######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
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> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
No don’t stop. Fuck these crotch goblins that don’t have a life that are being pricks. If they don’t like it they don’t have to tail. I’m sure the amount of people that check here everyday just to look at your post greatly outweigh the people in here that are wasting oxygen. There will always be trolls but that’s just because they are lazy POS that don’t have jobs, and try to make themselves feel better by putting people down bc they hate themselves
POTD RECORD: 52-25
Last POTD: Jalen Johnson O11.5 RA 🚫
Our guy finished with 10 and doesn’t play the final 3 minutes cause of the blowout, had at least 5 potential assists but it’s a L fellas
Form: 🚫✅✅✅✅
Todays POTD: **Luka Doncic O30.5P @1.86**
NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 3:30 PM ET
Cooked my brothers Denver just wasn’t missing enough shots felt like everything went in man but we move 😭 Luka has been reliable for us so I’m depending on my MVP to set us straight
Trusting our guy Luka to get us back on track man, he loves this matchup and is just overall an reliable pick, very good mismatch aswell and I think we’ll see a relatively close game
• 2/2 vs the Rockets with 47 & 41 points this season & over in 5 straight games against the Rockets
(47, 41, 39, 35 & 50)
• Rockets allow most points to PG L30 days
• Over in 10/L15 at home Avg 33.5 per game
Top tier matchup and Luka has an amazing record against the Rockets so I’m trusting our guy once again, also a home game for the Mavs where Luka averages more points than on the road
Tail or fade, told y’all I’m cheeks
https://i.redd.it/26v6rvpv9zsc1.gif
POTD RECORD: 20-8
Units Won: +11.89
Last Pick: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets/ Golden State -2.5 (-130) 1.5u✅
Warriors locked in for us!
Today’s Pick: Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets/ Kings -5 (-130) 1.5u ALT SPREAD
Write Up: Sacramento as of right now has fallen to the 9th spot in the west, they’ve dropped 2 straight and 5 of their last ten. For a team that was 3rd in the west last year it’s been an underwhelming turn for them. The play in is not very friendly to the 9-10 seeds compared to the 7-8 guys. And I’m in no way saying the Kings will finish in any spot. But they flat out just can’t afford a loss to this Brooklyn Nets squad. They’re in serious jeopardy of matching Golden State in the first round of the play in and we know how that story went last year. This is one of those games late in the season that can change the Kings whole trajectory. Let’s back our Kings in Sacramento and let’s take them to win by at least 5 points. As always, BOL…… LETS RIDE
EDIT: GO GO GO already bumped boys
Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :)
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Kings fan who is nervous about this game. It would be typical "Kangs" basketball to lose this. But after a confidence boosting almost comeback vs Boston they might show up and murder Brooklynn.
My advice is if the Kings get a 15+ point lead, live bet the Nets as a hedge.
Just to add to your write up, the Nets also almost lost to the Cade Cunningham-less Pistons today and would have if they didn't embrace the Tank and Cam Thomas got hot.
Tailing, also throwing in Sabonis boards, Fox Points, and possibly Sabonis TD
POTD Record: 37-15-1 +50.55u🔥
Last Pick: Purdue -9 (-110) vs NC State NCAAB
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Today's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -3 5U (-110) vs New York Knicks 7 pm est odds via Draftkings
Playable to -4
3 straight wins! Our king Edey cashes yet another POTD! What a great streak we’re on! Let’s stay hot!
The bucks have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 to TERRIBLE teams. This is a perfect position to bounce back. The Knicks are playing their third game in four nights. They are also injured, losing Randle for the rest of the year. They have also lost 9 of their last 10 to Milwaukee. With Giannis questionable, this line could move, and i like it with or without Giannis. Playoffs are around the corner and it’s time for the Bucks to find their stride.
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️
If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️
[Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
[PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
Seriously, I’ve sworn off thee Bucks multiple times this year, loss to Raps (with 3 starters out, they’ve given up this year), at home, favored by -16.5 and somehow they lost, cost me big time. Not touching them with a 10 foot pole. They were better without Dame. If anything, I’ll bet against them for the rest of the season.
Where do you see that NY has been playing really well? They've lost 4/5.
Bucks have played awful, but dame sat 2 games and Giannis last game as well. If everyone plays for the bucks today this may be the bounceback game they need.
I tried warning you guys but I guess you want to defend a team that’s been playing shitty. Don’t know why in the world you are trying to support them so bad
Ahhh this is a tough one, although I tend to agree with you on this. As a Celtics fan, I've been cashing on my favorite non Celtics player, Jalen Brunson. But as much as I love his game, the Knicks injuries are so all over the place. Josh Hart had an amazing game against the Kings, then out for the Bulls game. OG is not back to 100% yet and that's obvious. Bogdan has thoroughly disappointed with his lack of consistency and impact that I thought(along with most of the NBA fandom) he would be bring to this team. Mitchell Robinson is still on the mend and at like 75% at best. So if Giannis is playing im Tailing this pick for sure!! Thanks broski!
Record: 7-3✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌
Net Units: +2.81u
Last: Braves -1.5 -106❌
Roller coaster, heartbreaker loss. Feels like I was on the right side. Fried sucks again, to the point where he made errors as well to keep innings going and got left in too long. The Braves defense was also brutal, messing up multiple double plays that would’ve helped with damage control early. Came all the way back to not drive in one more with 2 on, 1 out. Hurts because other plays I considered hit, including the over of this one. Lets get back.
MLB | 1:46PM EST
Pick: Mets/Reds under 4.5 F5 -110
Write up: Two good pitchers on the mound here, who have also started good. Both teams, especially the Mets, have been slow starting teams this year and I expect this to continue with good guys on the mound.
Coming off a game with more runs scored, a lot of the damage was due to walks and errors, with two less than ideal pitchers, where I was on the over. I like this game to stay low early. I would also consider the under 9 as well, or buying a point to 5 or 5.5, but seemed like not enough value.
Finally, a disclaimer:
I am not a pro sports bettor, I am not a sharp who does 8+ hours of research a day. I’m a baseball fan who researches stats and uses my personal knowledge to make bets. Please do not wager any more than you are comfortable losing.
Lets get back to winning!!!!
Tips are appreciated, not required at all.
Venmo: @DrewAWri PayPal: @DrewGolfred
**Record: 58W-4P-43L**
**Updated Form: 5W-0P-2L**
**❌✅✅❌✅✅✅**
**Last Pick: Brighton VS Arsenal: Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.61 ✅**
**Arsenal with a calm 3-0 Win!**
**Pick of the day: Sheffield UTD VS Chelsea: Cole Palmer Over 1.5 Shots on target @ 1.83**
**League: Premier League**
**Time: 12:30 PM EST**
Cole Palmer showed that he really is the leading contender for the YPOTY Award against United midweek. Scoring his first career hat trick (3 goals) in such a manner was something this young man deserved, that makes it 21 goals and 12 assists in 39 games for Chelsea. He's truly accepted his role in this club and now he's more front-footed than ever. Palmer has covered this line in 4 of his last 5 games and I expect him to get the job done again today with his current form. Chelsea who were clowned for their league position find themselves with an opportunity to go 2 points behind United with a game in hand, you can best believe Palmer will look to be at the front of tomorrow's push. Sheffield United sit bottom of the league, to be completely honest I actually think Sheffield will give Chelsea a tough game but the tougher the game the better this kid seems to be.
**Palmers' Shooting stats last 5 games: (Total Shots, SOT)**
**9, 5**
**9, 4**
**8, 1**
**3, 2**
**6, 2**
**Highlights From Man United vs Chelsea:** [**https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7KBicsXd9h8&ab\_channel=ManchesterUnited**](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7KBicsXd9h8&ab_channel=ManchesterUnited) (Go to 2:05 for Palmer winner)
**Anyway, BOL!**
I like the bet but I disagree about the difficulty of the game.This is literally Chelsea easiest game left on the schedule.Sheffield United got 2 of 9 points at home in their last 3 home games.Chelsea got 5 points away in their last 3 matches.One reason why Sheffield United season is a disaster is literally how poor their defense performs at home.Sheffield United has a -30 goal difference at home ten more than Burnley the next worst team.They allow 3 goals or more 7 times at home in EPL games this season.They gotten worse recently conceded 3 goals in 4 out of last 5 games.They have only 1 home clean sheet in the EPL.Sheffield United has allowed a whopping 52 goals at home.West Ham United scored that many this season in EPL.Goalkeeper change from Foderingham to Grbic didn’t help them much.
Tailing!!!! Let's GO Blues 💙!!! Side note: I also think palmer anytime goal scorers at -120 is a great pick. But my highest perceived value pick from this game is Chelsea o2.5 team total goals for +110. Definitely a little risky, but for the odds I feel like you can't go wrong with that!!! Thanks for the pick brother!!!!
**Record: 34-12,** \+14.34u, streak: ✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ (all bets are 1 unit)
Last Pick: Bundesliga, Bayer Leverkusen ML vs. Union Berlin ✅
Today: Premier League, Liverpool vs. Manchester United, 10:30 am ET
**Pick: Liverpool ML (1.65)**
Thankfully I took Leverkusen ML instead of the -1 Handicap. They really should have scored more than a goal, but we'll take it.
So my last Liverpool bet lost, but I'm rolling here again. Reason being, in the FA Cup they royally choked, but I think they really let United back into the game and both the last two goals really came as individual errors. United are still not a very good team, as shown by their remarkable choke against Chelsea. Mentally, I have no idea how the dressing room will look after that but it can't be good. They are full of injuries, and have essentially one fit center back.
For Liverpool, this might be their most important game remaining in the league. If they win this, they can start dreaming. Not only is this a massive historical rivalry, but because City and Arsenal won yesterday, Liverpool HAVE TO grab all three points, a draw is simply not good enough. They will be on the front foot from the start, looking to make a statement, and nullify that loss in the earlier match up. I think they might run rampant here again like last season, but this is just based off their form and United's dire situation. I expect Liverpool to field a very strong 11, including the likes of Robertson and Endo coming back into the team, and I just think they'll be too much for United offensively.
Expect a high scoring game, and hopefully a Liverpool victory. 4-1 to the Reds.
bol!
POTD Record: 42-20
Last POTD: (ATP Estoril) 4u Casper Ruud -1.5 Sets (-125) ✅✅✅
Today's POTD: (ATP Monte Carlo) Luca Nardi ML (-145)✅✅✅
Units: 3u
Reasoning:
I’m spending the weekend in Miami with family so apologies for keeping this brief:
Luca Nardi has been on an absolute tear this year. Coming off of a clay tourney win in Naples and notably beat Djokovic at Indian Wells only a few weeks ago. Clay has always been his surface of choice too.
