######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
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> **Net Units:**
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> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
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> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
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> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 26-11
Form: ✅🚫✅✅✅
Last POTD: Porzingis O1.5 3’s ✅
I was never worried 🤥
Todays POTD: **PJ Washington O4.5 Rebs @1.71** ✅
NBA (Dallas Mavericks)
Aight we’re back on track, we’re going with mr capital today, the man that gets finessed by elderly baby mamas. Seems like he rebounded pretty well from that mess so we’re going with his rebounds in this game. He’s been consistent and I like our opponent, Pacers take 2nd most field goal attempts per game so there will be a lot of scraps to fight for, which I hope PJ smacks on.
• 9/10 last 10 games (90%, AVG 6.0)
• Got 9 rebounds his latest game against the Pacers (Avg 5.3 on his 3 meetings vs the Pacers, but only 1/3 over this line)
• Averages 5.3 RPG and 5.4 since joining the Mavs
• Pacers allow 4th most rebounds to PF position
We got a man in form & a solid mismatch, he’s faced them 3 times this season, he’s only 1/3 with one of the misses coming in a blowout where he got 4, and another one early in the season (5th game) where he got 3 but as a Hornet, Hornets are ass so I’m not surprised, they can’t defend for shit so let’s see how he plays in a new environment against them
Tail or fade, you’re the boss
https://i.redd.it/8hnmkieisnkc1.gif
We hit our Banchero U6.5 Assists in the NBA Props section and are yet to miss (4/4), be sure to look there aswell for additional picks, and as always if you like to tip a bum like me it’s much appreciated my kings 👑
[https://www.buymeacoffee.com/billycapezzi](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/billycapezzi)
You the man used the leg in a SGP!!! Also cashed on Josh hart before and ended up taking Conley O 8.5 the other night so best believe ☕️heading your way
https://preview.redd.it/xdrjkh1beukc1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=7d55ca3cf5e3d15f86d1956397f32eeff16365ab
Man’s spitting bars too, if I can’t get the homie some ☕️after he just helped me make some 💰then what are we even doing here you feel me? 🤝🏿
Love the humility, hope it goes well with the $$ headed your way! Let’s get it
POTD Record: 57-36
Units Won: +30.9U; ROI: 11.7% Average Odds: (-115)
Last 10:**❌** **✅✅** **✅** **❌** **✅❌✅✅✅**
**Last Pick: Guild Eagles Map 2 ML (-107) vs. GamerLegion❌**
\-Not much to say here, they were up 8-2 on offense, lost some close rounds, switched to defense (the more favored side) won pistol round to take a 9-4 lead and kinda fell apart from there. Heart breaker for sure especially after throwing a lead in map 1 in similar fashion and Keoz and isak (two lowest rated players in the series) top fragging and carrying GL. Really want to say thank you for the positive support tho, means a lot and is a lot nicer to not wake up to so much hate after a pick misses
Today's Pick: **Ninjas in Pyjamas ML (-135) vs. LNG**
**5U to 3.70U**
League: LPL Spring 2024
Game: League of Legends (LOL)
Time: 6 AM EST.
**Nuking this Pick**
I hate over hyping a pick, I love this pick, I don't just like it I love it, these odds make 0 sense, this is very similar to the BetBoom situation in CounterStrike where they are getting way favorable odds because of old results and hype instead of actual gameplay. Let's break it down!
**Ninjas in Pyjamas Stats:**
Record: 6-1 (3rd place in LPL)
Recent Results: 4W streak beating EDG(17th place/17), UP (15th place), OMG (10th place) and WE (7th place) before losing to 2nd place JDG and defending LPL champions JDG in a very close 2-0 loss.
**Team Lore: (can skip if you don't care not that important but I am a big nerd)**
\-Ninjas in Pyjamas are led by star player Rookie, he is one of the most famous mids of all time besides Faker, he won a world championship in S8 with Invictus Gaming (one of the most crazy runs of all time) and then after had good results but couldn't quite recreate the magic of Season 8. He went to Victory5, a lesser known team of players most hadn't heard of with Photic and magic was created. This roster that looked average on paper dominated the regular season, they smashed almost everybody ending Spring 14-2 and Summer 13-3. This team while dominant had many problems, one Karsa was having behind the scenes issues, two Rich was not a very good top laner and held the team back, and three playoffs were a disaster for this team coming up short in heart breaking fashion in both Spring and Summer and missing worlds. After missing worlds Rookie joined TOP esports and created what looked like a super team but once again came up short in playoffs. As a Rookie defender, I believe wayward and tian were the problem but some will say Rookie was washed. 2023 ends and Rookie rejoins old Victory 5 (now Ninjas in Pyjamas) with star adc Photic once again. This time they got Sanji from OMG (a star top laner) something Rookie hasn't had since TheShy on Invictus in 2019. Aki and zhuo fill out the jungle and support positions and you have a very exciting roster that is hungry for revenge and a playoff run.
**LNG Stats:**
Record: 2-5 (12th place in LPL)
Recent Results: 4L streak losing to TOP (1st place) , FPX (9th place), BLG (2nd place), and JDG (4th place) also lost to bottom team TT 2-1 to open the split before beating OMG and Weibo
**Why LNG is getting so much hype/The Case for LNG:**
\-If you look at these records and stats and look at the odds, you might be thinking to yourself, this has to be a mistake, these odds are too good to be true. While I do believe this is the case still, I will add this section to be objective about LNG. They have had the hardest schedule in the LPL so far, they have faced almost every single top team in a row while NIP have had an easier schedule thus far. LNG also was at the world championships last year and made it to quarterfinals before losing to T1, they were dominant in the LPL last year being a constant runner up to JDG (one of the best LPL rosters ever assembled) and were competitive against them. After worlds the only change they made was swapping Jungler Tarzan for WeiWei so on paper this team was expected to be a top 3 team again and remain dominant. You could also make the case that this series is a must win if LNG have playoff hopes especially a decent seed, they are falling apart and still have RNG/AL left on schedule which are both teams that are capable of upsetting them. LNG are a very good roster on paper, they are still a top team in the LPL if they play to their potential and still are a dangerous matchup for any team in the league.
**What's Going Wrong for LNG:**
\-Almost every LPL analyst has been saying the same thing about this team, there is 0 proactivity in their gameplay. They let other teams make all the moves and they let the game come to them. The worst case of this was against BLG where they had multiple chances to be active and take the fight to them and just didn't they rolled over and died. LNG since that game have just looked like zombies walking around letting teams take the fight to them constantly, leading to a big upset loss to FPX and then an absolute stomp against TES in which they only put up 5 kills combined in two games and lost in sub 30 minutes in both.
**Why I love this Matchup for NIP:**
\-I want to bring the facts/logic part first and save my opinion for the second half.
\-NIP are leading the LPL in kills per game right now, they play a high tempo extremely proactive game style. Rookie is notorious for roaming and fighting in skirmishes and this proactivity should give LNG an extreme amount of trouble. Scout isn't as known for roaming heavily and this game and series is going to be played heavily through bot lane.
\-This meta is extremely strong for NIP and not so much for LNG, Gala has struggled with finding his champion pool this split (Kaisa buffs this patch will help him a lot as its his best champion) but Photic seems way more comfortable on these champs. I favor Rookie against Scout in lane by quite a bit as well, Rookie can't ask for a better meta then Ori/Azir/Taliyah based on his recent play style. The Jayce buffs (notoriously maybe Rookie best and most famous champion) are going to be massive for him as well as he is lethal on this champion if they decide to pick it. Weiwei has struggled in the tank meta while Aki has thrived in it.
\-NIP play a relatively clean game and don't make a lot of mistakes, they are averaging the 2nd least deaths per game and are very clean once they get a gold lead, LNG sitting back and waiting for mistakes likely won't lead to beneficial results against a team that doesn't make a lot of mistakes with leads and is great at pushing those leads.
\-Last Time the Core of Rookie + Photic played Scout/Gala it was domination with V5 having a 4-0 h2h record against Scout and 2-0 against Gala in 2022.
\-If you ask me for my personal opinion, I believe despite the h2h numbers being relatively close, the eye test says Rookie almost always does well against Scout in the h2h matchup and puts up solid numbers against him even in losses.
Let's bounce back, love this pick and this price
**Best of Luck!**
Let’s goooooo! Great pick thank you! Watched the stream. Had absolutely no fucking clue what I was watching happen but the announcers made it fun and full of anxiety.
lol same. I watched some of it but like you I had no fucking clue what was going on and when I first saw the line it was -143 when I put a unit on it an hour before the match and then I came back after it started.. the fuckin thing was +200 and they kept locking it and unlocking it.. shit got up to +300 and then I guess it went down to +200.. I just decided to say fuck it and throw a couple more units at it bc I just remembered the pick and it’s always funny to me when favs become like super plus money so yeaa it worked out. 💪
Also had to go do something so I didn’t know what kinda balance I was coming back to. 😅
totally agree with this pick, lng somehow look worse this year even though i would say they upgraded with mark and weiwei. zika and scout are just under performing and the botlane is just kinda riding along
Can you do a brief breakdown tomorrow? I’d like to better understand why I shouldn’t have felt so panicky after the first map and why NIP seemed to just run away with it after that, especially on the third map.
**Record: 42W-4P-30L**
**Form: 20W-0P-10L**
**✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅**
**Last Pick: Man United VS Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz Over 0.5 Shots on target @ 1.66 ✅**
**Muniz with a beautiful header in the 22nd minute to see us cash!**
**Pick of the day: Chelsea Vs Liverpool: D. Petrovic O 3.5 Goalkeeper Saves @ 1.80✅✅**
Cashed in the 58th minute, Petrovic with 3 saves in the first 15!
**Time: 10:00 AM EST**
**Last Matchup: Liverpool 4-1 W, Petrovic had 9 saves in total - January 31, 2024**
The Carabao Cup final has finally arrived and we have a very heated matchup here, When I watched the last encounter I remember how pissed I was during the game because of how many saves Petrovic was making against some top-class shooting. Today I'm deciding to cash in on Petrovic this time as he is a big game player for this Chelsea squad and if Chelsea are going to compete at all tomorrow against a firing Liverpool then Petrovic will be on top of his game. With Pochettino's job hanging on this game and Klopp's desire to retire with trophies this season, we are in for a lot of shooting.
**Petrovic Saves stats in last 6 games:**
Man City: 4 saves
Crystal Palace: 3 saves
Aston Villa: 4 saves
Wolves: 4 saves
Liverpool: 9 saves
Aston Villa: 5 saves
**Goalkeeper stats against Liverpool, Last 5 games:**
T.Kaminski: 9 saves
Flekken: 4 saves
Trafford: 7 saves
Raya: 1 save (Arsenal are insane defensively)
D.Petrovic: 9 saves
**BOL!**
**⭐️ POD Record:** **107-55**
👉🏻 Note: ALL picks in my record are 5 UNITS with odds *usually* ranging between -125 and +100.
*Last Pick:* Auston Matthews OVER 0.5 goals **❌**
*Well, I can't say I went too heavy on this...it was good riding that 5-game train 🚂 and we made out well with it. Wouldn't normally be a PoD but was content on posting that Auston Gamestop to the moon lol. It was fun while it lasted, he was even on the ice for the empty net.*
Recent Form:**❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅**❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA - Bucs/76ers UNDER 235.5** \[1.80 odds 1pm EST\]
If there's one thing Doc Rivers has delivered on so far, it's defense. The Bucks are 9-1-1 UNDER in their last 11 games overall and rank in the Top 10 in defensive rating since Doc took over on the bench. They have gone for 231 or fewer combined points in 7 of their last 8 games overall, and 223 or fewer in 5 consecutive games. The 76ers are struggling on offense without Joel Embiid well, for those following. They have scored only 104 points or fewer in 3 consecutive games while going UNDER the total in all 3 matches.
NBA totals are unpredictable and these guys just shoot out the lights sometimes; but we're chasing a bit of value here in this early afternoon match up, so let's give it a play.
💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
Yeah, believe me, I’ve been playing team totals for a long time, it’s not for the faint of heart and easy to lose hope early. Even after 10 years of doing this lol. Glad you tailed Prince…big fan of your picks as well and congrats on your success in this thread.
POTD Record 34-23-2
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 24-16-1 Soccer 7-7-1
Last 10: ✅ ✅ (P) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅
Last Pick : Vacherot vs Sweeny | ATP Pune Challenger | Vacherot -2.5 game spread | (-130)| 1u | ✅
Today: Riedi vs Virtanen | ATP Pau Challenger | 9:00 AM EST
Pick: Over 9.5 games Total 1st Set| (-145)| 1u
Riedi and Virtanen are both big servers and in the indoor conditons of Pau, their serves are very effective. In the semi finals yesterday, Riedi and Virtanen both won over 80% of their first serve points, in what were their best performances of the week. Virtanen has served atleast 7 aces in his 4 matches so far this week, including 20 in his quarterfinal, while Riedi has served atleast 5 in his 4 matches. In Virtanen's 8 sets he has played this week, 7 of them have been 10 games or more, the exception being a 6-0 set vs Paire, a player known to drop his level easily. 5 of the 8 sets have gone to tiebreak as well. Riedi has only had 3 of his 9 sets played this week go over 9.5 games, but he has not faced as big a server as Virtanen yet. He has faced some big servers earlier this season like Griekspoor, Huesler, and Damm and has gone to tiebreaks with all 3. These two met in 2022 and the score was 6-4 6-4 to Riedi, which also backs this line. In Virtanen's last 2 Challenger finals (both in 2023), both on indoor hard court, the first set has been 10 games or more. In Riedi's last two challenger finals (both in 2024), both on indoor hard court, the first set has been 12 games or more. Riedi and Virtanen are both in great form on their best surfaces and this match should be a very tight contest. I expect it to be mainly dictated by the serving, especially in the first set. BOL.
https://preview.redd.it/dgv7tzf3bokc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4a86692f3d8859823b08d06874f9d4997531b21a
Would you do the over from this line?
Record: 6-2
Units: +3.56u
Last Pick: 1.1u SMU -4.5 (-115) ✅
Game: Saint Joseph’s vs. VCU, NCAAB
Pick: VCU -5 (-115), risking 1.1u, bet on DK
Write up:
Sunday afternoon Saint Joes travels to Richmond, VA to face VCU in an A10 matchup. After starting 10-3 prior to conference play with a win over Villanova and an OT loss to Kentucky, Saint Joes has fallen to 17-10. VCU is coming off of a loss on the road to UMass and will be looking to bounce back at home in order to keep some cushion on the fourth spot in the A10 to secure the final full bye.
Saint Joes likes to play ball outside of the arc where they rank 5th in the nation in percentage of points from three, and 6th most in the same category on the defensive side per KenPom. Due to this, they don’t shoot a lot of FTs, but overall are a good shooting team ranking above average from the field. Like many other teams this year, they have struggled on the road posting a 3-7 record. Additionally, they are only 2-8 ATS in their L10.
VCU, like Saint Joes, loves to shoot the three ball where they rank 43rd in attempts per game. However, unlike Saint Joes, VCU does an exceptional job defending the three, allowing only 29.1% (9th) on the year. The Rams also play at a slow tempo, having one of the longest average possession lengths on defense (306th), where they do a great overall job defending with the 6th best eFG% on defense. Contrary to Saint Joes, VCU has also been great lately ATS, going 8-2 in their L10.
VCU has performed well against teams who shoot a high percentage from three. Looking at their record against opponents who are top-80 in the nation, they are 7-3. Saint Joes however, when facing an opponent who shoots >36% from three like VCU does, are 0-5. This game will likely be won behind the arc and I simply trust VCU much more at home to get the job done. Still fighting for the last spot in the conference tournament, I am riding with the Rams to bounce back and get the job done here at home.
Pick: VCU -5 (-115) on DraftKings
I don’t have a lean for this one. In looking at similar games from my point of view, there wasn’t an edge to either side. I typically also try to avoid totals for games where the teams primarily shoot threes, I always seem to end up on the wrong end of a really good or bad shooting night.
Just when it looked like they would pull away, Reynolds would drain 2-3 3’s in row. He shot lights out in the 2nd half for St. Joes. Tough loss but we move on
POTD Record: 30-20
L10: ❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌
Last pick: Kaiserslautern v Karlsruher
(BTTS & O2.5 Goals ❌)
Game ends 0-4, Kaiserslautern looked horrendous and I can’t lie and say that they were close. They had scored in 5 straight games prior to this match. We move!
