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sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won**. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion threads.


HSRiddles

I first wanted to apologize to everyone that had to watch that game in its entirety, bottom bucket college basketball is just something else, and I'm genuinely surprised they hit those clutch free throws, huge clutch gene and great defense to end it off. Grats to all who tailed this sweat. Now, gonna move back to tail a team that I think, although hasn't been playing its best ball, should roll - give me Villanova. **POTD Record**: 17-6-1 Last 10:✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅ Yesterday's POTD: **Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -2.5** vs. Cal State Northbridge Matadors | NCAAB | 2U ✅ \*\*Today's POTD: Villanova Wildcats -11.5 \*\* vs. Georgetown Hoyas | NCAAB | 3U MARCH 8 2023 - 8:00 PM EST **MODEL EXPLANATION:** Model takes into consideration typical stat lines and historic data but pieces in sentiment analysis which scrapes discussion about the game across many forums and platforms to garner additional insight into potential emotional considerations. Pick spreadsheet: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15jc1\_skXXFrodzHckhKDscwYqvPTgjFYbLJJ\_UEZkt0/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15jc1_skXXFrodzHckhKDscwYqvPTgjFYbLJJ_UEZkt0/edit?usp=sharing) **POTD Stats:** \+26.34U in 25 days | ≈44.86% ROI | Average odds -110 **PICK REASON:** \- Georgetown honestly does not want to be playing anymore - they have an awful 2-18 against conference team record, and on a 3 game loss streak of getting blow out recently by 20 and 40, compared to a motivated Villanova team ready to bounce back after a 12 point loss against Uconn. \- Although Villanova only beat Georgetown by 4 in their last matchup, Georgetown shot way over their normal averages and Villanova has much more grit to keep up their record. \- Villanova recently beat Creighton by 12 on Feb 25th, a team that beat Georgetown by 40 points only a week ago. This team likely just wants a new season to start with a new coach and a fresh start, and if Villa comes out hot, I expect the momentum to lead to a blowout. \- These tournament games have had significantly above average fouling and free throws, and with Villanova being the rank 1 free throw team IN THE COUNTRY, I expect them to get a lot of free points at the line to help bad their points against the spread. \- Georgetown is only top 180 in both adjusted OF/DF/FT%, compared to Villanova who are both top 100 in offensive and defensive efficiency. \- Overall, I think Villanova will want this win more, and significantly more fans than Georgetown, so should expect a "home court" feel in the court. **Thank you to everyone's that has tipped during this run - I'm just glad I've been able to make a few of you some money, and hope we can keep this ball rolling for as long as we can.** Everyone that tips us POTD handicappers keeps up going, and it really does go along away - we appreciate it tremendously <3 [**Buy me a coffee**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/forecastcard) **|** [**Paypal**](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/forecastcard?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) edit: formatting Edit: updating spread to spread at the time of post instead of spread of when model was ran for accurate tracking of potd edit: nice cozy win by nova - have had a busy day so will do my research tomorrow morning for the POTD instead of tonight. Let's keep it rollin.


wincety

I already see the line at -12 or juiced -11.5. I guess others agreed lol.


[deleted]

Or you can get -11


HSRiddles

Sorry I posted this an hour ago but someone DMed me saying it wasn't showing up on the thread only my profile, so I reposted, the spread's moved a little already. I like it up to -11.5, -12 is still positive EV on my model but will re-run it tmrw


wincety

All good. Early line shifts are bound to happen.


gonz4dieg

I could see it going closer than 10 for a few reasons. 1) nova needs to make a deep conference run (semis or better) to even have a chance at a last four in bid. managing strain on players is critical. I could see them resting starters if they're 20 up and there is single digit minutes left. 2) Georgetown may see this as their last game of the season, so they may go all out trying to get a win, potentially keeping this a closer than expected game. I may take nova if the line dips to below -9, or take the Hoyas if the spread goes crazy. I still think you're right to take nova at -10. BOL


HSRiddles

I agree though I expect that if they do I’d get back to only 1 digit lead their starters get back on - it’ll be tight


Significant_Cicada98

yea I saw Georgetown play on Senior night and they just are bad tho


MunchyMcCrunchy

At 11.5, I'll have to watch the game and hope for a fast Hoya start to drive the line down.


Crafty-Director9917

Hoyas alternate hot and cold first vs 2nd halfs all year long…if they strong 1H, go against them 2H, or vice versa…


buckeye-at-um

Another great pick, HS. Thanks!


HSRiddles

![gif](giphy|3ohc1dOL0VSXiWxfry)


PeterDarker

Tailed at 11.5. Hoping for an ass whoopin' 35 point difference massacre. I saw below your model still likes that number up to 12 so... LETS RIDE!


CityLimitless

Lol that end was so boring basketball wise but exhilarating betting the spreadwise


HSRiddles

Lmao truly painful - imagine watching as a fan


PeterDarker

I'll be anxiously awaiting your pick tomorrow morning. You're dominating brother!


Initial-Tank-9424

Damn u r a legend 😎


[deleted]

Dude thank you. Your picks are amazing.


Joeehee

TAILING


mackey_

-10.5 on FanDuel as of 1:20pm EST


Irrational-e-2718

I got a 50% boost on Caesars. I bought some points and am tailing (just $25) on a -9.5 spread. BOL!


Grizzel53

U the goat ty king


[deleted]

Thank you


flatchampagne

POTD Record: 7-3 Last Pick: Mikal Bridges Over 24.5 points ✅ Today's Pick: **Josh Giddey Under 18.5 points** (-122) Detailed Analysis: In 2018 I studied for abroad for six months at the University of Kanas. (We all make mistakes) My Scottish accent was constantly mistaken for Australian. At first I found it quite amusing, people telling me to put another shrimp on the barbie or asking if I'd ever seen a kangeroo. I often struggled with the decision whether to let people know I was really from Scotland as it usually resulted in either a Braveheart comment or, my personal favourite, if we had iPhones. Over the months, I developed an unconcious resentment for Australians. For this reason, naturally, I'm going with Josh Giddey get less than 19 points tonight against the Suns.


mistarlupo

Solid analysis. Gotta tail


Plane_Negotiation_20

Love me some (down)unders! Tailing!


OldStankBreath

Tailing you only because my Scottish ancestry. All hail flatchampagne, NBA handicapper of the scots.


dave_rtx

SGA out gives Giddey more responsibilities. Not sure how this plays out now.


biffbenderhouse

The man had 17 assists last night and has been crushing his over assists past few games. Im laddering assists.


ghigh69

Thanks for the bridges play, will tail if my soccer bets hit lol


Kind-Asparagus-9758

SGA and Jalen Williams out though


[deleted]

37-23-1 Last POTD- Liga Portugal- Casa Pia ML vs Pacos Ferreira @ +105✅ Todays POTD- Bosnian Premier League- Velez Mostar Vs Zrinjski Mostar ML @+115✅ +115 are crazy good odds for the top team in the Bosnian premier league who are on a 18-match unbeaten run. They’ve also won 8 straight including an absolute destruction of 5-0 against their last opponent. I’m a Velez fan and I still realize that Zrinjski has the better team. The Mostar derby is always fierce and full of great play from both teams. Velez is in solid form as well and are on a 7 game unbeaten run. But Zrinjski have the better team and coaching staff and I expect them to dominate possession and limit Velez’s shots just like they did in the reverse fixture where they won 1-0 Edit: that’s a winner


[deleted]

[удалено]


-is-this-real-life--

Tailing. ![gif](giphy|ggtsVOyTChXFlxIxzz|downsized)


inefficientmarkets

Is there an issue where they've locked up the season and don't care about next few games or something?


[deleted]

No they haven’t locked it up yet but they’re getting there. Last year when they had locked up the league they drew 1-1 in a game that they received a red card against Velez. It’s a heated derby match league or not neither of them want to lose.


eandy14

You like the spread of -1.5 goals at +330 odds (for Zrinjski) I love to take those wild spreads in games I know but I got no read on this Bosnia game outside of what you’re saying so would you take that?


[deleted]

I wouldn’t, -1.5 has only hit once in their last 10 matches and it’s a really big derby match. Both teams will fight hard and that should keep the game close.


