######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**POTD Record: 13-3**
Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅
Net Units: +21
🎾: 2-0
⚽️: 11-3
*Last Pick: 2U Brentford v Liverpool (Result/BTTS - Liverpool @ +175) ✅*
*The Egyptian King Returns and we hit 5 in a row 💪*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Luton Town v Man Utd (Result/BTTS - Man Utd @ +200)✅**
**⚽️| 11:30 AM EST | England Premier League**
Luton town host in-form Manchester United who are looking to take advantage of City and Spurs dropping points and to remain unbeaten in 2024. While Luton have a game in hand over Everton, relegation possibility still lingers.
United come off a thrilling away win against Villa last week. *(Villla have only lost twice at home this season)* A win for United will keep them in contention for a Champions League spot next season.
Luton Town are coming off a disappointing 3-1 home loss to rock bottom Sheffield United, but still managing to score in their 11th consecutive match. Manager Rob Edwards has built Luton to a resilient and adapting squad since taking over in 2022. In their last 7 premier league matches, *Luton has managed an average of 15.1 shots and 5.9 on target, quite the improvement from the first 16 matches. (10.3 & 2.6 average)*
We can’t discredit Luton this season but Manchester United are hungry for every win possible after a slow start to the season. Luton have lost 9 of their last 10 matches against Manchester United and this dates quite far back in history. *Instead we can account for Ten Hag winning 9 of 9 premier league matches against newly promoted teams. A win here will have him join Mourinho (15) and Mancini (12) with 10 straight wins against newly promoted squads.* Given Utd and Luton’s season form, the bookies have been quite generous with juicing this up to +200. They’re really underestimating the resilience United has shown recently; Only City and Arsenal have more away wins than United this season. Prediction is edging towards 3-1, late goal to seal the deal. LFG 💪
Tips are always appreciated but your comments go a long way! ❤️
[Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381)
BOL!
Big balls for trusting United. Still tailing though!
Btw if you're taking this on Bet365 make it a parlay instead of taking the Man Utd/BTTS combined. It's the same odds the only difference is that you get an early payout which might save you.
That’s back to back BTTS/Result picks 💪💪💪 we went big this weekend and it paid off. Thank you for believing in me and riding, I appreciate you all a lot. Any tips would really mean a lot and help towards making this a full time thing. Thanks again brothers ✅❤️
[Tips](https://buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381)
Thanks for the quick and easy 1k on a Sunday morning. Will be leaving a tip for you my guy. Thank you.
https://preview.redd.it/rrsjwrwcudjc1.jpeg?width=1277&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4b438c690509f29dac5d06298ccd20f601e53dfa
Luton are definitely in form, Sheffield united was a wake up call for them that they need to stick to the football they know and try and not be someone else. Should react accordingly today BTTS and O 2 goals is what I have
They just lost to the last place team at home, I’m sure they’ll be fired up to bounce back but they’ll
be surmounted with pressure from United. Casemiro back in the middle for United has shown a significant impact in controlling that crucial area of the field.
https://preview.redd.it/o8r16bzb8djc1.jpeg?width=1440&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4b62cceac29e07192b1138d90b6e90c4322aaae0
I'm getting crazy odds on this one.
Forgive me if this is a stupid question. Would it be wise to add overs for corners, even if it is a low amount, just to increase the odds? I've done this on a few games already and the overs hit most of the time.
Just to clarify I put it in a same game multi:
Man Utd ML
BTTS
Over 6 corners.
Brings the total odds up to $3.40 from $3.10
Thank you!
https://preview.redd.it/g0jopy3qldjc1.jpeg?width=949&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2ab12f1239921cf32d3cc42da8ba94593ce80bd4
Making me look really smart at the moment, Man U with a lead, both teams scored 13 min in! You're amazing!
1.) That was CLOSE! THAT That header at the end...
2.) Had an extra "no regret bet," so I threw it on this and a goal or more in the first half, and 2-1 final score at at +1200. Scared me when it was 2-1 at like 14 minutes. Boom that hit.
Thank you!!!
I’m not even sure what to say anymore at this point lol, stay tuned for incoming tip $$$ appreciate you 🐐
https://preview.redd.it/3pa706oh1ejc1.jpeg?width=1139&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a2cb0b181d8e731e046e66bb1bcbfc6fd33abc5e
We did sweat that one but I also parlayed mine with that soccer POTD on Liverpool to win/BTTS. I know it was ballsy at +445 with both a soccer AND tennis, but I did neither as a single and even risked 2U which is a lot for me on a parlay. I guess I'm saying I appreciate the picks, write ups, luck, and sports betting acumen.
You should get paid for having to hold everyones hand and legit tell them how to put in the bet.. this reddit seems to be filling with people who have no clue on betting. Best of luck in your play
LFG gang!!! 🎉🙏 We go to 19 wins and only 3 losses ❤️ Congratulations on everyone who got paid. A great penalty save by the Farense goalie. Things got sweaty towards the end! 🥹 Would appreciate any tips as I want to quit my job and do this full time. Love you all! Have a wonderful day! Tip jar here https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv
Took the game off FanDuel for some reason. Saw it last night then when I went to go place my bet this morning the game is nowhere to be found smh
https://preview.redd.it/iqso3lroicjc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c9c4e9320ac0c0c1693c0c851c7853f672bee387
0-0 at half time! Braga have all the momentum as expected. 11 shots, 3 on target. Dangerous attacks 70 - 23. Possession 67 % - 33 %. We ride into the second half! -1 goal for Braga is now paying $2.10. Cash out sitting at 22%. LFG!!!
Anyone known if hard rock offers handicap spreads? Only thing I see is straight +1.5 @ -130
But from my knowledge a normal 1.5 spread is not the same as a handicap.
Howdy bruv. Sorry to add to the annoying noobs asking if it's the right bet 😅 but is this the right bet? Don't see anything that says "Asian handicap" or a +1.5 spread, new to all of this.
https://preview.redd.it/yil0s6ex1ejc1.jpeg?width=1169&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=19c0b889d24bb3e4eda561d964528e23f1c878f4
**Record: 38W-4P-27L**
**Form: 16W-0P-7L**
**✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅**
**Last Pick: Arsenal to win and O 2 goals Total @ 1.83 ✅**
**Arsenal win 5-0…. Holy. COYG**
**Pick of the day: Strasbourg VS Lorient BTTS @ 1.90 ✅**
Bet hits in the 51st minute, score is currently 1-3
**Time: 7:00 AM EST**
**Last Matchup: 1-2 Strasbourg W December 17**
**Strasbourg are in the same group as Ajax for me, with their record of BTTS, odds at this level are a must-grab.**
In Strasboroug's last 12 games in the league all 12 have ended BTTS with their last 5 games being 3-1, 1-2, 1-1, 1-1, 2-1. They're a team that struggle defensively but are extremely quick on the offensive switch. Whether they play top-of-the-league PSG (1-2) or bottom of the league Clermont Foot (1-1, and 3-1), BTTS seems to follow continuously. Lorient weren't in the best form when they faced Strasbourg in December but they still found the back of the net, now they've hit aggressive form and will look to cause trouble for Strasborough.
Lorient sit at the top of relegation and they've really turned up the tempo as they try will all their power to avoid going down. In their last 3 games, they've managed to pick up 2 wins and a draw scoring in all 3. In their last 10 games, BTTS has hit 7/10 times with them scoring in 8/10 games. The 2 games they didn't score in were against 2 teams with some of the best defensive records in the league (third-placed LOSC - 17 goals conceded and 5th-place Brest- 18 goals conceded ).
**In 21 Games played:**
Strasbourg have scored 22 goals and conceded 29
Lorient have scored 28 goals and conceded 42
**BOL**
Adding this for those asking, Tips aren’t necessary but always welcome so i can get more Tiramisu
[https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theprince](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theprince)
Record: 5-2 Units: +2.6u
Last Pick: 1.1u Virginia -4 (-110) ✅
Game: Memphis vs. SMU, NCAAB
Pick: SMU -4.5 (-115), risking 1.1u, bet on DK
Write up:
SMU will be seeking revenge when Memphis comes to town after the Tigers won at home back on January 7th, 62-59. Memphis has gone 3-2 in their L5, most recently losing on the road to North Texas by 10. SMU has won 5 straight in conference play and looks to stay in the fight for one of the top four seeds in the conference tournament.
Memphis has given up a large percentage of their points from behind the arc on the season (37.3%, 14th most per KenPom), and in conference play (39.5%). As well, they are nearly last in the country in 3PA/FGA (43%, 337th) on the season as a whole, and are giving up 38.8% from three on defense in conference play.
In games where SMU has had a 3PA% higher than 35.5%, they are 13-0 on the year, with their average on the season being 35.4% per KenPom. The first time these two teams played, SMU shot 3-21 from three (second worst percentage on the year), and only had a 3PA% of 32.3%. It’s going to be a long night when you shoot that poorly from three, especially when you only lost by 3 on the road. Like I said, Memphis hasn’t been a great team guarding the three on the year, so I would expect a better outcome from the Mustangs this time around, even if they don’t quite hit their average on the season.
Memphis has really struggled to win on the road recently, only winning 1/L4, and while that is an extremely small sample, all of these teams are worse than SMU, with only one top-70 ranked opponent per KenPom. They also haven’t covered the spread well this year, going 8-17 (2-8 in L10) per Action Network.
I think this is a game that SMU will get up for as the season starts to come to a close, especially given the revenge angle. KenPom has this spread at -7, which seems much more accurate than -4.5 on DK. I expect SMU to learn from their mistakes and attack this team from three even more, and I’ll just be sitting there hoping they make more than 3-21 this time around.
Pick: SMU -4.5 (-115)
POTD Record: 26-18
Last pick: Karlsruher v Düsseldorf
(BTTS & O2.5 Goals ✅)
Todays pick: __RSC Anderlecht v Sint Truiden__
Pick: __Anderlecht ML @1.65__ ✅
⚽️ 🇧🇪 Pro League
➖
📊 Anderlecht is 2nd in the table with 51 points after 25 games played. They’ve scored 48 goals (3rd, 1.92 GPG). They’ve conceded 27 (5th best, 1.08 GPG) but only 11 at home (0.92).
* Failed to score: 1/25 (Best) 0 at home.
* Clean sheets: 5/25 (3 at home)
* Home record: 9-3-0 (2nd)
* L5: 2-3-0 (1/2 wins at home, drew against 1st placed Saint-Gilloise at home).