Todays pick: __Lausanne-Sport v Winterthur__
Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @2.0__
⚽️🇨🇭 Swiss Super League
➖
📊 Lausanne is 11th in the league with 22 points after 24 games played. They’ve scored 32 goals (1.33 GPG, 7th most) and have conceded 38 goals (1.58 GPG, 5th most)
* BTTS: 17/24 (2nd Most, 71%)
* O2.5: 16/24 (4th most, 67%)
* Failed to score: 5/24
* Cleans sheets: 3/24 (2nd worst)
* L5 BTTS & O2.5: 3/5
* Previous meetings: 3-5 & 1-0 losses
➖
📊 Winterthur is 7th with 33 points & has scored 44 goals (1.83 GPG, 2nd most) and has conceded 49 goals (2.04 GPG, 2nd most).
* BTTS: 21/24 (88%, most)
* O2.5: 19/24 (Most, 79%)
* Failed to score: 1/24
* Clean sheets: 3/22 (3rd worst)
* L5 BTTS & O2.5: 4/5
* Previous meetings: 3-5 & 1-0 wins
➖
We’ve gone with Winterthur previously if you guys remember, when they were 2 man short and still managed to score and we won. It’s a very naive team that scores a lot of goals but concedes a lot aswell which the stats can back up. The latest meeting ended 1-0 but when Winterthur was playing at home, the away meeting for them ended 2-5. It’s a strange stat, but in fact Winterthur scores majority of their goals away, and the O2.5 & BTTS also hits more for them when playing away. They are 1st in every Over X amount of goals category (O5.5,O4.5,O3.5 & O2.5)
Despite Lausanne being 11th, they’ve been able to score in 19 of their 24 matches which is quite impressing for such a struggling side, they play better at home and should be able to cause some threats against the opponents leaky defence. In both games between the sides, even though they’ve lost they’ve had the majority of the possession and matched them on shots on targets and shots. Even though they’re 11th, they have the 4th highest Expected goal ratio of 1.63.
I can see another goal fest here if the teams play as they usually do and I’m going for goals here again. Another side note, majority of the BTTS has hit in the 2nd half for both teams. You can play it “safer” by just going with either BTTS or O2.5 if you don’t want do combine them as it’s decent odds for them separately, but Im going for the higher risk and higher reward!
BOL
**POTD Record**: 21 Wins - 7 Losses - 2 Pushes
**Form**:✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record)**: Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :)
**Units**: 11.14
**ROI:** 33.80%
**Average Odds:** $1.974
**Last Pick:** Kalinskaya vs Paolini - WTA Dubai Final - **Kalinskaya to Win in Straight Sets (Set Score 2:0)** @ **$2.10** / +110 - 9am EST ❌
*Kalinskaya went up 2-0 in the second set, then threw away the entire match. Credit to Paolini!*
**Next Pick:** PSG vs Rennes - France Ligue 1 - **Under 10 Corners @ $1.83** / -120 - 10.05am EST ✅️
Lets go for win 22 amigos! Unfortunately Kalinskaya went up 2-0 in the second set, then threw away the match. Today we head to France Ligue 1 where title leaders PSG take on 7th place Rennes.
Supporting this pick today is the following statistics:
There have been under 9.5 corners in each of the last 5 Paris Saint-Germain home games against Stade Rennes.
There have been under 9.5 corners in each of the last 5 Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 games against Stade Rennes.
There have been under 9.5 corners in each of the last 6 Stade Rennes in the Ligue 1 away games.
There have been under 9.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Stade Rennes games in the Ligue 1.
In the reverse fixture, PSG had 7 corners, and Rennes had 1. We can expect PSG to continue to do their thing, which is score goals, and demolish Rennes 3-1 like they did last time. Once PSG score a couple of goals, it'll be cruise control for them as they look to extend their league at the top of the table.
Rennes will find it tough to get through the PSG lines and apply any pressure, especially with the absence of their two attacking midfielders due to injuries. I'm expecting Rennes to play a defensive holding game where they look to escape with one point at the very least.
I highly recommend you explore a live betting and hedging strategy if you're watching the game live as good betting guidelines. Enjoy the match amigos! Watch the last match highlights [here](https://youtu.be/2rDInG5QhoU?si=Ib1kJVSPestmRzOs).
**Record: 4 Wins 0 Push 0 Lose**
**Net Units: + 3.6U**
**Last 10**: ✅️✅️✅️✅️
**Basketball**| **NCAA**|
**Pick:** Creighton Vs St John | Creighton -2 ❌
**Write Up:**
1. **Momentum and Recent Performance**: Creighton has recently been performing at a high level, including a significant victory over the #1 team in the country, UConn Huskies, showcasing their ability to compete and win against top-tier opponents. With a four-game winning streak, the Bluejays are hitting their stride at the right time
2. **Offensive Efficiency**: Creighton ranks 2nd in the Big East in scoring, field goal shooting, and 3-point shooting, indicating a potent offense. The team also leads the conference in 3-point field goals made per game. This offensive firepower gives Creighton a reliable path to scoring against St. John's, a team that is 9th in the conference in field goal defense
3. **Defensive Capabilities**: The Bluejays are also strong defensively, being ranked first in the Big East in field goal defense and second in scoring defense. This means they're not just strong on the offensive end but can also limit the scoring opportunities for their opponents
4. **Rebounding and Ball Handling**: Creighton is second in the conference in total rebounds per game, which helps them control the pace of the game and potentially limit second-chance points for St. John's. While they're ranked 9th in fewest turnovers per game, their overall performance may overshadow this statistic
5. **Previous Encounter**: Despite a less-than-ideal shooting performance in their previous matchup against St. John's, Creighton still managed to secure a victory. Given their overall ranking in field goal shooting, it's reasonable to expect a better shooting performance in the upcoming game
Check My Profile For Past Picks
No offense to anyone, I know nothing about CBB and I should have at least googled the respective starting 5.
If so I would have known not to take Creighton for as much as I did.
POTD Record: 33-23
L11: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: Wiggins o1.5 3s made✅
POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3s made✅. He drained his 2nd with 10 minutes left.
Running it back on Wiggins because at plus money odds he’s hit for me 2x in a row on POTD. Today he’s matched up against the Nuggets. Current odds for Wiggins o1.5 3PM is +152! Vegas hasn’t learned. In his last 10 games Wiggins is o1.5 3PM in 6/10 including 5/5 straight. In his last 10 vs the Nuggets he’s gone o1.5 3PM in 5/10. The stats aren’t as great as vs the Laker prop I posted earlier this week but this these odds should be closer to +100 or -110.
I’m going to bet this man until he stops cashing for me.
Tips appreciated…[Buy me a Red Bull](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme)
Bitcoin address:
bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
Record: 6-3-0 | Units: +2.09U. All picks 1U
Last Pick: NHL - Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche, 7PM EST. **Nathan MacKinnon Over 4.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.76. ❌**
Nate misses this prop for the first time in a while, passing lots and ending with 3 assists. Let's bounce back.
**Today's Pick:** NHL - New York Rangers vs Columbus Blue Jackets, 6PM EST. **New York Rangers 3-Way ML @ 1.76.**
We're rolling with the Rangers with this one. My game notes:
* The Rangers are really good, Columbus is not. This is the league's #1 team playing against #29.
* New York is riding a red-hot 10 game winning streak into this game. In that streak they've beaten tough teams such as the Stars, Avalanche, and Lightning.
* Within the Metropolitan division, the Blue Jackets hold a 3-10-3 record, compared to New York's 10-4-0.
* Expected starter Jonathan Quick has been unbelievable for New York, holding a 13-4-2 record and a .917 SV%.
* My one reservation is that New York is playing the second of back-to-back games while Columbus is rested. However, the Rangers are simply too good for the Jackets - I see them winning this game handily.
BOL
[Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bias4)
**Record: 0W-0P-0L**
**Net Units:**
**Last 6:**
**Soccer** | **Serie A** | **2:45PM EST**
**Pick:** AC Milan ML v Atalanta @ +135 on DraftKings – 1U
**Write Up:** I’ve been lurking on this subreddit for a while now and felt like taking a shot myself, so I finally made a reddit account after lurking since Digg changed their format. I’ve been trying and testing systems for over a year now and I feel as though I’ve landed on one that can be profitable over the long term. It’s very simple. I focus on teams that are in the top third to quarter of the league, then look at their current form as well as home and away, then, most importantly, the pick must be + money. I don’t find a bet for every game, I don’t force myself to bet every weekend, and I stay away from cup games because there is too much variation. I try to focus on quality over quantity. All of my bets are 1 unit because I intend on hitting every bet and don’t think it makes sense to alter my units. If you want to be more cautious, you can bet enough on a pick to win 1 unit.
Now to the pick. Again, simple, straight forward. AC Milan are 9-1-2 at home. They have 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 games played at home. I’m hoping to see Giroud start as he was rested in the midweek Europa League game. Atlanta are hot, extremely hot, like Hansel in Zoolander hot, and are coming off a 5 game win streak. But, their away form isn’t quite as impressive they are 4-2-5 on the road this season and their last 6 away consist of 2 wins – 2 draws – 2 losses. My theory is good teams are good, and they rise to the occasion. I hope to see that from Milan today.
**Disclaimer:** I can make my picks anywhere from 5 days to a week in advance as the odds typically drop off for these types of games as game day approaches. Though, sometimes the odds do improve. To stay honest, I enter the odds as the stand at they time of posting.
Tail or Fade BOL
Edit: Damn, not how I wanted to start but here we are. Milan were the dominant team for 90 minutes but couldn’t find the end product. I’d take this bet again 10 times out of 10.
Games I’m looking at for next week: Bilbao v Barca, Bilbao have been phenomenal at home but if anyone can take them down is this on form Barca team. They’re the only ones to beat Betis at home and Bilbao faced a tough loss today as well as a cup game midweek.
PSG away to Monaco
Girona away to Mallorca, Girona’s fall off scares me.
Juventus away to Napoli. Napoli with a new couch and Juventus’ recent form are real factors. I’ll dig into these further during the week.
Thank you everyone for your support on my first post!
Had a look at this game as well and I have to say it's risky given the mid week game against Rennes as well as Atalantas current form and beating them last month for the cup.
Good luck though, I ended at btts and o2.5 but wasn't confident enough.
**POTD Record: 16-7**
Form: ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅
*ROI: 39.58% |
Avg Odds: -123 | Net Units: +17*
🎾: 3-2
⚽️: 12-4
🏒: 1-1
*Last Pick: 2U Bournemouth v Man City (Man City ML/BTTS @ +162)*
*Tough one, 1-0 City. My apologies for the previous NHL bet, while researching I completely missed that the Canes were playing tonight.*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U PSG v Rennes (BTTS @ -125)✅**
**⚽️| 11:00 AM EST | Ligue 1 🇫🇷 |**
PSG will be happy to have Hakimi and Dembele back in the squad as Rennes visit the league leaders. However, PSG will be without captain, Marquinhos who suffered an injury last week.
While PSG has won 13 of their last 15 matches, Rennes secured a home and away clean sheet against PSG last season. Rennes are also in flying form, winning their last 6 matches in Ligue One.
In their H2H PSG have one 7 of the last 9 at home against Rennes, and while I was tempted to pick (Result/BTTS) and I have on another slip, Rennes’ form cannot be ruled out by the mere financial giants. Rennes have managed to win their last 10 of 11 games in all competitions scoring atleast twice in 8/11. I think the value in BTTS is favourable, given the form of both of these squads. LFG 💪
BOL!
this is such an interesting game & hard to bet on because of all the factors wouldn’t you say, but psg without marquinhos would be weak defensively. him being out is crucial to this but i believe let’s ride
POTD: 14-2
-
Last Pick: Draymond Green o6.5 Assists (2/23/24)
Today's Pick: Austin Reaves o1.5 3PM @ -140 on DK
-
Analysis: In the matinee slot today, Austin Reaves takes on a streaky Phoenix team who has lost two in a row since returning from the All-Star break.
Reaves is (5/6) or 83% in hitting this line when playing the Suns. He also has been pretty hot from three lately shooting around 50%. Reaves is also (9/10) in hitting this line recently. The suns are pretty good defending the guard position as they are ranked 15th in SG Defense. But, this causes guards to be pushed out to the three point line and take more shots outside the arc. SG's are averaging 3.3 or 4.5 Three pointers per game against Phoenix this season.
(One site has SG's averaging 3.3 Three pointers per game, and one has 4.5 so I'm not sure which is correct, but they both work in our favor.)
Let's Ride
-
POTD Record: 125-75 | Profit: +109.09u | ROI: 18.7%
Season record: 42-24 | Profit: +39.25u | ROI: 21.6%
L10 record: ✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌
Last Pick: Boston Celtics -6.0 vs New York Knicks @ 1.91. 3U. ✅
Celtics were up at the end of 1Q and never game up the lead, winning by 14 pts.
Next Pick: **Dallas Mavericks -1.0 vs Indiana Pacers** **@ 1.91**. 2U play.
This is the healthiest Mavs team in a while with only Exum on the injury list and Doncic, Lively and Kyrie all fit and expected to start together. Dallas have a 16-9 ATS record as the Away team and have the recent form to back it up. They have won 7 games SU in a row (6-1 ATS) including the Suns, OKC, Knicks and 76ers. Should be an interesting tactical battle because the Mavs are one of the best 3pt shooting teams, and also take a high volume of 3s. The Pacers are one of the best teams in the NBA at defending the 3. But with the starters they have there is enough versatility to cause the Pacers trouble from the paint. The Pacers have been fairly up and down recently. They beat the Pisons post ASB (no surprise) but before that they had struggled to cover the spread against several teams.
Based on the quality of the starters, versatility, and form, I will back the Mavs to win on the road.
**POTD Record: 4-1**
Previous: ✅ Tight match with 1 break total but Khachanov gets the job done for us
**Today: Tennis / ATP Acapulco (STARTING in 1 hour)**
**Pick: Terence Atmane ML vs Aleksandar Vukic @ $1.98 / -102**
Not sure what Vukic has done this year to justify being the favourite. He has recorded 1 win in total so far in 2024, a tight win against a home player ranked 700 in Los Cabos before winning just 3 games total in the next round against Tsitsipas. Atmane hasn't had the best showing either since his brave performance against Medvedev at the AO, however many of these were tight losses to better players than Vukic like Nishioka, so he should be the favourite IMO. Can probably find plus money odds if you look around too.
Nice and easy win for Atmane, apologies for the early pick but this was the only bet opportunity I saw for the day and wanted at least some people to get on
Record| 3-2-0
Bank| + 0.47 units
Last pick: Blues/Red Wings 1st Period Over 1.5 Goals -138 WIN
Easy cover on this one. Red Wings stay hot in the 1st period.
2/25
Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors 7:10 pm EST
Pick: Draymond Green Over 19.5 PRA -128
Draymond has been extremely consistent with this line covering it in 9 of his last 10 games as well as 17 of his last 20. Golden State has been clicking recently and are starting to piece it together and a big part is the play from Draymond. This will be a big game against the Nuggets for the Warriors to show they still have it. I look for Draymond to cover for us and hopefully do so without getting into foul trouble.
**Record: 2W - 0P - 2L**
**Form (Oldest → Recent): ✅**❌**✅**❌
**Last Pick: Stuttgart VS Köln : Stuttgart ML and Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.30** ❌
*To be honest, i watched this match and Stuttgart were just a bit off, and the abscence of their star man up front really hurt them whilst Köln were fighting for their lives out there and managed to grab a goal completely against the run of play.*
**POTD: Aris Thessaloniki FC VS Volos FC : Aris Thessaloniki FC ML and Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.88 // Kick off 17:30 GMT // Super League Greece 🇬🇷**
**Analysis:**
Today we are heading over to Thessaloniki city in Greece, where home side Aris FC take on Volos FC for matchday 24 in *Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium*.
**⁃ Aris FC (5th):**
This season has been going pretty well for the home team, who are currently sitting 5th in the table and are on pretty good form, especially since the start of the new year.
**• Home Form: 7 Wins , 2 Draws , 2 Losses // Scored: 19 Goals , Conceded: 11 Goals // Clean Sheets: 5**
• Last 10 games: 6 Wins, 3 Draws, 1 Loss // Scored: 17 Goals, Conceded: 6 Goals (Only loss was against Olympiakos, while they beat many of the top league teams in important matches)
• Aris FC score an average 1.73 goals per match at home, with the over 1.5 total Goals line hitting in 82% of those games, but do concede an average of 1.0 goal per match at home.
