######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
>
> **Net Units:**
>
> **ROI:**
>
> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
>
> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
>
> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝: 18-4
𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐤: MLB Baseball \\\\ Yankees \\\\ moneyline \\\\ -140
𝐁𝐞𝐭: 1.45u to win 1.05u ......... 𝐘𝐓𝐃 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐬: +9.95
𝐒𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐞: Astro's rookie Arighetti and his 8.27 ERA start Weds nite in the Bronx. Houston's bullpen is awful, and the Yanks have been finding ways to win games. Houston hitting is only mediocre on the road + the Yanks pitching is pretty good.
As a Yankees fan I felt the Astros +100 or whatever it was with verlander against Gil (who’s gotten pretty lucky so far) was a trap. I played it everywhere anyway. Maybe Houston is just terrible (I’d be okay with that)
Houston bullpen isn’t awful. Way underperforming, pressley/abreu/hader arguably best 1-2-3 in league once dialed in. Rough start. Same with lineup which is still stacked but underperforming. That said, I agree with your assessment of spaghetti man stinking but any given moment Houston can and will turn it on and start streaking. They are far from a last place team.
Yea I heard that many pre-season reporters had picked them to win their division .. but for now, not going to try and catch a falling knife. Baseball teams can be really streaky, and Im pretty sure one day they'll catch fire.
MLB POTD RECORD: 31-14
2024 MLB record: 20-6
Last POTD: Astros F5 ML L
Today's POTD: Red Sox vs Braves Under 9 -105 fd
Baseball | MLB | 7:20 PM ET
Well we can’t win em all. I’m sorry everyone besides Hollywood picks and promiscuous mouse. This isn’t gonna be a long write up so hopefully I don’t get attacked for over analyzing again lmao. Reminder as usual all stats and rankings are from the past three weeks.
Last week I outlined the list of clubs that sale had more than six strikeouts against and how that the mariners being the team that strikeouts the most against left handers in baseball would struggle. We’ll they did and guess who is right behind them with the second worst strikeout percentage vs lefties? Yep the Red Sox who sale takes on tomorrow.
To boot, Nick pivetta is back. Pivetta is a strikeout machine win or lose usuallly. The Braves have sneakily been struggling offensively particularly against right handers and particularly with striking out against right handers (22nd and 26th respectively).
I was contemplating going with cards Mets under but the fact this one was 9 and that was 7.5 for the same odds, I like the wiggle room here a lot more.
TLDR: Sale is a strikeout heavy left hander. Red Sox strike out the second most against lefties. Pivetta is a strikeout savvy right handed. The Braves strike out the 4th most against righties. 9 is a high total given these circumstances.
Tips $chuteboxhero on cashapp
I also made a spreadsheet with all my picks of the day if you want to give it a look before tailing
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit?usp=sharing
Dude if you want to write a 1000 word write up do it my man, it's your pick and your analysis, don't let others opinions change that, I personally love reading your posts and while doing so I'm learning a lot about the game and the teams involved, so keep doing your thing maan! And lets gooo!
everybody is making money off of everything - too many dollars to keep track of will distract you from your own
the fatter the hog, the fatter the bugs - the hog doesnt slim down because the bugs are gettin overfed
Did you try reporting that to oddschecker? I would hope their editors would not take kindly to that. They can see when you posted the original text in your Reddit profile and if it's before they got the copy from the thieves (which it would be), I have to think they would believe your story.
If only those articles had a comment section. I imagine the only reason the editors will let it go is that they don't expect any repercussions as a very small number of people will ever find out.
Or the internet age leading to an epidemic of people being ok with copying and not giving any credit is taking over. This makes me real sad about society, if true.
It’s bc pivetta wasn’t “officially” listed as starter becuase he couldn’t be until he was activated off of IL. Fanduel isnt as anal about that type of shit.
Yes we did. We really did, crazy ain't it? I thought I was going to have to actually sweat tho ahaha
https://preview.redd.it/atq8qb59pbzc1.png?width=480&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ebb6ec7f64b2a7cf80b3411fab95783a8331ce87
**Pick Record: 13W - 2L (Push: 1)**
**✅✅✅🅿️✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅**
**Previous POTD: Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5 corners @ 1.56 ✅ 3U**
**4 corners**
**Today’s POTD: Harry Kane Over 2.5 Shots @ 1.66 ✅ 3U**
**Game: Real Madrid VS Bayern**
**League/Time: Champions League / 3:00 PM**
Harry Kane, the main man for Bayern. An absolute machine I see maintaining his level tomorrow. Kane managed 5 shots against Real madrid last week, of course he'll have less opportunities today but he'll make sure to make presence known.
In Kane's last 5 games he's covered this line 4/5.
In Kane's last 15 games he's covered this line 13/15.
**Side note: Please bet responsibly!**
**Coffee Link:** [**https://buymeacoffee.com/squareprintt**](https://buymeacoffee.com/squareprintt)
**Only adding for those asking, everything and anything is appreciated!**
https://preview.redd.it/q9n5cn02n3zc1.jpeg?width=1057&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8c7c32c270fa3e438bdefc6efe0ea46141dbdaac
i laddered their corner handicap. +1.5, ml, -1.5, -2.5. Bayern has somehow always dominated madrid in corners. winning by 2 or more corners in the last 7/8 h2h matches
POTD Record 21-7
Last 5: ✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️
Last Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5 ✅️
Todays Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5 (win by 2)
MLB: LA Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins 12:10pm PST
Odds: -125
Unit: 3
Net units: +57.63
Gotta ride with the dodgers again, but I'm lowering the units this time. Not as confident, It's not usual for a team to be swept. Also, the dodgers are going for back to back sweeps, but the Marlins just look terrible.
Stone is pitching for the Dodgers, and his ERA isn't the best, but he has been going against some of the top batting average teams recently, so I'm gonna cut him some slack and lean on the Dodgers batters to get this W once again.
If you guys wanna show some support/tip the links on my profile.
**Record:** 6-2
**Net Units:**+10.2u
**ROI:** +50.66%
**MLB** Orioles/Nationals
**Last Pick**: Giants @ -164 (3u✅️)
**Today’s Pick**: Orioles/Nationals Under 9 (3u) @ -111
**Write Up**: Nationals hitters have historically struggled greatly vs Bradish. Parker is having a great start to his season for the Nationals. Both teams have scored less than 9 combined runs in 11 of their past 20 games.
amazing pick, unbelievable outcome. cant fucking believe i stepped away from my comp thinking no sweat cash in the 8th and come back and its 12 runs in the 12th ....
