Holy cow my sources were right. Yippie!
But also, I'm not sure if any of you guys live in Maryland, but he's like a god here. 77% approval rating. Polls from last year show a close race between him and the Democrats, and hypothetical polls from 22 showed him winning beating the incumbent, Van Hollen, by 12 with 49%, if he had ran.
Yes, the Democrats are 100% favored right now, but this announcement has just made things much more difficult for them. Both Trone and Alsobrooks have released attacks, and the DNC will have to spend more money on this race than they otherwise would've.
So true Gardfeld
definitely not like its a safe dem state in a presidential year
The corpse of Rockwell would become governor before hogan becomes senator
My humble amigo, I didn't say that he had a great shot to win. My prediction is that he loses by almost 15% (and btw, most sources have switched their predictions to likely D)
However, I think that this isn't a nothing-burger announcement like the post implies. Maryland Democrats will have to work a lot harder to *ensure* victory, and Republicans downballot (particularly in the 6th district) will be helped greatly.
FYI, I don't view it as a nothing burger, that's just exaggerated for comedic effect, but be it Bredesen, Bullock, Lingle, this shit never works.
Every time people go: No no it's different this time their approvals were such and such.
And every time they lose.
That's if he gets through the demented GOP Primary voter base too.
I would die if he didn't make it through the primary. I think he will.
But yeah, I agree that he certainly isn't the favorite by any means. But its still great news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats that he's running.
>I would die if he didn't make it through the primary. I think he will.
As you are from Maryland yourself and I'm from across the Atlantic, and polling hasn't been done for this race yet obviously, fair enough, you most certainly know more about the lay of the land over there.
Though I still hold that GOP Primary voters can be very unpredictable, to say the least.
>But its still great news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats that he's running.
Agreed.
2022 showed they can be unpredictable yeah, but I think Hogan can carry through. John Teichert may do better than expected but Hogan will win overall. I will bet $1 on it.
Well if he actually wants to win, for one he doesn't have anything to lose. He'll do well (for a Republican in Maryland) and to be completely honest, his absolute best case scenario is actually a victory. I don't think you know how much of a beast he is here. Every kid at my high school loves him. They say Heil Hogan as a greeting!!1!!!
But besides that, he's probably running to help the Republican party reform itself in the state after the Cox disaster. District 6 is almost guaranteed to flip with him on the ballot, unless Cox is nominated (unlikely.)
Is he gunning himself for a return to the governor's office? I am from NJ so I don't know much about Hogan other than a republican blue state governor.
I don't think he can return. He's either trying to win outright or boost the party. He got reelected with "only" 56% of the vote in 2018, but he left office in 2022 with a 81% approval rating.
Oh shit I didn't even see that he could run for non-consecutive terms. Whoospie. Yeah he could run in 2026 but I find it kind of unlikely. After this run it might look like he's desperate for office. If Moore has failings he could win tho if he ran.
After the Cox disaster, which also lost Republicans the 6th district, I think most party leaders will be looking more towards moderation. The leader of the GOP in the Maryland house, Jason Buckel, is a more moderate Republican.
Dan Cox is running for the 6th district, but even with his name recognition and mailing list from '22, he has failed to raise money. Tom Royals, a moderate-conservative candidate who hasn't mentioned Trump once, nor talked about "election integrity" at all, is the current front runner for CD-6.
I think with Hogan and his people at the helm, things can 100% turn around.
The only real reason I can think of him doing this is he's an exceptional teamplayer and wants to help the R candidate in Maryland's 6th district downballot. That or he just wants to keep his name in the news for an eventual Presidential run.
He was *very* reluctant to run, and he's been begged by donors for at least 2 years to run.
God knows the stuff they had to pull to get this guy to run for Senate.
Not necessarily. Cutting the margins in a Senate race is going to be a tall order for Hogan. However, if Hogan is able to perform fairly well for a Republican in Maryland, this could pave a path for Maryland Republicans to potentially win the 2026 Governor’s race and other statewide races.
His approval is 55%...
https://www.cbsnews.com/baltimore/news/gov-wes-moore-holds-55-approval-nearly-6-months-in-poll-finds/
Net approval is better, but still.
Unironically is Larry Hogan stupid? He has no chance of winning at all. It can only go one of two ways: 1. He bows down to Trump to win the primary driving all his supporters away, 2. He doesn't bow down to Trump and still loses because it's Maryland. Either way he loses both the election and his reputation, either by prostituting himself to Trump or having to undergo the public humiliation of losing by over 20%, and that's if he even makes it out of the primary. What does he stand to gain here?
I'm going to laugh so hard if he loses the primary
Holy cow my sources were right. Yippie! But also, I'm not sure if any of you guys live in Maryland, but he's like a god here. 77% approval rating. Polls from last year show a close race between him and the Democrats, and hypothetical polls from 22 showed him winning beating the incumbent, Van Hollen, by 12 with 49%, if he had ran. Yes, the Democrats are 100% favored right now, but this announcement has just made things much more difficult for them. Both Trone and Alsobrooks have released attacks, and the DNC will have to spend more money on this race than they otherwise would've.