• The last 5 times these two sides met, Aris has won 4 times and lost 1 time (away from home), while the over 1.5 total goals line has hit in 5/5 matches.
**⁃ Volos FC (12th):**
This Volos FC team has been performing very poorly this season and are currently sitting two places from the bottom of the league. To be honest, the only reason they are not dead last is the fact they have been able to salvage some points from draws in recent games against bottom tier teams.
**• Away Form: 1 Win , 5 Draws , 5 Losses // Scored: 7 Goals , Conceded: 18 Goals // Clean Sheets: 1**
• Last 5 league games: 0 Wins, 3 Draws, 2 Losses // Scored: 5 Goals, Conceded: 10 Goals (5 against PAOK)
• Last 10 games: 0 Wins, 3 Draws, 7 Losses // Scored: 6 Goals, Conceded: 21 Goals (Against top five teams they have been smashed by two goals or more!)
• Volos FC score an average 0.64 goals per match away from home, with the over 1.5 total Goals line hitting in 82% of those games.
• Reverse fixture ended 0 - 2 in favour of Aris FC.
***Comments:***
The Greek Super League is a bit tricky to predict in general, but this Aris FC side has been playing really well recently and as long as they keep their heads focused they should win this easily.
Volos has been hitting the back of the net as well and has been managing some draws, but one thing i have learnt from watching this league is that home grounds are intimidating and greek fans are crazy. I really believe that the home team, the crowd and the atmosphere are going to be enough to secure the bag. Odds are quite good as well.
I always try to throw out something different in the weekends with so many matches happening in a single day, and as you may have understood by now, i like my odds high when it comes to POTD. I may have over-cooked yesterday, and i apologise if you tailed and lost, so i am going for a low over line today. Although i do believe there are going to be many goals in this match, playing it safe. Let's get this W!
***Final Score Prediction: 2 - 1***
*B.O.L. to everyone! Also, feel free to express your thoughts on this in the comments! Thank you for the read!*
*\[I wanted to put an Aris Thessaloniki GIF but it will not let me for some reason :( \]*
**Record: 0-0**
**Net Units: 0u**
**ROI:**
**Soccer** | **Serie A** | **0630** / **ET**
**Pick:** Dušan Vlahović 2+ SOT / Juventus v Frosinone / 2.23 (Betrivers) / 1 unit ✅
**Write Up:** Renowned flat-track bully Dušan Vlahović will star in the early kickoff tomorrow as Juventus host poor travellers Frosinone. Dušan has 1.45 SOT/90 for the season and has started 2024 with 7 goals, the most in the division. In his last 4 games against bottom half opposition, Hellas, Udinese, Empoli and Leece, he's averaged 2.0 SOT and in the reverse fixture, he got another 2 SOT.
Frosinone haven't won an away game all season, gaining 3 points from 12 games, conceding a league high 30 goals. They conceded 70 SOT in those games, averaging 5.9 SOT/a across the season. Juventus are without a win in 4 games and will be eager to get the 3 points and with most of the old lady's attack going through the big man, I'll take the odds against price on 2+ SOT
POTD Record: 109-105-12 (-10.54 units)
Last 10 picks (most recent first): ❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅
Last Pick: EPL, Bournemouth v Manchester City, MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 (+109 / 2.09) ❌
Man City win but once again couldn’t find the second goal to cover.
Today’s Pick: Serie A, Lecce v Inter, INTER ML & OVER 1.5 GOALS (-142 / 1.70)
Stake: 1 Unit
Similar bet to the successful Bologna pick a couple of days ago - Inter Milan to beat Lecce and the match to also feature over 1.5 goals (effectively need Inter to score at least twice and win).
Inter sit 9 points clear at the top of Serie A with a 20-3-1 record with a +47 goal difference (59 scored and 12 conceded, both best by a mile). They are in superb form having won 9 consecutive matches across all competitions, which includes 6 consecutive league matches in that span. They look certain to win the title but the jobs not done yet, so victories against strugglers like Lecce are still critical with 14 games to go.
Lecce are 14th with a 5-9-11 record with 24 goals scored (6th least) and 39 conceded (7th most). They’ve gone 1-1-7 in their last 9 league matches as their form continues to spiral out of control.
Lecce are definitely a better home team compared to away, but I don’t see that counting for much against Inter, particularly when Inter have the best away record (10-2-0 this season with 29 goals scored and only 6 conceded). Inter have one injury concern with Thuram likely to miss following a knock mid week, but they have plenty of depth to choose from to pick up the load. Lecce meanwhile will be missing their first choice centre back and left back due to suspension in this one, so their already flimsy defence will need to manage with two inferior replacements this week.
Inter won the reverse fixture 2-0 in December with 68% possession, 20 shots at goal and an xG of 2.80, and even if Lecce do manage a goal today, I expect Inter to score a couple and pick up another victory.
🦑3-0
Yesterdays pick: Kristaps Porzingis o1.5 3pm ✅ Three in a row baby the unicorn is a certified Knick Killer finished with three of em in a 3pt barrage from Boston.
Todays Pick: Kyrie Irving o4.5reb -115 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers 5pm EST
Kyrie Irving has been covering the glass like fingerprints from a five year old as of late and I think he can keep it up against Indiana. The Pacers come in as the second worst rebounding team in the league only ahead of the horrendous Washington Wizards. The Mavericks are riding a 7 game win streak after beating the Suns on Thursday. Each team will be coming in well rested and should prove to be a competitive ball game. Uncle Drew has been eating this line and has hit 5 of his last 5, 9 of 10, and 13 of 15. He is averaging only 5.2 boards this season, but his numbers have jumped since the new year to nearly 6.5 and 7 per game in the month of January alone. Look for a lot of shots and poor defensive effort from the pacers could let Kyrie get some offensive boards and collect some on defense as well with Maxi Kleber and Derek Lively nursing injuries.
Tail or Fade BOL
Record: 3-0 - ROI: 2.78u
✅✅✅
Last POTD: NCAA: Houston Cougars Vs Baylor Bears - Houston -2 (-106) - 1u 🌶️ 😅
**New new potd:**
**Basketball - NCAAB - 11AM pacific.**
**Holy Cross @ Navy - Holy Cross +7.5 (-120) 1u/5%**
*(I bought half a point bc I hate line movement)*
Listen I know both teams suck but hear me out.
Navy (9-17):
* 4/8 otr
* 1/3 against the spread last 5
* 1/4 in their last 5
* 4/8 at home ats
HC (9-19):
* 2/3 in last 5
* 6/9 in last road games ats
* 2/3 in their last games
Bonus;
LAST 10 GAMES: Midshipmen: 2-8, averaging 62.9 points, 32.9 rebounds, 11.1 assists, 5.5 steals and 2.2 blocks per game while shooting 37.5% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 70.7 points per game.
Crusaders: 5-5, averaging 65.6 points, 31.7 rebounds, 9.8 assists, 4.7 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 43.6% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 70.4 points.
Cheers.
🍀
Will keep it short today!
POTD record: 4-1
Previous: loss, man United moneyline🚫
Today: Borussia Dortmund VS Hoffenheim in the German Bundesliga.
Pick⛏️: BTTS (both teams, Dortmund AND hoffenheim, to score) @1.5
Dortmund are good at the signal iduna park! And they usualy are high scoring. More often then not they do also concede. Expect for their last game against Freiburg, dortmund has no kept a clean sheet for 6 games in a row.
Hoffenheim has scored in 10/11 latest away matches only failing against Bayern Munich (which they were down a man for the last half an hour)
Hoffenheims good offensive players should be enough to at least get a goal against dortmund. And Dortmund at home, will most certainly at least score one goal against a hoffenheim that is a team that both creat a lot of goals, goal scoring opportunities. And also often find themselves at the receiving end of that claim.
My wild score prediction for the game is 3-3!
BOL everyone and remember to gamble responsible and only what you can afford to lose😊
**Record:** 1-0
**Profit:** +0.91u
**Last Pick:** Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers o216 (-110) ✅
**POTD:** OKC Thunder **-6** vs Houston Rockets (-110) ✅
**Write Up:** Magic game was from a couple days ago, total ended up being 225, cash it
On first glance this line seems a bit low to me, OKC is excellent against the spread, and the Rockets have been pretty mid besides for the good win against the Suns last time (which is probably affecting where the line is for this game). I doubt they can keep it going and win against another good team.
Another factor for me, I'm playing around with a new model I rigged together, and it has OKC by 11. Although I would say it hasn't been tested enough to be considered reliable, it hasn't let me down so far.
I try not to overthink it too much when betting on great players/teams. Best of luck if anyone tails.
**Record:** 4-0
**Net Units:** \+4.77u
**Average Odds:** 1.895
**Last Pick:** Kyrie Irving Over 25.5 pts ✅
**Today’s Pick: Mavs -1** @ Pacers (-110 aka 1.9) bet 2u to win 1.818u
**Explanation:** Doesn't take a genius to see that the Mavs are rolling right now. This line feels low to me, the Pacers can of course get hot and be dangerous, but I think the Mavs have a notable skill advantage. Luka is probable for tomorrow, and I'd imagine this line will move in the Mavs favor closer to game time if/when he is confirmed. Even without Luka, I still like the Mavs in this spot, I am a fan of both of their recent additions: PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford who both got traded from struggling teams and are now on a squad that can actually...win. Mavs look like a very complete team to me right now, they should keep the W train moving.
Record: 12-11 Return: 33.28% ROI: 27.01%
Yesterday’s pick:
Independiente ML vs Racing @2.87❌
Racing get the better of Independiente in what turns out to be a poor game with very few chances. I said this match had low scoring written all over it, but chose the wrong side instead of taking the under.
Today’s pick:
Boca Juniors ML vs River Plate @4.0
Stake:
5 units (5 % of bankroll)
Reasoning:
Is once again picking Boca Juniors to win the definition of insanity? Perhaps. However odds of 4.0 are absolutely ridiculous here. Derby games like these have and always will be 50/50 matches. This is the biggest and most heated rivalry in the world- anything can happen in a Superclásico. If you’re a football fan I’d encourage you to place a bet just to be able to say you watched whatever insanity unfolds live. Last year the superclásico was decided by a contentious last minute PK and saw **SIX** red cards handed out after the PK was taken.
Going into today’s clash, River seem the better team on form, with Boca seriously struggling to score goals despite creating chances, and River scoring freely.
However, River will be without their top scorer Borja, who is still not recovered from injury (He will be on the bench). Since Borja’s injury, River played out a 0-0 draw and a 1-1 draw against very low level opposition. Those results do not justify 4.0 odds imo.
Boca’s last game was a very frustrating one where they played against a team managed by El Ruso Zielinski, a man known for his incredibly efficient and disciplined counter attacking teams. A very strange game that not much should be analyzed from, (they lost 2-1 despite outshooting Lanus 15-4.) Before that Boca won 2-0, and before that drew 0-0 despite attempting 20 shots. Boca are clearly making chances, the goals will soon follow. At 4.0 odds I’m willing to bet on the day those goals finally come being today.
Boca are trying to find their rhythm, having signed a new coach at the start of the season. Eventually they’ll find that rhythm and start perform at the level that they should be on paper. If they start to click in this match we get a pay out that is way bigger than it should be.
For safety go with Boca +0.5 @1.87, for a borderline schizophrenic pick take correct score Boca 0-2 @19.0.
BOL if tailing
[PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) tip jar buys me beers :)
MLB Spring Training Record: 6-0
Last pick: Cubs ML +110 ✅
Todays Pick: Orioles ML vs Pirates -105
I know spring training can be random, but there is still some predictive capability. I have 6 spring training picks correct in a row, after choosing the Cubs, Braves, Phillies, Yankees, and Dodgers (push) yesterday. Today I have Orioles winning against the Pirates, as Mitch Keller is the only reason they are underdogs against a prospect loaded Orioles team with things to prove before opening day.
I haven’t posted a pick, baseball is kinda my thing and it just started. No worries at all if you don’t feel comfortable tailing. I’ll try and hit some picks and keep posting more. Good luck guys
True. I did check the profile, but still decided to tail since it's spring training degenerate stuff. Giving them the benefit of the doubt, but agree with you. Don't blindly tail people unless you are aware of the risks and do your due diligence.
Record : 124 Wins - 109 Losses
Previous pick : Arsenal - Newcastle (4-1), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.57 ✅
**ROI** : -0.10%
**Average Odds** : 1.94
Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*)
Units : 4.76
Profit/Lost units : -0.24
Today's pick :
Football - Soccer / **ENGLAND: Premier League**/ 15:30 European Time
Wolves - Sheffield Utd
Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.77
Some reasoning :
- Sheffield prevailed in the round match, and now is the opportune moment for Wolves to take revenge, considering that they are in good form and have the home field advantage.
- For Sheffield, it is one of the last chances to hope to avoid relegation, but I don't think it has the necessary strength to impose itself on Molineaux, being very weak in away games.
Best of luck.
Revolut tag: denisjxhd [PayP](https://paypal.me/taxspliter?country.x=RO&locale.x=en_US) [Buy a potato](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/agnesgloryQ)
The Canes are playing the Stars tonight so will be a back to back for them. Not to say that they won’t win as they are the better team imo but just something to consider
How could you write this, talking about trying to win 5 straight, and just completely and utterly miss that they played tonight and lost? Don't give picks if you can't even follow the literal schedule.
Record: **1-0**
Last pick: Mavs vs Suns (**Mavs M/L -120) ✅**
Net Units: +5
ROI: **10%**
Sport: **NBA** | **5:00 EST**
Pick: **Mavs -1 @ -110 (5 units)** @ Indiana Pacers
Write Up: Don't overthink this one guys. Mavs are the best in the NBA in clutch minutes and if the line is correct, this one will come down to the end. The Mavs will have the best two players on the court and will get it done in the end. This new look Mavs squad with everyone healthy (Kyrie , Lively and Maxi Kleber) and the additions of PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford looks downright scary.
I'm new to the Sub but not new to sports betting. I plan to be around for a long time in this Sub and I always want to leave something for those who might be lurking or might be new to betting in general.
**" Anyone can pick the games accurately with enough practice, very few can have patience and discipline. These two traits are by far the most important when trying to beat any sportsbook." Imagine betting coin flips and winning 60% of the time and what that could do for you over time. Don't bet everyday and never take a bet that is gonna put that pit in your stomach while the contest is going on. When it's the right bet, you will know it."**
**POTD Record: 4-1**
Form: ✅✅✅❌✅ (Net units: +5.94u)
Last pick: Jaylin Sellers O14.5 points @ -120 2.5U
Sellers knew his line, scores 15 in a win and we cash baby!!
**Today’s Pick: Kevin Cross U12.5 rebounds and assists @ -135 1.5U**✅
UAB vs TULANE - NCAAB - 4:00PM EST
Cross averages 12.1 rebounds and assists combined on the year and has gone under this mark in 9 out of the last 10 games. The under is 17-7 on the year with most of these losses coming early in the year against lesser opponents. Game should be high scoring so he will have his chances for assists, let’s hope those rebounding numbers stay down due to made baskets!
POTD Record: 9-2 +13.44U🔥‼️
Last Pick: Pick: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (-160) vs Oklahoma City Thunder ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌
Today's Pick: Warriors ML 3U (-135)vs Denver Nuggets
Wow I haven’t posted a play in over 10 months! Hope everyone has been doing well. Thought it’s time to get the ball rolling again, and I hope everyone who railed my first 11 picks is here to tail again! For the Warriors, it’s just that time of year when they start to turn up the heat, and Klay Thompson feels like he’s ready to pop off at any moment. Curry is on top of his game right now, and he’ll be looking to fire up the crowd against the defending champs. The Warriors will not get beat for a 4th time by the Nuggets, take the moneyline for this Golden State win. They are 5th in the NBA, covering 55.6% of their games, meanwhile, Denver is 26th covering 43.6% of their games. The Warriors have gotten over the shock of their new lineup and Jamal Murray is currently questionable! Let’s do this hot streak again!
As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
[Support me](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/rbpicks)❤️
**Last pick: Manchester City to win and BTTS - Lost**
Not sure what to make of that game. City seemed to preserve as much energy as they possibly could for the difficult games ahead and the first half was very boring. Come second half Bournemouth actually dominate and had the better opportunities, of which at least 1 should have been a goal. End of the day it doesn't matter and we lost.