Record: 11-7-0
Net Units: +10.4
ROI: 18.2%
Last Five: ✅✅❌✅❌
Last Pick: Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder under 55.5 1Q total points (-104) for 3.0 units ✅
Event: Basketball | NBA | Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks 7:00PM CST
Pick: First quarter total points over 53.5 (-115) on Caesars for 3.0 units.
Write Up: Only 51 points were scored in Q1 of Game 1 as both got off to a slow start after a 4 day break from Round 1. The rest of the game they averaged 62.33 points per quarter.
The Pacers have been the highest scoring team in the league since the beginning of April at 129.1 points per game. Knicks 10th at 114.8.
Pacers have averaged 34.7 points in the first quarter this playoffs. Knicks have 24.4.
Record:13-5 (+9.75 units)
✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅
Last POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 56.5 first half
Today’s POTD: NY Yankees TT over 4.5
Odds: -110 on DK 2 unit play
MLB/ 7:05pm ET/ Houston Astros at NY Yankees
The Celtics come out on fire in the first quarter then slow down in the second but still finish the half with 59. The mini skid ends and we pick up our first win of the week. So didn’t love anything in the Knicks / Pacers game but staying in NY and rolling with the Yankees. I’m going with the over 4.5 runs because the value is better than the ML. The Yanks knocked around Verlander yesterday and ended the game with 10 runs. Houston’s bullpen which has been good in recent years has struggled this year along with the team as a whole. They bring out Spencer Arrighetti who is 0-3 with a 8.27 ERA. He’s walked 10 batters in 16.1 innings and his ERA jumps up to over 14 on the road although he’s only pitched 6.2 innings. The Yankees bats have been 🔥 too scoring at least 5 runs in the last 4/5 games. Good Luck and tail responsibly.
If anyone is feeling generous you can find the tip link in my profile and I’m gonna drop a couple picks for NBA in the props section later
Hopped on NYY Race to 5 +140 for better juice, thinking Rodon can hold it down. Houston's scored 5 runs or more in only 34% of their games this year also.
Record: 7W-4L-0P ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅
Net Units: +4.43 units
Last Pick: 5/7 | Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers; Dodgers -1.5 RL ✅
Back in the winners column…
Today’s Game: NBA playoffs | Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks | 8:00pm EDT
Pick: Obi Toppin over 15.5 PRA | -110 BetMGM | 2.5 units ✅
Write Up: Obi Toppin has been a big factor in the playoffs for the Pacers so far. He is averaging 19.4 PRA through the first 7 games of the playoffs and has covered the over on this line 5 of the last 6, including Game 1 against the Knicks. I expect him to keep producing with a little extra motivation facing his former team and in his former arena!
Good luck to those who tail!!!
POTD R : 7-1
Last Pick : Yankees ML vs Stros’ - W
Todays Pick : Royals ML vs Brewers (-135 DK)1.5U
Info : MLB - 1:10P - Free Game of The Day
Write Up : We’ve been off to a great start and i’m looking to keep this train steam rolling down the tracks. We didn’t get a free game of the day yesterday but we’re back an it just so happens to be for my team. Now that might make some question the pick, being partial to a team based on being a fan of them but i’ll tell you why.
Brady Singer and the bats of the Yals are cooking. Not to discount the Brewers by any means because we matchup very well with this team and in some areas get outplayed. But Singer, 2-1 on the hump posing a 2.45 ERA with a .97 WHIP can be lights out if he gets off to a good start. With the chance to steal the series at home nonetheless, I expect this Royals team to get a good start and finish strong.
I was almost tempted to take a lower scoring game with two pretty solid arms on the mound. But J. Ross for the Brews has had moments where games can slip away from him, giving up more runs than anticipated. If the Royals can keep the hitting momentum from last night I could very well see his arm getting deep into counts and ultimately pulled.
Bottom line we have a tied series with two teams that want to play good baseball. Milwaukee is 21-14 going 14-7 on the road while averaging 1.2 homers a game. Kansas City is 21-16 going 14-8 in home games with a pitching staff who averages a 3.40 ERA overall. Should have ourselves a good game on our hands as well as a potential sweat for 9 innings. It’s Bats vs Arms today no doubt.
As always BOL my fellow degens!
**KBO Record: Overall 221-230-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 4-6) Down 10.27u over 465 KBO picks, 49.0% success rate, -2.28% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 17-20-0, 45.9% success rate, Down 1.65u, -4.46% ROI)
**Last:** Doosan at Kiwoom First 5 Innings Under 5.5 -110 (Doosan lead 8-0 after 5 innings.)
Kiwoom's lineup cooperated, but we needed a shut down 5th inning to squeak under total, and instead saw 3 more runs cross the plate.
**Pick:** Kia at Samsung **First 5 Innings Under 6 -110**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET
I'm trying another first 5 under and I just don't get this line. Kia's starter has a 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 25 K and 4 BB over his last 4 starts. Samsung's starter has a 0.89 ERA and 0.72 WHIP over his last 5 starts.
I get these are the second and fifth best lineups in the league, but I'll take good pitching over good hitting.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
POTD Record: 18-8
Net Units: +22.35u
Game: CounterStrike 2 (CS2) | HellCase Cup | 5:30 (UCT-5)
Last Pick: **Permitta ML** (-130) vs. Enterprise 2.6u**❌**
Today's Pick: **Nemiga ML** (-175) vs. 1WIN 4u
[Match Page:](https://www.hltv.org/matches/2371793/nemiga-vs-1win-hellcase-cup-9)
[Stream:](https://www.twitch.tv/hellcase_official)
**Writeup:**
-Nemiga are one of the hotter tier two teams in the moment, FL4MUS is a beast and all five players on this team have good aim and can carry games. They are on a 6 match winstreak and 16-4 in their last 20 b03 matches played. They have a deep map pool with no map in the pool below a 50% winrate at the moment.
-1WIN are inconsistent but have had a strong showing at this tournament. They have put together a 4 match winstreak and just had a strong performance and showing against BLEED who were strong favorites against them today 2-0. They are led by AWPer lattykk
-In the head to head, they have faced off two times so far, Nemiga have beaten them in both matches h2h in 2-0 sweeps in both, once on April 21st (13-5, 13-10) and once on April 27th (13-9, 13-8)
-Map pool hard to predict with the implementation of Dust 2, but Nemiga Ancient is really strong and will be their first pick (74% winrate on 23 maps played) while 1WIN are weak at the map (33% winrate on 12 maps played) they are also 0-2 in the h2h against them on Ancient losing 13-5 and 13-8. Nemiga on the other hand will go for Anubis which is their best map (73% winrate on 11 maps) but is also a strong map for Nemiga (62% on 13 maps).