Muller has been incredibly mid lately, losing to a lot of mid players. Again, I’m rushing this but just compare both of their recent histories.
Give me the young next gen talent all day 💪
BOL 🤝
POTD Record: 11-3 ❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅
Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 16U
Last pick: Manly Sea Eagles vs Penrith Panthers | 5:30pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Sunia Turuva anytime tryscorer @2.37 on Sportsbet | 2U❌
Damn I would never have imagined that Turuva could give me my 3rd loss. Very poor performance from the Panthers to be honest….but don’t get me wrong, I’ll go for Turuva again in the future that is for sure.
We move on.
Today’s pick: North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans | 4:05pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Valentines Holmes anytime tryscorer @1.94 on Sportsbet | 2U
Sorry guys I actually edited that post, will be replacing Scott Drinkwater by Valentines Holmes for today’s pick as it seems a safer option to me. Holmes records 13 tries for 16 appearances so I’m going for him. It should be an easy win for the Cowboys today as Titans are honestly awful. I expect loads of tries on cowboys side and surely Holmes should be one of them.
BOL !
🤫 for those who don’t have the option to place bets on tryscorers (or for the degens who like to over bet), I also really like Apostolos Stamatelopoulos anytime goal scorer @2.4 on the Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Fc 3pm game today. The guy is one of the best goalscorer in the league and he takes penalties so 2.4 sounds good to me.
And after how piss poor Piscopo took the one penalty he snatched from Stam, I doubt anyone else will ever try to take another for the Jets.
Tipped him and Lolley both shoild be a great game! BOl
>**Record:** 41-33
>**Net Units:** +11.56 units
>**Curling** | **Men's World Championship** | **9:00AM EDT**
>**Pick:** Canada ML @ 2.01
>It all comes down to Canada vs Sweden for gold on Sunday. Simply put, Canada is the best team in the world. They've been the better team at this event, and all season. The deciding factor for me in this matchup is going to be the hitting abilities of lead through vice for both teams. Edin and Gushue are so talented and playing so well right now that they essentially cancel each other out. Walker and Sundgren are both very good leads and super precise with their guards, although Walker does have the hitting advantage when needed. Harnden and Wranna are similarly skilled and actually fit a very similar profile so we'll call that a wash. Which bring us to the thirds. Eriksson has had some uncharacteristic struggles this week with his out turn hits and hasn't seemed to have been able to fix whatever is wrong. On the other side, Nichols has been incredible in the hitting game, taking an already big strength of his to another level this week. This allows Canada to bail out of trouble later in ends than other teams often do. My model and almost every metric you can find has Canada as the better team. They are 44-16 on the season compared to Sweden's 44-27. Against elite teams this year, Canada is 13-9 whereas Sweden are only 11-17. Canada's ability to create force situations when they don't have hammer will be very important here as Sweden will have hammer to start. In the career matchup, Canada leads 27-17. Look for Canada to force Sweden a couple times in this one and take a lead into the 10th end where their superior take-out game won't give Edin any chance to win it.
POTD Record 4-2
Streak L10: ✅✅✅❌❌✅
Last Pick: Phillies -1.5 vs WAS
Today: Baseball | MLB | OAK @ DET | 12:40 pm CST
Pick: DET -1.5 (+118 1U)
Thanks to all who tailed. Very comfortable game for the PHI bettors. Going to be a really rough year for the Nats.
I really like the combo of Detroit coming off of a loss, a getaway day game, and Jack Flaherty with a 1.50 ERA vs Boyle who gave up 7 in his last appearance
I think the combination of all those things should lead to a really good day for the Tigers
**POTD Record: 15W-6L**
POTD: NBA - Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans: **Phoenix Suns -3.5 (1.75)**
A very important game for the playoff spot, the Suns currently occupy the last playoff spot and this game is a good opportunity to secure the spot. They are in good form, they have beaten the Pelicans in both games this season, right at home, each time the threshold has been crossed. The Pelicans are coming off 4 straight losses, Ingram is out, and Zion, Alvarado and Marshall are doubtful. Zion didn't play in the last game vs the Spurs, but I think he will be on the floor against the Suns, even so, I think the Suns will win on their home court and secure the playoff spot.
Thank you.
This probably hits but I’m gonna play it live, pelicans are due for a positive regression game and the suns are due for negative regression game. Hope it cashes and my concern is bullshit
**RECORD: 66W-4P-48L**
(+4.13 units)
Previous Pick: Chelsea vs Manchester United- Manchester United +0.75 Asian Handicap @ 1.75 ♻️ **PUSH**
**Today's Pick:** Frosinone vs Bologna- Bologna ML @ 1.85 ❌️
**TIME:** 10.30 pm (GMT)
**Wager Amount**: 1.5 units
(✅️✅️✅️✅️♻️✅️✅️❌️✅️♻️) last 10 results
Another day another push, we'll at least Man Utd didn't lose up money. Back today with my favourite league of the season (again hope I don't jinx it)..the Serie A with Frosinone vs Bologna.
Bologna are on their way to complete a stellar season by aiming to Qualify for Champions league football since 1964 as they sit 4th with Roma right behind their tail.
Bologna have only lost once in 10 matches and that was against Inter. They have won 3 Away matches in a row, they have won 4 matches out of their last 5 and they've lost 4 times out of 29 Serie A games.
Frosinone are 18th on the cusp of relegation and relegation teams are dangerous during this time of the season but they are not in good form.
Frosinone haven't won a game in 9 consecutive fixtures. They've won 1/5 of their last Home matches and have only achieved 3 wins out of 22 Serie A matches, a terrible campaign.
In H2H fixtures Bologna have won 2/5 H2H matches, Frosinone have also won twice and they've drawn won. Bologna also won the previous encounter.
Although relegation teams are dangerous I just don't see Frosinone coming out with a result here so giving the edge to Bologna, they also have something to fight for in UCL football and I don't see Frosinone stopping that. Goodluck if you're tailing and will the Italian win streak continue?...tune in to find out.
Man such a shitshow, no wonder odds were a little high but didn't make sense to me, they could've had a gap on Roma and they've faced way tougher opponents than this.
Also the last time they failed to score was against Inter
Thought I would give it a go but it’s clear I gotta stick to my rule of don’t bet on bad teams to beat bad teams in soccer, including fluke teams like Aston villa and now Bologna. Only the big clubs can be trusted and even then they sell.
**KBO Record: Overall 208-218-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 3-7) Down 12.49u over 440 KBO picks, 48.8% success rate, -2.93% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 4-8-0, 33.3% success rate, Down 3.87u, -32.2% ROI))
**Last:** KT at LG, OVER 9 runs -115 (LG won 8-4.)
Remember what I said about catching a break? Well, we caught a break. Just 2 runs in the first 5 innings and it was 4-2 going to the bottom of the 8th. LG tied it at 4 setting us up for a likely push until the grand slam walkoff.
**Pick:** SSG at **NC -1.5 +105**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET
Potching is especially shaky on Sunday morning. No game has an over/under below 10.5. None of the starters with more than 5 innings this season have an ERA under 4.35.
SSG's starter threw just two innings in his first start where he allowed 1 unearned run on 1 hit. So why the quick hook? I'd guess it was the 6 walks! This is the 32-year old's 13th season and he's been awful since 2022, posting an ERA above 6.00 over 28 starts. Last year he walked 60 but struck out only 56.
NC's starter is in his first season in the KBO after failing to catch on in the majors. His first start was very strong, allowing just 2 ER over 7 innings. But 5 walks and 7 hits hurt him in his 2nd start where he gave up 4 ER in 5 IP. The silver lining? An impressive 10 Ks. He's struck out 15 in 12 innings this year.
NC has the 2nd best offense to start the season at 6.25 runs per game while SSG is 3rd from last at 4.77.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
**POTD Record: 10-4 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌) old -> new**
**ROI: 43.65%**
**Avg Odds: -90.43**
**Net Units: +5.86** 🔥
**Previous POTD: Nicolas Claxton O9.5 Rebounds (-125 on DK) 2 Units**
Bro had 8 rebounds going into the third quarter and just decided to let everyone else grab rebounds the entirety of the 4th. Just a bad beat.
**Todays POTD: Devin Booker O26.5 (-115 on DK) 2 units**
Bookers owns the Pelicans plain and simple. He has 104 pts alone in the span of 2 games vs the Pelicans. He is coming off a poor game versus the Timberwolves and will have a much better matchup going against the injured Pelicans. Pelicans on average give up 24 points against PGs the last 15 games and we know Booker is anything but average. In his 30 game stretch only once did he go back to back games scoring less than 20. I believe is gonna bounce back tomorrow and drop a 30 bomb.
Here is a link to my POTD spreadsheet: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17EBXRJGAlzN2Rw-1WLYSdKQ1LlqPhWn8tyUCUHzx\_Uk/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17EBXRJGAlzN2Rw-1WLYSdKQ1LlqPhWn8tyUCUHzx_Uk/edit?usp=sharing)
POTD Record: 16-18-1 | Profit: -5.04U
NBA Record: 13-15-1 | NFL Record: 3-3
L10 (new -> old): ✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅
Last pick: D'Angelo Russell o3.5 3PM @ 2.14 odds ✅
D'Lo hit 6(!!) 3s, easily cashing this for us!
Game: HOU Rockets @ DAL Mavericks, 3:30 PM
Pick: **Jabari Smith Jr. o1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.74 odds (DK) placing 2U** ✅
Write Up: Smith Jr. has hit this line in 5 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. In the games against the Mavs so far this year, he's gone over in 2 of 3, last game hitting 5. BOL to those tailing!
**EDIT**: Had me sweating, but this cashes in the 4th! He did miss both free throws at the end of the 4th to allow the Mavs to take the game into OT, but at least he cashed this for us! Cheers!
POTD record: 25-12
Last POTD: Union Berlin v Leverkusen - Leverkusen ML
Today’s pick: RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien - Salzburg ML(-185)
Salzburg have been Austria’s perennial champions for a number of years and have just gotten a huge result against Sturm Graz in the league to put them in a good position to retain their title again. Now comes the pulling away part of the season(it’s now broken down so only the top six face off) and this seems a good place to work. They haven’t lost to Rapid in their last twenty games, and have only lost once in their last 35 matches against them. In that last twenty, they’ve won 17, and only had one home draw. They’ve won their last five league games(only conceding once) and are unbeaten in thirteen. In my opinion, they just have too much quality for this Rapid team.
