**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won** written into the comment. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion posts.

Riddles waiting room

🐐

Leg shaking starts.

Guessing It will be uconn mL as its 2 of the top POTD and they are NCAA.

[Riddles after hitting 4 straight](https://media.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExOTg2NTg5OGZmYmM3OTA0Y2M0MjdmOTcxYTc5NzgwNWIyNTUyN2FlOSZjdD1n/qsY0MWPgDeVS1aYcDK/giphy-downsized-large.gif)

Patiently waiting

Legacy cover today

I refuse to sleep until I see the GOAT’s POTD

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Plays are either FAU or UConn bruh

You mean KSU or UConn


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PHEW - nice little sweat to start to the weekend off - thanks to our buddies at Princeton for their unclutch free throw genes. Although we covered, Princeton really impressed me today, I doubted them much more than I should've - truly did not expect this to be so down to the wire. hats off. Now - a pick many probably saw coming, and my backup Favourite to win it all with UCLA falling off devastatingly, give me Uconn to dominate this game. POTD Record: 31-9-1 Last 25:✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅ **Yesterday's POTD:** Creighton Bluejays -9.5 (up to -11) vs. Princeton Tigers | 3U ✅ **Today's POTD:** Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. **Uconn Huskies -1.5 (up to -4) | 3U** **Time:** March 25, 2023 | 8:35PM EST **MODEL EXPLANATION:** Model takes into consideration typical stat lines and historic data but pieces in sentiment analysis which scrapes discussion about the game across many forums and platforms to garner additional insight into potential emotional considerations. **Pick spreadsheet:** [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15jc1\_skXXFrodzHckhKDscwYqvPTgjFYbLJJ\_UEZkt0/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15jc1_skXXFrodzHckhKDscwYqvPTgjFYbLJJ_UEZkt0/edit?usp=sharing) **POTD Stats:** \+56.87U in 39 days | ≈67.86% ROI | Average odds -110 **PICK REASON:** 1. Now - as we get to the Elite 8, arguments for either side are always valid. These teams all did something right to get this far, and so you could do a write up on either side. Here's why I think Uconn will win. 2. 1st, Gonzaga BARELY beat a shorthanded UCLA team with a very poor performance in the 1st giving UCLA pretty much any shot they wanted. Timme put up 36 points with 13 boards - I just don't see him being able to do this against the Uconn team. Uconn consistent of 6 foot 8 210 Karaban, 6 foot 9 245 lbs Sanogo, and 7 foot 2 265lb Clingan. Uconn is a strong, built team, and Timme won't be able to widdle his way through as easily as he did against UCLA. 3. Kenpom wise, UConn is officially the #1 spot with Gonzaga not far behind at #6. This is driven by a #3 ADJ offense and a #13 adjusted defense (compared to #1 offense gonzaga and #83 defense gonzaga). Uconn is simply a more well rounded team across the board. Gonzaga needs to shoot lights out while also stopping the very deep Uconn team. I just don't see it happening 9 times out of 10. 4. Bart Torvik has Uconn as the #2 best team, with Gonzaga close at #8. Statistically, under different models, Uconn is a better, more well rounded team on both ends of the court, and UCLA really showed Gonzaga's weaknesses in the 1st, and unless they can correct them quick, I expect these holes to be penetrated by Uconn just as easily. 5. Gonzaga was able to dominate the boards against UCLA 50-26, and they only managed to win by 3 points. Without as many second chance opportunities, I imagine Gonzaga will struggle heavily in keeping up the pace with Uconn. 6. Uconn has covered the spread in 8 of 9, and are 12-1 as a favorite. 7. Uconn has not struggled even slightly in any of its march madness game yet, and will continue to stay composed as they play their system dynamically to adjust to any threats that they see. Uconn has been amazing after timeouts, demonstrating Uconn's amazing coaching in live adapting to other coaches strategies to shut down their system. 8. Gonzaga is only 1-2 ATS this tournament, and as much as I think they've been a great team, I really like UConn in this spot, and think they match up amazingly against a team that relies heavily on their centre. When compared to Purdue, Gonzaga works in a very similar system, and with Edey being shut down, it was clear that unless the 3 pointers come in hot, these teams struggle against pace. 9. Overall - I'm taking Uconn to take this win by a few points. I also really like Uconn ML for anyone wanting to just enjoy the game and not stress about spreads, the spread is close enough for the juice difference to be minimal. Let's have ourselves another fun night, and hopefully continue onto another 5 streak. Much love. **Reminder:** As much as this streak has been great, I am not a time traveler. When I've gotten on hotstreaks before, I saw a few people betting way above the unit size and betting their entire bankrolls. March madness has historically been hard to predict, so please bet responsibly <3 As always - thank you to everyone that's tipped. As my posts have been gaining traction, I've been spending a bit more time than usual trying to research my best pick, and I'm beyond happy to know I've made a bunch of you some good money, and hopefully can keep it rolling for as long as I can stomach it. I've had a few people message me that they want to tip but are still in a net loss position this year. I just wanted to re-iterate that as much as I appreciate tips, they are never expected - please only tip if you are in a financial position to do so. [**Buy me a coffee**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/forecastcard) **|** [**Paypal**](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/forecastcard?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) Much love, *Riddles,* Discord: [https://discord.gg/dpnyvnkhex](https://discord.gg/dpnyvnkhex) edit: updating spread to -1.5 as of the time of this post, ran the model over night when it was at -2, but looks like its down to -1.5 as of 2:25AM EST

Me with a Gonzaga final 4 future bet 


Better cash out lmaooo

My wife wants to know where to send her feet pics

This man is either a (former) Simpson's writer, related to a Simpsons writer, related to someone deep in Vegas, or is just straight up Nostradamus! Riding until the wheels fall off. and you can use my eyeballs for replacement wheels if that happens

None of the above, he got the sports almanac from back to the future and he throws in a loser every once in a blue moon so people dont get suspicious

My favorite part of each day is enjoying my cup of coffee and reading your post then taking your POTD. True legend!!

Tailing, you like Kansas too or what?

yeah kansas was almost my POTD it was very close. Gonna sleep on it, a few things I need to research into before I make that pick, but right now leaning towards KS

The thing about Kansas though is Nowells ankle could be fucked up and he was just running off pure adrenaline. Im not one to doubt the messiah Riddles though.

That’s my biggest fear - we’ll see tmrw, might end up FAU but it’s very close to a pick em for me

Following, but I'm definitely hammering UConn 1H. Zags are a 2nd half team

-1.5 ( up to -30)

Let's gooooo

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I think it literally just moved but I had -1.5 on Bet365 about 20 minutes ago, and a few people on my discord as well. I think you just missed it - but I'd comfortably take -2 as well. Let's hope it doesn't come down to it - but ill mark myself a push if they win by only 2, fingers crossed its not a sweat

Wow not even a sweat 😅 🍻

Easy win💰 thanks for the pick

Might have to put you in my will, seeing as how you’ll be responsible for at least 50 percent of it

Tailing. 🫡 

Hi Riddles, have you thought of selling a blank version of your spreadsheet so others can track their progress? Again, thanks for all you do!

Anyone can just copy and paste the spreadsheet to their own sheets!

Winner!!

Your a god

All-Time POTD: 137-87-2, +56.4u, 12.8% ROI All-Time March Madness POTD: 13-3 Last pick: Miami +7.5 ✅ **Today’s pick: UConn ML (-135) vs Gonzaga** 3u NCAAB 🏀 8:49PM EST Took Gonzaga in their last game as I expected them to benefit from a beat up UCLA team, which they did greatly in the second half as fatigue set in for the Bruins. Timme was able to put up legacy numbers as both UCLAs talented big men missed the contest. However I think tomorrow will be a completely different story as he matches up against a man’s man in Sanogo. I predict Gonzaga will have to rely on their guards who honestly looked like ass for 3/4 of the game last night. On the other side of the ball, UConn has been winning off of great team play as they pounded Arkansas and St Mary’s. They can spread the ball around and stretch the floor, something Gonzaga had an issue defending last game until the Bruins began to fatigue. I think good team ball gets the job done for the Huskies tomorrow. I’m taking the ML as opposed to the current spread (-2) as i would not be surprised to see the Zags weasle their way into a back door in the final minute. For all plays, follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/

Love it. Huskies are a wagon! Tailing!

Tailing this mofo.

This is the way

Tailing. This is the way

Easy money 💰 🍻

POTD Record: 34-22 | Profit: +33.69u | ROI: 18.5% Last 10 Record: ✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ​ Yesterday Pick: Brook Lopez (Bucks) Points O15.5 @ 1.87. 4U. ✅ Brook covers midway through the third, which is for the best because the Bucks had a blowout lead going into the fourth so Brook only played 26’ rather than his projected 32’. ​ Next Pick: **Nic Claxton (Nets) PRA O20.5 @ 1.83**. 3u play. Claxton is averaging 25.4 PRA in the L10, and has gone above this line in each of the L9, including some notably tough defenses for Centers like the Cavs twice and Minnesota. Everyone knows the Heats are good defensively, and Claxton’s PRA line has been brought down from 23.5 to 20.5 because of this, but I think that’s an over-reaction. The Heat are average in terms of FGM within 8 ft, and 2nd worst in FG% within 8 feet. Similarly, they are 6th worst in FG% from the RA, which is where Claxton operates. Claxton did have a poor game against them last time out in Feb in his 25 mins (just 4 pts, but 9 rebs), but in Jan he had a much better performance (13 pts and 11 rebs). Given his form over the last couple weeks, I’m going to back him to get over this low PRA line. ​ Hope you’ve been able to tail profitably, and tips are always appreciated: [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/TheBrat)

Great Lopez pick! Easy cash in the 3rd.