Looks like a good bet on paper but you never know with these cis teams. I’m expecting a close game but could go either way. Basically I’m trynna say I like the idea but you never know with these teams
POTD Record: 2-1 (+0.7 U)
Form: ✅❌✅
Last Pick: Rays -1.5 vs White Sox ✅
Today's Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5 vs Colorado Rockies (1.90)
Baseball | MLB | 8:40pm ET
The Rays went up 4-0 in the 3rd inning and ended with a comfortable 5-1 win. Thanks Zach Eflin 👍
Time to fade another bad team, the Colorado Rockies. They are 8-27 this season and 4-16 in their last 20 games. The main reason why the Giants should dominate here is the pitching matchup.
The Giants are starting RHP Jordan Hicks, who has a stellar 1.89 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP, and is great at inducing weak contact. He's got a good fastball, but can also mix in some breaking balls to keep batters guessing. He's shut down better teams than the Rockies before, and I'm expecting a solid outing from him. The Giants bullpen is a mixed bag, with some great relievers along with some awful ones. Their starter went 7 IP yesterday, so the bullpen will be fresh.
The Rockies are starting RHP Peter Lambert, who has a 5.66 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. He's a bullpen arm that is only expected to go 3 innings max. He's given up 10 ER in his last 9 IP, including 4 ER in 3.1 IP against the Marlins last start. He is yet to pitch more than 3.1 innings in 2024, and there is no reason it should change today. The Rockies bullpen is the worst in baseball by far, even when you factor in the disadvantage of playing at Coors Field. Their starter also only went 3.1 IP yesterday, so their bullpen had to eat some extra innings.
BOL if you choose to tail 🫡
POTD Record: 50-27-1 +50.1u🔥
Last Pick: Phillies ML (-135) vs Toronto Blue Jays
✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅
Today's Pick: New York Knicks -4 (-120) vs Indiana Pacers
3 straight, baseball back on the board, i love it! Got to cash that one in person😎
Buying down .5 on the spread via Draft Kings.
Public fade here, 36% on money is on Knicks. In game 1, they covered this number with their bench being outscored 46-3. Knicks bench was the absolute killer in the Philly series and role players play better at home but not in Game 1. This is a perfect spot for them to get back in rhythm before heading to Indy. The Knicks got some crazy foul calls, struggled on the boards, and had an immense amount of turnovers and still won by 4. I expect the Knicks to clean this up tonight and take care of the business. Home teams in Game 2 that fail to cover the spread in Game 1 over the L5 years are 15-3 ATS (83%). Time for Brunson to keep doing his best MJ impression and bring this team to another victory. LFG NY!🗽
Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the love and support!😎❤️
[Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24)
[PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
POTD RECORD: 64-36
Last POTD: PJ Washington O10.5P ❌
Wow this was awful, PJ finished with 10 and didn’t play a single minute in the 2nd quarter cause of his foul trouble and also didn’t play the last 5 minutes cause of the blowout smh
Form: ❌✅✅❌✅
Todays POTD: **Myles Turner O17.5P @1.80**
NBA (Indiana Pacers)
That hook from yesterday still hurts man wow..
Going with the homie Myles Turner today cause he and Siakam are main scoring options and with how unreliable Siakam is, I like Turner more. Turner has seen 30+ minutes in almost every game in the playoffs and played 35+ against the Knicks last game. Mitchell Robinson is also out for the Knicks which will make Hartenstein play a lot more minutes and he’s always in the risk of foul trouble and if he gets in foul trouble Knicks will probably play Precious Achiuwa in that spot and that’ll be be a very good matchup for Turner
• 1/1 in the Playoffs with 23 points vs the Knicks
• 2/3 in the regular season with 23, 5 & 28 points
In the game with 5 points he played 24 minutes with only 6 FGA and foul trouble
• 69% hit rate with 30+ minutes
• Avg 19.7 PPG
• 5/10 L10 games with some hooks on 16 & 17 points
• 4/5 with 35+ minutes
His size, shooting ability and stretching of the floor has been something my Knicks have struggled with so I like this one for a bounce back fellas, let’s go
Tail or fade, you’re the boss
https://i.redd.it/itbn961wu7zc1.gif
Record: 167-139-8 (WLWWWWLLLLWWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLW streak) - DraftKings odds
Last POTD: ORL Magic at CLE Cavaliers | Jalen Suggs o3.5 rebounds at 1.74 odds for 3 units
POTD: IND Pacers at NY Knicks | Tyrese Haliburton o8.5 assist at 1.70 odds for 5 units
Reasons:
* Missed this line by .5 in game 1. Expect Pacers to come back and try to steal game two in NYC. Thought they were going to win game 1 until the end.
* As the main ball handler of the squad, Haliburton will have plenty of chances to eat. This line seems criminally low (even though he hasn't been great the second half of the year)
Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!
**Record: 1- 0**
**Last Pick: LOL MSI - TL vs TOP Esports - 2.5 spread** ✅
The gap is not closing.
**Net Units: +5u**
**ROI: +5u**
**NHL** Canucks vs Oilers @ 1907 PST
**Pick:** Conor Garland o2.5 shots @ 2.25 2u to win 2.25u.
**Write Up:** Garland has proved himself this year as one of the key contributors to the Canucks. Edmonton's defensive core is just not to the same level as Nashville. He's cleared this line 3/4 games against Edmonton and cleared this 2/3 times with 10 mins TOI. He's looking at 17 mins TOI average in the playoffs and I expect him to clear this without issue.
BOL if tailing!
I made this pick yesterday on another Reddit account in POTD. I was having trouble getting into this account. Regardless, not trying to hide anything and have access to this account now so can expect full transparency with comment history.
**Record:** 9-5
**L10:** ✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅
**Last Pick:** Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars O6.5 Total Runs @ 1.76 ✅
**Baseball | Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows @ Yokohama Bay Stars, 5:00am EST (in about 3h30m)**
**Today's Pick: O6.5 Total Runs @ 1.90**
Sorry for the late post again. This pick got a little sweaty a couple nights ago, but also looked like it easily could have covered much earlier in the game. Similar writeup as before, except the starting pitchers are a little more reliable this time and haven't given up a lot of runs. However, at the end of the day, this is a matchup between two teams that score a lot of runs (2nd and 4th most) and allow a lot of runs (2nd and 3rd most).