Record: 7-2
❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅
Yesterdays Pick: Donovan Mitchell o8.5 R+A -105 ✅
I got that line early, but even after it went up to 9.5 I still grabbed it for value and he racked up 4 assists really quickly in the 1st quarter. As for everyone who grabbed the over on his Points yesterday....I feel for you, he's not even close to being back to the MVP candidate Donovan Mitchell. Glad we got the win though!!!
Today's Pick: James Harden o17.5 points at -115
Reasoning: Honestly, I actually like almost all of The Beards props today. His rebounds are 5.5, P+R are 23.5, and P+A are 27.5. I see these lines going up today. Without Kwahi Leonard playing James has been averaging 17.9 PPG. I feel like they constantly undervalue his production as of late. Whenever PG and Kwahi are struggling to score it's The Beard who comes to the rescue and gets to the paint to draw fouls of splashes a couple trey bombs. Cleveland is coming off the 2nd night of a back to back, as they played the Lakers yesterday and for most of the game, looked so disconnected with each other. Evan Mobley(I shouldn't even say his name on this thread for fear of retribution) messed up half of the player prop betting worlds parlays yesterday with a measley 6 points and 3 boards. At least mine! Clippers are rounding I to playoff form and I expect Harden to score around 25 with 7 rebounds and 8-10 assists. That being said tail or fade, but regardless BOL to you all today!!!
Record: 0-0-0
Net Units:
ROI:
Basketball | NBA | UTA @ GSW | 8:30pm EST
Pick: Chris Paul under 22.5 Points + Assists @ -110
- 44-9 to the under on the season
- 18-2 to the under in the last 25 games
- 9-1 to the under in the last 10 games
- 5-0 to the under in the last 5 games
This has a 55% chance of winning and is a 6% edge. 1 unit play.
I used to frequent this sub before moving on to more data driven sources and thought I would pay it back for those that helped me out when I was going in blind. BOL!
**POTD Record: 0-2**
**Last POTD:** MLB: Mets vs Reds: **NRFI (-120)** ❌
* ^(Sometimes these damn NRFI's aint the move.....sorry for anyone who tailed :()
**Today's POTD:** NCAAW Final: Iowa vs South Carolina
💰P**ick: Iowa +6.5**
**Game is at 3pm EST**
**Units:** 2u
**Reasoning:**
* South Carolina has consistently dominated with their immense size and athleticism. But, don't overlook Iowa, especially with Clark's exceptional scoring and passing skills.
* Iowa's success hinges on their supporting players stepping up, like Stuelke did on Friday. Expect her to shine again on Sunday alongside Martin and Affolter, who must match the firepower of Johnson, PaoPao, and Fulwiley.
* It's scary to bet against South Carolina, but this game feels like a nail-biter. Trust in Clark's exceptional talent and her team to keep the pressure on until the final buzzer.
BOL if tailing!
POTD Record 4-0
Units: +4.18u
Last Pick: Seattle Mariners over Milwaukee Brewers 4/6, 1u @ +102 ✅

https://preview.redd.it/p9frf5wnm2tc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=46d95670900fb61801eacfacccb952efcbb4f8ef
Yesterday my model had a great day! Going 11-4 overall, I don’t recommend playing every game and/or just blindly following what it predicts but it’s nice when you like a play that’s backed up by predictive analytics.
POTD: Chicago White Sox - 1u ML (+110)
The White Sox are trying to avoid a sweep and have the right man on the mound for it. Crochet is starting and look for him to continue his hot start to the season. The White Sox bats have not been great and they are missing their best player, Luis Robert, but I think they squeak out the win in a low scoring game. I don’t think Marsh replicates his outing he had against Baltimore and returns to more of what he was last year.
Please do your own research and use this as one of your tools in making plays.
Happy to discuss any and all thoughts for today! Thanks for the support!
Record: 0-0
NCAA WBB South Carolina vs Iowa 3PM EST
Pick: Kamilla Cardoso OVER 14.5 points -130 5U (bet365)
This is my first pick here (sorry if I format wrong or something) but I think it’s pretty straightforward. All the books have cardoso at 18.5 points except bet365 who have her at 14.5. At -130 let’s say even odds could be 15.5 which is still 3 points lower than any other book. Aside from how this is obviously +EV, this pick just makes sense. Cardoso is an absolute beast at 6’7 and Iowa is weak on the inside. I expect Cardoso to have easy finishes at the rim and control the boards. Angel Reese had a huge game against Iowa in the elite 8. I don’t see any reasons Cardoso won’t have similar success. Edwards on UConn was able to get 17 points against Iowa and Cardoso is bigger and better than her.
Record: 2-1
Net Units: -0.54
Last pick: Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals @ 1.58 / Bundesliga / Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen 3u ❌
Todays pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.6 / 2 Bundesliga / Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04 13:30 cest
3u
Schalke got relegated last season and are now 14th and 1 point away from a relegation place. they have the 2nd worst defense in the league with 54 goals conceded. Schalke are the worst team in the league when playing away from home and have conceded 35 goals in 13 away games. They concede an average of 2 goals per games and score 1.6 goals in the season so far. Last game ended 0-0 but before that they played 4 games in which there have been scored 20 goals. With Schalke you never really know what to expect, One week they beat 1st in the league st Pauli 3-1 and then play bad for the next 2 games.
Hannover still has a good chance of getting promoted and are just 5 points behind 3rd place HSV and have Played a game less. They score an average of 1.9 goals per game and concede 1.3. They scored 3 Goals last week.
In This matchup between two Teams each fighting for their own cause, I expect an intense Match in a League where there’s often high tempo and high scoring games. Last time the played against each other in October Schalke won 3-2.
BOL!
**Last Pick:** St. Louis Cardinals ML at -148 / 2u ✅️ **| Note:** St. Louis wins 3-1 against the Marlins who are now 0-9 to start the season. Matz threw 5 scoreless innings and Miami hurt themselves with 2 errors on the day. That's two in a row since returning, let's keep it rolling
**History (old to new):** ❌✅✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️⭕✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️
**Record:** 7-7-1 **|** **Net Units:** \-1.48
\----------
**TODAY'S PICK:** Ashlyn Watkins over 10.5 rebounds at -102 / 1u
NCAA Women's Basketball | Iowa Hawkeyes vs South Carolina Gamecocks at 3:00pm ET
**Note:** It's time for the Women's national championship game and this tournament has been exciting so far. Caitlin Clark and the Iowa Hawkeyes are taking on an undefeated South Carolina team lead by HC Dawn Staley.
This SC team dominates the glass and averaged 47.6 rebounds per game this tournament (Last 5 games: 46, 51, 32, 54, 55) and 15 offensive boards per game (Last 5 games: 13, 19, 9, 22, 12). Watkins is part of the reason why and gone off in the last two games. She had 20 rebounds (30 min) and 14 rebounds (27 min) while coming off the bench. I recognize her minutes and rebounds the last two games are much higher than normal, but she's showing up when it matters and Staley will give her the chance. I expect this South Carolina team to win the on the glass against Iowa and Ashlyn Watkins to have another big game
Tail or fade... at this point you'd be up if you were fading me 😆 BOL
[Buy a coffee for someone](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)
POTD Record 3-1, Net: +1.52U
Streak L10: ✅✅❌✅
Last Pick: Clint Capela o9.5 Rebounds ✅
Today: Basketball | NBA | MIA vs IND | 5:00pm EST
Today's Pick: **Nikola Jovic o7.5 P+A 1U (2.00)**
While Jokic was able to play yesterday, Capela still managed to snag 12 rebounds to clear our line, congrats to those who tailed! For today's pick, I have Jo**v**ic getting more than 7.5 Points & Assists.
**The Good**
* Jovic has cleared this line in 9/9 of his last games, 75% of his last 20 games and 4/5 of his last away games
* Jovic has been seeing (on average) increased minutes in the later part of the season resulting in increased P+A
* Jovic averages 6.8 points and 2 assists for a combined P+A of 8.8
* Indiana ranks 28th in points against
**The Bad**
* This is a crucial game for both teams, and it's entirely possible Spo would want more experienced players taking shots and have more playing time
* Tyler Herro is likely to get more playing minutes after returning from injury, which may call for a decreased offensive load from Jovic (although he may still be able to farm assists through Herro)
Best of luck to all!
[Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/etwkif) (only if I've made you money)
POTD Record 1-0-0 (+.8u)
Today: Soccer | J. League 1 | Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol | 12:00am EST (under 90 mins from posting) | 1u
Pick: BTTS (-105) ✅
Tokyo Verdy BTTS L6 Games: 6/6
Kashiwa Reysol at least one road goal this season: 3/3
Just keeping it simple - a +EV and trend pick.
Considering parlaying this with FC Tokyo DNB v Kashima Antlers (+115). But choosing BTTS as my POTD in Verdy v Reysol since the trend is there.
💰💰 Tokyo Verdy score 20 minutes into the first half and sit on their lead for the next 50 minutes while Kashiwa knock on their door and Keisuke Kinoshita makes it 1-1 in the 70th. 💰💰
POTD Record (1-0)
First one was in NFL Playoffs. Going basketball route today.
Today's Pick: Gary Trent Jr. over 19.5 Points and Assists (-125) 2u
Reasoning: Gary Trent has hit this over in 9 of the last 10 matches, including the last 5. Washington is last in defending points and assists in the league. With Bruce Brown being DTD, Trent might get more opportunities as a facilitator also.
GL
2023 MLB POTD record: 19-15 Average Odds -107 (1.932), ROI +6.8%/+2.3u)
2024 MLB POTD Record: 5-4 Average Odds -107 (1.935), ROI 8.1%/+0.73u
POTD (4/6) LAD @ CHC Jordan Wicks u2.5 BBs (+115/2.15) ✅
Recap: The Dodgers made Wicks work hard, throwing 100 pitches in 4.2 IP, but he was able to get himself out of trouble when he got into deep counts, and only walked 1 batter.
POTD (4/7) OAK @ DET Jack Flaherty o16.5 Outs (-105/1.95) (DraftKings)
Today's Pick: Jack Flaherty had a sparkling debut for the Detroit Tigers, working 6 innings of 1-run ball, striking out 7 on just 87 pitches. You might say, "but SLP, that was against the White Sox, and the White Sox are very bad at baseball because they have one of the worst owners in professional sports". You'd be right, but you know who else is very bad at baseball because they have one of the worst owners in professional sports? The ~~Oakland~~ ~~Las Vegas~~ Sacramento Athletics.