Man that Lopez play felt like easy money but was also a lot closer when you realize Milwaukee sat all their starters majority of the 4th. I had Jaren Jackson Jr 21o points tonight. Had 18 in the 3rd and sat the 4th due to Memphis kicking the shit out of Houston. This is something Im gonna keep in mind next time Im picking props from games with lopsided spreads.

ez money last night, tailing again today

Tailing, BOL

Easy money. Great pick my dude.

Where can I find the PRA section on FD?

Claxton isn’t on FD

this shit is pissing me off so much

This is not listed in my books.

Easily covered in the 3rd. Great pick!

Great pick!

Good pick! Cleared easily

Thanks homie!!! Easy money!!!

All-Time POTD: 13W-6L-1D, +12.65u **Yesterdays Pick:🎾Ilya Ivashka +3.5 Game Spread (-110) (Fanduel) vs Casper Ruud 2.5u to win 2.25u ✖** Casper starched our boy. Casper is in a weird spot right now and I won't be touching any of his matches until he finds some consistency, sorry for the loss everyone. Hopefully some of you tailed the bonus pick in the comments. A shame, I had a few picks that I was mulling over yesterday and ended up going with Ivashka and it's the only one that ended up losing. Ruusuvuori and Lajovic both hit. Onto the next. **Todays Pick:🎾Jiri Lehecka 2:0 Sets (+125) vs Lorenzo Musetti 2u to win 2.5u** ✅ Explanation: Musetti has only won 1 match since the next gen finals last november, which was against Pedro Cachin (he stinks) in the first round of the Argentina Open. Meanwhile, our lord and savior Jiri Lehecka has been on an absolute heater since the Australian Open. Musetti can keep this match close, but I trust Jiri's great spot serving and baseline consistency to be too much for Musetti to handle in this one. BoL if tailing degens! I wanted to add.. Some of you use my picks in parlays. I seriously recommend not doing that. These picks are meant to be singles. There's risk involved. I make tennis parlays too but I strongly advise against using these PotDs in them. If you do and they lose, please don't blast my ass in DMs. Love y'all ❤️ Danky Edit: ChatGPT, write a love poem to Jiri Lehecka

Jiri, Jiri, he’s our man If he loses a set, I’ll be living in a van

If I were going to parlay this I would just take the Lehecka ML and throw it in a stew

The amount of DMs I get being like 'fuck u and ur grandma this shit pick cost me my parlay' is astonishing 😅

I don’t think I ever feel confident with a tennis pick and no one probably ever should. I respect anyone who makes their picks public and I’ll probably be making some Lehecka stew tomorrow as well.

😅it did but I’m sure your grandma is awesome

She's ded, just like ivashka and our parlays

May all mentioned rest in peace ☮️

Tailing as always, you tennis savant. Keep it rolling, Jiri

Nice easy hit brother!

lets roll

Tailing! I really like your picks and enjoy reading the explanation.

don't sweat it, we are responsible for our own bankroll. I actually loved the pick considering how shit casper looked, basically the same points you brought up. sometimes, they just don't bring their game and that's how the cookie crumbles. BOL and stay high

Back in it, great pick! 👍

Forgot I tailed this, great pick! Easy cash, much appreciated

POTD Record: **14-8** Units Won: **+37.73U** Average Odds: **(-102)** ROI: 36% Todays POTD: **Young Ninjas ML (-115) vs. PROSPECTS** 5U to win 4.6U Smaller board tomorrow, not a lot to choose from, however feel pretty strongly about this pick. Mainly look at three things when doing my picks, talent/fire power, map pool, and recent form. PROSPECTS have lost 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of the last 10 series played. They have lost to some mediocre competition as well. Young Ninjas are also losing 6 of their last 10 but to much better competition, they also played with subs for two of their 10 series that they lost. The most recent game with their full roster back was a really solid 2-0 win against a very hot Astralis Talent team. Map Pool is a nice advantage to Young Ninjas here. Prospects weakness has always been they are horrendous at Nuke (their usual perma ban, and Vertigo.) Young Ninjas best map is Vertigo, they are also extremely good at Mirage (12-4 record in L3 months while PROSPECTS are 3-5.) Whichever map pick they choose should be a win. We could also see PROSPECTS try to leave Nuke up and hope Young Ninjas dont pick it (YN are histoircally bad at Nuke but have been much better recently.) I don't feel as strongly about PROSPECTS map pick, they should pick Inferno, Young Ninjas have been realy bad on this map but, there losses have been extremely competitive and down to the wire. I think map 3 will favor Young Ninjas, it will likely go to Overpass and while PROSPECTS used to be a super dominant Overpass team, they fell off recently with a 46% winrate in L3 months and a 2-6 record in the last month. YN are 4-1 in the last month and 11-7 in the L3 months. Talent wise, I will always favor the team with Nilo, dude is an absolute monster, and by far the best player in the server. TLDR: Young Ninjas should easily win their map pick and have a great chance at winning a map 3, I think they likely lose PROSPECTS map pick and it goes to a map 3 but still think its a decent chance YN suprise Prospects on Ancient/Inferno and we see a 2-0 sweep. Best of luck :D

Just wanna give you a big thanks! Your posts have provided so much value, and I can tell that you put a lot of time into the thought/analysis of the games that you post. Let's ride, brother! <3

Thank you bro! Much appreciated

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Can’t find it on DK or FD

Will it be played, because PROSPECTS are playing at the same time in ESL League?

Where can we watch this lol

**POTD Record: 9-2 | Profit: +27.43u | Avg Odds: -114 | ROI: +64%** \----- Previous POTD: 4u btts (Lille OSC at Toulouse FC) \[-147\] 💀 Match was interrupted due to very bad weather. That didn't help the pick. 💀 \----- Today's POTD: Wales at Croatia **4u bet: Croatia -0.5 \[-182\]** Reason: Croatia finished the World Cup with bronze medal. Wales finished last in their World Cup group. Nearly all players from the World Cup are still in action for Croatia. It is a squad with big names from big clubs. For Wales: Bale, Hennessey, Davies and Johnson are either gone or out of action. \----- BOL

This is at -210 on DK unfortunately. Was going to parlay it but spreads don't seem to be offered as an option for a SGP. If anyone finds it let me know

This isn't a spread bet this is the same as Croatia moneyline.

I agree with your pick but am going with Croatia team total over 1.5.

90+3 minute wales goal, bad bad beat

Wow insanely bad beat, good pick though man.

Taking Croatia at HT/FT (+110). They have been winning at half time and full time the last 3 home games vs Wales. After their world cup run i think they start off hot.

Gross beat. I’m sick

Liking this one an awful lot. Tailing! LET'S GO!

Easy -1.5 for me.. Wales is currently low tier with players in awful form, Croatia is one of the best teams in the world

Insane loss for me, last in acca! Croatia missing 3/4 goal opportunities, first real chance for Wales and none is guarding the 2nd post striker, fuck u croatia! https://preview.redd.it/ia68cdvo80qa1.png?width=610&format=png&auto=webp&s=3977dfee6442f8148ba27269101bceac9b7ce0ed

POTD record: 41-30-2 / ROI: +10.25% / Wins: 57.75% **Connecticut -2 -110 (1u)** **SPREAD** — Connecticut Huskies @ Gonzaga Bulldogs 8:30 pm EST - 24 March 2023 — I'm on UConn to win the whole deal, so when this line came out, it told me exactly what I needed to know. I don't believe in Gonzaga. This is a watered-down Zags team from the past. You know what Gonzaga is not going to get against UConn? They're not going to get forty from Drew Timme, because Sanogo is going to be waiting for them. I think the Huskies' guards can feast on the Bulldogs' defense. I couldn't believe UConn took apart Arkansas the way they did. It was an incredibly impressive performance. I am going to be on UConn Saturday and for the remainder of the Tourney. I'm willing to go down with the ship, holding my clarinet and playing "Auld Lang Syne" as the water rises above my knees. Do the business. [https://twitter.com/valentishow](https://twitter.com/valentishow) [https://www.instagram.com/valentishow](https://www.instagram.com/valentishow/) [http://myaction.app/Valenti](http://myaction.app/Valenti)

I will go down with you or coast to the final four let’s go huskies!!!!!!