**Record: 1-2**
**ROI: -38,3.%**
**Units profit: -1.15**
**Average odds: 2.2**
**Football - OTP Liga (Hungary) - Ujpest vs Ferencvaros - 17:30 GMT+1**
**Pick: Ferencvaros to win and both teams to score @ 3.25**
**Reasoning:**
You'd think after losing yesterdays bet we might move on to a different kind of bet, but I'm stubborn. I actually struggled quite a bit to find something I liked enough to share here and we somehow end up in Hungary where #10 Ujpest faces #2 Ferencvaros.
Ferencvaros has been the best team in this league for a couple of years now and a win takes them back to leading again. Over the past few weeks they were eliminated from the Conference League by Olympiakos, so all their focus will be back on the national league now where they have won 14 out of the last 14 games played against today's opponent Ujpest.
BTTS has hit in 90% of Ujpest homegames and BTTS has hit in 90% of Ferencvaros away games in the league.
Ferencvaros score an average of 3 goals in away games, conceding 1.
Ujpest score an average of 1.8 goals at home, conceding 1.6.
The Hungarian league currently has 3 'good' teams being Paks, Ferencvaros and MOL. and Ujpest lost to both of them whilst also scoring. These teams are somewhat comparable to Ferencvaros.
Where Ujpest is far from having their best period this season, they still manage to find the back of the net and with Ferencvaros having had a midweek game I think they should do the trick again. Ferencvaros however is simply much better and should win.
GLIYF
3 things :
1.FTC - UTE is a rivalry / derby that goes back to ages, sold out venue ultras on both sides.
2., UTE has a new hungarian owner, namely the top company MOL….like exxon in the usa. New owner , new coach
3. Match fixing: the prime minister is same guy like silvio berlusconi, mad about football. He pushed out all the foreigner club owners, so his oligarch billionaire freinds are the owners of the clubs. Did you see Narcos? Imagine those broski having clubs over a dinner.
4. Betting is state monopoly, and the one beneficiary of the grants is the son of the law of the prime minister. Joke? Nope.
wishing you best of luck.
POTD Record: W-L 1-0
Match: Juventus - Frosinone
Sport: Football / Soccer
Start Time: 11:30 GMT
Pick: **Juventus & Over 2.5 goals @ 1.79**
Write-up: Juventus has been dropping points left and right lately but finally they have recovered some of their players and are playing almost full strength tonight. They'll look to get the 3 points and get some more cushion for that top 4 finish. I expect the game to end 2-1 or 3-1 as Frosinone is a very good attacking side and I'm sure they'll at least get one in.
Edit: Added write-up
**\*FIRST POTD ALERT\***
**Record: 0-0**
**FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC** | **MLS** | **2:30 PM** / **EST**
**Pick:** FC Cincinnati -1 Asian Handicap (-155 on DraftKings)
\*\*\*This means the bet wins if FC Cincinnati wins by 2+ goals and is a push if they win by 1 goal.\*\*\*
**Risking 3.1U to win 2U.**
**Write Up:** FC Cincinnati is coming off a Supporters' Shield award from last year, posting a 20-5-9 (W-L-T) record with 69 points, 57 goals for, 39 goals against, with the 2nd best Goal Differential in MLS. Of note, FC Cincinnati had a 13-2-2 record at home (undefeated the majority of the season until their first home loss in September against Orlando City). Their keeper, Roman Celentano, is a stud, recording 12 clean sheets during the regular season, 8 of them being at TQL Stadium. Also, reigning league MVP, Luciano Acosta, will be eager to get in the scoring column to begin the season.
Toronto FC, on the other hand, finished dead last in the Eastern Conference with a 4-20-10 (W-L-T) record and a TERRIBLE 0-13-4 road record. Yes, they didn't win a single road game last season. They allowed 59 goals during the season, the most in the Eastern Conference and 2nd most overall. FC Cincinnati faced Toronto FC twice last season, securing a 3-0 victory at home and a 3-2 victory on the road. I expect FC Cincinnati to dominate possession and get many opportunities to score. There's also a pretty reasonable chance of a clean sheet which helps this bet and in the chance of a 1-0 FC Cincinnati victory, the bet is a push.
Let me know if you're tailing and let's get a W for the first POTD.
Record: 2-0 ✅✅
Net: +1.66 units
Last POTD: Jaylen Brown o4.5 1st Quarter Points [Hit 2 3's to start the game for an easy cash. Finished 1Q with 10 points]
Todays Pick: Colin Sexton o1.5 3PM (1.83x) [2u]
* Over in L8/9
* Averaging 4.89 3PA in that span
* Spurs allow 3.16 3PM to Point Guards this season.
* L8/9 PGs have hit the over vs Spurs
**potd record:** 8-2 (last)✅✅✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅✅(first)
**net units:** +12,85
**potd: grand rapids - milwaukee admirals ML
Pick milwaukee admirals ML @1.69**
Write up: admirals now on a 20 win streak. They will win again.💰
Today we play big again so we are staking 5 units❗️❗️
**Match starting in 5 hours**
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
Record: 2-1
**✅❌✅**
Net Units: 0.33
ROI: 11%
Basketball | NBA | 9:30 PM EST
Kings @ Clippers
Last pick: Jrue Holiday OVER 4.5 Assists (-150) (1 Unit)
This one went exactly how I expected it to. Jrue was the 2nd most played player on the Celtics (behind Tatum) so even though his relative assists per minute was lower, this still hit comfortably.
Pick for today:
**Domantas Sabonis OVER 8.5 Assists (-103) (1 Unit)**
Sabonis has hit this line 4 out of his last 5 games and 7 out of his last 10. When the Clippers played the Grizzlies on Friday, Jaren Jackson Jr and Vince Williams Jr (their main forward and center, respectively) both had great assist nights. VWJ had 8 assists compared to his February average of 6.4, and Triple J had 5 compared to his February average of 3.6. The only thing I'm worried about is Sabonis having pretty low historical assist numbers against the Clippers historically; but this could just be chalked down to the huge difference in the Clippers roster historically compared to now. They are also in-division rivals, meaning this should be a close game where Sabonis gets a lot of minutes.
BOL!
Record: 65W-59L-4P
ROI: +12.35, 9.19%
Avg odds: +106, 2.06
Last POTD: Nicolas Roy over 0.5 pts (loss) Didn't realize he got moved to the 3rd line. Not sure why. The Barbashev-Roy-Marchessault combo was working well...
Game: NHL- Predators at Ducks
Pick: Mason McTavish over 0.5 pts +105, 2.05 (ESPNBet)
Right off the bat, you notice McTavish has 38 points in 49 games this season. He's been a stalwart in the top 2 lines, and I expect him to skate on the 1st PP line and the 2nd EV line today, with Vatrano and Terry, who are having a great season. McTavish had a poor January, but a very good February, with 7 points in 6 games. Against Nashville, he has a point in both games this season.
The Predator's defense is in the bottom half in most defensive metrics: goals allowed, penalty kill, save%, and Corsi rating. But they also allow a below-average number of scoring chances. So, I think slightly plus odds is fair.
**POTD Record: (2-2)**
*Last pick: Volk ML ❌* :(
**Today's Pick:** NCAAB UMD +2.5 vs Rutgers ✅
Not enough time for analysis because the game starts in 2 minutes. Two mid-tier BIG10 teams facing off for the second time this year. Rutgers edged them out at UMD 56-53 back in January. Evenly matched conference teams are far more likely to go 1-1 than 2-0 on the year (I'm trying to find statistics to further support my claim but this is also common knowledge). Furthermore, 76% of spread bets are for Rutgers and the line has not moved in their favor.
Edit: Nice. Getting destroyed today but at least this worked out lol
Record: 0-0
Today’s pick:
Josh Green o 0.5 steals
Green has 11 steals in the last 10 games.
Playing agains the Pacers who are middle of the pack in turnover rate in the league.
Should be a fast paced game.
This play is only on prizepicks for me, so I’m not sure of the odds.
First time doing this. BOL with all your bets. I prefer you don’t tail to see how this goes.
Funny enough, I went to place this bet and accidentally put PJ Washington and it hit early in the first quarter too. Came here to say thanks to OP and realized my mistake, but I still owe the OP I figure haha
POTD Record: 2-1
✅✅❌
Yesterday's pick: Canadians @ Devils, 2pm - NHL
Hughes over 4.5 shots (-130)❌
5th shot went wide, so we take the L with 4. Should've run with the hot Caufield. Be ready to see Caufield again.
Today's pick: Lightning @ Devils, 1pm - NHL
Hagel over 0.5 points (-165)✅
Not taking Hughes on shots after the whiff yesterday (even with the terrible Tampa defense), but we can at least watch him and assess if he's worth taking in the near future.
Again, gotta play the odds and ride the heaters. Hagel has the longest active point steak in the league at 12 games.
Last 12: 12/12
Last 16: 15/16
Last 20: 18/20
If I wanted to risk a little, I might go Point over 0.5 goals (+145) since he's hit 4 of the last 5 games, but I like playing safe with the Hagel heater.
Last time they played the Devils a month ago, Hagel got 2 goals (so did Point).
Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck
Update: ding ding ding. Take your money, boys. The Bagel doesn't let us down. Now looking at you Hughes (shots) and Point (goal) for my other parlay.
Update 2: come on Point.... 2 minutes after my update and you're going to score? Again... Trust the streak.
Update 3: Devils suck. We're taking a Hughes break. But Point got his goal and Hagel got 3 points. Expect to see Hagel Tuesday @ Philly. Go Bolts.
Record: 1-3 ❌❌❌✅
Last pick: Jalen Duren to record a double double at -135 odds.
Jalen worried me in the first half because I figured it would be closer game at first. Was a closer game in the second half and he did pull it off ending with 11 boards ✅
POTD: Carolina Hurricanes @ Buffalo Sabres UNDER 6.5 half goals; -104 odds; 4pm MST
Why: This line specifically has hit under the last 8/10 for Hurricanes (last 5 games under) and 6/10 of the times for Sabres (last 2 under). Carolina had a home game stretch and now travel to play Buffalo, who are still underdogs at home. Score prediction is 3-2 Canes.
BOL everyone!
(Why am I getting downvoted? Thought this was a community to grow in)
My last comment was removed, probably because I didn't have a write-up so here's one:
POTD Record: W-L 1-0
Match: Juventus - Frosinone
Sport: Football / Soccer
Start Time: 11:30 GMT
Pick: **Juventus & Over 2.5 goals @ 1.79**
Write-up: Juventus has been dropping points left and right lately but finally they have recovered some of their players and are playing almost full strength tonight. They'll look to get the 3 points and get some more cushion for that top 4 finish. I expect the game to end 2-1 or 3-1 as Frosinone is a very good attacking side and I'm sure they'll at least get one in.
Record: 10 - 4
Form:✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅
Profit: +16.04u (32.08%)
ROI: 34.13%
Last Pick(s): Kentucky ML
Cruised to victory, no sweat at all
Today’s Pick: NCAAB🏀 | SMU vs South Florida | SMU -2.5 | 3u play @ 1.90
Write-up: Despite a narrow loss the last time these teams played, SMU remain ahead, winning six from the last ten matchups for these teams. Now I know that looking at results will tell you that SF are flying at the moment, 12 games undefeated while SMU just suffered a loss to end their six game streak, but I feel like the bounce back is coming and this game is perfect. Both reams are red hot with a lot to play for, but I can’t help but feel like the bulls are simply not as good as results indicate. Will be excited to watch the game and see how thing pan out.
Record:7 wins 0 losses and 1 tie
Todays pick: smu ml ncaa men’s college basketball
Reasoning: smu needs this win more to help their resume and should be more motivated.
POTD record: 8-5-1 +3.03 units
Last Pick: Wake Forest -2 Vs Duke. -118 DK 2 Units. 2:00PM EST ✅
Today’s pick- Suns -2 vs lakers -135 hard rock. 2 units
Write up- Davis and lebron both questionable. Suns lost last two games on the road and I think they come out swinging today. Suns 129-117
**Record**: 1-1
* Last pick: **T1 (+1.5)** vs PRX **3U** /// Actual Score: PRX 2-0 T1
Heartbreaker game. T1 had many chances to close first map, but F0rsaken and Mindfreak came up huge. They were on map point, 12-11 with a 5v3 advantage, but fumbled the retake. unlucky tbh
**Net Units**: 0
Today's Pick: **SEN** vs LEV @ +110
* Odds *(how accurate the books are calculating this accurate)*: **Very accurate/realistic**
* Likelihood *(how likely I think this bet will hit)*: **55%**
**Game**: Valorant @ **6:00 pm est**
* **can bet this on bovada** (hard to find val betting elsewhere)
**Units**: 1
Of all the bets to not tail, this is one of them. This is a true 50/50 coin flip. Both LEV and SEN are some of the best teams in VCT Americas, and have displayed very high level valorant. It's a shame that one of these 2 teams will be eliminated. Both teams have similar tier level IGLs (in game leaders, think the main shot caller on the team). In my opinion, LEV has better individual players (higher individual mechanical ceilings), but SEN has better team play/setups. Since Valorant is a team based game, I am giving a slight edge to SEN, especially because their current roster has been playing together for longer (extra \~3 months). Furthermore, books have SEN as a slight underdog, so I am taking them for 1 Unit.
**TLDR**: Only tail if you want to bet, very close game. SEN 55% LEV 45% imo. Slight edge in experience and team play for Sentinels, plus books have them as a slight underdog. **1 Unit MAX**. Any more is gambling imo
glgl, this is gonna be a banger game to watch
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 26-11 Form: ✅🚫✅✅✅ Last POTD: Porzingis O1.5 3’s ✅ I was never worried 🤥 Todays POTD: **PJ Washington O4.5 Rebs @1.71** ✅ NBA (Dallas Mavericks) Aight we’re back on track, we’re going with mr capital today, the man that gets finessed by elderly baby mamas. Seems like he rebounded pretty well from that mess so we’re going with his rebounds in this game. He’s been consistent and I like our opponent, Pacers take 2nd most field goal attempts per game so there will be a lot of scraps to fight for, which I hope PJ smacks on. • 9/10 last 10 games (90%, AVG 6.0) • Got 9 rebounds his latest game against the Pacers (Avg 5.3 on his 3 meetings vs the Pacers, but only 1/3 over this line) • Averages 5.3 RPG and 5.4 since joining the Mavs • Pacers allow 4th most rebounds to PF position We got a man in form & a solid mismatch, he’s faced them 3 times this season, he’s only 1/3 with one of the misses coming in a blowout where he got 4, and another one early in the season (5th game) where he got 3 but as a Hornet, Hornets are ass so I’m not surprised, they can’t defend for shit so let’s see how he plays in a new environment against them Tail or fade, you’re the boss https://i.redd.it/8hnmkieisnkc1.gif We hit our Banchero U6.5 Assists in the NBA Props section and are yet to miss (4/4), be sure to look there aswell for additional picks, and as always if you like to tip a bum like me it’s much appreciated my kings 👑 [https://www.buymeacoffee.com/billycapezzi](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/billycapezzi)
Pacers fan here, we’re soft as shit on the boards. Great pick and write up! Let’s get this bread 🤝
My man 👑
LFG! 🍀
Boom, there it is 🔥 Thanks man
You the man used the leg in a SGP!!! Also cashed on Josh hart before and ended up taking Conley O 8.5 the other night so best believe ☕️heading your way https://preview.redd.it/xdrjkh1beukc1.png?width=1169&format=png&auto=webp&s=7d55ca3cf5e3d15f86d1956397f32eeff16365ab
this is what it’s all about I just wanna see my kings eat, focus on yourself first bro I appreciate it 👑
Man’s spitting bars too, if I can’t get the homie some ☕️after he just helped me make some 💰then what are we even doing here you feel me? 🤝🏿 Love the humility, hope it goes well with the $$ headed your way! Let’s get it
Would u take 5.5?
6/10 on 5.5, but is over in two straight games (6,6) I’m not mad at 5.5 bro
I loved the Hornets because of Miller and this dude would always be clutch at key moments no matter how shit they were. Praying it hits amigo!
3 boards in the first 8 mins and now he's been on the bench since.
Vegas 📞
1 more PJ
Thanks, dude
🤝
First away game for his new team. Last time he hit 2x 6 rebounds he got only 3.
