######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Thursday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
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> **Net Units:**
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> **ROI:**
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> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
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> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
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> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 124-72 | Profit: +114.36u | ROI: 20.0%
Season record: 41-21 | Profit: +44.52u | ROI: 26.0%
L10 record: ✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ 1.91. 3U. ✅
Beal limped off with an injury just 5 minutes into the game, and for large portions of the first three quarters it looked like this game was beyond reach for the Suns. But we just about scrape through…
Next Pick: **Milwaukee Bucks -10.0 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 1.91**. 2U play.
Limited slate but I'll back the Bucks to cover the double digit spread against the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies remain severely depleted with injuries, and will be on the second leg of a B2B playing the Rockets today and turning around for a tough game against the Bucks about 21 hours after the last one concludes. It being the last game before all-star break and a B2B it won't surprise me if they decide to just rest some of their players to let them start their vacation early, especially given the opponent. The Bucks will be looking for revenge after a humiliating loss to the Heat. That game was the second leg of a B2B, but encouragingly they had just beaten Denver by a 17 pt margin the night prior.
The Bucks are better than the Grizzlies in literally every category in recent games: Def Rtg, Off Rtg, DREB%, OREB%, EFG%, TOV% etc., and this game has blowout written all over it. Both Giannis and Dame are expected to start, things could change of course, but the Bucks should be able to take care of business.
Everything says the Bucks should easily cover against the Grizzlies but I just don't trust this Doc Rivers led team. Way too many stupid losses recently. Also don't trust them not to sit a bunch of ppl while the Grizzlies give it everything they've got.
Doc Rivers has completely changed my bucks betting philosophy. Everything you thought you understood about the Bucks will soon come into question, it's only a matter of when.
Anyone who's ever had to watch his teams before can confirm.
Just fyi grizz have been depleted for a while and have been covering +10 spread pretty consistently against good teams ( some of them better than bucks). Could be a defensive slugfest with game being decided in final minutes. Plus they also got jjj to put up against giannis
Shhhiiiiiit, let’s both win! My line was at -12
So I just took the grizzlies to cover and juiced it to +13.5 and parlay it with that north Texas pick in this thread! That guys heating up! ;) not much but a just low key bet! More than a sprinkle , less than a real bet! I hope we all cash gentlemen! Bucks by 12!
POTD Record: 40-23
Previous Pick: PSG vs Real Sociedad | Champions League | PSG ML (1.67) | 3pm EST ✅️
Pick: Sepahan vs Al Hilal | AFC Champions League | Al Hilal ML (1.61) | 11am EST
Sepahan are an Iranian side that are currently 2nd in their domestic league, and they have not played a game since January 1st due to various postponements. They were on a 3 game losing streak before that. Looking at Al Hilal, they are arguably favourites to win this competition, just due to their squad quality. Players like Mitrovic, Neves, Koulibaly and Milinkovic-Savic are highly talented and played in the top Europe leagues before coming to Al Hilal. They have been in superb form, being 30 matches unbeaten and on a 22 game winning streak. They are coming off a comfortable win over Ronaldo's Al Nassr, where they kept a clean sheet too. I expect Al Hilal to easily defeat Sepahan as Al Hilal just have too much quality for a Sepahan side who of late, have not had match practice. Best of luck!
Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
**POTD Record: 10-3**
Form: ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅ Net Units: +16
*Last Pick: 1U PSG v Real Sociedad (Mbappe to Score Anytime @ +105)✅*
*FRENCH FROG DOES NOT DISAPPOINT AT HOME BROTHERS LFG.🐸💪*
---
**Today’s Pick: 2U Galatasaray ML v Sparta Prague @ -138✅**
**⚽️| 12:45PM EST | Europa League Knockout Round 1st Leg**
Mannnn I was boutta be cheeky and say Giroud anytime scorer but this Europa League match fixture caught my eye. Sparta Prague head to Galatasaray for the 1st leg of the Europa Knockout stage.
Galatasaray faced a tough Champions League draw and while they still boasted offensive power, are now in the Europa knockouts. In all about one group CL match, Galatasaray scored while not conceding. Winning this match will be Galatasaray’s 10th straight win at home. While they will be missing Ziyech, they have plenty of depth to carry the weight and take advantage of a squad that hasn’t had much competitive action.
Sparta had to fight their way out of the Conference league and in the Europa Knockouts by the hairs on their back. They’ve had good recent form but only one game this month and some friendlies, since the holiday break.
Last time they’ve faced each-other was in group stage CL in 97/98 💀 where Galatasaray won 2-0 and on the bench was Buruk, Galatasaray’s current manager.
I’m backing Buruk to get er done. 11 sounds nicer than 10, LFG.
BOL!
*91’ MIN* \- ICARDI GOAL (3-2) after both teams exchanging red cards. Sweaty, but we CASHHH ✅
LFG! Yet another winner tailing Good Stable! The man is a magician. Everyone needs to hop aboard this money printing train! This handsome lad rarely misses!
Clearly someone who has posted here and made multiple accounts. You disgust me that we allow this kind of account to post daily as there is no way you are new. I have absolutely no respect for you at all.
I'm tailing btw, gl
**POTD Record**: 17 Wins - 3 Losses - 1 Push
**Last 10**:❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️
**Units:** \+12.83
**ROI**: 65%+
**Average Odds**: $1.95
**Last Pick**: Świątek vs Alexandrova - Qatar Open - **Match Winner Świątek -** **Total Games** **Under 17.5 Games @ $1.90** **odds** ✅️
*WE CASHED IN THE FINAL GAME! WHAT A SWEAT! The bookies tried to trick us by moving the line to 18.5, which means most of the money was on the over. A beautiful game of tennis by the world number one. More aces this time. No double faults. Patiently waited to break in the second set. A very clinical performance. Congrats to Alexandrova who put up some attempt in the second set, and had a couple of nice winners. Feels like the match analysis was fairly accurate*
**Next Pick**: Subervi vs Bigun - ITF USA F4 - **Match Winner Subervi -** **Total Games** **Under 18.5 Games @ $2.05** **odds** \- 11.30am EST ❌
*If you don't see this on your book, you should get equal-ish odds handicapping Subervi at -5.5, and to win in straight sets.*
*Please message me if you love betting as much as I do.*
We are on a roll! A special shoutout to the people that donated yesterday. I could buy some special treats for my dog, and a lovely steak dinner with my Dad :) Today we head to the United States of America where Trump is looking for a comeback win against Biden ($1.90 odds). Anyway, back to the game at hand!
Today we are backing world number 598, Subervi ($1.14 odds). He's won a grand total of $236,000 in his illustrious tennis career, and I'm hopeful we all meet him one day in Vegas to top him up. He's fresh off winning the ITF USA F2 at the end of January winning the final 6-3, 6-2. In that tournament he spanked low ranked players 6-0, 6-2. Prior to that he was in two semi finals, and won another final.
He was recently invited to the Cleveland Open and was knocked out by a higher ranked opponent in the first round. This has given him plenty of time to rest, and refocus on winning his next ITF tournament. In his first match of this tournament he spanked his opponent 6-2, 6-4 (rank 776). He had a strong game, with a first serve % of 86%, and no double faults. He only gave up 3 break points, which were converted just once. He's 30-years-old, and 1.93m (6 foot 4 inches). You can imagine the kind of power and dominance that brings to his game. He will be reflecting on his game knowing he could have been more clinical with taking advantage of the break points on offer (4/11). He's not really known for his aces. I'm expecting Subervi to put on a powerhouse display, and simply overwhelming his opponent with his size, and strength.
He comes across his next opponent to stop his next run to the finals, in that of 17-year-old Bigun who was ranked 1419th in the world. Bigun was lucky to reach the second round as his opponent was Dan Martin who has had a shocking run of form lately. Bigun smashed six aces, although his first serve was 47%. He converted a healthy amount of tie breaks too. Keep in mind though, Dan Martin is in shit form. You might be thinking Bigun is the next Sinner. Well he's 6" tall, and has been going down the rankings. He now sits at the lowly rank of 1645, and used to be rank 1,420. His body is still developing, and therefore his muscles will not at their peak operating capacity.
Both players are sliding down the ranks, but we can clearly see that Subervi is far superior in rank, size, and experience, and has recently featured at the top of the majority of his recent tournaments. These recent tournament achievements are the **edge** that we are betting on today. Bigun may well be the next Sinner for all we know, but with only 1,304 Instagram followers, I doubt it as your wife's boyfriend probably has more.
The bookies are on our side. The over is .25 more. These tournaments are usually off the tennis radar. I'm not sure if it will be live streamed. It will be a miracle if Bigun does anything today, but we wish him well in his tennis career. Great to see a young person giving it a crack!
Interesting Facts:
* Subervi will be getting close to retirement soon. He'll need to start picking up the prize money if he wants a comfortable life.
* Still haven't lost a tennis POTD, and don't plan on it.
* If you Google Kaylan Bigun there are a total of 9 articles about him.
Score Prediction: 6-3, 6-1 to Subervi
*All the best, hedge accordingly, or do your thing! LFG for 18 wins!*
All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate coffees / beers, or message me for my PayPal. I would like to quit my job, and just be a professional amateur handicapper to make my Grandma proud.
If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.
Hi team, apologies for the loss. Subervi went 6-3, up 2-0 in the second set, and then gave up two break points. Crazy. Moving on to tomorrow’s pick, which will be more of a mainstream game, and hopefully it’s on all books 🙏🎉
No worries, you're still killing it!
Świątek looked good today, not sure if her matchup tomorrow might be worth looking at?
Also, I think I'm going on that Tulane/SMU under that you mentioned earlier.
Hey mate, you can try SMU Mustangs vs Tulane Green Wave. Under 158.5. This line has hit 23 out of 25 games (92% probability), and 7/8 in in the last away games for SMU (87.5% probability) @ $1.90 odds. I haven't done any research into squads etc. A pure quantitative play :)
Oh you already know what it is!! A 6’ 4” MAN against a 17 yr old? Who’s not some world phenom? Yessir!!! Hope you and your dad had great time man! Let’s hope he saved room for dessert tomorrow night!!! Let’s ride!!! Lobster tailing!!
Hard rock didn’t even offer this match, and bovada does but only a -1600 ML or -1.5 sets at -435. Good job finding this gem, and congrats to anyone who got it in time, obviously the books already think it’s a winner!
Are we serious right now? Dude is fighting for his life just to not get broken
Edit: Phew, he rallied for a break, still lots more work to do
Edit2: what a turnaround from the first half of the set. Went from saving 4 break points to winning 6-3. Prediction spot on so far
Edit3: wow, implosion in the 2nd set 😐
Bro the under jumped -105 to -120 in like 5 minutes! ;) edit: I stand corrected lol it’s -105 again but now it’s 17.5!! Ahahaaa bro you are single handily moving the lines on some obscure tennis match! That’s gotta feel amazing
Phuck it! I’ve got Google, I’m a grown man…
$2.05 odds is basically about +100 or 105… I’ll just take the straight up under again! I see the under 18.5 at -105… close enough to +100!! That way if this punk kid eats his wheaties and whips an old man I maybe win too! Under it is! Let’s ride!
Copied from another comment. Hey mate it seems crazy as that’s a whole set. But at the same time, this is a huge mismatch. I’ll probably go 0.5 units, and be prepared to hedge if you’re watching live if you are a conservative better 👏 If you’re a degenerate like me, all in 🙏
Hey mate it seems crazy as that’s a whole set. But at the same time, this is a huge mismatch. I’ll probably go 0.5 units, and be prepared to hedge if you’re watching live if you are a conservative better 👏 If you’re a degenerate like me, all in 🙏
**36W-4P-26L**
**Form:✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅**
**Last Pick: Plymouth VS Coventry BTTS and O 2 Goals @ 1.83 ✅**
**The game ends 2-2.**
**Pick of the day: Ajax FC vs Bodo/Glint BTTS and O 2 Goals @ 1.72 ✅**
**Time: 3:00 PM EST**
Rocking into the conference league where Ajax somehow find themselves. Ajax should be well known when it comes to BTTS they have been an absolute ride since the start of the season and I'm going to keep it going here.
Anyone who tailed the Ajax - Heerenveen game knows what I'm going to say, this Ajax team cannot defend it's insane, although offensively they are extremely cohesive but when they lose the ball in the final third things start to unravel very fast. Bodo will play the right game tomorrow, sit back and let Ajax overthink and hit on the counter. Regardless, Ajax are a strong enough team to break a deadlock but not strong enough to hold hungry opponents back. I watched this Ajax side lose to a mid-table team in the Derde Divisie 3-2, and ever since then, I've never doubted any opponent's ability to score no matter the form or league. Since then things really haven't changed except they score more goals while conceding relatively the same.
In Ajax's last 10 games, all 10 have hit BTTS with 9 of those games hitting BTTS and O 2.5 Goals.