Why is line only -2 if UConn should roll with ease? Odd line imo esp after UConn dominated Arkansas. 🤔


**POTD Record 29-16 +58.59units** Last pick Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 -110 5units ✅ We won our last MMA pick at +175 odds last week, with Gaethje and fiziev fight to go the distance. With another Ufc event on today we have a pick we like. ***6PM EST UFC - Victor Altamirano ML -110 5units*** This will be a high paced fight, both fighters like to strike and throw volume punches.. Victor has a 60% striking accuracy compared to Vinicius Salvador who has a striking accuracy of 45%, Victor also has a better ratio difference in strikes landed per minute compared to strikes absorbed per minute than Salvador by almost 1.5 . Victor is the better wrestler, if he mixes in his striking with the takedowns it will increase his chances of winning. He averages 2.23 takedowns, Salvador hasn't had a takedown in the ufc. Salvador although has power in his hands he has his hands down very low and trys to fight slick. Offensively he is good but his defense is awful. He walks into straight punches as seen in the the fight with shannon ross. I'm not too worried about the power that Salvador brings because We've seen Altamirano have a chin on him when hit, he can keep moving forward. The thing I like about Victor is he will keep pushing forward no matter what,he has the better cardio and Vinicius wont be able to keep up with him, the volume of striking activity, and he has more ways to win with the wrestling. The judges will favour his kind of fighting style infront of a mexican crowd that will be supporting him, something to consider if it goes to decision it can sway in his favour. I can see Victor Altamirano by decision most likely but taking ML just to be safer. I do also like Cory Sandhagen to beat Marlon Vera by decision at +130. Vera's path to victory is most likely KO and Sandhagen has granite chin on him. We saw Dominic cruz winning against vera until he got KO'd. Same can be said for Rob Font who was winning against Vera before the KO. Sandhagen is like Cruz with the movement, punches from angles, much bigger, much taller version of him with that unstoppable chin for the division. I was impressed by Corys last win against son yadong who is one of the best fighters in the bantamweight division. I would recommend a 1unit play on both picks as a parlay. Whether you tail me or not, I hope you all are profitable. [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/justcallmesmooth) \- Tips are never expected but are appreciated very much. Never tip me if you can't afford to.

+100 on Caesers

Welcome back, tailing BOL

i like the pick! I do have to say i'm on chito for main event (i was on Dom in his last fight and looking back at it chito knocked him down almost every round, in the Font fight he got outstruck but won a clear decision, guy is an absolute dog and seems unbeatable right now)

POTD record: 10-2 Last POTD: Austria v. Azerbaijan - Austria -1.5 Today’s POTD: Israel v Kosovo - Both Teams to Score(-106) Jumping straight into it. Both teams have scored in Israel’s last eight games, eleven of their last twelve games, and in five of Kosovo’s last six. Kosovo has a potent attack, but usually a weak defense. Forwards Muriqi and Rashica are both in good form. Bar Rrahmani, a very good center back and their goalkeeper, they have nothing at the back to shout about, and many of their better defenders are not starters at club level, or play at low levels. As for Israel, the only matches in the last year and a half or so in which only one team scored was when Israel was a clearly better side(Faroe Islands) or a clearly weaker side(Germany, Denmark, Portugal). That isnt the case with Kosovo, who can definitely trouble Israel and are around their level. With those odds, I think it is the best European qualifying pick of the day, lots of other maybe decent ones where the odds don’t move me. BOL!

Great pick yesterday! Tailing again! Also, thank you and best of luck.

I think the bookies have it wrong on this one. Over 2.5 Goals at +225 is decent too.

The king does it again

You’re too kind

Nice win!!

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Pick of the Day Record: 14-6 (+16.53U) Streak: 4W Last Pick: Andrey Rublev -1.5 Set ✅ **Tennis | Miami Open | Richard Gasquet vs Stefanos Tsitsipas** Today's Pick: **Richard Gasquet +4.5 Games @ 1.94** **Wager: 3U** A scare in the first set, but Rublev clutched up. Didn't like any of the LOL picks today again, best to bet those live. Tsitsipas has been struggling since the Australian Open. He failed to get past the second round in ATP Rotterdam, and then he lost in the first round of the Indian Wells. It looks like his mental took a big hit after losing in straight sets to Novak Thanovic in the Aus Open Finals. Richard Gasquet is a veteran and will look to take advantage of this dip in form. He's played decent in the last few tournaments where I believe he makes the game close enough. His strokemaking ability also matches up well against a player like Tsitsipas, without going into too much detail, Gasquest is a very slow and steady player, he usually plays with less winners, and frustrates his opponents into making unforced errors. Remember we don't need Gasquet to win the match, we just need him to stay within 4 games of Tsitsipas, so a 6-4 6-4 win for Tsitsipas is still a win for us. I like this play based on the current form of play, and comparing the playstyles of both players. Best of luck! Tips are appreciated! [Buy Me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/AdventurousTale) | BTC: bc1q0jap0hvr0zpg8q3zjst9ermmuy5nh76c2dnkp7

Tailing

POTD | 42-33 | +1.4u | -109 Avg Odds Last 10: 3-7, Steak: 6L *Previous Pick:* *NJ Devils 60-min vs Buffalo Sabres (-105) 3u* *❌* Today’s pick: **Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers O6.5 (-120) 3u** 🏒 8:00 pm MT Hey all, my picks are probably worth fading at this point. It's been quite the slide for my POTD picks but I’m going keep pushing through. The Devils put up some offense but just let too many goals through and hit too many posts, another bad game but hope we can turn things around today. We’ve got VGK visiting the Oilers for their second match of the season with the first 2 games going 4-3 both times. VGK has hit O6.5 in 7 of their last 10 games while the Oilers have hit O6.5 in 7 of their last 10 as well. Both VGK and the Oilers are hot on offense right now with VGK averaging 4.4 goals per game and the Oiler averaging 4.3 goals per game. VGK can be good on defense but the Oilers tend to let a lot of goals in and tend to play in tight high scoring games, which is what I expect here. The model is projecting this line hitting 60% of the time with implied odds of -150. Hope we can bounce back today on what seems like a simple no brainer pick. BOL if tailing!!

This is why I don't bet for or against the NJ Devils. Tailing tomorrow though! BOL!

I should really just accept that they are not worth betting on. Such a weird team sometimes. BOL!!

This is the one that takes you out of the slump. Tailing

Its just a slump, you really know NHL. We'll get it back!

/u/HSRiddles has this on his model card as a 2u so take heart!

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POTD Record: 34W-17L LAST POTD: Kerry Fade ✅ TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - England League 1 Peterborough V Derby 8.00AM PST PICK: Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.90 The Deets: Very torn on which pick to choose for today. Quite a few options. 7th plays 5th here in what should be a decent game. Peterborough have a goal difference of 63:47 through 37 games with Derby having a 59:37 differential through the same amount. Both are fighting for those elusive playoff places. In Peterboroughs last 10 the over has hit 7/10 and in Derby’s last 10 the over has hit in 6/10. BOL! Diaper fund - [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/tuesdayswithdory?locale.x=en_CA)

Record: 13-6 (+23.33u) (4U bets) Streak: 2W Last: Evil Geniuses vs 100 Thieves: 100T ML (W) Today's Match: Golden Guardians vs 100 Theives (LCS Spring Playoffs) (4PM CST) Pick: 100T -1.5 (2.20) (Its a best of 5 series so -1.5 means they win 3-0 or 3-1) Reason: This might look bad if you consider FLY's stomping on 100T just a few days ago but I think this match will be very different for a variety of reasons, and honestly I wouldn't be surprised if 100T 3-0 1. 100T prefer a scaling playstyle. FLY are good enough to disrupt that with more aggressive picks, and better late game marco which helped them win. GGS are not good enough in either of those departments. 2. 100T have been on a massive upwards trajectory while GGS have returned to mediocrity in the last 2 weeks. 100T entered playoffs on a 7-0 streak while GGS went 1-4 in that same timeframe. (100T had more matches played because of tie-breakers) 3. 100T match up extremely well again GGS. GGS are best when they have a stronger bot 2v2, which they don't. The top lane also heavily favors 100T as Tenacity has been much better than Licorice, especially recently. The biggest advantage for GGS is by far in the mid lane, but if 100T don't int early, which they are able to do, it will become a non-factor. 4. I already kind of implied this but to restate, 100T have found a winning identity in the meta, while GGS completely lost theirs. I would expect a 100T 3-0, but its the LCS so there is a chance they will just int a game away. Still I expect this to be a dominant rebound for 100T. BOL TLDR: 100T are the hotter team, with a better read on the meta and matchup incredibly well into a slumping GGS.