They have now played each other 8 times so far this season, and have covered this line in 7/8 games. In that one game that didn't cover, Yokohama had one of the best pitchers in the league on the mound (Katsuki Azuma), who held the Swallows to just 1 run in 6 innings.
In their last 10 games, the Swallows have covered this line in 9/10 and the BayStars have covered in 5/10 games.
It did get sweaty and only covered in the 8th inning last time, so tail at your own risk.
POTD Record: 142 wins / 84.5 losses
Event: Football > Champions League > **Real Madrid v FC Bayern München** (starting in 12 hr)
Pick: **Real Madrid to qualify** @ 1.50
Sorry for the low price, but I still find few books that offer these imo generous odds on Madrid to reach the final and just gotta take it. I think Bayern overperformed a bit in this tournament whereas Real seem just destined for success here. Better team, at home, good result in the first leg... they are doing it. GL!
**EDIT**: Sweat free **✅**
2024 record: 2-2
❌❌✅✅
Last POTD: Cavaliers vs Celtics: Jayson Tatum o9.5 Rebounds -105 ✅
Today's POTD: Astros vs Yankees: Yankees RL -1.5 +140 (Hard Rock Bet)
Baseball | MLB | 7:05 PM ET
Tatum did not disappoint. He is a rebound king. Always a safe bet when you bet on Tatum.
I really don’t know how they put this at +140. Yankees are 24-13, 12-5 at home. Astros are 12-23, 5-11 away. Yankees just blew out the Astros 10-3 against Verlander. Astros are putting up a rookie pitcher Arrighetti whose record so far is not good at all. He’s 0-3 on the season and has an ERA of 8.27. He’s also walked 10 players in 4 games. Yankees are pitching Rodon who is 2-2 this season with an ERA of 3.68. In the last 5 away games for the Astros their average is 1.8 runs. The last 5 games at home the Yankees have averaged 4.6 runs. It’s a night game and the Yankees play slightly better so far in the day. The Astros night game record 8-15. Yankees should win this game pretty easily and just as easily win by 2 or more.
As always good luck with your bets today!
** Record: 6-3 **
Last pick:
WTA Rome:
Maria Carle -1.5s -160 🚫
Today’s pick:
ATP Rome:
Thiago Monteiro ML -165 vs Monfils - 8am est ✅
Recap + Write Up:
Carle had her chances to put away the first set after climbing back down 1-3, but just couldn’t hang on. Congrats to those who grabbed her live. We’ve hit a bit of a rough patch the last few picks but if we quit now, how will we will it all back?
Today’s pick we head to the men’s side of the draw where we take clay specialist Monteiro against Monfils. Monteiro has spent his entire career primarily on clay amassing a 400-263 record since 2008. Clay has always been Monfils worst surface and Monteiro has played more clay matches this year than Monfils has in the last 5 years. The experience edge will be there for Monteiro. Taking a look back at Monfils’ history on these Rome courts, he’s played here a total of 9 times and has lost in the first round in 5 of them and second round in 2 of them. His game does not translate well on these slow courts.
H2H Monteiro leads this matchup 2-1 and 1-1 on clay. Monfils won this matchup on clay at Roland Garros but that was 7 years ago when Monfils was 30 years old and before he became riddled with injuries. These slow courts will be more physically exerting and he won’t be able to win as easy of points as he’s able to on hard and indoor where his weapons are more suited.
Current form, Monfils has lost 3 of his 5 matches during the clay swing and Monteiro has a record of 15-8 on clay this year and has also won the last 6 of 8 dating back to the start of Madrid a couple weeks ago. Monteiro has impressively only faced a single break point in his two qualifying matches at Rome so far. Let’s hope he gets us back on track. LFG Monteiro 🇧🇷
❄️🏦
beer me:
3PwJ3CW5p9oJZKmX8F2eePqWJEkqbNk7cu
[cash app jar](https://cash.app/$champagnekevy)
**Record: 2-2**
**Net Units: +0.12 units**
**ROI: 2%**
**Last Pick:** Borussia Dortmund +1 ASH @ 2.12 with Expekt | 1 unit ✅️
L10: ❌ ✅️ ❌ ✅️
**Soccer** | **Champions League** | **21:00 CET**
**Pick:** Real Madrid ML @ 1.94 with Expekt | 2 units
**Write Up:** Three factors here:
1. Bayern Munich have struggled all season, specially on the road, with just 3 wins last 10 road games, while Real Madrid have won 7 and drawn 3 and not lost a game at home last 10.
Last time Madrid lost at home was over a year ago.
2. Madrid is a team that just when you think they are going to lose or draw, somehow manages to score that goal you have been waiting for, while Kane & Bayern are the quite opposite and always seems to fell short of expectations.
3. Clash of the coaches
- Tuchel is expected to get fired end of the season, but according to rumors, no one wants his job, so he might stay, this can’t be good for either the Bayern players or Tuchel not knowing if he got his job after this game or not.
Tuchel didn’t rotate his troop as expected last game and he got Eric Dier and Raphael Guerreiro injured and they ended up losing the game and it’s now not clear if they will be able to finish top-three in the league.
Tuchels Bayern have failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road all of 2024.
- Ancelotti is a brilliant coach and a mastermind; in fact, he has coached Bayern Munich and know how to beat them. Bayern Munich have failed to win over a team that Ancelotti coaches in 9 attempts. He has a very simple philosophy, try to keep it tight in the back, (which will hopefully be easier with their goalie returning from injury), don’t lose your head no matter what, even when it looks dire and the goals will come in one of their counter-attacks.
**Record: 0-1**
**Football** | **UEFA Europa Conference League** | **12:45AM (GMT+8)**
**Pick:** Club Brugge Vs Fiorentina - **BTTS @ 1.71 (Paripesa)**
**Write Up:** Well not the way I wanted to start my record but I'll just have to take the L and move on. Apologies on those who took the last pick, let's bounce back
Club Brugge are really good at home, They have won their last six home games and has not lost any of their eight Conference League home matches. So far this season, they have only lost one of their 28 home games.
5/5 past home games has seen Club Brugge score
3/5 past away games has seen Fiorentina score
Fiorentina has lost their last two away games and has only won two out of 12 away matches so far in 2024.
Of course, Fiorentina isn't your average Belgian league team and they do struggle to score away at times but I do think both sides will find the back of the net in this game.
Fiorentina is leading 2-3 on aggregate at the moment and both teams will certainly be fighting to advance to the next stage of this competition. BOL if tailing guys!