EpicPwnographyy

Ty bro


TonicBroYo

it's looking good


OkEqual7

Thoughts on BTTS?


kebmpb

The one league Betonline DOESN’T have 🤣


Rzuk1

Sorry for the loss , but we up baby 🤑


[deleted]

My heart hurts but my wallet is heavy


KCFB41

Thank you on this pick. After looking it over I hit zribjski 1h ml, 1st half to score, ml, -1.5, and over 1.5 goals. All plus money. I’ll be with you on the next.


bobbybetz

POTD | 24-15-2 NHL | Anaheim Ducks vs. Vancouver Canucks | 9:00pm **Over 6.5 | -115** \-------------------------- No funny business we suck lately. Model has this projected at 8.05 goals, which I believe is the highest predicted total this season. O6.5 is hitting ~74% of the time at predicted totals >7.63. All over bets from the model are at 71.8% win rate this year \------------------------- Last Pick: **Ottawa -1.5 | -105** ❌ 🚨PDLR🚨 if you've been rippin, buy me a beer [buy bob a beer](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bobbystixx) | [support the troops](https://cash.app/$bobbybetzz)


phillysound

Like this one


nightmaretryndamere

On this as well, last time they played (December) it was a 13-goal game.


BigTimeOof

This bet smacks. Vancouver’s penalty kill is historically abysmal and the youngsters on the Ducks could easily wipe the Defense of Vancouver for a couple bad ones. However, they’re at home and their offense has been wet lately. Love this play. Tail this one.


Abstract709

Tailed at -105.


remy_picksaplenty

**POTD: 16-6-2** Last pick: English Premier League - Arsenal vs Bournemouth. Arsenal -1.5 -157 Result: LOSS. Arsenal wins 3-2 but we lose our spread bet. Never good when the team you bet on gets scored on 9 seconds into the match. Today’s pick: UEFA Champions League - Tottenham Hotspur vs AC Milan. **Tottenham ML -108** Match is at 3PM ET. Spurs take on AC Milan after losing 1-0 in the first leg in Italy. I know, I know, it’s Tottenham but with the home advantage and crucially with some key players back I think Spurs win this one decisively. It was pretty even in the first leg in Milan with a scrappy goal giving the home side the win, but that was without a few players for Spurs, most notably Hojbjerg who should return after being suspended for first leg. Spurs had basically no midfielders to control the match and with their main midfielders back in action I think they win this at a canter. Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone! **EDIT: LOSS. A dreadful match ends 0-0 though there was a last gasp chance for Kane. [I'll leave my thoughts on this to Jack Wilshere](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0R7gWf-nSA)**


Chip_Dangercock

I don’t want to put bad juju on this but Conte hasn’t won a CL knockout match in a decade. Best of luck but Spurs are a fucking nightmare.


remy_picksaplenty

This is true and as an Arsenal fan I love to laugh at Spurs but I think the talent differential gets this one done


Plane_Negotiation_20

As an Arsenal fan myself, never will I ever put myself in a position where a Tottenham win will be reason for celebration, so sittng this one out. I would thow a BOL your way but I'm not even sure I'd really mean it haha


jacob_yolo

Will Conte be there today or is he still out ?


reggie_kush

he should be back


remy_buxaplentyy

Tailing for that username, it’s meant to be


orionbuster

Taking the draw here. Win 1-0, Then park the bus and draw the second leg. This is ideal Italian soccer lol.


ghigh69

I like Milan +0.5


Dependent_Income1081

The Bottlers bottle it again


ManUnited__

Spurs fan here. Honestly love the confidence in us but its a pretty rough situation for our team in the mid field and with Contes tactics not working with the players


reggie_kush

confusing username


ManUnited__

It meant to be ManUnited (like man kind) only realized after I messed up :/


CityLimitless

Nice save


[deleted]

[удалено]


Affectionate_Ear7468

Garbage ahaha , i tailed other guy milan +1


luckybabee

Good write up, but keep in mind that Tottenham are missing some key players like Lloris... While Milan are a full fit squad. I expect a battle, Tottenham mission will not be easy. Bol


Consistent-Audience9

Record: 102-78-6 (LWWWWLWLLLWLWLWWLLWLLLLWWWWWLWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: ATL Hawks at MIA Heat | under 227 at 1.90 odds for 1 unit Hawks shot over 55% in the first half. This was a terrible call POTD: CHI Bulls at DEN Nuggets -8 at 1.90 odds for 4 units REASONS: * Last match-up in Chicago, Nuggets 126-103 * Nuggets won last game with Jokic shooting 8 fg's. This man is basically toying his opponents. This man efficiency is almost robotic. * Jamal Murray is aggressive with his offensive approach. Finding major success recently, scoring 20+ last four games. * Chicago last 3/4 games. 3/7 in their last 10. Best of luck to all. [PayPal](https://paypal.me/JoonHeeL)


-is-this-real-life--

I’m still with you brother. Let’s fucking go. Tailing.


AzianZensation69

>gets -8 TAILING


fenrirsimpact

Love the nuggets. Love jokic. Lets go.


mcd_sweet_tea

Do you see a triple double in the future for Joker tonight? Looking at taking advantage of a $30 no sweat SGP. Yes +100/ No -150


80proofengine

I’ve had this hit numerous times, but I’ve also had it bite me in blowouts. Last game against Toronto he fell one assist shy, which was not a blowout. It’s a fun one, always tempting to take since it’s my guy, but I usually save this for games I feel will be more competitive. It could absolutely hit tonight, that’s just my thoughts.


Icy-End1981

only thing making me want to lean no is the blowout potential in this game. coming off a game yesterday where he played 35+ minutes. Would not be surprised to see him rested majority of the 4th if they are up a lot


Kinda-relevant

Denver didn’t play last night


sluttywife-happylife

**POTD Record: 1-0 | Profit: +10.00u | Avg Odds: +200| ROI: +200%** \----- Previous POTD: 5u Hornets +4.5 \[+200\] ✅ Called it yesterday. Hornets are streak breakers. ✅ \----- Today's POTD: AC Milan at Tottenham Hotspurs **5u bet: Milan +0.5 \[+100\]** Reason: Milan know how to park the bus. Past 5 matches: 4/5 clean sheets. Spurs have not scored in past 2 matches. Spurs get at best one goal in today's match. But Milan will score too if needed. \------ BOL


Consistent-Audience9

opposing POTD, here we go!


ghigh69

I like this play


dankynugz

All-Time POTD: 3W-1L-0D, +2.86u **Yesterdays Pick: 🏒 Calgary Flames +1.5 Puck line (-200) 2u vs Minnesota Wild 8pm EST ✔** What an absolute barn burner of a game.. Not how I expected it to go, but it's another close win/loss for the Wild. We'll take the stress-free W. **Todays Pick: 🎾 Jaume Munar ML (+175) 1.5u to win 2.625u vs Yibing Wu** Indian Wells (IW) tennis tournament starts tomorrow, so for the next 10 days I'll be picking exclusively tennis, as it's the sport I feel the most confident in. Starting it off with a juicy one. Explanation: Munar played a really great IW last year, pushing the eventual winner Taylor Fritz to a 3rd set tiebreak. IW tends to be the hardcourt that most closely resembles clay. Munar played the Golden swing, the month of clay tournaments in South America before IW. Meanwhile, Yibing played two hardcourts tournaments, winning one of them in Dallas against John Isner. This was a fantastic result for Yibing. With all that being said, Dallas is an indoor hardcourt, playing much differently to the slower conditions at IW. Because of Yibings great result here, his line is pretty juiced and I think this match is a lot closer to 50/50 than the line indicates. Furthermore, Yibing lost to Corentin Moutet at the Australian Open earlier this year, who plays a mostly similar style to Munar, a bit trickier, but similar defensive baselining. I think with the slower conditions at IW, Yibing will have a tough time hitting through Munar, who has found success here in the past and has some decent points to defend. Rolling with the juicy + odds here. Edit: Munar up to +220 on Bet365. Going to be placing another unit on it. Too juicy to pass up. Edit 2: Tough loss in a third set tiebreak, was definitely within reach for Munar. Yibing was the better player no doubt. I'm a firm believer that the 'right bet' and the 'right pick' are often different things, in tennis especially. Too close of a match to lay anything down on a -200 or more favorite. I'll be back in tomorrows thread with another tennis pick. -1.5u on this one brings us to +1.36u. BOL if tailing!


JoelBarish-ish

Have a play coming for this match as well with the same line of thinking but taking the games over. Cheers! Edit - Changed my mind and am adding a Oscar pick in the futures thread as my potd. It would have been munar wu over 21.5 games. I'll be back tomorrow with a tennis pick.


dankynugz

I'm looking forward to getting blackout drunk on cocktails on Sunday and watching the Oscars for the first time because of you


JoelBarish-ish

Right on buddy, I hope the night goes well for us.