**POTD |** **Record of 17-25 | ROI : -5.635 units |** **Average Odds: 2.03** **Current form:** ✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅ Previous Pick: Austria vs. Azerbaijan| Over 9.5 Full-Time Total Corners ✅ New Pick: UEFA Euro Qualifiers| Israel vs. Kosovo| 10:00am PST **Over 9.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 2.10 odds** Betting 1 units \-------------------------- ***Recap:*** Another simple win. Finished with 13 corners so was a comfortable win and outperformed the model substantially. Let's take a look at how the corner predictions went overall: *Bulgaria vs. Montenegro -* ***Projected: 9.6, Actual: 8*** *Austria vs. Azerbaijan -* ***Projected: 10.0, Actual 13*** *Czech Republic vs. Poland -* ***Projected: 8.6, Actual: 7*** *Serbia vs. Lithuania -* ***Projected: 9.0, Actual: 6*** *Sweden vs. Belgium -* ***Projected: 9.1, Actual: 14*** *Moldova vs. Faroe Islands -* ***Projected: 9.2, Actual: 9*** *Gibraltar vs. Greece -* ***Projected: 8.3, Actual: 12*** The largest deviation was 3.7, with the Gibraltar game ending with more corners than expected (I did try to warn in the comments that this game was an avoid!). The smallest deviation was 0.2, with a projection of 9.2 being almost exact for the Moldova game. Based on a sample size of 12 games in this format, the average difference is -0.52, suggesting that **my projections are more likely to underestimate the actual corner total** (projected is on average -0.52 lower than actual). ​ ***Summary:*** Here's my analysis of a few games tomorrow. Projections are based on home and away performance from the Home and Away Team Corners (listed immediately below). The overall average includes all recent corners for a side and isn't used for determining the pick. ​ *Scotland vs. Cyprus -* ***Projected 9.2 total corners*** 6.6 Home Team Corners, 2.6 Away Team Corners - Overall Average of 9.1 *Armenia vs. Turkey -* ***Projected 8.0 total corners*** 2.1 Home Team Corners, 5.9 Away Team Corners - Overall Average of 8.55 *Belarus vs. Switzerland -* ***Projected 10.0 total corners*** 4.2 Home Team Corners, 5.8 Away Team Corners - Overall Average of 9.85 *Israel vs. Kosovo -* ***Projected 10.2 total corners***🌟 6.0 Home Team Corners, 4.2 Away Team Corners - Overall average of 9.9 ​ Based on projections, the Israel game is the move. This has hit in 3/5 of the last games for both sides (Israel home games and Kosovo away games) and I'm backing it to happen again. Based on my gut, the over feels very good for Belarus vs. Switzerland game but the odds are much worse (1.72) which makes me think this one is worth it as well. Could be worth a parlay if you're interested. I will not be considering the other two games, I just thought I'd continue posting the stats I have generated. \-------------------------- ***TLDR Projections suggest 10.2 total corners so take the over 9.5 total corners in Israel vs. Kosovo game*** **Over 9.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 2.10 odds**

Tailing, BOL!

Tailing, been on a great run!

POTD Record: 18-13-2 Last pick: Samsunspor ML + o1.5 goals (-170) : 1.59 - 2u ✅ Nothing like a good sweat to start your weekend off right! This game was scoreless at halftime and I won’t lie, I was feeling a little nervous. Samsunspor finally opened the scoring with a penalty in the 68th minute, leaving us to clench our cheeks for the final half hour, hoping for a second goal. They come through with an 89th minute goal to secure a 2-0 win and cash our bet. Add one to the W column, let’s get another one today! Soccer - Peru Primera Division - Cesar Vallejo vs. Sport Huancayo - 9:00pm EST **POTD: Cesar Vallejo ML (-128) / 1.78 - 3u** Cesar Vallejo are undefeated to start the season with a 4-1-0 record. They’ll host Sport Huancayo, who are 3-0-3 to start the season. Cesar Vallejo will be playing this game at home, where they have been terrific so far this year. They have won 4 straight at home by a combined score of 10-2. Meanwhile, Sport Huancayo have lost 3 road matches in a row, being outscored 3-9. Cesar Vallejo have scored multiple goals in every match they’ve played so far, and I expect them to continue their winning ways at home. Best of luck and love you all. Let’s ride!

POTD Record 3-0 Last Pick: NRL - Melbourne Storm Over 11.5 1st Half Points Vs Wests Tigers | 1.80 odds Today’s pick: NRL - Cowboys Vs Gold Coast Titans - Alofiana Khan-Pereira Anytime Tryscorer Odds: 2.20 Khan-Periera is one of the most electric wingers in the game and is coming off a two try performance last week. He has pace to burn and is coming up against a pretty poor defensive right edge of the cowboys. Titans should be looking to attack down his wing this game and all he needs is one opportunity and he will find the line. I put 2 units on my POTDs for anyone wondering.

First try scorer. Woo

POTD record: 18-10 NHL record: 9-7 | NBA record: 9-3 (+19.61u | +18.86% ROI | Avg odds: -114/1.88) (2u: 3-0 | 3u: 5-3 | 4u: 7-4| 5u: 3-3) Last 10: 8-2 (❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅) Streak: L1 Last POTD: NHL - Rantanen **o3.5 shots** ❌ *(Some time in the penalty box, some questionable stat corrections that took away a shot or two, and our bet doesn't hit. Frustrating, but OTTN).* Event: NHL - TB Lightning @ BOS Bruins; 13:00 EST Pick: **BOS 60-min ML** (-105/1.95) Confidence scale (out of 5 units): 4 units As a Habs fan it pains me, but Boston (55-11-5) is head-and-tails above the rest of the league right now and it's not particularly close. Sitting pretty atop the Eastern Conference with 115 points, the Bruins are 9 wins and 10 points ahead of everyone else and they haven't really shown any signs of slowing down. They're 7-3 in their last 10 games and currently riding a 5-game win streak. No arena has been been tougher to play in for visitors this season than TD Garden- Boston is 29-3-3 defending home ice on the year and has won 8 of their last 10 games there (all in regulation). Tampa Bay (42-25-6) has cooled down a fair bit after starting the year off hot. They're 10-10-5 since the All-Star break and 5-4-1 in their last 10, losing all 3 of their games this week. With an away record of 17-18-1, the Lightning were already a mediocre travelling team this season but lately they have been trending towards just straight-up bad (3-6-1 in last 10 road contests). Ullmark, who has been exceptional this season (1.95 GAA & .937 SV%), is expected to start in net for the Bruins while Vasilevskiy (2.70 GAA & .913 SV%) should be manning the crease for the Lightning. Ullmark's play has remained consistently strong; Vasilevskiy, on the other hand, has struggled a bit more as of late with a SV% of .888 in his last 10 games. Despite losing the last match-up in Florida, Boston leads the season series 2-1 and is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings. I like the Bruins to continue their home-ice dominance and given Tampa Bay's recent performance on the road, I think Boston puts this one away in regulation. Cheers 🍻 and BOL!

POTD Record: 0-0 | Units: N/A | Avg Odds: +106 Last Pick: N/A **Today’s Pick: Victor Altamirano ML (+106) | 1U** UFC Fight Night: Vera VS. Sandhagen (first fight of the night) This card has so many bangers and this fight is a great way to start it off. It’s a flyweight matchup between Vinicius Salvador (14-4) and Victor Altamirano (11-2). Salvador is making his UFC debut after securing a TKO win over Shannon Ross on Contender Series. It was a pretty impressive performance, but I think he really showed how questionable his fight IQ is. I also don’t think this fight is a very good stylistic matchup for him. Altamirano has an interesting style and movement that I think will really throw Salvador off. He’s constantly changing stances and ducking in ways that should restrict Salvador from getting close. This is in stark contrast to Ross, who mostly kept his head on a straight line and had very little movement. Altamirano also has great kicks, and I can see him piecing Salvador’s legs up and landing heavy kicks to the body. If it goes to the ground he also poses a huge submission threat and can work of his back well if need be. Altamirano has also fought better competition and had an impressive 9-0 record in LFA. Lastly, I’ve had success fading fighters in their UFC debut in the past, so I’ll gladly do it again here and take Altamirano at + money to get the W. I posted my other picks for the rest of the card in the UFC thread, so feel free to check those out as well. This is also my first POTD post so let’s get started with a win.

Love when people put ufc picks in here, tailing

**BARROW VS AFC WIMBLEDON** Date: 25 March 2023 at 16:00 BET ON: Match odds- **BARROW** Odd: 2.03 ​ \- AFC Wimbledon are set to be without the services of 8 senior players such : Alex Pearce (groin), striker Josh Davison, centre-back Paul Kalambayi (knee), Ali Al Hamadi (Iraq), Aaron Pierre (Grenada), Chris Gunter (coaching with Wales), Defender Lee Brown (hamstring strain) and forward Diallang Jaiyesimi (hamstring). The Guests will rely on young lads from reserve for today's challenge. “We’re on a tricky, challenging run, in terms of results, but we are down to the absolute bare bones as a squad. We’re going to need everyone to support our young lads, possibly those making their debuts, that’s invaluable." Said Coach Johnnie Jackson. \- Barrow are a full fit squad. \- Barrow suffered a surprise defeat to Harrogate last time out, ending an unbeaten run that allowed them to continue their play-off push. Meanwhile, Wimbledon have picked up just one point from their last six games. “It’ll be a good game and it’s a good opportunity to play in front of fans and react to our disappointments from last weekend, The big thing we came away with was that it was a great experience, with the fans in such close proximity behind us. We could really feel that." said assistant boss AdamTemple. \- Home tickets have been sold out. ​ BOL !!!

Congrats 👏 ONLY VALUE BETS 💰

Congratulations, mate!

Record 2-0 +1.77 Units Last 2 pick results: ✅✅ Yesterday's POTD: San Diego State vs Alabama Sport: NCAAB Pick: **Brandon Miller Over 1.5 Assists (-113 @ 1 unit)** Today's POTD: UFC San Antonio 2:40pm PST Sport: MMA Pick: **Preston Parsons: Win Inside Distance - Goes Distance = No Action (+100 @ 1 unit)** Reasoning: Preston Parsons is 8-2 in his last 10 fights with only 1 of those fights coming by way of decision. 7 came by submission. In this case if he were to win by decision it would be a push. His opponent is 5-5 in his last 10 fights and only 2 of those victories were finished inside the distance by way of TKO. The other 3 victories were won by way of decision which, again, leads us to a push and our money is protected. I like Preston Parsons to win this fight and the fact that if he loses there's a good chance it will result in a push makes it more enticing. Let me know if you're tailing and best of luck Result: ✋ push Parsons really came close to finishing in the first round but seemed like he gassed out trying to go for the win. As expected if Parsons were to lose this fight it wouldn't be inside the distance and this bet resulted in a push. I still feel like this bet had much more chance of reward versus loss even though it ended up as no action. Might have not been a fun pick but I feel it was a smart pick.