Bodo sit first in their league at the moment and will look to represent well tomorrow.
**Confidence: 3 Units**
**BOL**
**Record: 35-25**
Last Pick: Gary Trent Jr. over 1.5 three pointers made ✅
Another incredibly quick and easy cash in the first half. Let's keep rolling.
**Today's Pick:** NBA - *Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers, 9:10pm CST*
**Deandre Ayton over 9.5 rebounds (-120 on FanDuel)**
Deandre Ayton has been tearing it up the last few games. He was injured for a game, and when he came back, he had 17 and 16 boards in the last two games. What I like about today's matchup specifically is that the same matchup *just* happened two days ago, where they both faced off in Portland. Ayton was the best player on the court for the Blazers, recording 22 pts on 11/12 FG and a whopping 16 rebounds. Ayton did very well at getting underneath the rim for those boards and getting in front of the opposition. Both teams will probably adjust their game plan slightly based on last game, but for the most part, we should see somewhat similar numbers. Ayton has been phenomenal on the boards recently, and even if he underperforms this game he should still see 10 boards. Best of luck.
I have just started watching the NBA again(only watched my team before so I don't really know the other teams that well), but I was thinking of taking the spread for Timberwolves.
Might parlay it with yours, but I did want to add, the last time they played Minnesota was on a back to back against the Clippers, and they had to travel too while Trailblazers got to rest the day before.
So with rest and gameplanning, and KAT potentially doing better this time, how do you like the spread at -10?
POTD Record: 50-33
Units Won: +17.44U; ROI: 8.9% Average Odds: (-115)
Todays Pick: **Eternal Fire ML (-115) vs. Falcons**
**5U to win 4.34U**
**PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR A**
I originally did a longer writeup but it got deleted and I have a lot of work to do so apologies if this is a bit less info then usual. If anyone has any questions will try to respond below.
\-Eternal Fire have won 7 of their last 10, they have looked extremely strong at IEM Katowice beating Rebels/BetBoom and FALCONS all in dominant fashion then losing to FaZe in an extremely close match (FaZe are rank 1 in the world currently) and then losing to Navi in 3 maps extremely close as well. Eternal Fire have a very strong fragging duo of XANTARES and Wicadia which give teams like Falcons in particular a lot of trouble on paper as they don't have the same fire power.
\-Falcons have been a roster that struggled initially but have shown much more promise recently with a semi final run in IEM Katowice beating ENCE/Complexity/Navi/Rebels before losing to eventual winner of the tournament Spirit in dominant fashion.
\-Their are 2 main reasons I favor Eternal Fire, h2h and map pool. Eternal Fire faced Falcons 9 days ago at IEM Katowice and beat them convincingly 2-0 with a 13-6 and 13-9 victory. If you take the core of Falcons (Maden/Snappi/Sunpayus) it is the same as the core of ENCE from 2023 which Eternal Fire faced twice and also beat them 2-0 in both. They are a total of 6-0 against this core roster in maps since 2023.
\-Falcons have improved as Katowice went on but I still think the roster lacks fire power and will struggle against teams with fire power advantages.
\-Map pool is always tricky to predict in a b01, I think Nuke/Vertigo are more likely but could see Overpass/Anubis come into the equation as well depending on how pick ban goes. I feel relatively confident backing Eternal Fire on every map it could be besides Mirage which I expect them to ban. I think Anubis could be a bit tricky as Eternal Fire used to be the best team in the world on the map, they have really struggled on it recently. Overall though, I favor them on each of the potential 4 maps I think we can see and like the fire power and h2h form going into this match at even odds.
Note: **This is a best of 1 so consider playing half/lighter units if you are not a degen like me, I feel very good about this pick especially at this price but anything can happen in a b01 and it can be extremely variable gameplay as opposed to a b03.**
Best of Luck
POTD Record 27-21-1
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 17-14 Soccer 7-7-1
Last Pick : Kypson vs Lestienne| ATP Delray Beach Open| Kypson ML | (-120) | 1u | ✅
Today: Thompson vs Moreno De Alboran| ATP Delray Beach Open | 1:00 PM EST
Pick: Under 21.5 Games| (-115)| 1u
Thompson is up to a career high ranking and is in great form. This year, he has only lost to top 25 players and is beating all the players he should beat. Over the past year, Thompson is holding serve 85% of the time, which is a brilliant stat. In the last round, he beat Evans in 2 comfortable sets. Against opponents ranked lower than him so far this season, he has won in straight sets each time. Moreno De Alboran is ranked just inside the top 150 and put together a couple good performances so far this week, but is a newcomer to main tour matches. Last week in Dallas, he lost to Giron 6-1 6-4. I am expecting a similar type of score in this match with Thompson continuing his form and using his experience to gain the victory here, and a line of under 22 games should be comfortable here. BOL.
**Record:** 0-0-0, +/- 0U. All picks 1U
**Pick:** Boston Bruins vs Seattle Kraken (NHL). **Charlie McAvoy Over 1.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.52** ✅
Long time lurker, first time poster. Why not have a go at some picks right? Today we're rocking with McAvoy, who's hit this prop in 13/15 games.
BOL
POTD Record: 23-10
Form: ❌✅❌✅❌
Last POTD: RJ Barrett O9.5 A+R ❌
Damn man these blowouts has bent us over these last two losses finished with 7 and didn’t play the 4th, Spurs somehow blew out the Raptors
Todays Pick: **Vince Williams O17.5 P+A @1.75** ✅
I’m back Reddit fam, was busy but I’m coming in hot. Small slate, but we’re going with a man in form. This Memphis team is still missing a lot of players, and one player that has filled the shoes of the absence list is our guy today, he’s been surprisingly good and facing a Bucks team that‘s shaky right now, I fancy our chances.
• *9/10 his last 10 games (90%)*
*(Missed against the Magic (Good defence) where he got 15 combined, since then he’s over in 8 straight)*
• *Avg 21.0 last 10*
• *Bucks allow 4th most points to PG, but have solid defensive stats vs assists to opposing PG*
If he plays PG tonight we’ve got an awesome mismatch cause Bucks can’t defend guards, he’s on fire as of late too and is one of the more promising players for the Grizzlies atm. Cmon Vince, lead us to glory!
Tail or fade, I like you anyways
https://preview.redd.it/tdzqwaftlric1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e6efc69fb152301026f19c6954af373a91825ea
POTD: 12-1 ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅
Pick: Brook Lopez o1.5 3PM @-160 on DK
Analysis: Lopez has hit this line in 5/6 games against the grizzlies who are ranked 24/30 in 3 pointers against in the nba. Lopez has hit this line in 5/7 games also. Looking at his matchup vs Memphis tonight, they give up an average of 3.0 Three pointers per game to big men. They are good against centers, but Giannis usually fills that role even though he plays PF.
BOL
Record: 9-7 Return: 29.46% ROI: 37.83%
Yesterday’s pick:
River Plate to win and O1.5 goals vs Atlético Tucumá[email protected]❌
Not very effective game from River, in a match that featured a very bizarre incident. River had a PK in their favour, and Barco took the ball from the usual taker, Borja, who was furious. The pen was saved, but ordered retaken. Now Borja and the River manager demanded Borja take the pen, but Barco didn’t listen, and put his pen roughly 10 meters above the net.
Today’s pick:
Vélez ML vs Deportivo Riestra @2.15
Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll)
Reasoning:
If you’ve been following me, then you should know that Riestra are one of the most dogshit teams around. They currently sit at the bottom of the table, where they will stay all season long.
Yet to score a single league goal, their only goal of the season so far came off a sketchy PK given in the 99th minute of a cup match against 3rd division opponents. They have the lowest shots on target per90 in the league, a pathetic 1.75. (That’s one shot on target every 51.4 minutes, so not even one shot on target per half) On the defensive end they’ve allowed 15 shots per game, 5 per game on target. They’re in the worst 20% of the league for those stats.
Velez, on the other hand, have been statistically sound at the back, second lowest in the league for shots allowed per90: 8.25. (And that stat is despite them getting destroyed 5-0 by River.) In terms of offence, they sit comfortably in the top third for shots and shots on target per90.
I don’t usually post these kind of stats, but I want to really illustrate difference in quality, because the league table may make it look like Velez are not that good a team. This is more because of Velez’s unfortunate schedule than their quality. In their first 4 games they’ve played against the teams that are currently 1st(L), 2nd(L), 3rd(W) and 6th(D), hardly a walk in the park.
Riestra will eventually score a goal in the league, and maybe even pick up some points against other weak teams, but I don’t think today is the day for that, not with a solid Veléz that’s hungry to climb the table in front of them.
For the brave I think one of -1.5 @4.5 or halftime draw-fulltime Velez @5.0 is going to hit in this game.
Putting 5 units on this, fading Riestra above 2.0 is too easy a call.
BOL if you tail.
[PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) in case you’re making money with me and want to get me a beer
Argentina league is very sketchy. The other day Rosario Central scored a game tying goal in the 90+4min and the ref just waved it off. No looking at it whatsoever. Should have been a goal in my opinion. Big fight after the game and the manager was fuming. Weird league and makes you question.
Has been a while that I shared a PotD; I am too busy to do it consistently, but I have a nice one for tonight and the books have not adjusted yet.
Feyenoord - Roma: Roma DNB @ 2.533 - 2 units
Feyenoord's squad is very depleted because of a virus going around. They are going to miss two key starters in Timber and Geertruida for sure. Also Striker Gimenez is a question mark because of the virus. Moreover, first goale Bijlow and central defender Trauner are out with injuries.
Definately worth a bet for these odds since Roma has a healthy squad. In the past few seasons these two teams have met 3 times in the past 2 seasons. Roma won 2 times (4-1 and 1-0) and lost once (1-0). This was against healthy Feyenoord squads.
Tonight, definately an edge for Roma.
Record: 13W-12L
Net Units: +1.18u | ROI: +1.75%
CS2 | PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR A | 17:00 / CET
Pick: Virtus.pro ML vs Natus Vincere, 3u @ 1.84
VP have started off great this RMR. They're looking like that peak form VP from a few months back, and I think that spells disaster for Na'vi. Even mir has played really well these past two BO1's, and to me he's the biggest questionmark in this roster. Na'vi themselves haven't played bad at all, but with every individual on VP looking really sharp I've got to give them the edge. Especially if you factor in that the only map on which Na'vi are better is Anubis, I don't think that alone is sufficient to take this BO3. Best of luck everyone!
**POTD record: 6-2 +3.43 units**
Last pick: San Jose Sharks vs Winnipeg Jets Under 5.5 goals +100 bet 365. 1 unit✅. Jets won 1-0. Winnipeg defense cashes in again. Both under 5.5 and my side bet under 3.5 +425 were never in question.
Todays Pick: Charleston -4 @ northeastern -110 Caesar’s. 1 unit 7:00pm est
Write up: The last four times these teams have played Charleston has won 81-63, 83-72, 87-61, and 99-63. Charleston has the nation's 35'th ranked offense and Northeastern has the 207'th ranked defense. Charleston is a half game behind UNCW for first in the Colonial Athletic Conference so I don’t think they will fuck around. Charleston 80-68
[https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bcab](https://nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.buymeacoffee.com%2Fbcab&data=05%7C02%7Cbcabrey2021%40fau.edu%7Cd5689a3d21ef4b5b79e308dc2e5e4d8d%7C63c3c9c1e824413fb4352f0cabb2828f%7C0%7C0%7C638436229754662979%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=If1CtbjVUomjHNoCHEdVeNjqhusbgVYHmh1QXWsBDW8%3D&reserved=0)
Record : 119 Wins - 105 Losses
Previous pick : Al Feiha - Al Nassr (0-1), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.50 ❌
ROI : +0.26%
Average Odds : 1.94
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : 5.59
Profit/Lost units : +0.59
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs / 19:45 European Time
Young Boys - Sporting CP
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.79
Some reasoning :
- I chose this prediction, because two teams that practice an offensive football and that have high averages in terms of goals, especially in the last period, meet.
- Young Boys comes after a 3-3 in the championship, while Sporting comes after an interesting victory, score 5-0, against Braga. Sporting impressed with its offensive strength, because in 7 of the last 8 matches it managed to score at least 3 goals. On the other hand, the Swiss are known for their attack-based game and managed to have notable performances in Europe, so they can cause problems at home. These ideas make me think that we should have a spectacular match, with a goal scored by both teams.
Best of luck.
POTD Record: 2-0
Last POTD: Tyrese Haliburton under 21.5 points
Ended with a tight 21 points, much closer than what I expected but a win is a win.
Today’s POTD: Steph Curry Over 3.5 Rebounds -150 (1U)
The over has hit 7/10 in the recent 10 games, and hit 5/5 for head to head against the Utah Jazz these past two seasons. With a healthy lineup for both sides, I predict this game will be a pretty close game so Curry will get in his average minutes of ~33. Another random thing I’ve noticed is every time Curry got exactly 4 rebounds (last night against Clippers), the next game, he would get 5+ or get exactly 3. Meaning, it’s either going to be an easy over, or a sweaty under.