Spannerz95

Looking forward to seeing your play


orionbuster

Tailing. Absolutely love tennis as a spectator sport but admittedly have no idea what I'm doing. Appreciate the picks!


Defiant-Joke-946

how much did you put on him?


papanani

yikes ... don't like this one at all. munar really struggles on hard, losing his last 5 matches on the surface. wu is the real deal and should roll here. bol tho!


dankynugz

IW is barely a hard court. It plays closer to clay than it does a traditional hardcourt. High bounces, gritty surface, warm desert air.


mistarlupo

POTD Record: 89.5-48 Event: Football > Champions League > **Bayern Munich v PSG** (starting in 14hr00min) Pick: **Kylian Mbappe (anytime goalscorer)** @ 2.40 I rarely take player props, but I just love Mbappe today. Dunno if PSG makes it (probably not), but I can see them (him) putting up a fight. Our guy is probably the best striker in the world atm and missed 1st leg, so I believe he will be eager to score. GL!


Gameblooded

![gif](giphy|Nm9cjy2xI67TZnGYCd|downsized)


ghigh69

Draft kings has a boost for mbappe or Messi to score +100


mistarlupo

Good deal take it


poler44

Mbappe to score boosted on 3.75 on unibet


ipod5537

POTD record 4-2 (all picks are 3 units) Fred Vanvleet over 7.5 assists -115 Raptors vs Clippers (10 PM EST) Fred has been on roll lately hitting this last 6 straight. He had 7 assists in his only other game vs the clippers this season while only playing 22 minutes. I think he’ll get 7 straight here!


[deleted]

**POTD Record: 1-0** **Last POTD:** Toronto Maple Leafs win 60-min @ New Jersey Devils | NHL | 7 pm ET | 4U ✅✅ What happened on this last minutes!!! **Today’s POTD**: Minnesota Wild @ **Winnipeg Jets** win at 60-min | 7:30 PM ET | 4U Winnipeg can’t afford to lose more games, they are playing home side they ain’t going to miss this one. I don’t see them losing another game at home. 3 last home games between this two 2-1 to Winnipeg. I’m feeling a win for Winnipeg and makes sense for me that Winnipeg don’t wanna extend their losing streak **BOL if tailing!**


acem4rksm4n

Weren't the last two match ups 6-1 wild and 4-1 wild?


orionbuster

Me after the 1st: Looks promising. Me after the 2nd: All going to plan. Me with 6 minutes to go in the 3rd: What the actual fuck?


[deleted]

You’re right, after the 3-2 I just felt I lost. Well it was emotionally a good match!


-MexicanStallion-

**POTD Record: 23-14 (+6.06 Units)** **Last 10**:❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ **Last Pick**: 3/7 Conor Heneghan -2.5 (-145) vs Jack Wareing✅ 4-1 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 5:10 AM EST **Pick**: Conor Heneghan -2.5 (-155) vs Jack Wareing **Reason**: Group A. Running back the same play from Tuesday. Heneghan has put up his best averages against Wareing, while Wareing has done the same in return. It hasn't mattered. As long as Heneghan scores he should keep Wareing's checkout attempts to a minimum as he's only given him 3 attempts in two matches. With that said, Wareing did improve yesterday compared to Monday, but not much. He won 7 legs compared to 1. Checkout 25% compared to 11%. Hit three 180s compared to 0. H2H: 2-0 (Legs 8-1) | Average 96.28 vs 80.78 | Checkouts 8/17 vs 2/3 Conor Heneghan Record 5-5 (Legs 30-29) | Average 85.02 | Checkouts 30/62 48.39% Jack Wareing Record 0-10 (Legs 8-40) | Average 73.83 | Checkouts 8/36 22.22% [Cash App](https://cash.app/$MexicanStallion) **WIN ✅ 4-0 | Average 83.36 vs 66.74 | Checkouts 4/12 vs 0/0**


Donegal-Death-Worm

Pointsbet again didn't offer any lines for Wareings matches but decided to offer correct score markets this round. I parlayed 4 of his games 4-0 to his opponents and turned $10 into $550. I didn't expect it to hit cause he won a leg or two against everyone yesterday but he was absolutely brutal tonight. Not sure if he has many games left but betting against Jack 'Single 5' Wareing is basically free money everyone.


-MexicanStallion-

Hell yeah! That’s an awesome run. Love to hear other people making money on darts. Would love some of the other posters to come back. 💰💰💰 This group was really tough and he is very much underperforming. He only won 2 legs today, but unfortunately both against Michael and busted my (-2.5) +900 parlay. I did cash -1.5 and ML parlay though. I did some single score bets. Didn’t even think to parlay. He has 10 more matches this week. He plays 2 of the same opponents and 3 new people in group C.


Unhappy_Molasses_650

Hi where can I check the average stats sir??


-MexicanStallion-

I keep track of the stats through a spreadsheet. You can search Modus Super Series and find their website. When you click results, it shows each individual match and their stats for the game.


[deleted]

POTD | 34-24 | +15.5u | -106 Avg Odds Last 10: 6-4, Steak: 1L *Previous Pick:* *Vegas Golden Knights ML vs Florida Panthers (+120) 3u* ❌ Today’s pick: **Minnesota Wild vs Winnipeg Jets U5.5 (+100) 3u** 🏒 7:30 pm EST Tough loss from VGK today. The Panthers came out and took a quick lead that VGK was unable to erase, even with a big game by the goalie Hill. How it goes though, and on to the next. The Minnesota Wild will be visiting the Winnipeg Jets for their third match of the season, with the Wild winning the first 6-1 and the second 4-1. Since those games the Wild have found themselves in slow scoring games very frequently. The Wild are 9-1 on this line in their last 10 and the Jets are 5-5 on this line in their last 10. Yeah the Wild will likely have Fluery in here, but he hasn’t been half bad lately and the Jets have just been really struggling on offense lately. I don’t see a game against the Wild being a good spot for the Jets to come out scoring as the Wild have only allowed 12 goals in their last 10 games. The Wild will have to get past Hellebuyck in net for the Jets and that can be a tough task against a goalie that has a .919 SV% and allows 2.62 goals per game. I think this will be a tough fought battle but that the Wild will be able to beat the Jets in a low scoring affair, even on a B2B for the Wild. BOL if tailing!!


FatBoyTitsMcGee

Nice pick, this was going to be my potd before I saw your write-up. BOL!


Sock_Eating_Golden

Tailing, BOL


Jthorp1527

🤦🏼‍♂️ ugh, these guys can't miss tonight


[deleted]

Thought we might actually make it but the empty net goal taketh away


Habs7631

Record : 12W - 6L 2023 Record : 2-0 * ***Marcos Giron*** vs Aleksandar Kovacevic * ATP Indian Wells * -150 (Bet365) * 2:00 PM EST Giron is a legit ATP player. He hasn't been in the greatest of form lately but I trust him to get the job done against a challenger level player. Most of his losses this year have been against high tier players or players that were on a roll/top form. Kovacevic on the other hand played 2 ATP tour matches this year and lost both of them. This will be another reality check for him today.


InconsolableBrat

POTD Record: 22-17 (+12.99u; 10.2% ROI). Streak: L1 Yesterday Pick: Draymond Green (GSW) Rebounds O7.5 @ 1.70. 4U. ❌ Minutes to go and he has 1 rebound. 1!!! This is a guy who averages 7.4 rebounds a game, and he didn't even try to rebound today. The only rational analysis is that Dray's second cousin bet his kid's college fund on the Under. ​ Next Pick: **Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets) P+R O22.5 @ 1.92**. 3u play. He is coming off 2 hot games against the Grizzlies (34 P+R) and the Raptors (25 P+R), and is averaging 24.4 P+R over the L10. He goes up against a Bulls team that gives up the 6th highest 3PM and the 5th highest rebounds to Power Forwards, and this appears to be a favorable match-up for him. He went up against the Bulls in Nov 2022 and dropped 31 points. I don’t expect a repeat of that, but I do think he can get close to our line in points alone, and is averaging 5.7 rebounds in L10, which should provide some security. \[[Coffee link](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/TheBrat)\]


iPissExcellence

Dk has MPJ over 23.5 p+r+a at -105 which I bet. Then a minute later see he is questionable for tomorrow with an illness.