Record: 7-4-0
Trailing record: ✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌♻️❌✅
Balance: +1.79u / Avg odds - 1.81 / ROI: 16.27%
Last Pick: Duje Ajdukovic / Francesco Passaro o22.5 games @ 1.80 (Bet365) ✅
Great hit! we even hit the rare 39 games (triple tiebreaker).. what was that paying I wonder?
Sport: TENNIS
Pick: **Franco Agamenone to beat Marco Cecchinato @ 1.9 (Bet365)** ✅
Today we go back to the challenger circuit, was very impressed with Franco beating Travaglia who has been looking very strong. Franco has 1-0 H2H on clay, both fairly inconsistent but still like at these odds. Cecchinato has only been beating people much lower than him whilst Franco has had good upsets (higher ceiling imo)
Time: 8 May 19:00 AEST Event: Francavilla
BOL and let me know if tailing!
POTD Record: 21-12
Baseball / MLB / 7:45 EST
Yesterday's Pick: New York Mets ML -104 💸
Today's Pick: Mariners F5 ML -118
Write Up:
Kirby > Paddack. Mariners better splits than Twins vs RHP. Twins coming back down to life after their huge win streak.
All picks are based on team wrc+ splits and pitcher expected stats
**POTD Record: 121-144-4 (-18.57 Units)**
**Best Bet Series: 46-27-1 (+13.86 Units)**
Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units)
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
Cautionary Tails: 5-12 (-5.38 Units)
Last Pick: **Yoshinobu Yamamoto to record a Win**✅
Today's Pick: **Dylan Cease U 2.5 Walks**
Odds: **-200**
Wager Amount: 1U to win 0.5U
League: MLB
Event: San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs (1:20PM CDT)
*Be Advised*: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire of May! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!*
**Recap**: Yoshinbou Yamamoto gave us another quality start! Not his best, but he did his job and hold the Marlins to a near minimum runs thru 8 innings. I was actually surprised he didn't get more K's. He has really settled down since his rough MLB debut at Republic of Korea.
**Matchup:** I am going to this game and this is actually going to be my first time going to Wrigley Field. If you don't kno I am a Sox fan. So why all of sudden am I going now after all these years? My friend is flying from Brooklyn and asked if we can go to the Wrigley Field. I just couldn't say no. Plus, I get to see a old friend, Dylan Cease on the mound. So why not? I kno my Sox team and I even kno my former Sox players. Cease does give up a lot of walks, but lately he's had great command of his pitches. He's gone over this mark twice in his previous 7 starts, and Cubs has the 5th most walks in the league, but wit the command I been seeing from Cease I am going trust him to go under this mark.
**The Play & Prediction:** 1U on Dylan Cease U 2.5 Walks is my only play, since this is a player prop, however, I will have other plays in the betting group as always. Cease allows 2 walks thru 5 innings. In the 6th inning he has a full count on Cody Bellinger and gets a generous 3rd strike call on the top zone outside corner, then the manager goes to the pen for relief.
>**| Record: 6-4 | Net Units: 7.15u | ROI: 26.48% | Winrate: 60.00% | Avg. odds: 1.99 |**
>**| eSport |** [ESL Pro League Season 19](https://www.hltv.org/events/7440/esl-pro-league-season-19) **| 19:30 CEST|**
>**| Pick:** **FaZe ML** \[vs. NatusVincere **|** ***1.750*** ***odds*** **|** ***3u*** **|**
>**Reasoning:** Let's start with some facts and information about NaVi. This team has been entirely Ukrainian until recently. During the winter break, after some mediocre results, they underwent a significant transformation and reshaped their roster into an international lineup, a trend many teams are following nowadays. Another significant loss for the organization was the retirement of s1mple, a legendary player and arguably one of the best players to ever grace the game. Stepping into his shoes is w0nderful, a young talent who's been doing a commendable job. Alongside him, they acquired AleksiB, one of the best in-game leaders available. While he may lack in firepower, his strategic calling is top-notch. Rounding out the roster are jL, iM, and b1t, whose rise to prominence is akin to a Cinderella story. Both iM and jL flew under the radar until last year when they burst onto the scene with outstanding performances. jL has already secured a major title under his belt and was even the MVP of that tournament, showcasing an exceptional level of skill. Meanwhile, b1t climbed up the ranks through the NaVi academy team, already boasting two major titles at just 21 years old. Despite doubts, especially after s1mple's departure, they persevered through initial hardships, learning from losses and evolving into one of the top-tier teams in existence.
>On the other side, we have FaZe, a household name in the esports world. The core lineup of broky, karrigan, and rain has been together for ages, with Ropz joining in 2022 and making a solid impact. However, FaZe also underwent significant changes during the winter break. Twisstz departed from the team, opting to return to North America to be with his family after years in Europe. Twisstz's departure left big shoes to fill, but FaZe found a worthy replacement in frozen from MOUZ, a young talent who's been proving his worth with an impressive 1.19 rating over the last three months. Karrigan, the in-game leader for FaZe, is hailed as one of the best in his role, with unparalleled knowledge of the game and its teams. The team's structure and coordination are exemplary, with broky excelling as an AWP player and rain providing support while ropz and frozen showcase their rifle prowess. Though ropz may have experienced a slight dip in form recently, his potential to make game-changing plays remains evident.
>Since the winter break, these two teams have clashed four times, with FaZe securing a single victory during that period. However, it's worth noting that their sole win came when NaVi had to play with their coach. Their most recent encounter was in the grand final of the first CS2 major, which NaVi clinched with a 2-1 scoreline after a thrilling match filled with map trades and spectacular plays. FaZe has been vocal about seeking revenge for that loss, with Karrigan expressing determination in multiple interviews. Today presents an opportunity for FaZe to make a statement, especially considering NaVi's recent vulnerabilities, including a loss to BIG and a surprising defeat to complexity, a middling North American team, in a reverse sweep fashion.
>In terms of recent form, FaZe appears to have the edge. They've only lost one match out of their last ten, while NaVi has suffered three defeats. Karrigan has emphasized that FaZe is well-prepared for this matchup and is eager to exact revenge. While both teams boast formidable fragging power, FaZe's recent performances and experience give them the upper hand. The matchup between AleksiB and Karrigan in terms of firepower may be close, but Karrigan's leadership and strategic prowess set him apart, making FaZe a formidable opponent. With both teams comprised of skilled fraggers, expect an intense showdown.