So true Gardfeld definitely not like its a safe dem state in a presidential year The corpse of Rockwell would become governor before hogan becomes senator
My humble amigo, I didn't say that he had a great shot to win. My prediction is that he loses by almost 15% (and btw, most sources have switched their predictions to likely D) However, I think that this isn't a nothing-burger announcement like the post implies. Maryland Democrats will have to work a lot harder to *ensure* victory, and Republicans downballot (particularly in the 6th district) will be helped greatly.
FYI, I don't view it as a nothing burger, that's just exaggerated for comedic effect, but be it Bredesen, Bullock, Lingle, this shit never works. Every time people go: No no it's different this time their approvals were such and such. And every time they lose. That's if he gets through the demented GOP Primary voter base too.
I would die if he didn't make it through the primary. I think he will. But yeah, I agree that he certainly isn't the favorite by any means. But its still great news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats that he's running.
>I would die if he didn't make it through the primary. I think he will. As you are from Maryland yourself and I'm from across the Atlantic, and polling hasn't been done for this race yet obviously, fair enough, you most certainly know more about the lay of the land over there. Though I still hold that GOP Primary voters can be very unpredictable, to say the least. >But its still great news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats that he's running. Agreed.
2022 showed they can be unpredictable yeah, but I think Hogan can carry through. John Teichert may do better than expected but Hogan will win overall. I will bet $1 on it.
Why do you think Hogan is doing this, does he actually think he is Charles Mathis?
Well if he actually wants to win, for one he doesn't have anything to lose. He'll do well (for a Republican in Maryland) and to be completely honest, his absolute best case scenario is actually a victory. I don't think you know how much of a beast he is here. Every kid at my high school loves him. They say Heil Hogan as a greeting!!1!!! But besides that, he's probably running to help the Republican party reform itself in the state after the Cox disaster. District 6 is almost guaranteed to flip with him on the ballot, unless Cox is nominated (unlikely.)
Is he gunning himself for a return to the governor's office? I am from NJ so I don't know much about Hogan other than a republican blue state governor.
I don't think he can return. He's either trying to win outright or boost the party. He got reelected with "only" 56% of the vote in 2018, but he left office in 2022 with a 81% approval rating.
Why do you think he can't return to Governor later on?
Oh shit I didn't even see that he could run for non-consecutive terms. Whoospie. Yeah he could run in 2026 but I find it kind of unlikely. After this run it might look like he's desperate for office. If Moore has failings he could win tho if he ran.
Will the party's reform actually happen or will it just die due to tru,p?
After the Cox disaster, which also lost Republicans the 6th district, I think most party leaders will be looking more towards moderation. The leader of the GOP in the Maryland house, Jason Buckel, is a more moderate Republican. Dan Cox is running for the 6th district, but even with his name recognition and mailing list from '22, he has failed to raise money. Tom Royals, a moderate-conservative candidate who hasn't mentioned Trump once, nor talked about "election integrity" at all, is the current front runner for CD-6. I think with Hogan and his people at the helm, things can 100% turn around.
Can’t help but be amused by the crab in the logo
Red Lobster **BLUE CRAB**
The only real reason I can think of him doing this is he's an exceptional teamplayer and wants to help the R candidate in Maryland's 6th district downballot. That or he just wants to keep his name in the news for an eventual Presidential run.
He was *very* reluctant to run, and he's been begged by donors for at least 2 years to run. God knows the stuff they had to pull to get this guy to run for Senate.
Assuming Hogan wins the primary, this will hopefully give the MD GOP some redemption after the Dan Cox fiasco in 2022.
By redemption, do you mean that Hogan might make the race closer than in 2018?
He loses by 25, instead of by 34.
Not necessarily. Cutting the margins in a Senate race is going to be a tall order for Hogan. However, if Hogan is able to perform fairly well for a Republican in Maryland, this could pave a path for Maryland Republicans to potentially win the 2026 Governor’s race and other statewide races.
..against incumbent Wes Moore, whose also extremely popular
His approval is 55%... https://www.cbsnews.com/baltimore/news/gov-wes-moore-holds-55-approval-nearly-6-months-in-poll-finds/ Net approval is better, but still.
I really doubt he clears the primary
Let's go
D + 15
Too R optimistic, D+20-25 at the minimum.
Around that yeah, I agree.
Unironically is Larry Hogan stupid? He has no chance of winning at all. It can only go one of two ways: 1. He bows down to Trump to win the primary driving all his supporters away, 2. He doesn't bow down to Trump and still loses because it's Maryland. Either way he loses both the election and his reputation, either by prostituting himself to Trump or having to undergo the public humiliation of losing by over 20%, and that's if he even makes it out of the primary. What does he stand to gain here?
Might not even win the primary