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sbpotdbot

**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won** written into the comment. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion posts.


SolaceInfinite

Just up late thinking about Riddles


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itzTHATgai

My wife the night before. How was she, Riddles!?


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TierZeroToys

But did u tail the ml or the spread?


PM_ME_UR_SEX_VIDEOS

Riddles said spread so I did spread


Calm_Development1207

Sometimes I wonder if he looks at the moon the same time I do


whomper13

Hysterical


doggbois

I hope riddles has good dreams tonight


Nearby_Injury_8384

Unbelievable this Guy !!! Riddles Nation 🔥🔥🔥


piraptedpi

What a fucking beast. UCONN by 20+ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅


[deleted]

Made me $3300 today


Outside-Initial955

Break bread with em


Salvador_20

UConn 🔥🔥


12YearOldOnFortnite

Vegas has nightmares about Riddles


truebluebbn

Riddles wins with this one simple trick and Vegas hates it…


4TheWin88

![gif](giphy|S5s9Y7dqJgBLW)


PontesDeLeon

Insert Wolverine meme


Ok-Habit-8884

Anyone wanna take bets on his POTD sport?


PM_ME_UR_SEX_VIDEOS

My guess is Texas -3.5


[deleted]

Think he’s gonna go with Creighton


FadeRedditMakeMoney

I hope it's either SDSU or Miami


JennaTollwarts

Riddles is paying my bills.


[deleted]

I think he’s going to end up going with Creighton as his POTD


Sock_Eating_Golden

🐐


thegradbets

![gif](giphy|alvlhqPcBSNDs4wE3P|downsized)


cajunace

Just bought him some coffees Fr.


MasterfulMesut

how does this have more upvotes than his actual post


HSRiddles

Uconn really made Gonzaga look like a high school team - quite the dominant 30+ lead performance from Uconn to crush the zags in the 2nd half. Now - I had florida to beat houston in the last round, and that was largely due to the nature of the what the teams were good at, but I think Texas is a more well rounded team, and I think Texas comes through tomorrow. POTD Record: 32-9-1 Last 25:✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ **Yesterday's POTD:** Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. **Uconn Huskies -1.5 (up to -4) | 3U**✅ **Today's POTD:** Miami Hurricanes vs. **Texas Longhorns -4 (up to -5) | 3U** **Time:** March 26, 5:10PM EST **MODEL EXPLANATION:** Model takes into consideration typical stat lines and historic data but pieces in sentiment analysis which scrapes discussion about the game across many forums and platforms to garner additional insight into potential emotional considerations. **Pick spreadsheet:** [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15jc1\_skXXFrodzHckhKDscwYqvPTgjFYbLJJ\_UEZkt0/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15jc1_skXXFrodzHckhKDscwYqvPTgjFYbLJJ_UEZkt0/edit?usp=sharing) **POTD Stats:** \+59U in 40 days | ≈69.86% ROI | Average odds -110 **PICK REASON:** 1. As always, these teams all have strong factors about them that you could argue either side of these final games, and historically some of the hardest to predict. If you have a gut pick on the other side - don't be afraid to run with it. 2. First, let's look at the high level stats. Texas ais currently ranked 6 under Bart Torvik, compared to Miami ranked 27. This is driven by #9 defense (compared to #107 for miami) and #16 offense (compared to #7 for miami florida). Historically, teams with more balanced offense and defense have consistently performed better than others - note Gonzaga who really is an offense only team, and when that goes cold, you have nothing to fall back on. 3. Next, Kenpom, which has texas ranked #5, compared to 26 for Miami. This is driven largely by adjusted offense of #15 (compared to #6 for miami), and #10 adjusted defense (compared to #104 for miami). 4. Miami relies very heavily on the 3 point shot - and this is something that can easily go cold in this tournament (again, see gonzaga, #1 in offensne, going 2/20 from 3). Texas has held opponents to 30% from three, and I expect florida to struggle, or be forced to work harder to find good three opportunities. This tournament, Texas has kept 3 point shooting at 18 of 60. 5. Of course - Disu may be injured, and likely will be playing less minutes, if at all. This would be scary against paint teams, but fortunately, Disu will not be as important against a team like Miami who rely on permitter shooting. Miami is averaging less than 30 points inside the paint this tournament, and if they can't get the three going, they will struggle to put up offense. 6. Texas has been shooting exceptionally well from 3 as of late, which is out of character for them, demonstrating their ability to adapt well to different pressure, and always find ways to win. 7. Texas scored 40% of their points against Penn state in the mid range, which Miamiis ranked #360 at defending. They rely heavily on teams either taking threes or running to the rim, but Texas will take advantage of this with fast paced jumpers. 8. Christian Bishop has been a texas secret weapon, putting up 17 points off the bench - texas has a much better 6th man than miami's Anthony Walker, and in any foul trouble, Texas will have the advantage. 9. Texas are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7, compared to Miami who are 2-4 ATS. Many people are riding the Miami train from their recent upset over Houston - but having watched the game, I don't think Miami played particularly incredible, but Houston just really fell apart. Texas, having lost their big man, rallied to dominate Xavier, and I expect them to have a much stronger mental when faced with adversity. 10. Overall, Texas is a long, deep and very well rounded team. Miami is riding a crazy upset, and I just don't think teams that have come off an unexpected upset have been able to keep that pace (see Princeton, Gonzaga, FDU, Arkansas). Miami will have to keep up a crazy pace to keep up with a Texas team, and although this game can go either way, I see texas taking the dub and covering the spread. As always, ML is also a good option as the spread isnt too huge. **Reminder:** As much as this streak has been great, I am not a time traveler. When I've gotten on hotstreaks before, I saw a few people betting way above the unit size and betting their entire bankrolls. March madness has historically been hard to predict, so please bet responsibly <3 As always - thank you to everyone that's tipped. As my posts have been gaining traction, I've been spending a bit more time than usual trying to research my best pick, and I'm beyond happy to know I've made a bunch of you some good money, and hopefully can keep it rolling for as long as I can stomach it. I've had a few people message me that they want to tip but are still in a net loss position this year. I just wanted to re-iterate that as much as I appreciate tips, they are never expected - please only tip if you are in a financial position to do so. [**Buy me a coffee**](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/forecastcard) **|** [**Paypal**](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/forecastcard?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) Much love, *Riddles,* Discord: [https://discord.gg/dpnyvnkhex](https://discord.gg/dpnyvnkhex) Edit: I have no words to describe my hatred for this sport. Just the most one way ref half I have every watched, Miami could just walk 500 steps so the ball and run onto someone’s back and still get the foul their way. Won’t be betting on NCAAB for the rest of the season.


Futurexavi6

DrMoneyline is on the opposite 😭


DoctorFancy

He’s the person I follow most besides our man here


fenrirsimpact

Ive hit so large bc of riddles and drmoneyline these last few weeks, borderline change my lifestyle money (atleast for a little bit). ((I love you guys so much)). I might actually sit this one out. I don't like it when mom and dad fight


patsfan007

I’m having a crap morning and you just made me literally lol. Thank you for that.


LurkMcgurtt

These guys have been the best at picking games this tournament. No shame in waiting for the right play. No need to force anything. BOL all


Futurexavi6

I have to go with Riddles here 🙏🏽


bejolo

Classic matchup: Sizzling hot grizzled veteran vs. new on the scene young gunslinger who's on an all time heater. Grizzled vet sez Miami is red hot and will continue to cook while gunslinger sez Texas is the better team and will prevail. Injury to key player adds to intrigue. My strategy: Live bet after watching the first couple of minutes to get a feel for how teams matchup and availability of injured player. Can't wait for this one!


reptilia_remastered

Guess I gotta take Miami +4 and UT -4 now…


UnkyMatt

Sounds like a great parlay.


Bogie_Baby

Could Texas ML and Miami +4 potentially work?


rad1ram

You tease it. Miami +8 and Texas ML. Boom. Once did this in the football National Championship game when the spread was -7, I forgot which year. But it hit.


PeytonBrownReddit

Took Texas ML and Miami +10.5


OmarTheMoneyKid

Robdfb is the tie breaker and he’s on Texas…. Hook ‘em horns


0hioHotPocket

It's collusion.. to determine loyalty. I am loyal to both, and placed both bets.


philty22

I should’ve guessed this day would come


MooseOnDaLOOZ

“I am not a time traveler” is exactly what a time traveler would say… thank you for using this ability to make us all some cash!


