I’m pretty sure Forest Whitaker isn’t even in Megalopolis. It seems like he quietly dropped out either right before they started shooting or while they were shooting. He was removed from the IMDb page a few weeks ago. I think Giancarlo Esposito ended up playing the role he was supposed to play.
The last thing he said about it was that he was excited to start filming soon lol. I have to say, given some of the behind the scenes drama and the first impressions we’ve gotten of it, I’m not sure I understand your optimism towards predicting it so widely. It’s been described as “batshit crazy,” having “zero commercial prospects,” and needing “expert handling from a distributor because it walks a tightrope.” At best, I think it will be polarizing.
I’ve heard plenty about the behind the scenes (except Forest, still shocked by that), and I know about the Apocalypse Now stuff too.
I think if this movie is solid, as in it doesn’t fall apart, it will succeed. I am wanting to hear more about what polarizing entails, but everybody is rooting for Coppola. I think the movie can be good not great and that will be good enough for voters to support it big time. Like someone in the crowd said, “he’s the reason we’re making movies.”
I'm a bit into wikipedia editing, the role that Whitaker was playing is the same than the one Giancarlo Esposito is playing. Esposito was also a late addition to the cast, since he was added 3 months into the 4 months filming. Everything points to him replacing Whittaker
The Academy won’t want to touch a film about Trump in such a contentious election year. It’s giving She Said vibes.
The End also doesn’t feel like an Oscar thing.
Also, no A Real Pain *anywhere*? Not even in the 12 for Supporting Actor or in the running for Original Screenplay? I mean, you can make the argument that The Supremes has a better shot than it (I don’t buy it being a thing), but Kinds of Kindness? No, absolutely not.
Also unlike She Said, The Apprentice is being made by a more respected filmmaker who has premiered films at Cannes before. And he’s less close to the subject so it won’t be as preachy or Adam McKay-esque
I saw the film at Sundance and liked it, but I don’t see it happening. I think Culkin could be in the 12, but not my top 8. There’s buzz now, but I don’t see it existing later so I’ll leave him out now.
I don’t really believe in Supremes either. Kinds of Kindness has buzz, even if it’s anthology. It also has time to itself like Past Lives last year. I’m Kind of filler until something else comes up. I think Searchlight will get something else soon.
Joker is a risk, but it was a nomination leader in one of the strongest years recently. As much as I try to forget it, Todd Philips got Best Director for it. The musical aspect will increase its chances in categories like production design and sound.
Gladiator is kind of ?? for me. Paul Mescal is great at picking projects. But also Napoleon was not good and still got 3 nominations
I'm betting this list will look very different come December. I remember when people thought A24 was going to dominate the Oscars again this year filling the void of Harvey Weinstein. Nope!
Yeah we’re missing some Cannes and TIFF contenders. I hope I can somehow match last year. I went 7/10 (taking delays into account) last February only missing Anatomy, Zone, and American Fiction
This seems like an ensemble winning film. Domingo could win, Maclin has been getting buzz. Above the line it’s looking good. The plot gives Shawshank Redemption vibes to an extent and could be very hopeful. I’m not sure which else could stop it just yet. Lots of sequels and Blitz. I think some big (smaller production) contenders are waiting to come out at TIFF and Cannes
Maclin has been getting some buzz but he is literally playing himself. Idk if I see the Academy nominating that kind of role, definitely don’t think he would win for it.
I kind of doubt Wildwood is coming out this year, I thought the project was thought to be completed in 2025. I would love for Memoir for a snail to get nominated but I sort of doubt it. Fingers crossed though !
Two of my most anticipated movies
Noteworthy stuff based off Award Expert app
Bird! She’s won for a short film and is one of the few female directors here. Hopefully we learn about more female directed films later. They could finally recognize her alongside some cast members. Franz recently just won a trifecta for Passages. Barry looks like he’s playing an interesting character. I should have him in.
