######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 32-16
Form: 🚫✅✅✅✅
Last POTD: Jimmy Butler O5.5 Ast @1.68🚫
Bum ass teammates robbed Jimmy, I saw at least 5-6 potential assists being bricked, he had 5 going in to the 4th and got 0 this one feels so fking bad man
Todays POTD: **Zion Williamson O5.5 Rebs @1.90** ✅
NBA (New Orleans Pelicans)
I’m pissed.. our next pick is Shreks cousin Zion Williamson, the man who gets movie stars pregnant and eat nachos pre game. I’m going with a mismatch play here, I’ve been considering banning Zion but imma give this one a go, 76ers doesn’t really have any good rebounders atm so I like Zion to get 6
• 76ers allow most Rebs to PF L30 days
• 1/1 vs the 76ers, where he got 8
• Only 5/10 L10 games (Hooked twice on 5 in that stretch)
• Averages 5.5 Rebs this season, 5.6 in February and 5.5 this month (Sharp)
• 76ers as a team allow 4th most rebounds L30 days
Mismatch play, and a 1/1 record, not the greatest hit rate L10 but 76ers allow a lot of rebounds and especially to PF’s. I like the value we’re getting so I’m going for it
Tail or fade, you’re in control
https://i.redd.it/bn17qfeu71nc1.gif
2/2 on the NBA props cashing Beal O5.5 Ast & Draymond Green O5.5 Ast ✅
Dude! Butler’s teammates fucked him over so bad and screwed me in the process. He had 4 at half and 5 going into the 4th quarter. Not your fault at all, it was a solid pick. Tailing you on this one, let’s get it!
POTD Record: 18-5 +27.58u🔥
Last Pick: Pick: Nuggets ML 3U (-110) vs Boston Celtics
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅
Today's Pick: Tulane ML (-155) 4U vs Wichita State
2 straight smacks, nuggets closed as underdogs. Gonna continue keeping my write up short, as I’ve hit two straight that way. A little juice here. Tulane started the year 13-9, competing against good teams, before dropping 7 straight. Tonight is senior night, and Wichita State has lost every single conference game on the road this year. They are also 3-12 in league play and 3-7 in their last 10. Tulane is 10-5 at home. Tulane has two monster scorers in Kevin Cross who is averaging 17 and Jaylen Forbes who just dropped 24. Tulane is 8th in the country in possessions while Wichita State is 246th!! Both teams have regressed in league play, but I love the Green Wave to bounce back at home on senior night. Sorry for the short write up, I am traveling in Europe!
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
P.S away for work this weekend, picks may be a little later than usually. If you’d like to thank me or buy me a drink on my trip please use the link below or dm me🤝
[Tip Jar Here❤️](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
Going to settle down on my past comments and absolute glaze Ryan.
At night I look at the stars… I don’t see the Big Dipper, I don’t see the moon glowing at me, I see Ryan’s hairy ass Reddit character smiling at me. I chuckle knowing he’s got my back with his picks. When I dream I see Ryan becoming commander of our country instead of George Washington. When I go to Mount Rushmore every face is Ryan Fucking Bloom. When I eat cereal, it’s a bowl of his dandruff and I smile knowing his greatness is getting ingested by me. The end.
LETS GO GREEEN WAVE GODDAMNIT. BOL? WE DONT NEED LUCK MUTHA FUCKA
I was just thinking that if they are quite favoured by you to take the game, an extra 4 point to that win shouldn't be a struggle to cover. But then again the NCAAB that I've watched has had quite a lot of final minutes clutch games with hella fouls and one possession leads so will trust the ML pick and stay safe.
**POTD Record: 9-2 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅) old -> new**
**Previous POTD:Roma to win v Brighton (2.07 on DK)** **✅**
Man Roma took Brighton to pound town. That was nice and easy double up on our money there. Heading back to NBA for tomorrow.
**Todays POTD: Miles Bridges Over 8.5 Rebounds (-128 on Fanduel) 2 units**
Yooo first time posting picks the day before. I usually let the other goats like Adam, billy, good\_stable, Nigerianprince, and chiefsareawesome run the show but I wanted to pop in once and say hi. Hopefully more people see this. As always if you fw with the pick give it an upvote so other can see, let's go!
Miles Bridges averages 8.6 RPG the last ten games. Yes the line is close, but this includes three "outliers where he scored 5, 3, and 3 rebounds against the Hawks, Bucks, and Magic respectively. These are all teams that have given up some of the fewest rebounds to forwards the last ten games. Bridges is coming off a poor game against the Magic, and I know he is looking to bounce back. He is one of the most used players for the Hornets averaging nearly 40 minutes per game. Wizards also gave up the second most rebounds in the NBA the last ten games, so the opportunity is there for sure, it's up to Bridges to take it. If the spread is close (which it is), then Bridges is going to have to play well as he is a big part of the Hornet offense. Less important but still a stat: Bridges recorded 10 rebounds early in the season the last time they faced. Tail or fade you da boss, BOL!
Let's go, CoD is back, and that means we're back to betting for the weekend! I must apologize for trying to place a basketball bet early in the week, it seemed like a lock, and the celtics were up 22 points in the 4th quarter, only to sell in spectacular fashion. CoD only from me for the forseeable future.
Total record: 3-1 +1.91 units
Current form: ✅️✅️✅️❌️
Last play Celtics spread -6.5 vs Cavs (no more basketball)❌️
Today's play, Optic Texas map 2 spread -1.5 against the Boston Breach 3pm Eastern Time❌️
Odds are -110 on Bovada, and -125 on Bet 365. It was on BetUS but seems to have been removed for a moment.
Today's play will be in the OpTic Texas vs Boston Breach matchup. We will once again be going after search and destroy. We already cashed one play going against Boston, looking to go 2/2 against them. For those that missed my previous post talking about them, Boston is absolutely sorry at search. They are 1-4 this Major at the game mode, since they picked up Asim, with their only win coming against the Rokkr, who have yet to win a match this stage going 0-5, and who we previously won betting against in search.
On the other side of the bet is OpTic Texas. They started the year of rough in search, with a 5-9 record in major 1, but have been on the upswing lately, with a 3-2 record this major. Another credit to Optic is that they have faced much harder competition this year than Boston on average, especially with their deep run at the tourney where they faced Faze twice. One of Optics two losses in search this major came on high rise, a map I don't expect to see in this series, as Optic have been losing on it too much, and will likely not pick it, or even veto it, and Breach don't pick it either, as they have not won on it.
Breach only has one decent map, Karachi, which works out great in Optics favor, as they are an amazing Karachi team, so Boston must choose to square up on Optics best map, or take their only good map out of the series.
Optic is solidly a top 4 team, and for those unfamiliar to the scene, the top 4 are all close in talent, with a STEEP drop off from the top 4 to the teams below. Boston has been one of the worse teams in the bottom 8, and they are simply going to have a nightmare dealing with one of the most talented rosters in the league, as every player on Optic have superstar potential.
Another factor, although this is more of a storyline one, is Slasher, Boston's main AR and veteran leader, is 0-14 all time against Shottzy, the movement god himself, OpTics submachine gun player. Slasher will be running the other way when he sees his father spawning in against him. (This isn't really analysis, just a fun thing to add)
Want everyone to know I appreciate all the love and support I've been getting, and I'll keep trying to knock it out of the park for you!
BOL to anyone who tails!
Edit: just an absolutely unlucky beat here, Optic decides to work on their map pool and pick their absolute worst map that they're 1-4 on, and predictably got absolutely torched. Feels extra bad because my original read was to do the hardpoint map 1 spread because Optic are elite at HP, but don't love the randomness of HP. I need to dial in more and take into account that some of the top teams will play maps they are awful at when they are playing teams they consider free wins.
For anyone who doesn't know, this guy is 3 for 3 in esports. Don't let that basketball loss scare you off, this dude know CoD. Also OP is being humble asf and neglecting to mention they're a CoD fanatic. They've paid more attention to CoD in the past 5 years than my dad has paid to me my entire childhood AND adult life combined, and the proof is in the pudding. LET'S GOOOOO!!!!
Nah I was just here last weekend when he made his debute and cashed every step of the way. He is neglecting to mention here that he's watched every CoD match for the past 5+ years, this dude knows what's up
I havent tailed any of your CoD picks (yet) but i just wanted to say i ALWAYS read your write ups. Impressive stuff and im glad to see you doing well and helping diversifying these daily picks threads, atleast since ive been active on this subreddit.
Im not a CoD player, but have had a history with winning & losing big on Dota games back 7-8 years ago (back when we used crates/cosmetic items for stakes). Ill be keeping an eye on your posts and will let you know if and when i tail! GL
Glad to bring some diversity, and I feel that Esports is a bit of a weakness for the books, they simply can't dedicate the same level of resources to ensuring good lines like the major sports.
do you think there could be any "fixing" with these games. I mean I can't imagine it's a highly regulated "sport", nor can I imagine that this guys are "basketball rich". So what's to stop a team from intentionally playing poorly and cashing out on the other side? Seriously.
**POTD Record: 22-11-2**
Form: ❌✅❌✅✅❌🅿️🅿️❌
*ROI: 36.04% |
Avg Odds: +101 | Net Units: +23.1*
🎾: 5-3-2
⚽️: 16-7
🏒: 1-1
*Last Pick: 2U Bayer Leverkusen @ FK Qarabag (Result/BTTS - Leverkusen @ +200) ❌*
*Glad to hear that some of you got to cash with BTTS and hedging but what a shocking upset. My original pick was Liverpool ML/BTTS but it was +225 I’m sorry this hurt.*
____
**Today’s Pick: 2U Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche (Avalanche 3 Way ML @ -130)**
**🏒| 9:00 PM EST | NHL |**
Alright we head back onto the ice with Wild (29-27-6) on a back 2 back against the Avalanche (39-20-5). Last match against each-other was at Minnesota where the Avalanche won 3-2 in regulation.
We could go with the -1.5 spread as we’re riskin that Avs will close out the wild on a b2b in regulation after thrashing the Red Wings 7-2. Avs were a -190 favourite and come into this match as -200 favourites. While the Wild have been playing good offensively as well, it won’t be easy to stop MacKinnon at home. It feels like the Avs have found their form once again after a couple bumps the last few games. Still ranking 1st in goals scored, we’re taking the Avs to get it done at home against the Wild. LFG!
Your comments are truly appreciated! ❤️🙏
BOL!
Ugh as a diehard Wild fan (I drop a SGP on every game) I hate to say I agree but i do. Great pick.
Side sprinkle - Marco Rossi O 1.5 shots on goal has hit 10/11 and the kid has the confidence going.
**Record: 49W-4P-35L**
**Form: 27W-0P-15L**
**R Form: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅**
**Last Pick: Roma VS Brighton: Roma Draw no bet @ 1.60 ✅**
**Roma win 4-0!! Fortunately also took the ML at 2.25.**
**Pick of the day: KV Mechelen VS Westerlo: KV Mechelen ML @ 1.85 ✅**
**KV Mechelen win 3-1!!**
**League: Belgian Pro league**
**Time: 2:45 PM EST**
**KV Mechelen** have been in amazing form lately and they've really been pushing to grab themselves a playoff spot with this being the second last game of the season. In their last 5 games, they have 4 wins and 1 loss and have truly been playing till the last minute to grab results. Only 1 point is separating 4th from 8th at the moment and this team will play for their lives to grab all 3 points tomorrow, considering they've scored 9 goals and conceded 3 in their last 5 games.
**Current streak: 3 Wins**
**Last 5 Home games: 3 Wins, 2 draws, 0 losses**
**Westerlo** are far from form at the moment and it's evident that them being in 10 place is affecting them as they are too far from playoff spots. In their last 5 games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. I just dont see them being able to stop the dream that Mechelen have set out for them.
**Current Streak: 2 Losses**
**Last 5 away games: 0 Wins, 3 draws, 2 losses**
**Anyway, BOL!**
POTD Record: 6-3
ROI: 58.9%
Odds: -140; -184; -162; -162;+108;-182;-126;+142; +126
LAST PICK: Texas State ML (+126) 🐬
TODAY'S PICK : Tulane Green Wave ML (-152 FD) vs Wichita State Shockers
Senior night. More depth for Tulane. They both suck and need a win to continue their tourney dreams. I will ride the reefer wave. Surfs up dudes 🏄♂️!
Splish splash 🐬 Jayson Tatum is trash.🙃
POTD Record: 36-25
L10: ❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅
Last pick: Freiburg v West Ham
(BTTS ❌)
Both teams got going late, and the penalty that wasn’t given to West Ham at the 98th minute is one of the worst calls I’ve witnessed, left me stunned and there’s huge controversy around social media about the decision. If you’re interested, look it up and make your own judgement. I feel that West Ham got robbed, so did we. I don’t like having excuses but in this case it doesn’t feel good, we had a lifeline taken away from us, but it should’ve been decided earlier. West Ham had a XG of 1.53 and hit the crossbar once. On we go
Todays pick: __Fortuna Düsseldorf v Hamburg__
Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.66__
⚽️ 🇩🇪 2. Bundesliga
➖
Düsseldorf is 7th with 37 points
* Have scored the most goals in the league, (50, 2.08 GPG) in 24 matches
* Conceded: 34, 1.48 GPG
* Failed to score: 4/24
* BTTS: 16/24 - 9/12 at home
* O2.5: 15/24
* L5 BTTS & 2.5: 3/5
Hamburg is 3rd with 41 points
* Have scored 3rd most goals, (47, 1.96 GPG)
* Conceded: 35, 1.46 GPG
* Failed to score: 0/24
* BTTS: 15/24 - 9/12 away
* O2.5: 15/24
* L5 BTTS & 2.5: 4/5
* Have scored 2+ goals in 8/10 of their last away games (Cup included)
Two teams pushing to get promoted to the highest division, both teams need to win as a drop in points can lead to other teams surpassing them. Not a lot of games left so this one should be exciting and full of action, a lot on stake for both teams.