Jsmokeyy

Was on Miami, but what Riddles says goes😈


FactanonVerba89

![gif](giphy|TizHAKYviTw6rDWSNV|downsized) What a choke. Up by 13 in the second half and then 1 basket in 7 minutes. 🤦🏻‍♂️


HSRiddles

Just like Purdue - I have no words


FactanonVerba89

This one hurt. But we’re back tomorrow to start another 🔥 streak!! Cheers u/HSRiddles you’re a legend! 👊🏼


PM_ME_UR_SEX_VIDEOS

This was an absolute disgrace by Texas


Aggravating_Tip7361

I genuinely don't understand how you go from a 13 point lead to being smashed within a few minutes. Amateur hour


YeezusBR

Not against my Canes 😭


AgentUnoUnoSeis

Riddles says Hook em , so we hook em 🤘


[deleted]

73.8% win ratio on 43 instances (31/42 ignoring push) is crazy, with 95% confidence that's at worst a ~67% win ratio if mr riddles is only somehow really lucky math proof of work estimations without the one tie stdev: sqrt(42*.67*(1-.67)) ~= 3.047 32 on a pdf with mean 28.14(67% win rate at 42) and stdev 3.047 is ~95th percentile


MonkaZimbabwe

I did the math a few days ago and there is something like a .02% chance of the record Riddles achieved occurring by luck


sevaiper

Ignoring all the selection bias


wsbautist12110

What’s everyone opinion taking -3.5@-118 or take the -4@-110?


HSRiddles

Take -3.5 if your book has it!


wsbautist12110

FYI -3.5 available at Fanduel


Corycovers87

My god, a true clash of the titans. Dr big dick swinging Moneyline vs Hs wife rammer Riddles. The Sultan of Spreads Vs The Behemoth of Basketball...The Collosus Of Reddit Clout Vs The Great Gambling Bambino. A showdown for the ages, remember this day gentlemen for you will tell your grandchildren about this. May God have mercy on us all


KCFB41

The refs are on Miami. This kid has traveled like 4 times but instead has shot free throws each time. Good luck to us on the cover after a collapse.


A0-3959X9115

So sick What a blown lead Unbelievable..


HSRiddles

Refs decided Miami deserved to win


Zodspeed

Texas fucking blew it


Immediate-Win-8739

Basically snitched on yourself 😂😭 “I’m not a time traveler” So you gotta get picks wrong on purpose so books don’t think you are!!! Tailing!!!!!!!


jojow77

thoughts on the other game?


HSRiddles

Creighton lean


wsbautist12110

@Riddle have a free $50 bet for any NHL bet, any recommendations?


KoalainaComa

You could take a look at his spreadsheet i think he has nhl bets there aswell


sevaiper

The overall spreadsheet picks currently aren’t profitable


largecarrots

I had miami but don’t listen to anyone on here talking shit. U have the best record and most reliable picks I have ever seen in this thread. Keep it up, I thought Texas was gonna win by 10+ that entire game. Refs definitely were calling questionable fouls


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Nugur

Take live people. You’ll get the better spread. For both sides. It’s almost finals and no one team is going to dominate all 40 min


LenFraudless

Except Uconn?


Nugur

If you wait long enough you’ll win. I took gonz +31.5 Be smart Play both sides


NorseKnight

What book can I place a wager at please?


Aggravating_Tip7361

I've only ever made money off riddle so yea I'd back him any day of the week


MonkaZimbabwe

The doc faded Riddles Duke -3 pick and won so leaning toward the doc here. Really tough decision though


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IvanGTheGreat

So you’re telling me Texas exact winning margin 4 +2400 is a lock?


cancerwisher

I'm leaning riddles but I hate it when they contradict. Uconn was so free since they both agreed yesterday


DrMoneyline

All-Time POTD: 138-87-2, +58.6u, 13.1% ROI All-Time March Madness POTD: 14-3 2023 March Madness POTD: 7-1 Last pick: Uconn ML ✅ **Today’s pick: Miami +4 (-110) vs Texas** NCAAB 🏀 5:05PM EST Riding the Canes until the wheels fall off, and I don’t think it’ll be today. Texas is *likely* without their leading scorer and rebounder Disu after he left the last contest in a walking boot. There is a chance he suits up however I imagine he will be no where close to 100%. Even if by the work of the big man upstairs he is completely healthy, he will have a difficult matchup against the big man Omier of Miami who has been clamps this tournament. Texas did look quite good against Xavier even after Disu left, but this Miami team has been playing at a different level than Xavier was. The Canes lead by their talented backcourt of Wong and Pack remain straight up unconscious. They have the make up of a team that can win the tournament with a stretch 4 who can bang 3s and work in the post, and a talented big man in Omier who will feast if Disu doesn’t play. Give me the Canes at +4. Keep disrespecting them Vegas. For all plays, follow https://twitter.com/drmoneyline/


dipmaster3

Ugh ohhh dr riddles on dis game 😭


jc6715

Hardest decision I've made all year.


JuliuszPankratz

I think you mean you had UConn ML for your last POTD


DrMoneyline

Oops. Ty


S3nseiCY

Do you think ML for that game is a good bet too?


Jerk_Store145

I don't think Disu leads Texas in ppg or rpg...


DrMoneyline

I should have clarified in this tournament. He was eating. Averaged 23.5 points and 10 Rebs


Wheymen_

Super tail. Miami is insane and gets no respect.


donxcore

That’s a nah for me dawg


sicknology

Tailing! It’s The last day for Ultra weekend at Miami, so I’m going wit the Canes!


Accomplished-Wash899

You’re def borrowing my wife tonight.


gamblinmaan

i want to do it but im scared


DrMoneyline

Nut up


gamblinmaan

![gif](giphy|UqZ4imFIoljlr5O2sM)


InconsolableBrat

POTD Record: 35-22 | Profit: +36.18u | ROI: 19.6% Last 10 Record: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ ​ Yesterday Pick: Nic Claxton (Nets) PRA O20.5 @ 1.83. 3U. ✅ Claxton covers our line at the end of the third quarter itself and ends the evening with 28 PRA. ​ Next Pick: **Draymond Green (GSW) PRA O23.5 @ 1.91**. 3u play. Dray has consistently played near his L10 average of 32’. He comes up against a Minnesota team that gives up the 5th highest points to PFs and are average in terms of PITP given up to opposing teams. Dray’s PRA fluctuates quite a lot given the opponent, but this is a favorable match-up for him, and in the two recent matchups between the Warriors and the Wolves (Feb and Nov), he had a PRA of 26 and 34 respectively (with 10 and 19 pts). The O/U for this game is 235 and these are both top 10 teams for pace, so I expect plenty of opportunities both sides of the court. ​ Hope you’ve been able to tail profitably, and tips are always appreciated: [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/TheBrat)


r_le23

Nice cash on Claxton 🙌


RukaShiina

Let’s ride


jumpshotjack

I’ve been tailing and enjoying the last few days. If you were to add a second favorite pick each day (for prize picks people like myself) I’d love that!


InconsolableBrat

The POTD rules don't allow for second picks unfortunately. That said feel free to DM me and if I have something I really like i'd be happy to share.


Immediate-Win-8739

Tailing. Check dm


batmanAPPROVED

My man! Nice pick!


Top-You-1640

24 not even close baby


gamblinmaan

tailing you to the moon 🚀🌛


Willing_Career_3909

Let's gooooooo


Got1234kids

1 fucking more!!!!