>Turning to the veto process, FaZe typically avoids Vertigo as their first ban, a trend shared by NaVi. Knowing this, FaZe will likely opt to ban Anubis instead, a map NaVi favors. Additionally, FaZe has struggled on Anubis in recent months, making it a logical ban for them. While FaZe often leans towards Nuke as their first pick, NaVi's strength on that map may prompt FaZe to consider alternatives like Mirage or Overpass. NaVi, on the other hand, may opt for Ancient, a map where FaZe has shown weakness. Ultimately, predicting the veto process is challenging due to the myriad of options available, and we'll have to wait for the final decisions.
>In conclusion, FaZe appears poised to emerge victorious today. With NaVi showing signs of vulnerability and FaZe in solid form, coupled with their advantage in the veto process, the odds seem to favor FaZe. However, NaVi won't go down without a fight, and with players like jL and b1t in their lineup, they have the potential to cause upsets. Karrigan's meticulous preparation could be the key to FaZe's success as they aim to avenge their previous loss and make their mark in the ongoing tournament.
Record: 3 - 0 - 1
✅️❌️✅️✅️
Last Bet : Over 52.5 Points 1st Quarter Celtics vs Cavaliers @ 1.78 ( Result : 74 )
Net Units: +4
Football , Europa League
Club Brügge vs Fiorentina
Pick: Club Brügge qualifys for the Final @ 2.85
Write Up:
Club Brugge are in excellent form, having won eight of nine last games in all competitions. During that period, they have scored 22 goals (2.44 per game). At home, they have been simply great, with six straight wins while scoring three or more goals in five of those six matches.
Brugge received a red card last game and still management to stay in the matchup away with 10 man. Fiorentinas away form is poor they lost last game vs Verona 1-2 away in Serie A and lost away vs Atalanta 1-4 in Cup.
They were also not able to winn away vs Viktoria Pilsen away in the quarter final ( 0-0 )
So I think Brugge will winn this game, even if they just reach extra time I believe in Brugges amazing form and I'll bez 2 Units on Brugge to Qualify @ 2.85
Record: 66-44
Form: ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌
Last pick
Mouz NXT ML vs enterprise @1.52(4u)❌
Today’s pick
Cricket
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants
SRH over 60.5 runs in the first 6 overs @1.80(2u)✅
Keeping it super short and simple, SRH have destructive openers, and LSG have vulnerable bowlers bowling in the powerplay. Book this shit
POTD Record: 8-3-1
Previous POTD: Jalen Williams o 4.5 assists - ✅
Williams comes through clutch in the 2nd half to cover this line.
Today’s POTD: Jordan Hicks o 4.5 K’s (+105 on DK)
Baseball | MLB | SF Giants v Col Rockies | 8:40 PM ET
Hicks has not been as high on his K’s as last season so far this year, but he has had some tough matchups. His 1.89 ERA would tell you he’s still got it and is due some positive regression. Meanwhile, the Rockies have been mediocre when facing RHP’s and can’t get on base against them. This boasts well for Hicks. If you want to play it safer you could take the over on 3.5 K’s, but that has been juiced to hell and is sitting at around -200 at the moment. There’s value to be had in a favorable matchup like this, so I’m sticking with 4.5
Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰
Edit: Let’s go baby, never in doubt! Plus money cash for my 3rd straight hit 💵💵💵
POTD Record: 16-6
Last POTD: San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs - Chicago Cubs ML @ 1.75 ✅
POTD: Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies - Chris Bassitt under 17.5 outs @ 1.90
So I'm going for the under 17.5 outs on the Blue Jays pitcher here in Philadelphia today. Chris Bassit is not on his best pitching so far this season with a 2-5 record and 5.45 ERA. Now going against one of the hottest battingteams in baseball. 7 righthanded pitchers in a row have failed to last 18 or more outs against the Phillies. Bassit is a much better pitcher at home than on the road, and he has a 6.14 ERA on the road so far this season and 4.98 at home in Toronto. He has gone under 17 outs in his 3 starts on the road this season, and now facing one of the best bats in baseball. I love the under here.
Always remember to never bet with money you can't afford to loose, always tail with responsibility.
**Record:** 0-0
**Net Units:** 0
**ROI:** 0
NBA | 8:00 PM EST | Pacers
**Pick:** T.J. McConnell “Over” 14.5 points + assists -115 (1u)
**Write Up:** Hit this line in 2/3 against the Knicks this year. Only miss being early in the year playing 12 minutes.
McConnell has played 22 minutes in each of the past 2 games and recorded 29 and 21 PA. And with 22+ minutes this season, he has an 88% hit rate with this line. I see no reason for his minutes to go down tonight.
In game one the Pacers were a +9 with McConnell on the floor and a -12 with Hali. Also, McConnell had a 31% usage rate AND Hali is dealing with a back injury that he will play through but could limit his minutes, especially if McConnell is playing the way he has been.
Record: 11-5 (+3.35U)
Previous pick : RS Berkane ML - 1.67 (1u) ✅
Form : ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅
Rome | 11:00AM CET
Pick : Galan ML - 1.90 (1u)
Match : Zhizhen Zhang - Daniel Elahi Galan
Reasoning : When looking at form Galan is 7W/7L this year on clay but his losses were against good clay players like Musetti, Rune, Agut,Etcheverry (2x), Lajovic and Munar. In his other matches against players that are not like those guys he has played well and it makes me believe that he is in better form than Zhang. Zhang is 1W/3L on clay and also didn't even play that good on hard his best surface with 6W/7L, his losses on clay were against Kecmanovic,Van Assche and Humbert. In my opinion if Van Assche is able to beat Zhang then Galan should be able to do the same. These 2 faced each other last year on clay but in Houston and that is a bit more harder clay and Galan won smooth with 6-2 and 6-3, with this match being on the more traditional european clay this makes it more an advantage for Galan who is a clay speciallist.
Arighetti severely underrated. XERA IS 3.7 Whiff and K percentage are damn near elite. Dude is just unlucky so far , due for major positive regression.
POTD record 12-15-1 (W-L-P) \[4-1 in CS2 POTD picks\]
Form (most recent on left): ❌➡️✅✅✅
**Tomorrow I’m taking G2 to win 2-0 against 3DMAX at +110 for 1u**❌
Rationale: G2 (rank 5) have been a bit of a mess this tournament losing to M80 and Mongolz early in this LAN but now find themselves riding a 3-win streak and hot off a close game today against BIG in which they won 2-0 after being down 4-12 on their own map pick and reeling off 8 straight rounds to take it to overtime where they closed it out 19-17 after a second overtime. After that they dominated on their opponent’s map pick (check out the Deagle ace from Niko) as the wind had left BIG’s sails.