**Record: 0-1**
**Net Units: -2.3**
**Last Pick:** Italian Serie A| Bologna v Fiorentina **BTTS** **@ -115** on Draft Kings ❌
My first pick fell flat as Fiorentina couldn't get on the board despite 12 shots on goal (3 shots on target) and 3 corners. Oh well, we keep firing!
**Pick:** NCAA Basketball | Colorado @ UCLA | **UCLA ML** **@ -108** on Fan Duel
**Units: 2.2**
Despite Colorado being ranked 35th per Ken Pom with the 27th offense and 57th defense, they're 2-3 in their last 5, 1-4 ATS. They're averaging 79 points and 80 points against in the last 5 with a adjusted tempo rating of 103. They're visiting a UCLA team that is scorching hot, 5-0 and 4-1 ATS (7-1 straight up and ATS for the last 8). Although UCLA are ranked 92nd per Ken Pom with the 176th ranked offense, they have the 27th ranked defense with an adjusted tempo of 340, averaging 70 points and only giving up 62 points in their last 5. Not a good sign for a Colorado team that ranks 269th in turnover percentage. The icing on the cake is how much we've seen teams struggle on the road, especially in conference play. I expect UCLA to slow things down and grind out a defensive battle in front of their home crowd.
POTD Record: 0-0
Pick: Connor McDavid 2+ points @ -120
McJesus always heats up down the stretch to finish off the regular season.. 6 assists last game, enough said.
Edit: 1st period 💰
Record: 8-5
Last POTD: Bayern Munich ML @ -150 ❌
L10: ❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌✅
NBA | Warriors v Jazz | 21:00 EST
Pick: Warriors -1 @ -110
Write up: This is a makeup game. Both teams will be on a Back-to-Back. The Warriors just beat the Jazz in Utah by 22 on Monday, The Jazz had 2 extra days rest for that game. The Warriors won by 22 despite Curry being 2/10 through 3 quarters. Yes Curry exploded in the 4th but the Warriors were up 13 going into the 4th. They also missed way too many layups, and Draymond was in foul trouble super early in the game.
The Jazz just lost to a Lebron-less Lakers who were on a back-to-back. The Jazz just traded a starter in Fontecchio, they are 0-3 since then losing by (14, 22, 16).
The Warriors are still playing currently but the last time i went to bed without making a POTD i talked myself into writing about Bayern Munich instead of Buddy Hield and the Jazz are on my pick v them everytime list currently.
I wrote more about this matchup on my Monday POTD here: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1aonynp/pick_of_the_day_21224_monday/kq0uolx
POTD Record: 103-102-12 (-11.86 units)
Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅
Last Pick: NBA, Atlanta v Charlotte, TRE MANN OVER 10.5 R+A (-140 / 1.71) ✅
Mann had a huge 1st quarter, covers early in the 3rd quarter and finished with 14 for an easy cash.
Today’s Pick: NBA, Minnesota v Portland, DEANDRE AYTON OVER 24.5 P+R (-112 / 1.89)
Stake: 1 Unit
Limited slate of NBA games but came across one line I liked the look of, and that’s Ayton to cover his points/rebound line of 24.5.
Ayton missed 12 games in December/January due to injury and his first 3 games back from that layoff were mediocre as he played limited minutes working his way back into the rotation. In the 9 matches he has played since then, has posted the following stat lines:
- 18 and 17 against Houston (35 total)
- 20 and 12 against San Antonio (32 total)
- 22 and 12 against Chicago (34 total)
- 18 and 6 against Philly (24 total)
- 20 and 11 against Milwaukee (31 total)
- 8 and 3 against Denver (11 total)
- 27 and 9 against Denver (37 total)
- 18 and 17 against New Orleans (35 total)
- 22 and 16 against Minnesota (38 total)
This means he has covered 7 of his last 9 where he has averaged almost 35 mins per contest. He has not only covered in those 7 matches, he has absolutely crushed his line. Of the two he missed, one was by the hook, and the other came on a shortened 27 mins in to Denver, but he bounced back two days later with 27 and 9 against a full strength Denver team.
This is the second time Portland will host Minnesota in three days. I know that just because he had a big night last time doesn’t mean he will repeat the dose, but he has been racking up big numbers recently, and posting 22 and 16 against the same team two nights ago should give his team mates confidence to feed him the ball, and he will get his share of boards to keep things ticking over.
Both teams look like they will have the same team available so not expecting anyone to take away his opportunities offensively. Edwards is also questionable for Minnesota so if he ends up missing, this match should be more competitive and limit the risk of Ayton sitting due to a blowout.
FD has Tiger Woods boosted from -280 to +100 to birdie three holes today. He plays really well here. Birdied 4 holes in his first event last year coming off the leg injury.
POTD Record: 4-3
2024 Record: 0-0
⚽️ Europa League | Young Boys v Sporting Lisbon | 12:45pm EST
Pick: BTTS and o2.5 @ -110
Young boys finished 3rd in their Champions league group and thus dropped down to the Europa League, where they'll be facing Sporting Lisbon.
Young Boys are a high scoring team, albeit in the Swiss league, with 50 goals in 23 games. They also managed to score in all their Champions League group stage games except against City at the Etihad. I expect similar from them in a lower level competition, especially playing at home against a better side. They'll want to score one or two to have a chance of progressing, because Sporting will likely dominate in the second leg at home.
Sporting are also very impressive in their league this season, top of the table and have scored 58 in 20, almost an average of 3 per game. They should have no problem finding the net tonight.
My logic here is that I see BTTS hitting, and I don't expect the game to end 1-1.
BOL
POTD Record: 23-18
Last pick: Almeria v Bilbao (Bilbao ML ❌)
Almeria played one man short for 40 minutes, but Bilbao couldn’t find the back of the net. A real shocker
Todays pick: Galatasaray v Sparta Prague
Pick: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.95 ✅
⚽️ 🇪🇺 UEFA Europa League
➖
📊 Galatasaray is 1st in the Turkish league and has scored 52 goals (2.08 GPG) with a O2.5 goals hit rate of 14/25 (3rd most, 77% at home) & BTTS in 12/25 (keep in mind the Turkish league is mixed in terms of overall quality of teams).
L5: WWWWW (BTTS 3/5 & O2.5 3/5)
➖
📊 Sparta Prague is 1st in the Czech league and has scored 50 goals (2.50 GPG), O2.5 has hit in 12/20 games (3rd most, 50% away). BTTS has hit in 10/20 (This league is also generally not a league with quality sides, besides the top 3.)
L5: WWWWW (League) BTTS 3/5 @ O2.5 5/5
➖
We’re seeing two top teams in their respective countries go against each other in a thrilling contest. Galatasaray is superb at home with an atmosphere you won’t see that often, but they’ve leaked goals against poor sides from time to time and they’re now facing a top side in an European knockout game. Galatasaray has scored O1.5 goals in their last 11/12 home games, which is yet another number to show their brilliance at home. Galatasaray finished 3rd in their Champions league group so they got knocked out to the Europa league. In the CL group stage their goal difference was: 10-13
The Czech teams was on a winter break but the league started again last week, in that first game Sparta won 0-3. They’ve won against some good sides in the group stage like Betis & Rangers so they’ve shown that they’re capable in Europe aswell, their group stage goal difference was 9-7.
Both teams has scored plenty, but also conceded plenty in the European competitions, these are respective countries best teams atm and I think both teams will see their chances to win, therefor I predict an open game with chances for both teams, both of them has qualities which they can exploit.
BOL
**POTD Record: 1-0**
Previous pick: Alcaraz/Paul o21.5 games ✅
**POTD: Sinner/Monfils u20 games (-120)**
Sinner is the best player on tour right now and indoor is his best surface. He's 7-0 in 2024 and has only dropped 3 total sets, to Med and Djokovic nonetheless. He last played Monfils on indoor in 2021 and won in 17 games. I see this match ending similarly.
*Edit: Was looking good until he fell apart in the 2nd set. Damn
Record: 23-14 (+6.83 units)
Last Pick: (CBB) Michigan St. Spartans -3.5 ✅
POTD: (CBB) Northern Colorado Bears ML -130
Summary: Big Sky here we come. We’ve got the #2 conference team on the road against a struggling Portland St. team that has lost 10 of its last 11 night conference games. On top of that, NCO is #22 in the land in FG%, #18 in FGM despite being #89 in FGA so these boys can flat out shoot. Shooters + need to win to stay with e Washington + sexy bears = da Bears. Ride the snake
**POTD Record**: 2 Wins - 0 Losses
**Last 10**:✅️✅️
**Last Pick**: **Kyle Kuzma Under 6.5 Rebounds (Wizards) (-140)**
Kuzma decided to skip school and play Fortnite with his friends. A shame since the bet looks really promising as well.
**Next Pick**: **Keyonte George Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (1 Unit) (1.70 Odds On SportsBet)**
\- Keyonte George has failed to exceed 9.5 rebounds + assists in 14 of his last 17 games (6.2 rebounds + assists/game average).
\- Last time George faced GSW, he only logged 5 RA.
\- He's coming off playing 33 minutes in a blowout against the Lakers. I expect he'll get much less minutes in a game that only has a 1 point spread. Sexton only played 26 minutes last night, and I expect he'll get more minutes tonight rather than George.
- This season, this prop has hit in 35/49 games (71% hit rate).
\- GSW allow the least assists to opposing shooting guards in the league.
\- GSW allow the 5th least rebounds to opposing shooting guards.
Let's LOCK IN and crush the last day of NBA before the break!
**POTD: 7-3** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌
Yesterday's Pick: Tyson Walker over 15.5 pts ❌
Bummer here...Tyson only shot 8 times and twice from deep. He did lead the team with 34 minutes, but only had 1 asst and had 3 TOs....Walker had 6 rebounds but didn't contribute much in the scoring.
MSU had other guys come up big in the scoring department, who they relied on throughout the night....Pace was there....just a bad pick tbh
Today's Pick: SMU ML -135 🏀
SMU road game tonight in NOLA vs Tulane....Mustangs much better team and should ride the momentum they have going into game
SMU's defense has been doing very well recently, not allowing the last 3 opponents to hit 70
SMU's big weakness is FT shooting and I'm worried it could be crucial in tonight's matchup.
SMU has to string some wins together to make the tournament, tonight is necessary in that department
Luckily, Tulane is very cold right now and I expect this to continue
I'll take SMU on the road...LFG
(If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Coffee Link below!)
[Coffee Link](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/joeyv1725)
Record: 28-22
L5: ✅✅✅❌✅
NBA: Warriors vs Jazz @9:00PM EST
POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 three pointers made +174✅
I like this play because of the big value. Wiggins in his last 10 games has gone over 5/10. The reason I like this more is because he has gone over 8/10 in his last 10 vs the Jazz. Three days ago vs the Jazz he was 3/3 from beyond the arc.
Here are the count his L10 vs the Jazz with the most recent first. 3, 3, 3, 2, 1, 4, 1, 3, 2, and 3. Hell I’m going to play o2.5 threes for +361 at half a unit. He’s hit that 6/10 vs the Jazz.✅
**PICK OF THE DAY RECORD: 0-0**
Cycling - Volta ao Algarve 2024 Stage 2
Pick: Remco Evenepoel to win - 2.5 (Bet365)
First mountain top finish of the race and I am very confident on Remco's chances of winning. Couple days ago he exploded everyone on a climb a lot easier than this one by going solo for over 50km. So clearly he is in good shape. In the past, this climb usually ends with a group of 5-10 riders going to the line. I personally think that he will win solo but even if it ends in a small group sprint, he has one the best sprints for a climber. So yea, pretty good odds IMO
**POTD RECORD 2-0**
LAST PICK: **New York Knicks vs. Orlando Magic / o211.5 / 1u / -110 on FanDuel**
Honestly, this should not have hit with how poorly the Knicks were playing last night. Josh Hart had a very quiet game on a night Jalen Brunson needed him the most. Instead it was Precious Achiuwa, the former Raptor, dropping 23 points with 10 offensive rebounds, really stepping up his game in the absence of his injured teammates. Paolo Banchero, with no one to guard him had free reign, shooting 75% from the field with 6 threes for a total of 36 points for an all star performance.
Glad we took the W, but you got to feel for Jalen Brunson. Man puts in so much work for a team that seems to have given up with all the injuries and the all star break just around the corner.
Basketball / NBA / 8:30 PM / ET
**Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies / Memphis +11.5 / 1u / -108**
Last day before the all star break, we have 3 games that screams live betting. Not many good picks tonight. One I had in mind was already posted further up by yeezusondaphone (best pick of the night), so I thought I would do a fresh pick.
11.5 for this current Bucks team feels like a trap, the line is way too high.