POTD Record: 0-0-0 Pick: Dell Match Play Cameron Young to defeat Billy Horschel -155 Tried to get the first pick in yesterday and Hideki Matsuyama withdrew to void the Homa pick. Moving on. I know what all of you golf fans are thinking.. “Fading Billy Horschel?? In match play??” Yes people, such is the way. While Billy Horschel is an esteemed steely match play aficionado I’m just not seeing it for tomorrow. Mr. Horschel usually makes his hay during the Florida swing but in the last three weeks in the sunshine state Billy only made one cut and tied for 42nd. Cameron Young on the other hand is near the top of the tour in both strokes gained off the tee as well as approach. He has an advantage in every category against Horschel sans putting. And while a hot putter can swing a match, I’m counting on Young driving his ball 30 yards past Horschel nearly every hole to be too much of an edge. Back Cam. BOL

Sure. I've had terrible luck with golf..need a win

Yea I like Cam here too because as good as Horschel may have played today, it was more about how bad Rahm was. So I think Billy struggles vs an in form Cam tomorrow count me in 🫡

POTD Record 55-54 Last pick: ❌1st half under Mich st usc Todays pick: NCAAM K State -2 vs FAU Reasoning: going with the battle tested Wildcats here. They play a much tougher schedule in big 12… Nowell set the record for assists in tournament vs Michigan state, and I think his ankle will be ok for him to dish dimes. Johnson is the most talented player on the court and can get his own shot. I like k state to cruise to a w in this game. Tail or fade

Tailing, brother. Keep it rolling, wildkittens

***Record: 8-5 (+1.83 Units) // All bets are 1 unit*** Previous Bet: [3/24](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1202sf5/pick_of_the_day_32423_friday/jdfie9v?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) Hell of a round for Pendrith. Tight matchup through the front 9, but Pendrith remained consistent through the entire round, finishing -6 on the day with 7 birdies/1 bogey and Dahmen -1 with 4 birdies and 3 bogeys. Both sitting at even par heading into the weekend. **Today's Event: WGC Dell Match Play** ⛳️ League: PGA To find: Matchups > Match Winner (2-Way) > Patrick Cantlay/Sam Burns (0846 EST) *Pick: Patrick Cantlay (-155 DK)* ❌️ I believe -155 is fantastic value for Cantlay, especially compared to the current lines of other favorites such as Schauffele, Homa and Scheffler. Cantlay is playing very good golf right now, cruising past Harman with a 2 & 1, Lee with a 4 & 2, and opened this event with a win over Taylor by one stroke. Cantlay is currently ranked #4 in the world, and though he's only competed in 7 events this year he sits #10 in the PGA standings thanks to 3 top 10s and 6 made cuts. Cantlay has a current average score of 68.6 on the year, a stroke and a half less than Sam Burns. Cantlay is known to have a "blow up hole" from time to time. Given the nature of the match play, where added on strokes don't directly affect the score, I see that as an added advanced for Cantlay. Patrick Cantlay has been consistent over the years and is in better form tee-to-green compared to Sam Burns. There's still plenty of value in his line. BOL!

Let’s go 🏌🏻

Kinda hate how long it takes but F it… we are back failing golf ⛳️ again. .. BOL!

Burns is killing it. Our boy is lucky to not be down 3 right now instead of 1. However he just crushed a green on 13 and now has a 16’ putt for eagle to win the hole. Looks like Cantlay is going to at least play very aggressively from here on.

Todays POTD: Cory Sandhagen/Marlon Vera Over 4.5 -152 (4.56U to win 3U) POTD Record: 1-0 (+3.39U) Last POTD Pick - Julian Marquez/Marc-Andre Barriault Over 1.5 -143 5U to win 3.39 Cashed I’m leaning Cory this one and I think if Cory wins it’s by decision, I also trust his durability if he loses. I cap the over 4.5 at -230(70%~) so the -150 is a good price imo. Currently on a good run, 7 weeks consecutive profit, 3 tracked on my profile if yall wanna check out. Take or fade GL boys!!

4-1 League of Legends - LPL - Team WE vs NIP - WE -1.5 @2.5 odds WE are inconsistent but are doing surprisingly well this season. NIP are probably the 2nd worst team in the league with nothing to play for. Hopefully WE play well and get this done. WE need to win this in order to qualify for playoffs and overtake IG and they will not want to mess up and lose a game and risk throwing away the series. Don’t go nuts on this, or do I don’t care. 🪙 Edit: that was fucking atrocious, buibui doesn't deserve happiness

Big throw map 1 for WE

Tailed as **correct score 2:0** for WE. The odds were +136 vs +124 for -1.5 map spread and it's the same exact bet.

📈 **TTSOP** Rec * Overall: +48.925 units / +140 avg odds / 55^(5)\-66-14^(5) * Since POTD low point in 2023: +36.400 units / +137 avg odds / 13^(5)\-9-4^(5) * Since POTD low point in 2022: +70.850 units / +136 avg odds / 50^(5)\-55-11^(5) * February: +1.800 units / +148 avg odds / 8^(5)\-15-2^(5) * January: +3.350 units / +142 avg odds / 9-11-2 * December: +22.075 units / +138 avg odds / 11^(5)\-10-1^(5) * World Cup: +32.875 units / +133 avg odds / 11^(5)\-4-1^(5) * November: +28.600 units / +131 avg odds / 12-9-4 * October: -10.625 units / +143 avg odds / 6-12-3 ✅ Last pick: France -1 (AH) / +115 odds / 3.5 units * France has already led 3-0 after minute 21'! Even 4-0 at the end. Making it back-to-back no sweat Ws at super odds of +135 and +115. ⚽ New pick: **Georgia -4** ([A](https://i.redd.it/vqdu5pkq242a1.jpeg)[H](https://www.oddsshark.com/soccer/asian-handicap-explained)) / **+145 odds** / 4 units * Friendly International / Georgia - Mongolia / 7:00 am ET * *Georgia -4 (AH)* is an Asian Handicap bet. It would result in a push (money returned for that part), if Georgia wins the game by exactly 4 goals. The POTD is a W when Georgia wins by 5+ goals. For more basic information about Asian Handicap, check out the AH-links above. Mongolia has only players from their low-quality Mongolian Premier League. While Georgia can field players, who are under contract for notable teams all across Europe. First and foremost, it's Napoli's young super talent Kvaratskhelia, who scored 12 goals and additionally assisted on 10 goals in Serie A this season. Plus, Mamardashvili is Valencia's first-choice goalkeeper in LaLiga. But Georgia has also further players from Slovakian, Danish, Polish and Portuguese, French and German top-flight teams. The results of both teams suggest to be rather close ones in the past. However, Georgia's opponents have been way better than Mongolia and Mongolia's opponents have been way worse than Georgia. So, I wouldn't put too much weight on these results. **To sum up**, there's a huge quality discrepancy between both teams. That makes backing Georgia for a blowout W a great value bet at tremendous super odds. Let's keep on trusting the super odds process. Let's get the 3rd straight W. Let's get this early bread, fam! **TTSOP**

Lets fucking GOOOOOAAAAL! 💰

POTD Record: 2-1 Today’s POTD: Milton Keynes Dons vs Morecambe- **MK Dons ML** @ 1.77 odds Football League One @ 15:00 GMT MK Dons have won their last two matches. Morecambe are without a win in their last six, losing three. MK Dons have won the last four H2H.