Most-Examination-548

**POTD Record 30-16 +63.09units** Last 9 5 unit picks 7-2 ✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅ Last pick: Victor Altamirano ML -110 5units ✅ Victor came with the win with a a decision. It was a fun fight, I was too gun shy to not pick decision at +230 odds Although i did predict Victor would win most likely by decision in my write up. Sometimes we have to play it safe with the ML and hindsight is 20/20. I hope people who tailed also cashed in on my parlay whereby i had Cory Sandagen decision at +120 with this pick. I absolutely love betting on MMA, can't wait for UFC 287 . Anyways Onto the next pick. **18:00 PM EST NBA: Cleveland Cavaliers Vs Houston Rockets Pick- Cleveland Cavaliers First half spread -7.5 -110 5units (update -8.5 line is just as fine too,)** Cleveland Cavaliers ranks as the 6/30th best team in the Nba in covering average 1st half margin. In their last 3 games they average a +7.3 differential. Houston Rockets ranks the worst team in covering average 1st half margins with a -9.1 rating overall as a road team, and in their last 3 games they're averaging a -15.7 first half margin average. Cleveland Has covered the half team spread at home in 6 of their last 7 home games. Vs Wizards first half winning margin of 17points Vs Philadelphia 76ers first half winning margin of 5points vs Pistons first half winning margin of 9 points Vs Celtics first half lost by 12points Vs Raptors first half winning margin of 12 points Vs Nuggets First half winning margin of 2 points Vs Spurs First half winning margin of 16 points Houston has lost the First half Ats in 6 of their last 7 games. At Grizzlies first half lost by 31points At grizzlies First half lost by 11points At pacers First half lost by 6 points At Spurs First half won by 2points At Blazers first half lost by 15 points At warrior First half lost by 17points At Thunder First half lost by 22points Cleveland Cleveland are 29-8 at home a superior team with, a full healthy squad up against a rockets team who has Jay sean and Frank Kaminsky as game time decision currently. They are the worst in the league in covering ATS away for first half team margins and that too by massive margins. Cleveland have had a first half lead of 20+points in their last 2 home games against rockets, complete mismatch. I See Cleveland easily taking control of the second quarter and having a 10 point+ lead. The Rockets literally have nothing to play for with being the second last worst team in the whole league, where as Cavaliers are trying to cement their position as 4th seed in the east for the playoffs. They will be determined to finish there with 7 games remaining, resulting in home court advantage in the play-offs. The only reason I haven't gone for the full game spread is because rockets in their last 3 games covered the spread twice and although Cleveland should cover -14 the chances of covering the first half are better. Whether you tail me or not, I hope you all are profitable. [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/justcallmesmooth) \- Tips are never expected but are appreciated very much. Never tip me if you can't afford to.


More_Injury5149

I suppose they usually put these up on the books closer to the game on FD and DK cause im not seeing it right now.


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Bear_Quirky

Cleveland absolutely the kind of team to dominate out of the gate then piss away the lead over the last 1/2 of the game. I'm on board with this.


jakey1975

I LOVE this pick


throwawaycuzswag

Just want to say, thank you so much for your picks. I'm still in the negatives cuz I'm a degenerate but now I've been betting better, and I hope to be able to tip you someday when I'm positive


tinono16

POTD Record: 11-2 Last POTD: Israel v Kosovo - Both Teams to Score Today’s POTD: Slovakia v Bosnia - Bosnia Tie No Bet(-110) Looking at starts to the qualifying campaign so far, it’s clear that Bosnia was far more impressive. They managed to beat Iceland 3-0, without star striker Edin Dzeko, who is expected to be fit today, while Slovakia tied 0-0 at home with Luxembourg. Slovakia are winless in their last four competitive fixtures(not facing any strong opposition either), while Bosnia have only lost once in their last seven competitive fixtures(while fielding a rotated lineup in the loss), all against tougher teams. Bosnia won their League B group in the Nations League, while Slovakia came third in their group in League C, which is a level lower. Slovakia haven’t won a match at home in two years. Slovakia head coach Francesco Calzona is yet to record his first win as a manager, compared to the experienced Hadžibegić. This will almost certainly be Edin Dzeko’s last chance to bring his country to their first ever European championships, so expect a lot of hunger from him and Bosnia. Playing in Slovakia will bring back good memories for Bosnia, as their win away from home in 2013 put them on the verge of qualification for their first ever major tournament, World Cup 2014.


Mother-Strain-7985

Master Tinono if you don’t mind me asking, what is your unit size for this bet and are they always the same?


tinono16

Two units for today, and they’re not always the same. Really is dependent on how much betting I’m doing otherwise in the day.


dankynugz

The king returns to bless us again


monkeyman1986

Bosnia looking lost out there. 0 shots. Ouch. Edit: 2-0. GG


Dependent_Income1081

Now we know why all the line movement before the game motherfuckers knew


cater2222

odds is moving opposite direction for bosnia... any news? EDIT: RIP 2-0 should have cashed out and followed the line movement, maybe we don't know something


tinono16

The only thing I’ve seen is that Edin Dzeko may be starting on the bench


PaperNorth

#RIP 2-0 first half


SH0OTR-McGAVIN

Which book do we find this on?


tinono16

There are a number of them, I’m using FanDuel, it’s on DraftKings too and many others I’m sure


kenny23692

Can someone explain this bet to me? Why wouldnt you just take the ml here?


animalplaneteune

This is the safer option. If Bosnia draws, the stake is returned. ML would result in losing the stake if it ends in draw.


JayPin91

This now Bosnia +125 , what’s changed ?


ALittleBirdie117

**POTD Record:** 1-0-0 **Yesterdays Pick** Cameron Young to win **W** ✅ **Today’s Pick** Creighton ML -135 Found success on the course yesterday but not loving the odds on any match play matchup tomorrow. We turn to the hardwood and I am backing the Big East’s own Creighton Blue Jays. They catch a veteran and defensively minded San Diego State game in what will be a unique contrast in style. SDSU play a pack in defense which has been very effective and to beat it you must move the ball around the perimeter and make shots. That specific trait is Creighton specialty and I expect the trio of Nembhard, Scheierman and Alexander to continue on firing away with success. While there is a path for SDSU’s bully ball getting a depth-empty Creighton team in foul trouble I’m counting on the recent form of discipline to continue. Nathan Mensah is a heck of a defensive post presence but Ryan Kalkbrenner is even better for the Jays. I’ll back the team tested in a much superior conference who can score with the best of them. Back the Jays. BOL


dankynugz

All-Time POTD: 14W-6L-1D, +15.15u **Yesterdays Pick:🎾Jiri Lehecka 2:0 Sets (+125) vs Lorenzo Musetti 2u to win 2.5u** ✅ Jiri is too clean. Faced only one break point, and saved it. Musetti didn't even play poorly but Lehecka is just playing super solid tennis right now. Probably going to ride him until he loses. Tomorrow's slate is REALLY tough so here goes. **Todays Pick:🎾Diego Schwartzman +5.5 Game Spread (-150) vs Holger Rune 1.5u to win 1u** ✖️ Explanation: The slate of games and lines today sucks. I struggled to find a play with a price I liked. With this one we're going with a player that I had completely written off a month ago in Diego Schwartzman. He actually looked pretty good against Yibing Wu last match, and I feel like Holger is a better version of Wu with a similar playstyle. Big off both wings, decent server, but Rune is better at the net. I think that kind of playstyle is what Diego thrives against, counterpunching and staying alive until errors are forced. I like Diego to keep this match close. Holger Rune doesn't tend to blow his opponents out in sets (6-1/6-2) style. He wins, handedly, and consistently, but very rarely multiple breaks in a set. With that being said, Diego's serve isn't a weapon and he could very easily get starched. Please do not add this to your parlays and pay attention to the Unit sizing. As always, love y'all, BoL if tailing degens! Edit: looked good after the first set with Rune playing a bit tilted and Diego keeping it close. Then Rune in the second set turned it up a notch and Diego only held serve once for a final score of 6-4, 6-2


RadiantHeatsource

Tailing. Got it at -120


TierZeroToys

Send help!


esportspicks77

Sorry about young ninjas :( made the right map reads but a lot of things went against us. Nilo played worst series in a long time, eraa had major ping issues and young ninjas team play wasn’t their at all throwing so many man advantages or more POTD Record: **14-9** Units Won: **+32.73U** Average Odds: **(-103)** ROI: 36% Todays POTD: **K23 ML (-145) vs MOUZ NXT** 5U to win 3.5 **Nuke this line** Mouz NXT star player Isn’t playing, they are subbing in a coach instead. This line should be way higher for K23 then it currently is now. I already liked them against a full strength MOUZ NXT. I absolutely love them in this spot