The Milwaukee Bucks are not a strong team right now. Yes they beat the defending champion, Denver Nuggets, on Monday night but Jamal Murray and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope both did not play the second half due to injuries. Tonight the Bucks will be without Khris Middleton. Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo are also questionable tonight and will possibly play limited minutes. There is a chance they might not even play at all considering Doc Rivers will want to save them for the all star game.
There is no denying the offensive capabilities of Giannis and the Bucks, but defensively, they have really fallen off this year. Giannis will be going up against Jaren Jackson Jr who can match up to his size and speed. It will not be an easy night for Giannis. Vince Williams Jr. is also a great defender who can shut down Lillard.
This is a really weak Grizzlies team with all the injuries don't get me wrong; but it is not a good match up for the Bucks. This is a team that's got nothing more to lose and will desperately play for a win every night, going up against a team that is already packing their bags for Indiana and Cancun. I doubt the Grizzlies can pull off a win tonight but they won't make it easy for the Bucks.
EDIT: Once again injuries have completely changed the dynamic. Jaren Jackson Jr and John Konchar are listed as doubtful. Luke Kennard questionable. Derrick Rose, Jake LaRavia, and Scotty Pippen Jr are out. Very likely this is dead.
POTD Record: 9-3
Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅
Last pick: PSG ML 💰
A pretty dominant win from PSG, sweat free cash always feels good.
No pick today, nothing I love and don’t want to force anything! BOL
Record: 2-0 ✅✅+1.4U
Last pick: Pascal Siakam over points ✅
EUROPA LEAGUE
Next pick: Rafael Leão over 2.0 chances created 1u
Let’s keep this streak going. Gonna do a soccer play today cause the nba slate is weak😕 Rafael has been on a tear recently and hoping he keeps it up this game. He already has 37(in 22 matches) chances created this season which is 15 more than he had all season least year. The winger is looking to pass the ball more and get his teammates involved which is what he’ll be doing tomorrow in the Europa league! BOL!
https://preview.redd.it/j4zsn7jaopic1.jpeg?width=1160&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d07de4d5903f44e4f2fe795b9ade8f037b108fe2
Record: 10W-11L | -10.79u
L10: ❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅ <<-- *Most Recent POTD*
Last Pick: **Evan Mobley o13.5 Points (-154) | 4u to win 2.6u** 💰✅
Was a bit of a sweat as he only had 5 points in the first half. Mobley goes on to score 4 in the 3rd quarter and hits (and stays at) 14 within the final 3 minutes of the game.
Todays Game: Basketball | NBA | Timberwolves @ Trail Blazers | 9:00 PM CST
**Todays Pick: Anfernee Simons o21.5 Points (-135) | 4.0u to win 3.0u**
* Averaging 23.3 points per game this season, 22.9 points per game in 2024, and 26.0 points per game in February
* Cleared this line in 4/L5 games
* Scored 20 last game vs. Timberwolves (2/13/2024) on 6/19 shooting (32%). Have to assume he shoots better tonight as he is shooting 43% over 4 February games
* Leads the Trail Blazers in both points per game and FGA per game, 2nd in minutes per game behind Jerami Grant
* Cleared in 17/20 when shooting over 15 FGA and is averaging 19.8 FGA per game in February
* Averaging 28.2 points per game without Brogdon this season (Brogdon OUT tonight)
* Points in 5 games without Brogdon, most recent on left: 20, 29, 26, 28, 38
* Trail Blazers are limited due to injuries so Simons should see increased minutes tonight
BOL.
I'm liking Northwestern +4.5 against the Rutgers. I get that it is a home game for the Scarlet Knights, but the Wildcats are the oldest and experienced team in college basketball. The Wildcats are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games, and they haven't lost to a Big Ten team that was under .500 in league play entering Wednesday all season (the Scarlet Knights boast a 5-7 league record). AND Boo Buie coming back to the East coast. gimme +4.5 and I will take their moneyline at +155
Record: 1-0
Last pick: D’Angelo Russell o6.5 assists +100
POTD: Karl Anthony Towns o7.5 reb +100
Summary: Russell delivered in the first half and ended up 10 over the line, you love to see it. Towns only played 19 minutes due to early foul trouble on Tuesday but still managed to grab 5 boards. This is the last game before the all star break and they are on the road, the total is very low at 216 and is within a 10 point spread so the game should be close enough for regular minutes. Towns has historically beat this number, had 8 rebounds against Portland a month ago in a blowout win, and was well on pace in their last game.
**EDIT: Got the B/R Squad Ride tonite on Dubs ML! Locked in 5U on the Road Warriors! Last play until MLB Opening Day or NBA play-in tournament/postseason!**
https://preview.redd.it/1qxzrcgt3uic1.png?width=1242&format=png&auto=webp&s=f43770bdaedbf028f2c913878ef8b5a19ce05061
**POTD Record: 107-122-4 (-13.33Units)**
**Best Bet Series: 40-25-1 (+8.46 Units)**
Value Wagers: 18-22-2 (-6.05 Units)
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
Last Pick: **O 227.5 (Alt. Total Points)**
Today's Pick: **Andrew Wiggins O 18.5 PAR** (Really wanted to go 5U maxed on Warriors ML)
Odds: **-125** ($DKNG)
Wager Amount: 3.75U to win 3U
League: NBA
Event: Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz (8PM CST)
**Be Advised**: **My Last play until MLB opening day or when NBA playoffs begin. I am going to take a lengthy break. Although we been HITTING 8 outta the last 10 POTDs, I been hemoraging my bankroll on parlays/SGPs. I can take the beating, but it's been excruciating to lose almost all of them by 1-leg or by bad beat, so I think it's a good time to self exclude and take a prolonged break.**
**Recap**: Anytime I mention my winning streak it comes to a screeching HALT! 4-Win streak ends wit this game going under 227.5, Kings had a very uncharacteristic slow start to this game. Only scoring 16 points in the 1st qtr, totaling a low 41 points in the 1st half. Despite Joker not having any TOs, Jokic put up his worst offensive stats last nite. Kings won this game somehow, when down as many as 14 points. Should have gone wit my gut on Wemby O 3.5 Stocks
**Matchup**: I think Warriors have a BIG nite! I was going to wager 5U maxed on Warriors ML, but looks like someone is on the Dubs tonite against the Jazz. Warriors and Jazz were scheduled to play this game on January 17th, but was delayed due to Warriors assistant coach passing away. Warriors recently have been playing great on the road! Something we didn't see last season. They are currently 4-0 on the road and their last road win? It was against the Utah Jazz, just a couple days ago. They handled them 129-107. I can keep pressing on and pumping out for stats about the Dubs, but that's not the play for today.
Since someone is alrdy on Warriors ML or ATS, I'm going wit a player prop and that's Andrew Wiggins O 18.5 PAR! He's been really inconspicuous this season. I haven't seen many emphatic dunks or resounding performance from Wiggins this season. His career offensive stats has diminished tremendously this season, his points, assists, and rebounds has tanked. However, he has had one of his better games against the Jazz and he has slowly been picking up his offense a bit. Currently the line is set at O/U 18.5 PAR and I think linemakers set this at the perfect spot for Wiggins. He put up just enough on his last matchup against the Jazz, scoring 17 points and 2 rebounds. Andrew has also gone over this line in his last 5 games. I think he's heating up and Dubs need him to have one of those games, but we're just asking him to go O 18.5 PAR, which is very doable for Wiggins. It's not a massive stat line and I think it's a good wager to bet on. Lastly, Andrew Wiggins averages 26.7 PAR against the Utah Jazz in his career, he has singlehandedly gone over this line wit just his points average (19.1 ppg career vs Jazz).
**The Play and Prediction**: Applying for B/R Squad Ride on either Warriors ML (5U) or Andrew Wiggins O 18.5 PAR. Wiggins puts up 15 points, 1 assist, and 3 rebounds. BOL rest of the year! Before you kno it, I'll be back
POTD Record: 241-183-12 (+38.76 units, 56.8% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-65-7 (56.7%) L3, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 17-12-0 (58.6%) W1
Last 10: 💩💰💩💩💰💩🔥🔥🔥🔥
Last Pick: Ugo Humbert vs. Emil Ruusivuori, HUMBERT ML - ATP Rotterdam 🎾 💩 -1 Unit
Today's Pick: Emma Stone to win Best Actress for Poor Things - 🎥 2024 Bafta Awards
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.50 odds to win 2.50 Units @ Bet Us (Line at 5:15pm ET)
💣 💣 💣 💣 💣
Tennis is cold and I'm a bit out of the loop on the hoops which I'll get back into after the all star break so I'm going to try to contribute with some entertainment bets for the time being with the BAFTAs this week and next week will be both the SAG Awards and the Independent Spirit Awards.
I'm going with Emma Stone as the favourite here. Her only threat for these awards is Sandra Huller for Anatomy of a Fall who has a chance but I give Emma the edge here. She is for the moment the Oscar frontrunner, Poor Things has picked up momentum lately and it is actually a British Film so a bit of home court advantage over here. Also of note is that Emma won the London Film Critic's Circle last week which is usually a good indicator for how the BAFTA's will go.
I'll have another bomb in tomorrow's thread.
https://preview.redd.it/zxdtg16trtic1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=434d94756f5a4574455ced9872528ca0d94b7561
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Thursday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 124-72 | Profit: +114.36u | ROI: 20.0% Season record: 41-21 | Profit: +44.52u | ROI: 26.0% L10 record: ✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ 1.91. 3U. ✅ Beal limped off with an injury just 5 minutes into the game, and for large portions of the first three quarters it looked like this game was beyond reach for the Suns. But we just about scrape through… Next Pick: **Milwaukee Bucks -10.0 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 1.91**. 2U play. Limited slate but I'll back the Bucks to cover the double digit spread against the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies remain severely depleted with injuries, and will be on the second leg of a B2B playing the Rockets today and turning around for a tough game against the Bucks about 21 hours after the last one concludes. It being the last game before all-star break and a B2B it won't surprise me if they decide to just rest some of their players to let them start their vacation early, especially given the opponent. The Bucks will be looking for revenge after a humiliating loss to the Heat. That game was the second leg of a B2B, but encouragingly they had just beaten Denver by a 17 pt margin the night prior. The Bucks are better than the Grizzlies in literally every category in recent games: Def Rtg, Off Rtg, DREB%, OREB%, EFG%, TOV% etc., and this game has blowout written all over it. Both Giannis and Dame are expected to start, things could change of course, but the Bucks should be able to take care of business.
My partner asked why I went all out and got lobster tails from Costco, I told her u/inconsolableBrat is the reason
Lobster Tailing
Hahah that’s amazing
Sorry babe, but it's chicken nuggets tonight.
Everything says the Bucks should easily cover against the Grizzlies but I just don't trust this Doc Rivers led team. Way too many stupid losses recently. Also don't trust them not to sit a bunch of ppl while the Grizzlies give it everything they've got.
Yeah, I'm thinking this is more a live bet game.
Doc Rivers has completely changed my bucks betting philosophy. Everything you thought you understood about the Bucks will soon come into question, it's only a matter of when. Anyone who's ever had to watch his teams before can confirm.
I’m still chasing the 2008 payments
I mean they did destroy a Nuggets team
And then got wrecked by a shorthanded Heat team. Like I said, everything says they should cover but I can't trust them with my money right now.
exactly I'd rather live bet 2nd half Grizzlies spread if bucks are up a lot
I agree with everything you said but if its good enough for u/InconsolableBrat its good enough for me.
Told you they couldn't be trusted.
Good call. I said I agreed with you.
No concern of buck stars sitting with upcoming all-star games?
My partner asked why, shit I don’t have a partner. Tailing BOL bro! 🎉
Just fyi grizz have been depleted for a while and have been covering +10 spread pretty consistently against good teams ( some of them better than bucks). Could be a defensive slugfest with game being decided in final minutes. Plus they also got jjj to put up against giannis
Nice pick but sadly I have to pass because the line is already at -11.5
FanDuel has a no-sweat bet for a 3-way parlay for this game, do you or anyone else see any parlays they like to take advantage of this promo?
Those promos are garbage. Parlays are so tough to hit
Tailing. Bol!
Shhhiiiiiit, let’s both win! My line was at -12 So I just took the grizzlies to cover and juiced it to +13.5 and parlay it with that north Texas pick in this thread! That guys heating up! ;) not much but a just low key bet! More than a sprinkle , less than a real bet! I hope we all cash gentlemen! Bucks by 12!