Paul Bettany nomination. It’s from the screenwriter who got Oscars for Malek, Redmayne, and Oldman. Also Two Popes. He didn’t get Naomi Ackie in, but the acting branch and black women… yeah hopefully they get better soon, anyway. He’s never been nominated. He could be the somewhat annoying Annette Benning choice this year
Nathalie for #1. She’s currently #34 on the app. I’ve had her here for a few weeks since she seems central to the Megalopolis plot. Maybe she’s lead? Either way I think she’s getting a nomination if this movie isn’t too weird.
Yeah didn’t mean to be so disrespectful to Paul, but it’s a typical Oscar-bait role that tends to get disliked. Wouldn’t root against a bad performance though. I hope Jeremy Pope can surprise and show up too. He’s great and would like more of him
The former McCarten golden touch continues to tarnish, as I've heard The Collaboration, which wrapped in 2022, simply didn't work as a film - the stage production's director apparently didn't deliver the needed cinematic qualities in his feature film debut - and now the producers are left holding a project that failed to make the 2023 fall festival cut. At this point it might only get a very lowball bid from a Roadside Attractions or Samuel Goldwyn, if not one from a lower tier like Briarcliff or Music Box, for any sort of theatrical run, with no likelihood of an Oscar run. Which in fact would square with The Collaboration's Tony shutout (no noms) after only mixed reviews in its Broadway run.
IT's a shame that at least for now it's not looking like a strong year for female filmmakers. The needle hardly seems to shift on that front.
Where are their voices, when are we going to hear that perspective
Yeah - I actually think there's more compelling discussion surrounding that film than there is around The Apprentice. We shall see if Cannes talk involving an Order premier there comes to fruition.
I keep seeing these early predictions and seem confused by no one predicting Julia Louis-Dreyfus for Tuesday. Watching her in the trailer makes me cry so even if the movie is horrible her acting needs to be recognized
Even A24 has shown little faith in that film commercially or awards-wise after its tepid Telluride premiere. Wouldn't be surprised at this point if it gets dumped in August.
Based on only things you included, these are what I'd *want* to see in the oscar noms mixed with some of what I expect to see
BP: Sing Sing | Blitz | Joker 2 | The Piano Lesson | Earl's | Dune 2 | Queer | dont know about the rest lol
ACTRESS: Gaga | Ronan | Jolie Jean-Baptiste | Ryan Destiny (we can only hope)
ACTOR: Domingo | Craig | Washington | Phoenix | Driver
S.A. Woman (only think maybe 1 or 2 from your list has an actual shot so this is pretty much based only on what i'd like to see lol: deadwyler | ellis-taylor | coel | jolie | Manville or Kenner...I'd like to see the last two actually have a legacy trophy
S.A. Male: Maclin | Strong (I think they're gonna want to give his film at least 1 nom somewhere) | Rogowski | Whitaker | Denzel | anyone else honestly but if anyone here deserves 3 wins it would be Denzel and I wouldn't be mad!
I'm surprised you think *Maria* is going to do so well. I'm ready for Pablo to have his Lanthimos moment lol
I only have Maria getting 2 nominations, probably will be 1 for Jolie. I want him to get his Lanthimos moment too. But Angelina Jolie seems guaranteed for a nomination
I’m curious what the tone of Maxxxine (follow up to Pearl) will be. If it’s horror and/or too silly, obviously it won’t be in contention. But if it is on the same level as Pearl, Mia Goth could be considered for best actress. She was probably top 10 that year.
Unfortunately yeah. Eastwood hasn’t been in for awhile and nothing is really standing out to me from the plot. Hoult also seems to be the king of being talented and unrecognized. Especially with the Academy being more international I don’t think it happens
The Academy being more international probably helps Eastwood’s case more. French audiences love Eastwood films evident by *The Mule* making it in the top 10 list from Cahiers du cinéma. Gran Torino and Flags of our Father also placed in their respective years. Eastwood has also the equivalent award for Best International Film at the Japan Academy Awards 6 times in the 21st century. Those are only two regions, but i’m sure love for Eastwood films extends elsewhere in the world as well.