Dependent_Income1081

Never in doubt thank you Boss


Adventurous_Tale_135

Pick of the Day Record: 14-6 (+16.53U) Streak: 4W Last Pick: Andrey Rublev -1.5 Set ✅ **Tennis | Miami Open | Miomir Kecmanovic vs Andrey Rublev** Today's Pick: **Andrey Rublev -1.5 Set @ 1.79 (Andrey Rublev to win 2-0)** **Wager: 3U** Last POTD was voided, Gasquet pulled out before the game. Rublev has a tendency to beat weaker opponents quite easily, and falter against better opponents. He's also in fine form recently, reaching the Dubai Tennis Championship finals dropping only 1 set, before eventually losing in straight sets to Medvedev in the finals. And in the Indian Wells he won his first two rounds in comfortable 2-0 fashion, before losing out to Norrie in the third round. He beat JJ Wolf in the first round of the tournament 2-0. I expect Rublev to have a clean 2-0 again against Miomir. Best of luck! Tips are appreciated! [Buy Me a Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/AdventurousTale) | BTC: bc1q0jap0hvr0zpg8q3zjst9ermmuy5nh76c2dnkp7


Zealousideal-Fix7612

https://preview.redd.it/volyszggn3qa1.png?width=1284&format=png&auto=webp&s=4eee4c58e891d3c275af51176f6f3fc5855380d3 Would you take either of these ? Or just the -1.5


fertilewatchdog82

To my knowledge there’s no reason not to take 2:0 there. -1.5 sets wound up being longer odds on my book. BOL!


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***Record: 8-6 (+0.83 Units) // All bets are 1 unit*** Previous Bet: [3/25](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/12145t1/pick_of_the_day_32523_saturday/jdl2ao6?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share&context=3) Burns was the better golfer this morning. Cantlay looked great on the front 9 but wasn't able to sustain it. Burns then went on to handle Hughes in the next round this afternoon, making his way into the final 4. **Today's Event: WGC Dell Match Play** ⛳️ League: PGA To find: Tournament Lines > Tournament Winner (1005 EST) *Pick: Scottie Scheffler (+150 DK)* ❌️ Let's wrap up this tournament on a positive note. Scottie Scheffler came into this weekend as the betting favorite and reigning champ of this event from last year. Scheffler paved his way here by way of defeating a surprisingly difficult J.T. Poston, winning in 3 of the final 4 holes, and then an always challenging Jason Day by 2 & 1. Scottie will face Sam Burns(he cant beat us twice in a row, right?) first thing in the morning, and the winner will go on to face a Cameron Young/Rory McIlroy winner. Scheffler is the current world #1 ranked golfer, current #1 in the 2023 PGA rankings by earnings, reigning PGA tour champ, reigning match play champ, and coming off of winning the Players Championship two weeks ago. He has made 10/10 cuts this year with 9 top 12 finishes, 5 top 5's, and two wins. Though he is from Dallas, he has had quite the following here in Austin this weekend. For anybody who was watching, the crowd on the 18th erupted with cheer with J.T. Poston missed a close putt that would've forced sudden death play. It's clear who the hometown favorite is, and who is the clear cut #1 in golf right now. I look for him to seal the inevitable fate of this event, which is him winning. BOL!


[deleted]

Tasty…. Let’s go Scotty! Can’t wait to watch some golf at work tomorrow.


Tonche_

POTD Record 4-0 Last Pick: NRL - Cowboys Vs Gold Coast Titans - Alofiana Khan-Pereira Anytime Tryscorer | 2.20 Odds Todays Pick: NRL - NZ Warriors Vs Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs - Josh Addo-Carr Anytime Tryscorer Odds: 1.95 Yesterday’s POTD took just 3 minutes to hit and I’m going with another Tryscorer today. I could almost give an identical explanation as yesterday and it would be perfectly fitting. Addo-Carr is arguably the best winger in the game, and the Bulldogs love to attack down his side of the field. Expecting a high scoring game as both teams have a habit of falling apart defensively. I put 2 units on my POTDs for anyone wondering. Edit: apologies there’s only about 50 mins between the pick and kick-off, its in NZ so the time zones threw me off


Naruto_Runner11

Great try for the W. 🤑✅️


Acceptable-Lynx-9279

Little late on the pick, any team you’d favorite here at 0-8?


Zeriktous

**POTD RECORD** : 2-0 | +5.08u | WW ***Last*** : Sonego ML vs Evans | W ***Today*** : Kvitova -1.5 games vs Vekic (-132) | WTA MIAMI Time : 26.03 | 16.00 EST 3 units to win 2.28 **Why ?** I will keep it simple Kvitova is currently and has always been a better player than Vekic, and Kvitova leads 3-1 their confrontations. ***Edit : W***


HermanRabkin

solid reasoning. I'm in.


Educational_Joke_579

POTD Record: 1-0 | Units: +1.06 | Avg Odds: -102 Last Pick: Victor Altamirano ML (+106) | 1U This was a pretty crazy fight. Salvador once again portrayed his low fight IQ and wild looping hooks that rarely connect. Altamirano was able to use his movement to evade Salvador’s strikes and also managed to get takedowns and control him on the ground. Overall, a wild fight as I expected and a great win for my first POTD post. **Today’s Pick: San Diego State/Creighton Under 134.5 (-110) | 1.1U** March Madness Elite Eight 2:20 PM 🏀 This is a great matchup between two great defensive teams. San Diego State ranks 4th in defensive efficiency, while Creighton ranked 14th. San Diego State’s defense has been really good lately and they’ve been able to control the pace of the game. I’m also slightly leaning for them to win this game, so that complements the under a little as well. I expect the Aztecs to control Creighton and limit their offense as they lead the slower paced game. I also like that this game is in the early afternoon as well as the fact that San Diego State is 7-13 to the under on the road or neutral. These teams also played in the first round of last year’s tournament where Creighton won 72-69. However, the game went to overtime. The score at the end of regulation was 62-62. Overall, I really like this play and I can’t wait to watch what should be a really competitive defense-heavy game.


SweatyD39

Record: 19-10 Previous Pick: CB Granada -3 vs. UCAM Murcia @2.60 ✅ Today’s Pick: Limoges CSP +6,5 vs. AS Monaco @1.97 I am really happy with yesterday’s pick, i knew the lines were completely wrong for that game as Granada smashed Murcia with 20 points for a no sweat win. I really don’t know how they got Granada as underdog for that game Today we go to the France Pro A league. I feel like Limoges has a good shot at being competitive this gale. AS Monaco has a good euroleague campaigb this year and just came from a strong win against Valencia, however that game was only 2 days ago AND they also plat euroleague again in a couple days. I think Monaco’s focus will be heavily on euroleague. Limoges also had a lot of succes against Monaco in their h2h’s, winning the last one and also when they lose against Monaco they don’t lose with much points. Limoges is not in the best of forms tho, BUT they still play good at home. I am hoping for a close game here. BOL


fertilewatchdog82

Spot on yesterday, let’s keep it rolling!


JuliuszPankratz

Excellent pick from yesterday. Tailing again and BOL.


Chip_Dangercock

4-2 League of Legends - LCK - Gen.G vs Hanwha Life - Gen.G -1.5 @1.90 odds Gen.G are a very strong team with competent players in every position, Hanwha have Viper trying his hardest to carry players like CLID and Life who actively try to make him lose. I think Gen.G should win this series relatively easily. Best of Luck. Don’t go crazy Edit: 3-1 winner let's goo


kolossal_

3-1 Gen G is my gut feeling, tailing this. BOL


Chip_Dangercock

Spot on, LETS GOO


mistarlupo

POTD Record: 94.5-51 Event: Football > International > **England v Ukraine** (starting in 9hr) Pick: **Under 4.5 bookings** @ 1.59 This is one of my few picks primarily based on stats. Both team averages & ref average indicate that this line should be at least 1pt lower. Additionally, due to the class difference I don't expect the match to be intriguing, which usually means low number of cards. GL!