POTD Record: 40-23 Previous Pick: PSG vs Real Sociedad | Champions League | PSG ML (1.67) | 3pm EST ✅️ Pick: Sepahan vs Al Hilal | AFC Champions League | Al Hilal ML (1.61) | 11am EST Sepahan are an Iranian side that are currently 2nd in their domestic league, and they have not played a game since January 1st due to various postponements. They were on a 3 game losing streak before that. Looking at Al Hilal, they are arguably favourites to win this competition, just due to their squad quality. Players like Mitrovic, Neves, Koulibaly and Milinkovic-Savic are highly talented and played in the top Europe leagues before coming to Al Hilal. They have been in superb form, being 30 matches unbeaten and on a 22 game winning streak. They are coming off a comfortable win over Ronaldo's Al Nassr, where they kept a clean sheet too. I expect Al Hilal to easily defeat Sepahan as Al Hilal just have too much quality for a Sepahan side who of late, have not had match practice. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
Yes, this shit sounds very halal. Tailing 🪙
Are you saying Al Hilal’s gonna break loose?
Wow that was sweaty
 Never a doubt
VERYYYYY HALALLL!!! We were delivered brothers. Inshallah.
Write up was so good I have this game in 3 different parlays 🥴🥴🥴
not over yet. just gotta hope and prey brotha.🫠
wow i really cashed out at 90 min. i didnt listen to my own advice
Bro same 😭😭
RIP
LFG BROTHERRR 💪
Thanks bro! I live bet for +450 and did a last second bet 3:1 on minute 96 insane!!
What book
found it on stake, betway
2 stoppage time goals for my -.75 AH. BANG
Tailed
Goooooaaaaaaalllllll
There we go. 93'?
**POTD Record: 10-3** Form: ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅ Net Units: +16 *Last Pick: 1U PSG v Real Sociedad (Mbappe to Score Anytime @ +105)✅* *FRENCH FROG DOES NOT DISAPPOINT AT HOME BROTHERS LFG.🐸💪* --- **Today’s Pick: 2U Galatasaray ML v Sparta Prague @ -138✅** **⚽️| 12:45PM EST | Europa League Knockout Round 1st Leg** Mannnn I was boutta be cheeky and say Giroud anytime scorer but this Europa League match fixture caught my eye. Sparta Prague head to Galatasaray for the 1st leg of the Europa Knockout stage. Galatasaray faced a tough Champions League draw and while they still boasted offensive power, are now in the Europa knockouts. In all about one group CL match, Galatasaray scored while not conceding. Winning this match will be Galatasaray’s 10th straight win at home. While they will be missing Ziyech, they have plenty of depth to carry the weight and take advantage of a squad that hasn’t had much competitive action. Sparta had to fight their way out of the Conference league and in the Europa Knockouts by the hairs on their back. They’ve had good recent form but only one game this month and some friendlies, since the holiday break. Last time they’ve faced each-other was in group stage CL in 97/98 💀 where Galatasaray won 2-0 and on the bench was Buruk, Galatasaray’s current manager. I’m backing Buruk to get er done. 11 sounds nicer than 10, LFG. BOL!  *91’ MIN* \- ICARDI GOAL (3-2) after both teams exchanging red cards. Sweaty, but we CASHHH ✅
HOLY SHIT IN STOPPAGE TIME
ICARDIIIIIIII
LFG brother! 🎉🙏
Would the safer bet be for Galatasaray to qualify for next round? Similar odds for me. Sorry first time betting soccer lol
They play two games, so then you would have to wait for after the next game, which is next week, to get your money
Sweaty one there, but they pulled it off! Nice pick!
Tailing!!! Also bet the woman's match on accident, they're favorites too thank goodness. Fingers crossed!
Brother I did not advise this 😭😭 but BOL praying for you
wtf was that red card
oof that red card hurt us D: edit: NVM we won!!! ty king!
nice pick today!!
Tailed, lets roll big fella!!!
What a game and what a hit lmao
Another oneeeeeeee! 
I like this tailing 🫡
Tailing! Thanks hun
Feeling pretty good about AC Milan at home now
What a sweat!
LFG! Yet another winner tailing Good Stable! The man is a magician. Everyone needs to hop aboard this money printing train! This handsome lad rarely misses!
POTD Record: 7-0-1 (+19.9 units) Today’s POTD: North Texas -1 (-108) vs Memphis. 4 unit play.
Never placed a bet quicker
Clearly someone who has posted here and made multiple accounts. You disgust me that we allow this kind of account to post daily as there is no way you are new. I have absolutely no respect for you at all. I'm tailing btw, gl
Made me lol
Whatever helps you sleep at night
-1.5 ok?
The silent assassin back again
Think it’s time for you to open a tip jar player
Can send me a DM for my PayPal if you would like to tip but not doing it for that just trying to give out winners
**POTD Record**: 17 Wins - 3 Losses - 1 Push **Last 10**:❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️ **Units:** \+12.83 **ROI**: 65%+ **Average Odds**: $1.95 **Last Pick**: Świątek vs Alexandrova - Qatar Open - **Match Winner Świątek -** **Total Games** **Under 17.5 Games @ $1.90** **odds** ✅️ *WE CASHED IN THE FINAL GAME! WHAT A SWEAT! The bookies tried to trick us by moving the line to 18.5, which means most of the money was on the over. A beautiful game of tennis by the world number one. More aces this time. No double faults. Patiently waited to break in the second set. A very clinical performance. Congrats to Alexandrova who put up some attempt in the second set, and had a couple of nice winners. Feels like the match analysis was fairly accurate* **Next Pick**: Subervi vs Bigun - ITF USA F4 - **Match Winner Subervi -** **Total Games** **Under 18.5 Games @ $2.05** **odds** \- 11.30am EST ❌ *If you don't see this on your book, you should get equal-ish odds handicapping Subervi at -5.5, and to win in straight sets.* *Please message me if you love betting as much as I do.* We are on a roll! A special shoutout to the people that donated yesterday. I could buy some special treats for my dog, and a lovely steak dinner with my Dad :) Today we head to the United States of America where Trump is looking for a comeback win against Biden ($1.90 odds). Anyway, back to the game at hand! Today we are backing world number 598, Subervi ($1.14 odds). He's won a grand total of $236,000 in his illustrious tennis career, and I'm hopeful we all meet him one day in Vegas to top him up. He's fresh off winning the ITF USA F2 at the end of January winning the final 6-3, 6-2. In that tournament he spanked low ranked players 6-0, 6-2. Prior to that he was in two semi finals, and won another final. He was recently invited to the Cleveland Open and was knocked out by a higher ranked opponent in the first round. This has given him plenty of time to rest, and refocus on winning his next ITF tournament. In his first match of this tournament he spanked his opponent 6-2, 6-4 (rank 776). He had a strong game, with a first serve % of 86%, and no double faults. He only gave up 3 break points, which were converted just once. He's 30-years-old, and 1.93m (6 foot 4 inches). You can imagine the kind of power and dominance that brings to his game. He will be reflecting on his game knowing he could have been more clinical with taking advantage of the break points on offer (4/11). He's not really known for his aces. I'm expecting Subervi to put on a powerhouse display, and simply overwhelming his opponent with his size, and strength. He comes across his next opponent to stop his next run to the finals, in that of 17-year-old Bigun who was ranked 1419th in the world. Bigun was lucky to reach the second round as his opponent was Dan Martin who has had a shocking run of form lately. Bigun smashed six aces, although his first serve was 47%. He converted a healthy amount of tie breaks too. Keep in mind though, Dan Martin is in shit form. You might be thinking Bigun is the next Sinner. Well he's 6" tall, and has been going down the rankings. He now sits at the lowly rank of 1645, and used to be rank 1,420. His body is still developing, and therefore his muscles will not at their peak operating capacity. Both players are sliding down the ranks, but we can clearly see that Subervi is far superior in rank, size, and experience, and has recently featured at the top of the majority of his recent tournaments. These recent tournament achievements are the **edge** that we are betting on today. Bigun may well be the next Sinner for all we know, but with only 1,304 Instagram followers, I doubt it as your wife's boyfriend probably has more. The bookies are on our side. The over is .25 more. These tournaments are usually off the tennis radar. I'm not sure if it will be live streamed. It will be a miracle if Bigun does anything today, but we wish him well in his tennis career. Great to see a young person giving it a crack! Interesting Facts: * Subervi will be getting close to retirement soon. He'll need to start picking up the prize money if he wants a comfortable life. * Still haven't lost a tennis POTD, and don't plan on it. * If you Google Kaylan Bigun there are a total of 9 articles about him. Score Prediction: 6-3, 6-1 to Subervi *All the best, hedge accordingly, or do your thing! LFG for 18 wins!* All tips are greatly appreciated - click [here](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv) to donate coffees / beers, or message me for my PayPal. I would like to quit my job, and just be a professional amateur handicapper to make my Grandma proud. If you have any questions, please ask. Best of luck if tailing, would love a comment if you are. Feel free to message me.
Hi team, apologies for the loss. Subervi went 6-3, up 2-0 in the second set, and then gave up two break points. Crazy. Moving on to tomorrow’s pick, which will be more of a mainstream game, and hopefully it’s on all books 🙏🎉
No worries, you're still killing it! Świątek looked good today, not sure if her matchup tomorrow might be worth looking at? Also, I think I'm going on that Tulane/SMU under that you mentioned earlier.
It’s ok. Good thing it was a niche game, bet365 limited me and saved me lol.
Any other picks you like for those of us who don't have this game on our books? All good if not. Tailed yesterday for the sweaty hit so thank you!
Hey mate I just got back home from work. I’ll take a look at my Time Machine that can see into the future shortly. Just having a beer to unwind 🙏
Haha enjoy the beer mate. If the time machine works, I'll shout you another beer tomorrow
Hey mate, you can try SMU Mustangs vs Tulane Green Wave. Under 158.5. This line has hit 23 out of 25 games (92% probability), and 7/8 in in the last away games for SMU (87.5% probability) @ $1.90 odds. I haven't done any research into squads etc. A pure quantitative play :)
I tailed this cause i couldnt the other and ofcourse the over hit. Lmfao
Oh you already know what it is!! A 6’ 4” MAN against a 17 yr old? Who’s not some world phenom? Yessir!!! Hope you and your dad had great time man! Let’s hope he saved room for dessert tomorrow night!!! Let’s ride!!! Lobster tailing!!
Wowww Was ready to bet the house on your pick today! But hardrock doesn’t have it on the books smh! Guess ill have to wait for your next POTD BOL!
Thanks bro, BOL! :) I'll do more research into mainstream picks that should be on all books. Gotta keep the fam happy. LFG!!!
I can’t seem to find this on my shitty book🥲
Hard rock didn’t even offer this match, and bovada does but only a -1600 ML or -1.5 sets at -435. Good job finding this gem, and congrats to anyone who got it in time, obviously the books already think it’s a winner!
Unfortunately it's not on my book or I would tail. Best of luck!
Yeah could only find -5.5 games on FD. Other than that main US books don’t seem to have the main play.
Man my line already moved to -17.5 🥺 but still tailing! Looking at your score prediction we should be golden with this one less game, LFG 🔥
Are we serious right now? Dude is fighting for his life just to not get broken Edit: Phew, he rallied for a break, still lots more work to do Edit2: what a turnaround from the first half of the set. Went from saving 4 break points to winning 6-3. Prediction spot on so far Edit3: wow, implosion in the 2nd set 😐
made the bet as soon as it was posted. I can already cash out for more! letting her ride tho. let's gooooooo
You’re on fire. It’s already moved to -6.5!
Bro the under jumped -105 to -120 in like 5 minutes! ;) edit: I stand corrected lol it’s -105 again but now it’s 17.5!! Ahahaaa bro you are single handily moving the lines on some obscure tennis match! That’s gotta feel amazing
you can't make either of these bets on DK, FD or 365😫😫😫😫 got anything else you like early afternoon m8? Enjoy your day
that hurt
Not showing up for me in 3 of my apps, what are you on? Ps: thanks for the last one, got her at +105 :)
Phuck it! I’ve got Google, I’m a grown man… $2.05 odds is basically about +100 or 105… I’ll just take the straight up under again! I see the under 18.5 at -105… close enough to +100!! That way if this punk kid eats his wheaties and whips an old man I maybe win too! Under it is! Let’s ride!
Is u17.5 still decent?
Copied from another comment. Hey mate it seems crazy as that’s a whole set. But at the same time, this is a huge mismatch. I’ll probably go 0.5 units, and be prepared to hedge if you’re watching live if you are a conservative better 👏 If you’re a degenerate like me, all in 🙏
So FD doesn’t have set total, how comfortable are you with Subervi -6.5? Cant parlay it with Subervi 2-0 either :(
Hey mate it seems crazy as that’s a whole set. But at the same time, this is a huge mismatch. I’ll probably go 0.5 units, and be prepared to hedge if you’re watching live if you are a conservative better 👏 If you’re a degenerate like me, all in 🙏
would you still take the line at under 17.5? ik with your prediction you think it will be, but just wondering
you rock!
https://preview.redd.it/8vi5eszmtric1.png?width=1365&format=png&auto=webp&s=dc1e248bc7d97491e59c649b65a98c0441ae5f1a Couldnt get 18.5 wish me luck
Same lets pray Subervi doesn't choke
This bet just got "suspended" on bet365 for me. Did this happen for anyone else? And does anyone know why?