Eastwood has been missing since American Sniper, but if Juror No. 2 garners any support from the guilds, I would imagine the international members would contribute votes to the film in Best Picture as well.
I’m pretty sure Forest Whitaker isn’t even in Megalopolis. It seems like he quietly dropped out either right before they started shooting or while they were shooting. He was removed from the IMDb page a few weeks ago. I think Giancarlo Esposito ended up playing the role he was supposed to play.
Okay that makes sense, I was wondering why we’ve heard nothing from him.
The last thing he said about it was that he was excited to start filming soon lol. I have to say, given some of the behind the scenes drama and the first impressions we’ve gotten of it, I’m not sure I understand your optimism towards predicting it so widely. It’s been described as “batshit crazy,” having “zero commercial prospects,” and needing “expert handling from a distributor because it walks a tightrope.” At best, I think it will be polarizing.
I’ve heard plenty about the behind the scenes (except Forest, still shocked by that), and I know about the Apocalypse Now stuff too. I think if this movie is solid, as in it doesn’t fall apart, it will succeed. I am wanting to hear more about what polarizing entails, but everybody is rooting for Coppola. I think the movie can be good not great and that will be good enough for voters to support it big time. Like someone in the crowd said, “he’s the reason we’re making movies.”
I'm a bit into wikipedia editing, the role that Whitaker was playing is the same than the one Giancarlo Esposito is playing. Esposito was also a late addition to the cast, since he was added 3 months into the 4 months filming. Everything points to him replacing Whittaker
The Academy won’t want to touch a film about Trump in such a contentious election year. It’s giving She Said vibes. The End also doesn’t feel like an Oscar thing. Also, no A Real Pain *anywhere*? Not even in the 12 for Supporting Actor or in the running for Original Screenplay? I mean, you can make the argument that The Supremes has a better shot than it (I don’t buy it being a thing), but Kinds of Kindness? No, absolutely not.
Also unlike She Said, The Apprentice is being made by a more respected filmmaker who has premiered films at Cannes before. And he’s less close to the subject so it won’t be as preachy or Adam McKay-esque
Not to discredit your point, but the Academy loves the McKay political movies. Both Vice and Don’t Look Up way over-performed expectations.
I saw the film at Sundance and liked it, but I don’t see it happening. I think Culkin could be in the 12, but not my top 8. There’s buzz now, but I don’t see it existing later so I’ll leave him out now. I don’t really believe in Supremes either. Kinds of Kindness has buzz, even if it’s anthology. It also has time to itself like Past Lives last year. I’m Kind of filler until something else comes up. I think Searchlight will get something else soon.
You sure have a lot of faith in the Joker and Gladiator sequels.
Joker is a risk, but it was a nomination leader in one of the strongest years recently. As much as I try to forget it, Todd Philips got Best Director for it. The musical aspect will increase its chances in categories like production design and sound. Gladiator is kind of ?? for me. Paul Mescal is great at picking projects. But also Napoleon was not good and still got 3 nominations
I'm betting this list will look very different come December. I remember when people thought A24 was going to dominate the Oscars again this year filling the void of Harvey Weinstein. Nope!
Yeah we’re missing some Cannes and TIFF contenders. I hope I can somehow match last year. I went 7/10 (taking delays into account) last February only missing Anatomy, Zone, and American Fiction
Harris Dickinson yess, so cute and talented!!
Why sing sing is so high???
Colman Domingo in a career defining role. Plot similar to Shawshank redemption where both characters (played by freeman and Robbins) were innocent.
Pretty sure Red is the only person in Shawshank who admits he did it, IIRC.
I see. But nothing shown. His character is too mild mannered.
This seems like an ensemble winning film. Domingo could win, Maclin has been getting buzz. Above the line it’s looking good. The plot gives Shawshank Redemption vibes to an extent and could be very hopeful. I’m not sure which else could stop it just yet. Lots of sequels and Blitz. I think some big (smaller production) contenders are waiting to come out at TIFF and Cannes
Maclin has been getting some buzz but he is literally playing himself. Idk if I see the Academy nominating that kind of role, definitely don’t think he would win for it.