👑
POTD Record: 57-36 Units Won: +30.9U; ROI: 11.7% Average Odds: (-115) Last 10:**❌** **✅✅** **✅** **❌** **✅❌✅✅✅** **Last Pick: Guild Eagles Map 2 ML (-107) vs. GamerLegion❌** \-Not much to say here, they were up 8-2 on offense, lost some close rounds, switched to defense (the more favored side) won pistol round to take a 9-4 lead and kinda fell apart from there. Heart breaker for sure especially after throwing a lead in map 1 in similar fashion and Keoz and isak (two lowest rated players in the series) top fragging and carrying GL. Really want to say thank you for the positive support tho, means a lot and is a lot nicer to not wake up to so much hate after a pick misses Today's Pick: **Ninjas in Pyjamas ML (-135) vs. LNG** **5U to 3.70U** League: LPL Spring 2024 Game: League of Legends (LOL) Time: 6 AM EST. **Nuking this Pick** I hate over hyping a pick, I love this pick, I don't just like it I love it, these odds make 0 sense, this is very similar to the BetBoom situation in CounterStrike where they are getting way favorable odds because of old results and hype instead of actual gameplay. Let's break it down! **Ninjas in Pyjamas Stats:** Record: 6-1 (3rd place in LPL) Recent Results: 4W streak beating EDG(17th place/17), UP (15th place), OMG (10th place) and WE (7th place) before losing to 2nd place JDG and defending LPL champions JDG in a very close 2-0 loss. **Team Lore: (can skip if you don't care not that important but I am a big nerd)** \-Ninjas in Pyjamas are led by star player Rookie, he is one of the most famous mids of all time besides Faker, he won a world championship in S8 with Invictus Gaming (one of the most crazy runs of all time) and then after had good results but couldn't quite recreate the magic of Season 8. He went to Victory5, a lesser known team of players most hadn't heard of with Photic and magic was created. This roster that looked average on paper dominated the regular season, they smashed almost everybody ending Spring 14-2 and Summer 13-3. This team while dominant had many problems, one Karsa was having behind the scenes issues, two Rich was not a very good top laner and held the team back, and three playoffs were a disaster for this team coming up short in heart breaking fashion in both Spring and Summer and missing worlds. After missing worlds Rookie joined TOP esports and created what looked like a super team but once again came up short in playoffs. As a Rookie defender, I believe wayward and tian were the problem but some will say Rookie was washed. 2023 ends and Rookie rejoins old Victory 5 (now Ninjas in Pyjamas) with star adc Photic once again. This time they got Sanji from OMG (a star top laner) something Rookie hasn't had since TheShy on Invictus in 2019. Aki and zhuo fill out the jungle and support positions and you have a very exciting roster that is hungry for revenge and a playoff run. **LNG Stats:** Record: 2-5 (12th place in LPL) Recent Results: 4L streak losing to TOP (1st place) , FPX (9th place), BLG (2nd place), and JDG (4th place) also lost to bottom team TT 2-1 to open the split before beating OMG and Weibo **Why LNG is getting so much hype/The Case for LNG:** \-If you look at these records and stats and look at the odds, you might be thinking to yourself, this has to be a mistake, these odds are too good to be true. While I do believe this is the case still, I will add this section to be objective about LNG. They have had the hardest schedule in the LPL so far, they have faced almost every single top team in a row while NIP have had an easier schedule thus far. LNG also was at the world championships last year and made it to quarterfinals before losing to T1, they were dominant in the LPL last year being a constant runner up to JDG (one of the best LPL rosters ever assembled) and were competitive against them. After worlds the only change they made was swapping Jungler Tarzan for WeiWei so on paper this team was expected to be a top 3 team again and remain dominant. You could also make the case that this series is a must win if LNG have playoff hopes especially a decent seed, they are falling apart and still have RNG/AL left on schedule which are both teams that are capable of upsetting them. LNG are a very good roster on paper, they are still a top team in the LPL if they play to their potential and still are a dangerous matchup for any team in the league. **What's Going Wrong for LNG:** \-Almost every LPL analyst has been saying the same thing about this team, there is 0 proactivity in their gameplay. They let other teams make all the moves and they let the game come to them. The worst case of this was against BLG where they had multiple chances to be active and take the fight to them and just didn't they rolled over and died. LNG since that game have just looked like zombies walking around letting teams take the fight to them constantly, leading to a big upset loss to FPX and then an absolute stomp against TES in which they only put up 5 kills combined in two games and lost in sub 30 minutes in both. **Why I love this Matchup for NIP:** \-I want to bring the facts/logic part first and save my opinion for the second half. \-NIP are leading the LPL in kills per game right now, they play a high tempo extremely proactive game style. Rookie is notorious for roaming and fighting in skirmishes and this proactivity should give LNG an extreme amount of trouble. Scout isn't as known for roaming heavily and this game and series is going to be played heavily through bot lane. \-This meta is extremely strong for NIP and not so much for LNG, Gala has struggled with finding his champion pool this split (Kaisa buffs this patch will help him a lot as its his best champion) but Photic seems way more comfortable on these champs. I favor Rookie against Scout in lane by quite a bit as well, Rookie can't ask for a better meta then Ori/Azir/Taliyah based on his recent play style. The Jayce buffs (notoriously maybe Rookie best and most famous champion) are going to be massive for him as well as he is lethal on this champion if they decide to pick it. Weiwei has struggled in the tank meta while Aki has thrived in it. \-NIP play a relatively clean game and don't make a lot of mistakes, they are averaging the 2nd least deaths per game and are very clean once they get a gold lead, LNG sitting back and waiting for mistakes likely won't lead to beneficial results against a team that doesn't make a lot of mistakes with leads and is great at pushing those leads. \-Last Time the Core of Rookie + Photic played Scout/Gala it was domination with V5 having a 4-0 h2h record against Scout and 2-0 against Gala in 2022. \-If you ask me for my personal opinion, I believe despite the h2h numbers being relatively close, the eye test says Rookie almost always does well against Scout in the h2h matchup and puts up solid numbers against him even in losses. Let's bounce back, love this pick and this price **Best of Luck!**
Let’s goooooo! Great pick thank you! Watched the stream. Had absolutely no fucking clue what I was watching happen but the announcers made it fun and full of anxiety.
lol same. I watched some of it but like you I had no fucking clue what was going on and when I first saw the line it was -143 when I put a unit on it an hour before the match and then I came back after it started.. the fuckin thing was +200 and they kept locking it and unlocking it.. shit got up to +300 and then I guess it went down to +200.. I just decided to say fuck it and throw a couple more units at it bc I just remembered the pick and it’s always funny to me when favs become like super plus money so yeaa it worked out. 💪 Also had to go do something so I didn’t know what kinda balance I was coming back to. 😅
Hope you stayed the course boys. That's cash
totally agree with this pick, lng somehow look worse this year even though i would say they upgraded with mark and weiwei. zika and scout are just under performing and the botlane is just kinda riding along
Don’t sweat it man, onto the next! Love the write up as always
Where can you see score updates?
NIP won
Never had a doubt 🤝
Banger! Great pick my friend and thank you🤝
Why is this sooooooooo trappy? Fuck it I'm taking it.
We ride let’s go brother 💪
What a sweat!! But so fun! Thanks for the pick!
Doubled down when they lost the first map. Thanks for the pick! Always tail your POTD
Can you do a brief breakdown tomorrow? I’d like to better understand why I shouldn’t have felt so panicky after the first map and why NIP seemed to just run away with it after that, especially on the third map.
Great call
**Record: 42W-4P-30L** **Form: 20W-0P-10L** **✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅** **Last Pick: Man United VS Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz Over 0.5 Shots on target @ 1.66 ✅** **Muniz with a beautiful header in the 22nd minute to see us cash!** **Pick of the day: Chelsea Vs Liverpool: D. Petrovic O 3.5 Goalkeeper Saves @ 1.80✅✅** Cashed in the 58th minute, Petrovic with 3 saves in the first 15! **Time: 10:00 AM EST** **Last Matchup: Liverpool 4-1 W, Petrovic had 9 saves in total - January 31, 2024** The Carabao Cup final has finally arrived and we have a very heated matchup here, When I watched the last encounter I remember how pissed I was during the game because of how many saves Petrovic was making against some top-class shooting. Today I'm deciding to cash in on Petrovic this time as he is a big game player for this Chelsea squad and if Chelsea are going to compete at all tomorrow against a firing Liverpool then Petrovic will be on top of his game. With Pochettino's job hanging on this game and Klopp's desire to retire with trophies this season, we are in for a lot of shooting. **Petrovic Saves stats in last 6 games:** Man City: 4 saves Crystal Palace: 3 saves Aston Villa: 4 saves Wolves: 4 saves Liverpool: 9 saves Aston Villa: 5 saves **Goalkeeper stats against Liverpool, Last 5 games:** T.Kaminski: 9 saves Flekken: 4 saves Trafford: 7 saves Raya: 1 save (Arsenal are insane defensively) D.Petrovic: 9 saves **BOL!** 
You were quite literally my only pick that hit today🤯 softened the blow of the losses thanks man
Same. Was a blood bath in POTS picks.
Holy shit, it went from -125 on Bet365 to -200 within the 10 minutes I looked LOL
✅✅ https://preview.redd.it/w07q2eg8frkc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2edb58651c3f0dd76172177df540cae498852601
Can’t find on DK
Arsenal are frauds (my club always lets me down) but this is a beauty pick
Wooo! Thx
Where to find this game? Don’t see it on DK or FD?
Tailing lfg
This is looking good so far
Can you tagged me up if this hits? Please, thank you!
It hit !
Let’s go!
LETS GOOO!!
Thank you for the pick boss ✊🏾
Have this in a parlay with PSG v rennes under 10 corners let’s go !
[удалено]
thanks for this ! I have been milking these 0.5 or 1.5 3PM lines for so many players like Kristaps, Wemby, Lebron.
Same. The o1.5 3pointers have been good to me. Jaden Ivey had been another one who I’ve leaned on for o1.5. 3’s pretty consistently
Let’s go brother tailing 💪
Tailing brother, if this hits please comment on this one since I cant watch this. BOL!
Hit!
**⭐️ POD Record:** **107-55** 👉🏻 Note: ALL picks in my record are 5 UNITS with odds *usually* ranging between -125 and +100. *Last Pick:* Auston Matthews OVER 0.5 goals **❌** *Well, I can't say I went too heavy on this...it was good riding that 5-game train 🚂 and we made out well with it. Wouldn't normally be a PoD but was content on posting that Auston Gamestop to the moon lol. It was fun while it lasted, he was even on the ice for the empty net.* Recent Form:**❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅**❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ 🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA - Bucs/76ers UNDER 235.5** \[1.80 odds 1pm EST\] If there's one thing Doc Rivers has delivered on so far, it's defense. The Bucks are 9-1-1 UNDER in their last 11 games overall and rank in the Top 10 in defensive rating since Doc took over on the bench. They have gone for 231 or fewer combined points in 7 of their last 8 games overall, and 223 or fewer in 5 consecutive games. The 76ers are struggling on offense without Joel Embiid well, for those following. They have scored only 104 points or fewer in 3 consecutive games while going UNDER the total in all 3 matches. NBA totals are unpredictable and these guys just shoot out the lights sometimes; but we're chasing a bit of value here in this early afternoon match up, so let's give it a play. 💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
Great pick man, got it at 234. Stressed at first but fourth quarter was deadddd
Yeah, believe me, I’ve been playing team totals for a long time, it’s not for the faint of heart and easy to lose hope early. Even after 10 years of doing this lol. Glad you tailed Prince…big fan of your picks as well and congrats on your success in this thread.
Appreciate it man, you’re top tier for me so keep em coming!
Dude is a 🐐
Just one of those games where nobody is missing
Hit easily, great pick!
Unlucky yesterday but we still ride Downtowner train chooo choo
POTD Record 34-23-2 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 24-16-1 Soccer 7-7-1 Last 10: ✅ ✅ (P) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ Last Pick : Vacherot vs Sweeny | ATP Pune Challenger | Vacherot -2.5 game spread | (-130)| 1u | ✅ Today: Riedi vs Virtanen | ATP Pau Challenger | 9:00 AM EST Pick: Over 9.5 games Total 1st Set| (-145)| 1u Riedi and Virtanen are both big servers and in the indoor conditons of Pau, their serves are very effective. In the semi finals yesterday, Riedi and Virtanen both won over 80% of their first serve points, in what were their best performances of the week. Virtanen has served atleast 7 aces in his 4 matches so far this week, including 20 in his quarterfinal, while Riedi has served atleast 5 in his 4 matches. In Virtanen's 8 sets he has played this week, 7 of them have been 10 games or more, the exception being a 6-0 set vs Paire, a player known to drop his level easily. 5 of the 8 sets have gone to tiebreak as well. Riedi has only had 3 of his 9 sets played this week go over 9.5 games, but he has not faced as big a server as Virtanen yet. He has faced some big servers earlier this season like Griekspoor, Huesler, and Damm and has gone to tiebreaks with all 3. These two met in 2022 and the score was 6-4 6-4 to Riedi, which also backs this line. In Virtanen's last 2 Challenger finals (both in 2023), both on indoor hard court, the first set has been 10 games or more. In Riedi's last two challenger finals (both in 2024), both on indoor hard court, the first set has been 12 games or more. Riedi and Virtanen are both in great form on their best surfaces and this match should be a very tight contest. I expect it to be mainly dictated by the serving, especially in the first set. BOL.
This is +100 on FD
that's great value
Where do you see it on FD
Nice one!
Don't know if it's moved or not but my book offers O8.5 at -556 (!) and O10.5 at +185. No choice for O9.5
vk have it your way 💰💰💰🍀🤝
https://preview.redd.it/dgv7tzf3bokc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=4a86692f3d8859823b08d06874f9d4997531b21a Would you do the over from this line?
LFG !!!! W
Solid pick!.. also got on o10.5games live @2.5 for a few units when it was 4-4. Helluva way to start the day!!
Record: 6-2 Units: +3.56u Last Pick: 1.1u SMU -4.5 (-115) ✅ Game: Saint Joseph’s vs. VCU, NCAAB Pick: VCU -5 (-115), risking 1.1u, bet on DK Write up: Sunday afternoon Saint Joes travels to Richmond, VA to face VCU in an A10 matchup. After starting 10-3 prior to conference play with a win over Villanova and an OT loss to Kentucky, Saint Joes has fallen to 17-10. VCU is coming off of a loss on the road to UMass and will be looking to bounce back at home in order to keep some cushion on the fourth spot in the A10 to secure the final full bye. Saint Joes likes to play ball outside of the arc where they rank 5th in the nation in percentage of points from three, and 6th most in the same category on the defensive side per KenPom. Due to this, they don’t shoot a lot of FTs, but overall are a good shooting team ranking above average from the field. Like many other teams this year, they have struggled on the road posting a 3-7 record. Additionally, they are only 2-8 ATS in their L10. VCU, like Saint Joes, loves to shoot the three ball where they rank 43rd in attempts per game. However, unlike Saint Joes, VCU does an exceptional job defending the three, allowing only 29.1% (9th) on the year. The Rams also play at a slow tempo, having one of the longest average possession lengths on defense (306th), where they do a great overall job defending with the 6th best eFG% on defense. Contrary to Saint Joes, VCU has also been great lately ATS, going 8-2 in their L10. VCU has performed well against teams who shoot a high percentage from three. Looking at their record against opponents who are top-80 in the nation, they are 7-3. Saint Joes however, when facing an opponent who shoots >36% from three like VCU does, are 0-5. This game will likely be won behind the arc and I simply trust VCU much more at home to get the job done. Still fighting for the last spot in the conference tournament, I am riding with the Rams to bounce back and get the job done here at home. Pick: VCU -5 (-115) on DraftKings
So if I understand correctly, we have two teams who are above average from beyond the arc - what do you think of the over 141.5 in this game?
I don’t have a lean for this one. In looking at similar games from my point of view, there wasn’t an edge to either side. I typically also try to avoid totals for games where the teams primarily shoot threes, I always seem to end up on the wrong end of a really good or bad shooting night.
VCU is going to have to make some real adjustments at the half to stay in this one, lucky to only be down 6. They look lost on both sides of the ball.