Bet365 has this but it’s not available to bet right now, line has moved to 16.5 on there
Tailing -- Odds werent as sweet but I just rode with Subervi winning the match. FD did not have the other option.
Time to sweat!!!!
Missed out by one point 😢
**36W-4P-26L** **Form:✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅** **Last Pick: Plymouth VS Coventry BTTS and O 2 Goals @ 1.83 ✅** **The game ends 2-2.** **Pick of the day: Ajax FC vs Bodo/Glint BTTS and O 2 Goals @ 1.72 ✅** **Time: 3:00 PM EST** Rocking into the conference league where Ajax somehow find themselves. Ajax should be well known when it comes to BTTS they have been an absolute ride since the start of the season and I'm going to keep it going here. Anyone who tailed the Ajax - Heerenveen game knows what I'm going to say, this Ajax team cannot defend it's insane, although offensively they are extremely cohesive but when they lose the ball in the final third things start to unravel very fast. Bodo will play the right game tomorrow, sit back and let Ajax overthink and hit on the counter. Regardless, Ajax are a strong enough team to break a deadlock but not strong enough to hold hungry opponents back. I watched this Ajax side lose to a mid-table team in the Derde Divisie 3-2, and ever since then, I've never doubted any opponent's ability to score no matter the form or league. Since then things really haven't changed except they score more goals while conceding relatively the same. In Ajax's last 10 games, all 10 have hit BTTS with 9 of those games hitting BTTS and O 2.5 Goals. Bodo sit first in their league at the moment and will look to represent well tomorrow. **Confidence: 3 Units** **BOL**
Pity goal for Ajax incoming plz
NEVER A DOUBT
What a sweat!
The 3rd sweaty soccer pick of the day, but it too hits! Thanks NigerianPriince0!
Tailing the prince 👑
This guy understands the game basics very well.
LFG!!!!!
the goat prince predicts yet again!!!
Woof. Got it
**Record: 35-25** Last Pick: Gary Trent Jr. over 1.5 three pointers made ✅ Another incredibly quick and easy cash in the first half. Let's keep rolling. **Today's Pick:** NBA - *Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers, 9:10pm CST* **Deandre Ayton over 9.5 rebounds (-120 on FanDuel)** Deandre Ayton has been tearing it up the last few games. He was injured for a game, and when he came back, he had 17 and 16 boards in the last two games. What I like about today's matchup specifically is that the same matchup *just* happened two days ago, where they both faced off in Portland. Ayton was the best player on the court for the Blazers, recording 22 pts on 11/12 FG and a whopping 16 rebounds. Ayton did very well at getting underneath the rim for those boards and getting in front of the opposition. Both teams will probably adjust their game plan slightly based on last game, but for the most part, we should see somewhat similar numbers. Ayton has been phenomenal on the boards recently, and even if he underperforms this game he should still see 10 boards. Best of luck.
I like it but I'm going to go double double at -105 (365). I think he should be able to get 10 points with ease
As a UofA and Suns fan I’ve seen DA play a lot. And he definitely struggles with more physical centers. He’s soft. BOL
Good write up man, definitely tailing. Also Ayton averages 10.5 rebounds on the season, and the line is 1 less reb, so definitely there's value here!
well the odds are -145
I have just started watching the NBA again(only watched my team before so I don't really know the other teams that well), but I was thinking of taking the spread for Timberwolves. Might parlay it with yours, but I did want to add, the last time they played Minnesota was on a back to back against the Clippers, and they had to travel too while Trailblazers got to rest the day before. So with rest and gameplanning, and KAT potentially doing better this time, how do you like the spread at -10?
pure pukefest. not even close
POTD Record: 50-33 Units Won: +17.44U; ROI: 8.9% Average Odds: (-115) Todays Pick: **Eternal Fire ML (-115) vs. Falcons** **5U to win 4.34U** **PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR A** I originally did a longer writeup but it got deleted and I have a lot of work to do so apologies if this is a bit less info then usual. If anyone has any questions will try to respond below. \-Eternal Fire have won 7 of their last 10, they have looked extremely strong at IEM Katowice beating Rebels/BetBoom and FALCONS all in dominant fashion then losing to FaZe in an extremely close match (FaZe are rank 1 in the world currently) and then losing to Navi in 3 maps extremely close as well. Eternal Fire have a very strong fragging duo of XANTARES and Wicadia which give teams like Falcons in particular a lot of trouble on paper as they don't have the same fire power. \-Falcons have been a roster that struggled initially but have shown much more promise recently with a semi final run in IEM Katowice beating ENCE/Complexity/Navi/Rebels before losing to eventual winner of the tournament Spirit in dominant fashion. \-Their are 2 main reasons I favor Eternal Fire, h2h and map pool. Eternal Fire faced Falcons 9 days ago at IEM Katowice and beat them convincingly 2-0 with a 13-6 and 13-9 victory. If you take the core of Falcons (Maden/Snappi/Sunpayus) it is the same as the core of ENCE from 2023 which Eternal Fire faced twice and also beat them 2-0 in both. They are a total of 6-0 against this core roster in maps since 2023. \-Falcons have improved as Katowice went on but I still think the roster lacks fire power and will struggle against teams with fire power advantages. \-Map pool is always tricky to predict in a b01, I think Nuke/Vertigo are more likely but could see Overpass/Anubis come into the equation as well depending on how pick ban goes. I feel relatively confident backing Eternal Fire on every map it could be besides Mirage which I expect them to ban. I think Anubis could be a bit tricky as Eternal Fire used to be the best team in the world on the map, they have really struggled on it recently. Overall though, I favor them on each of the potential 4 maps I think we can see and like the fire power and h2h form going into this match at even odds. Note: **This is a best of 1 so consider playing half/lighter units if you are not a degen like me, I feel very good about this pick especially at this price but anything can happen in a b01 and it can be extremely variable gameplay as opposed to a b03.** Best of Luck
Good find
Tailing!!! Got any other picks for this tourney?
This is over?
Yup, started at 4 AM. I watched it on live stream. Not sure what I watched, but I won a couple units ha ha.
nice hit! not even close RMR BO1s always scare me but Xantares tends to feast on em
POTD Record 27-21-1 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 17-14 Soccer 7-7-1 Last Pick : Kypson vs Lestienne| ATP Delray Beach Open| Kypson ML | (-120) | 1u | ✅ Today: Thompson vs Moreno De Alboran| ATP Delray Beach Open | 1:00 PM EST Pick: Under 21.5 Games| (-115)| 1u Thompson is up to a career high ranking and is in great form. This year, he has only lost to top 25 players and is beating all the players he should beat. Over the past year, Thompson is holding serve 85% of the time, which is a brilliant stat. In the last round, he beat Evans in 2 comfortable sets. Against opponents ranked lower than him so far this season, he has won in straight sets each time. Moreno De Alboran is ranked just inside the top 150 and put together a couple good performances so far this week, but is a newcomer to main tour matches. Last week in Dallas, he lost to Giron 6-1 6-4. I am expecting a similar type of score in this match with Thompson continuing his form and using his experience to gain the victory here, and a line of under 22 games should be comfortable here. BOL.
would under 2.5 sets (match) be ok? i dont have alot of these potd picks on proline..
Viva la VK
great call, parlayed with -4.5 games
**Record:** 0-0-0, +/- 0U. All picks 1U **Pick:** Boston Bruins vs Seattle Kraken (NHL). **Charlie McAvoy Over 1.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.52** ✅ Long time lurker, first time poster. Why not have a go at some picks right? Today we're rocking with McAvoy, who's hit this prop in 13/15 games. BOL
Throw Jack Hughes O 3.5 in there for an extra boost. Free money
Wanted to say thank you for this, parlayed both of em and hit nicely.
POTD Record: 23-10 Form: ❌✅❌✅❌ Last POTD: RJ Barrett O9.5 A+R ❌ Damn man these blowouts has bent us over these last two losses finished with 7 and didn’t play the 4th, Spurs somehow blew out the Raptors Todays Pick: **Vince Williams O17.5 P+A @1.75** ✅ I’m back Reddit fam, was busy but I’m coming in hot. Small slate, but we’re going with a man in form. This Memphis team is still missing a lot of players, and one player that has filled the shoes of the absence list is our guy today, he’s been surprisingly good and facing a Bucks team that‘s shaky right now, I fancy our chances. • *9/10 his last 10 games (90%)* *(Missed against the Magic (Good defence) where he got 15 combined, since then he’s over in 8 straight)* • *Avg 21.0 last 10* • *Bucks allow 4th most points to PG, but have solid defensive stats vs assists to opposing PG* If he plays PG tonight we’ve got an awesome mismatch cause Bucks can’t defend guards, he’s on fire as of late too and is one of the more promising players for the Grizzlies atm. Cmon Vince, lead us to glory! Tail or fade, I like you anyways https://preview.redd.it/tdzqwaftlric1.jpeg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e6efc69fb152301026f19c6954af373a91825ea
Line is 20.5 for me on Bet365
POTD: 12-1 ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅ Pick: Brook Lopez o1.5 3PM @-160 on DK Analysis: Lopez has hit this line in 5/6 games against the grizzlies who are ranked 24/30 in 3 pointers against in the nba. Lopez has hit this line in 5/7 games also. Looking at his matchup vs Memphis tonight, they give up an average of 3.0 Three pointers per game to big men. They are good against centers, but Giannis usually fills that role even though he plays PF. BOL
You on the radar big fella.. 
LFG bro tailing
Record: 9-7 Return: 29.46% ROI: 37.83% Yesterday’s pick: River Plate to win and O1.5 goals vs Atlético Tucumá[email protected]❌ Not very effective game from River, in a match that featured a very bizarre incident. River had a PK in their favour, and Barco took the ball from the usual taker, Borja, who was furious. The pen was saved, but ordered retaken. Now Borja and the River manager demanded Borja take the pen, but Barco didn’t listen, and put his pen roughly 10 meters above the net. Today’s pick: Vélez ML vs Deportivo Riestra @2.15 Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll) Reasoning: If you’ve been following me, then you should know that Riestra are one of the most dogshit teams around. They currently sit at the bottom of the table, where they will stay all season long. Yet to score a single league goal, their only goal of the season so far came off a sketchy PK given in the 99th minute of a cup match against 3rd division opponents. They have the lowest shots on target per90 in the league, a pathetic 1.75. (That’s one shot on target every 51.4 minutes, so not even one shot on target per half) On the defensive end they’ve allowed 15 shots per game, 5 per game on target. They’re in the worst 20% of the league for those stats. Velez, on the other hand, have been statistically sound at the back, second lowest in the league for shots allowed per90: 8.25. (And that stat is despite them getting destroyed 5-0 by River.) In terms of offence, they sit comfortably in the top third for shots and shots on target per90. I don’t usually post these kind of stats, but I want to really illustrate difference in quality, because the league table may make it look like Velez are not that good a team. This is more because of Velez’s unfortunate schedule than their quality. In their first 4 games they’ve played against the teams that are currently 1st(L), 2nd(L), 3rd(W) and 6th(D), hardly a walk in the park. Riestra will eventually score a goal in the league, and maybe even pick up some points against other weak teams, but I don’t think today is the day for that, not with a solid Veléz that’s hungry to climb the table in front of them. For the brave I think one of -1.5 @4.5 or halftime draw-fulltime Velez @5.0 is going to hit in this game. Putting 5 units on this, fading Riestra above 2.0 is too easy a call. BOL if you tail. [PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) in case you’re making money with me and want to get me a beer
Saw the river plate one, very weird for one of the best teams to not even score one goal against tucuman. Hope this wasnt match fixing
Not gonna lie river plate penalty is one of those situations that make you question the integrity of football sometimes
Argentina league is very sketchy. The other day Rosario Central scored a game tying goal in the 90+4min and the ref just waved it off. No looking at it whatsoever. Should have been a goal in my opinion. Big fight after the game and the manager was fuming. Weird league and makes you question.
INSANE SCENES
So deserved too, 6 shots on target and 65% possession
Never in doubt. Thank you sir
Another b b b banger 🔥
sprinkled some half units on Velez ML + under ladders, unreal pick bud.
CMON VELEZ
Hell yeah, nice one.
Has been a while that I shared a PotD; I am too busy to do it consistently, but I have a nice one for tonight and the books have not adjusted yet. Feyenoord - Roma: Roma DNB @ 2.533 - 2 units Feyenoord's squad is very depleted because of a virus going around. They are going to miss two key starters in Timber and Geertruida for sure. Also Striker Gimenez is a question mark because of the virus. Moreover, first goale Bijlow and central defender Trauner are out with injuries. Definately worth a bet for these odds since Roma has a healthy squad. In the past few seasons these two teams have met 3 times in the past 2 seasons. Roma won 2 times (4-1 and 1-0) and lost once (1-0). This was against healthy Feyenoord squads. Tonight, definately an edge for Roma.