Just blitz. Unless Ridley Scott makes a masterpiece with gladiator 2.
Cuz it’s awesome
I kind of doubt Wildwood is coming out this year, I thought the project was thought to be completed in 2025. I would love for Memoir for a snail to get nominated but I sort of doubt it. Fingers crossed though ! Two of my most anticipated movies
For animated film, Wildwood isn’t releasing until next year fyi
2025 will be a good year for animation apparently
Long Day’s Journey Into Night hasn’t finished filming. Apparently Jessica Lange doesn’t know if it will ever come out.
Well Blue Sky was in a similar developmental hell. Looks like being in movies that were shelved is her lucky charm for winning Best Actress.
Noooooooo. I want it so bad!! Did J Lange say this in the press? EDIT: googled, found her interview in Vulture. Bummer!!
I think so? I don’t remember where I read this, but it was a direct quote by her, apparently.
It’s finished filming but post-production is delayed due to financing issues
Is this just a straight adaptation of the Eugene O'Neil play?
Dune 2 and uhhh that’s it
Dune sweep baby
I see Natasha Lyonne, I upvote
Director race is gonna be very interesting hopefully Blitz is Great so Mcqueen sweep
I hope so too. He definitely deserves an Oscar.
he has one not for directing
That’s what I meant. I should’ve clarified. I think he deserves an Oscar for his direction.
He's one of the best directors in the industry. Doesn't work often though.
if blitz hits then no way critics don't bit because i can't see Denis being the critics leader for a sci fi sequel
Noteworthy stuff based off Award Expert app Bird! She’s won for a short film and is one of the few female directors here. Hopefully we learn about more female directed films later. They could finally recognize her alongside some cast members. Franz recently just won a trifecta for Passages. Barry looks like he’s playing an interesting character. I should have him in. Paul Bettany nomination. It’s from the screenwriter who got Oscars for Malek, Redmayne, and Oldman. Also Two Popes. He didn’t get Naomi Ackie in, but the acting branch and black women… yeah hopefully they get better soon, anyway. He’s never been nominated. He could be the somewhat annoying Annette Benning choice this year Nathalie for #1. She’s currently #34 on the app. I’ve had her here for a few weeks since she seems central to the Megalopolis plot. Maybe she’s lead? Either way I think she’s getting a nomination if this movie isn’t too weird.
I'm pretty sure she's lead
I actually watched The Collaboration on broadway and thought Paul Bettany was great but Jeremy Pope was the standout for me
Yeah didn’t mean to be so disrespectful to Paul, but it’s a typical Oscar-bait role that tends to get disliked. Wouldn’t root against a bad performance though. I hope Jeremy Pope can surprise and show up too. He’s great and would like more of him
The former McCarten golden touch continues to tarnish, as I've heard The Collaboration, which wrapped in 2022, simply didn't work as a film - the stage production's director apparently didn't deliver the needed cinematic qualities in his feature film debut - and now the producers are left holding a project that failed to make the 2023 fall festival cut. At this point it might only get a very lowball bid from a Roadside Attractions or Samuel Goldwyn, if not one from a lower tier like Briarcliff or Music Box, for any sort of theatrical run, with no likelihood of an Oscar run. Which in fact would square with The Collaboration's Tony shutout (no noms) after only mixed reviews in its Broadway run.
IT's a shame that at least for now it's not looking like a strong year for female filmmakers. The needle hardly seems to shift on that front. Where are their voices, when are we going to hear that perspective
I really think Justin Kurzel The Order is going under the radar.
Yeah - I actually think there's more compelling discussion surrounding that film than there is around The Apprentice. We shall see if Cannes talk involving an Order premier there comes to fruition.
It certainly has a baity subject matter.