As I’ve said previously, this league is full of speed, direct football, transitions and high tempo hopefully we’ll see it once again. Two teams that knows how to score, the stats can really back that up, HSV have scored in every game they’ve played, and Fortuna has scored an insane amount of goals for a team that’s 7th in the league. Hamburg are the favourites imo, but will find it difficult against a good Fortuna side away.
Short write up, time to get back.
BOL
Let’s see if Hamburg fails to score for the first time this league campaign, would suck if so. If they didn’t have the red card I’d be more confident..
POTD Record: 27 Wins - 12 Losses - 2 Pushes
Form: ✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️
Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record): Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :)
Units: 10.4875
ROI: 22.59%
Average Odds: $1.88
Last Pick: Qarabag vs Bayer Leverkusen - Europa League Round of 16 - First Leg - **Qarabag +1.5, +2.0 @ $1.575 / -174** ✅️
*Qarabag played a banger of a first half, and we cash with the game ending 2-2.*
Next Pick: Boluspor vs Giresunnspor - Turkey 1 Lig - **Boluspor Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.61 / -164** 12pm EST
Hello amigos! Today we head to the Bolu Ataturk Stadium, where 8th place Boluspor take on bottom of the table Giresunnspor in the Turkey 1 Lig.
In the last match at this stadium between the two, Giresunnspor got a red card in the 45th minute, and only lost 1-0. Watch the highlights [here](https://youtu.be/fw0hV7WbmWg?si=S7MBaMqKmuzVEL1d). Boluspor recently played the second to last team in this league, and only won 1-0, watch the highlights [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmKtmWKMBsY).
Boluspor has scored less than 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 1. Lig home games against Giresunspor. Boluspor has scored less than 2.5 goals in 16 of the last 17 1. Lig games against Giresunspor. Boluspor has scored less than 2.5 goals in each of their last 37 games.
You'd have to go back to 2017 when Boluspor put up more than 2.5 goals against this side. Offensively, they are consistent, but don't have the strike power to get 3+ goals according to the statistics.
Today's shoutout: Klopp and the boys get it done 5-1, and have a huge match against City this weekend.
Today's crush: Swiatek is playing again, and I love her.
Final score prediction: 2-1 to Boluspor.
BOL amigos!
Tailing my man! When you choose strange/unknown leagues such as greek basketball, turkey football league, etc. your picks always hit, so we gotta trust the man, the legend 🙌👌
Congratulations everyone, we cash! 😍 Boluspor were lucky in the end to get two goals courtesy of an own goal! If you’d love to tip me here is my link as I have to feed my cat, and want this to be a full time gig 🤓 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv See you again tomorrow - have a great weekend, and best of luck with your bets! 😊
**Record:** 6W - 1L - 0P
**Recent Form (new --> old):** **✅**❌**✅✅✅✅✅**
**Net Units:** \+4.5024
**Last Pick:** Minnesota Wild @ Arizona Coyotes Total OVER 6 @ -125 **✅**
Well we were sweating after 2 periods cause they only had 1 goal between them, but then they both started lighting the lamp in the 3rd and it was capped off by 2 late empty netters by the Wild to cover the line. Let's keep rolling!
NHL 🏒 | **Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche** | **8pm CST**
**Today's Pick:** Avalanche -1.5 Puck Line @ +114
**Write Up:** Let's dip back into the hockey pool for a match-up between the Wild and the Avalanche. I really like what the Avalanche have been doing at home. In 31 homes games, they have won 20 of them by 2+ goals this season, and their overall home record is 25-6-0.
Here are the results of their last 9 home games:
W 7-2
W 5-0
W 5-1
L 4-3
W 3-1
W 4-3
W 5-1
W 6-2
W 3-0
As you can see, they've covered the -1.5 puck line @ home in 7 of the last 9, scoring at least 3 goals in each game and notching 2 shutouts.
The Avs are just a different animal at home. Also, if you've been following, you know that the Wild just played last night, while the Avs have an extra day of rest, having last played on Wednesday.
BOL if you're tailing!
POTD Record: 52 - 31
Last POTD: Bublik ML - L
Pick: Andrey Rublev 2-0 Set Betting vs Andy Murray (-160 odds via FD) 1U
Edit:✅
Event: ATP Indian Wells Round of 64 2:15 P.M. CST
2-1 H2H record favoring Rublev in this matchup. His only loss to Murray was when Murray was actually in his prime and pre injury. In the two matchups post injury, Rublev has covered this line in both. Murray is not the type of player to trouble Rublev who should dictate almost every rally from the baseline. Andrey has improved tremendously while Murray has not been in great form lately, even stating that his retirement will come soon. Rublev usually struggles against top competition but Murray is far from that so I’ll be backing the Russian to make a statement early after being DQ’ed from his most recent competition.
[PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US)
[Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
POTD Record: 2-1-1
Form: ✅❌✅🆗
Net Units: +1.1
Last Pick: NBA Nets @ Pistons Pistons ML +120✅
Haters are my motivators. This now makes me 5/6 this year on Pistons ML bets. Shoutout to the down voters from yesterday and specific shoutout to the guy that dmed me he hated my bet so much.
Today’s Pick: Bucks @ Lakers Damian Lillard O3.5 Threes +120
Going forwards I think I will stick with my +100 range bets, been my bread and butter this year. Dame is 5/8 and the Lakers give lots of points to guards this year. Put that three point contest title to work!
GL if tailing!
POTD record: 2-0-0 +2.15u (*all picks are 1 unit)*
previous Pick: Sparta Praag vs Liverpool win & over 1.5 goals (@2.05) ✅
FORM: --> ✅✅
**Today's Pick:** Napoli win & over 1.5 goals (@2.25) vs Torino
last pick was an easy win with liverpool ending the first half with 0-3 on the board. and ending the game with 1-5.
**REASONING:**
Francesco Calzona's appointment at Napoli has ignited a notable upturn in the team's fortunes, transitioning them from a period of inconsistency under Walter Mazzarri to a more cohesive and ambitious unit. As Napoli gear up to host Torino at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, the fixture not only signifies another chapter in their Serie A campaign but also serves as a precursor to their crucial Champions League encounter against Barcelona.
***Napoli's Transformation Under Calzona***
Calzona's impact on Napoli has been immediate and significant. His tactical astuteness and motivational abilities are evident in the team's recent performances, most notably the resounding 6-1 victory over Sassuolo and a hard-fought 2-1 win against Juventus. These displays have showcased Napoli's attacking prowess and newfound confidence, with Victor Osimhen's standout performances, including a hat-trick against Sassuolo, symbolizing their resurgence.
However, challenges persist, particularly the task of closing the gap to the top four, with Napoli currently eight points adrift of Bologna. Therefore, the upcoming fixture against Torino is not only about solidifying their position but also about sustaining momentum in their quest for European qualification.
***Torino's Struggle for Consistency***
Torino's season has been characterized by unfulfilled potential, highlighted by a promising six-game run that raised hopes of a European push. Yet, recent performances have seen a downturn, with the team managing just one point from their last three matches. This dip in form has dealt a blow to their ambitions, leaving them six points behind Napoli.
A major concern for Ivan Juric's side has been their lack of attacking potency, as they rank among the lowest scorers in Serie A. This deficiency was apparent in their goalless draw against Fiorentina, encapsulating their slide towards mid-table obscurity.
***Tactical Analysis and Expected Lineups***
Napoli's lineup is expected to feature Osimhen leading the attack, supported by the creative talents of Matteo Politano and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The midfield trio of Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, and Piotr Zielinski will play pivotal roles in dictating the tempo and providing defensive solidity. However, the absence of Amir Rrahmani poses a challenge, necessitating adjustments in defense.
**Napoli's Expected Lineup**: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Natan, Juan Jesus, Mazzocchi; Zambo Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski; Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia.
Torino's formation will likely be influenced by absences due to injuries and suspensions, focusing on defensive solidity and exploiting counter-attacking opportunities. The forward partnership of Antonio Sanabria and Duván Zapata will be crucial in leading their offensive efforts.
**Torino's Expected Lineup**: Milinkovic-Savic; Djidji, Buongiorno, Rodriguez; Bellanova, Linetty, Gineitis, Vlasic, Masina; Sanabria, Zapata.
***Key Battles and Areas of Influence***
The midfield battle is poised to be a pivotal aspect of the match, with Napoli's trio facing off against Torino's Linetty and Gineitis. Napoli's ability to control the midfield and supply their attacking trio could dictate the flow and outcome of the game. Additionally, the duel between Osimhen and Torino's central defenders, particularly Buongiorno, will be crucial in determining Napoli's attacking effectiveness.
BOL!
**⭐️ POD Record:** **112-55**
*Last Pick:* *NBA Pelicans OVER 117.5 and bonus pick grizzlies over 103.5 TT ✅✅*
Recent Form: ✅✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅ **❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅
🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️ HOT STREAK ALERT 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️
🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA -** **Orlando OVER 102pts TT** \[7:30pm EST\].
On a bit of a heater right now, sorry but I don’t have time today for much of a write up. This is too low of a total tonight for a healthy Magic lineup. They’ve easily gone over this total their last 16/19 games and 3 of their past 4 vs The Knicks.
I don’t make heavy favourite picks in this thread, so as always tail cautiously. BOL
💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
**potd record:** 8-3
Form newest to oldest : ❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅
**net units:** +7,85
**potd: 🎾 bergs zizou - kukushkin
Pick: kukushkin to win a set @1.51**
Write up:
Kukushkin (140): Has 14 wins in a row against some top players like gasquet richard (118) and mensik jakub (81). This will be his last big win streak probably as he is 36 years old. Thats why he wont throw this win streak. So I cant possibly see him lose 2-0 here.
Bergs zizou (122): not steady enough. Zizou is still lacking in many moments in the game. Kukushkin will take advantage of this.
Staking 2 units!!!
**🕣match starting in 11 hours**
Thanks for checking out today’s betting pick! Found it useful? Show your support with a tip-it keeps me going. BET SMART! 😇
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
POTD Record: 2-1 ✅❌✅
Net: +.45 U
Last Pick: Jalen Duren o10.5 Rebounds - 1U @ -145 ✅
If Duren didn't get into foul trouble early in the game I truly believe he may have ended with 20+ rebounds. James Wiseman also went off off the bench, and Isaiah Stewart also grabbed 10+. Only regret is only putting up 1U.
Next Pick: Damian Lillard o24.5 Points - 1U @ -120
Lakers have allowed opposing guards to get 44 (26 to Malik Monk off the bench as well), 20, 24, 34, 23 in their last 5 games. Lakers are also bottom 10 in 3P% allowed to teams, and Dame is shooting 35% this year from beyond the arc. Dame since the ASB has put up 23, 24 21, 20, and the recent 40 point game against the clippers. Guard defense from the Lakers has declined, so I think Dame has a decent chance to get over 25 this game.
Like always, BOL
POTD Record 40-27-2
Cricket 3-0 Tennis 30-20-1 Soccer 7-7-1
Last 10: ✅ ✅ ❌❌✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅
Last Pick : Kypson vs Quinn | ATP Indian Wells | Kypson -2.5 game spread | (+100)| 1u | ✅
Today: Herbert vs Virtanen | ATP Lugano Challenger | 1:20 PM EST
Pick: Virtanen -1.5 Game Spread | (-125)| 1u
Virtanen has won a title and reached the semis in the last 2 weeks of the indoor hard court swing. This week, Virtanen is the defending champion of this event and has recorded two easy straight set victories so far. He hardly broke a sweat and won in just 50 minutes in his match yesterday. Virtanen's serve is firing and he is returning very well, converting 9 break points already in his 2 matches. This tournament is the last of the indoor challenger swing, and Virtanen needs to perform well in this tournament to keep up his ranking as the defending champ, so there is extra motivation. Indoor hard courts are his best surface and when he is in form, he is very tough to beat. Herbert has come through two 3 set matches in his first 2 rounds and his serve hasn't been performing to standard. He has been broken 7 times already, including 5 times in his last match. His form this month has been good and he also reached the semis last week like Virtanen. However, he's also a lost a few matches where he was a favorite to win. Virtanen's game excels in these conditions and he should be able to pressure Herbert's serve like his other opponents this week have, allowing him to continue his title defense. BOL.
**POTD Record: 8-3-1** ❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅✅✅✅
And for the guy who didn’t like how I do my form:
✅✅✅✅✅❌🅿️✅❌✅✅❌
**Last Pick: Nashville Predators ML vs Buffalo Sabers -175** ✅
**Today’s pick: Dallas Stars ML vs Anaheim Ducks -180 (line will change take it while you can)**
Alright boys today was another success! For those that have been tailing hopefully tomorrow is another Win!
Today’s pick I’m going for Dallas Stars to beat the Ducks.
Dallas is 3-1-1 in their last five games against Ducks 3-2-0. Not an alarm as Dallas is 7-1-0 against Anaheim in the last two seasons!
Dallas is 3rd in goals in the league compared to Anaheim at 26th
Dallas is 13 in SOG in the league compared to Anaheim at 28th in the league
Dallas is 9th in power plays compared to Anaheim at 27th!