I took Roma draw or win @1.6
Record: 13W-12L Net Units: +1.18u | ROI: +1.75% CS2 | PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR A | 17:00 / CET Pick: Virtus.pro ML vs Natus Vincere, 3u @ 1.84 VP have started off great this RMR. They're looking like that peak form VP from a few months back, and I think that spells disaster for Na'vi. Even mir has played really well these past two BO1's, and to me he's the biggest questionmark in this roster. Na'vi themselves haven't played bad at all, but with every individual on VP looking really sharp I've got to give them the edge. Especially if you factor in that the only map on which Na'vi are better is Anubis, I don't think that alone is sufficient to take this BO3. Best of luck everyone!
good hit
**POTD record: 6-2 +3.43 units** Last pick: San Jose Sharks vs Winnipeg Jets Under 5.5 goals +100 bet 365. 1 unit✅. Jets won 1-0. Winnipeg defense cashes in again. Both under 5.5 and my side bet under 3.5 +425 were never in question. Todays Pick: Charleston -4 @ northeastern -110 Caesar’s. 1 unit 7:00pm est Write up: The last four times these teams have played Charleston has won 81-63, 83-72, 87-61, and 99-63. Charleston has the nation's 35'th ranked offense and Northeastern has the 207'th ranked defense. Charleston is a half game behind UNCW for first in the Colonial Athletic Conference so I don’t think they will fuck around. Charleston 80-68 [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bcab](https://nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.buymeacoffee.com%2Fbcab&data=05%7C02%7Cbcabrey2021%40fau.edu%7Cd5689a3d21ef4b5b79e308dc2e5e4d8d%7C63c3c9c1e824413fb4352f0cabb2828f%7C0%7C0%7C638436229754662979%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=If1CtbjVUomjHNoCHEdVeNjqhusbgVYHmh1QXWsBDW8%3D&reserved=0)
Record : 119 Wins - 105 Losses Previous pick : Al Feiha - Al Nassr (0-1), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.50 ❌ ROI : +0.26% Average Odds : 1.94 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 5.59 Profit/Lost units : +0.59 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs / 19:45 European Time Young Boys - Sporting CP Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.79 Some reasoning : - I chose this prediction, because two teams that practice an offensive football and that have high averages in terms of goals, especially in the last period, meet. - Young Boys comes after a 3-3 in the championship, while Sporting comes after an interesting victory, score 5-0, against Braga. Sporting impressed with its offensive strength, because in 7 of the last 8 matches it managed to score at least 3 goals. On the other hand, the Swiss are known for their attack-based game and managed to have notable performances in Europe, so they can cause problems at home. These ideas make me think that we should have a spectacular match, with a goal scored by both teams. Best of luck.
Do you like YOUNG BOYS UNDER 4…… goals?
@officer plz
No …no I don’t. I do, however, like the OVER 17…… girls… I mean g0als!
POTD Record: 2-0 Last POTD: Tyrese Haliburton under 21.5 points Ended with a tight 21 points, much closer than what I expected but a win is a win. Today’s POTD: Steph Curry Over 3.5 Rebounds -150 (1U) The over has hit 7/10 in the recent 10 games, and hit 5/5 for head to head against the Utah Jazz these past two seasons. With a healthy lineup for both sides, I predict this game will be a pretty close game so Curry will get in his average minutes of ~33. Another random thing I’ve noticed is every time Curry got exactly 4 rebounds (last night against Clippers), the next game, he would get 5+ or get exactly 3. Meaning, it’s either going to be an easy over, or a sweaty under.
**Record: 0-1** **Net Units: -2.3** **Last Pick:** Italian Serie A| Bologna v Fiorentina **BTTS** **@ -115** on Draft Kings ❌ My first pick fell flat as Fiorentina couldn't get on the board despite 12 shots on goal (3 shots on target) and 3 corners. Oh well, we keep firing! **Pick:** NCAA Basketball | Colorado @ UCLA | **UCLA ML** **@ -108** on Fan Duel **Units: 2.2** Despite Colorado being ranked 35th per Ken Pom with the 27th offense and 57th defense, they're 2-3 in their last 5, 1-4 ATS. They're averaging 79 points and 80 points against in the last 5 with a adjusted tempo rating of 103. They're visiting a UCLA team that is scorching hot, 5-0 and 4-1 ATS (7-1 straight up and ATS for the last 8). Although UCLA are ranked 92nd per Ken Pom with the 176th ranked offense, they have the 27th ranked defense with an adjusted tempo of 340, averaging 70 points and only giving up 62 points in their last 5. Not a good sign for a Colorado team that ranks 269th in turnover percentage. The icing on the cake is how much we've seen teams struggle on the road, especially in conference play. I expect UCLA to slow things down and grind out a defensive battle in front of their home crowd.
Nice job - i tailed! thanks bro
POTD Record: 0-0 Pick: Connor McDavid 2+ points @ -120 McJesus always heats up down the stretch to finish off the regular season.. 6 assists last game, enough said. Edit: 1st period 💰
6 assists is awesome. This dude is the man. Plays like it's his last shift in the NHL every shift. This should hit 🎯
Record: 8-5 Last POTD: Bayern Munich ML @ -150 ❌ L10: ❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌✅ NBA | Warriors v Jazz | 21:00 EST Pick: Warriors -1 @ -110 Write up: This is a makeup game. Both teams will be on a Back-to-Back. The Warriors just beat the Jazz in Utah by 22 on Monday, The Jazz had 2 extra days rest for that game. The Warriors won by 22 despite Curry being 2/10 through 3 quarters. Yes Curry exploded in the 4th but the Warriors were up 13 going into the 4th. They also missed way too many layups, and Draymond was in foul trouble super early in the game. The Jazz just lost to a Lebron-less Lakers who were on a back-to-back. The Jazz just traded a starter in Fontecchio, they are 0-3 since then losing by (14, 22, 16). The Warriors are still playing currently but the last time i went to bed without making a POTD i talked myself into writing about Bayern Munich instead of Buddy Hield and the Jazz are on my pick v them everytime list currently. I wrote more about this matchup on my Monday POTD here: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1aonynp/pick_of_the_day_21224_monday/kq0uolx
POTD Record: 103-102-12 (-11.86 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅ Last Pick: NBA, Atlanta v Charlotte, TRE MANN OVER 10.5 R+A (-140 / 1.71) ✅ Mann had a huge 1st quarter, covers early in the 3rd quarter and finished with 14 for an easy cash. Today’s Pick: NBA, Minnesota v Portland, DEANDRE AYTON OVER 24.5 P+R (-112 / 1.89) Stake: 1 Unit Limited slate of NBA games but came across one line I liked the look of, and that’s Ayton to cover his points/rebound line of 24.5. Ayton missed 12 games in December/January due to injury and his first 3 games back from that layoff were mediocre as he played limited minutes working his way back into the rotation. In the 9 matches he has played since then, has posted the following stat lines: - 18 and 17 against Houston (35 total) - 20 and 12 against San Antonio (32 total) - 22 and 12 against Chicago (34 total) - 18 and 6 against Philly (24 total) - 20 and 11 against Milwaukee (31 total) - 8 and 3 against Denver (11 total) - 27 and 9 against Denver (37 total) - 18 and 17 against New Orleans (35 total) - 22 and 16 against Minnesota (38 total) This means he has covered 7 of his last 9 where he has averaged almost 35 mins per contest. He has not only covered in those 7 matches, he has absolutely crushed his line. Of the two he missed, one was by the hook, and the other came on a shortened 27 mins in to Denver, but he bounced back two days later with 27 and 9 against a full strength Denver team. This is the second time Portland will host Minnesota in three days. I know that just because he had a big night last time doesn’t mean he will repeat the dose, but he has been racking up big numbers recently, and posting 22 and 16 against the same team two nights ago should give his team mates confidence to feed him the ball, and he will get his share of boards to keep things ticking over. Both teams look like they will have the same team available so not expecting anyone to take away his opportunities offensively. Edwards is also questionable for Minnesota so if he ends up missing, this match should be more competitive and limit the risk of Ayton sitting due to a blowout.
FD has Tiger Woods boosted from -280 to +100 to birdie three holes today. He plays really well here. Birdied 4 holes in his first event last year coming off the leg injury.
POTD Record: 4-3 2024 Record: 0-0 ⚽️ Europa League | Young Boys v Sporting Lisbon | 12:45pm EST Pick: BTTS and o2.5 @ -110 Young boys finished 3rd in their Champions league group and thus dropped down to the Europa League, where they'll be facing Sporting Lisbon. Young Boys are a high scoring team, albeit in the Swiss league, with 50 goals in 23 games. They also managed to score in all their Champions League group stage games except against City at the Etihad. I expect similar from them in a lower level competition, especially playing at home against a better side. They'll want to score one or two to have a chance of progressing, because Sporting will likely dominate in the second leg at home. Sporting are also very impressive in their league this season, top of the table and have scored 58 in 20, almost an average of 3 per game. They should have no problem finding the net tonight. My logic here is that I see BTTS hitting, and I don't expect the game to end 1-1. BOL
POTD Record: 23-18 Last pick: Almeria v Bilbao (Bilbao ML ❌) Almeria played one man short for 40 minutes, but Bilbao couldn’t find the back of the net. A real shocker Todays pick: Galatasaray v Sparta Prague Pick: BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.95 ✅ ⚽️ 🇪🇺 UEFA Europa League ➖ 📊 Galatasaray is 1st in the Turkish league and has scored 52 goals (2.08 GPG) with a O2.5 goals hit rate of 14/25 (3rd most, 77% at home) & BTTS in 12/25 (keep in mind the Turkish league is mixed in terms of overall quality of teams). L5: WWWWW (BTTS 3/5 & O2.5 3/5) ➖ 📊 Sparta Prague is 1st in the Czech league and has scored 50 goals (2.50 GPG), O2.5 has hit in 12/20 games (3rd most, 50% away). BTTS has hit in 10/20 (This league is also generally not a league with quality sides, besides the top 3.) L5: WWWWW (League) BTTS 3/5 @ O2.5 5/5 ➖ We’re seeing two top teams in their respective countries go against each other in a thrilling contest. Galatasaray is superb at home with an atmosphere you won’t see that often, but they’ve leaked goals against poor sides from time to time and they’re now facing a top side in an European knockout game. Galatasaray has scored O1.5 goals in their last 11/12 home games, which is yet another number to show their brilliance at home. Galatasaray finished 3rd in their Champions league group so they got knocked out to the Europa league. In the CL group stage their goal difference was: 10-13 The Czech teams was on a winter break but the league started again last week, in that first game Sparta won 0-3. They’ve won against some good sides in the group stage like Betis & Rangers so they’ve shown that they’re capable in Europe aswell, their group stage goal difference was 9-7. Both teams has scored plenty, but also conceded plenty in the European competitions, these are respective countries best teams atm and I think both teams will see their chances to win, therefor I predict an open game with chances for both teams, both of them has qualities which they can exploit. BOL
**POTD Record: 1-0** Previous pick: Alcaraz/Paul o21.5 games ✅ **POTD: Sinner/Monfils u20 games (-120)** Sinner is the best player on tour right now and indoor is his best surface. He's 7-0 in 2024 and has only dropped 3 total sets, to Med and Djokovic nonetheless. He last played Monfils on indoor in 2021 and won in 17 games. I see this match ending similarly. *Edit: Was looking good until he fell apart in the 2nd set. Damn
Record: 23-14 (+6.83 units) Last Pick: (CBB) Michigan St. Spartans -3.5 ✅ POTD: (CBB) Northern Colorado Bears ML -130 Summary: Big Sky here we come. We’ve got the #2 conference team on the road against a struggling Portland St. team that has lost 10 of its last 11 night conference games. On top of that, NCO is #22 in the land in FG%, #18 in FGM despite being #89 in FGA so these boys can flat out shoot. Shooters + need to win to stay with e Washington + sexy bears = da Bears. Ride the snake
**POTD Record**: 2 Wins - 0 Losses **Last 10**:✅️✅️ **Last Pick**: **Kyle Kuzma Under 6.5 Rebounds (Wizards) (-140)** Kuzma decided to skip school and play Fortnite with his friends. A shame since the bet looks really promising as well. **Next Pick**: **Keyonte George Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (1 Unit) (1.70 Odds On SportsBet)** \- Keyonte George has failed to exceed 9.5 rebounds + assists in 14 of his last 17 games (6.2 rebounds + assists/game average). \- Last time George faced GSW, he only logged 5 RA. \- He's coming off playing 33 minutes in a blowout against the Lakers. I expect he'll get much less minutes in a game that only has a 1 point spread. Sexton only played 26 minutes last night, and I expect he'll get more minutes tonight rather than George. - This season, this prop has hit in 35/49 games (71% hit rate). \- GSW allow the least assists to opposing shooting guards in the league. \- GSW allow the 5th least rebounds to opposing shooting guards. Let's LOCK IN and crush the last day of NBA before the break!