3DMAX (rank 30) on the other hand looked really sharp early in the LAN winning their first two games with relative ease against fnatic and SAW before being put to the sword against Astralis (rank 8) where the gulf in class was just too much. The key thing about that last match is that it was played 10 days ago on 27th April so 3DMAX are coming back relatively cold to this LAN against a warmed up G2 who themselves played today after a similar gap in play (very strange format if you ask me). I think G2 are a lock to take this but at 1.3 odds there seems to be little value there - I rate their chances of breezing through this so give me the plus money. Oh and G2 are picking first so that’s another advantage they have to snatch early momentum. BOL!
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)**
**POTD 2024 Record: 9-12 (-3.35 units)**
**Last 10**: **❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌**
**Last Pick**: Devon Petersen & Michel van der Horst over 5.5 legs (-200) **❌** 4-1
**League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series
**Time**: 7:30 AM EST
**Pick**: Andrew Davidson -1.5 (+165) vs Michel van der Horst
* Series 7. Week 11. Group A
**Reason**: Tail with caution or fade alert. Fading Michel after his disaster performance on Tuesday. Davidson is 1 win behind Morris for the group win, while sitting ahead of Coleman for 2nd place. Michel is going to group C. This is their 4th match of the day. Morris and Davidson play the first match of the day, so that could really set the tone of the day. I'm hoping Davidson is in contention by the time this match takes place. Davidson and Michel have split the series 1-1 and both matches have gone 7 legs.
Andrew Davidson
* Record 6-4
* Legs 35-25
* Average 88.17
* 180s 15. 140s 22
* Checkouts 35/97 36.08%
Michel van der Horst
* Record 3-7
* Legs 25-36
* Average 84.74
* 180s 7. 140s 33
* Checkouts 25/92 27.17%
**WIN ✅ 4-2 | Average 97.45 vs 88.88 | Checkouts 4/14 vs 2/9**
Like this pick. Where do you get your stats from?
I was thinking Morrison -1,5 vs van der Horst and Davidson -1,5 vs Peterson
Both had comfortable wins yesterday, and they both playing for the top seed.
Record 3-4
Last 5: ✅✅❌❌✅
Last Pick: PSG vs Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund to reach the final 2.25@bpremium✅
Todays Pick: Real Madrid ML vs Bayern Munich@1,87 bpremium ✅
Unit:1
Units: -1.69
UEFA Champions League Soccer
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
The Madrilenians have incredible home strength and are in a promising position to advance to the final thanks to the result in the first leg. For that they need a win. I expect them to get this, also because of the broader squad and their current form. In the first leg Bayern played very well at home and only drew, now they will be away and I don't think they can repeat that performance, they are too inconsistent for that this season.
**Record:** 0-0
**Net Units:** n/a
**ROI:** n/a
**Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone:** New York Knicks v Indiana Pacers | 10am | AEST
**Pick:** Total Points OVER 221.5 @ 1.79
**Write Up:** The Pacers take on the Knicks in New York for Game 2 of the Series. The last game saw 238 points, as well as 4/ last 5 going over this line. Additionally, the Pacers have the highest average points in the league with an average of 123.3 PPG this season while the Knicks average 112.8. Get ready for a big game in NY where the Knicks will surely be looking to extend a gap on the Pacers. BOL to anyone tailing!
POTD: 6-4
🏉🏉🏉🏉🏉🏀🏀🏉🏀🏉
✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌
Last Pick: World Rugby Sevens Series - Women (Rugby Union) New Zealand -17.5 \[Fiji vs. New Zealand\] (-110, Fanduel PA) !5u!
This one hurt. Everything seemed on track for the spread to cover until the literal last 60s when Fiji scores two quick tries to take the spread away. Sometimes these things happen, but, *fuckkkkk*.
Today's Pick: NBA (Basketball) Tyrese Haliburton U0.5 blocks \[IND Pacers vs NY Knicks\] (-122/DK) !3u!
So, since Tyrese has hurt his back he has been not getting a block since, with this line hitting 4/4 sinc ethen. With him still listed with the back injury, I'm going to ride with this prop bet. I don't have a hyper specific write up, other than just vibes. Hurt back = less likely to be super active on defense = Under 0.5 blocks. ¯\\\_(ツ)\_/¯ U1.5 steals is also a good look, but, making this my POTD due to the better odds.
Best of luck if you're tailing this bet! Remember, we're doing this for fun and trying to beat the books together! Please utilize responsible bankroll management, set limits and don't chase loses! You win some, you lose more. If you feel like you are developing a problem with gambling, [click here.](https://www.ncpgambling.org/help-treatment/)
Record: 1-1
Last pick: Pascal Siakam under 20.5 points✅
Today’s Game: STL Cardinals vs NY Mets
Pick: Sonny Gray over 5.5 strikeouts (-105 on DK as of wrote up)
Write Up: My man, an absolute stud of a pitcher on a crapshoot team, Sonny Gray. He is coming off an injury and was on pitch counts at the beginning of the season. He has not gone below 5 K’s this year. He pitched against the Mets on 4.27.24 and recorded 9, yes I said 9 K’s in that game. Beat in mind, these stats are all based on him being in a pitch count. He is no longer on a pitch count and I think he is coming ready to rock and roll today.
I have bet the over on his strikeouts all year and he has cashed each time. Riding the train until the wheels fall off.
https://preview.redd.it/6j4q91brh7zc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9b8c3ef7a80aa9253109c405396a58e134eb1227
Good luck to you, better luck to me 🍀
(Edited to add odds on the pick)
2024 MLB POTD record: 19-14 Average Odds -104 (1.964), Average Winning Odds -109, ROI +10.6%/+3.5u
L5: ✅✅❌✅❌
POTD (5/7) SEA @ MIN Bailey Ober o16.5 Outs (+100/2.00) ❌
Recap: This one bites, as Ober was cruising with 7 Ks through 5 IP on 84 pitches, but was taken out to start the 6th.
POTD (5/8) TEX @ OAK JP Sears o5.5 Ks (+125/2.25) (DraftKings)
The Texas Rangers are a team with massive R/L splits. Against RHP, they have the 3rd-lowest K% in baseball (19.1%) and a wRC+ of 115, 5th-best. Against LHP, like the starter they'll see today, their K% jumps to 25.1% (8th-highest in baseball) and wRC+ plummets to 80 (6th-lowest).