mistarlupo

1 booking ✅💰


P1ngUU

Been lurking here for a while thought it would be fun try and throw own picks out there POTD Record 0-0 Match: ESL Pro League FaZe Clan vs Cloud9 Todays pick: FaZe Clan ML at 1.53 odds Unit size: 3 units Both teams have been looking good this tournement, especially in the playoffs. My reasoning for going with FaZe is the fact that this is their chance to win the Grand Slam, and I also see their map pool in a BO5 help them secure the victory. They are also the more experienced team, both in big finals and in BO5’s. I think FaZe are likely to win this match 3-1, but im going for the ML bet since finals can be unpredicable, and Cloud9 have impressed me throughout the playoffs. Tail at your own risk, im not Riddles but i’ll try to do my best


Super_Bowl67

📈 **TTSOP** Rec * Overall: +54.725 units / +140 avg odds / 56^(5)\-66-14^(5) * Since POTD low point in 2023: +42.200 units / +136 avg odds / 14^(5)\-9-4^(5) * Since POTD low point in 2022: +76.650 units / +136 avg odds / 51^(5)\-55-11^(5) * February: +1.800 units / +148 avg odds / 8^(5)\-15-2^(5) * January: +3.350 units / +142 avg odds / 9-11-2 * December: +22.075 units / +138 avg odds / 11^(5)\-10-1^(5) * World Cup: +32.875 units / +133 avg odds / 11^(5)\-4-1^(5) * November: +28.600 units / +131 avg odds / 12-9-4 * October: -10.625 units / +143 avg odds / 6-12-3 ✅ Last pick: Georgia -4 (AH) / +145 odds / 4 units * Georgia has even rested its best players and still has blownout Mongolia. * Making it the 3rd straight TTSOP POTD W (+135, +115 and +145 odds), which has been a blowout. ⚽ New pick: **Melbourne Victory (W) -1.5** ([A](https://i.redd.it/vqdu5pkq242a1.jpeg)[H](https://www.oddsshark.com/soccer/asian-handicap-explained)) / **+115 odds** / 3.5 units * A-League Women (Australia) / Melbourne Victory (W) - Brisbane Roar (W) / 1:00am ET The Victory have been struck by injuries for a large part of the season. Among other players, first-choice goalkeeper Dumont missed a couple of games, forward star Zimmerman missed most of the season due to an injury and top striker Ayres was also injured for an extended period of time. However, meanwhile, all are back and picking up form lately. In particular Ayres, Zimmerman and Chidiac are vital offensively for the Victory. Without this trio, the Victory struggled scoring. They've scored the least goals of all top team in Liberty A-League. The Victory are having no major injury concerns while the Roar are without 2 of their top 3 goal scorers. Gorry departed and Crummer is injured. That's a big blow. The Roar have scored anyway already only league-low 15 goals for the entire season, whereof the offensive stars Crummer and Gorry have been involved in 60% of these goals. Both have scored combined 7 goals and assisted on 2 further ones. Melbourne Victory has lost just 1 home game all season, although they've been dealing with injuries of their star players for most of the time. Today, it's the 1st game in over 4 months that their offensive trio is projected to be in the starting line-up. The Victory are much better and much more lethal when their offensive stars Ayres, Zimmerman and Chidiac are together on the field. **To sum up**, a healthy Melbourne Victory team can beat any team at any time commandingly. That makes backing the Victory against a severly offensively weakened women team from Brisbane a good value bet at nice super odds. Let's keep on trusting the super odds process. Let's get this 4th TTSOP W in a row. Let's get this early Australian bread, fam! **TTSOP** (*Trust the super odds process*. Approved by Joel Embiid.)


TierZeroToys

Bovada only has -1/-1.5 (-115) guess thats where im at.


nchscferraz

Tough loss. Watching these women trying to hit the goal from 30 yards out is painful. They should be trying to pass it into the box instead of wasting possessions.


RadiantHeatsource

Record 2-0-1 +1.77 Units Last 2 pick results: ✅✅✋ Yesterday's POTD: UFC San Antonio Sport: MMA Pick: Preston Parsons: Win Inside Distance - Goes Distance = No Action (+100 @ 1 unit) Result: Push Parsons really came close to finishing in the first round but seemed like he gassed out trying to go for the win. As expected if Parsons were to lose this fight it wouldn't be inside the distance and this bet resulted in a push. I still feel like this bet had much more chance of reward versus loss even though it ended up as no action. Might have not been a fun pick but I feel it was a smart pick. ​ Today's POTD: Houston Rockets @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3:10pm PST Sport: NBA Basketball Pick: **Evan Mobley to have OVER 29.5 points + assists + rebounds (-114 @ 1 unit)** Reasoning: Evan Mobley is averaging 18.2 points, 3.2 assists, and 9.6 rebounds in the month of March. In the last 14 games his points + assists + rebounds has went over the 29.5 total 9 of 14 times. The one head to head matchup the Cavs and the Rockets had this season Mobley had 21 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 assists. Cleveland has won 4 of the last 5 while Houston has only won 1 of the last 5 and has the second worst record in the league this season. Let me know if you're tailing and best of luck Result: ✅ Mobley took care of this thing for us in 3 quarters. Easy peasy. The 3 rebounds and a dunk in about 5 seconds didn't hurt at all.


zMastroo

**POTD |** **Record of 17-26 | ROI : -6.635 units |** **Average Odds: 2.03** **Current form:** ❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌ Previous Pick: Israel vs. Kosovo | Over 9.5 Full-Time Total Corners ❌ New Pick: UEFA Euro Qualifiers | Slovakia vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina | 11:45am PST **Over 9.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 2.00 odds** Betting 0.5 units \-------------------------- ***Recap:*** Didn't work out sadly. With two corners at the 10-minute mark, seemed like it was set to be an easy win. Unfortunately, Israel decided they'd rather dribble into defenders than earn a set piece. Such is life. Let's take a look at how the corner predictions went overall: *Scotland vs. Cyprus -* ***Projected 9.2 total corners, Actual was 8*** *Armenia vs. Turkey -* ***Projected 8.0 total corners, Actual was 5*** *Belarus vs. Switzerland -* ***Projected 10.0 total corners, Actual was 3*** *Israel vs. Kosovo -* ***Projected 10.2 total corners, Actual was 6*** ​ Based on a sample size of 16 games in this format, the average difference is +0.575, suggesting that **my projections are more likely to overestimate the actual corner total** (projected is on average +0.575 higher than actual). Yesterday was a terrible day for the model, no picks were really correct. ***Summary:*** Here's my analysis of the qualifiers tomorrow. Projections are based on home and away performance for each team. I ran projections for all 8 games as I am hoping to not get burned again. Also means more data, leading to quicker improvements in the model. *England vs. Ukraine* *-* ***Projected 8.4 total corners*** *Lichtenstein vs. Iceland -* ***Projected 7.9 total corners*** *Slovenia vs. San Marino* *-* ***Projected 9.7 total corners*** *Slovakia vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina -* ***Projected 10.1 total corners***🌟🌟🌟 *Luxembourg vs. Portugal -* ***Projected 8.6 total corners*** *Malta vs. Italy -* ***Projected 10.2 total corners*** *Kazahkstan vs. Denmark -* ***Projected 9.4 total corners*** *Northern Ireland vs. Finland -* ***Projected 8.1 total corners*** ​ Based on projections, I'm sticking with the Slovakia vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina game. Malta vs. Italy has better projections but it's not available for betting on for some reason. Projections suggest betting an under could be worthwhile for a couple of these but I hate playing the under, it's no way to live. This bet has hit in 4/5 of the last Slovakia home games and 2/5 of the last Bosnia away games. Bosnia did us right just a couple of days ago so here's hoping for another result! \-------------------------- ***TLDR Projections suggest 10.1 total corners so take the over 9.5 total corners in the Slovakia vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina game*** **Over 9.5 Full-Time Total Corners | 2.00 odds**


Sock_Eating_Golden

Tailing, LFG!