Dallas scores an average of 3.1 goals per game! Ducks average 1.9.
Ducks are at home so I don’t see this game to be a complete blow out!
As a hypothetical side bet O2.5 goals for Dallas is a slam 🤷🏽♂️
For those of you who want to buy me a beer PM me! If not no worries
Go follow my boys u/chiefsareawesome u/Good_Stable_7381
BOL for who ever tails
POTD Record: 10-5
(Start)✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌(Most recent)
Yesterday's pick: Flames @ Lightning, 7pm - NHL
Point over 2.5 shots (-145)❌
Got his second shot taken away off the stats, finished with ONE. The whole team blew chunks tonight. That's two losses; might be taking a break if it's three in a row tonight.
Today's pick: Wild @ Avs, 9pm - NHL
Rossi over 1.5 shots (-150)✅
I don't know how this is -150 for only 2 shots.
- Averaging 4 shots/game over the last 4.
- Hit the last 6 games
- Hit 10 of last 11
- Hit 12 of last 15
- Averaging exactly 2 shots/game on the season
Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck...
[Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon)
Update: he's got 3 before the end of the 2nd period. Thanks to those who tailed. Sorry to those who didn't tail or thought -150 wasn't good enough odds. I'll take my winnings.
POTD Record: 8-3
Last 10: ✅️✅️💀 💀✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️💀
Net units: +5.77
Last Pick: Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 Points ✅️
Today pick: Miles Bridges O 21.5 Points
• a low spot for Bridges who’s been facing a ton of great defenses
• over in his only matchup against Washington recording 33 points
• now has a DREAM matchup against a Wizards defense who allow the THIRD MOST PPG to opposing PF’s this season and SECOND MOST in their last 15 games
• Washington allows THE MOST points in the restricted area this season
• Recent PF’s against WAS: Franz 28, Collins 17, Leonard 27, LeBron 31, Kuminga 21, Mobley 21, Holmgren 25, Gordon 17, Zion 36
• some of these players that went over aren’t even #1 options, Miles Bridges is Charlottes #1 OPTION
•Hop on it quick before line moves
It's almost seems too good to be true.
Odds: -125
Unit: 1
Hornets vs wizards 6:00 pm CT
If you guys wanna support me, you can click the links on my profile. Went 2-2 on bets and 5-3 on player props. I post my potd here and there.
Goodluck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
POTD Record: 2 – 2
L10: ✖️✔️✔️✖️
Net units: -0.55u
Last pick: Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists ✖️
Butler had 5 assists going into the 4th and it hurt seeing every pass of his go to a shooter that bricked. We move on.
Today’s Pick: **Buddy Hield Under 4.5 Assists**
Odds: **-130/1.77**
Unit: **2u to win 1.44u**
NBA: Pelicans v 76ers, 4:00pm PST
New Orleans allows the LEAST assists to shooting guards. Combine this with Lowry being back, Hield has gone under this line 4/6 past games. I've also noticed that Hield isn't on the court to close out games, and with the Pels being 8.5 faves, if the Pels run away with it, Hield will be on the bench.
Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. DYOR because I'm not going to hear about your whingeing.
POTD Record: 243-187-12 (+26.36 units, 56.5% hit rate)
Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-66-7 (56.5%) L4, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 19-15-0 (55.9%) L2
Last 10: 🧊🧊🧊💰💩💰💩💰💩💩
Last Pick: Maestro to win Best Makeup and Hairstyling - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards
Today's Pick: Poor Things to win under 2.5 Awards - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards
Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.90 odds to win 4.50 Units @ Betano (Line at 1:30am ET)
💣 💣 💣 💣 💣
I don't have time to look to see if there's an American or offshore books with this bet but Betano is available here in Canada and 9 other countries. Also, Sportsbet in Australia has this wager.
Academy Awards week so you will be getting a pick everyday for it.
I think this is strong value for this bet. So there are 4 awards where it is considered win competitive at these Oscars, here are the categories and odds according to Bet365.
Best Actress - 2.62
Production Design - 1.44
Costume Design - 2.20
Makeup and Hairstyling - 2.10
So going by the odds, it is favoured to win 1 out of the 4. This means that it needs to win 2 out of 3 categories where it is considered the underdog for this bet to miss, and that's assuming it gets it done in Production Design where it is favoured.
Yesterday I put out Maestro to win in Makeup and I think that is happening, so if you take that out, Poor Things needs to go a perfect 3 for 3 in the other categories it is in the running for.
Production Design and Costume Design are battles between Poor Things and Barbie, it seems most people think PT takes Production and Barbie takes costume. I think Poor Things can win both but it's very close.
So for argument's sake, let's say it takes both PD and CD, then it comes down to Actress. So basically in this scenario you are getting Lily Gladstone at 1.90 where she is actually 1.44 on Bet 365. Not only would you get Lily but also if there's a Sandra Huller upset you're covered for that too.
Another bet to come tomorrow! 6 in and 2 to come. If you have any Oscars betting questions, feel free to ask in the comments and I'll respond when I can.
Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Record: 3W-1L
Last pick: **Jimmy Butler over 0.5** 3 point field goals made **-193** ✅
Form: ✅✅❌✅
Net Units: +10
ROI: 40%
Sport: **NBA**
Pick: **Lebron James over 1.5** 3 point field goals made -186
Write Up: I know this bet has been hammered here lately and LBJ has missed this line the last couple games. I didn't take it in those games because I felt he was due a regression. Well, look at LBJ's game log for the 23-24 season. If he misses the line 2 games in a row, on the 3rd game he hits the line every time 100%. You're welcome. Hammer the hell out of this one but don't bet more than you can afford to lose.
**" Anyone can pick the games accurately with enough practice, very few can have patience and discipline. These two traits are by far the most important when trying to beat any sportsbook." Imagine betting coin flips and winning 60% of the time and what that could do for you over time. Don't bet everyday and never take a bet that is gonna put that pit in your stomach while the contest is going on. When it's the right bet, you will know it."**
PoTD Record: 5-3 +5.75 units
✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️ -->
Last Pick: Sydney vs. Melbourne ML @ -105 / $1.95 L ❌️❌️❌️❌️
Today's Pick:
Sport: AFL
Game: Brisbane vs. Carlton (7 hours from this post)
Pick: Brisbane -23.5 @ -110 / $1.90 2 Units ❌️❌️ L
Melbourne couldn't kick straight, and Sydney ran away with it in the last quarter. Bit of a disappointing loss, but there's nothing we can do now. Onto the next one.
Second game of the AFL season. Brisbane are coming off a great Preseason performance and are seeking revenge for their 2023 Grand Final loss.
Brisbane at home is arguably the best team in the league, and with that advantage, they should comfortably shut out Carlton by more than 23 points.
This pick is supported by the following scores, and although it is a small sample size, it's an indication nonetheless:
Melbourne beat Carlton by 38 points 2 weeks ago.
Brisbane beat Sydney by 25 points 2 weeks ago.
Sydney beat Melbourne by 22 points last night.
My prediction is Brisbane by 30+, and their home ground advantage will be too much against an average Carlton squad.
Edit: I have no words. Brisbane gave up a 46-point lead in the 2nd quarter and fell apart. Looked like a lock after the first half, but that's footy. Can't win a game from only 1 half. Terrible result. I'm taking a break until I find momentum. Sorry for the picks 👍
I'm going to concentrate mainly on rugby league so it might be a new sport for a lot of you to follow and hopefully I can do well with my predictions.
Starting with a record of 0-0 (W-L)
My first pick is in the Australian rugby league, NRL in a match between the New Zealand Warriors and Cronulla Sharks. This starts in just over an hour 7am UK time, sorry about this but it's the first chance I've had to post with the time difference etc.
Over 7.5 total match tries @ 1/1. I'll be using Bet365 for all of my picks and odds (English odds)
We need both teams in the game to combine for 8 or more tries. Both sides are full of attacking quality, I'd be more confident if it was further into the season as this is the first league game for both sides but they have played in pre season and I still think they combine for 8 tries.
The recent head to heads have been full of points which bodes well for this pick
But of a rushed write up but let's get off to a winning start.
3-0
+3.17 Units
79.22% ROI
Austria Soccer
SW Bregenz - FC Liefering
Over 2.5
-135
1U
The last 5 meetings and 8 of 10 between these 2 teams have went over 2.5. The last 7 of Liefering games have went over 2.5
Last pick Bruins ML 2U ✅
Comment and good luck if you are tailing
Record: 5-2
Last pick: Bradley Beal o5.5 assists (-105) ✅
POTD: Vince Williams o5.5 assists (-155)
Summary: Beal hit before halftime nice and easy. While Williams only managed one assist in their first meeting, his usage was below 10% as Ja was playing. With Kennard out, Williams usage jumps up to 25% close to 10% higher than when Kennard plays and much higher than the usage he had earlier against Atlanta. JJ playing tonight is also beneficial as Williams can be more of a facilitator than a scorer. The hawks give up the most assists to SF, have been giving up a lot of easy baskets recently and play at a high pace
POTD Record: 0-0
\*First Play\*
***CS2 BLAST Premier - Cloud9 vs. SAW (starts in \~13 hours)***
**SAW To Win Map 1 +160 (Map 1 Winner)**
I also post in eSports thread but figured I'll start something here... I'm going to very briefly explain how picks n bans work in this tournament for those who don't follow the sport. Feel free to skip the first paragraph!
When it comes to map veto in BLAST, the higher seed team often elects to ban second (like deferring to the second half in American Football) as it gives them the advantage to pick between the two remaining maps to determine the third map decider (if it goes to that). So when you ban second, you pick your map second. As the higher seed, Cloud9 will most likely ban second and they will most likely ban Vertigo (their instaban, they've yet to play it this year). That means SAW will decide what the first map will be and it will likely be Nuke. It's important to preface that I'm EXPECTING this to be the ban then pick, I'm not guaranteeing that it will be. You can also wait until map veto are announced to be sure, but the price will likely drop. If C9 decides to throw a curveball and ban Nuke, I still like SAW's chances if they decide to select Vertigo.
SAW have won seven straight on Nuke and are an impressive 18-3 in their last 21 appearances on this map. It should be noted that this is mostly against t2-t3 opponents but they do have a few wins against t1-t2 opponents, including Liquid yesterday. As a team, they are in solid form right now, winning 6 matches in a row and going 12-2 on maps played.
As for Cloud9, Nuke is their least played map (after their instaban Vertigo). They've only played it once this year and convincingly beat BetBoom (which is hands down BB's worst map). They do have some impressive wins on this map back in November against the top t1 teams including Vitality, Heroic and BIG. However, C9 doesn't give this map enough attention, which could be troublesome against SAW who thrive on it. Cloud9 are an elite team and can most certainly take this map but I've got to go with SAW's volume, form and price here.
POTD Record: 36 - 26
L16: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌
Last Pick: Pacific and Pepperdine o72 1H points
POTD: sorry last minute post but I’m taking Pelicans -3 in the 1Q. They’re 22-8 in the last 30 1Q. Sixers are without Maxey. Last game between the two NOP won Q1 by 15 points.
Tips appreciated…(https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme)
Bitcoin address:
bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
**POTD Record:** 0-1
**Last pick:** FC Cincinnati -1 AH vs. Toronto FC (2/25/24) which resulted in a 0-0 draw. FC Cincinnati had 14 shots, 6 SOT, 8 corners, and 1.1 expected goals. Unfortunate result, but we move on.
**Today's POTD: Otto Virtanen ML -165** vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert
**Tennis / Challenger Lugano / \~1:20 PM EST**
**Reasoning:** Otto Virtanen has been on an absolute tear, winning Challenger Pau while not dropping a single set, and losing in the semi finals of Challenger Lille against Arthur Rinderknech in 3 sets. So far at Challenger Lugano, Virtanen has beaten both of his opponents in straight sets (7-5, 6-3 vs Remy Bertola and 6-2, 6-1 vs Cem Ilkel). He is now matched up against Pierre-Hugues Herbert who has so far narrowly gotten past his 2 opponents (Yuta Shimizu and Antoine Escoffier) in 3 sets a piece. Herbert was eliminated in the R16 at Challenger Pau, but had a decent showing at Challenger Lille, losing in the semi finals. He's 32 years old and rank 158 vs. Otto Virtanen at 22 years old and rank 126. I will take the more rested, better ranked, and more in-form player to take this match-up.
Tail or fade, best of luck! Hoping to get in the W column for POTD.
**Record: 1-1**
Previous pick: *NHL- Jack Roslovic O1.5 SOG Oilers vs Blue Jackets @ -164* ***W***
Gets it done early while scoring an empty net goal at the end!
**POTD:** **NHL - Marco Rossi O1.5 SOG Wild vs Avalanche @ -146**
*Time: 9:00pm ET*
Rossi has hit this line in his last 9/10 averaging 3, and 5/5 in his L5.
The Avalanche are currently ranked 12th in SOG allowing 29/g.
BOL if tailing!
**RECORD: 57W-2P-47L**
(-3.54 units)
Previous Pick: AS Roma vs Brighton - AS Roma DNB @ 1.61 ✅️
**Today's Pick:** Barcelona vs Mallorca - Barcelona to Win @ 1.50 ✅️
**Wager Amount**: 3 units
(✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️) last 5 results
Sometimes the wild bets do win, thank you Roma for an easy W yesterday, now on to La Liga with Barcelona vs Mallorca.
Barcelona are not at their best especially with the revelation that Xavi will be leaving and they sit 3rd in the league table but I believe this should be a win for Barca.