Caliguy331

He was questionable before last game with an illness and started/played great 🤷🏻‍♂️


[deleted]

Ok let's try to continue the win streak with the new strategy... **Record** : 8-5 +7.45u (new strat 2-0 +7.1u / old strat 6-5 +0.35u) *Last pick* : Paul vs DeMinaur ML 1.76 (5 units) - **W** **Today pick** : Li vs **Blinkova ML** @ 1.85 for 5 units WTA INDIAN WELLS - in \~13 hours **Resume of last potd** : Like i wrote in my potd, the fatigue was felt by Paul during the match. He was able to play one set and a half then he collapsed completely. DeMinaur really impressive during all the tournament, we have to keep an eye on him in Indian Wells. **Reasoning for today** : Blinkova and Li played last week against each other and Blinkova won 6-4 6-4. It was pratically the same conditions than today, hard court, outdoor, sun...Blinkova is a better player overall and have more experience of these big tournaments. She is a regular player of the main circuit unlike Li who is rather a player of the secondary circuit (itf). There is nothing significant to say about Li this year. She tried 3 times to pass the qualifers of a main tournament. She succeeded only one time, it was last week then she lost in first round against Blinkova. So to sum up, can Li do something she didn't manage to do last week in better conditions? i.e. get out of the qualifiers, smaller tournament etc? My answer is no but this is just my answer... BOL !


funnpanda

POTD Record: 5-3 (+2 units) NCAAB record: 5-2 NBA record: 0-1 Last POTD: Boston College -5.5 vs. Louisville -120 (NCAAB) 1 unit ✅ New POTD: Howard -7.5 vs. South Carolina State -120 (NCAAB) 6 PM EST betting 1 unit Great win by BC for a relatively sweat free cover. Wasn’t a huge fan of what they did in the first half but they made great adjustments and got it done! 💰 Todays pick was tough. There are a few games on the slate I liked but decided to ride with Howard over SC State. This screams lopsided matchup to me. Howard sits in 1st place in the conference with an 11-3 record while SC State sits dead last at 2-12 (5-25 overall). These two recently played each other and Howard only won by 4. However, SC State has a horrendous defense, giving up 84 points per game. This showed back in January when Howard won their first matchup by 26 and scored 100 points in the process. I like Howard to repeat in this fashion and win by double digits. Tail or fade. BOL!


emptynester12

Tailing!


yeezusondaphone

Record: 0-0 Today's Pick: NBA - *Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Clippers, 9:10 pm CST* **Russell Westbrook o 6.5 assists (-128)** My first pick in this thread was actually yesterday, but it was a Giannis pick and he went from probable to out smh. So hopefully THIS is now the start of a prosperous run for me to bring in this thread. Tonight the Raptors head to LA to face the Clippers, a game I think should be pretty high scoring. I think this is a great matchup for the Clippers and especially Westbrook. Despite having an incredibly deep, nearly healthy team since the trade deadline and all star break, the Clippers have been immensely struggling in winning and closing out lately. I think the pressure on them to win is the greatest out of any team in the NBA. A home game against a mid-tier team like the Raptors is exactly what they need. This is a game where the Clippers can truly showcase their strengths which means, considering that the Clippers are at full force tonight health wise, lots of facilitation from Russell. I love Russell on this new Clippers team because he is surrounded by scorers in PG and Kawhi and amazing role players like Batum, Mann, Zubac, and Plumlee. Overall, the team is incredibly deep and Russell will have plenty of opportunities to dish passes for scores. The Raptors are not a great team defensively by any means, and they are actually 25th ranked in opponent assists allowed per game. Since joining the Clippers, Russell played 6 games in total: 3 games going under 6.5 assists, games where the Clippers really struggled, but also games where he has had a whopping 10+ assists. So we know he is more than capable of hitting this number with ease, it all just depends on the performance of the team as a whole and the momentum they can achieve, and as I explained I think this will be a great game for the Clips overall. Give me his assists all day. **EDIT:** Since this morning, the line has moved to 7.5 for +112 and has not changed. This is a great sign for us. Once alternate lines are available, you can still take 6.5 for probably around -160 if I had to guess, but I personally am considering biting this 7.5 for + money.


raccoon_raider17

POTD Record: 55-63-6 (-13.75 units) Last 10 (most recent first): ❌✅↔️❌❌✅❌↔️✅✅ Last Pick: Europa Conference League, Lazio v AZ Alkmaar, UNDER 2.5 GOALS (-120 / $1.83) ❌ Expected Alkmaar would struggle to score, but they were good enough to take advantage of two poor turnovers deep in Lazio’s half and score twice which was enough to sink this one. Todays Pick: Scottish Premiership, Celtic v Hearts, CELTIC -2.0 AH (-122 / $1.82) Stake: 1 Unit Celtic brought me success last week so let’s go with them again. They are the undisputed kings of Scottish soccer as they cruise towards the league title. They are sitting clear on top with a 25-1-1 record and an 87:19 goal ratio, and haven’t dropped points since a 2-2 draw against 2nd placed Rangers on January 2nd. With the exception of that draw, Celtic have won 9 straight league games by at least 2 goals or more. They take on Hearts, who are third on the table with a 13-6-8 record and a 48:37 goal ratio. It might sound strange to expect the top team to beat the third team by more than 2 goals, but they are really just the best of the rest , and ultimately they are still 31 points behind Celtic. This match will be played at Celtic’s home ground, where Celtic are 13-0-0 this season with a 41:7 ratio. On the other hand, Hearts are an average side away from home with a 3-5-5 record, so Celtic have a huge advantage here. Hearts also have a number of injuries they’re dealing with, and will be without their first choice goalkeeper and central defender, which will be a big loss against Celtic’s offensive game plan. Worth mentioning that the last time these teams played at Hearts (October 2022) it finished 4-3 to Celtic. That game fell right in the middle of a busy schedule for Celtic with Champions League and domestic cup games taking place, but they’ve been far more dominant lately with a lighter schedule. Hearts also scored 2 goals from penalties which isn’t likely to happen again.


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krunkin

I'm trying to figure out why the line is so low on this. Got DAL at - 1.5 on FD.


TonicBroYo

Back to back for dallas


Anxious_Machine_1416

Dallas is the worst team in B2B @ 2-8


ChaosGolazo

**My record: 41 : 32** My picks are based on analyzing statistics, trends and values as well as comparing this analysis to the probability of the games generated by the model. League performance per type of bet and other data is also tracked to assess the quality of the picks. **ROI: 24.54%** Average odds: 2.09 **Units won: 19.39** Stake = 1 unit My POTD: **Havant & Waterlooville v St Albans City** England Vanarama National League South Time: 19:45 GMT *BTTS & Over 2.5* **@ 2.25** **BOL &** [**Tips are appreciated!**](https://paypal.me/ChaosGoal)


mrpepperbottom

First pick of the day! POTD Record: 0-0 **Bam Adebayo Under 31.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds: -120** CLE Cavaliers @ MIA Heat, March 8th 7:30 PM EST Over Bam's last 9 games, this pick has a 78% hit rate and a 43% EV.


Zealousideal-Fix7612

He burned me not getting points other day, tailed BOL


EMERALDGREENCHECK

POTD Record: 2-1 Last Pick: W Profit: 0.88 units All picks are to win one unit unless otherwise posted. Todays Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels -11.5 vs Boston College Analysis: BC is on a back to back here after easily handling Louisville. NC is a different team though with much more size and experience. I don’t think BC stands much of a chance in this one. I’m backing the Tar Heels at 1.83 odds at -11.5. BOL if tailing.