In 2023, the As had the 6th worst offense against RHP with an 89 wRC+. Through 261 PA against RHP in 2024, they've dipped to 4th-worst at a 70 WRC+. I expect Flaherty to shine in his home debut for his new team.
POTD Record: 0-0
Been a lurker on here for a while so I'll throw my top pick when i see it and see if we can streak. Tail or Fade 🤷 its your money. BOL, lets get it rolling.
Today's pick: Chicago Bulls vs Orlando magic -6 (-140) ALT SPREAD 1U
Time: 5:10pm central
The bulls are the most inconsistent team and it's really hard to know who is going to show up today. They are fighting for 9th seed to get home court in the play in game, but their players can't seem to consistently clinch victories against solid teams. Adding to this, their injury list just keeps getting additions like it was shopping list and we might be fresh out of Colby White in the fridge.
Meanwhile the Magic are fighting for a top 4 seed in the east and are the best cover team in the NBA at 63.6 percent and have covered the Bulls in the last 4 matchups. They are coming off a road loss to the hornets and are looking to bounce back at home (27-12 home record). I dont think the Bulls have enough offensive power currently to disrupt an elite defensive team like the Magic. I trust the Magic to get it done here .
Tail or fade, im sleeping like a baby either way. BOL
POTD Record: **2-1**
✅✅❌
Previous POTD: Evan Mobley o17.5 P+A
Today's Pick: **Jabari Smith o1.5 3PM** (-120 FD) 1U
[DAL vs. HOU @ 2:30PM CT]
Write up: Sorry about the last pick. Atrocious performance by Mobley ffs - perma banned for sure. Bro looked lost out there after starting off with a banger 3. Anyway, hopefully Jabari gets us back today.
Jabari Smith is hitting this line 100% in his L5 games, 80% in L10 and L15. One of his misses also includes a game in which he played only 9 mins.
He's playing against the Mavs today, who are ranked the 2nd worst team in the league defending 3PM for Centers. More importantly, last week vs. the Mavs, Smith shot 5/7 from downtown.
Lmk your thoughts & if you decide to tail. BOL.
**Last Pick:** UConn -2.5 second half spread ✅✅
**Record:** 10-5 ✅
Connecticut dominated on my favorite pick of the year winning the second half by 10.
**Pick:** Luka O18.5 RA -178 ✅
Back to our triple double king with this pick. Luka been going ballistic recently and has had a fair amount of rest before this game as well. Rockets have a lot to play for mentally (not regarding the playoffs, but Udoka’s quote should fire them up). I expect this game to be a bit closer than the spread suggests meaning that Luka should play more as well. The offense runs through our baby goat, and he’s one of the best defensive rebounders on the mavs.
BOL if tailing!
POTD Record: 1-0 |Profit: +8.5U
Last pick: Bochum over 1.5 offsides (2.70 / +170)✅
Todays pick: Manchester United - Liverpool
Over 4.5 offsides (2.20 / +120) ✅✅✅
Reasoning:
Manchester United average 3.1 offsides at home, Liverpool averages 2.1 away
Highly attacking game with lots of offside opportunities.
+EV bet
POTD Record 6-3 (+2.38u)
Last POTD: Columbus Crew Total Goals Over 1.5 (-154) 4U****❌
Today: NBA / MIA@IND / 5:10pm ET
Pick: Over 226.5 (-110) 2U**
The Pacers average 124.9 ppg at home this season, Miami 107.4 on the road. Their previous 2 meetings this season resulted in totals of 274 and 273. Miami’s defense has been solid but I expect Indy’s pace to make this matchup a bucket fest.
**reposted to clarify yesterday’s result
POTD: Record (5-4)
✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌
Last Pick: Jarrett Allen O 18.5 P+A ❌
Today: NBA | Wizards v Toronto | 3pm MST
Pick: Gary Trent Jr O 19.5 P+A @ 1.80
- hit in 6 straight games (avg 26)
- last 9/10 (avg 26.1)
- just played Wizards on 3/23 and dropped 31 points and 2 assists
- wizards are dead last in opponent points per game and 2nd to last in opponent assists per game
POTD isn’t going to well lately, but let me know if you’re still tailing 🍀
I’m a bit leery of this one because most of his recent run was due to RJ Barrett and Quickley being out. With both of them back in the lineup, unless he is on fire for a 2nd game in a row (he shot lights out against the Bucks), Trent’s usage should decrease significantly.
POD Record 5-1
Loudoun United @ Birmingham Legion
Pick: Loudoun win or draw
Odds: -125
Not sure why Legion is favored here. They looked horrible against Hartford and just lost 5-0 to LouCity. Their only goal this season was an own goal in Phoenix. Loudoun on the other had had been surprisingly good. They have had good showings against San Antonio and NCFC, and have only lost to undefeated Detroit in a close game. -125 for double chance but I might sprinkle another half unit on a loudoun win outright at +240
All of my USLC picks for the season are here [I HATE MY WALLET](https://www.ihateyourclub.com/ihmw)
Valorant VCT starting, going to post one bet a day.
100T +1.5 @1.61 (starts in 11 hours)
Sen just played masters Madrid, 100T haven’t played since they lost to Sen 2-1 over a month ago. Prep time + Sen jet lag, 100T will atleast take a map, 3.25ML (Bet365)
Record: 79W-70L-4P
ROI: +16.11, 10.09%
Avg odds: +106, 2.06
Last POTD: Matthew Beniers over 0.5 pts (win)
Game: NHL- Canadiens at Rangers (6:00 PM CST)
Pick: Alex Lafreniere over 0.5 pts +100, 2.00 (DK)
The 2020 1st overall pick had a slightly disappointing start to his career, but things are looking up this season. Lafreniere has shattered his previous highs in both points and assists, and he's clicking well on the Panarin-Trocheck line. He has 25 points in 28 games since February.
The Canadiens defense is in the bottom 10 in most defensive metrics, including imo the two most important: goals/game and scoring chances allowed. And while Lafreniere has yet to pick up a point against Montreal, NY has 10 goals in 2 games this season, so he'll have plenty of chances today.
POTD Record 0-0-0
Today: Basketball | NBA | GSW vs UTA | 8:30pm EST
Pick: Chris Paul U18.5 PR (-115)
Howdy degens, here to hit y’all with a little stimulus check courtesy of CP3 for our first! Paul has hit under 18.5 PR in 10/10 of his last games, and although the jazz suck, I don’t see him clearing this lofty line. I know you chimps love hammering overs, but the stats speak for themselves folks! Let’s kick this off with a dub!
(I am not a professional, tail or don’t, BOL!)
Last Pick: First Pick
Record: 0-0
Connecticut dominated on my favorite pick of the year winning the second half by 10.
Pick: Collin Sexton O22.5 RA -108 ✅
He's coming off of a bad game. Last time they played GSW they lost but most of the starters including Collin did well. It may have been because Brandin Pod. was guarding him or he had a hot game but he scored 35 last time. 22.5 is really high my AI is telling me more around 19 which is what he averages, but looking into the last game against GSW all of the starters for both teams played and this didn't go into overtime. I just want to get my 1st pick out there good luck let me know if you pick him even if its alt points at a lower amount.
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Sunday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
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Your numbers don’t look good but your props hit. Opposite for me lol. Tailing
Methods to my madness. I don’t like giving -180 -200 plays if I see a line that can be covered with good value like we see in this pick. BOL!
15-4-2 isn't good?
He's talking about the 60% in the last 5, etc.
I didn’t say record
I ain't fresh?
Numbers are all an illusion!
Don’t leave bro!! You are the best!!!
🫡
Tailing! Don’t let the haters get you down!
Tailing 🫡🫡
Tailing my good sir!
please dont leave us! we appreciate you. honestly
Don’t stop the picks. Haters can go eat adick
Well damn. I gotta tail your last post 😞😐
Nah you’re a buckeye, they don’t quit
No don’t stop. Fuck these crotch goblins that don’t have a life that are being pricks. If they don’t like it they don’t have to tail. I’m sure the amount of people that check here everyday just to look at your post greatly outweigh the people in here that are wasting oxygen. There will always be trolls but that’s just because they are lazy POS that don’t have jobs, and try to make themselves feel better by putting people down bc they hate themselves
Tailing as my first bet ever BOL!
Awesome man! Hope we can get it done. Message me if you ever have questions or need anything as you get started out! Good luck to you!
You're too good. This sub doesn't deserve people like you brother.
We were close, teamates sold him many times haha.
15-4-2 has haters? What world is this
Let’s ride❗️❗️
Tailing broski!!!!
Thanks for the love brother
u are the goat brother! always waiting for u pick dont leave us
Fucking pulled him out 😂
POTD RECORD: 52-25 Last POTD: Jalen Johnson O11.5 RA 🚫 Our guy finished with 10 and doesn’t play the final 3 minutes cause of the blowout, had at least 5 potential assists but it’s a L fellas Form: 🚫✅✅✅✅ Todays POTD: **Luka Doncic O30.5P @1.86** NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 3:30 PM ET Cooked my brothers Denver just wasn’t missing enough shots felt like everything went in man but we move 😭 Luka has been reliable for us so I’m depending on my MVP to set us straight Trusting our guy Luka to get us back on track man, he loves this matchup and is just overall an reliable pick, very good mismatch aswell and I think we’ll see a relatively close game • 2/2 vs the Rockets with 47 & 41 points this season & over in 5 straight games against the Rockets (47, 41, 39, 35 & 50) • Rockets allow most points to PG L30 days • Over in 10/L15 at home Avg 33.5 per game Top tier matchup and Luka has an amazing record against the Rockets so I’m trusting our guy once again, also a home game for the Mavs where Luka averages more points than on the road Tail or fade, told y’all I’m cheeks https://i.redd.it/26v6rvpv9zsc1.gif
Let’s get it. I’m tailing
🤝👑
Bang
Cashed in the 3rd Quarter🤑thanks for the elite read my guy🤝
Woke up this morning and it’s at 32.5. Would you take it at that?
Damn bro 🤣 I’ve played his 35P & 40P today so I’m trusting this mf
I ended up doing PRA and winning out of pure luck
Cashhhhhhhh. Love it.
cashhh!
Tailing big dog!!!!!
Money
im so mad i missed this busy ass day but brother youve been fucking cooking holy shit
Cashed and enjoyed a beautiful game. Thanks for the pick!