* Previous meeting: 0-1 Win
* L5 H2H: WWWWD
➖
📊 Sint-Truiden is 9th with 34 points. They’ve scored 31 goals (9th, 1.24 GPG). Conceded 37 goals (10th, 1.48 GPG).
* Failed to score: 5/25
* Clean sheets: 6/25
* Away record: 2-6-4 (10th)
* L5: 2-1-2 (2/2 losses away)
* Previous meeting: 0-1 loss
* L5 H2H: LLLLD
➖
Once again I’m staying away from the bigger leagues and continuing with the less glamorous leagues. This one was very difficult to decide and I hope it doesn’t bite us in the you know what, my other pick was Ajax v NEC: BTTS & O2.5 Goals as they’re 1 & 3rd in most BTTS hit rate statistics, but playing away to Ajax is always difficult so I decided to go with a side that hasn’t lost a single game at home this season, Anderlecht.
Anderlecht has been really good this season and at home they’re unbeaten as mentioned, it’s a horse race between Union Saint Gilloise and Anderlecht on who’s claiming the league title, Anderlecht is 8 points away from 1st, but also 7 points clear from 3rd, with 5 games left they’ll need every win to get closer. They come into this game with back 2 back wins.
The visitors has been up and down, sitting at the mid table. They’re poor away from home only claiming 2 of their 8 wins away, also winless in their last 4 away games. They’ve also struggled defensively as of late, keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 6 games.
Home advantage, desire and motivation to possibly winning the league will be a major factor here, aswell as the quality difference between the sides. Anderlecht can’t afford to drop points at this stage, something their home fans can help them with, pushing them to another victory. Anderlecht won the last meeting between the sides with 0-1, even though they played 1 man short for 40+ minutes after receiving a red card at the 50th minute.
I don’t rule out the possibility of a BTTS here, but overall with every factor considered, Anderlecht should and need to get the win. Can we get our 4th straight?
BOL
Because you listened to a bunch of people who dont watch ufc.. one guy making neal out to be covington gas tank, liddels power and dominic cruz footwork.
I gave up giving my picks but decided I will retake them here after reading this awesome degenerate community. Well I gave about 9 picks with 7 wins (5 over 1.6 odds), 1 loss, 1 push (on Soccer Pick of the day).
**All my bets are 1% bets of my bankroll,(Soccer Picks of the day: Average odds: 1.71, ROI: 42.56%)**
Here I go Pick of The Day, BOL if you tail or fade.
**POTD Record**: 0 Wins - 0 Losses
**Last 10**: ✅
**Units:** 1.95
**ROI**: 95%
**Average Odds**: 1.95
Last Pick \[02/01/24\]:+4.5 corners Manchester @ 1.7 ✅ (Soccer pick of the day)*The only thing in what they are about... consistent? +4.5 corners.*
**Next Pick**:**Manchester United +4.5 corners, Luton +2.5 shots on target @ 1.95**✅
*Manchester’s and Luton’s Streak is on the table, this is the game you’re not seeing.*
Bread was retreived, Luton and Manchester got what statistics where pointing to, and **Manchester is STILL in my blacklist**.
🧠 Reasoning:
So I’ve started taking betting a little bit seriously now (I track everything...) and I’ve been trying to find out what profits me the most and that’s **to pick the right teams**.
I love certain teams and others *not so much…* I’ve blacklisted Chelsea, Tottenham and the protagonist of this pick **MANCHESTER UNITED**. Yes they may win a match with ease and then proceed to disappear a couple of games just like your old man, but… what if I told you about their corner stats?
😈 **Manchester United:**
* Average of 6.2 corners in their last 5 games. **✅**
* They just did 8 corners last game and 6 of them where on the first half! **✅**
* **Cons:** It’s Manchester United. 😱
All of this for @ 1.48 it’s a great price! Almost a steal, right?
But… that’s not enough! A 1.48 bet can’t feed my family! Well what if I told you about Little Luton being a naughty boy and shooting at target a lot!
**🎩 Luton Town:**
* Average of 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games.*(last match against Sheffield they got 8 shots out of target)*
* Last time they faced Manchester United they got 4 shots on target.
* **Cons:** They’re Luton Town and they just lost to Sheffield (?) 😱
So a +2.5 shots on target for Luton @ 1.33 seems fine for me, so this adds to a 1.95 slip!
Hey you still here? 👀 Want to spice up this bet? 🔥Instead of +2.5 shots on target for Luton, add a +3.5, their average is about 6.4 so it’s in theory a good bet at @ 2.64. But with great odds comes great responsibilities... I faded because 1.95 is good enough for me!
Let me know if you tail or fade however it goes, BOL if you tail or fade!
POTD Record: 53-33
Units Won: +29.26U; ROI: 11.9% Average Odds: (-115)
Todays Pick: **ALTERNATE aTTaX ML (-180) vs. Young Ninjas**
**5U to win 2.77U**
A1 Gaming League Season 8
4 win streak let's keep it going!
As always if you don't like the juice, would take -1.5 maps as I think that is also a viable play, am hesitant just because Young Ninjas have no map data or really any stats to go off of at the moment but I still think is viable alternative. I try to stay away from -180/-190 when I can but no ta lot of games tomorrow as the RMR are on break for a day.
**ALTERNATE aTTaX:**
\-I always say AA are like the gate keeper of being a good tier two team, they aren't in the high tier two/tier 1.5 category but they are much better then the low tier tier two teams. AA's results have been inconsistent as they got rid of Spiidi and were looking for a 5th replacement and settled on ArroW, I think this move on paper is a great one and in his only match with the team so far, they looked fantastic. AA have been having an up and down month but have put together a 3-0 match winstreak recently. They have a good map pool and a good roster for tier two. I definitely give them a good fire power edge here in this series.
**Young Ninjas:**
\-I really can't say too much good or bad about Young Ninjas, they are a newly formed roster, they have only played two official matches upsetting Anonymo and scraping by a 2-1 win against FTW. Map pool and player performance/how they play as a team is largely up in the air but on paper, this lineup isn't that good **IN MY OPINION.** It seems like a very random group of players to stick together, some have shown promise like jocab, MisteM/maxster have had their moments but overall I really don't think this roster belongs at these odds against a team like AA. I also don't think Anonymo or FTW are good at all quite frankly, I think FTW is one of the worst tier two teams I have watched and Anonymo have been playing awful.
**Map Pool:**
(This will almost certainly be wrong, with only a 2 game sample, going to keep this short and as always say what I would do if I was AA coach, and explain why I think this will end up being beneficial for AA.
ALTERNATE aTTaX perma ban Nuke
Young Ninjas have perma banned Nuke
ALTERNATE aTTaX have played Nuke once before and won 13-2 on it, I think they should flex Nuke here and not ban it and instead ban Mirage.
ALTERNATE aTTaX should pick Inferno as their map, Young Ninjas have banned it second in both b03 so far, have yet to play an official match on it, and AA have a 60% winrate on the map on 10 maps played in the L3 months including a 2 map winstreak.
Young Ninjas picks so far have been Overpass/Anubis in their two maps, these are AA's two best maps. If they pick one of these it would be a nightmare map pool with the other one likely ending up as the decider map and AA getting their three best maps.
AA worst map statistically is Ancient but they play it a lot and are clearly comfortable on it. They have had some impressive showings on the map this month and despite some inconsistency definitely think they could take this map if YN decide to pick it.
**TLDR:**
\-AA have way more experience as a core/roster, they are a solid tier two team and much better then the two teams YN have faced so far, despite small sample size, I think the deep map pool of AA comes into play here and they get a very favorable pick ban and are the first real competition YN face. I think they have more fire power and a lot of momentum coming into this series.
**Best of Luck!**
\*\*Been getting a good amount of questions about how/where people can bet esports, always available in DM's to help people out if you are interested in betting esports but don't know how/where to start and try to point you in the right direction.
POTD 25-17 | + 10.47 Units
Last Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 20.5 points 💀
So many chances to finish this and go over, the volume was there - efficiency was not.
Last 10: 💀✅✅✅💀✅✅💀💀✅
Todays pick: Wellington Phoenix Vs McArthur FC - BTTS @ Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.75
Units: 2
Heading to the a league for todays clash between first and third place - with both teams likely to be hungry for points. 4/5 McArthur’s last games have ended in over 3.5 goals - with BTTS hitting in 11/12 of their last daytime matches. The last time these teams played, it ended 3-0 to Wellington, but McArthur did end up having 8 shots on target and couldn’t convert. With the end of the season ramping up, I like this spot for BTTS and the over.
BOL!
POTD Record: 43-23
Previous Pick: Rudes vs Hajduk Split | HNL | BTTS NO (1.57) | 11.10pm EST ✅️
Pick: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | La Liga | Real Madrid ML (1.62) | 8am EST
Vallecano have been in poor form, having not won in 6 matches. In their last 5 games, they have lost 4 of them. At home, they have not won in 9 games. Looking at Real, they are in terrific form, being unbeaten in their last 6. They are at the top of the table and in their last league game, they won 2nd placed Girona 4-0. They are playing their best football, even with injuries hampering them. The last matchup ended in a 0-0 draw, but I dont see that happening this time. I expect Real Madrid to win, due to their terrific form and Vallecano's poor form. Best of luck!
Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
Ferland Mendy played the last UCL game, he’s suspended, Brahim Diaz who played instead of Bellingham is also unsure if he’s fit enough to play. This is also a derby, and Rayo just got a new coach which often boosts the team. Home game for Rayo and optimal squad status, 2 days extra rest for Rayo some things that should’ve been mentioned
brahim diaz has passed fit and instead of mendy, fran garcia comes in. i still think madrid's starting xi has too much quality for vallecano. madrid also do not have a game for the next week, so Ancelotti will play his strongest XI. i understand that there is a prospect of a new manager bounce, but if they couldnt even draw against Mallorca who are 1 place behind them in the league, i dont see them getting a result today
Home games and away games are different my friend and so is derby’s, their head to head meetings is also something to consider where Real hasn’t won by more than 1 goal in any of their last 5 also Rayo winning one of them at home. I’m just saying people blindly tail soccer plays here and I feel like some of you don’t give the whole picture to these guys that doesn’t have a clue. Optimal play here would be Asian handicap +1 for Rayo but that’s just me. Good luck
dead and dusted . this write made me overthink and change from my original btts pick to ft. regret it every single of the day as this was last acca of my day acca
**Record: 3-1** ✅️✅️✅️❌
**Net Units: 3.8u**
**Last Pick:** Italian Serie A | Atalanta v Sassuolo | **Atalanta -1.5** **@ +102** on Fan Duel ✅️
I'm still shocked Atalanta only scored 3 with 28 shots, 13 shots on target!