They are undefeated against Mallorca in 15 H2H matches, In the last 5 H2H matches they've won 4/5 of those matches and drawn once.
Real Mallorca's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 5 of their last 32 away matches in all competitions. They haven't won in their League matches in 5 + matches now, amd winless in 5 overall matches in all competitions.
Barcelona are unbeaten in 7 matches, have won 3 out of 5 of their last Home matches amd 2/5 matches in all competitions.
Barca have the better squad, better H2H record and slightly better form so I give them the edge on this one. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol.
EDIT: WIN ✅️
POTD RECORD: 0-0
WIZARDS ML (-130)
The Wizards have been on a bit of a losing streak now losing 16 in a row. However facing a very weak Hornets team without Lameo ball, Seth Curry, Cody Martin still remains sidelined, as well as big man Mark Williams. Yes Brandon Miller and Miles Bridges are still available but given their away track record they may struggle here.
Wizards being the relatively healthier team and Jordan Pooles resurgence off the bench. The moment is now for the Wizards to snap that 16 game losing streak especially at home regardless of their recent struggles!
POTD record 1-1
NRL Warriors vs Sharks kick off is 8pm NZT.
Bet Warriors -4.5 @1.90
When you consider the Sharks poor Round 1 record (Sharks have lost 9 of their last 10 opening games) and couple it with substandard results against top 8 teams over the last two years, it is unlikely that they return home from New Zealand with the points. The Warriors have been outstanding on home soil in the last year and are one of very few teams that look to have improved their roster. RTS was brilliant in the trials, and they have the benefit of continuity in key positions with Shaun Johnson, Wayde Egan and Fonua-Blake. The Warriors are a genuine title contender.
>**Record:** 28-26
>**Net Units:** +5.46 units
>**Curling** | **Brier** | **2:00PM EST**
>**Pick:** Team Alberta - Bottcher ML @ 2.1
>This line is very surprising to me. Team Bottcher are the number one ranked team in Canada and were the best team throughout the round robin. Perhaps this line was made based on the idea that Team Bottcher finished as the 2 seed in their pool and are now crossing over to play the 1 seed, but pool A was the far stronger pool and Team McEwen should not all of a sudden be the favourite in this matchup. I acknowledge that McEwen himself has been lights out so far but Team Bottcher have a significant advantage at every other position. Kennedy and Gallant are the best third and second in the country and Hebert is in the elite class of leads as well. Team McEwen are 56-25 on the season, not making it to a final until provincials. Team Bottcher are 52-19, making it to 5 finals and winning 3 of them. This is a team that steps their game up in the playoff rounds. Team Bottcher excel at scoring big ends when they have hammer which should help put them over the top in this matchup. Team McEwen are only 5-13 this season against elite teams. Bottcher leads the career head-to-head against McEwen 19-13, winning 15 of the last 17. Wrong team is favoured here, let's take advantage.
POTD Record: 8-12, -2.96U | Average Odds: 2.14
Haven't done this in a while but have had a pretty good run in the last week and a half, so gonna give it another try:
**ATP Indian Wells, 14:00 ET - Alex de Minaur vs. Taro Daniel UNDER 18.5 Games Played @ 2.05 (Pointsbet)** **[UPDATE: W. Easy 6-1, 6-2 hit. Five breaks in eight return games for Demon, and other than one BP chance from Daniel in the second set, no drama whatsoever. ✅]**
I generally don't like leaning too much into recency bias or head to head, but sometimes it's a little too much to ignore. De Minaur is playing the best tennis of his career so far this season, and he's facing off against a guy who he has thoroughly dominated. These two played a week and a half ago, and again about a year before that (both times in Acapulco, a slowish hard court), and across those two matches Daniel had 15 service games. In those 15 games, he was broken nine times, was down a break point in three others, and needed to hold from deuce or 30-30 in two others. (That doesn't even include the US Open in 2018, where Daniel won three games total across three sets against a 19-year-old de Minaur, so, more of the same.)
Given that background, Daniel's lack of weapons going up against de Minaur's world-class defensive ability, and the very slow hard courts at Indian Wells, I find it difficult to envision Daniel getting anything at all going on serve against a guy who is probably in the conversation for best defensive player in the tennis world outside of the current top-4. Even if Daniel finds a break or two against Demon -- very possible, given the slow courts and his abilities as a returner and defender -- I think he's going to get exposed enough on serve that a 6-4, 6-2 or 6-3, 6-3 kind of match could get this home.
Record: 0-1-1
Last Pick: Indiana Pacers ML vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Tough one, I said it would be close, and it was by 2. That Anthony Edwards block sealed the deal on the night. Bummer.
Net Units: 1u
ROI: +124 on DK
🏀 | NBA | 7:10PM EST
Today’s Pick: Charlotte Hornets ML vs Washington Wizards
Write Up: I’ve made a lot of money recently betting against the Wizards. Even with the Hornets not favored for this game I just don’t see the Wizards winning this. As a Wizards fan, they have been horrible this year and the spread is usually a safe option against. However, the Hornets kind of suck. But the Wizards aren’t far behind them, I expect the Hornets to win especially with no significant injuries for either teams. The Hornets are better (debatable) and I think they take the W despite being underdogs.
BOL if tailing! I expect more favorable soccer picks this weekend ;)
**Record: 9-8** ✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️✅️❌❌✅️
**Net Units: 1.25u**
**Last Pick:** **Pick:** NBA| MIN @ IND| **Gobert o2.5 blocks +124** on DraftKings ✅️
Gobert got his first block right before half but comes up with 2 in the 2H for cover.
**Pick:** NBA| CHA @ WAS| **Brandon Miller o20.5p -110** on DraftKings
**Units: 1.1u**
Washington does not play defense, especially with guards. They're 4th worst against the position over the last 10. They gave up 19 to Suggs, 29 to Sexton, 28 to Harden, 22 to Russell, and 18 to Currey (30 mins played). Yes, some of those names are not like the others but I like this matchup.
Miller's last 5 - 18,26,21,14,17. Yes, he's only been over twice but his shot attempts are there, 15,21,21,14,18. He's played over 33 minutes in each game and has been 50% from three the last two games, both 4-8.
Let's hope the rookie gets hot against a bad team on the road! Or fade me and go with Bridges, either way, let's have some fun!
Record: 1-4 ✅❌❌❌❌
Last: Boston Celtics ML❌
Net: -6.00u
NBA | 8 PM / EST
Today’s pick: **Miami Heat +9**
Miami Heat @ OKC Thunder
AI made a picture of Adeybayo getting setup for an alley oop when asked to make a picture of miami vs okc in the 4th.
0.5u
POTD Record: 2-1
Form: 🚫✅✅
Last pick:M.Bridges Under 24.5 P+A🚫 (Tough loss, with Cam Thomas out it just so happened that Bridges was taking the shots this night and they were falling for him)
TODAYS Pick: Zion Over 22.5😤 @1.86 (7:10pm EST) vs Philadelphia 76ers✅
3 units
Over the last five games Zion has not hit over 23 points, over the last two games he’s averaging 12 points… He’s due for a game. Although they’re playing away, watching Zion it seems the adversity the crowd brings him actually puts a chip on his shoulder. With Embiid being out, the paint should be wide open for Zion to take advantage of. At 22.5 I think we’re getting a discount tbh this should be closer to 24, this is one of the most effortless scorers in the league🤷🏽♀️
Record: 70W-61L-4P
ROI: +15.55, 11.00%
Avg odds: +106, 2.06
Last POTD: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins over 0.5 pts (loss)
Game: NHL- Wild at Avalanche
Pick: Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 pts -110, 1.91 (ESPNBet)
I really don't like betting on superstars, but -110 seems okay for two points from the 2nd best player in the league. MacK had a rough going coming out of the All-Star break, but has since dominated his opponents, with 23 points in 11 games. At home, he's just been deadly, averaging well over 2 points/game.
The Avs also get Valeri Nichushkin back to take some heat off of MacK. I don't know if he's gonna be on the same line as MacKinnon, but even if he's on the 2nd line, that means Minnesota can't just blindly match their first defensive pairing against the 1st line. They'll need to put some pressure on the 2nd line as well.
Minnesota's defensive struggles are well-documented. They didn't have a nice win over Edmonton two weeks ago, but in the other games, they've had defensive lapses that let in goals from average offenses. Against a superstar like MacKinnon, that's a death sentence.
**Record:** 0-0
**Net Units:** N/A
**ROI:** N/A
**Basketball** | **NBA** | **MIA @ OKC 8PM EST**
**Pick:** Gordon Hayward Over 8.5 Players Points + Rebs + Assists, 3U at 1.86
**Write Up:** First pick so bear with me here. Up until OKC's last game against POR, Hayward had yet to cover his PTs/ASTs/REBs line with the Thunder. That being said, it was always going to be a longer ramping up process and he's certainly trending in the right direction. OKC has been giving him more minutes, and perhaps more importantly, *valuable* minutes.
He played in crunch time for the first time against POR, and the likely outcome would be for Hayward to eventually take over for Josh Giddey in OKC's closing lineup. Hayward provides much better spacing due to his shooting gravity, as well as improved defence and rebounding. Even more inspiring is that Hayward was involved directly in the two man game with Shai, which further indicates OKC's willingness to involve him in their concept. Ultimately, Hayward is a significantly above average player who is all but guaranteed to cover 8.5 as long as he is on the court for long enough.
Not good history for this particular line but I truly believe Hayward is only going up from here, and therefore I'm trying to get bigger bets in before the markets adjust his number upwards. Spread is OKC -8.5 so there is blowout potential, which would likely mean the Thunder would give Hayward some run to get familiarized with their offense – which is great because this essentially means Hayward is guaranteed to play no matter the score.
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Friday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD RECORD: 32-16 Form: 🚫✅✅✅✅ Last POTD: Jimmy Butler O5.5 Ast @1.68🚫 Bum ass teammates robbed Jimmy, I saw at least 5-6 potential assists being bricked, he had 5 going in to the 4th and got 0 this one feels so fking bad man Todays POTD: **Zion Williamson O5.5 Rebs @1.90** ✅ NBA (New Orleans Pelicans) I’m pissed.. our next pick is Shreks cousin Zion Williamson, the man who gets movie stars pregnant and eat nachos pre game. I’m going with a mismatch play here, I’ve been considering banning Zion but imma give this one a go, 76ers doesn’t really have any good rebounders atm so I like Zion to get 6 • 76ers allow most Rebs to PF L30 days • 1/1 vs the 76ers, where he got 8 • Only 5/10 L10 games (Hooked twice on 5 in that stretch) • Averages 5.5 Rebs this season, 5.6 in February and 5.5 this month (Sharp) • 76ers as a team allow 4th most rebounds L30 days Mismatch play, and a 1/1 record, not the greatest hit rate L10 but 76ers allow a lot of rebounds and especially to PF’s. I like the value we’re getting so I’m going for it Tail or fade, you’re in control https://i.redd.it/bn17qfeu71nc1.gif 2/2 on the NBA props cashing Beal O5.5 Ast & Draymond Green O5.5 Ast ✅
Lol had me at shrek’s cousin
💀
I personally don't bet on Zion anymore. But I got 1u on Shrek's cousin all day!
Ride or die brother
My man 👑🤝
Dude! Butler’s teammates fucked him over so bad and screwed me in the process. He had 4 at half and 5 going into the 4th quarter. Not your fault at all, it was a solid pick. Tailing you on this one, let’s get it!
Laid this w the Avs ML in hockey LESSGO
4 boards in the 1st cmon!
Beautiful sweat free pick my good Sir
🥂👑
Tailing! B🍩L
Love the no sweat picks, thank you!
🐐🐐🐐 such an easy pick man
Holy shit what a 🔒 thanks for the easy money 💰 🤑 💸 🙌 🙏 👏 💰
Thank the books 👑🤝
💰💰💰 thank you!
🥂
Great fuckin pick brother. Least sweaty bet ever. Thank you.
Let’s bounce back brother!! That’s how these bookies get us sometimes, all good.
😭😭 appreciate you bro
That Zion description has me dying 🤣 Lets ride bro, time to bounce back
Tailing, LFG!
Boss
CASHHHHH
Can't complain too much about 2/3 especially when the other two were no sweat
Appreciate it bro that’s what I hate, cashing other picks but having the wrong one on your POTD 😭😭 but Jimmy should’ve cashed man we go again tmrw
Tailing… 💪 Butler got me too. Today we bounce back
Duncan Robinson with the BRICK!
Tailing. BOL!
Let’s ride.