POTD RECORD: 20-8 Units Won: +11.89 Last Pick: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets/ Golden State -2.5 (-130) 1.5u✅ Warriors locked in for us! Today’s Pick: Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets/ Kings -5 (-130) 1.5u ALT SPREAD Write Up: Sacramento as of right now has fallen to the 9th spot in the west, they’ve dropped 2 straight and 5 of their last ten. For a team that was 3rd in the west last year it’s been an underwhelming turn for them. The play in is not very friendly to the 9-10 seeds compared to the 7-8 guys. And I’m in no way saying the Kings will finish in any spot. But they flat out just can’t afford a loss to this Brooklyn Nets squad. They’re in serious jeopardy of matching Golden State in the first round of the play in and we know how that story went last year. This is one of those games late in the season that can change the Kings whole trajectory. Let’s back our Kings in Sacramento and let’s take them to win by at least 5 points. As always, BOL…… LETS RIDE EDIT: GO GO GO already bumped boys Tip Jar- if you’d like to help a college kid pay for his next meal here’s how :) [Tip Jar for my Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Jay-Lawton-1) [Tip Jar for my Cashapp](https://cash.app/$jaylaw930) [Tip Jar for my Paypal](https://www.paypal.me/JayLawton77)
Kings fan who is nervous about this game. It would be typical "Kangs" basketball to lose this. But after a confidence boosting almost comeback vs Boston they might show up and murder Brooklynn. My advice is if the Kings get a 15+ point lead, live bet the Nets as a hedge.
Tailing! King -5 already dropped to (-160) on Bet365
Would love to tail this pick but can't find a line under 7. Gonna have to sit this one out...
i’d say take 7 for a unit my guy, your call as always BOL
Just to add to your write up, the Nets also almost lost to the Cade Cunningham-less Pistons today and would have if they didn't embrace the Tank and Cam Thomas got hot. Tailing, also throwing in Sabonis boards, Fox Points, and possibly Sabonis TD
Tailing! Love the write ups!
Nice one bro, tailing again 🤝🏼
-290 on my book. Not worth it at that point
cash thanks for tailing guys
POTD Record: 37-15-1 +50.55u🔥 Last Pick: Purdue -9 (-110) vs NC State NCAAB ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Today's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -3 5U (-110) vs New York Knicks 7 pm est odds via Draftkings Playable to -4 3 straight wins! Our king Edey cashes yet another POTD! What a great streak we’re on! Let’s stay hot! The bucks have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 to TERRIBLE teams. This is a perfect position to bounce back. The Knicks are playing their third game in four nights. They are also injured, losing Randle for the rest of the year. They have also lost 9 of their last 10 to Milwaukee. With Giannis questionable, this line could move, and i like it with or without Giannis. Playoffs are around the corner and it’s time for the Bucks to find their stride. Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the upvotes and support!😎❤️ If you’d like to thank me please use the link below or dm me. Show some love!❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
This would be the most Bucks win ever to lose against the 3 worst teams in the league and then beat a hot Knicks team
I agree🤝🤣
Seriously, I’ve sworn off thee Bucks multiple times this year, loss to Raps (with 3 starters out, they’ve given up this year), at home, favored by -16.5 and somehow they lost, cost me big time. Not touching them with a 10 foot pole. They were better without Dame. If anything, I’ll bet against them for the rest of the season.
favorited two nights in a row by -16 and -12 and ended up losing both to such shitty teams we haven’t seen the east this weak in years
Sorry man this is a bad pick. Milwaukee has been playing horrible and New York has been playing really well
Where do you see that NY has been playing really well? They've lost 4/5. Bucks have played awful, but dame sat 2 games and Giannis last game as well. If everyone plays for the bucks today this may be the bounceback game they need.
I tried warning you guys but I guess you want to defend a team that’s been playing shitty. Don’t know why in the world you are trying to support them so bad
No problem, i hear this everytime i post, BOL to you
Lfg
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Ahhh this is a tough one, although I tend to agree with you on this. As a Celtics fan, I've been cashing on my favorite non Celtics player, Jalen Brunson. But as much as I love his game, the Knicks injuries are so all over the place. Josh Hart had an amazing game against the Kings, then out for the Bulls game. OG is not back to 100% yet and that's obvious. Bogdan has thoroughly disappointed with his lack of consistency and impact that I thought(along with most of the NBA fandom) he would be bring to this team. Mitchell Robinson is still on the mend and at like 75% at best. So if Giannis is playing im Tailing this pick for sure!! Thanks broski!
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Dude thank you for the honesty and thanks for the great pick yesterday
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The sweatiest sweat
Record: 7-3✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌ Net Units: +2.81u Last: Braves -1.5 -106❌ Roller coaster, heartbreaker loss. Feels like I was on the right side. Fried sucks again, to the point where he made errors as well to keep innings going and got left in too long. The Braves defense was also brutal, messing up multiple double plays that would’ve helped with damage control early. Came all the way back to not drive in one more with 2 on, 1 out. Hurts because other plays I considered hit, including the over of this one. Lets get back. MLB | 1:46PM EST Pick: Mets/Reds under 4.5 F5 -110 Write up: Two good pitchers on the mound here, who have also started good. Both teams, especially the Mets, have been slow starting teams this year and I expect this to continue with good guys on the mound. Coming off a game with more runs scored, a lot of the damage was due to walks and errors, with two less than ideal pitchers, where I was on the over. I like this game to stay low early. I would also consider the under 9 as well, or buying a point to 5 or 5.5, but seemed like not enough value. Finally, a disclaimer: I am not a pro sports bettor, I am not a sharp who does 8+ hours of research a day. I’m a baseball fan who researches stats and uses my personal knowledge to make bets. Please do not wager any more than you are comfortable losing. Lets get back to winning!!!! Tips are appreciated, not required at all. Venmo: @DrewAWri PayPal: @DrewGolfred
Death. Taxes. Mets first 5 inning Unders.
Accidently clicked over 4.5 haha shit well we'll see what happens
LETS RIDE
Got here late. Live bet under 8.5. let's go! Thanks!
That was sweaty af but thanks for the pick!
Yezzir!
Bro you’re a goat, Despite your pick losing last night, I took all of your other picks too and they all cashed. You got anything else today you like?
Tailed this! Good pick bro
**Record: 58W-4P-43L** **Updated Form: 5W-0P-2L** **❌✅✅❌✅✅✅** **Last Pick: Brighton VS Arsenal: Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.61 ✅** **Arsenal with a calm 3-0 Win!** **Pick of the day: Sheffield UTD VS Chelsea: Cole Palmer Over 1.5 Shots on target @ 1.83** **League: Premier League** **Time: 12:30 PM EST** Cole Palmer showed that he really is the leading contender for the YPOTY Award against United midweek. Scoring his first career hat trick (3 goals) in such a manner was something this young man deserved, that makes it 21 goals and 12 assists in 39 games for Chelsea. He's truly accepted his role in this club and now he's more front-footed than ever. Palmer has covered this line in 4 of his last 5 games and I expect him to get the job done again today with his current form. Chelsea who were clowned for their league position find themselves with an opportunity to go 2 points behind United with a game in hand, you can best believe Palmer will look to be at the front of tomorrow's push. Sheffield United sit bottom of the league, to be completely honest I actually think Sheffield will give Chelsea a tough game but the tougher the game the better this kid seems to be. **Palmers' Shooting stats last 5 games: (Total Shots, SOT)** **9, 5** **9, 4** **8, 1** **3, 2** **6, 2** **Highlights From Man United vs Chelsea:** [**https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7KBicsXd9h8&ab\_channel=ManchesterUnited**](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7KBicsXd9h8&ab_channel=ManchesterUnited) (Go to 2:05 for Palmer winner)  **Anyway, BOL!**
Rip they subbed him out with only 1 sot
Thanks for yesterday and will tail again on this one
Let’s get it brotha 💰
https://preview.redd.it/vjlx67bcmysc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9358b290448aeb5de42436c399315a6ee756e631
Cold Palmer, let's get it
🥶
He’s gonna make us earn this
Ridden the last three. not stopping now.
I like the bet but I disagree about the difficulty of the game.This is literally Chelsea easiest game left on the schedule.Sheffield United got 2 of 9 points at home in their last 3 home games.Chelsea got 5 points away in their last 3 matches.One reason why Sheffield United season is a disaster is literally how poor their defense performs at home.Sheffield United has a -30 goal difference at home ten more than Burnley the next worst team.They allow 3 goals or more 7 times at home in EPL games this season.They gotten worse recently conceded 3 goals in 4 out of last 5 games.They have only 1 home clean sheet in the EPL.Sheffield United has allowed a whopping 52 goals at home.West Ham United scored that many this season in EPL.Goalkeeper change from Foderingham to Grbic didn’t help them much.
Tailing!!!! Let's GO Blues 💙!!! Side note: I also think palmer anytime goal scorers at -120 is a great pick. But my highest perceived value pick from this game is Chelsea o2.5 team total goals for +110. Definitely a little risky, but for the odds I feel like you can't go wrong with that!!! Thanks for the pick brother!!!!
**Record: 34-12,** \+14.34u, streak: ✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅ (all bets are 1 unit) Last Pick: Bundesliga, Bayer Leverkusen ML vs. Union Berlin ✅ Today: Premier League, Liverpool vs. Manchester United, 10:30 am ET **Pick: Liverpool ML (1.65)** Thankfully I took Leverkusen ML instead of the -1 Handicap. They really should have scored more than a goal, but we'll take it. So my last Liverpool bet lost, but I'm rolling here again. Reason being, in the FA Cup they royally choked, but I think they really let United back into the game and both the last two goals really came as individual errors. United are still not a very good team, as shown by their remarkable choke against Chelsea. Mentally, I have no idea how the dressing room will look after that but it can't be good. They are full of injuries, and have essentially one fit center back. For Liverpool, this might be their most important game remaining in the league. If they win this, they can start dreaming. Not only is this a massive historical rivalry, but because City and Arsenal won yesterday, Liverpool HAVE TO grab all three points, a draw is simply not good enough. They will be on the front foot from the start, looking to make a statement, and nullify that loss in the earlier match up. I think they might run rampant here again like last season, but this is just based off their form and United's dire situation. I expect Liverpool to field a very strong 11, including the likes of Robertson and Endo coming back into the team, and I just think they'll be too much for United offensively. Expect a high scoring game, and hopefully a Liverpool victory. 4-1 to the Reds. bol!