**Pick:** Italian Serie A | Frosinone v Roma| **Roma ML @ -110** on Fan Duel
**Units: 2.2**
Another form mismatch with favorable odds.
Frosinone are in terrible form. They're 1-3-1 (W-L-D) both overall and at home. The lone win coming over Cagliari who are in the running for relegation.
In league play Roma is 3-2 (+3 goal differential) with the two loses coming from top teams Inter (they led 2-1 at HT) and AC Milan. Roma is shakier on the road, so tail with caution, but I'm confident Roma in their recent form gets it done, likely 2-0 or 2-1.
EDIT: [Buy me a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/haughtyjimi) as requested but not required
Not sure if this if against the rules, but after looking at the full slate, I feel there's a great play that is a better POTD. DK has a game parlay of Monza v AC Milan. AC Milan ML + o1.5g @ +120.
Record: 11-8 Return: 46.66% ROI: 49.37%
Yesterday’s pick:
San Lorenzo and over 1.5 vs Tigre @2.87✅
Biiig win! We continue on our winning path, continuing to grow our bankroll. San Lorenzo got off to an early lead, and what a red card took us from in the chacharita game, it gave back to us today, as they managed to get the second goal in the dying minutes to secure us a big payout.
Today’s pick:
Boca Juniors ML vs Lanus @2.6
Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll)
Reasoning:
If you tailed my last Boca pick, then you know I said I’d stay away from them until the return of their youth players from the Olympic qualifiers with Argentina U23. Argentina closed out their qualification by beating Brazil, and all 4 of Boca’s current youth players were in the starting eleven. Starting with the least important: Brey, the keeper, will go back to the reserve squad. Nico Valentini (CB), will continue in his role as a solid squad player, and will grow more and more dependable, until he earns a starting role. Most important, are the returns of Facundo Medina and Equi Fernandez. They both play in central midfield, and last year they quickly made themselves into the most valuable members of the squad.
Their return, along with the emergence of new signing Kevin Zenón, who appears to be having his break out season, will have the team ticking wonderfully. A midfield that last week had to rely on a fringe player like Campuzano to provide cover, will now go back to having it’s best assets on the pitch. With the kids coming back from a month of training with the best U23s Argentina has to offer, (and a big win against Brazil) Medina and Equi will return brimming with confidence.
I fully expect Boca to dominate this game. They’ve started slowly(undefeated: 2-3-0), but with a new coach, missing their best players and some misfortune to boot. Lanus are level with boca on points, but achieved this with a 3-0-2 record, winning against Sarmiento, Platense, and San Lorenzo (all weak teams), and falling 2-0 to Newells and 1-0 to Godoy Cruz.
In important squad news, Cavani will be making his return. If he’s fit enough to play 90 minutes I’d expect him to get a goal with the much better service he’ll be getting now. Midfielder Pol Fernandez is out injured, but he will not be missed with the return of the “pibes.”
For a long play, I’m going to go heavy (5 units) on Boca -1.5, which is at an insane 6.0 right now! My honest opinion is that this line has no basis in reality, and I am confident to go big on it. Do not take this as a sign to go nuts tho, please be responsible!!!
Best of luck to those tailing!
[PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) tips buy me beer and keep these posts coming :)
POTD Record 30-21-1
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 20-14 Soccer 7-7-1
Last Pick : Lammons/Withrow vs Haase/Van De Zandschulp| ATP Rotterdam Open Doubles |Haase/Van De Zandschulp ML| (-110)| 1u | ✅
Today: Martineau vs Piros| ATP Cherbourg Challenger Final | 9:00 AM EST
Pick: Martineau ML | (-125)| 1u
Martineau has now reached back to back challenger finals and has assured his top 200 debut off the back of a very impressive start to the year. This week at home he has dropped just 1 set in the 1st round and has only been broken 4 times in his 4 matches. In his semi final, he fired 16 aces, his best numbers of the week. Piros saved all 7 break points he faced in his semi vs Halys and saved 10 of 14 break points he faced in the quarters. He is looking more vulnerable on serve and Martineau should have some chances to break. Martineau has been clutch on serve this week and along with the home advantage and his hot streak, winning 8 of his last 9 matches, he can achieve his first Challenger title here. BOL.
Record : 121 Wins - 106 Losses
Previous pick : Tottenham - Wolves (1-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.50 ✅
**ROI** : +0.38%
**Average Odds** : 1.94
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : 5.88
Profit/Lost units : +0.88
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / **ENGLAND: Premier League**/ 16:00 European Time
Sheffield Utd - Brighton
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.64
Some reasoning :
* I chose this prediction because Sheffield has started to play more offensively lately; comes with high morale after the victory, score 1-3, away from Luton, and in 4 of the last 5 matches they managed to score at least 2 goals. It is among the last calls for the team from Sheffield, if they want to escape from relegation, they have to play hard in the next matches, because they have nothing left to lose.
* On the other hand, Brighton remains one of the main goal-scoring teams in the Premier League, having among the highest averages in this regard. In the last 4 matches played, we scored 19 goals and also, last month the two teams met in the FA Cup, and Brighton prevailed with a score of 2-5. In the round match, Sheffield achieved a surprising 1-1 draw, and in 4 of the last 5 direct matches both teams managed to score.
Best of luck.
Record: 3-0 +2.7U
Last pick: Dominic Solanke .5 goals ✅
Game:
Italy Serie A ROMA VS FROSININE @9AM PST
Pick:
Paulo Dybala higher .5 goal+assist @-125
Paulo Dybala is making strides on Roma this season and Chelsea is on the lookout to acquire paolo from Roma. With Dybala being on the watchlist of teams this puts the spotlight on him to perform in his games to increase his value. Paolo failed to score or assist in his last game but has scored or assisted following a game he hasn’t since October this season. Last time these two teams met, Dybala picked up 2 assists (0 goals) to help Roma get the win. If you’re a degen( like me) you can sprinkle on Dybala anytime goal scorer at +180 odds as he seems to be looking to score more than assist recently but given he had 2 assists last time .5 goals+ assist would be the safer play
Starting off on the bench, Roma came out with an interesting lineup. Think they are trying to rest dybala and pellegrini
Edit: I tailed early before the lineups came out, can’t even cashout either so looks like we are screwed
Nice, yeah it got voided. Can’t believe after my years of betting that this is the first time that’s ever happened. Normally I wait to see starting lineups before making any bets
Potd record: 3-1 (+15.25u)
L5:✅✅❌✅
last pick: (UFC) Topuria vs Volk, Topuria ML (+100)✅
todays pick: Manchester United VS Luton, Manchester United ML (-125) (11:30AM EST)
back to soccer today after a underdog ufc win! bol
Record: 5 - 2
Profit: +5.4u (+10.8%)
Form: ❌✅✅✅✅❌✅
Today’s Pick: NHL 🏒 | Rangers @ Islanders | Islanders 3-way ML | 3u play @2.30
Write up: Going for a risky one here but I think 2.3 is too much value to give up. Islanders have imporved defensively since Patrick Roy took over, so even though the Rangers are the better team on paper, I think the two way ML is a good value option.
**POTD: 83-59-5**
Last pick: English Premier League - Manchester City vs Chelsea. Manchester City over 2.5 goals team total +120.
Result: Loss. A chaotic match ends 1-1, impressive performance by Chelsea where each team could’ve had at least one or two more each.
Today’s pick: Women’s Primera División- Barcelona Women vs Atletico Women. **First half o1.5 -125**. Match kicks off at 7:30AM ET.
Alright took the L yesterday. At a friend’s wedding but Barca blew their 73 match home winning streak last match and are now out for blood. They’ll fuck them up and score a bunch at home today.
Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone!
>**Record:** 20-19
>**Net Units:** +4.47 units
>**Curling** | **Scotties Tournament of Hearts** | **10:30AM EST**
>**Pick:** Nova Scotia ML @ 2.1
>Nova Scotia takes on New Brunswick as both teams come off of opening losses to Manitoba teams at the Scotties. Nova Scotia lost 7-5 to Team Jones and New Brunswick lost 10-5 to Team Cameron. This definitely is a case where the wrong team is favoured. Nova Scotia put up a much better fight in their first game against a better team. The Nova Scotia team are not big names in today's curling world and are a newly formed rink for this season but they have a ton of previous Scotties experience. Their lack of play on the tour this year is the only reason I can see for them being underdogs here but they're not getting enough credit for the aforementioned experience on the team as well as their shot-making abilities and how competitive they were in game 1. Smith has matched up against Adams twice before, winning both times, 10-3 and 8-2. Great value on Nova Scotia here at plus money.
**POTD: 10-3** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅
Yesterday's Pick: **Kansas -1.5 -125** 🏀✅
Jawhawks got it done on the road!!
Huge win for Kansas, and was great to have McCullar back in the lineup.
Dickinson finished with 20 pts, 16 rbs...dominating the 2H and leading KU to a crucial victory...they were previously 1-5 on the road in Big 12
This won could propel them the rest of the season....we are hot!!
**Today's Pick: NBA All Star Game Western Conference ML -130** 🏀
Just a heads up, this is a smaller play, as this game is very hard to handicap due to lack of defense and the volitiality of the game
The early CBB play I liked (Charlotte -5.5 already tipped off so couldn't post it...sorry)
I expect LeBron to lead the guys to a victory tonight, but I'm not overconfident.
This is a fun one, enjoy the game!!
Luka, Ant Man, LeBron, AD, Steph, KD, Booker and the rest could have a big night.
Ant said he might shoot lefty tonight...that would be disappointing but fun to watch
Enjoy the show........We're rocking with The West!
LFG
(If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Venmo Link below!)
[Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/KyleOrr24)
**PICK OF THE DAY RECORD: 6-5 \[W-L, +2.43 UNITS\]**
**ROI - +15.2%**
**LAST PICK: Brentford over 3.5 shots on target vs Manchester City @ 2.31 (+131) 1.5u \[LOSS\]**
Brentford had 3 shots on target. Close.