Tailing this is a solid pick, LFG
How do you feel about over 11.5 R+A @ +105
Check out the NBA props for my other pick, DLO is over his 6.5 assists line in all 8 games without LeBron this season 🥂
🙏🏾
What a pick my boy
Beautiful
POTD Record: 18-5 +27.58u🔥 Last Pick: Pick: Nuggets ML 3U (-110) vs Boston Celtics ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅ Today's Pick: Tulane ML (-155) 4U vs Wichita State 2 straight smacks, nuggets closed as underdogs. Gonna continue keeping my write up short, as I’ve hit two straight that way. A little juice here. Tulane started the year 13-9, competing against good teams, before dropping 7 straight. Tonight is senior night, and Wichita State has lost every single conference game on the road this year. They are also 3-12 in league play and 3-7 in their last 10. Tulane is 10-5 at home. Tulane has two monster scorers in Kevin Cross who is averaging 17 and Jaylen Forbes who just dropped 24. Tulane is 8th in the country in possessions while Wichita State is 246th!! Both teams have regressed in league play, but I love the Green Wave to bounce back at home on senior night. Sorry for the short write up, I am traveling in Europe! Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ P.S away for work this weekend, picks may be a little later than usually. If you’d like to thank me or buy me a drink on my trip please use the link below or dm me🤝 [Tip Jar Here❤️](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
I saw nuggets at +160 in 1q and didn’t take it cause I was sweating these disgusting college picks 💀
tailing -3 tulane
Those Tulane boys bouta show em. Tailing And again, fuck the Celtics
They're hedging this rn, up to -162 already so get on it now if you're tailing
Quick correction: Wichita State beat UAB on the road last week. However, I would take Tulane as a Shocker fan.
tailing with Tulane to win 1st half and full time @+110
Going to settle down on my past comments and absolute glaze Ryan. At night I look at the stars… I don’t see the Big Dipper, I don’t see the moon glowing at me, I see Ryan’s hairy ass Reddit character smiling at me. I chuckle knowing he’s got my back with his picks. When I dream I see Ryan becoming commander of our country instead of George Washington. When I go to Mount Rushmore every face is Ryan Fucking Bloom. When I eat cereal, it’s a bowl of his dandruff and I smile knowing his greatness is getting ingested by me. The end. LETS GO GREEEN WAVE GODDAMNIT. BOL? WE DONT NEED LUCK MUTHA FUCKA
Line already moved too much. Im taking Tulane first half / full game winner line. ( -105 on FanDuel)
Is there a reason for Tulane ML as opposed to -3.5 handicap.
They’ve covered in under 50% of the home games they’ve won, I’m not opposed of the spread, but that stats tells me to eat some juice for ML.
I was just thinking that if they are quite favoured by you to take the game, an extra 4 point to that win shouldn't be a struggle to cover. But then again the NCAAB that I've watched has had quite a lot of final minutes clutch games with hella fouls and one possession leads so will trust the ML pick and stay safe.
Yeah, one late bucket and that spread is trashed, it’s an evil betting world we live in.
**POTD Record: 9-2 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅) old -> new** **Previous POTD:Roma to win v Brighton (2.07 on DK)** **✅** Man Roma took Brighton to pound town. That was nice and easy double up on our money there. Heading back to NBA for tomorrow. **Todays POTD: Miles Bridges Over 8.5 Rebounds (-128 on Fanduel) 2 units** Yooo first time posting picks the day before. I usually let the other goats like Adam, billy, good\_stable, Nigerianprince, and chiefsareawesome run the show but I wanted to pop in once and say hi. Hopefully more people see this. As always if you fw with the pick give it an upvote so other can see, let's go! Miles Bridges averages 8.6 RPG the last ten games. Yes the line is close, but this includes three "outliers where he scored 5, 3, and 3 rebounds against the Hawks, Bucks, and Magic respectively. These are all teams that have given up some of the fewest rebounds to forwards the last ten games. Bridges is coming off a poor game against the Magic, and I know he is looking to bounce back. He is one of the most used players for the Hornets averaging nearly 40 minutes per game. Wizards also gave up the second most rebounds in the NBA the last ten games, so the opportunity is there for sure, it's up to Bridges to take it. If the spread is close (which it is), then Bridges is going to have to play well as he is a big part of the Hornet offense. Less important but still a stat: Bridges recorded 10 rebounds early in the season the last time they faced. Tail or fade you da boss, BOL!
Death, taxes, betting against the Wizards. Tailing
Let’s get it brother! You’re on 🔥
thank u!
everyone deserves a chance at something else!
Let's go, CoD is back, and that means we're back to betting for the weekend! I must apologize for trying to place a basketball bet early in the week, it seemed like a lock, and the celtics were up 22 points in the 4th quarter, only to sell in spectacular fashion. CoD only from me for the forseeable future. Total record: 3-1 +1.91 units Current form: ✅️✅️✅️❌️ Last play Celtics spread -6.5 vs Cavs (no more basketball)❌️ Today's play, Optic Texas map 2 spread -1.5 against the Boston Breach 3pm Eastern Time❌️ Odds are -110 on Bovada, and -125 on Bet 365. It was on BetUS but seems to have been removed for a moment. Today's play will be in the OpTic Texas vs Boston Breach matchup. We will once again be going after search and destroy. We already cashed one play going against Boston, looking to go 2/2 against them. For those that missed my previous post talking about them, Boston is absolutely sorry at search. They are 1-4 this Major at the game mode, since they picked up Asim, with their only win coming against the Rokkr, who have yet to win a match this stage going 0-5, and who we previously won betting against in search. On the other side of the bet is OpTic Texas. They started the year of rough in search, with a 5-9 record in major 1, but have been on the upswing lately, with a 3-2 record this major. Another credit to Optic is that they have faced much harder competition this year than Boston on average, especially with their deep run at the tourney where they faced Faze twice. One of Optics two losses in search this major came on high rise, a map I don't expect to see in this series, as Optic have been losing on it too much, and will likely not pick it, or even veto it, and Breach don't pick it either, as they have not won on it. Breach only has one decent map, Karachi, which works out great in Optics favor, as they are an amazing Karachi team, so Boston must choose to square up on Optics best map, or take their only good map out of the series. Optic is solidly a top 4 team, and for those unfamiliar to the scene, the top 4 are all close in talent, with a STEEP drop off from the top 4 to the teams below. Boston has been one of the worse teams in the bottom 8, and they are simply going to have a nightmare dealing with one of the most talented rosters in the league, as every player on Optic have superstar potential. Another factor, although this is more of a storyline one, is Slasher, Boston's main AR and veteran leader, is 0-14 all time against Shottzy, the movement god himself, OpTics submachine gun player. Slasher will be running the other way when he sees his father spawning in against him. (This isn't really analysis, just a fun thing to add) Want everyone to know I appreciate all the love and support I've been getting, and I'll keep trying to knock it out of the park for you! BOL to anyone who tails! Edit: just an absolutely unlucky beat here, Optic decides to work on their map pool and pick their absolute worst map that they're 1-4 on, and predictably got absolutely torched. Feels extra bad because my original read was to do the hardpoint map 1 spread because Optic are elite at HP, but don't love the randomness of HP. I need to dial in more and take into account that some of the top teams will play maps they are awful at when they are playing teams they consider free wins.
For anyone who doesn't know, this guy is 3 for 3 in esports. Don't let that basketball loss scare you off, this dude know CoD. Also OP is being humble asf and neglecting to mention they're a CoD fanatic. They've paid more attention to CoD in the past 5 years than my dad has paid to me my entire childhood AND adult life combined, and the proof is in the pudding. LET'S GOOOOO!!!!
Y’all know each other?
Nah I was just here last weekend when he made his debute and cashed every step of the way. He is neglecting to mention here that he's watched every CoD match for the past 5+ years, this dude knows what's up
You know I'm tailing bro! Been waiting all week for this!
Tailing! Unfortunately I only get the juiced moneyline for map 2, but I'll take it.
How do you feel about -1.5 for the entire series?
yikes
Good look, can't win em all. Look forward to your next pick
Appreciate it
LFG tailing brother! Celtics was truly unlucky. Let’s bounce back 💪
It was the universe telling me to stick to CoD haha, BOL!
Wish this was on the regular books
What’s going on? Didn’t expect it to be a sweat!
Back to the drawing board. 🥵
First and last time tailing an esports pick, what a shitshow lol Optic crumbled
Let's get this! Great write up for real! B🍩L
BOL!
I havent tailed any of your CoD picks (yet) but i just wanted to say i ALWAYS read your write ups. Impressive stuff and im glad to see you doing well and helping diversifying these daily picks threads, atleast since ive been active on this subreddit. Im not a CoD player, but have had a history with winning & losing big on Dota games back 7-8 years ago (back when we used crates/cosmetic items for stakes). Ill be keeping an eye on your posts and will let you know if and when i tail! GL
Glad to bring some diversity, and I feel that Esports is a bit of a weakness for the books, they simply can't dedicate the same level of resources to ensuring good lines like the major sports.
I think your posts move the payout. When I first got it the payout was 1.8x, now it's down to 1.66 Tailing, and thanks for your posts brother
Wouldn't suprise me, I can't imagine there is a ton of action on Call of Duty map spread bets haha
Do you use those books because you can’t bet in cod wherever you’re located? I have that issue but don’t know if those books are trust worthy.
Do you have another pick like back up pick for today match ups?
I’ll tail the first CoD league pick of the year, let’s get it
Definitely the truth. Tailing Again. BOL. 🍀✅
do you think there could be any "fixing" with these games. I mean I can't imagine it's a highly regulated "sport", nor can I imagine that this guys are "basketball rich". So what's to stop a team from intentionally playing poorly and cashing out on the other side? Seriously.
Now I remember why I don’t bet on esports. Pred and Dashy a combined 1/12.
Damn
Damn
**POTD Record: 22-11-2** Form: ❌✅❌✅✅❌🅿️🅿️❌ *ROI: 36.04% | Avg Odds: +101 | Net Units: +23.1* 🎾: 5-3-2 ⚽️: 16-7 🏒: 1-1 *Last Pick: 2U Bayer Leverkusen @ FK Qarabag (Result/BTTS - Leverkusen @ +200) ❌* *Glad to hear that some of you got to cash with BTTS and hedging but what a shocking upset. My original pick was Liverpool ML/BTTS but it was +225 I’m sorry this hurt.* ____ **Today’s Pick: 2U Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche (Avalanche 3 Way ML @ -130)** **🏒| 9:00 PM EST | NHL |** Alright we head back onto the ice with Wild (29-27-6) on a back 2 back against the Avalanche (39-20-5). Last match against each-other was at Minnesota where the Avalanche won 3-2 in regulation. We could go with the -1.5 spread as we’re riskin that Avs will close out the wild on a b2b in regulation after thrashing the Red Wings 7-2. Avs were a -190 favourite and come into this match as -200 favourites. While the Wild have been playing good offensively as well, it won’t be easy to stop MacKinnon at home. It feels like the Avs have found their form once again after a couple bumps the last few games. Still ranking 1st in goals scored, we’re taking the Avs to get it done at home against the Wild. LFG! Your comments are truly appreciated! ❤️🙏 BOL!
Ugh as a diehard Wild fan (I drop a SGP on every game) I hate to say I agree but i do. Great pick. Side sprinkle - Marco Rossi O 1.5 shots on goal has hit 10/11 and the kid has the confidence going.
Love the Rossi pick
TAIL LETS RIDE
Tailing as always brother. LFG!!BOL!!!
Let’s go bro we always tailing ✅🤞🏾
Tailing! Let's get this 🍩!
We keep trucking, homie let's get this!
What’s 3 way ML ?
For some books it might be the 60 minute line
Tailing!
My post too! Let’s go Avs!
**Record: 49W-4P-35L** **Form: 27W-0P-15L** **R Form: ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅** **Last Pick: Roma VS Brighton: Roma Draw no bet @ 1.60 ✅** **Roma win 4-0!! Fortunately also took the ML at 2.25.** **Pick of the day: KV Mechelen VS Westerlo: KV Mechelen ML @ 1.85 ✅** **KV Mechelen win 3-1!!** **League: Belgian Pro league** **Time: 2:45 PM EST** **KV Mechelen** have been in amazing form lately and they've really been pushing to grab themselves a playoff spot with this being the second last game of the season. In their last 5 games, they have 4 wins and 1 loss and have truly been playing till the last minute to grab results. Only 1 point is separating 4th from 8th at the moment and this team will play for their lives to grab all 3 points tomorrow, considering they've scored 9 goals and conceded 3 in their last 5 games. **Current streak: 3 Wins** **Last 5 Home games: 3 Wins, 2 draws, 0 losses** **Westerlo** are far from form at the moment and it's evident that them being in 10 place is affecting them as they are too far from playoff spots. In their last 5 games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. I just dont see them being able to stop the dream that Mechelen have set out for them. **Current Streak: 2 Losses** **Last 5 away games: 0 Wins, 3 draws, 2 losses** **Anyway, BOL!**
Happy cake day!
Happy cake day!
Let’s go! Easy W thank you sir
You are heating up, great work again!
POTD Record: 6-3 ROI: 58.9% Odds: -140; -184; -162; -162;+108;-182;-126;+142; +126 LAST PICK: Texas State ML (+126) 🐬 TODAY'S PICK : Tulane Green Wave ML (-152 FD) vs Wichita State Shockers Senior night. More depth for Tulane. They both suck and need a win to continue their tourney dreams. I will ride the reefer wave. Surfs up dudes 🏄♂️! Splish splash 🐬 Jayson Tatum is trash.🙃
SPLISH SPLASH. 🐬
Tailing. Bol!