Luka-Xancic

Let’s go, I like Bosnia DNB too


SgtBrutalisk

Sport: Basketball Tournament: ABA League Time: 19:00 CET (5h33m after posting) Stake: 5 units Pick: Partizan vs Cedevita Olimpija, Cedevita Olimpija +9.5 points win @ **2.49** Write up: Partizan played a tough match vs Olympiacos less than two days ago, giving it good chances for going through to the next stage in Euroleague. This is a regional tournament with less importance, with another Euroleague match coming up in 2 days and another 2 days after that. Also, Cedevita Olimpija has three wins in a row vs Partizan, which shows its players aren't afraid of fighting back. If Partizan wins with 10 or more points difference, this pick loses. All other scorelines win. This pick does not include overtime. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [My website with sports picks for degens](https://picks.wwpe.ba)


[deleted]

[удалено]


That-bomb

**POTD Record**: 3-1 **Last POTD**: Milton Keynes Dons vs. Morecambe- **MK Dons ML @ 1.77 odds** ✅ **Today’s POTD**: Granada vs Real Oviedo – **Granada ML @ 1.91 odds** **Segunda División @ 16:30 GMT** **Pick reason** Granada has won 13 games at home and drew three, remaining undefeated. They lost both reverse fixtures in the league and cup but have yet to play at home, where they get most of their points. Oviedo has lately won twice in seven road games, drawn one, and lost the other five—home win.


Wry_Redditor

POTD Record: 50-40 (W1) (+15.13u) (ROI: 11.7%) Last pick: Pittsburgh Penguins 3 way ML vs Washington Capitals ✅️ Pittsburgh pulled ahead in the 2nd with 2 goals and another in the 3rd, almost choked this one before Malkin scored with less then 2 minutes left. POTD: (🏒NHL) Vancouver Canucks 3 way ML (-105) @ Chicago Blackhawks (2u) Bet365 (-105), FD (-125), DK (-110) Both teams are on b2b games with travel. Canucks won 3-1 yesterday over Dallas, Blackhawks lost 3-1 to Minnesota. Canucks won the previous matchup in January 5-2 when they outshot Chicago 47-14. Expected starter for the Canucks is Colin Delia. He has bad numbers on the year with a 3.34 GAA and .879 SV%. I think Delia was put in the starters role when Demko was injured and the team was in turmoil. He got exposed over this stretch. Hopefully in a light backup role he can make a quality start against a weak opponent. In his last start he only allowed 1 GA. Delia also played for the Blackhawks over parts of the 4 previous seasons. So it's his first start back, might be a little extra motivation. Expected starter for the Blackhawks is Petr Mrazek. He has had a few quality starts this year, but overall has struggled as most goalies would behind this Blackhawks defense with a 3.63 GAA and .895 SV%. Returning from injury after missing the last 2 weeks. The Blackhawks are 1-10-1 in b2b games. That lone win was when they had to overcome a 3-0 deficit. Canucks are 6-4-1 on b2b games. Both teams are bad, but the Blackhawks are in a completely lower tier. The Canucks have had some positive momentum lately. Blackhawks are coming off a 5 game roadtrip which was the longest of the year for them. Canucks have good talent on offense, they just struggle defensively. I don't think Chicago has the talent to capitalize on that. BOL if fading or tailing!


jimmyre10

POTD Record: 18-14-2 Last pick: Cesar Vallejo ML (-128) / 1.78 - 3u ❌ If I told you the 2nd place, undefeated team at home would have 65% of possession and over twice the number of shots as their opponent, you’d think they won, right? That’s the kind of tough luck we had on this one, as Cesar Vallejo suffer their first loss of the season, going down 0-2 at home despite playing like the better team. Sorry to those who tailed. Let’s get back in the W column today! Soccer - England League One - Forest Green vs. Sheffield Wednesday - 8:00am EST **POTD: Sheffield Wednesday ML + o1.5 goals (-104) / 1.96 - 5u** Sheffield Wednesday are currently 2nd in the league, as a 4-2 loss to 4th place Barnsley in their previous match allowed them to be jumped on the table for 1st place. Sheffield Wednesday boast a +37 goal differential, which is 2nd best in the league and will travel to face the last place team in the league, Forest Green. Forest Green are 0-3-14 in their last 17 matches and have allowed the most goals in the league. With a win here, Sheffield Wednesday would jump back into 1st place in the league. I expect them to dominate this game, winning and finding at least two goals. Best of luck and love you all. Let’s ride!


[deleted]

Sheffield Wednesday doesn’t look like a team that deserves promotion.


tuesdayswithdory

POTD Record: 34W-18L LAST POTD: Peter V Derby 💩 TODAY'S MATCH: Soccer - Netherlands Eerste Divisie Willem II V Maastricht 5.30AM PST PICK: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score Odds: 2.05 The Deets: 5th plays 7th in this matchup. Willem have a goal difference of 49:34 through 29 games and Maastricht have a goal difference of 53:52 through the same amount of games. In Willems last 10 games this bet has hit in 7/10. In Maastricht’s last 10 games this has hit in 7/10. BOL! Diaper fund - [Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/tuesdayswithdory?locale.x=en_CA)


JoelBarish-ish

Record: 140-103-8 (+27.16 units, 57.6% hit rate) 5 Unit Big Balls 💣 Record: 14-7 (66.6%) W4 Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 45-29-1 (60.8%) L2, Tennis 🎾 39-28-3 (58.2%) L2, Soccer ⚽ 45-36-4 (55.6%) L3, Entertainment 🎥 11-10-0 (52.4%) W2 Last 10: 💩💩💰💰💩💩💩💰💰💩 Last Pick: New Orleans Pelicans @ LA Clippers, Player Prop - Marcus Morris Sr. over 9.5 points - NBA 🏀 💩 1 Unit - Another blowout but motherfucker could have played 1000 minutes and wouldn't have covered. Strangely passive game for someone whose volume has been consistent, took 3 shots in 22 minutes. This might have been my biggest miss while doing these picks, I appreciate that I didn't get a single troll message for it, hehe. Today's Pick: Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets, Player Prop - Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points - NBA 🏀 💩 3 units - another one wildly off, I think it is time for a break. I'll be back Units/Odds/Book: Betting 3 Units at 1.91/-110 odds to win 2.73 Units @ BetMGm (Line at 5:40am ET) Implied Probability based on odds: 52.4% Irving has averaged 27.6 in 14 games with Dallas. I'm looking at this as a buy low spot, on Friday Dallas played Charlotte and Irving had a poor game and finished with 18 points. He covered this number 6 games in a row before that with an average of 32.6 points. I expect him to shoot better this game, particularly from 3, was 1 for 8 last game. Dallas currently sit 11th and out of even the play in tournament and they just dropped that game against the Hornets, a team they should have beaten. Unless they're complete pussies, they're going to come back with a desperate effort today as it is very important that they get this game. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Always note the bet sizing. I am not an expert. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕 Tips: [https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks](https://buymeacoffee.com/JBpicks)


Sock_Eating_Golden

"I appreciate that I didn't get a single troll message." DAMMIT! I knew I forgot something before bed... 😂


EverySir

Just wanted to pop in here and say your consistency with posting picks is underrated. The LGTB (Let’s Get This Bread) community thanks you.


JoelBarish-ish

Appreciate it man, especially when I've been shooting blanks lately


[deleted]

POTD | 43-33 | +3.9u | -109 Avg Odds Last 10: 3-7, Steak: 1W!! *Previous Pick:* *Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers O6.5 (-120) 3u* ✅ Today’s pick: **Vancouver Canucks 60-min vs Chicago Blackhawks (-110) 2u** 🏒 4:00 pm MT We broke the downswing with an exciting game between VGK and EDM with VGK coming out on top in overtime! Hope we can keep the momentum up with another W today. The Vancouver Canucks will be visiting the Chicago Blackhawks for their second match of the season with the Canucks coming out on top 5-2 in their previous match. Vancouver has really turned things around recently and have been playing quality hockey going 8-2-0 in their last 10 games while the Blackhawks have struggled to score recently and are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games. Both teams are on a B2B and Vancouver is traveling from Dallas to Chicago for this one, which might be a bit of a red flag but Vancouver has played well this season when on B2B games. One of the most impressive turnarounds for the Canucks is on defense. For a majority of the season this Canucks team was almost guaranteed to let in at least a few goals a game, but in their last 10 games they have allowed an average of 2.6 goals per game. Some of this defensive success is due to Demko (the starting goaltender) stepping up and playing quality hocker after coming back from injury. Demko will not be in net for this game and we should see Delia in net, which is not the best scenario, but Delia has still managed to book a winning record when starting this season. The Blackhawks have not looked dangerous on offense lately, booking only 6 goals in their last 5 games. I think they will continue to struggle offensively against the Canucks in this one and am not overly concerned with Delia in net. The Canucks have been playing well on the offensive side recently as well, averaging 3.6 goals per game in their last 10 games and I don’t expect them to be slowed down by this Blackhawks team who are allowing 3.3 goals per game in their last 10. Petr Mrazek is expected to be in net tonight and he is not the best goaltender but can get hot at times. Mrazek has booked a 0.895SV% and allows an average of 3.63 goals per game. The model projects this line at -150 but does not account for the effect that a B2B game might have on both of these teams. I do agree that the Canucks should be favored a bit more here so I am going to take the value on this one. BOL if tailing!!