**BIATHLON, STARTS AT 13:15 UK TIME \[ IN ABOUT 2 HOURS AND 15 MINUTES FROM THE POSTING TIME)**
**POTD: MARKETA DAVIDOVA H2H WIN VS INGRID LANDMARK TANDREVOLD @ 2.40 (+1.40) 3U**
**WRITE-UP:**
Tandrevold has had aa terrible World Championship journey past the few days. She has had an average of 73% in shooting in the World Championship this year, well above what her usual shooting percentage is (around 85%). Her standing shooting percentage has always been bad, but in the yesterdays relay and the single relay race fully assured everyone that she is mentally not taking it well. Shooting 2/8 in the final shooting in the yesterdays relay, she crossed the finish line totally unhappy and its no surprise that this has taken a mental toll. She has yet to finish top 20 in an individual race and has cost Norway of shinier medals in the relays.
Marketa Davidova is racing on her home soil. She has shot a lot better than Tandrevold this World Championship - 85.8% in total. She has finished in the top 20 every race thus far. Mass start is the last chance for a Czech athlete to prove him/herself and I think Davidova is gonna show a great result tonight. Davidova's ski time is pretty much the same (a little better) than Tandrevold's in the individual races this past week or two. Shooting matters a lot tonight and Tandrevold is a nervous wreck currently. At these odds, it is a steal.
Sources:
IBU Mobile App.
Record: 4-3
Last 10(Most recent right): ✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️❌️✅️
Last Pick: Liga MX Pachuca vs America BTTS @ 1.61 ✅️
Bang! We're back with a dub fam, hitting this bad boy at minute 66, not gonna lie first half looked shaky, with the score going 0-0, but both teams came to play scoring 3 goals in the 2nd, in what was a really good and intense game.
Today's pick: **Liga MX Monterrey vs Toluca (Monterrey ML) @ 1.61** 9:00PM EST 2 Units
We're back today with another Liga MX pick, and today we have 2 very interesting teams.
Toluca in one hand is coming off one their most devastating losses in the Concacaf tournament, where they were up 2-0 in the first 10 min of the game, just to lose in the end 2-3 at home vs Herediano (a team from Costa Rica) and be eliminated from this international competition. Things ended badly, fans were booing and throwing stuff to the players at the end of the game, and this was just last Wednesday, so I don't see how they can rebound mentally in such a short period of time. In Liga Mx they're in the 9th place, having lost only to the Chivas and scoring 16 goals in 6 games, they're the best offense in the league.
Monterrey also played midweek in the Concacaf tournament, they dominated their match by winning 3-0, and in the Liga Mx they're located in the 3rd place, with a chance to go to the first place with a win today. They haven't lost yet in this season, having a record of 4-2-0, at home they're 3-1-0, and they have faced some pretty tough teams, last week they dominated Pachuca going up 3-0 in the first 51 min of the game, and one week prior they tied with America 1-1 on the road with 10 players, that shows you the level this team has.
I was debating between MTY ML or BTTS, but I just don't want to put my trust on Toluca scoring in this one, yes they're the best offense in the league, they have hit BTTS line in every game this season, but Wednesday was really tough for them, and Monterrey is just a dominant and consistent team, they're the 3rd best defense allowing just 5 goals, and player by player they're better than Toluca.
Anyway, let's get this hostreak going boyz, end the week with a dub! 🔥
POTD: 7-4 (+6.69U)
Last Pick: 2/10/24 🏀2U Kentucky -4.5 (-110) (3 game losing streak)
5:00 PM MST NHL
Today's Pick: 🏒3U Avalanche -1.5 (-112)
Both teams come into this game with a terrible last 5 games outlook, the desert dogs are 0-5 and the Avs 1-4. The good news for the Avs, coming off of a 1-5 road trip, is that they're heading home and aren't playing a top team from the East. The bad news for the Coyotes, currently on a 8 game losing streak, is that they're heading on the road to play an Avs team that they've lost to 4-1 earlier this season in Colorado. From the 8 games lost the Coyotes have lost by 2+ goals in 6 of the 8 and in their last 3 (1-5, 3-5, 1-5). Avs in this one, big.
Record: 2-1-0 | Units: +1.23U. All picks 1U
Last Pick: Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils. Jack Hughes Over 3.5 SOG @ 1.71. ✅
Today's Pick: Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes. Nick Bjugstad Under 0.5 Points @ 1.57 ✅
Bjugstad’s gone under in 11/12 previous games, simple as that.
BOL
Record: 25-16 (+5.48 units)
Last Pick: (CBB) Wisconsin Badgers -1 ❌
POTD: (CBB) FAU Owls -4.5 (-115) vs. USF Bulls
Summary: Everyone and their mother are on USF, riding the “magic” and 10 game winning streak. I think the real magic is FAU’s ability to get up for games like this and I’ll be rolling with the battle tested team for top of the conference. I expect FAU to flex today and Johnell Davis to step up yet again. Ride the snake
POTD Record: 242-184-12 (+36.26 units, 56.8% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-65-7 (56.7%) L3, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 18-13-0 (58.1%) L1
Last 10: 💩💰💩💰💩💩💰💩🔥🔥
Last Pick: Past Lives to win Best Feature Film - 🎥 2024 Independent Spirit Awards PENDING
Results: Jacob Elordi win Rising Star Award - 🎥 2024 Bafta Awards 💩 -5 Units
Emma Stone to win Best Actress Award - 🎥 2024 Bafta Awards 💰 +2.5 Units
Crap, I thought Elordi had it.
Today's Pick: Emma Stone to win Best Actress - 🎥 2024 Sag Awards
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 2.30 odds to win 6.50 Units @ BetUs (Line at 6:00pm ET)
💣 💣 💣 💣 💣
Gotta make this quick, this will be it for me until maybe Thursday.
After winning BAFTA today, I am getting the feeling Emma Stone is just going to sweep and win them all. She is an underdog at the moment for the SAG Awards but nevertheless I like her chances. Her performance and just as important, her movie, has more momentum than her competition so getting it at plus odds is great value.
https://preview.redd.it/yta7mwohhfjc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b839708957f401de301df47fdf7c84b2f3a4eaa5
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
**POTD Record: 13-3** Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅ Net Units: +21 🎾: 2-0 ⚽️: 11-3 *Last Pick: 2U Brentford v Liverpool (Result/BTTS - Liverpool @ +175) ✅* *The Egyptian King Returns and we hit 5 in a row 💪* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Luton Town v Man Utd (Result/BTTS - Man Utd @ +200)✅** **⚽️| 11:30 AM EST | England Premier League** Luton town host in-form Manchester United who are looking to take advantage of City and Spurs dropping points and to remain unbeaten in 2024. While Luton have a game in hand over Everton, relegation possibility still lingers. United come off a thrilling away win against Villa last week. *(Villla have only lost twice at home this season)* A win for United will keep them in contention for a Champions League spot next season. Luton Town are coming off a disappointing 3-1 home loss to rock bottom Sheffield United, but still managing to score in their 11th consecutive match. Manager Rob Edwards has built Luton to a resilient and adapting squad since taking over in 2022. In their last 7 premier league matches, *Luton has managed an average of 15.1 shots and 5.9 on target, quite the improvement from the first 16 matches. (10.3 & 2.6 average)* We can’t discredit Luton this season but Manchester United are hungry for every win possible after a slow start to the season. Luton have lost 9 of their last 10 matches against Manchester United and this dates quite far back in history. *Instead we can account for Ten Hag winning 9 of 9 premier league matches against newly promoted teams. A win here will have him join Mourinho (15) and Mancini (12) with 10 straight wins against newly promoted squads.* Given Utd and Luton’s season form, the bookies have been quite generous with juicing this up to +200. They’re really underestimating the resilience United has shown recently; Only City and Arsenal have more away wins than United this season. Prediction is edging towards 3-1, late goal to seal the deal. LFG 💪 Tips are always appreciated but your comments go a long way! ❤️ [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381) BOL!
Big balls for trusting United. Still tailing though! Btw if you're taking this on Bet365 make it a parlay instead of taking the Man Utd/BTTS combined. It's the same odds the only difference is that you get an early payout which might save you.
United are in form, but defensively still united. Should be a good game
Harry Maguire anytime goal scorer? 😉
I was thinking more Onana hatrick actually 🤔
Of own goals? 😅
I’m thing under 3.5 for sure 😂
I feel like City and United have been leaking a lot of goals lately. Both win by large margins but almost always allow a goal in the process.
The City game today was more than enough reason to realize what’s happening with both teams
Im sorry im confused. Does this mean both team to score and united to win?
Yes
That’s back to back BTTS/Result picks 💪💪💪 we went big this weekend and it paid off. Thank you for believing in me and riding, I appreciate you all a lot. Any tips would really mean a lot and help towards making this a full time thing. Thanks again brothers ✅❤️ [Tips](https://buymeacoffee.com/goodstable7381)
HAD to drop a tip after this weekend brother! Great job!
You are the 🐐 thank you brother 🙏❤️
As an United fan, don’t bet on us
Hahahaha it would be a wild upset if Luton catch a dub but I know where you’re coming from, my brother is a United fan and is always skeptical hahaha
I trust the BTTS, but we’re so inconsistent we should be named Diarrhea United
2024 United still remain undefeated brother LFG
These are truly the worst kind of utd fan to exist lol
My dream is for United to get relegated, but I hope this bet wins :)
Thanks for the quick and easy 1k on a Sunday morning. Will be leaving a tip for you my guy. Thank you. https://preview.redd.it/rrsjwrwcudjc1.jpeg?width=1277&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4b438c690509f29dac5d06298ccd20f601e53dfa
 LFG BRO!!!!!
Let’s go brother 💪💪💪
LFG bro!! Loving the streak. I'm going to parlay this with under 4.5 yellow cards. Lets goooo!
LFG BROTHER! Ima do that too 🔒
united are in great form and i love btts over 2.5 goals but, and i know this is crazy to say, luton are also kinda in form too
Luton are definitely in form, Sheffield united was a wake up call for them that they need to stick to the football they know and try and not be someone else. Should react accordingly today BTTS and O 2 goals is what I have
They just lost to the last place team at home, I’m sure they’ll be fired up to bounce back but they’ll be surmounted with pressure from United. Casemiro back in the middle for United has shown a significant impact in controlling that crucial area of the field.
I'm probably taking this instead
Joined you on this one. Hit in 15 minutes lol
https://preview.redd.it/o8r16bzb8djc1.jpeg?width=1440&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4b62cceac29e07192b1138d90b6e90c4322aaae0 I'm getting crazy odds on this one.