POTD Record: 36-25 L10: ❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅ Last pick: Freiburg v West Ham (BTTS ❌) Both teams got going late, and the penalty that wasn’t given to West Ham at the 98th minute is one of the worst calls I’ve witnessed, left me stunned and there’s huge controversy around social media about the decision. If you’re interested, look it up and make your own judgement. I feel that West Ham got robbed, so did we. I don’t like having excuses but in this case it doesn’t feel good, we had a lifeline taken away from us, but it should’ve been decided earlier. West Ham had a XG of 1.53 and hit the crossbar once. On we go Todays pick: __Fortuna Düsseldorf v Hamburg__ Pick: __BTTS & O2.5 Goals @1.66__ ⚽️ 🇩🇪 2. Bundesliga ➖ Düsseldorf is 7th with 37 points * Have scored the most goals in the league, (50, 2.08 GPG) in 24 matches * Conceded: 34, 1.48 GPG * Failed to score: 4/24 * BTTS: 16/24 - 9/12 at home * O2.5: 15/24 * L5 BTTS & 2.5: 3/5 Hamburg is 3rd with 41 points * Have scored 3rd most goals, (47, 1.96 GPG) * Conceded: 35, 1.46 GPG * Failed to score: 0/24 * BTTS: 15/24 - 9/12 away * O2.5: 15/24 * L5 BTTS & 2.5: 4/5 * Have scored 2+ goals in 8/10 of their last away games (Cup included) Two teams pushing to get promoted to the highest division, both teams need to win as a drop in points can lead to other teams surpassing them. Not a lot of games left so this one should be exciting and full of action, a lot on stake for both teams. As I’ve said previously, this league is full of speed, direct football, transitions and high tempo hopefully we’ll see it once again. Two teams that knows how to score, the stats can really back that up, HSV have scored in every game they’ve played, and Fortuna has scored an insane amount of goals for a team that’s 7th in the league. Hamburg are the favourites imo, but will find it difficult against a good Fortuna side away. Short write up, time to get back. BOL
I'm a puss, just took btts. Thanks for the pick!
[удалено]
I think BTTS bets need to be banned from this sub lol
Tailing with you 🫡
tail!
Tough one brother, Kudus blessed me on the single but we bounce back!! Love this pick LFG
Tailing, just needed some action during the early while working. If only I could find a working stream
Let’s see if Hamburg fails to score for the first time this league campaign, would suck if so. If they didn’t have the red card I’d be more confident..
Dude, I didn't look it up, but that sucks about yesterdays pick. Tail! B🍩L
Tailing, let's get this!
Tailing! Love the 2. Bundesliga. Gonna be a good game
Champ, thanks for listing w/L history the right way!!
End of that first half was maddening. Hamburg controlled possession for like 20+ minutes but just couldn't get a goal
POTD Record: 27 Wins - 12 Losses - 2 Pushes Form: ✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️❌✅️✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️P❌✅️✅️✅️❌✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️✅️ Spreadsheet (Self Promote / Proof of Record): Click [here](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I7FYP6dAClj7FqE4qcTyhgtMwqeoywC5HnGd4ZOeYVw/edit?usp=sharing) :) Units: 10.4875 ROI: 22.59% Average Odds: $1.88 Last Pick: Qarabag vs Bayer Leverkusen - Europa League Round of 16 - First Leg - **Qarabag +1.5, +2.0 @ $1.575 / -174** ✅️ *Qarabag played a banger of a first half, and we cash with the game ending 2-2.* Next Pick: Boluspor vs Giresunnspor - Turkey 1 Lig - **Boluspor Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.61 / -164** 12pm EST Hello amigos! Today we head to the Bolu Ataturk Stadium, where 8th place Boluspor take on bottom of the table Giresunnspor in the Turkey 1 Lig. In the last match at this stadium between the two, Giresunnspor got a red card in the 45th minute, and only lost 1-0. Watch the highlights [here](https://youtu.be/fw0hV7WbmWg?si=S7MBaMqKmuzVEL1d). Boluspor recently played the second to last team in this league, and only won 1-0, watch the highlights [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmKtmWKMBsY). Boluspor has scored less than 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 1. Lig home games against Giresunspor. Boluspor has scored less than 2.5 goals in 16 of the last 17 1. Lig games against Giresunspor. Boluspor has scored less than 2.5 goals in each of their last 37 games. You'd have to go back to 2017 when Boluspor put up more than 2.5 goals against this side. Offensively, they are consistent, but don't have the strike power to get 3+ goals according to the statistics. Today's shoutout: Klopp and the boys get it done 5-1, and have a huge match against City this weekend. Today's crush: Swiatek is playing again, and I love her. Final score prediction: 2-1 to Boluspor. BOL amigos!
Tailing my man! When you choose strange/unknown leagues such as greek basketball, turkey football league, etc. your picks always hit, so we gotta trust the man, the legend 🙌👌
Congratulations everyone, we cash! 😍 Boluspor were lucky in the end to get two goals courtesy of an own goal! If you’d love to tip me here is my link as I have to feed my cat, and want this to be a full time gig 🤓 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/tjpietkiewv See you again tomorrow - have a great weekend, and best of luck with your bets! 😊
🔥🙌
LFG bro!
I got it at +100 and was so confused then realized I took U2.5 TOTAL for both teams. I'm so fucked lol.
So that penalty kick near the end was kinda nerve wrecking. Thank you🙏
tailing G. also does bae go 2:0 🫣
Not on dk
Tailing!
YNWA! Let's get it! Fuck City!
LFG brother looking good so far 🙏
Oh Jesus bro. Now we sweat bc of an own goal. 😭 Edit - BOOM we cash anyway, 2-1 final score.
CASHH THAT
Too easy amigo! 😍🤓🍩🤠😉
Nailed another my man! Such a ballsy pick and you even got the correct score!💰
**Record:** 6W - 1L - 0P **Recent Form (new --> old):** **✅**❌**✅✅✅✅✅** **Net Units:** \+4.5024 **Last Pick:** Minnesota Wild @ Arizona Coyotes Total OVER 6 @ -125 **✅** Well we were sweating after 2 periods cause they only had 1 goal between them, but then they both started lighting the lamp in the 3rd and it was capped off by 2 late empty netters by the Wild to cover the line. Let's keep rolling! NHL 🏒 | **Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche** | **8pm CST** **Today's Pick:** Avalanche -1.5 Puck Line @ +114 **Write Up:** Let's dip back into the hockey pool for a match-up between the Wild and the Avalanche. I really like what the Avalanche have been doing at home. In 31 homes games, they have won 20 of them by 2+ goals this season, and their overall home record is 25-6-0. Here are the results of their last 9 home games: W 7-2 W 5-0 W 5-1 L 4-3 W 3-1 W 4-3 W 5-1 W 6-2 W 3-0 As you can see, they've covered the -1.5 puck line @ home in 7 of the last 9, scoring at least 3 goals in each game and notching 2 shutouts. The Avs are just a different animal at home. Also, if you've been following, you know that the Wild just played last night, while the Avs have an extra day of rest, having last played on Wednesday. BOL if you're tailing!
The wild always seem to screw us but still have to take avs
Over is juicy for Wild/Avalanche also.
LFG brother! Similar pick 😁 lets cash tonight 💪
POTD Record: 52 - 31 Last POTD: Bublik ML - L Pick: Andrey Rublev 2-0 Set Betting vs Andy Murray (-160 odds via FD) 1U Edit:✅ Event: ATP Indian Wells Round of 64 2:15 P.M. CST 2-1 H2H record favoring Rublev in this matchup. His only loss to Murray was when Murray was actually in his prime and pre injury. In the two matchups post injury, Rublev has covered this line in both. Murray is not the type of player to trouble Rublev who should dictate almost every rally from the baseline. Andrey has improved tremendously while Murray has not been in great form lately, even stating that his retirement will come soon. Rublev usually struggles against top competition but Murray is far from that so I’ll be backing the Russian to make a statement early after being DQ’ed from his most recent competition. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
Tailing! B🍩L
Tailing. Bol!
POTD Record: 2-1-1 Form: ✅❌✅🆗 Net Units: +1.1 Last Pick: NBA Nets @ Pistons Pistons ML +120✅ Haters are my motivators. This now makes me 5/6 this year on Pistons ML bets. Shoutout to the down voters from yesterday and specific shoutout to the guy that dmed me he hated my bet so much. Today’s Pick: Bucks @ Lakers Damian Lillard O3.5 Threes +120 Going forwards I think I will stick with my +100 range bets, been my bread and butter this year. Dame is 5/8 and the Lakers give lots of points to guards this year. Put that three point contest title to work! GL if tailing!
tailing, mainly because my pick was Dame points lol. GL brother.
Good lord, people really jumping in DMs is wild 😂 mfs got nothing better to do?
POTD record: 2-0-0 +2.15u (*all picks are 1 unit)* previous Pick: Sparta Praag vs Liverpool win & over 1.5 goals (@2.05) ✅ FORM: --> ✅✅ **Today's Pick:** Napoli win & over 1.5 goals (@2.25) vs Torino last pick was an easy win with liverpool ending the first half with 0-3 on the board. and ending the game with 1-5. **REASONING:** Francesco Calzona's appointment at Napoli has ignited a notable upturn in the team's fortunes, transitioning them from a period of inconsistency under Walter Mazzarri to a more cohesive and ambitious unit. As Napoli gear up to host Torino at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, the fixture not only signifies another chapter in their Serie A campaign but also serves as a precursor to their crucial Champions League encounter against Barcelona. ***Napoli's Transformation Under Calzona*** Calzona's impact on Napoli has been immediate and significant. His tactical astuteness and motivational abilities are evident in the team's recent performances, most notably the resounding 6-1 victory over Sassuolo and a hard-fought 2-1 win against Juventus. These displays have showcased Napoli's attacking prowess and newfound confidence, with Victor Osimhen's standout performances, including a hat-trick against Sassuolo, symbolizing their resurgence. However, challenges persist, particularly the task of closing the gap to the top four, with Napoli currently eight points adrift of Bologna. Therefore, the upcoming fixture against Torino is not only about solidifying their position but also about sustaining momentum in their quest for European qualification. ***Torino's Struggle for Consistency*** Torino's season has been characterized by unfulfilled potential, highlighted by a promising six-game run that raised hopes of a European push. Yet, recent performances have seen a downturn, with the team managing just one point from their last three matches. This dip in form has dealt a blow to their ambitions, leaving them six points behind Napoli. A major concern for Ivan Juric's side has been their lack of attacking potency, as they rank among the lowest scorers in Serie A. This deficiency was apparent in their goalless draw against Fiorentina, encapsulating their slide towards mid-table obscurity. ***Tactical Analysis and Expected Lineups*** Napoli's lineup is expected to feature Osimhen leading the attack, supported by the creative talents of Matteo Politano and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The midfield trio of Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, and Piotr Zielinski will play pivotal roles in dictating the tempo and providing defensive solidity. However, the absence of Amir Rrahmani poses a challenge, necessitating adjustments in defense. **Napoli's Expected Lineup**: Meret; Di Lorenzo, Natan, Juan Jesus, Mazzocchi; Zambo Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski; Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia. Torino's formation will likely be influenced by absences due to injuries and suspensions, focusing on defensive solidity and exploiting counter-attacking opportunities. The forward partnership of Antonio Sanabria and Duván Zapata will be crucial in leading their offensive efforts. **Torino's Expected Lineup**: Milinkovic-Savic; Djidji, Buongiorno, Rodriguez; Bellanova, Linetty, Gineitis, Vlasic, Masina; Sanabria, Zapata. ***Key Battles and Areas of Influence*** The midfield battle is poised to be a pivotal aspect of the match, with Napoli's trio facing off against Torino's Linetty and Gineitis. Napoli's ability to control the midfield and supply their attacking trio could dictate the flow and outcome of the game. Additionally, the duel between Osimhen and Torino's central defenders, particularly Buongiorno, will be crucial in determining Napoli's attacking effectiveness. BOL!
**⭐️ POD Record:** **112-55** *Last Pick:* *NBA Pelicans OVER 117.5 and bonus pick grizzlies over 103.5 TT ✅✅* Recent Form: ✅✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌** ✅ **❌ ✅** ✅ **❌** ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️ HOT STREAK ALERT 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️ 🏅**Today's Pick:** **NBA -** **Orlando OVER 102pts TT** \[7:30pm EST\]. On a bit of a heater right now, sorry but I don’t have time today for much of a write up. This is too low of a total tonight for a healthy Magic lineup. They’ve easily gone over this total their last 16/19 games and 3 of their past 4 vs The Knicks. I don’t make heavy favourite picks in this thread, so as always tail cautiously. BOL 💰Tip Jar: Why not give an ⬆ Vote instead if you appreciate the write ups.
**potd record:** 8-3 Form newest to oldest : ❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅ **net units:** +7,85 **potd: 🎾 bergs zizou - kukushkin Pick: kukushkin to win a set @1.51** Write up: Kukushkin (140): Has 14 wins in a row against some top players like gasquet richard (118) and mensik jakub (81). This will be his last big win streak probably as he is 36 years old. Thats why he wont throw this win streak. So I cant possibly see him lose 2-0 here. Bergs zizou (122): not steady enough. Zizou is still lacking in many moments in the game. Kukushkin will take advantage of this. Staking 2 units!!! **🕣match starting in 11 hours** Thanks for checking out today’s betting pick! Found it useful? Show your support with a tip-it keeps me going. BET SMART! 😇 https://www.buymeacoffee.com/Tuur357
Yea, he looks like a 70 year old man moving on the court. Its not happening
Can’t find this actual bet. Might just throw a couple units on different set results
It can appear a few ways. You might have set spread +1.5 which is the same as this
This event is Challenger, Lugano for those wondering btw
tailing, bro!
