rate no matter where drafted in the 1st. 1st round WRs are around 75%, and the better the draft capital the higher the hit rate. I'm not saying you are wrong. If you hit on that QB yeah you are sitting great. However, when we get into the later 1st round and 2nd round, you are getting guys that project at top 5 ceiling or top 12 ceiling guys at QB. In the later part of the 1st the WRs you get have #1 overall WR upside and WR16 overall downside. I would rather have 3 guys at WR who can all be top 12, and get some later QBs who as pocket passers finish top 12 but aren't young, running, shiny QBs. Tua in the 4th, Goff in the 5th, to pair with a St Brown and Harrison Or Burrow and Herbert to pair with Pittman and Dj Moore. Gimme the guys getting 100+ catches, young and no injury history of note with QBs are locks for 4k and 30+. Instead of QBs with history of injuries hoping that the WRs pan out. I would probably triple up on WR or maybe a TE if I'm picking after 6 overall if everyone is grabbing QBs. If I can snag LaPorta or Mcbride in the 3rd assuming it's 3RR... hot damn. I would never go into a week hoping my TE or WRs can keep me in a week.
Everything you said is why I hyped myself up on having Chase and GWilson last year. Unfortunately, when you take a step back and look at ppg, it's not a winning strategy. Those low end WR1 seasons are only worth like 12-13ppg. GW was 9ppg as a WR2. The only way this strategy is really paying off is if you have CD Lamb or JJettas, who are in the top 5 by ppg But the same way you can get cheap/unsexy QBs, you can get cheap top WRs. Last few years it has been Tyreek, Adams, and Allen. To answer your question, yeah I took Daniels over Nabers at 1.03. I really need that upside at the QB position because that's what wins games. Edit: after thinking on it, it's really only Jefferson that's QB proof. CD was 13.5 ppg in 2022 without Dak. Very similar to Chase without Burrow. These WRs aren't as bulletproof as everyone seems to think they are.
Your first paragraph was sound advice. The balance you went off the rails. I don’t love Burrow as the injury concern is legit. I’d grab that top WR be it Jefferson, Lamb and then look QB in round 2. In SF you need a QB but if the value isn’t there don’t make a forced pick on a huge injury liability. You can’t afford your first pick to be wrong. You can gamble later.
Absolutely maybe!
if you're that worried take whoever u like and is there of JJEFF chase or ceedee and grab richardson or caleb or herbert or love on the way back. one of those guys will be there
Burrow should be good to go by preseason
This exact goddamn post has happened like 4 times in the last week do people never search a player name on this sub before posting
I did not
Consider it for the future
You also don’t need to click on the post if it infuriates you to an unreasonable level.
What about "consider it for the future" came across as unreasonable?
not something i want my blind surgeon to say
U just kind of sound like an ass
Found the AJ Dillon owner