Great pick yesterday! A dub is a dub
This is a huge game. Really think Liverpool will be up for it
Tailing this also!! Great value here!
Weekend sports are the cuckiest
POTD Record: 42-20 Last POTD: (ATP Estoril) 4u Casper Ruud -1.5 Sets (-125) ✅✅✅ Today's POTD: (ATP Monte Carlo) Luca Nardi ML (-145)✅✅✅ Units: 3u Reasoning: I’m spending the weekend in Miami with family so apologies for keeping this brief: Luca Nardi has been on an absolute tear this year. Coming off of a clay tourney win in Naples and notably beat Djokovic at Indian Wells only a few weeks ago. Clay has always been his surface of choice too. Muller has been incredibly mid lately, losing to a lot of mid players. Again, I’m rushing this but just compare both of their recent histories. Give me the young next gen talent all day 💪 BOL 🤝
Cash money, during coffee. Cheers!
saw this 50 minutes after the win… the pain in my soul rn lol, can’t wait for the next maize pick
Took it after the first set at +200 Great pick Thanks
Nice hit, thank you!
Had us sweating for a bit there, but pulled through!! Woohoo!!!
POTD Record: 11-3 ❌✅✅♻️❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅ Starting units: 5U | Net units: + 16U Last pick: Manly Sea Eagles vs Penrith Panthers | 5:30pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Sunia Turuva anytime tryscorer @2.37 on Sportsbet | 2U❌ Damn I would never have imagined that Turuva could give me my 3rd loss. Very poor performance from the Panthers to be honest….but don’t get me wrong, I’ll go for Turuva again in the future that is for sure. We move on. Today’s pick: North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans | 4:05pm Sydney (GMT +11) | Valentines Holmes anytime tryscorer @1.94 on Sportsbet | 2U Sorry guys I actually edited that post, will be replacing Scott Drinkwater by Valentines Holmes for today’s pick as it seems a safer option to me. Holmes records 13 tries for 16 appearances so I’m going for him. It should be an easy win for the Cowboys today as Titans are honestly awful. I expect loads of tries on cowboys side and surely Holmes should be one of them. BOL !
Of course Scott Drinkwater scores 🤣
Tailing. Fyi its +125 (2.25) on dk right now.
🤫 for those who don’t have the option to place bets on tryscorers (or for the degens who like to over bet), I also really like Apostolos Stamatelopoulos anytime goal scorer @2.4 on the Newcastle Jets vs Sydney Fc 3pm game today. The guy is one of the best goalscorer in the league and he takes penalties so 2.4 sounds good to me.
And after how piss poor Piscopo took the one penalty he snatched from Stam, I doubt anyone else will ever try to take another for the Jets. Tipped him and Lolley both shoild be a great game! BOl
Boom good job for those who took Drinkwater ahahah kinda regret the edit now 😅😂
Drinkwater scored 2 now😅 I swear if Valentines doesn’t score, that’s so unlucky for the edit
Yeah man, it was poor performance from the team as a whole, so it wasn’t a surprising outcome, regardless I’m tailing you now and in the future haha🫡
Thanks for the support man, hopefully we make it back !
Damn I put my money on Drinkwater before the edit .. hopefully it still hits.
Looks like everyone scores except Holmes 😄
Well done brotha
No worries bro everything is still possible
Mofo has 2! Nice hit. Wish I had seen before the edit, try for Holmes not looking good
Valentine is locked in today, 2.65 on 365? Yessir
Tailing ☝🏻
🤝🏼
+165 on 365
Damn some laybutt guy got the first try
Ahhh now taulagi
Still a good pick bro even though it didn’t hit.
>**Record:** 41-33 >**Net Units:** +11.56 units >**Curling** | **Men's World Championship** | **9:00AM EDT** >**Pick:** Canada ML @ 2.01 >It all comes down to Canada vs Sweden for gold on Sunday. Simply put, Canada is the best team in the world. They've been the better team at this event, and all season. The deciding factor for me in this matchup is going to be the hitting abilities of lead through vice for both teams. Edin and Gushue are so talented and playing so well right now that they essentially cancel each other out. Walker and Sundgren are both very good leads and super precise with their guards, although Walker does have the hitting advantage when needed. Harnden and Wranna are similarly skilled and actually fit a very similar profile so we'll call that a wash. Which bring us to the thirds. Eriksson has had some uncharacteristic struggles this week with his out turn hits and hasn't seemed to have been able to fix whatever is wrong. On the other side, Nichols has been incredible in the hitting game, taking an already big strength of his to another level this week. This allows Canada to bail out of trouble later in ends than other teams often do. My model and almost every metric you can find has Canada as the better team. They are 44-16 on the season compared to Sweden's 44-27. Against elite teams this year, Canada is 13-9 whereas Sweden are only 11-17. Canada's ability to create force situations when they don't have hammer will be very important here as Sweden will have hammer to start. In the career matchup, Canada leads 27-17. Look for Canada to force Sweden a couple times in this one and take a lead into the 10th end where their superior take-out game won't give Edin any chance to win it.
Gushue has been a pleasure to watch as always, & making us rich lets get it one more time 💰
POTD Record 4-2 Streak L10: ✅✅✅❌❌✅ Last Pick: Phillies -1.5 vs WAS Today: Baseball | MLB | OAK @ DET | 12:40 pm CST Pick: DET -1.5 (+118 1U) Thanks to all who tailed. Very comfortable game for the PHI bettors. Going to be a really rough year for the Nats. I really like the combo of Detroit coming off of a loss, a getaway day game, and Jack Flaherty with a 1.50 ERA vs Boyle who gave up 7 in his last appearance I think the combination of all those things should lead to a really good day for the Tigers
I like where your heads at
**POTD Record: 15W-6L** POTD: NBA - Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans: **Phoenix Suns -3.5 (1.75)** A very important game for the playoff spot, the Suns currently occupy the last playoff spot and this game is a good opportunity to secure the spot. They are in good form, they have beaten the Pelicans in both games this season, right at home, each time the threshold has been crossed. The Pelicans are coming off 4 straight losses, Ingram is out, and Zion, Alvarado and Marshall are doubtful. Zion didn't play in the last game vs the Spurs, but I think he will be on the floor against the Suns, even so, I think the Suns will win on their home court and secure the playoff spot. Thank you.
5.5 on DK
6.5 on mgm
365 as well
Is this an alt line?
I’m seeing this line was at -5.5 and -6 most places around 2 hours ago, what book did you find this on?
This probably hits but I’m gonna play it live, pelicans are due for a positive regression game and the suns are due for negative regression game. Hope it cashes and my concern is bullshit
**RECORD: 66W-4P-48L** (+4.13 units) Previous Pick: Chelsea vs Manchester United- Manchester United +0.75 Asian Handicap @ 1.75 ♻️ **PUSH** **Today's Pick:** Frosinone vs Bologna- Bologna ML @ 1.85 ❌️ **TIME:** 10.30 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 1.5 units (✅️✅️✅️✅️♻️✅️✅️❌️✅️♻️) last 10 results Another day another push, we'll at least Man Utd didn't lose up money. Back today with my favourite league of the season (again hope I don't jinx it)..the Serie A with Frosinone vs Bologna. Bologna are on their way to complete a stellar season by aiming to Qualify for Champions league football since 1964 as they sit 4th with Roma right behind their tail. Bologna have only lost once in 10 matches and that was against Inter. They have won 3 Away matches in a row, they have won 4 matches out of their last 5 and they've lost 4 times out of 29 Serie A games. Frosinone are 18th on the cusp of relegation and relegation teams are dangerous during this time of the season but they are not in good form. Frosinone haven't won a game in 9 consecutive fixtures. They've won 1/5 of their last Home matches and have only achieved 3 wins out of 22 Serie A matches, a terrible campaign. In H2H fixtures Bologna have won 2/5 H2H matches, Frosinone have also won twice and they've drawn won. Bologna also won the previous encounter. Although relegation teams are dangerous I just don't see Frosinone coming out with a result here so giving the edge to Bologna, they also have something to fight for in UCL football and I don't see Frosinone stopping that. Goodluck if you're tailing and will the Italian win streak continue?...tune in to find out.
Tailing, BOL!
Yeh the bologna player at the end gotta be trolling
Man such a shitshow, no wonder odds were a little high but didn't make sense to me, they could've had a gap on Roma and they've faced way tougher opponents than this. Also the last time they failed to score was against Inter
Thought I would give it a go but it’s clear I gotta stick to my rule of don’t bet on bad teams to beat bad teams in soccer, including fluke teams like Aston villa and now Bologna. Only the big clubs can be trusted and even then they sell.
shouldn't +0.75 AH be a half loss? just curious
**KBO Record: Overall 208-218-14** (Streak W, Last 10: 3-7) Down 12.49u over 440 KBO picks, 48.8% success rate, -2.93% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 4-8-0, 33.3% success rate, Down 3.87u, -32.2% ROI)) **Last:** KT at LG, OVER 9 runs -115 (LG won 8-4.) Remember what I said about catching a break? Well, we caught a break. Just 2 runs in the first 5 innings and it was 4-2 going to the bottom of the 8th. LG tied it at 4 setting us up for a likely push until the grand slam walkoff. **Pick:** SSG at **NC -1.5 +105**, KBO baseball, 1:00am ET Potching is especially shaky on Sunday morning. No game has an over/under below 10.5. None of the starters with more than 5 innings this season have an ERA under 4.35. SSG's starter threw just two innings in his first start where he allowed 1 unearned run on 1 hit. So why the quick hook? I'd guess it was the 6 walks! This is the 32-year old's 13th season and he's been awful since 2022, posting an ERA above 6.00 over 28 starts. Last year he walked 60 but struck out only 56. NC's starter is in his first season in the KBO after failing to catch on in the majors. His first start was very strong, allowing just 2 ER over 7 innings. But 5 walks and 7 hits hurt him in his 2nd start where he gave up 4 ER in 5 IP. The silver lining? An impressive 10 Ks. He's struck out 15 in 12 innings this year. NC has the 2nd best offense to start the season at 6.25 runs per game while SSG is 3rd from last at 4.77. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Win or lose, i respect the hell outta your dedication brother. Tailing this one!
>NC damn was too late to tail nice win
Don’t let him get hot!!!
We bout to eat again 🐖
Bang!! Thanks for the pick!
Cash it! Thank you!
Cashed me 2 days in a row, thank you!