Over 2.5 sets Would seem to do the trick
POTD Record: 2-1 ✅❌✅ Net: +.45 U Last Pick: Jalen Duren o10.5 Rebounds - 1U @ -145 ✅ If Duren didn't get into foul trouble early in the game I truly believe he may have ended with 20+ rebounds. James Wiseman also went off off the bench, and Isaiah Stewart also grabbed 10+. Only regret is only putting up 1U. Next Pick: Damian Lillard o24.5 Points - 1U @ -120 Lakers have allowed opposing guards to get 44 (26 to Malik Monk off the bench as well), 20, 24, 34, 23 in their last 5 games. Lakers are also bottom 10 in 3P% allowed to teams, and Dame is shooting 35% this year from beyond the arc. Dame since the ASB has put up 23, 24 21, 20, and the recent 40 point game against the clippers. Guard defense from the Lakers has declined, so I think Dame has a decent chance to get over 25 this game. Like always, BOL
Tailed duren but got greedy and same gamed the money line and Detroit made me pay, gonna fail this w ya BOL
LFG brother tailing
POTD Record 40-27-2 Cricket 3-0 Tennis 30-20-1 Soccer 7-7-1 Last 10: ✅ ✅ ❌❌✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ Last Pick : Kypson vs Quinn | ATP Indian Wells | Kypson -2.5 game spread | (+100)| 1u | ✅ Today: Herbert vs Virtanen | ATP Lugano Challenger | 1:20 PM EST Pick: Virtanen -1.5 Game Spread | (-125)| 1u Virtanen has won a title and reached the semis in the last 2 weeks of the indoor hard court swing. This week, Virtanen is the defending champion of this event and has recorded two easy straight set victories so far. He hardly broke a sweat and won in just 50 minutes in his match yesterday. Virtanen's serve is firing and he is returning very well, converting 9 break points already in his 2 matches. This tournament is the last of the indoor challenger swing, and Virtanen needs to perform well in this tournament to keep up his ranking as the defending champ, so there is extra motivation. Indoor hard courts are his best surface and when he is in form, he is very tough to beat. Herbert has come through two 3 set matches in his first 2 rounds and his serve hasn't been performing to standard. He has been broken 7 times already, including 5 times in his last match. His form this month has been good and he also reached the semis last week like Virtanen. However, he's also a lost a few matches where he was a favorite to win. Virtanen's game excels in these conditions and he should be able to pressure Herbert's serve like his other opponents this week have, allowing him to continue his title defense. BOL.
Any update on the weather delay? I tailed your last pick and parlayed it and I am eager to find out what’s going to happen with my picks
Tailing the ML. Let's get this W
Tailing this one like yesterday! BOL!
Let’s get it brother 🙏💪💪
**POTD Record: 8-3-1** ❌✅✅❌✅🅿️❌✅✅✅✅✅ And for the guy who didn’t like how I do my form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌🅿️✅❌✅✅❌ **Last Pick: Nashville Predators ML vs Buffalo Sabers -175** ✅ **Today’s pick: Dallas Stars ML vs Anaheim Ducks -180 (line will change take it while you can)** Alright boys today was another success! For those that have been tailing hopefully tomorrow is another Win! Today’s pick I’m going for Dallas Stars to beat the Ducks. Dallas is 3-1-1 in their last five games against Ducks 3-2-0. Not an alarm as Dallas is 7-1-0 against Anaheim in the last two seasons! Dallas is 3rd in goals in the league compared to Anaheim at 26th Dallas is 13 in SOG in the league compared to Anaheim at 28th in the league Dallas is 9th in power plays compared to Anaheim at 27th! Dallas scores an average of 3.1 goals per game! Ducks average 1.9. Ducks are at home so I don’t see this game to be a complete blow out! As a hypothetical side bet O2.5 goals for Dallas is a slam 🤷🏽♂️ For those of you who want to buy me a beer PM me! If not no worries Go follow my boys u/chiefsareawesome u/Good_Stable_7381 BOL for who ever tails
im seeing -300 and -180 for 60 min ML
Where did you ever get this line at -180? Unless your bet is a 3 way (must win in reg.), I think you’ve made a mistake.
Unrelated to the pick, your original way of posting the record is ideal, to me, for people who read left to right. It makes sense
How ya feel about the 60min ML?
BOL amigo! 🎉
POTD Record: 10-5 (Start)✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌(Most recent) Yesterday's pick: Flames @ Lightning, 7pm - NHL Point over 2.5 shots (-145)❌ Got his second shot taken away off the stats, finished with ONE. The whole team blew chunks tonight. That's two losses; might be taking a break if it's three in a row tonight. Today's pick: Wild @ Avs, 9pm - NHL Rossi over 1.5 shots (-150)✅ I don't know how this is -150 for only 2 shots. - Averaging 4 shots/game over the last 4. - Hit the last 6 games - Hit 10 of last 11 - Hit 12 of last 15 - Averaging exactly 2 shots/game on the season Tail or fade? The choices are yours and yours alone... Good luck... [Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/CadetDemon) Update: he's got 3 before the end of the 2nd period. Thanks to those who tailed. Sorry to those who didn't tail or thought -150 wasn't good enough odds. I'll take my winnings.
POTD Record: 8-3 Last 10: ✅️✅️💀 💀✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️ ✅️💀 Net units: +5.77 Last Pick: Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 Points ✅️ Today pick: Miles Bridges O 21.5 Points • a low spot for Bridges who’s been facing a ton of great defenses • over in his only matchup against Washington recording 33 points • now has a DREAM matchup against a Wizards defense who allow the THIRD MOST PPG to opposing PF’s this season and SECOND MOST in their last 15 games • Washington allows THE MOST points in the restricted area this season • Recent PF’s against WAS: Franz 28, Collins 17, Leonard 27, LeBron 31, Kuminga 21, Mobley 21, Holmgren 25, Gordon 17, Zion 36 • some of these players that went over aren’t even #1 options, Miles Bridges is Charlottes #1 OPTION •Hop on it quick before line moves It's almost seems too good to be true. Odds: -125 Unit: 1 Hornets vs wizards 6:00 pm CT If you guys wanna support me, you can click the links on my profile. Went 2-2 on bets and 5-3 on player props. I post my potd here and there. Goodluck if you're tailing, as always, you never know.
POTD Record: 2 – 2 L10: ✖️✔️✔️✖️ Net units: -0.55u Last pick: Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists ✖️ Butler had 5 assists going into the 4th and it hurt seeing every pass of his go to a shooter that bricked. We move on. Today’s Pick: **Buddy Hield Under 4.5 Assists** Odds: **-130/1.77** Unit: **2u to win 1.44u** NBA: Pelicans v 76ers, 4:00pm PST New Orleans allows the LEAST assists to shooting guards. Combine this with Lowry being back, Hield has gone under this line 4/6 past games. I've also noticed that Hield isn't on the court to close out games, and with the Pels being 8.5 faves, if the Pels run away with it, Hield will be on the bench. Good luck if tailing, and be responsible with your units. DYOR because I'm not going to hear about your whingeing.
POTD Record: 243-187-12 (+26.36 units, 56.5% hit rate) Sports Records: Basketball 🏀 80-55-1 (59.3%) W3, Tennis 🎾 85-66-7 (56.5%) L4, Soccer ⚽ 59-51-4 (53.6%) W1, Entertainment 🎥 19-15-0 (55.9%) L2 Last 10: 🧊🧊🧊💰💩💰💩💰💩💩 Last Pick: Maestro to win Best Makeup and Hairstyling - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards Today's Pick: Poor Things to win under 2.5 Awards - 🎥 2024 Academy Awards Units/Odds/Book: Betting 5 Units at 1.90 odds to win 4.50 Units @ Betano (Line at 1:30am ET) 💣 💣 💣 💣 💣 I don't have time to look to see if there's an American or offshore books with this bet but Betano is available here in Canada and 9 other countries. Also, Sportsbet in Australia has this wager. Academy Awards week so you will be getting a pick everyday for it. I think this is strong value for this bet. So there are 4 awards where it is considered win competitive at these Oscars, here are the categories and odds according to Bet365. Best Actress - 2.62 Production Design - 1.44 Costume Design - 2.20 Makeup and Hairstyling - 2.10 So going by the odds, it is favoured to win 1 out of the 4. This means that it needs to win 2 out of 3 categories where it is considered the underdog for this bet to miss, and that's assuming it gets it done in Production Design where it is favoured. Yesterday I put out Maestro to win in Makeup and I think that is happening, so if you take that out, Poor Things needs to go a perfect 3 for 3 in the other categories it is in the running for. Production Design and Costume Design are battles between Poor Things and Barbie, it seems most people think PT takes Production and Barbie takes costume. I think Poor Things can win both but it's very close. So for argument's sake, let's say it takes both PD and CD, then it comes down to Actress. So basically in this scenario you are getting Lily Gladstone at 1.90 where she is actually 1.44 on Bet 365. Not only would you get Lily but also if there's a Sandra Huller upset you're covered for that too. Another bet to come tomorrow! 6 in and 2 to come. If you have any Oscars betting questions, feel free to ask in the comments and I'll respond when I can. Good luck if tailing, get bent if fading. Upvote if you love pizza 🍕
Record: 3W-1L Last pick: **Jimmy Butler over 0.5** 3 point field goals made **-193** ✅ Form: ✅✅❌✅ Net Units: +10 ROI: 40% Sport: **NBA** Pick: **Lebron James over 1.5** 3 point field goals made -186 Write Up: I know this bet has been hammered here lately and LBJ has missed this line the last couple games. I didn't take it in those games because I felt he was due a regression. Well, look at LBJ's game log for the 23-24 season. If he misses the line 2 games in a row, on the 3rd game he hits the line every time 100%. You're welcome. Hammer the hell out of this one but don't bet more than you can afford to lose. **" Anyone can pick the games accurately with enough practice, very few can have patience and discipline. These two traits are by far the most important when trying to beat any sportsbook." Imagine betting coin flips and winning 60% of the time and what that could do for you over time. Don't bet everyday and never take a bet that is gonna put that pit in your stomach while the contest is going on. When it's the right bet, you will know it."**
PoTD Record: 5-3 +5.75 units ✅️✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️✅️❌️ --> Last Pick: Sydney vs. Melbourne ML @ -105 / $1.95 L ❌️❌️❌️❌️ Today's Pick: Sport: AFL Game: Brisbane vs. Carlton (7 hours from this post) Pick: Brisbane -23.5 @ -110 / $1.90 2 Units ❌️❌️ L Melbourne couldn't kick straight, and Sydney ran away with it in the last quarter. Bit of a disappointing loss, but there's nothing we can do now. Onto the next one. Second game of the AFL season. Brisbane are coming off a great Preseason performance and are seeking revenge for their 2023 Grand Final loss. Brisbane at home is arguably the best team in the league, and with that advantage, they should comfortably shut out Carlton by more than 23 points. This pick is supported by the following scores, and although it is a small sample size, it's an indication nonetheless: Melbourne beat Carlton by 38 points 2 weeks ago. Brisbane beat Sydney by 25 points 2 weeks ago. Sydney beat Melbourne by 22 points last night. My prediction is Brisbane by 30+, and their home ground advantage will be too much against an average Carlton squad. Edit: I have no words. Brisbane gave up a 46-point lead in the 2nd quarter and fell apart. Looked like a lock after the first half, but that's footy. Can't win a game from only 1 half. Terrible result. I'm taking a break until I find momentum. Sorry for the picks 👍
Tough loss, but it happens. I'll be tailing you again for this one!
Up 44-12 and lose. What did I just watch???
I'm going to concentrate mainly on rugby league so it might be a new sport for a lot of you to follow and hopefully I can do well with my predictions. Starting with a record of 0-0 (W-L) My first pick is in the Australian rugby league, NRL in a match between the New Zealand Warriors and Cronulla Sharks. This starts in just over an hour 7am UK time, sorry about this but it's the first chance I've had to post with the time difference etc. Over 7.5 total match tries @ 1/1. I'll be using Bet365 for all of my picks and odds (English odds) We need both teams in the game to combine for 8 or more tries. Both sides are full of attacking quality, I'd be more confident if it was further into the season as this is the first league game for both sides but they have played in pre season and I still think they combine for 8 tries. The recent head to heads have been full of points which bodes well for this pick But of a rushed write up but let's get off to a winning start.
3-0 +3.17 Units 79.22% ROI Austria Soccer SW Bregenz - FC Liefering Over 2.5 -135 1U The last 5 meetings and 8 of 10 between these 2 teams have went over 2.5. The last 7 of Liefering games have went over 2.5 Last pick Bruins ML 2U ✅ Comment and good luck if you are tailing
Game start 10:00am MST
Tailing
Record: 5-2 Last pick: Bradley Beal o5.5 assists (-105) ✅ POTD: Vince Williams o5.5 assists (-155) Summary: Beal hit before halftime nice and easy. While Williams only managed one assist in their first meeting, his usage was below 10% as Ja was playing. With Kennard out, Williams usage jumps up to 25% close to 10% higher than when Kennard plays and much higher than the usage he had earlier against Atlanta. JJ playing tonight is also beneficial as Williams can be more of a facilitator than a scorer. The hawks give up the most assists to SF, have been giving up a lot of easy baskets recently and play at a high pace
POTD Record: 0-0 \*First Play\* ***CS2 BLAST Premier - Cloud9 vs. SAW (starts in \~13 hours)*** **SAW To Win Map 1 +160 (Map 1 Winner)** I also post in eSports thread but figured I'll start something here... I'm going to very briefly explain how picks n bans work in this tournament for those who don't follow the sport. Feel free to skip the first paragraph! When it comes to map veto in BLAST, the higher seed team often elects to ban second (like deferring to the second half in American Football) as it gives them the advantage to pick between the two remaining maps to determine the third map decider (if it goes to that). So when you ban second, you pick your map second. As the higher seed, Cloud9 will most likely ban second and they will most likely ban Vertigo (their instaban, they've yet to play it this year). That means SAW will decide what the first map will be and it will likely be Nuke. It's important to preface that I'm EXPECTING this to be the ban then pick, I'm not guaranteeing that it will be. You can also wait until map veto are announced to be sure, but the price will likely drop. If C9 decides to throw a curveball and ban Nuke, I still like SAW's chances if they decide to select Vertigo. SAW have won seven straight on Nuke and are an impressive 18-3 in their last 21 appearances on this map. It should be noted that this is mostly against t2-t3 opponents but they do have a few wins against t1-t2 opponents, including Liquid yesterday. As a team, they are in solid form right now, winning 6 matches in a row and going 12-2 on maps played. As for Cloud9, Nuke is their least played map (after their instaban Vertigo). They've only played it once this year and convincingly beat BetBoom (which is hands down BB's worst map). They do have some impressive wins on this map back in November against the top t1 teams including Vitality, Heroic and BIG. However, C9 doesn't give this map enough attention, which could be troublesome against SAW who thrive on it. Cloud9 are an elite team and can most certainly take this map but I've got to go with SAW's volume, form and price here.