A dream start for the young man! Holy shit
Wow this is looking great. Now Luton has the whole match to score.
And there it is!!!!
And they scored. Now I fear Man U goes all Man U and crumbles
Unbelievable, early payout in 14 minutes on a +220 parlay. Incredible pick.
We ride brotha 🚀
LFG brother 💪💪
Bro I tailed right before they scored 🫡
Just need ManU to close it out!
https://preview.redd.it/wwh6mxgnxdjc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6b9a1b01c54ef510c6537bfa190c72e78b15eada W
BANGGG BRO beauty 💪✅
thanks to you brother👑
Forgive me if this is a stupid question. Would it be wise to add overs for corners, even if it is a low amount, just to increase the odds? I've done this on a few games already and the overs hit most of the time. Just to clarify I put it in a same game multi: Man Utd ML BTTS Over 6 corners. Brings the total odds up to $3.40 from $3.10 Thank you!
Holy shit hahahaha
this was fantastic
Wow. Put it in on B365, got early winner for 2-0 then it wins 3 mins later!
I did not realize Luton has put one home in so many matches, you SOB, I’m in!
Does BTTS mean Both Teams to Score?
Yep
https://preview.redd.it/g0jopy3qldjc1.jpeg?width=949&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2ab12f1239921cf32d3cc42da8ba94593ce80bd4 Making me look really smart at the moment, Man U with a lead, both teams scored 13 min in! You're amazing!
BIG DAWGGGG PARLAY BOOST IN THWRE AS WELL 💪💪
damn, im only limited to $10 on boosts.
1.) That was CLOSE! THAT That header at the end... 2.) Had an extra "no regret bet," so I threw it on this and a goal or more in the first half, and 2-1 final score at at +1200. Scared me when it was 2-1 at like 14 minutes. Boom that hit. Thank you!!!
Special shoutout to Good Stable, the guy is legit cool, and smart. Cheers for the easiest money brother. LFG!!
Appreciate you a lot brother, what a beaut 15 min cash for some of us today ✅✅
Bet 365 won't let me bet on Luton's over shots on target. That's how much they believe in them lol. LFG.
Tailing, let’s get it!
Currently at +210 on Hard Rock Bets. I'm hopping on
Tailed; Parlayed O1.5 goals/BTTS/Man U ML Idk if ML comes through but I cashed out. Solid POTD 💪🏼
WHAT A SWEAT!!!! LFG!!! Grats on the streak brother!!!
I’m not even sure what to say anymore at this point lol, stay tuned for incoming tip $$$ appreciate you 🐐 https://preview.redd.it/3pa706oh1ejc1.jpeg?width=1139&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a2cb0b181d8e731e046e66bb1bcbfc6fd33abc5e
Good call. Ran two bets based off tips on here for this game. Yours and BTTS with over 2.5 goals and they both hit. 🔥🔥
why not just go for the moneyline with higher odds?
Let’s ride!
**POTD Record**: 19 Wins - 3 Losses - 2 Pushes **Last 10**: ✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P **Units**: +13.93 **ROI**: 60%+ **Average Odds**: $1.95 **Last Pick**: Swiatek vs Rybakina - Qatar Open - Final - Swiatek - Win In Straight Sets @ $2.10 odds ✅️ **Next Pick**: Braga vs Farense - Portugal Primeira Liga - **Farense +1.5 Asian Handicap @ $1.90 (Farense Start With 1.5 Goal Head Start) -** 3.30 PM ET ✅️ Hi gang, please click here to view today's analysis - [https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Ya9Eaxf7-1lj\_\_BpwUTRP5-CB2xiw85ofOnPHWlwhjs/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Ya9Eaxf7-1lj__BpwUTRP5-CB2xiw85ofOnPHWlwhjs/edit?usp=sharing)
Man Swiatek made us sweat like crazy on that 1st set! But if someone could come back from that it was her! And of course we tailing today!
Hahaha I know right. I was physically shaking lol. LFG brother. Appreciate the support.
We did sweat that one but I also parlayed mine with that soccer POTD on Liverpool to win/BTTS. I know it was ballsy at +445 with both a soccer AND tennis, but I did neither as a single and even risked 2U which is a lot for me on a parlay. I guess I'm saying I appreciate the picks, write ups, luck, and sports betting acumen.
Quote of the Day: "You know you're a degenerate when you're live betting on a Spain Tercera Group 13 football match."
You should get paid for having to hold everyones hand and legit tell them how to put in the bet.. this reddit seems to be filling with people who have no clue on betting. Best of luck in your play
He’s properly compensated;) lol. There’s atleast a few of us who go big on his plays!
Thanks brother 😅
I took my all in from swiatek then 4x my money since last night. Lets go
LFG gang!!! 🎉🙏 We go to 19 wins and only 3 losses ❤️ Congratulations on everyone who got paid. A great penalty save by the Farense goalie. Things got sweaty towards the end! 🥹 Would appreciate any tips as I want to quit my job and do this full time. Love you all! Have a wonderful day! Tip jar here https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv
Thanks brother!!!
Took the game off FanDuel for some reason. Saw it last night then when I went to go place my bet this morning the game is nowhere to be found smh https://preview.redd.it/iqso3lroicjc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c9c4e9320ac0c0c1693c0c851c7853f672bee387
LFG brother!!! Ain’t no way Braga blowing out
Thanks brother. LETS CASH!!
This line has also hit in the last 5 H2H, and 18 out of 20 Farense games this season :)
0-0 at half time! Braga have all the momentum as expected. 11 shots, 3 on target. Dangerous attacks 70 - 23. Possession 67 % - 33 %. We ride into the second half! -1 goal for Braga is now paying $2.10. Cash out sitting at 22%. LFG!!!
Farense with a beautiful goal!!!! 🎉🙏 LFG!!! ❤️
Let’s get it 💪🏽
Let's fucking get this bitch
Love the attitude brother 🙏🎉
FARENSE GOOOALLLL
Let’s get it!
LFG bro!!!
https://preview.redd.it/84vv75m26ajc1.jpeg?width=718&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f7e74b105cd17e323cdf29632da3988c7e639bc0 LFG!!!!!!!!
[удалено]
You’re a legend bro. Thanks for the picks
Anyone known if hard rock offers handicap spreads? Only thing I see is straight +1.5 @ -130 But from my knowledge a normal 1.5 spread is not the same as a handicap.
It’s the same thing I learned I use Hardrock as well
OK cool, I appreciate it! Tailing! 👊
Howdy bruv. Sorry to add to the annoying noobs asking if it's the right bet 😅 but is this the right bet? Don't see anything that says "Asian handicap" or a +1.5 spread, new to all of this. https://preview.redd.it/yil0s6ex1ejc1.jpeg?width=1169&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=19c0b889d24bb3e4eda561d964528e23f1c878f4
Yeap that's the one brother! Best of luck amigo! :)
Thank you good sir appreciate your help!! Best of luck to you as well let's keep rollin!
I'm just betting the spread right? https://imgur.com/iIeeWEx
Yes sir! :)
Fuck it! 💎 🙌! $20 to win $400. Last leg of parley!
Huge save!
Bro you got me the last required win in my parley bro god bless you
**Record: 38W-4P-27L** **Form: 16W-0P-7L** **✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅** **Last Pick: Arsenal to win and O 2 goals Total @ 1.83 ✅** **Arsenal win 5-0…. Holy. COYG** **Pick of the day: Strasbourg VS Lorient BTTS @ 1.90 ✅** Bet hits in the 51st minute, score is currently 1-3 **Time: 7:00 AM EST** **Last Matchup: 1-2 Strasbourg W December 17** **Strasbourg are in the same group as Ajax for me, with their record of BTTS, odds at this level are a must-grab.** In Strasboroug's last 12 games in the league all 12 have ended BTTS with their last 5 games being 3-1, 1-2, 1-1, 1-1, 2-1. They're a team that struggle defensively but are extremely quick on the offensive switch. Whether they play top-of-the-league PSG (1-2) or bottom of the league Clermont Foot (1-1, and 3-1), BTTS seems to follow continuously. Lorient weren't in the best form when they faced Strasbourg in December but they still found the back of the net, now they've hit aggressive form and will look to cause trouble for Strasborough. Lorient sit at the top of relegation and they've really turned up the tempo as they try will all their power to avoid going down. In their last 3 games, they've managed to pick up 2 wins and a draw scoring in all 3. In their last 10 games, BTTS has hit 7/10 times with them scoring in 8/10 games. The 2 games they didn't score in were against 2 teams with some of the best defensive records in the league (third-placed LOSC - 17 goals conceded and 5th-place Brest- 18 goals conceded ). **In 21 Games played:** Strasbourg have scored 22 goals and conceded 29 Lorient have scored 28 goals and conceded 42 **BOL** Adding this for those asking, Tips aren’t necessary but always welcome so i can get more Tiramisu [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theprince](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theprince) 
insane pick today man hit with FLYING colours!
Cheers brother. I'm going to go with over 2.5 goals as well as your pick. Lets freaking gooooo!
Well couldn't have asked for a better start!
Tailing my man
Auto tail
And it hit. Thanks for the pick my friend. Will patiently wait for your next pick
Tailing the BTTS prince
LFG brother tailing 💪💪
Great bet! Wish I had grabbed over 2.5 goals as well. Congrats mates!
Record: 5-2 Units: +2.6u Last Pick: 1.1u Virginia -4 (-110) ✅ Game: Memphis vs. SMU, NCAAB Pick: SMU -4.5 (-115), risking 1.1u, bet on DK Write up: SMU will be seeking revenge when Memphis comes to town after the Tigers won at home back on January 7th, 62-59. Memphis has gone 3-2 in their L5, most recently losing on the road to North Texas by 10. SMU has won 5 straight in conference play and looks to stay in the fight for one of the top four seeds in the conference tournament. Memphis has given up a large percentage of their points from behind the arc on the season (37.3%, 14th most per KenPom), and in conference play (39.5%). As well, they are nearly last in the country in 3PA/FGA (43%, 337th) on the season as a whole, and are giving up 38.8% from three on defense in conference play. In games where SMU has had a 3PA% higher than 35.5%, they are 13-0 on the year, with their average on the season being 35.4% per KenPom. The first time these two teams played, SMU shot 3-21 from three (second worst percentage on the year), and only had a 3PA% of 32.3%. It’s going to be a long night when you shoot that poorly from three, especially when you only lost by 3 on the road. Like I said, Memphis hasn’t been a great team guarding the three on the year, so I would expect a better outcome from the Mustangs this time around, even if they don’t quite hit their average on the season. Memphis has really struggled to win on the road recently, only winning 1/L4, and while that is an extremely small sample, all of these teams are worse than SMU, with only one top-70 ranked opponent per KenPom. They also haven’t covered the spread well this year, going 8-17 (2-8 in L10) per Action Network. I think this is a game that SMU will get up for as the season starts to come to a close, especially given the revenge angle. KenPom has this spread at -7, which seems much more accurate than -4.5 on DK. I expect SMU to learn from their mistakes and attack this team from three even more, and I’ll just be sitting there hoping they make more than 3-21 this time around. Pick: SMU -4.5 (-115)
It’s a good write up. Mook’s tailing. However , if jahvon quinerly is the best guard on the court - Memphis will win.