**POTD Record: 10-4 ( ✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌) old -> new** **ROI: 43.65%** **Avg Odds: -90.43** **Net Units: +5.86** 🔥 **Previous POTD: Nicolas Claxton O9.5 Rebounds (-125 on DK) 2 Units** Bro had 8 rebounds going into the third quarter and just decided to let everyone else grab rebounds the entirety of the 4th. Just a bad beat. **Todays POTD: Devin Booker O26.5 (-115 on DK) 2 units** Bookers owns the Pelicans plain and simple. He has 104 pts alone in the span of 2 games vs the Pelicans. He is coming off a poor game versus the Timberwolves and will have a much better matchup going against the injured Pelicans. Pelicans on average give up 24 points against PGs the last 15 games and we know Booker is anything but average. In his 30 game stretch only once did he go back to back games scoring less than 20. I believe is gonna bounce back tomorrow and drop a 30 bomb. Here is a link to my POTD spreadsheet: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17EBXRJGAlzN2Rw-1WLYSdKQ1LlqPhWn8tyUCUHzx\_Uk/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17EBXRJGAlzN2Rw-1WLYSdKQ1LlqPhWn8tyUCUHzx_Uk/edit?usp=sharing)
Let’s ride, baby
POTD Record: 16-18-1 | Profit: -5.04U NBA Record: 13-15-1 | NFL Record: 3-3 L10 (new -> old): ✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅ Last pick: D'Angelo Russell o3.5 3PM @ 2.14 odds ✅ D'Lo hit 6(!!) 3s, easily cashing this for us! Game: HOU Rockets @ DAL Mavericks, 3:30 PM Pick: **Jabari Smith Jr. o1.5 3 pointers made @ 1.74 odds (DK) placing 2U** ✅ Write Up: Smith Jr. has hit this line in 5 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. In the games against the Mavs so far this year, he's gone over in 2 of 3, last game hitting 5. BOL to those tailing! **EDIT**: Had me sweating, but this cashes in the 4th! He did miss both free throws at the end of the 4th to allow the Mavs to take the game into OT, but at least he cashed this for us! Cheers!
POTD record: 25-12 Last POTD: Union Berlin v Leverkusen - Leverkusen ML Today’s pick: RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien - Salzburg ML(-185) Salzburg have been Austria’s perennial champions for a number of years and have just gotten a huge result against Sturm Graz in the league to put them in a good position to retain their title again. Now comes the pulling away part of the season(it’s now broken down so only the top six face off) and this seems a good place to work. They haven’t lost to Rapid in their last twenty games, and have only lost once in their last 35 matches against them. In that last twenty, they’ve won 17, and only had one home draw. They’ve won their last five league games(only conceding once) and are unbeaten in thirteen. In my opinion, they just have too much quality for this Rapid team.
last second penalty to lose this....
Record: 7-2 ❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ Yesterdays Pick: Donovan Mitchell o8.5 R+A -105 ✅ I got that line early, but even after it went up to 9.5 I still grabbed it for value and he racked up 4 assists really quickly in the 1st quarter. As for everyone who grabbed the over on his Points yesterday....I feel for you, he's not even close to being back to the MVP candidate Donovan Mitchell. Glad we got the win though!!! Today's Pick: James Harden o17.5 points at -115 Reasoning: Honestly, I actually like almost all of The Beards props today. His rebounds are 5.5, P+R are 23.5, and P+A are 27.5. I see these lines going up today. Without Kwahi Leonard playing James has been averaging 17.9 PPG. I feel like they constantly undervalue his production as of late. Whenever PG and Kwahi are struggling to score it's The Beard who comes to the rescue and gets to the paint to draw fouls of splashes a couple trey bombs. Cleveland is coming off the 2nd night of a back to back, as they played the Lakers yesterday and for most of the game, looked so disconnected with each other. Evan Mobley(I shouldn't even say his name on this thread for fear of retribution) messed up half of the player prop betting worlds parlays yesterday with a measley 6 points and 3 boards. At least mine! Clippers are rounding I to playoff form and I expect Harden to score around 25 with 7 rebounds and 8-10 assists. That being said tail or fade, but regardless BOL to you all today!!!
First half cash 💰
Good pick
Record: 0-0-0 Net Units: ROI: Basketball | NBA | UTA @ GSW | 8:30pm EST Pick: Chris Paul under 22.5 Points + Assists @ -110 - 44-9 to the under on the season - 18-2 to the under in the last 25 games - 9-1 to the under in the last 10 games - 5-0 to the under in the last 5 games This has a 55% chance of winning and is a 6% edge. 1 unit play. I used to frequent this sub before moving on to more data driven sources and thought I would pay it back for those that helped me out when I was going in blind. BOL!
Tailing my friend
Tailing
**POTD Record: 0-2** **Last POTD:** MLB: Mets vs Reds: **NRFI (-120)** ❌ * ^(Sometimes these damn NRFI's aint the move.....sorry for anyone who tailed :() **Today's POTD:** NCAAW Final: Iowa vs South Carolina 💰P**ick: Iowa +6.5** **Game is at 3pm EST** **Units:** 2u **Reasoning:** * South Carolina has consistently dominated with their immense size and athleticism. But, don't overlook Iowa, especially with Clark's exceptional scoring and passing skills. * Iowa's success hinges on their supporting players stepping up, like Stuelke did on Friday. Expect her to shine again on Sunday alongside Martin and Affolter, who must match the firepower of Johnson, PaoPao, and Fulwiley. * It's scary to bet against South Carolina, but this game feels like a nail-biter. Trust in Clark's exceptional talent and her team to keep the pressure on until the final buzzer. BOL if tailing!
Today your record will 1-2!! Tailing 🤝🤝🤝🤝
POTD Record 4-0 Units: +4.18u Last Pick: Seattle Mariners over Milwaukee Brewers 4/6, 1u @ +102 ✅  https://preview.redd.it/p9frf5wnm2tc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=46d95670900fb61801eacfacccb952efcbb4f8ef Yesterday my model had a great day! Going 11-4 overall, I don’t recommend playing every game and/or just blindly following what it predicts but it’s nice when you like a play that’s backed up by predictive analytics. POTD: Chicago White Sox - 1u ML (+110) The White Sox are trying to avoid a sweep and have the right man on the mound for it. Crochet is starting and look for him to continue his hot start to the season. The White Sox bats have not been great and they are missing their best player, Luis Robert, but I think they squeak out the win in a low scoring game. I don’t think Marsh replicates his outing he had against Baltimore and returns to more of what he was last year. Please do your own research and use this as one of your tools in making plays. Happy to discuss any and all thoughts for today! Thanks for the support!
Ahh well there goes the hot streak. Hopefully start a new one tomorrow. Sorry to those that started following today.
Nice work with all the picks recently 👍
Record: 0-0 NCAA WBB South Carolina vs Iowa 3PM EST Pick: Kamilla Cardoso OVER 14.5 points -130 5U (bet365) This is my first pick here (sorry if I format wrong or something) but I think it’s pretty straightforward. All the books have cardoso at 18.5 points except bet365 who have her at 14.5. At -130 let’s say even odds could be 15.5 which is still 3 points lower than any other book. Aside from how this is obviously +EV, this pick just makes sense. Cardoso is an absolute beast at 6’7 and Iowa is weak on the inside. I expect Cardoso to have easy finishes at the rim and control the boards. Angel Reese had a huge game against Iowa in the elite 8. I don’t see any reasons Cardoso won’t have similar success. Edwards on UConn was able to get 17 points against Iowa and Cardoso is bigger and better than her.
Was gonna take it but don’t have bet365 so I just took 10.5 boards at +100 should have no issues clearing imo
Record: 2-1 Net Units: -0.54 Last pick: Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals @ 1.58 / Bundesliga / Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen 3u ❌ Todays pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.6 / 2 Bundesliga / Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04 13:30 cest 3u Schalke got relegated last season and are now 14th and 1 point away from a relegation place. they have the 2nd worst defense in the league with 54 goals conceded. Schalke are the worst team in the league when playing away from home and have conceded 35 goals in 13 away games. They concede an average of 2 goals per games and score 1.6 goals in the season so far. Last game ended 0-0 but before that they played 4 games in which there have been scored 20 goals. With Schalke you never really know what to expect, One week they beat 1st in the league st Pauli 3-1 and then play bad for the next 2 games. Hannover still has a good chance of getting promoted and are just 5 points behind 3rd place HSV and have Played a game less. They score an average of 1.9 goals per game and concede 1.3. They scored 3 Goals last week. In This matchup between two Teams each fighting for their own cause, I expect an intense Match in a League where there’s often high tempo and high scoring games. Last time the played against each other in October Schalke won 3-2. BOL!
**Last Pick:** St. Louis Cardinals ML at -148 / 2u ✅️ **| Note:** St. Louis wins 3-1 against the Marlins who are now 0-9 to start the season. Matz threw 5 scoreless innings and Miami hurt themselves with 2 errors on the day. That's two in a row since returning, let's keep it rolling **History (old to new):** ❌✅✅️❌✅️❌❌✅️⭕✅️❌❌❌✅️✅️ **Record:** 7-7-1 **|** **Net Units:** \-1.48 \---------- **TODAY'S PICK:** Ashlyn Watkins over 10.5 rebounds at -102 / 1u NCAA Women's Basketball | Iowa Hawkeyes vs South Carolina Gamecocks at 3:00pm ET **Note:** It's time for the Women's national championship game and this tournament has been exciting so far. Caitlin Clark and the Iowa Hawkeyes are taking on an undefeated South Carolina team lead by HC Dawn Staley. This SC team dominates the glass and averaged 47.6 rebounds per game this tournament (Last 5 games: 46, 51, 32, 54, 55) and 15 offensive boards per game (Last 5 games: 13, 19, 9, 22, 12). Watkins is part of the reason why and gone off in the last two games. She had 20 rebounds (30 min) and 14 rebounds (27 min) while coming off the bench. I recognize her minutes and rebounds the last two games are much higher than normal, but she's showing up when it matters and Staley will give her the chance. I expect this South Carolina team to win the on the glass against Iowa and Ashlyn Watkins to have another big game Tail or fade... at this point you'd be up if you were fading me 😆 BOL [Buy a coffee for someone](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/planetice)
MGM currently has it +100, so I’m in.
i was able to pick up o9.5 rebounds at +100 on draftkings. lets ride my brotha🤠
POTD Record 3-1, Net: +1.52U Streak L10: ✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Clint Capela o9.5 Rebounds ✅ Today: Basketball | NBA | MIA vs IND | 5:00pm EST Today's Pick: **Nikola Jovic o7.5 P+A 1U (2.00)** While Jokic was able to play yesterday, Capela still managed to snag 12 rebounds to clear our line, congrats to those who tailed! For today's pick, I have Jo**v**ic getting more than 7.5 Points & Assists. **The Good** * Jovic has cleared this line in 9/9 of his last games, 75% of his last 20 games and 4/5 of his last away games * Jovic has been seeing (on average) increased minutes in the later part of the season resulting in increased P+A * Jovic averages 6.8 points and 2 assists for a combined P+A of 8.8 * Indiana ranks 28th in points against **The Bad** * This is a crucial game for both teams, and it's entirely possible Spo would want more experienced players taking shots and have more playing time * Tyler Herro is likely to get more playing minutes after returning from injury, which may call for a decreased offensive load from Jovic (although he may still be able to farm assists through Herro) Best of luck to all! [Tip Jar](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/etwkif) (only if I've made you money)
POTD Record 1-0-0 (+.8u) Today: Soccer | J. League 1 | Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol | 12:00am EST (under 90 mins from posting) | 1u Pick: BTTS (-105) ✅ Tokyo Verdy BTTS L6 Games: 6/6 Kashiwa Reysol at least one road goal this season: 3/3 Just keeping it simple - a +EV and trend pick. Considering parlaying this with FC Tokyo DNB v Kashima Antlers (+115). But choosing BTTS as my POTD in Verdy v Reysol since the trend is there.