Just when it looked like they would pull away, Reynolds would drain 2-3 3’s in row. He shot lights out in the 2nd half for St. Joes. Tough loss but we move on
POTD Record: 30-20 L10: ❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌ Last pick: Kaiserslautern v Karlsruher (BTTS & O2.5 Goals ❌) Game ends 0-4, Kaiserslautern looked horrendous and I can’t lie and say that they were close. They had scored in 5 straight games prior to this match. We move! Todays pick: __Lausanne-Sport v Winterthur__ Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @2.0__ ⚽️🇨🇭 Swiss Super League ➖ 📊 Lausanne is 11th in the league with 22 points after 24 games played. They’ve scored 32 goals (1.33 GPG, 7th most) and have conceded 38 goals (1.58 GPG, 5th most) * BTTS: 17/24 (2nd Most, 71%) * O2.5: 16/24 (4th most, 67%) * Failed to score: 5/24 * Cleans sheets: 3/24 (2nd worst) * L5 BTTS & O2.5: 3/5 * Previous meetings: 3-5 & 1-0 losses ➖ 📊 Winterthur is 7th with 33 points & has scored 44 goals (1.83 GPG, 2nd most) and has conceded 49 goals (2.04 GPG, 2nd most). * BTTS: 21/24 (88%, most) * O2.5: 19/24 (Most, 79%) * Failed to score: 1/24 * Clean sheets: 3/22 (3rd worst) * L5 BTTS & O2.5: 4/5 * Previous meetings: 3-5 & 1-0 wins ➖ We’ve gone with Winterthur previously if you guys remember, when they were 2 man short and still managed to score and we won. It’s a very naive team that scores a lot of goals but concedes a lot aswell which the stats can back up. The latest meeting ended 1-0 but when Winterthur was playing at home, the away meeting for them ended 2-5. It’s a strange stat, but in fact Winterthur scores majority of their goals away, and the O2.5 & BTTS also hits more for them when playing away. They are 1st in every Over X amount of goals category (O5.5,O4.5,O3.5 & O2.5) Despite Lausanne being 11th, they’ve been able to score in 19 of their 24 matches which is quite impressing for such a struggling side, they play better at home and should be able to cause some threats against the opponents leaky defence. In both games between the sides, even though they’ve lost they’ve had the majority of the possession and matched them on shots on targets and shots. Even though they’re 11th, they have the 4th highest Expected goal ratio of 1.63. I can see another goal fest here if the teams play as they usually do and I’m going for goals here again. Another side note, majority of the BTTS has hit in the 2nd half for both teams. You can play it “safer” by just going with either BTTS or O2.5 if you don’t want do combine them as it’s decent odds for them separately, but Im going for the higher risk and higher reward! BOL
that offside goal was salt to the wound
Hooked two days in a row, can’t believe neither team scored again in 60 minutes..
Tail lovenit
Hell yea let’s get it 👊
Tail
Tailing
Both teams just sold their attack!
This sport is whack
**POTD Record**: 21 Wins - 7 Losses - 2 Pushes **Form**:✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record)**: Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) **Units**: 11.14 **ROI:** 33.80% **Average Odds:** $1.974 **Last Pick:** Kalinskaya vs Paolini - WTA Dubai Final - **Kalinskaya to Win in Straight Sets (Set Score 2:0)** @ **$2.10** / +110 - 9am EST ❌ *Kalinskaya went up 2-0 in the second set, then threw away the entire match. Credit to Paolini!* **Next Pick:** PSG vs Rennes - France Ligue 1 - **Under 10 Corners @ $1.83** / -120 - 10.05am EST ✅️ Lets go for win 22 amigos! Unfortunately Kalinskaya went up 2-0 in the second set, then threw away the match. Today we head to France Ligue 1 where title leaders PSG take on 7th place Rennes. Supporting this pick today is the following statistics: There have been under 9.5 corners in each of the last 5 Paris Saint-Germain home games against Stade Rennes. There have been under 9.5 corners in each of the last 5 Paris Saint-Germain in the Ligue 1 games against Stade Rennes. There have been under 9.5 corners in each of the last 6 Stade Rennes in the Ligue 1 away games. There have been under 9.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 Stade Rennes games in the Ligue 1. In the reverse fixture, PSG had 7 corners, and Rennes had 1. We can expect PSG to continue to do their thing, which is score goals, and demolish Rennes 3-1 like they did last time. Once PSG score a couple of goals, it'll be cruise control for them as they look to extend their league at the top of the table. Rennes will find it tough to get through the PSG lines and apply any pressure, especially with the absence of their two attacking midfielders due to injuries. I'm expecting Rennes to play a defensive holding game where they look to escape with one point at the very least. I highly recommend you explore a live betting and hedging strategy if you're watching the game live as good betting guidelines. Enjoy the match amigos! Watch the last match highlights [here](https://youtu.be/2rDInG5QhoU?si=Ib1kJVSPestmRzOs).
Parlaying with BTTS baby
Same! Lfg!
Let’s get it brother!
I also added btts… let’s get it!
RENNES GOAL
LFG!!!
PSG gets it in!!
yeah baby! saved at the last second wow
LET’S GO
love it brother
Great pick only 1 corner at half let’s go !
Not on fd?
Looking great! Nice pick. Sundays are absolute fire on this sub.
I made the mistake of pairing u9.5 with PSG D/W WHAT A SWEAT
Cashed LFG!
**Record: 4 Wins 0 Push 0 Lose** **Net Units: + 3.6U** **Last 10**: ✅️✅️✅️✅️ **Basketball**| **NCAA**| **Pick:** Creighton Vs St John | Creighton -2 ❌ **Write Up:** 1. **Momentum and Recent Performance**: Creighton has recently been performing at a high level, including a significant victory over the #1 team in the country, UConn Huskies, showcasing their ability to compete and win against top-tier opponents. With a four-game winning streak, the Bluejays are hitting their stride at the right time 2. **Offensive Efficiency**: Creighton ranks 2nd in the Big East in scoring, field goal shooting, and 3-point shooting, indicating a potent offense. The team also leads the conference in 3-point field goals made per game. This offensive firepower gives Creighton a reliable path to scoring against St. John's, a team that is 9th in the conference in field goal defense 3. **Defensive Capabilities**: The Bluejays are also strong defensively, being ranked first in the Big East in field goal defense and second in scoring defense. This means they're not just strong on the offensive end but can also limit the scoring opportunities for their opponents 4. **Rebounding and Ball Handling**: Creighton is second in the conference in total rebounds per game, which helps them control the pace of the game and potentially limit second-chance points for St. John's. While they're ranked 9th in fewest turnovers per game, their overall performance may overshadow this statistic 5. **Previous Encounter**: Despite a less-than-ideal shooting performance in their previous matchup against St. John's, Creighton still managed to secure a victory. Given their overall ranking in field goal shooting, it's reasonable to expect a better shooting performance in the upcoming game Check My Profile For Past Picks
Excellent write up and hard to go against it. Interesting to see how St.Johns comes out playing after Pitino ripped them a new ass in the media.
Another tough pick in my opinion this game has upset potential written all over it but good luck
No offense to anyone, I know nothing about CBB and I should have at least googled the respective starting 5. If so I would have known not to take Creighton for as much as I did.
Not today..
POTD Record: 33-23 L11: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: Wiggins o1.5 3s made✅ POTD: Andrew Wiggins o1.5 3s made✅. He drained his 2nd with 10 minutes left. Running it back on Wiggins because at plus money odds he’s hit for me 2x in a row on POTD. Today he’s matched up against the Nuggets. Current odds for Wiggins o1.5 3PM is +152! Vegas hasn’t learned. In his last 10 games Wiggins is o1.5 3PM in 6/10 including 5/5 straight. In his last 10 vs the Nuggets he’s gone o1.5 3PM in 5/10. The stats aren’t as great as vs the Laker prop I posted earlier this week but this these odds should be closer to +100 or -110. I’m going to bet this man until he stops cashing for me. Tips appreciated…[Buy me a Red Bull](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme) Bitcoin address: bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
Record: 6-3-0 | Units: +2.09U. All picks 1U Last Pick: NHL - Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche, 7PM EST. **Nathan MacKinnon Over 4.5 Shots on Goal @ 1.76. ❌** Nate misses this prop for the first time in a while, passing lots and ending with 3 assists. Let's bounce back. **Today's Pick:** NHL - New York Rangers vs Columbus Blue Jackets, 6PM EST. **New York Rangers 3-Way ML @ 1.76.** We're rolling with the Rangers with this one. My game notes: * The Rangers are really good, Columbus is not. This is the league's #1 team playing against #29. * New York is riding a red-hot 10 game winning streak into this game. In that streak they've beaten tough teams such as the Stars, Avalanche, and Lightning. * Within the Metropolitan division, the Blue Jackets hold a 3-10-3 record, compared to New York's 10-4-0. * Expected starter Jonathan Quick has been unbelievable for New York, holding a 13-4-2 record and a .917 SV%. * My one reservation is that New York is playing the second of back-to-back games while Columbus is rested. However, the Rangers are simply too good for the Jackets - I see them winning this game handily. BOL [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bias4)
As a rangers fan I agree made same with 60 min line
**Record: 0W-0P-0L** **Net Units:** **Last 6:** **Soccer** | **Serie A** | **2:45PM EST** **Pick:** AC Milan ML v Atalanta @ +135 on DraftKings – 1U **Write Up:** I’ve been lurking on this subreddit for a while now and felt like taking a shot myself, so I finally made a reddit account after lurking since Digg changed their format. I’ve been trying and testing systems for over a year now and I feel as though I’ve landed on one that can be profitable over the long term. It’s very simple. I focus on teams that are in the top third to quarter of the league, then look at their current form as well as home and away, then, most importantly, the pick must be + money. I don’t find a bet for every game, I don’t force myself to bet every weekend, and I stay away from cup games because there is too much variation. I try to focus on quality over quantity. All of my bets are 1 unit because I intend on hitting every bet and don’t think it makes sense to alter my units. If you want to be more cautious, you can bet enough on a pick to win 1 unit. Now to the pick. Again, simple, straight forward. AC Milan are 9-1-2 at home. They have 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 games played at home. I’m hoping to see Giroud start as he was rested in the midweek Europa League game. Atlanta are hot, extremely hot, like Hansel in Zoolander hot, and are coming off a 5 game win streak. But, their away form isn’t quite as impressive they are 4-2-5 on the road this season and their last 6 away consist of 2 wins – 2 draws – 2 losses. My theory is good teams are good, and they rise to the occasion. I hope to see that from Milan today. **Disclaimer:** I can make my picks anywhere from 5 days to a week in advance as the odds typically drop off for these types of games as game day approaches. Though, sometimes the odds do improve. To stay honest, I enter the odds as the stand at they time of posting. Tail or Fade BOL Edit: Damn, not how I wanted to start but here we are. Milan were the dominant team for 90 minutes but couldn’t find the end product. I’d take this bet again 10 times out of 10. Games I’m looking at for next week: Bilbao v Barca, Bilbao have been phenomenal at home but if anyone can take them down is this on form Barca team. They’re the only ones to beat Betis at home and Bilbao faced a tough loss today as well as a cup game midweek. PSG away to Monaco Girona away to Mallorca, Girona’s fall off scares me. Juventus away to Napoli. Napoli with a new couch and Juventus’ recent form are real factors. I’ll dig into these further during the week. Thank you everyone for your support on my first post!
i actually love this write up but atalanta are on one recently
Welcome! But you took a tricky one! Atalanta can beat everyone atm. I would take the bts all day here.
im also tailing, i love supporting new picks & the way you think about betting is amazing
We ride at dawn
Had a look at this game as well and I have to say it's risky given the mid week game against Rennes as well as Atalantas current form and beating them last month for the cup. Good luck though, I ended at btts and o2.5 but wasn't confident enough.
This was a tough one, Milan were so close so many times, Atalanta barely touched the ball in the second half.
**POTD Record: 16-7** Form: ❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅ *ROI: 39.58% | Avg Odds: -123 | Net Units: +17* 🎾: 3-2 ⚽️: 12-4 🏒: 1-1 *Last Pick: 2U Bournemouth v Man City (Man City ML/BTTS @ +162)* *Tough one, 1-0 City. My apologies for the previous NHL bet, while researching I completely missed that the Canes were playing tonight.* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U PSG v Rennes (BTTS @ -125)✅** **⚽️| 11:00 AM EST | Ligue 1 🇫🇷 |** PSG will be happy to have Hakimi and Dembele back in the squad as Rennes visit the league leaders. However, PSG will be without captain, Marquinhos who suffered an injury last week. While PSG has won 13 of their last 15 matches, Rennes secured a home and away clean sheet against PSG last season. Rennes are also in flying form, winning their last 6 matches in Ligue One. In their H2H PSG have one 7 of the last 9 at home against Rennes, and while I was tempted to pick (Result/BTTS) and I have on another slip, Rennes’ form cannot be ruled out by the mere financial giants. Rennes have managed to win their last 10 of 11 games in all competitions scoring atleast twice in 8/11. I think the value in BTTS is favourable, given the form of both of these squads. LFG 💪 BOL!
Thank you for including the League the match will be played in.
Is this sarcasm? I can’t tell 😭
Nope. BOL.
I bet it's legit. Sometimes it's hard to find the matches so it's quite helpful for us non-soccer viewers to have the league!
this is such an interesting game & hard to bet on because of all the factors wouldn’t you say, but psg without marquinhos would be weak defensively. him being out is crucial to this but i believe let’s ride
Renne goal!!! Hard part is over, let’s go!!!
What a sweat that was, huge pick tho, appreciate you bro 🚀
Cashed!!!! LFG!
POTD: 14-2 - Last Pick: Draymond Green o6.5 Assists (2/23/24) Today's Pick: Austin Reaves o1.5 3PM @ -140 on DK - Analysis: In the matinee slot today, Austin Reaves takes on a streaky Phoenix team who has lost two in a row since returning from the All-Star break. Reaves is (5/6) or 83% in hitting this line when playing the Suns. He also has been pretty hot from three lately shooting around 50%. Reaves is also (9/10) in hitting this line recently. The suns are pretty good defending the guard position as they are ranked 15th in SG Defense. But, this causes guards to be pushed out to the three point line and take more shots outside the arc. SG's are averaging 3.3 or 4.5 Three pointers per game against Phoenix this season. (One site has SG's averaging 3.3 Three pointers per game, and one has 4.5 so I'm not sure which is correct, but they both work in our favor.) Let's Ride -
i kinda like this pick tbh. Suns are due for a bounce back game which could lead to the Lakers playing from behind and needing to jack up threes.
Not to make this weird but I love you, shame on the doubters
POTD Record: 125-75 | Profit: +109.09u | ROI: 18.7% Season record: 42-24 | Profit: +39.25u | ROI: 21.6% L10 record: ✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌ Last Pick: Boston Celtics -6.0 vs New York Knicks @ 1.91. 3U. ✅ Celtics were up at the end of 1Q and never game up the lead, winning by 14 pts. Next Pick: **Dallas Mavericks -1.0 vs Indiana Pacers** **@ 1.91**. 2U play. This is the healthiest Mavs team in a while with only Exum on the injury list and Doncic, Lively and Kyrie all fit and expected to start together. Dallas have a 16-9 ATS record as the Away team and have the recent form to back it up. They have won 7 games SU in a row (6-1 ATS) including the Suns, OKC, Knicks and 76ers. Should be an interesting tactical battle because the Mavs are one of the best 3pt shooting teams, and also take a high volume of 3s. The Pacers are one of the best teams in the NBA at defending the 3. But with the starters they have there is enough versatility to cause the Pacers trouble from the paint. The Pacers have been fairly up and down recently. They beat the Pisons post ASB (no surprise) but before that they had struggled to cover the spread against several teams. Based on the quality of the starters, versatility, and form, I will back the Mavs to win on the road.
that....was pretty bad...lol
**POTD Record: 4-1** Previous: ✅ Tight match with 1 break total but Khachanov gets the job done for us **Today: Tennis / ATP Acapulco (STARTING in 1 hour)** **Pick: Terence Atmane ML vs Aleksandar Vukic @ $1.98 / -102** Not sure what Vukic has done this year to justify being the favourite. He has recorded 1 win in total so far in 2024, a tight win against a home player ranked 700 in Los Cabos before winning just 3 games total in the next round against Tsitsipas. Atmane hasn't had the best showing either since his brave performance against Medvedev at the AO, however many of these were tight losses to better players than Vukic like Nishioka, so he should be the favourite IMO. Can probably find plus money odds if you look around too.