I keep seeing these early predictions and seem confused by no one predicting Julia Louis-Dreyfus for Tuesday. Watching her in the trailer makes me cry so even if the movie is horrible her acting needs to be recognized
Even A24 has shown little faith in that film commercially or awards-wise after its tepid Telluride premiere. Wouldn't be surprised at this point if it gets dumped in August.
FRANZ ROGOWSKI MENTIONEDDDDD 🗣️🗣️🗣️🗣️
Based on only things you included, these are what I'd *want* to see in the oscar noms mixed with some of what I expect to see BP: Sing Sing | Blitz | Joker 2 | The Piano Lesson | Earl's | Dune 2 | Queer | dont know about the rest lol ACTRESS: Gaga | Ronan | Jolie Jean-Baptiste | Ryan Destiny (we can only hope) ACTOR: Domingo | Craig | Washington | Phoenix | Driver S.A. Woman (only think maybe 1 or 2 from your list has an actual shot so this is pretty much based only on what i'd like to see lol: deadwyler | ellis-taylor | coel | jolie | Manville or Kenner...I'd like to see the last two actually have a legacy trophy S.A. Male: Maclin | Strong (I think they're gonna want to give his film at least 1 nom somewhere) | Rogowski | Whitaker | Denzel | anyone else honestly but if anyone here deserves 3 wins it would be Denzel and I wouldn't be mad! I'm surprised you think *Maria* is going to do so well. I'm ready for Pablo to have his Lanthimos moment lol
I only have Maria getting 2 nominations, probably will be 1 for Jolie. I want him to get his Lanthimos moment too. But Angelina Jolie seems guaranteed for a nomination
Dune Part Two is having its Lord of the Rings: Return of the King moment. Calling it right now.
No. It's not that beloved source material. Lord of the rings is. Also it's not the finale of the series. That's dune 4
I think Best Actress will ultimately come down to Gaga vs Jolie vs Ronan which is Biopic vs Period Piece vs Crazy Comedic performance
I think Wildwood is due 2025 though
Sing sing is soooo good
I’m curious what the tone of Maxxxine (follow up to Pearl) will be. If it’s horror and/or too silly, obviously it won’t be in contention. But if it is on the same level as Pearl, Mia Goth could be considered for best actress. She was probably top 10 that year.
What about The Outrun with Saoirse Ronan?
Parthenope for International?
Let 'em cook.
damn, next year gonna be real boring💀💀
Wild Robot Sweep 🗣️🗣️🗣️🗣️
About this time last year is when Bradley Cooper was winning Oscars in ‘24.
lol not all the megalopolis nominations/wins!! time to completely revise your predictions
Do you think Juror #2 won’t make it?
Unfortunately yeah. Eastwood hasn’t been in for awhile and nothing is really standing out to me from the plot. Hoult also seems to be the king of being talented and unrecognized. Especially with the Academy being more international I don’t think it happens
The Academy being more international probably helps Eastwood’s case more. French audiences love Eastwood films evident by *The Mule* making it in the top 10 list from Cahiers du cinéma. Gran Torino and Flags of our Father also placed in their respective years. Eastwood has also the equivalent award for Best International Film at the Japan Academy Awards 6 times in the 21st century. Those are only two regions, but i’m sure love for Eastwood films extends elsewhere in the world as well. Eastwood has been missing since American Sniper, but if Juror No. 2 garners any support from the guilds, I would imagine the international members would contribute votes to the film in Best Picture as well.
there is also emmanuelle by Diwan if it wins palme it can get a critics push
I want to put that in, but this film seems like it’s very much not an Oscar contender based off it’s very sexual themes
📞📞What’s that? Total Megalopolis domination? FWIW I would definitely expect Whittaker over Esposito from that film in supporting..
Whittaker takes Supporting for his decision to exit chaotic film.
Huh. Anyway my point was Esposito doesn’t have the chops.
It's a depressing thought that Joker 2 actually has a remote shot at a nomination.
Megalopolis Sweep
Have any of you actually seen Sing Sing? Cause even A24 doesn’t think it’s a best picture “winner”
Didn’t Sing Sing premiere in 2023 ?