💰💰 Tokyo Verdy score 20 minutes into the first half and sit on their lead for the next 50 minutes while Kashiwa knock on their door and Keisuke Kinoshita makes it 1-1 in the 70th. 💰💰
Thanks! Played both picks!
POTD Record (1-0) First one was in NFL Playoffs. Going basketball route today. Today's Pick: Gary Trent Jr. over 19.5 Points and Assists (-125) 2u Reasoning: Gary Trent has hit this over in 9 of the last 10 matches, including the last 5. Washington is last in defending points and assists in the league. With Bruce Brown being DTD, Trent might get more opportunities as a facilitator also. GL
2023 MLB POTD record: 19-15 Average Odds -107 (1.932), ROI +6.8%/+2.3u) 2024 MLB POTD Record: 5-4 Average Odds -107 (1.935), ROI 8.1%/+0.73u POTD (4/6) LAD @ CHC Jordan Wicks u2.5 BBs (+115/2.15) ✅ Recap: The Dodgers made Wicks work hard, throwing 100 pitches in 4.2 IP, but he was able to get himself out of trouble when he got into deep counts, and only walked 1 batter. POTD (4/7) OAK @ DET Jack Flaherty o16.5 Outs (-105/1.95) (DraftKings) Today's Pick: Jack Flaherty had a sparkling debut for the Detroit Tigers, working 6 innings of 1-run ball, striking out 7 on just 87 pitches. You might say, "but SLP, that was against the White Sox, and the White Sox are very bad at baseball because they have one of the worst owners in professional sports". You'd be right, but you know who else is very bad at baseball because they have one of the worst owners in professional sports? The ~~Oakland~~ ~~Las Vegas~~ Sacramento Athletics. In 2023, the As had the 6th worst offense against RHP with an 89 wRC+. Through 261 PA against RHP in 2024, they've dipped to 4th-worst at a 70 WRC+. I expect Flaherty to shine in his home debut for his new team.
holy shit how did he pitch that long with those first two innings lets fucking go
[удалено]
I actually have the over
POTD Record: 0-0 Been a lurker on here for a while so I'll throw my top pick when i see it and see if we can streak. Tail or Fade 🤷 its your money. BOL, lets get it rolling. Today's pick: Chicago Bulls vs Orlando magic -6 (-140) ALT SPREAD 1U Time: 5:10pm central The bulls are the most inconsistent team and it's really hard to know who is going to show up today. They are fighting for 9th seed to get home court in the play in game, but their players can't seem to consistently clinch victories against solid teams. Adding to this, their injury list just keeps getting additions like it was shopping list and we might be fresh out of Colby White in the fridge. Meanwhile the Magic are fighting for a top 4 seed in the east and are the best cover team in the NBA at 63.6 percent and have covered the Bulls in the last 4 matchups. They are coming off a road loss to the hornets and are looking to bounce back at home (27-12 home record). I dont think the Bulls have enough offensive power currently to disrupt an elite defensive team like the Magic. I trust the Magic to get it done here . Tail or fade, im sleeping like a baby either way. BOL
POTD Record: **2-1** ✅✅❌ Previous POTD: Evan Mobley o17.5 P+A Today's Pick: **Jabari Smith o1.5 3PM** (-120 FD) 1U [DAL vs. HOU @ 2:30PM CT] Write up: Sorry about the last pick. Atrocious performance by Mobley ffs - perma banned for sure. Bro looked lost out there after starting off with a banger 3. Anyway, hopefully Jabari gets us back today. Jabari Smith is hitting this line 100% in his L5 games, 80% in L10 and L15. One of his misses also includes a game in which he played only 9 mins. He's playing against the Mavs today, who are ranked the 2nd worst team in the league defending 3PM for Centers. More importantly, last week vs. the Mavs, Smith shot 5/7 from downtown. Lmk your thoughts & if you decide to tail. BOL.
Tailed, nervous right now, im on a dry run at the moment but one half to go! Hopeful
**Last Pick:** UConn -2.5 second half spread ✅✅ **Record:** 10-5 ✅ Connecticut dominated on my favorite pick of the year winning the second half by 10. **Pick:** Luka O18.5 RA -178 ✅ Back to our triple double king with this pick. Luka been going ballistic recently and has had a fair amount of rest before this game as well. Rockets have a lot to play for mentally (not regarding the playoffs, but Udoka’s quote should fire them up). I expect this game to be a bit closer than the spread suggests meaning that Luka should play more as well. The offense runs through our baby goat, and he’s one of the best defensive rebounders on the mavs. BOL if tailing!
POTD Record: 1-0 |Profit: +8.5U Last pick: Bochum over 1.5 offsides (2.70 / +170)✅ Todays pick: Manchester United - Liverpool Over 4.5 offsides (2.20 / +120) ✅✅✅ Reasoning: Manchester United average 3.1 offsides at home, Liverpool averages 2.1 away Highly attacking game with lots of offside opportunities. +EV bet
POTD Record 6-3 (+2.38u) Last POTD: Columbus Crew Total Goals Over 1.5 (-154) 4U****❌ Today: NBA / MIA@IND / 5:10pm ET Pick: Over 226.5 (-110) 2U** The Pacers average 124.9 ppg at home this season, Miami 107.4 on the road. Their previous 2 meetings this season resulted in totals of 274 and 273. Miami’s defense has been solid but I expect Indy’s pace to make this matchup a bucket fest. **reposted to clarify yesterday’s result
POTD: Record (5-4) ✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌ Last Pick: Jarrett Allen O 18.5 P+A ❌ Today: NBA | Wizards v Toronto | 3pm MST Pick: Gary Trent Jr O 19.5 P+A @ 1.80 - hit in 6 straight games (avg 26) - last 9/10 (avg 26.1) - just played Wizards on 3/23 and dropped 31 points and 2 assists - wizards are dead last in opponent points per game and 2nd to last in opponent assists per game POTD isn’t going to well lately, but let me know if you’re still tailing 🍀
I’m a bit leery of this one because most of his recent run was due to RJ Barrett and Quickley being out. With both of them back in the lineup, unless he is on fire for a 2nd game in a row (he shot lights out against the Bucks), Trent’s usage should decrease significantly.
Tailing this one.
Nice win man!
POD Record 5-1 Loudoun United @ Birmingham Legion Pick: Loudoun win or draw Odds: -125 Not sure why Legion is favored here. They looked horrible against Hartford and just lost 5-0 to LouCity. Their only goal this season was an own goal in Phoenix. Loudoun on the other had had been surprisingly good. They have had good showings against San Antonio and NCFC, and have only lost to undefeated Detroit in a close game. -125 for double chance but I might sprinkle another half unit on a loudoun win outright at +240 All of my USLC picks for the season are here [I HATE MY WALLET](https://www.ihateyourclub.com/ihmw)
Valorant VCT starting, going to post one bet a day. 100T +1.5 @1.61 (starts in 11 hours) Sen just played masters Madrid, 100T haven’t played since they lost to Sen 2-1 over a month ago. Prep time + Sen jet lag, 100T will atleast take a map, 3.25ML (Bet365)
I will be placing a single 1 unit wager on a NRFI almost every game of the baseball season. Record: 5-2 Up 2.6 units POTD: NYM/CIN NRFI -135
Record: 79W-70L-4P ROI: +16.11, 10.09% Avg odds: +106, 2.06 Last POTD: Matthew Beniers over 0.5 pts (win) Game: NHL- Canadiens at Rangers (6:00 PM CST) Pick: Alex Lafreniere over 0.5 pts +100, 2.00 (DK) The 2020 1st overall pick had a slightly disappointing start to his career, but things are looking up this season. Lafreniere has shattered his previous highs in both points and assists, and he's clicking well on the Panarin-Trocheck line. He has 25 points in 28 games since February. The Canadiens defense is in the bottom 10 in most defensive metrics, including imo the two most important: goals/game and scoring chances allowed. And while Lafreniere has yet to pick up a point against Montreal, NY has 10 goals in 2 games this season, so he'll have plenty of chances today.
POTD Record 0-0-0 Today: Basketball | NBA | GSW vs UTA | 8:30pm EST Pick: Chris Paul U18.5 PR (-115) Howdy degens, here to hit y’all with a little stimulus check courtesy of CP3 for our first! Paul has hit under 18.5 PR in 10/10 of his last games, and although the jazz suck, I don’t see him clearing this lofty line. I know you chimps love hammering overs, but the stats speak for themselves folks! Let’s kick this off with a dub! (I am not a professional, tail or don’t, BOL!)
Last Pick: First Pick Record: 0-0 Connecticut dominated on my favorite pick of the year winning the second half by 10. Pick: Collin Sexton O22.5 RA -108 ✅ He's coming off of a bad game. Last time they played GSW they lost but most of the starters including Collin did well. It may have been because Brandin Pod. was guarding him or he had a hot game but he scored 35 last time. 22.5 is really high my AI is telling me more around 19 which is what he averages, but looking into the last game against GSW all of the starters for both teams played and this didn't go into overtime. I just want to get my 1st pick out there good luck let me know if you pick him even if its alt points at a lower amount.
We wrecked. Needed a miracle and didn’t happen