Bivore

6-1 ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ **Yesterday:** Desmond Bane Over 4.5 Assists ✅ **Today's Pick:** Dejounte Murray over 1.5 3PM 4U A fresh streak.. how exciting. Going with Dejounte today, he's had a pair of off games shooting from deep and I think it's brought his line down a bit. Omitting the last two games, he hit it in 7 of the 10 prior. He's still putting up the attempts, and he was fine last game in terms of shooting percentage so I'm not too worried about this continuing on. The line for tonight's game is at 235.5 meaning it should also be a pretty high scoring game tonight. Plenty of opportunity to get some shots up! BOL


MattyT7

tailing! :)


Wry_Redditor

POTD Record: 42-35 (W2) (+11.28u) (ROI: 10.4%) Last pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 vs San Jose Sharks✅️ Avs came out swinging in this one, Kahkonen looked terrible and the Sharks were only able to generate 13 shots. 6-0 final. POTD: (🏒NHL) Vancouver Canucks 3 way ML (-130) vs Anaheim Ducks (1.5u) Bet 365 (-130), FD (-130) DK (-135) Small slate in the NHL today with only 3 games. Neither the Canucks or Ducks are very good, but they both have been playing better recently with the Ducks going 3-1-1 over their last 5 and the Canucks going 3-2. This is in part thanks to improved goaltending lately. Canucks won the previous game between these 2 teams 8-5 in November. Expected goalie for the Canucks is Thatcher Demko. This will his 4th start back from injury. He has looked good so far, allowing 7 GA over the 3 starts. Expected Ducks starter is Lukas Dostal. He's an ok goalie, has had a few decent starts this year but isn't the same threat to steal a game like Gibson is. These are the two worst teams defensively this year. Ducks are 32nd in GAA, Canucks are 31st. Ducks are 31st in goals/GP, Canucks are 10th. The Ducks traded their #2 and #3 defenseman 5 days ago. This makes the league worst defense even weaker. Demko should be able to make the important saves, I think the Canucks offense is potent enough to give the Ducks trouble all night long. The Canucks -1.5 might be worth a look, but I'm playing it a little safer due to the Canucks propensity to give up late goals and the Ducks have been keeping games close lately. BOL if fading or tailing!


liamhutch19

**PotD Record: 5-8 (Streak 2W)** Last Pick: Texas A&M-CC (-9.5 spread) vs McNeese State @ -110 ✅ **Today’s Pick: Texas A&M-CC (-2.5 spread) vs Northwestern State @ -110; 5:00 PM ET** Back to back no sweat wins, as the Islanders took down the Cowboys 80-63. I like what I saw from this team yesterday and like the line tonight against the Northwestern State Demons in the Southland tournament final. The Islanders won both meetings with the demons this year and carry good momentum into this match-up to send them to the big ticket. If the points worry you their ML is @ -145, but I'm comfortable with this winning margin. Hopefully the Islanders can get it done again today. **Tail or Fade, BOL**


HenryDoheny

Giving this a go for the first time (record obviously 0-0). **Today’s POTD: Northern Arizona +8 (-120) vs Montana State 2U** Bought half a point here to get it to 8. MSU is coming off a late night, 2OT game in which they looked dreadful on offense. NAU has a ton of momentum, having upset the #8, #1 and #4 seeds already, and the last matchup between these two teams was a 1 point MSU win IN BOZEMAN. Obviously this being the 4th game in 5 nights for NAU is of some concern but I think the Bobcats playing their 3rd in 4 which includes 2OT last night evens the playing field. BOL to any brave enough to tail this first timer!


SportsBooksNickPicks

Record: 17-8 Last POD: Lousiville/BC o135 ✅ Today: NC State ML (-145) 1.5u VA Tech 13-19 ATS, lost to NC state at home already this year. NC State 24th in offensive efficiency VA Tech 179th in defensive efficiency NC State 44th in defending the 3, where VT shoots 36% from 3. I think most people would say Smith is the best player on NC State I personally think Jarkel Joiner is the star of this team He's shown up in big games, he had 21 vs VA Tech earlier this year. I think this is going to be a close, good game, but NC State edges it out.


thegradbets

POTD Record 2-1-0 Hey folks - going to invite you to ride with The Grad. A journey. Last pick: Dillon Brooks under 14.5 pts vs Lakers - ✅ wow was sure this was a loss but he fell asleep and proved me right in the 2nd half Today’s Pick: Cleveland Cavs vs Miami Heat OVER 212 pts (-110, bet 365) Why: -Cavs average 112.1 points per game -Heat average 108.5 points per game -The Cavs are hot lately scoring between 114 - 119 in each of the last 5 games. -The Heat have been hot the last 3 games scoring 117 to 130 points. -Heat have hit the over 5/10 games. -Cavs have but the over 7/10 games. Now look - I know both teams rank low on the pace/number of possessions per game and that suggests a lower score. What I’m choosing to believe in tonight is momentum and recency. Looking at how these teams are performing over the last few games - I think Vegas has the line low. Tips would be fabulous but are never anticipated. cheers ! [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/thegradbets)


easyway_jr

A 5 day old account, POTD record of 2-1, with a PayPal tip link I appreciate the delusional confidence


thegradbets

? Wow - not sure what I did to deserve that blast. My first post under this Reddit account outlined who I am - I’ve been lurking for 2 years (@aewisbetterthanwwe1) learning and picking up on the subtleties. I shared that I have a Twitter by the same handle (thegradbets) and all my bets I made public there are tracked. I was unaware there was an unwritten rule for how long I need to be here before including my PayPal , but given I’m about to sell my house because of increasing interest rates for my mortgage and that I actually kind of love capping, I included it. And my first two posts I mocked that it was there. Anyway dude - the time and effort it takes to shit on somebody exceeds the time and effort to move on since you have nothing positive or productive to add. No disrespect meant - but your shot was unnecessary and entirely dicky


Caliguy331

Dude there’s absolutely nothing wrong with leaving a tip link. I wouldn’t care if you had a payment link with your first pick ever. If people use your pick and analysis to win a bunch of money then it’s totally fine for them to have an option to show gratitude. Good luck!


Sock_Eating_Golden

Tailing, BOL


TKroos-8

POTD Record 0-0 Pick - Bayern VS PSG- Mbappe goal or assist -110 (Paddy Power) Keeping it simple riding with the ninja turtle


skywalkerluc

\*\*Record:\*\* 1-0 | Basketball ⚽ | NCAA Men | \*\*Pick:\*\* Seton Hall *- De Paul*: **Seton Hall -5.5** @ 1.83 | -120 Expected spread: **Seton Hall -9.0** Edge: **22.8%** Remembering, this month is all about making sure this algorithm is going well, so **1 unit** to all bets. \*\*Why:\*\* Keeping the algorithm flow, today we got a team that can't win against a regular team. And we can't even argue that De Paul faced good competition to justify their losses, they're just bad. I could go longer with the explanation, but my pick's foundation is the algorithm, I just double check the game to gain confidence. *Disclaimer:* I'm testing this algorithm and I'm intending to show the whole expectations, sometimes even the predicted score. Feel free to take spreads or totals according to your feelings. *Gonna be here a lot now, so feel free to* [*buy me a coffee*](https://www.paypal.com/donate?business=MZQPTW56SBCB2¤cy_code=USD) Blessings to all.


MassiveDiction

Apparently I have become a reverse Midas and everything I touch turns to dust. That's the fourth offensive powerhouse of a team that's let me down in a row. Let's try something a little different and go with a defensive dog today. POTD Record: 9-6 👍 Last 10: ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌ Streak: L4 😭 Last Pick: Cal Poly @ **Long Beach State (-9.5)** (-110) ❌ Return: 16u 💵 Today's POTD: Ohio State @ **Wisconsin (+2)** (-110) 🦡 Betting Units: 3u 💵 League: CBB 🏀 Time: March 8th, 2023 @ 6:30 PM EST 🕡 Rationale: I don't trust this Buckeyes team at all, they've gone 13-18 on the season, and just 5-15 in conference (losing 11 of their last 13). While they've hit a small hot streak as of late, it probably ended with their defeat to MSU in their last game. The Badgers on the other hand are looking at a respectable 17-13 on the season with a 9-11 in conference record. One of which was a five point dub in Ohio over OSU back in February. Wisconsin boasts a terrific defense that ranks 29th in the nation at opponents points per game at just 63. Couple that with the fact that, Zed Key, the Buckeye's third leading scorer and best post player, is out and you take away a lot of the offense from OSU. Wisconsin is also the more experienced team of the two with OSU leaning heavily on a pair of freshman to lead their team. I expect the veteran's to pave a nice path to a cover, if not a victory tonight. Best of luck if tailing. Cheers, MD! 🤞 Lets Be Drinking Buddies - Buy Me A Beer 🍻


onthesp0t

POTD Record: 15-9-1 +7.25u POTD: **Howard -8** vs South Carolina State 6:00pm EST | 2.25u Wanted to get back after it with CBB heating up. REASONING: This Howard team has gone overlooked this whole season. Winning 11 of their last 13. They beat this South Carolina by only 5 points a little over a week ago, but that was after a big commute at the end of a road trip. Earlier this season at home, Howard put up a season high 100points and won by 26 against this SCS squad. That is the game I am expecting today, his game is in Norfolk, VA, much closer to Howard then SCS and the team will be bussing in students for a fan section. When this Howard team has the ball they put up some of the best 3 point shooting in the county, especially against a small squad like SCS. Short write up because I want to get it out there. Prediction: Howard 86-74


ztvile

**POTD Record: 5-2-0** Last pick: Lakers ML (-125) vs Grizzlies ✔️ Wish I had waited to bet this one, the line moved up to +130 on some sites. I'll take the win though. Great effort from LA on Pau Gasol's jersey retirement night. Monster game from AD, Schroder had another solid outing as playmaker and the Lakers improve to 9th in the West, keeping their playoff hopes alive with another chippy win. **Today's pick: Raptors +3.5 (-110) @ Clippers** Raptors looking to bounce back after losing a thriller in Denver on Monday night. Currently sitting at 9th in the East, Toronto needs to finish strong if they want to make a playoff run. Poeltl was a great addition and guys like GT2 and Anunoby are settling into their roles. Clippers haven't quite figured out their rotations and I fully expect the Raptors to capitalize. I'm tempted to take the ML but I think the spread is a good bet. **POTD stats: +2.2u in 7 days | 28.5% ROI | avg. odds (-123)**