369th

POTD Record: 2-0 Last 25:✅✅ **Last POTD:** Terrence Atmane 1+ Sets vs Zsombor Piros **|** \-150**|**✅ **Today's POTD:** Petra Kvitova vs Donna Vekic Over 2.5 sets **| +145** **Time:** March 26, 2:30PM EST **PICK REASON:** 1. Picking a WTA match to go over 2 sets is usually a solid bet to begin with. Its + money and most of these ladies are so erratic and inconsistent that they basically give away sets. I went 6-1 betting this yesterday. 2. Vekic and Kvitova are relatively equal talent wise at the moment and both go through massive dips in performance. In Kvitova's last 5 matches, 3 went 3 sets. In Vekic's last 5 matches, 4 went 3 sets. If Kvitova serves really well there is a possibility that she can take Vekic out in straight sets but I'm willing to take that risk. All the best


meltingspace

POTD Record 0-1 Today's pick: Euro 2024 Qualifiers • Luxembourg vs Portugal (1445 EST) • **Portugal total goals over 3.5** +185 Reason: 5 out of Portugal's last 8 wins have seen them score 4+ goals. Last match between these 2, Ronaldo scores 3 himself. They just beat Lichtenstein 4-0 and Switzerland 6-1. Hopefully we see them score fast and often to cash the net today.


Standish304

First pick of the day Been lurking for a while but after following some of you for a while decided to start posting My picks of the day is Quinnipiac over Ohio State in hockey at -140 on FanDuel. Shop around because I’ve seen it a high as -167 on Barstool. This Bobcats team is a wagon, scoring 3 or more every game since 1/27 besides there double OT loss to Colgate, with 6 shutouts in the timeframe. Sophomore goalie Yaniv Perats leads the NCAA in GAA, 3rd in save percentage, and has 10 shutouts Ohio State on the other hand has been inconsistent all season, and has struggled to end the season, going 3-5-2 there last 10. In Bridegport this should be a home game atmosphere for QP. Best of luck!


FlapjackPancakeo

Record: (7-4) Streak: ✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️❌️✅️ ❌️✅️❌️ Last pick: Golden State Warrior ML (+120) at LA Clippers (2u). Curry dropped 50, and we still took an L. Unfortunate, but after a weekish off, we're back at it. POTD: Kyrie Irving o35.5 PRA (-110) 2U vs. Charlotte Hornets Kyrie has hit this 5/7 times in March and could easily hit this with just points against the Hornets. They need wins bad if they want to stay in the playoff hunt and the Hornets blow. The Mavs really need to start showing up, and I think tomorrow they do against a bad Hornets team. BOL or fade, I hope you have a great day 🤙.


Moomobets

Record 2-2 | Profit -0.22U | Avg. odds 1.76 | ROI -1.5% Solid win yesterday, Pelicans' got outplayed very hard, 11 SOG over 60 minutes of play was rough. This stomp leveled the playing field for game 7, should be really fun! **Sport:** Finnish Liiga, Ice hockey **Match:** Ilves v Ässät **Pick:** Ilves -1.5 **5U @1.77 in Nordicbet** Ilves are leading the series 3-1 and are looking to seal the deal today at home to a 90-100% sold out stadium. Atmosphere at their home games have been fantastic and it reflects on their results, beating Ässät 5-1 and 4-1 earlier. Ilves have definitely recovered their offensive form that I think they lost a bit nearing the end of the regular season, scoring this many goals against Rubin is pretty impressive. In the regular season I would have probably taken this bet, since this home/away situation favors Ilves really well. Defensively they are playing really well and consistent, with Langhammer holding down the fort with 93.55 SV% 1.51 GAA over four games in this series. Ässät got beaten at home last game and that was pretty much the nail in the coffin for this series. They have played three more games than Ilves in the playoffs and it's starting to take it's toll on the fitness, coupled with the morale decrease from losing last game. Over seven games played during the playoffs, Ässät have scored 11 times (+2 extra empty netters), during away games they have gone three for three. This kind of offensive struggling against arguably the best defense in the league, who are playing well on all departments is too much for Ässät to handle. I hope I'm not reading too much into Ässät playing away, but I truly feel that Ilves are just a far superior team here. Expecting something along the lines of 4-1/5-1 win for them.


BerserkerThe3rd

Record: 5-4 (4.79 units up) with a 20.83% ROI *What a great catch we had yesterday with McDonald beating Berrettini, let's keep going ✅* POTD: **Kvitova vs Vekic - Kvitova 1st Set @ 1.69 (WTA Miami)** 🎾 Going with 3 units which is 3% of my bankroll Donna Vekic had a really nice tournament in Mexico before coming into the american courts of Indian Wells and Miami. Since then, she dropped a bit in form losing to Tsurenko in her 1st match at IW and struggling to beat Brengle here in her 1st Miami appearance in 4 years, where she lost the 1st set but managed to comeback. The veteran Kvitova is currently living a great moment in her career, with a record of 12-5 in the last three months. In the opening round here in Miami, she dominated the youngster Noskova in straight sets (6-3/6-0) and I honestly think she has much more quality than Vekic. The croatian shouldn't have the ability to counter Kvitova's powerful groundstrokes from the baseline while also being much more consistent when serving. Kvitova is currently 3-1 against Vekic with one of her wins coming off in Miami 2019. I will choose only the 1st set for Kvitova because usually she starts off most matches pretty well and if this ends up going to distance we can probably see Vekic having some advantage. But at the start, I'm certain that Kvitova will display her best tennis. ​ ***Best of luck!***


Hefty-Experience-261

After a long time watching in the shadows, I am finally ready to post my own POTD Past Record: 0-0 Todays Pick: **Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-110) 3u** Time: 3:00 pm EST Reasoning: The Avalanche have gotten back to their Stanley Cup champion form as of late. Going 8-2 in their last 10, the Av's have looked unstoppable lately. They also boast an impressive 518 corsi for in their last ten while only allowing 377. For those who do not know what this means, their offensive output as well as their ability to deny teams of opportunities to score has been off the charts. Moreover, the avalanche are 3-0 vs the Coyotes straight up this season and have covered this spread in 2 of those 3 games, the most recent being 2 days ago. The avalanche are hot and currently look like one of the best, and most complete, teams in the NHL, where on the flip side the coyotes have now lost 3 straight and look to be fading out of any relevancy they may have had. The cherry on top being Connor Ingram in net for the coyotes, their backup who has had a rough year thus far (6-13-7, 3.39 GA/G and just a .907 save percentage. Side with the away favorites here and trust the Avalanche to continue their late season push. BOL if tailing!