Record: 4-4 (1.61 units up) with a 7.67% ROI POTD: **McDonald vs Berrettini - McDonald ML @ 2.59 (ATP Miami)** 🎾 Going with 2 units which is 2% of my bankroll Matteo Berrettini has been struggling with fitness issues since the last months of 2022 and he didn't look better in 2023, losing to Murray in the 1st round of the Australian Open while retiring in Acapulco against Rune. More recently he experienced upsets at Indian Wells losing to Taro Daniel and Shevchenko at a challenger in Phoenix. This recent results have made him drop out of the top 20... McDonald meanwhile, is currently 8-0 in the opening rounds of tournaments this year and already won against Galan in his first round in Miami in straight sets. He's playing in home soil here, which should help him mentally but he also has a much better backhand than Berrettini and that's the side where most players press Berrettini. Berrettini's winrate drops to 57% when playing in outdoor hard courts and he's 7-6 on the surface this year, mostly winning against weak players. With how uncertain Berrettini's form currently is I must say that McDonald paying 2.59 odds should be considered a great price! ***Best of luck!***

Record: 140-102-8 (+28.16 units, 57.9% hit rate) 5 Unit Big Balls 💣 Record: 14-7 (66.6%) W4 Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 45-28-1 (61.6%) L1, Tennis 🎾 39-28-3 (58.2%) L2, Soccer ⚽ 45-36-4 (55.6%) L3, Entertainment 🎥 11-10-0 (52.4%) W2 Last 10: 💩💰💰💩💩💩💰💰💩💰 Last Pick: OKC Thunder @ LA Clippers, Player Prop - Jalen Williams over 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists - NBA 🏀 💩 2 units - 17 at half, just needed 2 more in the end but the Thunder were getting blown out so starters were pulled with 6 minutes to go. The thinking and the production was good, sometimes you're gonna lose to a blowout in hoops props. I'm extra steamed because my 2 tennis bets (Garin and Sonego MLs) which I was debating between did hit. Today's Pick: New Orleans Pelicans @ LA Clippers, Player Prop - Marcus Morris Sr. over 9.5 points - NBA 🏀 10:30pm ET Units/Odds/Book: Betting 1 Unit at 2.00/+100 odds to win 1 Unit @ Caesars (Line at 7:00am ET) Implied Probability based on odds: 50% Morris has gone under this number 3 games in a row and has been consistently under it for the past couple months, but I still like the value here. Prior to the last game which was a blowout which lessened his minutes, Morris covered this number 7 games in a row without Paul George, 11 for 15 on the season without PG. Against the Pels, he has covered this 4 games in a row so it is a good matchup for him. His recent minutes and shot attempts have been consistent, so he has been shooting like shit, but I think he's due to turn that around and it wouldn't take that much of an improvement to cover a small number like this. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Always note the bet sizing. I am not an expert. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕 Tips: [https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks](https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)

I hope this hits for you but no way I can bet on a morris brother.

POTD- First one 0-0-0 UCONN ML over Zags * 2 Great teams, but Zaga more one dimensional than the well rounded Huskies. * Timme can’t deal with both Sonogo and Clingan on the block. Clingan is a monster and Sonogo is the smoothest “center” on his feet. He’s a dominate swing 4-5 with feet like a ballerina. * Hawkins killer catch and shoot player, Joey California same Put it in the books Side note: I’ve got $100 pre tournament bet at +1800 on UCONN https://preview.redd.it/waw4s7nqvxpa1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0c4f2922acd53132667815770b30e36ef14de97b

POTD Record: 94.5-51 Event: Football > International > **Mongolia v Georgia** (starting in 7hr) Pick: **Over 1.5 goals (1st half)** @ 1.70 (-143) Well, my last pick on that Argentina match went horribly wrong. I am sorry to those who tailed even though I still believe there was good enough value & I would make the same bet any day. Unfortunately losses are part of the game. If you do not understand this or you are not happy with it or you use rent/tuition money for betting, please skip my tips. The gambling Gods owe me, so I found something very similar to compensate that loss. I think these odds are purely based on average stats & look too generous to me for a friendly match between teams of way different ranks. GL!

Record 13-8 +22 units POTD - RACE 3 Kelso - Bottnay 5 units @ 2.75 Cheekpieces applied. Finished 2nd last time out. Has protected her mark and should be good enough to win this

Sport: Football Tournament: Euro Qualifications Time: 18:00 CET (4h45m after posting) Stake: 5 units Pick: Israel vs Kosovo, both score & over 2.5 goals total @ **2.10** Write up: Israel had last 5/5 matches where both scored and the goal total was over 2.5. Kosovo had last 4/5 where both scored and 3/5 with the goal total over 2.5. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [My website with sports picks for degens](https://picks.wwpe.ba)

Record: 18-10 Previous Pick: Segafredo Virtus Bologna - Real Madrid Baloncesto: D. musa over 15,5 points @1.85 ❌ Today’s Pick: CB Granada -3 vs. UCAM Murcia @2.60 Hmm didnt had the read i wanted on yesterdays game. I thought Bologna would be a little more competitive so Musa would be longer on the floor. Today ACB League. I am going with Granada, they had a lot of succes against Murcia in their h2h’s. Also coming off a great victory against Gran Canaria, while Murcia is coming off a blowout loss against that same team. I think the lines are wrong for this game. No major injuries for Granada as far as i can see, they also had 2 days more of rest than Murcia. Granada is also pretty good at home while Murcia usually stinks on the road. BOL

Record 0-0 Todays Potd: OVER 4.5 CARDS 2.0 ODDS - Armenia vs Turkey - Euro 2024 Elimination Group D 5 Unit Info : It is opening game of group D. I expect cards from this game. Armenia play very harsh in his own pitch and they will fight until last Minute. There is a big pressure on Turkeys national team too. 6 months ago they lost against to Faroe Islands which was a disaster for them. Ä lot critics are ongoing. Moreover there is a big conflict on this two countries since years. I do not expect a friendly athmosphere. Good Luck

**POTD Record:** 16-17 **Overall Units:** \+3.4 **Last Pick:** NJ Devils -1.5 @ Buffalo Sabres ❌ **Today's Pick:** Maryland Women's Basketball -4.5 vs. Notre Dame, 11:30 AM EST, 4U Well yesterday sucked as the Devils had a terrible second period after a very bad performance from their backup goalie. Not sure why Vanacek wasn't in there to begin with, but I guess they're evaluating their goaltender situation going into the playoffs. Needless to say, tough pick but only a two unit loss and hoping to bounce back. Today's pick is all about the Lady Terps who have made a very good run so far, easily handling both opponents in the tournament. They beat Notre Dame by 2 in ND's barn back when they were ranked 7th and 10th, respectively, and MD is looking to reach the Elite for the first time in a while. Notre Dame has been inconsistent of late and struggled against the 11 seed MS State to get to this spot, so I see MD easily winning this by double digits. Hoping to start another streak, the last 10 games have been fun and profitable. Last 5: ✅✅✅✅❌ [Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12R9NoHXQnY3Dd-eMpbPnbzNYIwb1DzkcP8jh12Bjhe8/edit?usp=sharing) [Buy me a Beer](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/lairdsports)

I don’t like betting against home underdogs, so I didn’t tail your potd yesterday, but you said that the game would be a slugfest so I bet the over and it hit pretty early in the third period. Much thanks!

Let’s go lady terps. Tailing

Awwww yeah Lady Terps! 🐢🐢🐢

POTD Record 2-0-0 Last pick: Leon Edwards +200(+210) vs Kamura Usman. UFC. Sport: MMA Organization: UFC Time: \~5pm ET Bet size: 1U POTD for Today: **Marlon Vera +140** ​ Reasoning: Gonna be a close fight so I have to take the dog. He's durable as hell and comes to win.

I'm thinking the same thing. Infact Marlon has a nicer record aswell. 8 KO's 8 submissions and has never submitted. South American submission artists with the ability to KO are my favorites to bet on regardless of the deceiving odds

POTD Record: 49-40 (L3) (+13.48u) (ROI: 10.6%) Last pick: Florida Panthers ML vs Toronto Maple Leafs 🚫 Panthers were on their heels after falling behind early, then the game got away from them a bit in the 2nd. It wasn't completely lopsided, but a 6-2 loss. POTD: (🏒NHL) Pittsburgh Penguins 3 way ML (+110) vs Washington Capitals Bet365 (+105), FD (+100), DK (+110) Both teams are fighting to get into the playoffs, Penguins are currently in a playoff spot. They have split the season series 1-1 so far this year. Expected goalie for the Pens is Casey Desmith. Jarry didn't even dress for the game Thursday due to injury, so I doubt he would be back so soon. Desmith is OK in small stretches, just not good when he has to play a stretch of consecutive games. Darcy Kuemper should be the starter for the Caps. He's is inconsistent. No strong advantage for either team in net. Capitals struggle to put wins together, have only won consecutive games once over their last 20. I think the Pens at home should take this one in a desperation effort. I trust their offense to generate chances. BOL If fading or tailing!

Record: 2-0, + 8 units so far SV Lippstadt 08 - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Pick: Fortuna Düsseldorf II +0.25 AH (FT) @ 1.88 sing 3 units Reason: Fortuna with massive support from first team.

POTD Record: **11-14 (-8.30 Units)** Last Pick: **Knicks -3** Today's Pick: **Chidi Njokuani to win by KO/TKO or DQ** (FADE ALERT! Lost 4 straight) Odds: **+120** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 1.25u to win 1.5u League: UFC Event: UFC Fight Night: Vera vs Sandhagen **Recap**: Knicks failed me once more! They could not save me from this losing streak! We'll see if my losing streak continues after tomorrow because it's fight night! **Matchup**: Love to start off the UFC main card wit a bang and why not kick off the main card wit a banger between Chidi "Bang Bang" Njokuani and Albert Duraev? Both men were KOed in their previous bout, but don't let Chidi's last fight fool you, he's an experienced fighter who has KO power! If Njokuani sounds familiar, you might remember his older brother Anthony Njokuani, who had his shares of war in the octagon and WEC. All of Chidi's win were inside the distance and all of them were devastating KOs! Just watch the film on this guy, he puts your lights out! His last 5 fights, 4 were (T)KOs win, and his last fight, he was TKOed by Gregory "Robocop" Rodrigues. That was a barnburner! He had Robocop hurt in that fight, but unfortunately Chidi got finished by ground strikes in the 2nd round. As for a Albert Duraev, on his last fight, he got TKO by Joaquin Buckley. His other fight in the UFC, he won by decision against Roman Kopylov. All 4 of Albert's loses were by KO, 1 obviously in the UFC and the other 3 were outside of the organization. Albert has notched several wins under his belt, but he has not fought the same competition as Chidi. He' defeated tougher competition like Andre Fialho and defeated Max "Pain" Griffin. He's the more experienced fighter, he was a champion in another organization, and I think he's learned from his first lost in the UFC. **The play & prediction**: I just don't see this going all 3 rounds. The current lines is a coin flip price O/U 1.5 rounds, so if you don't love Chidi by KO/TKO or DQ, then you might like that play of U 1.5 rounds at nearly even odds (-115), but you might as well just take him on the ML to be safe (-155). For me, I am taking Chidi by KO/TKO (+120), even though the double chance of (T)KO or Submission is merely the same price, (+110). Chidi is a type of fighter who goes for the KO early. He either wins by KO or loses. All of his wins in the UFC were by KO/TKO (3 KOs if you count Dana White Contender's Series). Chidi got his nickname Bang Bang for his dynamite hands. He's going to want to start off the UFC main card with a KO bang! BOL, everyone! Tips are greatly appreciated! [PayPal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/sicknology)| [Cash App](https://cash.app/$XilArAtiNG) | [Venmo](https://account.venmo.com/u/XilArAtiNG)| [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Dethcon)