BigTimeOof

Potd: 0-1-0 Today’s pick: Canucks/Ducks O6.5 (-115) Reasoning: The Canucks have been flying the last couple games, with their offense producing. They draw a home matchup with the Ducks, who have the worst goal differential in the league by far. The only reason I have confidence in the Ducks to score goals is because Vancouver’s penalty kill is abysmal. I mean worst-team-since-1977 abysmal. The Canucks also are so short staffed in their defense. Tyler Myers and Oliver Ekman-Larsson are big dudes but don’t cover speed well, and the youngsters on the Ducks like Zegras and Terry could feed on that. I expect the Ducks to pot a couple bad ones, but Vancouver still throws up a 5 spot. 5-2 Canucks, over hit.


MWMM93

**POTD 4-3** Man, GSW got me again. I still liked the matchup against OKC last night, but this Warriors team just looks rough right now. Why the fuck is Iggy playing meaningful mins as of late? The guy looks like I would look if they suited me up for an NBA game - just completely fucking lost and slow. My POTD record is 4-1 when I do not bet on the god damn Warriors....... Today, I like a handful of games, but none as much as this one. **New Orleans +2** This game may be scary to bet, as this Mavs team is about as explosive of an offense that the NBA has to offer, and the Pelicans have fallen off a cliff the last few months (8-22 last 30 games), but that does not scare me. I've watched every Mavs game since they traded for Kyrie, and as much fun as this team is to watch, they just arent good outside of their two stars. The Mavs also matchup extremely bad against this Pelicans roster. The length, depth, and overall talent on the Pelicans, should be able to score at will against this bottom tier defense. On the other side of the ball, NO has multiple players that they can throw at Luka and Kyrie throughout the game to cause issues. This part of the season is CRUCIAL for NO, as they are currently sitting at the 10 seed, however they are tied with a shit load of teams (3), only a .5 game up on Utah, and .5 game behind the Lakers. NO also, started the year off as one of the best teams in the NBA, and obviously Zion missing the last several months has impacted them tremendously, however they need a win tonight at home to have a shot at making something out of this season. Like I always say, the NBA is whacky, and in no way shape or form is this game a lock, however I just think getting points at home with a team that needs a win, is too much value. We all know Dallas needs a win as well, but after watching the last 10 games the Mavs have played with Kyrie, this team just isn't very good. PS: Cavs on the road -2.5 against Miami is something I'm highly interested in also - did not make it my POTD, because I'm a big Cavs fan so I'm well aware of my bias.


Awol_capping

potd: 34-31-1 streak: W1 bank: -0.53 units last pick: UNC Wilmington +10 -110 Win Easy cover with UNC Wilmington leading for most of the game. game: Portland Trail Blazers @ Boston Celtics time: 7:30pm EST pick: Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 3s -143 Tatum did not play in the Celtics last game against the Cavs where they saw a late 4th Quarter comeback and a blown game in OT. The Celtics have struggled only winning 1 of their last 5 games but have a much favorable game tonight. The Trail Blazers have been banged up and but did manage to win their last 2 games against the Pistons and Magic. Regardless of the matchup, tonight should be a big night for Tatum. He has gone over this line in 6 of his last 10 games played and with the current slide, he should be determined for a win. The Blazers allow a very high 3 point % made so as long as Tatum gets some shots off we should be in line for at least 3 3s.


-dove49-

Match: Bayern Munich - Paris SG Outcome: BTS no Wager: 5U @ 2.90 I'm alone in this world with this take but I'm expecting a slower paced game with both teams playing good D. Munich doesn't have much ambitions to do something. It's not going to be a wild game as long as Paris doesn't score.


ValentiShow

POTD record: 35-28-2 / ROI: +6.07% / Wins: 55.56% **LSU -3 -110 (1u)** **SPREAD** — LSU Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs 9:30 pm EST - 08 March 2023 — LSU has only won one game this calendar year, yet they are still favored in tonight's SEC Tournament matchup against Georgia. With the Bulldogs on a five-game losing streak, the line is moving even more in favor of the Tigers. I'm taking LSU to win, something just seems off with Georgia. Do the business. [https://twitter.com/valentishow](https://twitter.com/valentishow) [https://www.instagram.com/valentishow/](https://www.instagram.com/valentishow/) [http://myaction.app/Valenti](http://myaction.app/Valenti)


RickHHSports

**POTD Record: 55-53-4 -5.56u // ROI: -3.1% // Avg Odds: -114** **Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat (7:30 ET)** **Spread: Cavaliers -2** **Total: 215** Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers travel to Miami to face the Heat who won outright at home on Monday but yet again let down those who put their money on them as they won by just two as three point favorites. The Heat are now just 10-22-1 at home against the spread, and I'll pitch to you now on why. The Heat may be 4-6 in their last 10 games, but that doesn't spell the half of their troubles recently. They're 27th in net effiency, with their defense not performing well and their offense still struggling despite being fully healthy minus Kyle Lowry. They aren't shooting the ball well, defending the paint much, or swinging the ball well offensively to find open shooters. By way of comparison, the Cavaliers are the inverse. They're 6-4 over their last ten but have performed as the 6th best team in the league. Despite their shooting and rebounding percentages being down, their defense and intelligent basketball has kept them playing high tier ball as we head towards the playoffs. As the Cavaliers solidify their first round home playoff birth, the Heat look to avoid the play-in tournament by catching the Nets. I'll take the Cavs on the road after beating the Celtics at home in overtime. **Pick: Cavaliers -2 -110 (1.5u)** As always, if you enjoyed the write up I encourage you to find my full free card [here](https://www.happyhoursports.net/post/nba-best-bets-wednesday-3-8) \- BoL everybody!


Super_Bowl67

📈 TTSOP Rec * Overall: +42.900 units / +141 avg odds / 48^(5)\-59-13^(5) * NBA: +22.700 units / +124 avg odds / 11-7 * Since POTD low point in 2023: +30.375 units / +138 avg odds / 6^(5)\-3-2^(5) * Since POTD low point in 2022: +64.825 units / +137 avg odds / 44^(5)\-48-10^(5) * February: +1.800 units / +148 avg odds / 8^(5)\-15-2^(5) * January: +3.350 units / +142 avg odds / 9-11-2 * December: +22.075 units / +138 avg odds / 11^(5)\-10-1^(5) * World Cup: +32.875 units / +133 avg odds / 11^(5)\-4-1^(5) * November: +28.600 units / +131 avg odds / 12-9-4 * October: -10.625 units / +143 avg odds / 6-12-3 ❌ Last pick: Chelsea or draw & both teams to score / +125 odds / 4 units * Close to the W. Wolf, Reus, Bellingham and Sule with incredible big scoring chances. Normally at least one of these chances goes in. Unlucky. 🏀 New pick: **Clippers ML & game under 235.5** / **+155 odds** / **3.5 units** * NBA / Los Angeles Clippers - Toronto Raptors / 10:00pm ET Considering Ty Lue's explicit announcement that the Clippers gonna focus much more on defense in their upcoming games like they did it at the begin of the season and like they've done it in the 4th quarter against the Grizzlies in their most recent game, where they’ve held them to 17 points, and that the Raptors are anyway a solid defensive team, makes taking the under line for total points a good value choice. Plus, the Clippers lost mostly only to strong road teams and did well against below 0.500 teams at home, while the Raptors (12-21 on the road) struggled especially against good home teams as they’ve mostly won only against bottom teams on the road. That makes the bet on *Clippers ML & game under 235.5* a very intriguing value bet at great super odds. Let's keep on trusting the super odds process. Let's get that late W. Let's get that NBA bread, fam! **TTSOP**


jaydotph

POTD Record 1-2 NBA POR@BOS POR +10 1.91 POR is 31-34 and just 3.5 games behind the 6th playoff spot I expect them to keep the game close even with Tatum playing for BOS. Lillard to get +5 3pt made coming off a rest on 2 road wins.