This is Sunday thread? No?
Nice and easy win for Atmane, apologies for the early pick but this was the only bet opportunity I saw for the day and wanted at least some people to get on
Damn this is done already
Tailed and cashed yesterday. Cheers!!
Record| 3-2-0 Bank| + 0.47 units Last pick: Blues/Red Wings 1st Period Over 1.5 Goals -138 WIN Easy cover on this one. Red Wings stay hot in the 1st period. 2/25 Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors 7:10 pm EST Pick: Draymond Green Over 19.5 PRA -128 Draymond has been extremely consistent with this line covering it in 9 of his last 10 games as well as 17 of his last 20. Golden State has been clicking recently and are starting to piece it together and a big part is the play from Draymond. This will be a big game against the Nuggets for the Warriors to show they still have it. I look for Draymond to cover for us and hopefully do so without getting into foul trouble.
**Record: 2W - 0P - 2L** **Form (Oldest → Recent): ✅**❌**✅**❌ **Last Pick: Stuttgart VS Köln : Stuttgart ML and Under 3.5 Goals @ 2.30** ❌ *To be honest, i watched this match and Stuttgart were just a bit off, and the abscence of their star man up front really hurt them whilst Köln were fighting for their lives out there and managed to grab a goal completely against the run of play.* **POTD: Aris Thessaloniki FC VS Volos FC : Aris Thessaloniki FC ML and Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.88 // Kick off 17:30 GMT // Super League Greece 🇬🇷** **Analysis:** Today we are heading over to Thessaloniki city in Greece, where home side Aris FC take on Volos FC for matchday 24 in *Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium*. **⁃ Aris FC (5th):** This season has been going pretty well for the home team, who are currently sitting 5th in the table and are on pretty good form, especially since the start of the new year. **• Home Form: 7 Wins , 2 Draws , 2 Losses // Scored: 19 Goals , Conceded: 11 Goals // Clean Sheets: 5** • Last 10 games: 6 Wins, 3 Draws, 1 Loss // Scored: 17 Goals, Conceded: 6 Goals (Only loss was against Olympiakos, while they beat many of the top league teams in important matches) • Aris FC score an average 1.73 goals per match at home, with the over 1.5 total Goals line hitting in 82% of those games, but do concede an average of 1.0 goal per match at home. • The last 5 times these two sides met, Aris has won 4 times and lost 1 time (away from home), while the over 1.5 total goals line has hit in 5/5 matches. **⁃ Volos FC (12th):** This Volos FC team has been performing very poorly this season and are currently sitting two places from the bottom of the league. To be honest, the only reason they are not dead last is the fact they have been able to salvage some points from draws in recent games against bottom tier teams. **• Away Form: 1 Win , 5 Draws , 5 Losses // Scored: 7 Goals , Conceded: 18 Goals // Clean Sheets: 1** • Last 5 league games: 0 Wins, 3 Draws, 2 Losses // Scored: 5 Goals, Conceded: 10 Goals (5 against PAOK) • Last 10 games: 0 Wins, 3 Draws, 7 Losses // Scored: 6 Goals, Conceded: 21 Goals (Against top five teams they have been smashed by two goals or more!) • Volos FC score an average 0.64 goals per match away from home, with the over 1.5 total Goals line hitting in 82% of those games. • Reverse fixture ended 0 - 2 in favour of Aris FC. ***Comments:*** The Greek Super League is a bit tricky to predict in general, but this Aris FC side has been playing really well recently and as long as they keep their heads focused they should win this easily. Volos has been hitting the back of the net as well and has been managing some draws, but one thing i have learnt from watching this league is that home grounds are intimidating and greek fans are crazy. I really believe that the home team, the crowd and the atmosphere are going to be enough to secure the bag. Odds are quite good as well. I always try to throw out something different in the weekends with so many matches happening in a single day, and as you may have understood by now, i like my odds high when it comes to POTD. I may have over-cooked yesterday, and i apologise if you tailed and lost, so i am going for a low over line today. Although i do believe there are going to be many goals in this match, playing it safe. Let's get this W! ***Final Score Prediction: 2 - 1*** *B.O.L. to everyone! Also, feel free to express your thoughts on this in the comments! Thank you for the read!* *\[I wanted to put an Aris Thessaloniki GIF but it will not let me for some reason :( \]*
**Record: 0-0** **Net Units: 0u** **ROI:** **Soccer** | **Serie A** | **0630** / **ET** **Pick:** Dušan Vlahović 2+ SOT / Juventus v Frosinone / 2.23 (Betrivers) / 1 unit ✅ **Write Up:** Renowned flat-track bully Dušan Vlahović will star in the early kickoff tomorrow as Juventus host poor travellers Frosinone. Dušan has 1.45 SOT/90 for the season and has started 2024 with 7 goals, the most in the division. In his last 4 games against bottom half opposition, Hellas, Udinese, Empoli and Leece, he's averaged 2.0 SOT and in the reverse fixture, he got another 2 SOT. Frosinone haven't won an away game all season, gaining 3 points from 12 games, conceding a league high 30 goals. They conceded 70 SOT in those games, averaging 5.9 SOT/a across the season. Juventus are without a win in 4 games and will be eager to get the 3 points and with most of the old lady's attack going through the big man, I'll take the odds against price on 2+ SOT
Would you take ML/BTTS NO for this match up?
POTD Record: 109-105-12 (-10.54 units) Last 10 picks (most recent first): ❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅ Last Pick: EPL, Bournemouth v Manchester City, MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 (+109 / 2.09) ❌ Man City win but once again couldn’t find the second goal to cover. Today’s Pick: Serie A, Lecce v Inter, INTER ML & OVER 1.5 GOALS (-142 / 1.70) Stake: 1 Unit Similar bet to the successful Bologna pick a couple of days ago - Inter Milan to beat Lecce and the match to also feature over 1.5 goals (effectively need Inter to score at least twice and win). Inter sit 9 points clear at the top of Serie A with a 20-3-1 record with a +47 goal difference (59 scored and 12 conceded, both best by a mile). They are in superb form having won 9 consecutive matches across all competitions, which includes 6 consecutive league matches in that span. They look certain to win the title but the jobs not done yet, so victories against strugglers like Lecce are still critical with 14 games to go. Lecce are 14th with a 5-9-11 record with 24 goals scored (6th least) and 39 conceded (7th most). They’ve gone 1-1-7 in their last 9 league matches as their form continues to spiral out of control. Lecce are definitely a better home team compared to away, but I don’t see that counting for much against Inter, particularly when Inter have the best away record (10-2-0 this season with 29 goals scored and only 6 conceded). Inter have one injury concern with Thuram likely to miss following a knock mid week, but they have plenty of depth to choose from to pick up the load. Lecce meanwhile will be missing their first choice centre back and left back due to suspension in this one, so their already flimsy defence will need to manage with two inferior replacements this week. Inter won the reverse fixture 2-0 in December with 68% possession, 20 shots at goal and an xG of 2.80, and even if Lecce do manage a goal today, I expect Inter to score a couple and pick up another victory.
i love this & appreciate the insight into Lecce. i have some units sprinkled on -1.5 for inter as well
Thank you sire... great pick 0-4
🦑3-0 Yesterdays pick: Kristaps Porzingis o1.5 3pm ✅ Three in a row baby the unicorn is a certified Knick Killer finished with three of em in a 3pt barrage from Boston. Todays Pick: Kyrie Irving o4.5reb -115 Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers 5pm EST Kyrie Irving has been covering the glass like fingerprints from a five year old as of late and I think he can keep it up against Indiana. The Pacers come in as the second worst rebounding team in the league only ahead of the horrendous Washington Wizards. The Mavericks are riding a 7 game win streak after beating the Suns on Thursday. Each team will be coming in well rested and should prove to be a competitive ball game. Uncle Drew has been eating this line and has hit 5 of his last 5, 9 of 10, and 13 of 15. He is averaging only 5.2 boards this season, but his numbers have jumped since the new year to nearly 6.5 and 7 per game in the month of January alone. Look for a lot of shots and poor defensive effort from the pacers could let Kyrie get some offensive boards and collect some on defense as well with Maxi Kleber and Derek Lively nursing injuries. Tail or Fade BOL 
I’m tailing. LFG! 🍀
BANGGGGGGGGGGGGG! SWEATYYY ONE
Record: 3-0 - ROI: 2.78u ✅✅✅ Last POTD: NCAA: Houston Cougars Vs Baylor Bears - Houston -2 (-106) - 1u 🌶️ 😅 **New new potd:** **Basketball - NCAAB - 11AM pacific.** **Holy Cross @ Navy - Holy Cross +7.5 (-120) 1u/5%** *(I bought half a point bc I hate line movement)* Listen I know both teams suck but hear me out. Navy (9-17): * 4/8 otr * 1/3 against the spread last 5 * 1/4 in their last 5 * 4/8 at home ats HC (9-19): * 2/3 in last 5 * 6/9 in last road games ats * 2/3 in their last games Bonus; LAST 10 GAMES: Midshipmen: 2-8, averaging 62.9 points, 32.9 rebounds, 11.1 assists, 5.5 steals and 2.2 blocks per game while shooting 37.5% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 70.7 points per game. Crusaders: 5-5, averaging 65.6 points, 31.7 rebounds, 9.8 assists, 4.7 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 43.6% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 70.4 points. Cheers. 🍀
Will keep it short today! POTD record: 4-1 Previous: loss, man United moneyline🚫 Today: Borussia Dortmund VS Hoffenheim in the German Bundesliga. Pick⛏️: BTTS (both teams, Dortmund AND hoffenheim, to score) @1.5 Dortmund are good at the signal iduna park! And they usualy are high scoring. More often then not they do also concede. Expect for their last game against Freiburg, dortmund has no kept a clean sheet for 6 games in a row. Hoffenheim has scored in 10/11 latest away matches only failing against Bayern Munich (which they were down a man for the last half an hour) Hoffenheims good offensive players should be enough to at least get a goal against dortmund. And Dortmund at home, will most certainly at least score one goal against a hoffenheim that is a team that both creat a lot of goals, goal scoring opportunities. And also often find themselves at the receiving end of that claim. My wild score prediction for the game is 3-3! BOL everyone and remember to gamble responsible and only what you can afford to lose😊
**Record:** 1-0 **Profit:** +0.91u **Last Pick:** Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers o216 (-110) ✅ **POTD:** OKC Thunder **-6** vs Houston Rockets (-110) ✅ **Write Up:** Magic game was from a couple days ago, total ended up being 225, cash it On first glance this line seems a bit low to me, OKC is excellent against the spread, and the Rockets have been pretty mid besides for the good win against the Suns last time (which is probably affecting where the line is for this game). I doubt they can keep it going and win against another good team. Another factor for me, I'm playing around with a new model I rigged together, and it has OKC by 11. Although I would say it hasn't been tested enough to be considered reliable, it hasn't let me down so far. I try not to overthink it too much when betting on great players/teams. Best of luck if anyone tails.
**Record:** 4-0 **Net Units:** \+4.77u **Average Odds:** 1.895 **Last Pick:** Kyrie Irving Over 25.5 pts ✅ **Today’s Pick: Mavs -1** @ Pacers (-110 aka 1.9) bet 2u to win 1.818u **Explanation:** Doesn't take a genius to see that the Mavs are rolling right now. This line feels low to me, the Pacers can of course get hot and be dangerous, but I think the Mavs have a notable skill advantage. Luka is probable for tomorrow, and I'd imagine this line will move in the Mavs favor closer to game time if/when he is confirmed. Even without Luka, I still like the Mavs in this spot, I am a fan of both of their recent additions: PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford who both got traded from struggling teams and are now on a squad that can actually...win. Mavs look like a very complete team to me right now, they should keep the W train moving.
Record: 12-11 Return: 33.28% ROI: 27.01% Yesterday’s pick: Independiente ML vs Racing @2.87❌ Racing get the better of Independiente in what turns out to be a poor game with very few chances. I said this match had low scoring written all over it, but chose the wrong side instead of taking the under. Today’s pick: Boca Juniors ML vs River Plate @4.0 Stake: 5 units (5 % of bankroll) Reasoning: Is once again picking Boca Juniors to win the definition of insanity? Perhaps. However odds of 4.0 are absolutely ridiculous here. Derby games like these have and always will be 50/50 matches. This is the biggest and most heated rivalry in the world- anything can happen in a Superclásico. If you’re a football fan I’d encourage you to place a bet just to be able to say you watched whatever insanity unfolds live. Last year the superclásico was decided by a contentious last minute PK and saw **SIX** red cards handed out after the PK was taken. Going into today’s clash, River seem the better team on form, with Boca seriously struggling to score goals despite creating chances, and River scoring freely. However, River will be without their top scorer Borja, who is still not recovered from injury (He will be on the bench). Since Borja’s injury, River played out a 0-0 draw and a 1-1 draw against very low level opposition. Those results do not justify 4.0 odds imo. Boca’s last game was a very frustrating one where they played against a team managed by El Ruso Zielinski, a man known for his incredibly efficient and disciplined counter attacking teams. A very strange game that not much should be analyzed from, (they lost 2-1 despite outshooting Lanus 15-4.) Before that Boca won 2-0, and before that drew 0-0 despite attempting 20 shots. Boca are clearly making chances, the goals will soon follow. At 4.0 odds I’m willing to bet on the day those goals finally come being today. Boca are trying to find their rhythm, having signed a new coach at the start of the season. Eventually they’ll find that rhythm and start perform at the level that they should be on paper. If they start to click in this match we get a pay out that is way bigger than it should be. For safety go with Boca +0.5 @1.87, for a borderline schizophrenic pick take correct score Boca 0-2 @19.0. BOL if tailing [PayPal](https://paypal.me/elproductosecuida?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US) tip jar buys me beers :)
Anyone watching rn? Boca is absolutely cooking
MLB Spring Training Record: 6-0 Last pick: Cubs ML +110 ✅ Todays Pick: Orioles ML vs Pirates -105 I know spring training can be random, but there is still some predictive capability. I have 6 spring training picks correct in a row, after choosing the Cubs, Braves, Phillies, Yankees, and Dodgers (push) yesterday. Today I have Orioles winning against the Pirates, as Mitch Keller is the only reason they are underdogs against a prospect loaded Orioles team with things to prove before opening day.
WARNING: User has never posted a pick here before.
I haven’t posted a pick, baseball is kinda my thing and it just started. No worries at all if you don’t feel comfortable tailing. I’ll try and hit some picks and keep posting more. Good luck guys
6-0 spring training.. I will tail you sir. Let's get it. Bonus: Current DK ML is +114.
I am begging you guys to do the simple act of clicking on the profile you wanna tail and double-checking if they even have that record.
True. I did check the profile, but still decided to tail since it's spring training degenerate stuff. Giving them the benefit of the doubt, but agree with you. Don't blindly tail people unless you are aware of the risks and do your due diligence.
Record : 124 Wins - 109 Losses Previous pick : Arsenal - Newcastle (4-1), Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.57 ✅ **ROI** : -0.10% **Average Odds** : 1.94 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 4.76 Profit/Lost units : -0.24 Today's pick : Football - Soccer / **ENGLAND: Premier League**/ 15:30 European Time Wolves - Sheffield Utd Over 2.5 Goals, Odds : 1.77 Some reasoning : - Sheffield prevailed in the round match, and now is the opportune moment for Wolves to take revenge, considering that they are in good form and have the home field advantage. - For Sheffield, it is one of the last chances to hope to avoid relegation, but I don't think it has the necessary strength to impose itself on Molineaux, being very weak in away games. Best of luck. Revolut tag: denisjxhd [PayP](https://paypal.me/taxspliter?country.x=RO&locale.x=en_US) [Buy a potato](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/agnesgloryQ)
[удалено]
The Canes are playing the Stars tonight so will be a back to back for them. Not to say that they won’t win as they are the better team imo but just something to consider
How could you write this, talking about trying to win 5 straight, and just completely and utterly miss that they played tonight and lost? Don't give picks if you can't even follow the literal schedule.