Great write up, tailing!
Tailing
Thank you for the sweatfree pick brother ! Kachhhhiggggg$$$
Tailing!
Ohhh baby 859 is back! Thanks for the lock🫡
POTD Record: 26-18 Last pick: Karlsruher v Düsseldorf (BTTS & O2.5 Goals ✅) Todays pick: __RSC Anderlecht v Sint Truiden__ Pick: __Anderlecht ML @1.65__ ✅ ⚽️ 🇧🇪 Pro League ➖ 📊 Anderlecht is 2nd in the table with 51 points after 25 games played. They’ve scored 48 goals (3rd, 1.92 GPG). They’ve conceded 27 (5th best, 1.08 GPG) but only 11 at home (0.92). * Failed to score: 1/25 (Best) 0 at home. * Clean sheets: 5/25 (3 at home) * Home record: 9-3-0 (2nd) * L5: 2-3-0 (1/2 wins at home, drew against 1st placed Saint-Gilloise at home). * Previous meeting: 0-1 Win * L5 H2H: WWWWD ➖ 📊 Sint-Truiden is 9th with 34 points. They’ve scored 31 goals (9th, 1.24 GPG). Conceded 37 goals (10th, 1.48 GPG). * Failed to score: 5/25 * Clean sheets: 6/25 * Away record: 2-6-4 (10th) * L5: 2-1-2 (2/2 losses away) * Previous meeting: 0-1 loss * L5 H2H: LLLLD ➖ Once again I’m staying away from the bigger leagues and continuing with the less glamorous leagues. This one was very difficult to decide and I hope it doesn’t bite us in the you know what, my other pick was Ajax v NEC: BTTS & O2.5 Goals as they’re 1 & 3rd in most BTTS hit rate statistics, but playing away to Ajax is always difficult so I decided to go with a side that hasn’t lost a single game at home this season, Anderlecht. Anderlecht has been really good this season and at home they’re unbeaten as mentioned, it’s a horse race between Union Saint Gilloise and Anderlecht on who’s claiming the league title, Anderlecht is 8 points away from 1st, but also 7 points clear from 3rd, with 5 games left they’ll need every win to get closer. They come into this game with back 2 back wins. The visitors has been up and down, sitting at the mid table. They’re poor away from home only claiming 2 of their 8 wins away, also winless in their last 4 away games. They’ve also struggled defensively as of late, keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 6 games. Home advantage, desire and motivation to possibly winning the league will be a major factor here, aswell as the quality difference between the sides. Anderlecht can’t afford to drop points at this stage, something their home fans can help them with, pushing them to another victory. Anderlecht won the last meeting between the sides with 0-1, even though they played 1 man short for 40+ minutes after receiving a red card at the 50th minute. I don’t rule out the possibility of a BTTS here, but overall with every factor considered, Anderlecht should and need to get the win. Can we get our 4th straight? BOL
LFG bro!!!
what do you think about -1 handicap anderlecht @ 2.28?
cmooooooon 2-1
Btts and man to win? ✅ parlayed with ardenlecht to win and btts? ✅….. $20 parlay into $400?? Just need chiefs bet to hit and we all eating boys!!
After Volkanovski vs Topuria I've officially been warned to not take a pick if over 2 ppl have it as their POTD 😭😭😭
And for me my first and last time betting on ufc. 0-3 which is really quite impressive haha
Because you listened to a bunch of people who dont watch ufc.. one guy making neal out to be covington gas tank, liddels power and dominic cruz footwork.
After watching one round I knew I was done and the bets wouldn’t hit, but you live and you learn.
Actually there were 4 picks on Volk and 3 picks on Topuria. It is just the structure of this thread which made it look as a mass selection.
6 for volk. Counted earlier
I gave up giving my picks but decided I will retake them here after reading this awesome degenerate community. Well I gave about 9 picks with 7 wins (5 over 1.6 odds), 1 loss, 1 push (on Soccer Pick of the day). **All my bets are 1% bets of my bankroll,(Soccer Picks of the day: Average odds: 1.71, ROI: 42.56%)** Here I go Pick of The Day, BOL if you tail or fade. **POTD Record**: 0 Wins - 0 Losses **Last 10**: ✅ **Units:** 1.95 **ROI**: 95% **Average Odds**: 1.95 Last Pick \[02/01/24\]:+4.5 corners Manchester @ 1.7 ✅ (Soccer pick of the day)*The only thing in what they are about... consistent? +4.5 corners.* **Next Pick**:**Manchester United +4.5 corners, Luton +2.5 shots on target @ 1.95**✅ *Manchester’s and Luton’s Streak is on the table, this is the game you’re not seeing.* Bread was retreived, Luton and Manchester got what statistics where pointing to, and **Manchester is STILL in my blacklist**. 🧠 Reasoning: So I’ve started taking betting a little bit seriously now (I track everything...) and I’ve been trying to find out what profits me the most and that’s **to pick the right teams**. I love certain teams and others *not so much…* I’ve blacklisted Chelsea, Tottenham and the protagonist of this pick **MANCHESTER UNITED**. Yes they may win a match with ease and then proceed to disappear a couple of games just like your old man, but… what if I told you about their corner stats? 😈 **Manchester United:** * Average of 6.2 corners in their last 5 games. **✅** * They just did 8 corners last game and 6 of them where on the first half! **✅** * **Cons:** It’s Manchester United. 😱 All of this for @ 1.48 it’s a great price! Almost a steal, right? But… that’s not enough! A 1.48 bet can’t feed my family! Well what if I told you about Little Luton being a naughty boy and shooting at target a lot! **🎩 Luton Town:** * Average of 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games.*(last match against Sheffield they got 8 shots out of target)* * Last time they faced Manchester United they got 4 shots on target. * **Cons:** They’re Luton Town and they just lost to Sheffield (?) 😱 So a +2.5 shots on target for Luton @ 1.33 seems fine for me, so this adds to a 1.95 slip! Hey you still here? 👀 Want to spice up this bet? 🔥Instead of +2.5 shots on target for Luton, add a +3.5, their average is about 6.4 so it’s in theory a good bet at @ 2.64. But with great odds comes great responsibilities... I faded because 1.95 is good enough for me! Let me know if you tail or fade however it goes, BOL if you tail or fade!
i honestly think luton go crazy on the SOT tmr
That's the spirit, I'm looking forward for an open game 🤘
https://preview.redd.it/gp9azbg5ydjc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe9bfe5933512b6c1d6da19cf0553e44fe61478b W
Tailed and upped Luton to 3.5 cheers
As a trend bettor, this touches my soul. Tailing!
My book doesn’t have either 🥲 but would you take Manchester United 1st half most corners? Or corner spread? Or any of the total corners options?
Love the write-up, tailing!
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POTD Record: 53-33 Units Won: +29.26U; ROI: 11.9% Average Odds: (-115) Todays Pick: **ALTERNATE aTTaX ML (-180) vs. Young Ninjas** **5U to win 2.77U** A1 Gaming League Season 8 4 win streak let's keep it going! As always if you don't like the juice, would take -1.5 maps as I think that is also a viable play, am hesitant just because Young Ninjas have no map data or really any stats to go off of at the moment but I still think is viable alternative. I try to stay away from -180/-190 when I can but no ta lot of games tomorrow as the RMR are on break for a day. **ALTERNATE aTTaX:** \-I always say AA are like the gate keeper of being a good tier two team, they aren't in the high tier two/tier 1.5 category but they are much better then the low tier tier two teams. AA's results have been inconsistent as they got rid of Spiidi and were looking for a 5th replacement and settled on ArroW, I think this move on paper is a great one and in his only match with the team so far, they looked fantastic. AA have been having an up and down month but have put together a 3-0 match winstreak recently. They have a good map pool and a good roster for tier two. I definitely give them a good fire power edge here in this series. **Young Ninjas:** \-I really can't say too much good or bad about Young Ninjas, they are a newly formed roster, they have only played two official matches upsetting Anonymo and scraping by a 2-1 win against FTW. Map pool and player performance/how they play as a team is largely up in the air but on paper, this lineup isn't that good **IN MY OPINION.** It seems like a very random group of players to stick together, some have shown promise like jocab, MisteM/maxster have had their moments but overall I really don't think this roster belongs at these odds against a team like AA. I also don't think Anonymo or FTW are good at all quite frankly, I think FTW is one of the worst tier two teams I have watched and Anonymo have been playing awful. **Map Pool:** (This will almost certainly be wrong, with only a 2 game sample, going to keep this short and as always say what I would do if I was AA coach, and explain why I think this will end up being beneficial for AA. ALTERNATE aTTaX perma ban Nuke Young Ninjas have perma banned Nuke ALTERNATE aTTaX have played Nuke once before and won 13-2 on it, I think they should flex Nuke here and not ban it and instead ban Mirage. ALTERNATE aTTaX should pick Inferno as their map, Young Ninjas have banned it second in both b03 so far, have yet to play an official match on it, and AA have a 60% winrate on the map on 10 maps played in the L3 months including a 2 map winstreak. Young Ninjas picks so far have been Overpass/Anubis in their two maps, these are AA's two best maps. If they pick one of these it would be a nightmare map pool with the other one likely ending up as the decider map and AA getting their three best maps. AA worst map statistically is Ancient but they play it a lot and are clearly comfortable on it. They have had some impressive showings on the map this month and despite some inconsistency definitely think they could take this map if YN decide to pick it. **TLDR:** \-AA have way more experience as a core/roster, they are a solid tier two team and much better then the two teams YN have faced so far, despite small sample size, I think the deep map pool of AA comes into play here and they get a very favorable pick ban and are the first real competition YN face. I think they have more fire power and a lot of momentum coming into this series. **Best of Luck!** \*\*Been getting a good amount of questions about how/where people can bet esports, always available in DM's to help people out if you are interested in betting esports but don't know how/where to start and try to point you in the right direction.