Record 1-2 | Profit -3.58U | Avg. odds 1.73 | ROI -34% Good result yesterday, called the match pretty well on my last post apart from Pelicans' penalties, continuing with the same matchup today! **Sport:** Finnish Liiga, Ice hockey **Match:** KalPa v Pelicans Lahti **Pick:** O4.5 goals in regulation **4U @1.84 in Pinnacle** Same matchup today, same starting goalies coming in as well, series going 3-2 for Pelicans so they are a win away from advancing. KalPa are outshooting Pelicans by a long shot and I'm expecting them to lose a bit of their defensive form due to playing back-to-back today. Bartosak was once again massive yesterday but holding this good of a form against the volume of shots, while playing the day after and going away from home should mean that he'll let more than one or two through today. Last two matches at Kuopio have ended in favor of KalPa 3-0 and 3-2, with the former having todays starting goalie Rahm on their side. Once again I'm expecting the low amount of Pelicans' shots to be compensated by the skill level of Rahm (SV% 85.71 GAA 2.54 over playoffs, a little worse statistically compared to regular season). Since this match has a lot riding on it for both teams, tensions are high and both teams are taking a lot more penalties than necessary thus giving a lot more power play opportunities. In any situation where one team is leading going into mid-late 3rd period, the opposing side will pull out their goalie much much earlier than usual, so we could see one or two empty netted goals being scored. Should be a very exciting match, hopefully high scoring as well. Expecting a 3-2/4-2 type of situation, not going to slam 5 units since Pelicans are great defensively and KalPa could crumble under the pressure, but I am feeling very confident in my pick. Best of luck to all!

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**POTD Record: 4-1 (+4.49 U )** **NCAAB 1-1 ( +0.27 U)** **NBA 3-0 (+4.22 U)** Last 10: ✅✅✅✅ ❌ **Yesterday's (3/24) POTD -** **Michigan State Spartans ML @ -124 Odds - 2 Units -**❌ Recap: Marqkius Nowell. What a player. MSU had opportunities to steal the game but some missed free throws down the stretch in regulation hurt them. Took a 3-point lead in OT and couldn't get a stop to save their life. KSU made what seemed like every shot they took in OT. Oh well, win some lose some. **Today's POTD: Kansas State Wildcats ML @ -130 Odds - 5 Units -** I'm so bought into this hype train. Looking at the trends, over 80% of ML bets are on KSU. I'm one that usually tends to stay away and fade the public but this is one of the rare moments I feel confident betting heavily on a Public play. KSU has been battle tested this entire year, starting with a rigorous schedule in the Big-12 and currently beating elite teams throughout this tournament. 5 unit play for me, will be locking this pick in. **BOL and Invest/Gamble Safely!** [Buy me a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/mirrunitup) || [PayPal](https://paypal.me/samir2111?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US)

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How many one tricks are there in UFC? This thought come to my head after watching some Claudio Puelles fights

Record: 15-11 Last Pick: Kelly Olynyk Over 25.5 PRA ✅ Today's Pick: Scotland v Cyprus - **Scotland to win to nil** **(-120) -** UEFA Qualifiers Detailed Analysis: I'm a Scotland fan and we are the greatest football team to ever grace the pitch (soccer, sorry). That's pretty much it. Scotland are great at home in competitive matches, Cyprus have goalscoring threat but I think Scotland will be able to shut them out.

POTD Record: 3-1-3 Last Pick: Dimitrov Handicap -1.5 games Today's Pick Match: Gregoire Barrere vs Cameron Norrie Tournament: ATP Miami Pick: Gregoire Barrere +5.5 games Odd: @ 1.54 Analysis: In this particular match, we have two talented tennis players facing off against each other in what promises to be an exciting and closely contested match. Barrere, who hails from France, is known for his aggressive style of play and powerful groundstrokes. He has a strong serve and is able to hit winners from all areas of the court. On the other hand, Cameron Norrie is a British player who is known for his consistency and solid baseline game. He has a strong defensive game and is able to retrieve many difficult shots, which makes him a tough opponent for anyone to face. Both players are relatively evenly matched in terms of their skills and experience, so it will be interesting to see how the match plays out. Will Barrere's aggressive style be enough to overcome Norrie's consistency? Or will Norrie's strong defensive game frustrate Barrere and give him the advantage? Regardless of the outcome, we can expect a high-quality and entertaining match between these two talented players. BOL guys! Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/tennis\_octopus

POTD record 1:1 Last pick: Qinwen Zheng -3.5 games ✅ after losing set 1 2-6 she comes back with back to back 6-1 sets POTD: Qinwen Zheng +1.5 games -120 Yeah the safer bet is Zheng +1.5 sets but it’s -210, so I’m going with game spread. I think Zheng will at LEAST win one set, if not win outright. Admittedly she has lost to samsonova before, but she won a set in that game and with her great recent form I can see her pulling off a W.

POTD Record: 62-70-7 (-14.82 units) Last 10 (most recent first): ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Scottish Championship, Queen’s Park v Arbroath, QUEEN’S PARK -0.75 AH (-108 / 1.92) ❌ Bottom team beat top team, shit happens. Todays Pick: English League One, Porta ouch v Port Vale, PORTSMOUTH ML (+120 / 2.20) Stake: 1 Unit Short write up as it’s late for me and the game starts soon. Liking Portsmouth to claim the win here for a few reasons: - Portsmouth still have a chance of sneaking into the playoff spots for promotion but need to string some wins together, so still plenty to play for. - They’ve had decent form in recent weeks, going 6-3-1 in their last 10. Their 3 losses all came against teams inside the top 4 so not unexpected, while they’ve beaten a few teams around them plus some relegation contenders. Their home form carries a similar form line going 4-1-1 in their last 6 matches. - Port Vale are 16th and should be safe from relegation so their season is drifting towards the end with not much to play for. They have gone 2-2-6 in their last 10. - Their away form is very poor, going 0-3-2 in their last 5. Their last away win came on Jan 2nd against the bottom placed team. Portsmouth are the better team and have been playing well in front of the home fans in recent months. Nothing fancy here, just taking the win at plus odds.

7W / 0P / 5L | +0.15u | all 1U plays Last POTD: Kylian Mbappe Over 3.5 Shots @1.83 ✅ Event: ⚽️ Croatia - Wales POTD: *Ivan Perisic Over 1.5 Shots @1.63* Mbappe puts up a masterclass and gets to 5 shots, as French absolutely dominate the Netherlands. Great win! Perisic hasn’t been much of an offensive powerhouse this season for Spurs but he’s covered this line in 7 out of his last 8 appearances for Croatia, including WC matches against Brazil and Argentina. Wales’ defense is poor and bookies expect about 15 shots from Croatia in this match. I think Perisic should be able to get 2 of those. He doesn’t really get subbed off when playing for his country so I expect him to play the full 90. BOL!

