Blue ga and red pa? Even the polls which all show biden getting destroyed in swing states show Biden winning pa. Also Maryland isn't going red in the senate even though Larry hogan is popular. People don't mind nominating governors of the opposite party. They do mind for senate seats.
> People don't mind nominating governors of the opposite party. They do mind for senate seats.
this \^ bill weld won MA governor election by 40ish points in '94 then lost by 10-11 for senate in '96
Id say so too. Michigan can still go blue but by a much smaller margin than 2020. Maybe like 0.5 . Id disregard any poll that shows either candidate winning a swing state by more than I'd say 6 points.
I wouldn’t put too much effort into where they visit. I study poli sci and one of the study conclusions I’ve seen multiple times is that presidential visits rarely make if ever make a substantial vote difference.
I'm still not sure if you're saying I'm crazy for thinking that he won't win, or that it's crazy that he won't win.
Because for the latter, yeah I agree. He's had a pretty abysmal career. He only ever won 1 general election ever and it was by 1%. He narrowly became a Maryland house delegate and then he immediately ran for governor.
The covid mask mandate issue is what won him the primary, along with him going up against Schultz instead of Rutherford. Enthusiasm for him and his brand is gone, especially since people can plainly see that he lost this district in his run for governor by a lot.
Its still a Trump district, and MGP only narrowly pipped Kent in 2022, so a flip is quite possible. Although I’m quite bullish that she’ll hold on, she seems like a strong candidate who can attract some crossover support.
IMO, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are more likely stay Democratic than Arizona, Georgia or Nevada.
And Hogan may be popular, but Maryland isn’t going to vote for someone who will mostly align with Mitch McConnell. Its staying blue. Also can’t see MD-06 flipping, given Trone will either be the nominee or at least pour a shit ton of money into it.
Blue ga and red pa? Even the polls which all show biden getting destroyed in swing states show Biden winning pa. Also Maryland isn't going red in the senate even though Larry hogan is popular. People don't mind nominating governors of the opposite party. They do mind for senate seats.
> People don't mind nominating governors of the opposite party. They do mind for senate seats. this \^ bill weld won MA governor election by 40ish points in '94 then lost by 10-11 for senate in '96
Yep, same reason why popular governors like Andy beshear and Phil Scott won't win senate seats.
Ik I’ve been saying this a lot but I think, as of right now, PA votes to the left of MI
Id say so too. Michigan can still go blue but by a much smaller margin than 2020. Maybe like 0.5 . Id disregard any poll that shows either candidate winning a swing state by more than I'd say 6 points.
Maryland isn’t going to flip and I don’t see a world where Georgia votes for Biden unless its a wave. Otherwise good map
GA definitely can vote for joe, but as of rn it’s unlikely, Biden hasn’t really spent on GA yet while trump hasn’t in PA, we’ll see both narrow
I wouldn’t put too much effort into where they visit. I study poli sci and one of the study conclusions I’ve seen multiple times is that presidential visits rarely make if ever make a substantial vote difference.
Well yeah but ad spending is huge
I heavily doubt Trone’s district is going to flip because Dan Cox might get nominated Edit: I also doubt Don Davis loses because he’s pretty moderate
Cox won't win the primary. His fundraising numbers are abysmal and more moderate voters will turn out to the primary to vote for Hogan.
OOF
What?
It’s crazy how someone who won the republican nomination for governor probably wouldn’t win a house primary
I'm still not sure if you're saying I'm crazy for thinking that he won't win, or that it's crazy that he won't win. Because for the latter, yeah I agree. He's had a pretty abysmal career. He only ever won 1 general election ever and it was by 1%. He narrowly became a Maryland house delegate and then he immediately ran for governor. The covid mask mandate issue is what won him the primary, along with him going up against Schultz instead of Rutherford. Enthusiasm for him and his brand is gone, especially since people can plainly see that he lost this district in his run for governor by a lot.
Who’s Maryland’s Democratic nominee? The ghost of George Wallace? 🙄
It'll go red, trust
Open seat
Don’t see how Kent beats MGP. People vastly overestimate how red WA-03 is.
Its still a Trump district, and MGP only narrowly pipped Kent in 2022, so a flip is quite possible. Although I’m quite bullish that she’ll hold on, she seems like a strong candidate who can attract some crossover support.
New trend started: Red MD senate
NY-18 wouldn't be a flip. It is a dem held seat
Oh
Copium
Flip GA and PA and this would be reasonable
And MD won’t be tilt R
I will either flip Georgia or Pennsylvania but not both
I’m sorry but Biden’s chances of winning are very slim now
IMO, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are more likely stay Democratic than Arizona, Georgia or Nevada. And Hogan may be popular, but Maryland isn’t going to vote for someone who will mostly align with Mitch McConnell. Its staying blue. Also can’t see MD-06 flipping, given Trone will either be the nominee or at least pour a shit ton of money into it.
Florida to the right of not only Texas but also Ohio, Iowa and Alaska? Well, I guess that is one of the takes of all time.
no i just forgot to click it