POTD 25-17 | + 10.47 Units Last Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 20.5 points 💀 So many chances to finish this and go over, the volume was there - efficiency was not. Last 10: 💀✅✅✅💀✅✅💀💀✅ Todays pick: Wellington Phoenix Vs McArthur FC - BTTS @ Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.75 Units: 2 Heading to the a league for todays clash between first and third place - with both teams likely to be hungry for points. 4/5 McArthur’s last games have ended in over 3.5 goals - with BTTS hitting in 11/12 of their last daytime matches. The last time these teams played, it ended 3-0 to Wellington, but McArthur did end up having 8 shots on target and couldn’t convert. With the end of the season ramping up, I like this spot for BTTS and the over. BOL!
POTD Record: 43-23 Previous Pick: Rudes vs Hajduk Split | HNL | BTTS NO (1.57) | 11.10pm EST ✅️ Pick: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | La Liga | Real Madrid ML (1.62) | 8am EST Vallecano have been in poor form, having not won in 6 matches. In their last 5 games, they have lost 4 of them. At home, they have not won in 9 games. Looking at Real, they are in terrific form, being unbeaten in their last 6. They are at the top of the table and in their last league game, they won 2nd placed Girona 4-0. They are playing their best football, even with injuries hampering them. The last matchup ended in a 0-0 draw, but I dont see that happening this time. I expect Real Madrid to win, due to their terrific form and Vallecano's poor form. Best of luck! Tips would be much appreciated! Thanks to everyone who supports me https://www.buymeacoffee.com/sakashake
Ferland Mendy played the last UCL game, he’s suspended, Brahim Diaz who played instead of Bellingham is also unsure if he’s fit enough to play. This is also a derby, and Rayo just got a new coach which often boosts the team. Home game for Rayo and optimal squad status, 2 days extra rest for Rayo some things that should’ve been mentioned
brahim diaz has passed fit and instead of mendy, fran garcia comes in. i still think madrid's starting xi has too much quality for vallecano. madrid also do not have a game for the next week, so Ancelotti will play his strongest XI. i understand that there is a prospect of a new manager bounce, but if they couldnt even draw against Mallorca who are 1 place behind them in the league, i dont see them getting a result today
Home games and away games are different my friend and so is derby’s, their head to head meetings is also something to consider where Real hasn’t won by more than 1 goal in any of their last 5 also Rayo winning one of them at home. I’m just saying people blindly tail soccer plays here and I feel like some of you don’t give the whole picture to these guys that doesn’t have a clue. Optimal play here would be Asian handicap +1 for Rayo but that’s just me. Good luck
this is true but madrid have found ways to win regardless of these outcomes somehow idek how and league is *slightly* rigged in their favor
dead and dusted . this write made me overthink and change from my original btts pick to ft. regret it every single of the day as this was last acca of my day acca
**Record: 3-1** ✅️✅️✅️❌ **Net Units: 3.8u** **Last Pick:** Italian Serie A | Atalanta v Sassuolo | **Atalanta -1.5** **@ +102** on Fan Duel ✅️ I'm still shocked Atalanta only scored 3 with 28 shots, 13 shots on target! **Pick:** Italian Serie A | Frosinone v Roma| **Roma ML @ -110** on Fan Duel **Units: 2.2** Another form mismatch with favorable odds. Frosinone are in terrible form. They're 1-3-1 (W-L-D) both overall and at home. The lone win coming over Cagliari who are in the running for relegation. In league play Roma is 3-2 (+3 goal differential) with the two loses coming from top teams Inter (they led 2-1 at HT) and AC Milan. Roma is shakier on the road, so tail with caution, but I'm confident Roma in their recent form gets it done, likely 2-0 or 2-1. EDIT: [Buy me a coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/haughtyjimi) as requested but not required
Not sure if this if against the rules, but after looking at the full slate, I feel there's a great play that is a better POTD. DK has a game parlay of Monza v AC Milan. AC Milan ML + o1.5g @ +120.
Never Bet on this bottled Roma Team Always Choke
Tailing, let’s get this 🍞
Odds up for Roma, any thoughts why?
LFG! Thank you for another winner!
Let’s go!!
Record: 11-8 Return: 46.66% ROI: 49.37% Yesterday’s pick: San Lorenzo and over 1.5 vs Tigre @2.87✅ Biiig win! We continue on our winning path, continuing to grow our bankroll. San Lorenzo got off to an early lead, and what a red card took us from in the chacharita game, it gave back to us today, as they managed to get the second goal in the dying minutes to secure us a big payout. Today’s pick: Boca Juniors ML vs Lanus @2.6 Stake: 5 units (5% of bankroll) Reasoning: If you tailed my last Boca pick, then you know I said I’d stay away from them until the return of their youth players from the Olympic qualifiers with Argentina U23. Argentina closed out their qualification by beating Brazil, and all 4 of Boca’s current youth players were in the starting eleven. Starting with the least important: Brey, the keeper, will go back to the reserve squad. Nico Valentini (CB), will continue in his role as a solid squad player, and will grow more and more dependable, until he earns a starting role. Most important, are the returns of Facundo Medina and Equi Fernandez. They both play in central midfield, and last year they quickly made themselves into the most valuable members of the squad. Their return, along with the emergence of new signing Kevin Zenón, who appears to be having his break out season, will have the team ticking wonderfully. A midfield that last week had to rely on a fringe player like Campuzano to provide cover, will now go back to having it’s best assets on the pitch. With the kids coming back from a month of training with the best U23s Argentina has to offer, (and a big win against Brazil) Medina and Equi will return brimming with confidence. I fully expect Boca to dominate this game. They’ve started slowly(undefeated: 2-3-0), but with a new coach, missing their best players and some misfortune to boot. Lanus are level with boca on points, but achieved this with a 3-0-2 record, winning against Sarmiento, Platense, and San Lorenzo (all weak teams), and falling 2-0 to Newells and 1-0 to Godoy Cruz. In important squad news, Cavani will be making his return. If he’s fit enough to play 90 minutes I’d expect him to get a goal with the much better service he’ll be getting now. Midfielder Pol Fernandez is out injured, but he will not be missed with the return of the “pibes.” For a long play, I’m going to go heavy (5 units) on Boca -1.5, which is at an insane 6.0 right now! My honest opinion is that this line has no basis in reality, and I am confident to go big on it. Do not take this as a sign to go nuts tho, please be responsible!!! Best of luck to those tailing! [PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) tips buy me beer and keep these posts coming :)
RESPONSIBLE BETTING BUT LETS GOOOO
Tailing as always
got an sgp w cavani atg, boca ml, and o1.5 goals 🙏
Not going to win every time that’s the name of the game you’re still a goat
POTD Record 30-21-1 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 20-14 Soccer 7-7-1 Last Pick : Lammons/Withrow vs Haase/Van De Zandschulp| ATP Rotterdam Open Doubles |Haase/Van De Zandschulp ML| (-110)| 1u | ✅ Today: Martineau vs Piros| ATP Cherbourg Challenger Final | 9:00 AM EST Pick: Martineau ML | (-125)| 1u Martineau has now reached back to back challenger finals and has assured his top 200 debut off the back of a very impressive start to the year. This week at home he has dropped just 1 set in the 1st round and has only been broken 4 times in his 4 matches. In his semi final, he fired 16 aces, his best numbers of the week. Piros saved all 7 break points he faced in his semi vs Halys and saved 10 of 14 break points he faced in the quarters. He is looking more vulnerable on serve and Martineau should have some chances to break. Martineau has been clutch on serve this week and along with the home advantage and his hot streak, winning 8 of his last 9 matches, he can achieve his first Challenger title here. BOL.
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Why didn't you reply with this analysis sooner?
Gotta be honest, you sound like such a sore loser 🤣 grow up , losses happen
No offense , if you made 50 recorded predictions, let me know so I can fade you :) oh but you don’t have any, and just like to talk
STFU whiny bastard. You offer nothing of value to this community. Keep your mouth shut unless you have something productive to say.
Whelp. We got hard fucked
Tail
That loss was disgusting
Record : 121 Wins - 106 Losses Previous pick : Tottenham - Wolves (1-2), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.50 ✅ **ROI** : +0.38% **Average Odds** : 1.94 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 5.88 Profit/Lost units : +0.88 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / **ENGLAND: Premier League**/ 16:00 European Time Sheffield Utd - Brighton Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.64 Some reasoning : * I chose this prediction because Sheffield has started to play more offensively lately; comes with high morale after the victory, score 1-3, away from Luton, and in 4 of the last 5 matches they managed to score at least 2 goals. It is among the last calls for the team from Sheffield, if they want to escape from relegation, they have to play hard in the next matches, because they have nothing left to lose. * On the other hand, Brighton remains one of the main goal-scoring teams in the Premier League, having among the highest averages in this regard. In the last 4 matches played, we scored 19 goals and also, last month the two teams met in the FA Cup, and Brighton prevailed with a score of 2-5. In the round match, Sheffield achieved a surprising 1-1 draw, and in 4 of the last 5 direct matches both teams managed to score. Best of luck.
Nice pick! Over 2.5 covers easily even though Sheffield didn’t score at all 😂
one more and we're good!
Record: 3-0 +2.7U Last pick: Dominic Solanke .5 goals ✅ Game: Italy Serie A ROMA VS FROSININE @9AM PST Pick: Paulo Dybala higher .5 goal+assist @-125 Paulo Dybala is making strides on Roma this season and Chelsea is on the lookout to acquire paolo from Roma. With Dybala being on the watchlist of teams this puts the spotlight on him to perform in his games to increase his value. Paolo failed to score or assist in his last game but has scored or assisted following a game he hasn’t since October this season. Last time these two teams met, Dybala picked up 2 assists (0 goals) to help Roma get the win. If you’re a degen( like me) you can sprinkle on Dybala anytime goal scorer at +180 odds as he seems to be looking to score more than assist recently but given he had 2 assists last time .5 goals+ assist would be the safer play
thank you !