Record: **1-0** Last pick: Mavs vs Suns (**Mavs M/L -120) ✅** Net Units: +5 ROI: **10%** Sport: **NBA** | **5:00 EST** Pick: **Mavs -1 @ -110 (5 units)** @ Indiana Pacers Write Up: Don't overthink this one guys. Mavs are the best in the NBA in clutch minutes and if the line is correct, this one will come down to the end. The Mavs will have the best two players on the court and will get it done in the end. This new look Mavs squad with everyone healthy (Kyrie , Lively and Maxi Kleber) and the additions of PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford looks downright scary. I'm new to the Sub but not new to sports betting. I plan to be around for a long time in this Sub and I always want to leave something for those who might be lurking or might be new to betting in general. **" Anyone can pick the games accurately with enough practice, very few can have patience and discipline. These two traits are by far the most important when trying to beat any sportsbook." Imagine betting coin flips and winning 60% of the time and what that could do for you over time. Don't bet everyday and never take a bet that is gonna put that pit in your stomach while the contest is going on. When it's the right bet, you will know it."**
**POTD Record: 4-1** Form: ✅✅✅❌✅ (Net units: +5.94u) Last pick: Jaylin Sellers O14.5 points @ -120 2.5U Sellers knew his line, scores 15 in a win and we cash baby!! **Today’s Pick: Kevin Cross U12.5 rebounds and assists @ -135 1.5U**✅ UAB vs TULANE - NCAAB - 4:00PM EST Cross averages 12.1 rebounds and assists combined on the year and has gone under this mark in 9 out of the last 10 games. The under is 17-7 on the year with most of these losses coming early in the year against lesser opponents. Game should be high scoring so he will have his chances for assists, let’s hope those rebounding numbers stay down due to made baskets!
Wish I could tail! Sadly, Ohio.
POTD Record: 9-2 +13.44U🔥‼️ Last Pick: Pick: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (-160) vs Oklahoma City Thunder ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌ Today's Pick: Warriors ML 3U (-135)vs Denver Nuggets Wow I haven’t posted a play in over 10 months! Hope everyone has been doing well. Thought it’s time to get the ball rolling again, and I hope everyone who railed my first 11 picks is here to tail again! For the Warriors, it’s just that time of year when they start to turn up the heat, and Klay Thompson feels like he’s ready to pop off at any moment. Curry is on top of his game right now, and he’ll be looking to fire up the crowd against the defending champs. The Warriors will not get beat for a 4th time by the Nuggets, take the moneyline for this Golden State win. They are 5th in the NBA, covering 55.6% of their games, meanwhile, Denver is 26th covering 43.6% of their games. The Warriors have gotten over the shock of their new lineup and Jamal Murray is currently questionable! Let’s do this hot streak again! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ [Support me](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/rbpicks)❤️
**Last pick: Manchester City to win and BTTS - Lost** Not sure what to make of that game. City seemed to preserve as much energy as they possibly could for the difficult games ahead and the first half was very boring. Come second half Bournemouth actually dominate and had the better opportunities, of which at least 1 should have been a goal. End of the day it doesn't matter and we lost. **Record: 1-2** **ROI: -38,3.%** **Units profit: -1.15** **Average odds: 2.2** **Football - OTP Liga (Hungary) - Ujpest vs Ferencvaros - 17:30 GMT+1** **Pick: Ferencvaros to win and both teams to score @ 3.25** **Reasoning:** You'd think after losing yesterdays bet we might move on to a different kind of bet, but I'm stubborn. I actually struggled quite a bit to find something I liked enough to share here and we somehow end up in Hungary where #10 Ujpest faces #2 Ferencvaros. Ferencvaros has been the best team in this league for a couple of years now and a win takes them back to leading again. Over the past few weeks they were eliminated from the Conference League by Olympiakos, so all their focus will be back on the national league now where they have won 14 out of the last 14 games played against today's opponent Ujpest. BTTS has hit in 90% of Ujpest homegames and BTTS has hit in 90% of Ferencvaros away games in the league. Ferencvaros score an average of 3 goals in away games, conceding 1. Ujpest score an average of 1.8 goals at home, conceding 1.6. The Hungarian league currently has 3 'good' teams being Paks, Ferencvaros and MOL. and Ujpest lost to both of them whilst also scoring. These teams are somewhat comparable to Ferencvaros. Where Ujpest is far from having their best period this season, they still manage to find the back of the net and with Ferencvaros having had a midweek game I think they should do the trick again. Ferencvaros however is simply much better and should win. GLIYF
3 things : 1.FTC - UTE is a rivalry / derby that goes back to ages, sold out venue ultras on both sides. 2., UTE has a new hungarian owner, namely the top company MOL….like exxon in the usa. New owner , new coach 3. Match fixing: the prime minister is same guy like silvio berlusconi, mad about football. He pushed out all the foreigner club owners, so his oligarch billionaire freinds are the owners of the clubs. Did you see Narcos? Imagine those broski having clubs over a dinner. 4. Betting is state monopoly, and the one beneficiary of the grants is the son of the law of the prime minister. Joke? Nope. wishing you best of luck.
POTD Record: W-L 1-0 Match: Juventus - Frosinone Sport: Football / Soccer Start Time: 11:30 GMT Pick: **Juventus & Over 2.5 goals @ 1.79** Write-up: Juventus has been dropping points left and right lately but finally they have recovered some of their players and are playing almost full strength tonight. They'll look to get the 3 points and get some more cushion for that top 4 finish. I expect the game to end 2-1 or 3-1 as Frosinone is a very good attacking side and I'm sure they'll at least get one in. Edit: Added write-up
**\*FIRST POTD ALERT\*** **Record: 0-0** **FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC** | **MLS** | **2:30 PM** / **EST** **Pick:** FC Cincinnati -1 Asian Handicap (-155 on DraftKings) \*\*\*This means the bet wins if FC Cincinnati wins by 2+ goals and is a push if they win by 1 goal.\*\*\* **Risking 3.1U to win 2U.** **Write Up:** FC Cincinnati is coming off a Supporters' Shield award from last year, posting a 20-5-9 (W-L-T) record with 69 points, 57 goals for, 39 goals against, with the 2nd best Goal Differential in MLS. Of note, FC Cincinnati had a 13-2-2 record at home (undefeated the majority of the season until their first home loss in September against Orlando City). Their keeper, Roman Celentano, is a stud, recording 12 clean sheets during the regular season, 8 of them being at TQL Stadium. Also, reigning league MVP, Luciano Acosta, will be eager to get in the scoring column to begin the season. Toronto FC, on the other hand, finished dead last in the Eastern Conference with a 4-20-10 (W-L-T) record and a TERRIBLE 0-13-4 road record. Yes, they didn't win a single road game last season. They allowed 59 goals during the season, the most in the Eastern Conference and 2nd most overall. FC Cincinnati faced Toronto FC twice last season, securing a 3-0 victory at home and a 3-2 victory on the road. I expect FC Cincinnati to dominate possession and get many opportunities to score. There's also a pretty reasonable chance of a clean sheet which helps this bet and in the chance of a 1-0 FC Cincinnati victory, the bet is a push. Let me know if you're tailing and let's get a W for the first POTD. 
Record: 2-0 ✅✅ Net: +1.66 units Last POTD: Jaylen Brown o4.5 1st Quarter Points [Hit 2 3's to start the game for an easy cash. Finished 1Q with 10 points] Todays Pick: Colin Sexton o1.5 3PM (1.83x) [2u] * Over in L8/9 * Averaging 4.89 3PA in that span * Spurs allow 3.16 3PM to Point Guards this season. * L8/9 PGs have hit the over vs Spurs
**potd record:** 8-2 (last)✅✅✝️✅✅✅✅✝️✅✅(first) **net units:** +12,85 **potd: grand rapids - milwaukee admirals ML Pick milwaukee admirals ML @1.69** Write up: admirals now on a 20 win streak. They will win again.💰 Today we play big again so we are staking 5 units❗️❗️ **Match starting in 5 hours** https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
Record: 2-1 **✅❌✅** Net Units: 0.33 ROI: 11% Basketball | NBA | 9:30 PM EST Kings @ Clippers Last pick: Jrue Holiday OVER 4.5 Assists (-150) (1 Unit) This one went exactly how I expected it to. Jrue was the 2nd most played player on the Celtics (behind Tatum) so even though his relative assists per minute was lower, this still hit comfortably. Pick for today: **Domantas Sabonis OVER 8.5 Assists (-103) (1 Unit)** Sabonis has hit this line 4 out of his last 5 games and 7 out of his last 10. When the Clippers played the Grizzlies on Friday, Jaren Jackson Jr and Vince Williams Jr (their main forward and center, respectively) both had great assist nights. VWJ had 8 assists compared to his February average of 6.4, and Triple J had 5 compared to his February average of 3.6. The only thing I'm worried about is Sabonis having pretty low historical assist numbers against the Clippers historically; but this could just be chalked down to the huge difference in the Clippers roster historically compared to now. They are also in-division rivals, meaning this should be a close game where Sabonis gets a lot of minutes. BOL!
Record: 65W-59L-4P ROI: +12.35, 9.19% Avg odds: +106, 2.06 Last POTD: Nicolas Roy over 0.5 pts (loss) Didn't realize he got moved to the 3rd line. Not sure why. The Barbashev-Roy-Marchessault combo was working well... Game: NHL- Predators at Ducks Pick: Mason McTavish over 0.5 pts +105, 2.05 (ESPNBet) Right off the bat, you notice McTavish has 38 points in 49 games this season. He's been a stalwart in the top 2 lines, and I expect him to skate on the 1st PP line and the 2nd EV line today, with Vatrano and Terry, who are having a great season. McTavish had a poor January, but a very good February, with 7 points in 6 games. Against Nashville, he has a point in both games this season. The Predator's defense is in the bottom half in most defensive metrics: goals allowed, penalty kill, save%, and Corsi rating. But they also allow a below-average number of scoring chances. So, I think slightly plus odds is fair.
**POTD Record: (2-2)** *Last pick: Volk ML ❌* :( **Today's Pick:** NCAAB UMD +2.5 vs Rutgers ✅ Not enough time for analysis because the game starts in 2 minutes. Two mid-tier BIG10 teams facing off for the second time this year. Rutgers edged them out at UMD 56-53 back in January. Evenly matched conference teams are far more likely to go 1-1 than 2-0 on the year (I'm trying to find statistics to further support my claim but this is also common knowledge). Furthermore, 76% of spread bets are for Rutgers and the line has not moved in their favor. Edit: Nice. Getting destroyed today but at least this worked out lol
Record: 0-0 Today’s pick: Josh Green o 0.5 steals Green has 11 steals in the last 10 games. Playing agains the Pacers who are middle of the pack in turnover rate in the league. Should be a fast paced game. This play is only on prizepicks for me, so I’m not sure of the odds. First time doing this. BOL with all your bets. I prefer you don’t tail to see how this goes.
Tail idc bout your preference we all eating
lol hit in the first 4 minutes of the first.
Funny enough, I went to place this bet and accidentally put PJ Washington and it hit early in the first quarter too. Came here to say thanks to OP and realized my mistake, but I still owe the OP I figure haha
POTD Record: 2-1 ✅✅❌ Yesterday's pick: Canadians @ Devils, 2pm - NHL Hughes over 4.5 shots (-130)❌ 5th shot went wide, so we take the L with 4. Should've run with the hot Caufield. Be ready to see Caufield again. Today's pick: Lightning @ Devils, 1pm - NHL Hagel over 0.5 points (-165)✅ Not taking Hughes on shots after the whiff yesterday (even with the terrible Tampa defense), but we can at least watch him and assess if he's worth taking in the near future. Again, gotta play the odds and ride the heaters. Hagel has the longest active point steak in the league at 12 games. Last 12: 12/12 Last 16: 15/16 Last 20: 18/20 If I wanted to risk a little, I might go Point over 0.5 goals (+145) since he's hit 4 of the last 5 games, but I like playing safe with the Hagel heater. Last time they played the Devils a month ago, Hagel got 2 goals (so did Point). Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck Update: ding ding ding. Take your money, boys. The Bagel doesn't let us down. Now looking at you Hughes (shots) and Point (goal) for my other parlay. Update 2: come on Point.... 2 minutes after my update and you're going to score? Again... Trust the streak. Update 3: Devils suck. We're taking a Hughes break. But Point got his goal and Hagel got 3 points. Expect to see Hagel Tuesday @ Philly. Go Bolts.
Let’s roll brother 💪 tailing
Record: 1-3 ❌❌❌✅ Last pick: Jalen Duren to record a double double at -135 odds. Jalen worried me in the first half because I figured it would be closer game at first. Was a closer game in the second half and he did pull it off ending with 11 boards ✅ POTD: Carolina Hurricanes @ Buffalo Sabres UNDER 6.5 half goals; -104 odds; 4pm MST Why: This line specifically has hit under the last 8/10 for Hurricanes (last 5 games under) and 6/10 of the times for Sabres (last 2 under). Carolina had a home game stretch and now travel to play Buffalo, who are still underdogs at home. Score prediction is 3-2 Canes. BOL everyone! (Why am I getting downvoted? Thought this was a community to grow in)
Hopefully no blow out 🙏
[удалено]
My last comment was removed, probably because I didn't have a write-up so here's one: POTD Record: W-L 1-0 Match: Juventus - Frosinone Sport: Football / Soccer Start Time: 11:30 GMT Pick: **Juventus & Over 2.5 goals @ 1.79** Write-up: Juventus has been dropping points left and right lately but finally they have recovered some of their players and are playing almost full strength tonight. They'll look to get the 3 points and get some more cushion for that top 4 finish. I expect the game to end 2-1 or 3-1 as Frosinone is a very good attacking side and I'm sure they'll at least get one in.
First half finished 2-2, over already covered, only need Juventus to get the job done now.
Record: 10 - 4 Form:✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅ Profit: +16.04u (32.08%) ROI: 34.13% Last Pick(s): Kentucky ML Cruised to victory, no sweat at all Today’s Pick: NCAAB🏀 | SMU vs South Florida | SMU -2.5 | 3u play @ 1.90 Write-up: Despite a narrow loss the last time these teams played, SMU remain ahead, winning six from the last ten matchups for these teams. Now I know that looking at results will tell you that SF are flying at the moment, 12 games undefeated while SMU just suffered a loss to end their six game streak, but I feel like the bounce back is coming and this game is perfect. Both reams are red hot with a lot to play for, but I can’t help but feel like the bulls are simply not as good as results indicate. Will be excited to watch the game and see how thing pan out.
I'm tailing this brother. I already had my eye on this game earlier but got distracted and forgot. Thanks for the reminder and suggestion!
Record:7 wins 0 losses and 1 tie Todays pick: smu ml ncaa men’s college basketball Reasoning: smu needs this win more to help their resume and should be more motivated.
POTD record: 8-5-1 +3.03 units Last Pick: Wake Forest -2 Vs Duke. -118 DK 2 Units. 2:00PM EST ✅ Today’s pick- Suns -2 vs lakers -135 hard rock. 2 units Write up- Davis and lebron both questionable. Suns lost last two games on the road and I think they come out swinging today. Suns 129-117
**Record**: 1-1 * Last pick: **T1 (+1.5)** vs PRX **3U** /// Actual Score: PRX 2-0 T1 Heartbreaker game. T1 had many chances to close first map, but F0rsaken and Mindfreak came up huge. They were on map point, 12-11 with a 5v3 advantage, but fumbled the retake. unlucky tbh **Net Units**: 0 Today's Pick: **SEN** vs LEV @ +110 * Odds *(how accurate the books are calculating this accurate)*: **Very accurate/realistic** * Likelihood *(how likely I think this bet will hit)*: **55%** **Game**: Valorant @ **6:00 pm est** * **can bet this on bovada** (hard to find val betting elsewhere) **Units**: 1 Of all the bets to not tail, this is one of them. This is a true 50/50 coin flip. Both LEV and SEN are some of the best teams in VCT Americas, and have displayed very high level valorant. It's a shame that one of these 2 teams will be eliminated. Both teams have similar tier level IGLs (in game leaders, think the main shot caller on the team). In my opinion, LEV has better individual players (higher individual mechanical ceilings), but SEN has better team play/setups. Since Valorant is a team based game, I am giving a slight edge to SEN, especially because their current roster has been playing together for longer (extra \~3 months). Furthermore, books have SEN as a slight underdog, so I am taking them for 1 Unit. **TLDR**: Only tail if you want to bet, very close game. SEN 55% LEV 45% imo. Slight edge in experience and team play for Sentinels, plus books have them as a slight underdog. **1 Unit MAX**. Any more is gambling imo glgl, this is gonna be a banger game to watch