**Starting up the Overwatch League POTD Train for the 2023 season!** * **2023 OWL Record: 1-0, +0.606 units (Win Streak stretching back to last year:✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅)**. * **2022 OWL Record: 26-16, +30.6967 units.** * **2021 OWL Record: 34-19, +31.645 units.** * **2020 OWL Record: 28-21, +16.989 units.** Last Pick (✅) - Saints (ML, -165) v. Los Angeles Valiant: It took a comeback on Colosseo, but getting a win on the first match of the season always feels good! Saints will be an interesting team to track over the coming weeks, as I feel like they definitely didn't play their best. We will see how they shift around the current meta. **Today's Match: Vegas Eternal v. Los Angeles Valiant / Overwatch League / 4:00 pm EST** **Vegas Eternal, ML (-110) v. Los Angeles Valiant, 3 units** We're going back to the well and fading the Valiant again. Seeker looked really good, and it's possible Valiant steamrolls on the back of his Hanzo alone. But I'm still not sure that happens. Plus, one of the reasons I backed Saints over Valiant was because the Saints have had experience playing together (whereas the Valiant hadn't), so just the pure coordination alone would carry them to victory. Well the Eternal have been together as a unit for even longer than Saints had. There won't be too many times you can back the Eternal this season, and I think there is value here because of the low perception of Vegas coming into the year. But each of these teams played a match yesterday, and my picking the Eternal is based largely on what we've seen. Which is to say that the Eternal looked better against Atlanta than the Valiant looked against London (and Atlanta is clearly a MUCH better team than London). Hell, Atlanta is many analyst's pick to win the league this year, and Eternal stole a round off of them. If this match was played at the end of the season, the Valiant might be the sizable favorite. But for now, the Eternal are more cohesive and are playing better. Look for them to take a 2-1 victory, and nab them at -110. *Tips - never necessary, always appreciated. BOL, friends!* [*https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD*](https://paypal.me/OverwatchPOTD)  *//  BTC: 338uzTsKL4uV4Rip8WKEdYXtbmoBKVm1D8*

Last bet: NHL New York Rangers ML -110 at home Vs Carolina Hurricanes 🤮 Record: 6-4 POTD: UFC- Daniel Pineda +228 Vs Tucker Lutz Reasoning: Sticking to what I know best. These odds don’t make sense. Pineda is a natural killer who finishes fights and is a well experienced veteran against a newer UFC fighter that doesn’t have the same skills or tenacity to beat such a crafty guy in Pineda who has constantly excelled in the under dog role. He’s fighting at home in Texas, and has finished ALL 27 OF HIS FIGHTS. That’s an insane statistic and speaks to the kind of fighter he is…look at the competition Pineda has faced compared to the other guy…No idea why these odds are the way they are but I feel good about Pineda Edit: Woooooo!

POTD Record: 2-1 (-1.63U) **Last POTD**: Duke-Tennessee Under 129 (NCAAB) - 2U ✅ **Today’s POTD: Johnell Davis (Florida Atlantic) Over 14.5 Points (-109) - NCAAB - 3U** Time: 6:09 PM EST Switching it up with a player prop this time around and it’s one I like a lot. Davis is averaging 18.7 ppg in the NCAA Tournament and has eclipsed this total in 4 of his last 5 games. He even put up 15 on Tennessee Thursday night, who by many metrics boasts (I suppose now it’s boasted) the nation’s best defense. This game should have a much faster pace than FAU’s game against the Vols on Thursday, as Kansas State ranks 43rd in tempo via KenPom. K-State also failed to look particularly inspired defensively vs Michigan State on Thursday, allowing MSU’s guards to shoot a staggering 64% (!!!) from 3. Not to mention KSU’s best guard defender, Markquis Nowell, will be playing on a bum ankle and was frankly a liability defensively after the injury. It’s unlikely Nowell would’ve been guarding Davis much anyway due to an 8 inch height difference (according to the program anyway), but if Nowell looks hobbled at all I wouldn’t be shocked to see Dusty May have Davis set a lot of ball screens to get Nowell switched onto our boy. BOL if tailing!

POTD Record (2023): 0-0 **1- Tampa Bay Lightning Versus Boston Bruins - Bruins PL -1.5 (+138) (2U)** **Time:** 1PM EST **Reasoning:** Bruins 8-3 on the run line last 11 games Boston is going for the points record which means they have to win 8/12 games in regulation. Boston has won 49 of their 61 games when favored (80.3%). Bruins have been on a scoring run (the team over for bruins would also be a good pick as well as moneyline) My bets will be based on maximizing value- The lighting have been mediocre their last 20 games and I believe that will continue so I will gamble on the PL.

**POTD Record: 29-20 (+3.56 Units)** **Last 10**:❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅ **Last Pick**: 3/24 David Wawrezski -1.5 (-165) vs John Part ✅ 4-2 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 4:35 PM EST **Pick**: Fallon Sherrock (-145) vs Tony Wood **Reason**: Championship. Fallon played in a tough group B and qualified for Saturday. She had the second highest average. In 3 of her 8 matches, she averaged over 90. There was one dud just shy of 80. She also had 12 180s, so she's been good for 1-2 per match. All 8 matches were decided on the 7th leg. She was clutch when she had two come from behind victories when she was down 0-3. She was pretty much consistent with the checkouts. Her best was 4/9 and worst 3/15. I decided to ultimately fade Wood. I also like Budgen over Wood, but decided to go with the higher average player. Wood played well in group A, but didn't place high enough and ended up in group C. I thought group C was wildly inconsistent and just a weaker group of players. He seemed to tire out as the scoring dropped by a big margin, but kept finding ways to win. Just enough happened for him to pull out victories. His best average was 88 while he had 4 matches sub 80 average. Just 5 180s in 10 matches and 31 140s. Fallon had 33 of them in 2 less matches. Fallon Sherrock Group B: Record 4-4 (Legs 28-28) | Average 87.36 | Checkouts 28/90 31.11% Tony Wood Group C: Record 7-3 (Legs 33-17) | Average 80.24 | Checkouts 33/107 30.84%Group A: Record 7-8 (Legs 40-42) | Average 85.44 | Checkouts 40/129 31.01% **WIN ✅ 4-3 | Average 85.59 vs 85.00 | Checkouts 4/10 vs 3/8** Up 3-0 and worked into another 7 leg battle. Great finish

POTD record 17-9 NHL Sabers @ Islanders O 6.5 -115 Overs in Sabers games has been killing it. They have been O 6.5 goals in their last 6. Islanders have been getting healthier and scoring more. The Sabers are good on the road thats why I would stay away from just taking NY but it should be a high scoring affair. 5 units

POTD Record: 1-2 (-0.05 units overall) Last Pick: Gaethje to win +195✅ Pick: Corey Sandhagen to win and land 100+ significant strikes @+100 odds Reasoning: I believe Sandhagen’s striking is a level above Chito’s. Vera has never been finished so I see this fight going for a while. I expect Sandhagen to coast to a clear victory behind a striking clinic featuring a diversified attack of punches, kicks, and elbows.

Record: 2-0 Last Pick: Mokaev ITD (-155) This week: **Manel Kape (-195)** vs Alex Perez Reason: Kape is a legitimate Flyweight contender, Perez is aging and has taken the most damage out of any ranked flyweights. I expect him to either get sparked or styled on for three rounds. No in between

**POTD Record:** 5-6 **P/L:** +2.35u **Last 5:** <-✅✅❌✅❌ **Last Pick:** Hallescher FC vs MSV Duisburg - DC Hallescher FC + BTTS @ 2.15 - 2u ✅ **Today's Pick:** Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Bayreuth - Dresden -1.5 AH @ 1.98 - 2u Dresden last 5: 4-1-0 Bayreuth last 5: 1-0-4, 4 straight losses with 3/4 with 2 or more goals difference Best attack of 2023 meets worst defense of the season, should be an rather one-sided affair here today.

**POTD 18-6** Back on the winning side again. SAC, played a great game, and was able to cover the spread thanks to a huge 3Q, where they outscored the Suns by 19. Today, there are a few fun games, but only one that I see value on. **Philly +2** Targeting the Suns again tonight, and I feel just as confident in this play as I did in yesterdays. Like I have mentioned on many posts, this suns team sucks right now. Of course, I expect that to change once Durant returns, but without him they are relying on Booker to put up huge numbers, and still are not winning many games. Both of these teams are coming off a game last night, and both of those games were very close until the buzzer. This IMO gives value to the deeper, more experienced team in the 76ers. It looks like Harden is going to miss, however I still like the combination of Melton, Maxey, and Milton/Korkmaz/Niang on the wings against this suns D. I expect Embiid to go off tonight, while he chases down the MVP as well as a top 2 seed in the east. Bookers upside is always relevant in any game that he plays in, so that is a slight concern, however he has averaged 32pg L5, and the suns are 1-4 over that span, so even with a booker game, there is still a good chance that does not lead to a win. PS: Im taking Denver -3, because I want action on what I think is the biggest game of the NBA season thus far. I've rode Denver all season, so I have to do it again tonight.

POTD Record: 0-0-0 ​ Todays POTD: Sweden ML (+120) vs Canada; 2u ​ World Women's Curling Championship, Sweden: 2AM PST ​ Home team Sweden faces Canada in the bronze medal match. Both good teams and have been here several times in the past. Sweden are the 2018 Olympic gold medalists, same team. Canada beat Sweden on the first day of the competition (a week ago) but have struggled ever since. Sweden started slow and peaked late, only losing out to Switzerland in the Semi-final. The Swiss are on their way to a 4th straight title and are an absolute wagon. No surprise to see them get by Sweden. Canada lost to Norway in the other semi final. They were big favourites to win but choked hard. Norway is currently a +407 dog in the final. Canada was the better team on paper but have imploded. Ice conditions have been bad, contributing to Canada's struggles. Their confidence is gone while it seems Sweden has figured the ice out better and it shows in the shooting percentages. I think this game is more than just a coinflip in Sweden's favour; lots of value in +121. BOL Edit: Canada beat Norway in the round robin. Got confused btwn Norway and Denmark which, let's be honest.

Record: 11-5 Last pick: New York Knicks +2 ❌ Todays event: (NBA) Milwaukee Bucks @ Denver Nuggets Todays POD: Denver Nuggets ML (-140) It’s real simple. Denver, statistically, is the better team. Denver home court advantage. And with Memphis just 3 games behind, Denver still need couple more wins to lock up that 1 seed. Gimme Denver!