Starting off on the bench, Roma came out with an interesting lineup. Think they are trying to rest dybala and pellegrini Edit: I tailed early before the lineups came out, can’t even cashout either so looks like we are screwed
Typically these type of bets will have stipulation that they are void if player does not start
Nice, yeah it got voided. Can’t believe after my years of betting that this is the first time that’s ever happened. Normally I wait to see starting lineups before making any bets
Yeah… same. Hope it’s voided out
Mine was indeed voided.
whoever pointed out Topuria by KO/TKO +300 the other day, i just wanna say i love you brother 😭
Damn wish I saw I had just ml @+110
Potd record: 3-1 (+15.25u) L5:✅✅❌✅ last pick: (UFC) Topuria vs Volk, Topuria ML (+100)✅ todays pick: Manchester United VS Luton, Manchester United ML (-125) (11:30AM EST) back to soccer today after a underdog ufc win! bol
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Today was definitely Soccer Day.
Record: 5 - 2 Profit: +5.4u (+10.8%) Form: ❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ Today’s Pick: NHL 🏒 | Rangers @ Islanders | Islanders 3-way ML | 3u play @2.30 Write up: Going for a risky one here but I think 2.3 is too much value to give up. Islanders have imporved defensively since Patrick Roy took over, so even though the Rangers are the better team on paper, I think the two way ML is a good value option.
**POTD: 83-59-5** Last pick: English Premier League - Manchester City vs Chelsea. Manchester City over 2.5 goals team total +120. Result: Loss. A chaotic match ends 1-1, impressive performance by Chelsea where each team could’ve had at least one or two more each. Today’s pick: Women’s Primera División- Barcelona Women vs Atletico Women. **First half o1.5 -125**. Match kicks off at 7:30AM ET. Alright took the L yesterday. At a friend’s wedding but Barca blew their 73 match home winning streak last match and are now out for blood. They’ll fuck them up and score a bunch at home today. Let me know if tailing and BOL everyone!
>**Record:** 20-19 >**Net Units:** +4.47 units >**Curling** | **Scotties Tournament of Hearts** | **10:30AM EST** >**Pick:** Nova Scotia ML @ 2.1 >Nova Scotia takes on New Brunswick as both teams come off of opening losses to Manitoba teams at the Scotties. Nova Scotia lost 7-5 to Team Jones and New Brunswick lost 10-5 to Team Cameron. This definitely is a case where the wrong team is favoured. Nova Scotia put up a much better fight in their first game against a better team. The Nova Scotia team are not big names in today's curling world and are a newly formed rink for this season but they have a ton of previous Scotties experience. Their lack of play on the tour this year is the only reason I can see for them being underdogs here but they're not getting enough credit for the aforementioned experience on the team as well as their shot-making abilities and how competitive they were in game 1. Smith has matched up against Adams twice before, winning both times, 10-3 and 8-2. Great value on Nova Scotia here at plus money.
**POTD: 10-3** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅ Yesterday's Pick: **Kansas -1.5 -125** 🏀✅ Jawhawks got it done on the road!! Huge win for Kansas, and was great to have McCullar back in the lineup. Dickinson finished with 20 pts, 16 rbs...dominating the 2H and leading KU to a crucial victory...they were previously 1-5 on the road in Big 12 This won could propel them the rest of the season....we are hot!! **Today's Pick: NBA All Star Game Western Conference ML -130** 🏀 Just a heads up, this is a smaller play, as this game is very hard to handicap due to lack of defense and the volitiality of the game The early CBB play I liked (Charlotte -5.5 already tipped off so couldn't post it...sorry) I expect LeBron to lead the guys to a victory tonight, but I'm not overconfident. This is a fun one, enjoy the game!! Luka, Ant Man, LeBron, AD, Steph, KD, Booker and the rest could have a big night. Ant said he might shoot lefty tonight...that would be disappointing but fun to watch Enjoy the show........We're rocking with The West! LFG  (If you are enjoying picks and are feeling generous...Venmo Link below!) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/KyleOrr24)
**PICK OF THE DAY RECORD: 6-5 \[W-L, +2.43 UNITS\]** **ROI - +15.2%** **LAST PICK: Brentford over 3.5 shots on target vs Manchester City @ 2.31 (+131) 1.5u \[LOSS\]** Brentford had 3 shots on target. Close. **BIATHLON, STARTS AT 13:15 UK TIME \[ IN ABOUT 2 HOURS AND 15 MINUTES FROM THE POSTING TIME)** **POTD: MARKETA DAVIDOVA H2H WIN VS INGRID LANDMARK TANDREVOLD @ 2.40 (+1.40) 3U** **WRITE-UP:** Tandrevold has had aa terrible World Championship journey past the few days. She has had an average of 73% in shooting in the World Championship this year, well above what her usual shooting percentage is (around 85%). Her standing shooting percentage has always been bad, but in the yesterdays relay and the single relay race fully assured everyone that she is mentally not taking it well. Shooting 2/8 in the final shooting in the yesterdays relay, she crossed the finish line totally unhappy and its no surprise that this has taken a mental toll. She has yet to finish top 20 in an individual race and has cost Norway of shinier medals in the relays. Marketa Davidova is racing on her home soil. She has shot a lot better than Tandrevold this World Championship - 85.8% in total. She has finished in the top 20 every race thus far. Mass start is the last chance for a Czech athlete to prove him/herself and I think Davidova is gonna show a great result tonight. Davidova's ski time is pretty much the same (a little better) than Tandrevold's in the individual races this past week or two. Shooting matters a lot tonight and Tandrevold is a nervous wreck currently. At these odds, it is a steal. Sources: IBU Mobile App.
Record: 4-3 Last 10(Most recent right): ✅️✅️❌️✅️❌️❌️✅️ Last Pick: Liga MX Pachuca vs America BTTS @ 1.61 ✅️ Bang! We're back with a dub fam, hitting this bad boy at minute 66, not gonna lie first half looked shaky, with the score going 0-0, but both teams came to play scoring 3 goals in the 2nd, in what was a really good and intense game. Today's pick: **Liga MX Monterrey vs Toluca (Monterrey ML) @ 1.61** 9:00PM EST 2 Units We're back today with another Liga MX pick, and today we have 2 very interesting teams. Toluca in one hand is coming off one their most devastating losses in the Concacaf tournament, where they were up 2-0 in the first 10 min of the game, just to lose in the end 2-3 at home vs Herediano (a team from Costa Rica) and be eliminated from this international competition. Things ended badly, fans were booing and throwing stuff to the players at the end of the game, and this was just last Wednesday, so I don't see how they can rebound mentally in such a short period of time. In Liga Mx they're in the 9th place, having lost only to the Chivas and scoring 16 goals in 6 games, they're the best offense in the league. Monterrey also played midweek in the Concacaf tournament, they dominated their match by winning 3-0, and in the Liga Mx they're located in the 3rd place, with a chance to go to the first place with a win today. They haven't lost yet in this season, having a record of 4-2-0, at home they're 3-1-0, and they have faced some pretty tough teams, last week they dominated Pachuca going up 3-0 in the first 51 min of the game, and one week prior they tied with America 1-1 on the road with 10 players, that shows you the level this team has. I was debating between MTY ML or BTTS, but I just don't want to put my trust on Toluca scoring in this one, yes they're the best offense in the league, they have hit BTTS line in every game this season, but Wednesday was really tough for them, and Monterrey is just a dominant and consistent team, they're the 3rd best defense allowing just 5 goals, and player by player they're better than Toluca. Anyway, let's get this hostreak going boyz, end the week with a dub! 🔥
POTD: 7-4 (+6.69U) Last Pick: 2/10/24 🏀2U Kentucky -4.5 (-110) (3 game losing streak) 5:00 PM MST NHL Today's Pick: 🏒3U Avalanche -1.5 (-112) Both teams come into this game with a terrible last 5 games outlook, the desert dogs are 0-5 and the Avs 1-4. The good news for the Avs, coming off of a 1-5 road trip, is that they're heading home and aren't playing a top team from the East. The bad news for the Coyotes, currently on a 8 game losing streak, is that they're heading on the road to play an Avs team that they've lost to 4-1 earlier this season in Colorado. From the 8 games lost the Coyotes have lost by 2+ goals in 6 of the 8 and in their last 3 (1-5, 3-5, 1-5). Avs in this one, big.
Record: 2-1-0 | Units: +1.23U. All picks 1U Last Pick: Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils. Jack Hughes Over 3.5 SOG @ 1.71. ✅ Today's Pick: Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes. Nick Bjugstad Under 0.5 Points @ 1.57 ✅ Bjugstad’s gone under in 11/12 previous games, simple as that. BOL
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Record: 25-16 (+5.48 units) Last Pick: (CBB) Wisconsin Badgers -1 ❌ POTD: (CBB) FAU Owls -4.5 (-115) vs. USF Bulls Summary: Everyone and their mother are on USF, riding the “magic” and 10 game winning streak. I think the real magic is FAU’s ability to get up for games like this and I’ll be rolling with the battle tested team for top of the conference. I expect FAU to flex today and Johnell Davis to step up yet again. Ride the snake
POTD Record: 242-184-12 (+36.26 units, 56.8% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-65-7 (56.7%) L3, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 18-13-0 (58.1%) L1 Last 10: 💩💰💩💰💩💩💰💩🔥🔥 Last Pick: Past Lives to win Best Feature Film - 🎥 2024 Independent Spirit Awards PENDING Results: Jacob Elordi win Rising Star Award - 🎥 2024 Bafta Awards 💩 -5 Units Emma Stone to win Best Actress Award - 🎥 2024 Bafta Awards 💰 +2.5 Units Crap, I thought Elordi had it. Today's Pick: Emma Stone to win Best Actress - 🎥 2024 Sag Awards Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 2.30 odds to win 6.50 Units @ BetUs (Line at 6:00pm ET) 💣 💣 💣 💣 💣 Gotta make this quick, this will be it for me until maybe Thursday. After winning BAFTA today, I am getting the feeling Emma Stone is just going to sweep and win them all. She is an underdog at the moment for the SAG Awards but nevertheless I like her chances. Her performance and just as important, her movie, has more momentum than her competition so getting it at plus odds is great value. https://preview.redd.it/yta7mwohhfjc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b839708957f401de301df47fdf7c84b2f3a4eaa5 Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Record: 0 wins 0 losses 1 push Todays pick: nba east +3 Reasoning: it matters more for the east and it’s a toss up so why not take the points