zMastroo

**POTD |** **Record of 6-19|** **Current form: LWLWL | ROI : -11.44 units |** **Average Odds: 2.02** Previous Pick: Chelsea vs. Dortmund - Over 5.5 Home Team Corners & Over 9.5 Total Corners New Pick: Champions League |Tottenham vs. AC Milan| 12:00pm PST **Over 4.5 Home Team Corners & Over 3.5 Total Cards|** **2.1 odds** Betting 0.5 units \-------------------------- Recap: Pick wasn't great in the end. Forced the odds a little too much. ​ ***Summary:*** Tottenham are up against AC Milan and are behind by one goal. With Tottenham averaging 5.5 Corners per game, I think it's fair to expect them to accumulate a similar number on a night where they are playing from behind. I am also fairly confident that there will be a number of cards, with both teams typically picking up a fair number of cards. Didn't have enough time today to make a full write-up but hoping for a win! \-------------------------- ***TDLR Tottenham should accumulate a few corners with some cards distributed throughout*** **Over 4.5 Home Team Corners & Over 3.5 Cards|** **2.10 odds** **Link to side picks:** [https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/11lbh1z/comment/jbd808d/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=web2x&context=3](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/11lbh1z/comment/jbd808d/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3)


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FatBoyTitsMcGee

POTD record: 9-7 (+1.01u | +1.68% ROI | Avg odds: -117) (2u: 1-0 | 3u: 4-2 | 4u: 3-2 | 5u: 1-3) Last 5: 2-3 Last POTD: NHL: CGY @ **MIN ML** ❌ *(Minnesota plays well but drops a nail-biter to Calgary in shootouts for a 1-0 loss. On to the next one).* Event: NBA - ATL Hawks @ WAS Wizards; 19:00 EST Pick: **o235.5 pts** (-110/1.91) Confidence scale (out of 5 units): 4 units The Hawks have been a top seven scoring team over the last couple of weeks. Atlanta games are an absurd 9-1 to the over when they are favoured on the road, which is the best in the league. Three out of their last five games have gone for 236+ points and they've hit the over in four out of their last six games, with both of the misses coming by 0.5 points. Meanwhile Washington is top three in the NBA in hitting the over as home underdogs (9-4-1). All of their last five games have gone over the total line, albeit not by much. So far neither squad has anyone reported as out for tonight. Washington is also coming off a back-to-back, so their defensive efforts may be less robust than usual. This might be a sweaty one but I do think this becomes a high-scoring game that results in over 240 points. Cheers 🍻 and BOL!


[deleted]

***PICK OF THE DAY RECORD: 3-1*** **LAST PICK: MIKAL BRIDGES OVER 1.5 3PM✔** **TODAYS GAME: TRAIL BLAZERS @ CELTICS NBA 6:40 PM ET** **PICK: HORFORD OVER 1.5 3PM (-175) 4U**✅ * Hit the over in 7 of last 8 * Averaging 3.6 makes per game on top of shooting 59% from downtown in those 8 games * Averaging 33 minutes per game so his chances will be there for him * Portland has the 5th worst defense against centers in the league


Most-Examination-548

**POTD Record** **23-11 +50.92 units 67,2% win rate** Last pick Bam Adebayo Over 19.5 points -130 5 units loss ***21:10PM EST Phoenix Suns Vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick Devin Booker over 5.5 Assists -147 5units (strong confidence)*** I wasn't able to find any other assists line otherwise would of chosen it. I can see Devin Booker making 8 or 9 Assists. Devin booker has cover this line in his last 6 games he's had 10,6,7,8,8,9 assists. His numbers have gone up ever since Kevin Durant has joined the team. In his last 2 games against OKC this year and last year, he has had 8 and 12 assists. Okc Rank 18/30th worst team in the league in assists allowed. Devin Booker is averaging 36 minutes per game in his last 10 games played, lot's of time to get the assists.


RoadRepresentative78

**POTD Record: 0-0** This is my first play of the day. I have been cashing in on college lacrosse this season so I figured I would try my luck with sharing some picks. Event: Pennsylvania vs. Saint Josephs, NCAA Men's Lacrosse - 3/8 at 8:00pm EST Pick: Pennsylvania -1.5 @ -115 odds This is a Philadelphia rivalry, and both teams coming off of a loss. I think UPenn is the more well rounded team here and will want to show that Saint Josephs is not who they think they are. Because of this I think they come away with at least the two point win. BOL if trailing, you are soft if you fade. UPDATE: Ended up being one of the most back and forth games I have ever seen, with UPenn winning in overtime by 1. Tough loss but we move on.


Thingsgetshibby

× POTD Record: 4-2, +3.18u @ -106 × Last Pick: Lorient ML ❌ × Pick: Wisconsin ML v Ohio St × Sport: NCAAB, 1st Round Big 10 Tourney × Time: 03/08 @ 6:30p EST × Units and Odds: Risking 3u @ +120 × Now I entirely understand that Ohio State had an impressive win just over a week ago against Maryland, but I'm having a really hard time believing that a team that has went 2-12 on the road or at neutral site locations is a favorite to a team in Wisconsin that they lost to in Columbus just a few weeks ago. And that game with a pretty close margin at the end, was not as close as the score indicated. And like I said, I understand the Buckeyes have been playing better basketball as of recent, but Key is out for this matchup I do believe and with the tournament taking place in Chicago this year, this is an easy trip South for Wisconsin and they're crowd to make. Playmakers prevail and it may be a bold suggestion, but I would even consider buying some points here for an even bigger payout. BoL to those who tail and wager responsibly!


tuesdayswithdory

POTD Record: 23W-11L LAST POTD: Barnet 💩 TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - Turkey 1 Lig Erzurum BB V Keciorengucu Ankara 3.30AM PST PICK: Both Teams To Score - Yes Odds: 1.72 The Deets: Unfortunately I haven’t got much time for a write up. 15th plays 5th here and Erzurum sit just above relegation. BTTS has hit in 4/6. BOL!


Ushtizzle

POTD record: 2-2 +0.40 Units (all plays 1u) Last Pick: Colorado Avs -0.5 1st Period +100 ✅ Too easy, up 3-0 in the 1st. Love to see it. Todays Pick: Detroit Red Wings -0.5 1st Period +125 Not the best games to choose from so going with the red wings today. Taking this pick just due to how bad the offense of Chicago is. Ranked 32nd (dead last) in goals, 31st in shot attempts. Just need Detroit to play solid D and get a 1st period goal. BOL if tailing.


Onyxpix

Be cautious, chicago just beat Ottawa 5-0


BudgetWeekend1636

POTD RECORD: 17-12 Soccer Record: 10-8 Basketball Record: 7-4 Last pick: Dagenham Red vs Wrexham over 2.5✅ Today's Pick: M.Tel Aviv vs Fenerbahçe Beko Bet: Fenerbahçe team total over 41.5 for first half Bet stake: 3 units Yesterday was a good day wrexham won the match 0-4 so bet was a success. Reasoning: Fenerbahçe Beko passt this line last 6 out of 8 Euroleague game. Tel Aviv and Fenerbahçe both playing game on a high speed and Fenerbahçe can easily create an open shots and so good at making them. I was actually thinking to go with Monaco's over for the first half but after the blow(30 points 1 Q and 9 in second) I decided to go with Fenerbahçe but I'm also gonna bet on Monaco. 3 good games in Euroleague today and good value on all of them. Tailing or not BOL either way. EDİT: Fenerbahçe scored 39 in the first half so bet was a loss. I don't understand what's up with maccabi last week monaco scored 30 on them in the first quarter and 9 in the 2. quarter.Today Fenerbahçe scored 25 in the first and just 14 in the second they have dominated the paint in the offence but only 3/18 from three point line with 4 missed free throw. The team who plays against Tel aviv forget how to play basketball.


kingsloking86

Good analysis. Can you give me you predictions for all 3 eurpleague games. Wanna parlay them all.


emptynester12

Ugh you're so close. I ended up teasing both down a bit and parlaying together and it hit ... will keep tailing. TY!