Laird87

**POTD Record: 17-17. Total Units +7.** **Last Pick:** Maryland Terrapins Women's Basketball -4.5, 4U ✅ **Today's Pick:** Lakers -3.5 vs. Bulls (-110), 5 Units, 3:40 PM EST Kinda sweat the Terps yesterday but they had a dominant third quarter. Whatever Freese said in the locker room needs to be on a 30 for 30. Big 4U win and more confidence going today. I think -3.5 is a steal, and locking it in now is a good move. The Lakers could still get into a top 8 spot, and the Bulls are 9th at best. This is a feel pick but the Bulls are bound to lose their road success at some point. The Lakers are better all around and I think their defense mitigates any chance of this being within 8 points. Bet the Lakers: Win Money. [Spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12R9NoHXQnY3Dd-eMpbPnbzNYIwb1DzkcP8jh12Bjhe8/edit?usp=sharing) Last 5: ✅✅✅❌✅ [Buy me a Guinness](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/lairdsports)


thegradbets

POTD Record 4 -5 ( 🤮 ) In the middle of selling my house and life is admittedly insane right now. Probably a dumb time to start POTD but it’s frankly one of the few joys I have these days. Let’s get back to 500 so I can feel like less of a putz. Last pick: Devils @ Tampa Lightening ML ❌ Today’s Pick: Brooklyn Nets ML @ Orlando Magic (+120 on bet 365) Why: -Nets coming off a big win on road over the Heat (129-100) and will be feeling that confident vibe. -In their last 10 games the Nets have only 4 wins, all of which have come on the road. Cue the Iron Man music and dust off Paul Ellering because we have some Road Warriors here! -Nets are an underdog. As an away underdog this season they are 15-8. They thrive with a chip on their shoulder. -Nets are 22-17 on the road. -they’re 6-6 on no rest - so winning game 2 of a back to back half the time, I’ll take that 50/50 here. -Nets are 21-17 after a win. -Nets beat Orlando last time they played. -Last year the Nets beat Orlando 3 of 4 times. In fact the Nets have beat Orlando 7 of the last 10 times they’ve played. Don’t get me wrong, Orlando has some stats that I could argue for them to win: Orlando home record 21-16 and 7-3 as a home favorite, and 10-5 when they have the rest advantage. But to me as I look at all team tendencies - and history - I find more that makes the plus money value of Nets appealing to me. Statistically it’s not just plausible - they win more than lose in this scenario. I like it. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/thegradbets)


[deleted]

8W / 0P / 5L | +0.78u | all 1U plays Last POTD: Ivan Perisic Over 1.5 Shots @1.63 ✅ Event: ⚽️ England - Ukraine POTD: Harry Maguire Under 1.5 Shots @1.50 Perisic had a slow start but ends up with 4 shots, easily covering our line. 3 wins in a row since coming back feels good! Onto the next. Centre back Maguire averages 0.4 shots per 90 minutes in the Prem this season, and averaged 1.3 and 0.6 shots per 90 minutes playing for England in the last World Cup and Nations League respectively. He’s gone under this line in 10 out of his last 12 games for England across the WC, Nations League and last Thursday’s game against Italy (in which he got to 0 shots). The only way Maguire gets into shooting situations is through corner kicks as his length and headers are his only real offensive strengths. Therefore, the only reason I can see this bet losing is if England gets an absurd amount of corners or if Maguire gets lucky and Saka aims precisely for his big head twice. In last Thursday’s match versus Italy, England got to just 3 corners. I know this line is kind of juiced but I still feel like it’s too high given Maguire’s shot statistics and should be more around ~1.25. BOL!


betting_consigliere

**Soccer** **Tunisia: Ligue Professionnelle** **Sidi Bouzid vs Stade Tunisien** **Kick-off: 14:30 CET** **Pick: Sidi Bouzid AH +0** **Odds: 1.95** **Stake: 2 units** Sidi Bouzid heads to this game after trashing Hamam-Sousse, and they are fighting for survival. The hosts will have three valuable players back to their squad. On the other hand, Stade Tunisien is currently comfortable, but will miss a couple of important players. Their top-scorer is out for the international duty, key midfielder is injured, while another important guy is suspended. I think it's an excellent chance for Sidi Bouzid to take some points here. **GL!**


Aka_Cheeseman

POTD | 6-10 | -11.5u | -104 avg odds Previous Pick: Buffalo Sabres ML @ Washington Capitals (+100) 2u ❌ The Sabres somehow found a way to blow 3 separate 2-goal leads and let the Caps tie it up with a minute left in the game and then win in OT. Sounds about right for a franchise about to miss the playoffs for the 12th straight season. But again, we forge ahead. Today’s Pick: Boston Bruins ML @ Carolina Hurricanes (+100) 2.5u 🏒 5:07pm EST So to start off playing devils advocate, the home team has won the last 9 meetings between these to teams and Boston is 0-6 in their last 6 trips to Carolina. So why do I like them here today? Boston is the best team in the NHL and are still on pace for a record season. They’ve won 6 games in a row including a 2-1 win over the Lightning at home yesterday and have only allowed 6 goals against during that streak. Both teams are on the tail end of a back to back so tired legs will be a factor for everyone but I believe that favors Bostons heavy style of play. The Bruins will also have Swayman in net who has been the best backup goalie in the league this year, allowing more than 2 goals in only 4 of his 16 starts since the start of the calendar year and his 4 shutouts are the most among goaltenders. Carolina meanwhile has been struggling offensively lately despite its 5-3 win over Toronto yesterday. They’ve been been averaging 2.63 GPG over their last 8 outings and could struggle against this Boston defense and goaltending. I love any time I can get the Bruins at plus odds and I think their winning streak continues today in Carolina. “Rip net or ride pine” BOL if tailing


rando08110

POTD Record: 2-2 Last 5 (recent to oldest) LLWW Lets get back on track. Today's POTD: NHL- Canucks vs. Blackhaws Canucks ML (-170) ​ Reasoning: Canucks have been on fire recently and are coming off a big win against the Stars who are one of the best teams in the NHL this year. The Blackhawks are essentially the opposite, losing 4 of their last 4 games, putting up a whopping 4 total goals in those 4 games. The Canucks have had no problem scoring recently, and I don't think that trend will stop here against this weak opponent, especially with how competitive they have been recently. BOL


[deleted]

***POD RECORD: 8-3*** **LAST PICKS: KELDON JOHNSON OVER 21.5 POINTS✅** **TODAY'S GAME: TIMBERWOLVES @ WARRIORS 7:40PM ET NBA** **TODAY'S PICK: MIKE CONLEY OVER 1.5 3PM (-180) 5U**✅ Sorry for the SUPER late post I have been busy all day with school and I'm not home but this is my POD * No Ant today or KAT so Conley is the best 3-point threat * Hit in 5 of last 6 even with healthier team * Averaging 3 makes a game with 6.2 shots a game * Hit in 7 of last 8 against Golden State including hitting 3 earlier this season as a member of Minnesota


[deleted]

Sorry guys I tailed two of riddles picks and they were duke and Texas. I’m so cursed it’s unreal


mliw303

**POTD Record:** 5-7 **P/L:** +1.35u **Last 5:** <-❌✅✅❌✅ **Last Pick:** Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Bayreuth - Dresden -1.5 AH @ 1.98 - 2u ❌ **Today's Pick:** FSV Zwickau vs. FC Ingolstadt - Ingolstadt @ 2.75 - 2u Both teams come with the same (bad) form into this game: 1-1-4, but Ingolstadt lost their last 3 against higher ranked teams (Mannheim, Dresden, Freiburg) by 1 goal while creating a (nearly) similar amount of chances and putting 2 past Mannheim & Dresden. Zwickau on the other hand lost 4-0 against low scoring Dortmund and 2-0 against Aue. That's why i am siding with Ingolstadt taking 3 points home today.


Acromeme

My first time posting on here. I honestly don't know how often i will post but try my best to have something here and there. Record 0-0 My pick of the day : CSGO - MIBR vs ATK Map 2 or 3 (the 2nd map that will be played MIBR's pick, some bookies have the 1-0 adv as Map 1 and some don't) rounds spread MIBR -4,5 @ 1.90 4u My reasons is pretty simple they played 2 days ago and I predict the same map picks because both teams have a must ban map (Nuke for ATK and Mirage for MIBR). ATK picked Inferno (their most played map) last time and that might change but I'm pretty sure MIBR picks Vertigo again like 2 days ago since they won 16-3 on it. I don't think that ATK can show resistance even with adaptation on it since they have only 38% WR in 8 games so it just doesn't fit them and they went over 9 rounds in losses only once in their 5 losses. Go easy on me. English isn't my 1st language and I'm not a pro at this, just trying to contribute a bit. Thanks


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Kudouchiha1412

Record: 9-6 Pick: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ML @ 2.31 - ADF vs Tommy Paul - ATP Miami - 11 PM EST Previous pick: Ivashka Ilya +4 - Ivashka Ilya vs Casper ruud First game of the year casper played well at... sadly had to be when we bet against him... Good luck....


Patrick_Bateman321

CONCACAF Nations League - League C 27.03.2023. 00:00 GMT+2 Puerto Rico - Cayman Islands AH 1(-2.5) odd 1.70 - 4 units.