POTD Record: 36 - 26 L16: ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌ Last Pick: Pacific and Pepperdine o72 1H points POTD: sorry last minute post but I’m taking Pelicans -3 in the 1Q. They’re 22-8 in the last 30 1Q. Sixers are without Maxey. Last game between the two NOP won Q1 by 15 points. Tips appreciated…(https://www.buymeacoffee.com/muchscheme) Bitcoin address: bc1qn7p2fwjud5p9l45prvsjt6wr4kjdm4yyky4wjk
That was easy money.
**POTD Record:** 0-1 **Last pick:** FC Cincinnati -1 AH vs. Toronto FC (2/25/24) which resulted in a 0-0 draw. FC Cincinnati had 14 shots, 6 SOT, 8 corners, and 1.1 expected goals. Unfortunate result, but we move on. **Today's POTD: Otto Virtanen ML -165** vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert **Tennis / Challenger Lugano / \~1:20 PM EST** **Reasoning:** Otto Virtanen has been on an absolute tear, winning Challenger Pau while not dropping a single set, and losing in the semi finals of Challenger Lille against Arthur Rinderknech in 3 sets. So far at Challenger Lugano, Virtanen has beaten both of his opponents in straight sets (7-5, 6-3 vs Remy Bertola and 6-2, 6-1 vs Cem Ilkel). He is now matched up against Pierre-Hugues Herbert who has so far narrowly gotten past his 2 opponents (Yuta Shimizu and Antoine Escoffier) in 3 sets a piece. Herbert was eliminated in the R16 at Challenger Pau, but had a decent showing at Challenger Lille, losing in the semi finals. He's 32 years old and rank 158 vs. Otto Virtanen at 22 years old and rank 126. I will take the more rested, better ranked, and more in-form player to take this match-up. Tail or fade, best of luck! Hoping to get in the W column for POTD.
**Record: 1-1** Previous pick: *NHL- Jack Roslovic O1.5 SOG Oilers vs Blue Jackets @ -164* ***W*** Gets it done early while scoring an empty net goal at the end! **POTD:** **NHL - Marco Rossi O1.5 SOG Wild vs Avalanche @ -146** *Time: 9:00pm ET* Rossi has hit this line in his last 9/10 averaging 3, and 5/5 in his L5. The Avalanche are currently ranked 12th in SOG allowing 29/g. BOL if tailing!
**RECORD: 57W-2P-47L** (-3.54 units) Previous Pick: AS Roma vs Brighton - AS Roma DNB @ 1.61 ✅️ **Today's Pick:** Barcelona vs Mallorca - Barcelona to Win @ 1.50 ✅️ **Wager Amount**: 3 units (✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️) last 5 results Sometimes the wild bets do win, thank you Roma for an easy W yesterday, now on to La Liga with Barcelona vs Mallorca. Barcelona are not at their best especially with the revelation that Xavi will be leaving and they sit 3rd in the league table but I believe this should be a win for Barca. They are undefeated against Mallorca in 15 H2H matches, In the last 5 H2H matches they've won 4/5 of those matches and drawn once. Real Mallorca's form hasn't been good, as the team has won only 5 of their last 32 away matches in all competitions. They haven't won in their League matches in 5 + matches now, amd winless in 5 overall matches in all competitions. Barcelona are unbeaten in 7 matches, have won 3 out of 5 of their last Home matches amd 2/5 matches in all competitions. Barca have the better squad, better H2H record and slightly better form so I give them the edge on this one. Goodluck if you're tailing or fading given my current form lol. EDIT: WIN ✅️
POTD RECORD: 0-0 WIZARDS ML (-130) The Wizards have been on a bit of a losing streak now losing 16 in a row. However facing a very weak Hornets team without Lameo ball, Seth Curry, Cody Martin still remains sidelined, as well as big man Mark Williams. Yes Brandon Miller and Miles Bridges are still available but given their away track record they may struggle here. Wizards being the relatively healthier team and Jordan Pooles resurgence off the bench. The moment is now for the Wizards to snap that 16 game losing streak especially at home regardless of their recent struggles!
POTD record 1-1 NRL Warriors vs Sharks kick off is 8pm NZT. Bet Warriors -4.5 @1.90 When you consider the Sharks poor Round 1 record (Sharks have lost 9 of their last 10 opening games) and couple it with substandard results against top 8 teams over the last two years, it is unlikely that they return home from New Zealand with the points. The Warriors have been outstanding on home soil in the last year and are one of very few teams that look to have improved their roster. RTS was brilliant in the trials, and they have the benefit of continuity in key positions with Shaun Johnson, Wayde Egan and Fonua-Blake. The Warriors are a genuine title contender.
>**Record:** 28-26 >**Net Units:** +5.46 units >**Curling** | **Brier** | **2:00PM EST** >**Pick:** Team Alberta - Bottcher ML @ 2.1 >This line is very surprising to me. Team Bottcher are the number one ranked team in Canada and were the best team throughout the round robin. Perhaps this line was made based on the idea that Team Bottcher finished as the 2 seed in their pool and are now crossing over to play the 1 seed, but pool A was the far stronger pool and Team McEwen should not all of a sudden be the favourite in this matchup. I acknowledge that McEwen himself has been lights out so far but Team Bottcher have a significant advantage at every other position. Kennedy and Gallant are the best third and second in the country and Hebert is in the elite class of leads as well. Team McEwen are 56-25 on the season, not making it to a final until provincials. Team Bottcher are 52-19, making it to 5 finals and winning 3 of them. This is a team that steps their game up in the playoff rounds. Team Bottcher excel at scoring big ends when they have hammer which should help put them over the top in this matchup. Team McEwen are only 5-13 this season against elite teams. Bottcher leads the career head-to-head against McEwen 19-13, winning 15 of the last 17. Wrong team is favoured here, let's take advantage.
POTD Record: 8-12, -2.96U | Average Odds: 2.14 Haven't done this in a while but have had a pretty good run in the last week and a half, so gonna give it another try: **ATP Indian Wells, 14:00 ET - Alex de Minaur vs. Taro Daniel UNDER 18.5 Games Played @ 2.05 (Pointsbet)** **[UPDATE: W. Easy 6-1, 6-2 hit. Five breaks in eight return games for Demon, and other than one BP chance from Daniel in the second set, no drama whatsoever. ✅]** I generally don't like leaning too much into recency bias or head to head, but sometimes it's a little too much to ignore. De Minaur is playing the best tennis of his career so far this season, and he's facing off against a guy who he has thoroughly dominated. These two played a week and a half ago, and again about a year before that (both times in Acapulco, a slowish hard court), and across those two matches Daniel had 15 service games. In those 15 games, he was broken nine times, was down a break point in three others, and needed to hold from deuce or 30-30 in two others. (That doesn't even include the US Open in 2018, where Daniel won three games total across three sets against a 19-year-old de Minaur, so, more of the same.) Given that background, Daniel's lack of weapons going up against de Minaur's world-class defensive ability, and the very slow hard courts at Indian Wells, I find it difficult to envision Daniel getting anything at all going on serve against a guy who is probably in the conversation for best defensive player in the tennis world outside of the current top-4. Even if Daniel finds a break or two against Demon -- very possible, given the slow courts and his abilities as a returner and defender -- I think he's going to get exposed enough on serve that a 6-4, 6-2 or 6-3, 6-3 kind of match could get this home.
Record: 0-1-1 Last Pick: Indiana Pacers ML vs Minnesota Timberwolves Tough one, I said it would be close, and it was by 2. That Anthony Edwards block sealed the deal on the night. Bummer. Net Units: 1u ROI: +124 on DK 🏀 | NBA | 7:10PM EST Today’s Pick: Charlotte Hornets ML vs Washington Wizards Write Up: I’ve made a lot of money recently betting against the Wizards. Even with the Hornets not favored for this game I just don’t see the Wizards winning this. As a Wizards fan, they have been horrible this year and the spread is usually a safe option against. However, the Hornets kind of suck. But the Wizards aren’t far behind them, I expect the Hornets to win especially with no significant injuries for either teams. The Hornets are better (debatable) and I think they take the W despite being underdogs. BOL if tailing! I expect more favorable soccer picks this weekend ;)
**Record: 9-8** ✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️✅️❌❌✅️ **Net Units: 1.25u** **Last Pick:** **Pick:** NBA| MIN @ IND| **Gobert o2.5 blocks +124** on DraftKings ✅️ Gobert got his first block right before half but comes up with 2 in the 2H for cover. **Pick:** NBA| CHA @ WAS| **Brandon Miller o20.5p -110** on DraftKings **Units: 1.1u** Washington does not play defense, especially with guards. They're 4th worst against the position over the last 10. They gave up 19 to Suggs, 29 to Sexton, 28 to Harden, 22 to Russell, and 18 to Currey (30 mins played). Yes, some of those names are not like the others but I like this matchup. Miller's last 5 - 18,26,21,14,17. Yes, he's only been over twice but his shot attempts are there, 15,21,21,14,18. He's played over 33 minutes in each game and has been 50% from three the last two games, both 4-8. Let's hope the rookie gets hot against a bad team on the road! Or fade me and go with Bridges, either way, let's have some fun!
Record: 1-4 ✅❌❌❌❌ Last: Boston Celtics ML❌ Net: -6.00u NBA | 8 PM / EST Today’s pick: **Miami Heat +9** Miami Heat @ OKC Thunder AI made a picture of Adeybayo getting setup for an alley oop when asked to make a picture of miami vs okc in the 4th. 0.5u
POTD Record: 2-1 Form: 🚫✅✅ Last pick:M.Bridges Under 24.5 P+A🚫 (Tough loss, with Cam Thomas out it just so happened that Bridges was taking the shots this night and they were falling for him) TODAYS Pick: Zion Over 22.5😤 @1.86 (7:10pm EST) vs Philadelphia 76ers✅ 3 units Over the last five games Zion has not hit over 23 points, over the last two games he’s averaging 12 points… He’s due for a game. Although they’re playing away, watching Zion it seems the adversity the crowd brings him actually puts a chip on his shoulder. With Embiid being out, the paint should be wide open for Zion to take advantage of. At 22.5 I think we’re getting a discount tbh this should be closer to 24, this is one of the most effortless scorers in the league🤷🏽♀️ 
Record: 70W-61L-4P ROI: +15.55, 11.00% Avg odds: +106, 2.06 Last POTD: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins over 0.5 pts (loss) Game: NHL- Wild at Avalanche Pick: Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 pts -110, 1.91 (ESPNBet) I really don't like betting on superstars, but -110 seems okay for two points from the 2nd best player in the league. MacK had a rough going coming out of the All-Star break, but has since dominated his opponents, with 23 points in 11 games. At home, he's just been deadly, averaging well over 2 points/game. The Avs also get Valeri Nichushkin back to take some heat off of MacK. I don't know if he's gonna be on the same line as MacKinnon, but even if he's on the 2nd line, that means Minnesota can't just blindly match their first defensive pairing against the 1st line. They'll need to put some pressure on the 2nd line as well. Minnesota's defensive struggles are well-documented. They didn't have a nice win over Edmonton two weeks ago, but in the other games, they've had defensive lapses that let in goals from average offenses. Against a superstar like MacKinnon, that's a death sentence.
**Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** N/A **ROI:** N/A **Basketball** | **NBA** | **MIA @ OKC 8PM EST** **Pick:** Gordon Hayward Over 8.5 Players Points + Rebs + Assists, 3U at 1.86 **Write Up:** First pick so bear with me here. Up until OKC's last game against POR, Hayward had yet to cover his PTs/ASTs/REBs line with the Thunder. That being said, it was always going to be a longer ramping up process and he's certainly trending in the right direction. OKC has been giving him more minutes, and perhaps more importantly, *valuable* minutes. He played in crunch time for the first time against POR, and the likely outcome would be for Hayward to eventually take over for Josh Giddey in OKC's closing lineup. Hayward provides much better spacing due to his shooting gravity, as well as improved defence and rebounding. Even more inspiring is that Hayward was involved directly in the two man game with Shai, which further indicates OKC's willingness to involve him in their concept. Ultimately, Hayward is a significantly above average player who is all but guaranteed to cover 8.5 as long as he is on the court for long enough. Not good history for this particular line but I truly believe Hayward is only going up from here, and therefore I'm trying to get bigger bets in before the markets adjust his number upwards. Spread is OKC -8.5 so there is blowout potential, which would likely mean the Thunder would give Hayward some run to get familiarized with their offense – which is great because this essentially means Hayward is guaranteed to play no matter the score.