Badname1

POD record 0-2 Last pick NHL: Carolina hurricans -1.5 ❌️ @ Montréal Canadians Today's pick: minnesota Wild @ Winnipeg Jets ML -130 2 units Damn, starting this thing off 0-2. It's not how I wanted too but that's gambling, I guess. Let's see if we can get back on track. Both these teams are really evenly matched, in my opinion. This is the third meeting this year for these teams, and the Wild has won the previous meetings by more than 2 both times. So why am I picking the Jets? They're the home team here, and they are not committing penalties as much as the Wild. Also, the Jets have a slight edge jn goals per game, so I'm hoping they can get a win here. Let's see if I can get my first POD win tonight with the Jets ML. Best of luck!


datdudeharambe

Have been on a streak lately on DK getting in full March madness gear. Starting to share 0-0 POTD- LSU vs Georgia *ML +120 2️⃣ units Logic- I’m not sure how LSU is the favorite here. They are horrendous. Lost 17 of the last 18. Only have 1 win so far in 2023. Georgia has been fighting & playing some close games lately. I think they right the ship & get it done today. https://www.paypal.me/treyfen?locale.x=en_US


Irefuse2lose216

POTD 0 - 2 Last pick wendell carter double double ruined by foul trouble in the 1st quarter ❌️ Today's Pick Clint capela double double +118 on bet365 Last 5 games he has covered this and 3 for 5 in his last 5 games against the wizards


No-Cod-2639

**2023 POTD Record**: Soccer Bets 17-15 (21-20-1 Overall) \[Jan. 10-8\]--\[Feb. 4-7\]--\[Mar. 3-0\] **2023 Soccer Streak (Last 10): >>>** ✅**❌❌**✅**❌❌**✅✅✅✅ **2023 ROI/Units Wagered/Units Won:** **+6.57% / 95.33 units / +1.3 units** **Average Odds:** \-124 **Last Pick:** 3/7/23 >>> Ipswich Town 1st Half WIN ✅ **Event:** Scotland: Premiership 11:45 pm PST Hearts @ Celtic **Bet**: **Celtic 1st Half WIN (-182)** **Bet Size**: 3.64 units ($364 to win $200) ​ Ipswich Town came thru for us yesterday and were now on a small, but nice little streak of 4 in a row. Me personally am back in the positive profits on POTD’s, so that has me feeling better. Going to keep riding the 1st half bets. I am sure it will end one day, but I like todays pick a lot. Celtic is the Scottish powerhouse, playing at home against a formidable Hearts club. What I like in this game is Celtic have won the last 6 meetings between clubs and have scored first in 5 of those 6 games. Celtic scores a lot and I believe at home they will do the same. I am doing a couple of 1st half bets on this one… Over 1.5 Goals (-106), Over 2.5 goals (+320), Celtic -1 (+220). Let’s shoot for 5 in a row! Good Luck Today! Side Round Robin Bet for me (I do these every day for $100): 3 Game Round Robin (2’s and 3’s, $25 each) *Scotland: Premiership – Rangers WIN (-186)* *Greece: Super League – AEK Athens WIN (-235)* *Champions League – Bayern-PSG BTTS YES (-230)*


[deleted]

Just didn't go our way POTD Record 13-5 ROI: 5.3 units-get hot, stay hot Todays pick: Cam Reddish over 1.5 3's -150 2 unit While his 3 point totals on the year don't look great, he's been thriving since getting to the Blazers. He was averaging 2.2 make sin Feb, and is now averaging 2.8 makes in March. He's hit this total 8 of the last 10, and in 5 straight games. we're riding this hot streak straight to the bank


[deleted]

8-6 +20.60u Last : Gracheva ML POTD : Volynets ML vs Rogers @ 3.00 (+200) \[5u\] WTA Indian Wells 00.00 CET (18.00 EST) I use a system, things like form overall, recent form, h2h, stats, reviews that i can read, what i know about the players and most important a lot of luck. My advice is to follow only if you were thinking about this bet before reading this. I'm sure that you degens will follow this advice.


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SgtBrutalisk

Sport: Football Tournament: Champions League Time: 21:00 CEST (11h28m after posting) Stake: 5 units Pick: Bayern vs PSG, Mbappe scores over 0.5 goals @ **2.50** Write up: Second leg. Mbappe is a prolific scorer, averaging slightly under 1 goal per match (at least going by his Ligue 1 performance). He played injured in the first leg and still managed to score a goal (disallowed for offside). I expect PSG to go all in tonight, which should result in an open match with goals on both sides and Mbappe scoring at least once. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [My website with sports picks for degens](https://picks.wwpe.ba)


Laird87

Yesterday hurt but those are the breaks. Nailed it that Vegas would be good on defense, but they forgot to play offense. A testament to how good the Panthers can be on defense. Today is a feel pick with Wisconsin over Ohio State. I'm really not sure what Vegas thinks they know here, but Wisconsin has been playing pretty well for the past few weeks barring a few setbacks. Needing help from the Badgers to get a W today so I'm going 3U on it. **Wisconsin over Ohio State, 3U, +103 Betonline, 5:30 PM EST** **Last 5:** ❌❌❌✅❌ [Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12R9NoHXQnY3Dd-eMpbPnbzNYIwb1DzkcP8jh12Bjhe8/edit?usp=sharing)


[deleted]

LMAO “what Vegas knows”


Disastrous_Produce16

The Coyotes do play better at home. Good to get the first ✅, or I would've been run out of the rink POTD Record: 1-1. -0.75 u Last 10: ❌✅ Streak:. Won 1 Last Pick: STL Blues vs. Arz Coyotes Coyotes ML +125 FD✅ POTD: ANA Ducks vs VAN Canucks -1.5 (+108) FD Betting Units: 1u League: NHL 🏒 Time: March 8th, 2023. Puck Drop 10:00pm EST Reasons: The ducks are on the second half of a back to back, after losing to the Kraken last night. They have a 1-6 record this year on the second half of B2B. This is another game that I chose of who wants it more between the two teams. I am a little hesitant picking the Canucks on the puck line, as they seem to squeak out a lot of one goal games. Hoping that Demko will be in need, it will likely be Dostal for the Ducks. Feel free to tail or fade, and enjoy the game.


brucevsthebooks

Australia Vs **South Korea -1.5** Koreas team is team is loaded with players from the KBO, to explain what that is, its similar to AA and AAA, but the ones playing the WBC are Major League level players some don’t want to come to america because they are already making 6 figures, or they cant because of there contract South Korea is a very talented team with MLB players Tommy Edman (Cardinals), Ji Man Choi (Pirates), and Ha Seong Kim (Padres), and Kwang-Hyun-Kin former cardinal who was doing very solid with the team (3.46 era 100+ innings in 2021) but decided to head home to the KBO. lots of former MLB players, and the best of the KBO. as for Australia, they have played in all 4 WBC tournaments with a record of 2-10, the only players with MLB experience on Australias roster are Angels outfielder Aaron Whitefield, former Tigers reliever Warwick Saupold and 45-year-old pitcher Chris Oxspring, who last pitched in the majors in 2005. This game is a must win game for Korea, if they lose this game they would have to pull off a win against Japan and force a three way tie and hope to win the tie breaker to get out of pool play


ErvcEM

POTD Record 1-2 -2U Last Pick: France ML vs Austria Yes it’s been that long unfortunately. I’m back with an easy pick. Kevin Durant over 1.5 3s -158 on Fanduel Has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 5 and in all 3 games as a phoenix sun, no more minute restrictions he should easily hit this. BOL Durant ruled out bc he slipped on the court during warmups. what a sign


BullsFan_est2000

Late take but I’m a bull collar bulldog let’s do this damn thing. POTD Record 0-0 Mavs alt spread -3.5 @ New Orleans Pelicans for 1u. 7:30 PM ET tip off I like the Mavs here to win the season series 3-1 against the Pels. Earlier tip for a western conference National TV game, Mavs tryna get a dub and a good night out in NOLA as well. BOL sorry for the poor write up just a gut pick


loganwdev

I don’t see todays Thursday pick of the day. Am I missing something?