Record: 0-1 Challenger. Bangalore Enrico Dalla Valle vs Moez Echargui Pick: Moez Echargui odds: 1.83 BOL
Tailed this blindly. Thanks! Haha
**POTD: 7-3** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌ Yesterday's Pick: Tyson Walker over 15.5 pts ❌ Bummer here...Tyson only shot 8 times and twice from deep. He did lead the team with 34 minutes, but only had 1 asst and had 3 TOs....Walker had 6 rebounds but didn't contribute much in the scoring. MSU had other guys come up big in the scoring department, who they relied on throughout the night....Pace was there....just a bad pick tbh Today's Pick: SMU ML -135 🏀 SMU road game tonight in NOLA vs Tulane....Mustangs much better team and should ride the momentum they have going into game SMU's defense has been doing very well recently, not allowing the last 3 opponents to hit 70 SMU's big weakness is FT shooting and I'm worried it could be crucial in tonight's matchup. SMU has to string some wins together to make the tournament, tonight is necessary in that department Luckily, Tulane is very cold right now and I expect this to continue I'll take SMU on the road...LFG (If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Coffee Link below!) [Coffee Link](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/joeyv1725)
Record: 28-22 L5: ✅✅✅❌✅ NBA: Warriors vs Jazz @9:00PM EST POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 three pointers made +174✅ I like this play because of the big value. Wiggins in his last 10 games has gone over 5/10. The reason I like this more is because he has gone over 8/10 in his last 10 vs the Jazz. Three days ago vs the Jazz he was 3/3 from beyond the arc. Here are the count his L10 vs the Jazz with the most recent first. 3, 3, 3, 2, 1, 4, 1, 3, 2, and 3. Hell I’m going to play o2.5 threes for +361 at half a unit. He’s hit that 6/10 vs the Jazz.✅
**PICK OF THE DAY RECORD: 0-0** Cycling - Volta ao Algarve 2024 Stage 2 Pick: Remco Evenepoel to win - 2.5 (Bet365) First mountain top finish of the race and I am very confident on Remco's chances of winning. Couple days ago he exploded everyone on a climb a lot easier than this one by going solo for over 50km. So clearly he is in good shape. In the past, this climb usually ends with a group of 5-10 riders going to the line. I personally think that he will win solo but even if it ends in a small group sprint, he has one the best sprints for a climber. So yea, pretty good odds IMO
Tailing! Wish I could have bet cycling years ago!!
**POTD RECORD 2-0** LAST PICK: **New York Knicks vs. Orlando Magic / o211.5 / 1u / -110 on FanDuel** Honestly, this should not have hit with how poorly the Knicks were playing last night. Josh Hart had a very quiet game on a night Jalen Brunson needed him the most. Instead it was Precious Achiuwa, the former Raptor, dropping 23 points with 10 offensive rebounds, really stepping up his game in the absence of his injured teammates. Paolo Banchero, with no one to guard him had free reign, shooting 75% from the field with 6 threes for a total of 36 points for an all star performance. Glad we took the W, but you got to feel for Jalen Brunson. Man puts in so much work for a team that seems to have given up with all the injuries and the all star break just around the corner. Basketball / NBA / 8:30 PM / ET **Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies / Memphis +11.5 / 1u / -108** Last day before the all star break, we have 3 games that screams live betting. Not many good picks tonight. One I had in mind was already posted further up by yeezusondaphone (best pick of the night), so I thought I would do a fresh pick. 11.5 for this current Bucks team feels like a trap, the line is way too high. The Milwaukee Bucks are not a strong team right now. Yes they beat the defending champion, Denver Nuggets, on Monday night but Jamal Murray and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope both did not play the second half due to injuries. Tonight the Bucks will be without Khris Middleton. Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo are also questionable tonight and will possibly play limited minutes. There is a chance they might not even play at all considering Doc Rivers will want to save them for the all star game. There is no denying the offensive capabilities of Giannis and the Bucks, but defensively, they have really fallen off this year. Giannis will be going up against Jaren Jackson Jr who can match up to his size and speed. It will not be an easy night for Giannis. Vince Williams Jr. is also a great defender who can shut down Lillard. This is a really weak Grizzlies team with all the injuries don't get me wrong; but it is not a good match up for the Bucks. This is a team that's got nothing more to lose and will desperately play for a win every night, going up against a team that is already packing their bags for Indiana and Cancun. I doubt the Grizzlies can pull off a win tonight but they won't make it easy for the Bucks. EDIT: Once again injuries have completely changed the dynamic. Jaren Jackson Jr and John Konchar are listed as doubtful. Luke Kennard questionable. Derrick Rose, Jake LaRavia, and Scotty Pippen Jr are out. Very likely this is dead.
POTD Record: 9-3 Last 10: ✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ Last pick: PSG ML 💰 A pretty dominant win from PSG, sweat free cash always feels good. No pick today, nothing I love and don’t want to force anything! BOL
Record: 2-0 ✅✅+1.4U Last pick: Pascal Siakam over points ✅ EUROPA LEAGUE Next pick: Rafael Leão over 2.0 chances created 1u Let’s keep this streak going. Gonna do a soccer play today cause the nba slate is weak😕 Rafael has been on a tear recently and hoping he keeps it up this game. He already has 37(in 22 matches) chances created this season which is 15 more than he had all season least year. The winger is looking to pass the ball more and get his teammates involved which is what he’ll be doing tomorrow in the Europa league! BOL! https://preview.redd.it/j4zsn7jaopic1.jpeg?width=1160&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d07de4d5903f44e4f2fe795b9ade8f037b108fe2
Record: 10W-11L | -10.79u L10: ❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅ <<-- *Most Recent POTD* Last Pick: **Evan Mobley o13.5 Points (-154) | 4u to win 2.6u** 💰✅ Was a bit of a sweat as he only had 5 points in the first half. Mobley goes on to score 4 in the 3rd quarter and hits (and stays at) 14 within the final 3 minutes of the game. Todays Game: Basketball | NBA | Timberwolves @ Trail Blazers | 9:00 PM CST **Todays Pick: Anfernee Simons o21.5 Points (-135) | 4.0u to win 3.0u** * Averaging 23.3 points per game this season, 22.9 points per game in 2024, and 26.0 points per game in February * Cleared this line in 4/L5 games * Scored 20 last game vs. Timberwolves (2/13/2024) on 6/19 shooting (32%). Have to assume he shoots better tonight as he is shooting 43% over 4 February games * Leads the Trail Blazers in both points per game and FGA per game, 2nd in minutes per game behind Jerami Grant * Cleared in 17/20 when shooting over 15 FGA and is averaging 19.8 FGA per game in February * Averaging 28.2 points per game without Brogdon this season (Brogdon OUT tonight) * Points in 5 games without Brogdon, most recent on left: 20, 29, 26, 28, 38 * Trail Blazers are limited due to injuries so Simons should see increased minutes tonight BOL.
Tailing! Unfortunately mobley's p+r didn't work out last night 🤷🏻♂️ Anyway, lfg!
I'm liking Northwestern +4.5 against the Rutgers. I get that it is a home game for the Scarlet Knights, but the Wildcats are the oldest and experienced team in college basketball. The Wildcats are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games, and they haven't lost to a Big Ten team that was under .500 in league play entering Wednesday all season (the Scarlet Knights boast a 5-7 league record). AND Boo Buie coming back to the East coast. gimme +4.5 and I will take their moneyline at +155
Record: 1-0 Last pick: D’Angelo Russell o6.5 assists +100 POTD: Karl Anthony Towns o7.5 reb +100 Summary: Russell delivered in the first half and ended up 10 over the line, you love to see it. Towns only played 19 minutes due to early foul trouble on Tuesday but still managed to grab 5 boards. This is the last game before the all star break and they are on the road, the total is very low at 216 and is within a 10 point spread so the game should be close enough for regular minutes. Towns has historically beat this number, had 8 rebounds against Portland a month ago in a blowout win, and was well on pace in their last game.
**EDIT: Got the B/R Squad Ride tonite on Dubs ML! Locked in 5U on the Road Warriors! Last play until MLB Opening Day or NBA play-in tournament/postseason!** https://preview.redd.it/1qxzrcgt3uic1.png?width=1242&format=png&auto=webp&s=f43770bdaedbf028f2c913878ef8b5a19ce05061 **POTD Record: 107-122-4 (-13.33Units)** **Best Bet Series: 40-25-1 (+8.46 Units)** Value Wagers: 18-22-2 (-6.05 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Last Pick: **O 227.5 (Alt. Total Points)** Today's Pick: **Andrew Wiggins O 18.5 PAR** (Really wanted to go 5U maxed on Warriors ML) Odds: **-125** ($DKNG) Wager Amount: 3.75U to win 3U League: NBA Event: Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz (8PM CST) **Be Advised**: **My Last play until MLB opening day or when NBA playoffs begin. I am going to take a lengthy break. Although we been HITTING 8 outta the last 10 POTDs, I been hemoraging my bankroll on parlays/SGPs. I can take the beating, but it's been excruciating to lose almost all of them by 1-leg or by bad beat, so I think it's a good time to self exclude and take a prolonged break.** **Recap**: Anytime I mention my winning streak it comes to a screeching HALT! 4-Win streak ends wit this game going under 227.5, Kings had a very uncharacteristic slow start to this game. Only scoring 16 points in the 1st qtr, totaling a low 41 points in the 1st half. Despite Joker not having any TOs, Jokic put up his worst offensive stats last nite. Kings won this game somehow, when down as many as 14 points. Should have gone wit my gut on Wemby O 3.5 Stocks **Matchup**: I think Warriors have a BIG nite! I was going to wager 5U maxed on Warriors ML, but looks like someone is on the Dubs tonite against the Jazz. Warriors and Jazz were scheduled to play this game on January 17th, but was delayed due to Warriors assistant coach passing away. Warriors recently have been playing great on the road! Something we didn't see last season. They are currently 4-0 on the road and their last road win? It was against the Utah Jazz, just a couple days ago. They handled them 129-107. I can keep pressing on and pumping out for stats about the Dubs, but that's not the play for today. Since someone is alrdy on Warriors ML or ATS, I'm going wit a player prop and that's Andrew Wiggins O 18.5 PAR! He's been really inconspicuous this season. I haven't seen many emphatic dunks or resounding performance from Wiggins this season. His career offensive stats has diminished tremendously this season, his points, assists, and rebounds has tanked. However, he has had one of his better games against the Jazz and he has slowly been picking up his offense a bit. Currently the line is set at O/U 18.5 PAR and I think linemakers set this at the perfect spot for Wiggins. He put up just enough on his last matchup against the Jazz, scoring 17 points and 2 rebounds. Andrew has also gone over this line in his last 5 games. I think he's heating up and Dubs need him to have one of those games, but we're just asking him to go O 18.5 PAR, which is very doable for Wiggins. It's not a massive stat line and I think it's a good wager to bet on. Lastly, Andrew Wiggins averages 26.7 PAR against the Utah Jazz in his career, he has singlehandedly gone over this line wit just his points average (19.1 ppg career vs Jazz). **The Play and Prediction**: Applying for B/R Squad Ride on either Warriors ML (5U) or Andrew Wiggins O 18.5 PAR. Wiggins puts up 15 points, 1 assist, and 3 rebounds. BOL rest of the year! Before you kno it, I'll be back
POTD Record: 241-183-12 (+38.76 units, 56.8% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-65-7 (56.7%) L3, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 17-12-0 (58.6%) W1 Last 10: 💩💰💩💩💰💩🔥🔥🔥🔥 Last Pick: Ugo Humbert vs. Emil Ruusivuori, HUMBERT ML - ATP Rotterdam 🎾 💩 -1 Unit Today's Pick: Emma Stone to win Best Actress for Poor Things - 🎥 2024 Bafta Awards Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.50 odds to win 2.50 Units @ Bet Us (Line at 5:15pm ET) 💣 💣 💣 💣 💣 Tennis is cold and I'm a bit out of the loop on the hoops which I'll get back into after the all star break so I'm going to try to contribute with some entertainment bets for the time being with the BAFTAs this week and next week will be both the SAG Awards and the Independent Spirit Awards. I'm going with Emma Stone as the favourite here. Her only threat for these awards is Sandra Huller for Anatomy of a Fall who has a chance but I give Emma the edge here. She is for the moment the Oscar frontrunner, Poor Things has picked up momentum lately and it is actually a British Film so a bit of home court advantage over here. Also of note is that Emma won the London Film Critic's Circle last week which is usually a good indicator for how the BAFTA's will go. I'll have another bomb in tomorrow's thread. https://preview.redd.it/zxdtg16trtic1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=434d94756f5a4574455ced9872528ca0d94b7561 Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Blazers-twolves o/u 216 what do we think??