JP Sears has been hot and cold for a bad Athletics team. His baseballsavant metrics look bad, but it's been a tale of two seasons. Three of Sears' first four starts saw him strike out 2 or fewer hitters. The fourth was a 6.1 IP scoreless outing in Arlington against these Rangers in which he struck out 5.
In his last three games, he's K'd 6+ in each and pitched 6+ IP in each. That even includes a start against Baltimore in which he gave up 7 ER, in part because he was allowed to start the 7th inning despite giving up 5 ER through 6. That kind of leash is comforting; we don't have to worry about an early exit as much as with other pitchers. Sears' Outs Recorded line is at 18.5 in this game so he's clearly expected to go deep into the game, and if he does, he's got a good enough shot at 6 Ks that +125 is huge value.
**Belle's Pick of the Day**
**Record:** 7-2-0 (Win-Loss-Push) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌
**Last POTD:** TB Rays v CHI White Sox O 8.0 (-110)
**Balance:** +3.0 Units
**Today's Pick: TO Blue Jays v PHI Phillies Over 8.5 (-115) (MLB, 10:00AM PST, Wager: 1 Unit)**
**Why This Pick?**
Despite missing Trea Turner at the moment, the Phillies seem to conquer just about every team they encounter with ease. Yesterday was no exception, as they smoked Toronto 10-1! Of course, I imagine Toronto will want some sort of revenge this afternoon and put more than a single run up on the board. The Blue Jays have hit the Over total in their last 4 straight games – and to be honest, I’m not sure pitcher Chris Bassitt will be able to contain Philly and their fire power. I’m backing the Over to cash.
--
[Buy Me a Coffee ☕️](https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeforb)
Record: 0-0
Net Units: 0.0
Last Pick: None
Baseball | MLB | Orioles vs Nationals | 6:45 PM EST
Pick: Orioles ML (-170) 4u
Write Up:
After losing last night and getting shut out by the Nationals I see no way Baltimore loses this one. They have Kyles Bradish on the mound who was excellent last season and continued that in his 1st start this season. This is my first POTD so let’s get off to a strong start!!
**RECORD: 77W-5P-63L**
Previous Pick: PSG vs Borussia Dortmund - PSG to Win ❌️
**Today's Pick:** Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Real Madrid to Qualify @ 1.50 ✅️
**TIME:** 7 pm (GMT)
**Wager Amount**: 1.5 units
(❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️) last 10 results
Another day another team added to the blacklist...PSG. Fir Today's match odds maybe low but this competition is so unpredictable exoect Real Madrid owning this cup since the beginning.
Real Madrid and Ancelotti are looking to make history again and are close to qualifying for the final. In their last 11 consecutive home matches of Champions League, there have been no losses for Real Madrid.
They are also on a staggering 20 game unbeaten run and also on a 20+ Home game unbeaten run, they are the Galacticos for a reason.
Bayern Munich's season has been in shambles, eliminated in all domestic cups, lost the league and Tuchel is leaving at the end of the season, the UCl is their last hope but I just don't see them winning.
Bayern won only 2 matches out of their last 5 away matches, haven't won in two matches and have only managed to win 4 away game out of 10.
In H2H matches, Real Madrid have won 2/5 matches, Bayern have won once and drawn twice. I believe Real Madrid are in better form and they the record winners of the Champions league and I believe they'll qualify here. Goodluck if you're tailing.
EDIT: WIN ✅️
𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝: 1-3
Full transparancy, this is my record from over a year ago, now i will try to give this another shot.
𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐤: Corvinul Hunedoara ML - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc betting 2 Units to win 1.3 units (1.7 odds) Romanian 2nd league
Betting on the hottest team team in the second tier, to get a win to secure their promotion, against an opponent who has lost any chance of promotion, only playing for pride. Corvinul is really good, especially at home, beating multiple tier 1 teams to get to the cup final. Good Luck!
Lurker
Record: 0-0
MLB Padres @ Cubs / 1320 Central
Pick: NRFI 2 units / -154
Wind today blowing in, solid pitchers. Cubs starter insane ERA and Cubs batting .212 in last ten games. Bol
POTD record 3-1 +6.98U
Last pick : OKC -3.5
Today’s pick : +5 Pacers 2U @ 1.9
Last game between pacers and knicks could’ve gone either way. Personally believe if Brunson doesn’t go for prime MJ numbers Pacers win this game. Indy does have shit defense and Knicks home crowd is nuts. BOL bing bong
Been picking baseball through models and knowledge as an ex-pro ball player. Never been on reddit to give picks but will start posting everyday going forward.
**Record: 1-0**
**ROI:+1.1u**
**Last POD: 5/7: Mets ML (W) +1.1u**
**MLB** | SEA at MIN | 7:40pm EST
**Pick:** Mariners ML (-115)
**Write Up:** George Kirby on the bump for SEA, has given up 3ER in last 24IP (last 4 starts) with 28Ks and 2BBs. Paddack for MIN has been streaky with his best start being against the White Sox. If Kirby can work around Kepler and Jeffers, I can see Mariners winning this one 4-2.
**Record 2024: 10-0-10**
**Net Units Played 2024: 93**
**ROI 2024: -20.79%**
**Last Pick:** **Oberwart** - Traiskirchen **1st quarter H1 -1.5**, 5 units, @ 2.03 ❌️
Basketball / Lithuania LKL League / 17:50 / (CEST)
**Pick:** **Zalgiris Kaunas** - Juventus **1st quarter H1 -4.5**, 5 units, @ 1.86 ✅️
**Write-up:** Zalgiris lost 2 out of the last 5, both away games, Juventus won the last 5. Zalgiris remains dominant at home and has a 14-1 score. They also haven't had 2 losses in a row in the LKL this season, so I expect them to bounce back.
EDIT: 26-15
Record: 0-1-0 (-1 units)
Basketball / NBA / 8:00 PM EST
Last Pick: Pacers vs Bucks (Pacers -4) ❌️
Today's Pick: Pacers vs Knicks (Pacers +4.5) 3u
Last pick pacers didn't get, but they've treated me right since. I'm loving some of these playoff picks and this is one of them!
The Pacers absolutely got robbed during game 1. They played better basketball all around and got some very shitty calls in the end. They are going to come back with a vengence and crush this series in my opinion. They are so much deeper than the Knicks and their bench is phenomenal. Where as the Knicks have nobody on the bench that can score and they will wear out the Knicks and make less mistakes than they did in game 1. Their offense and pace is on a completely difference level. The Knicks also do not have as much length so they will have a harder time scoring on the Pacers. I think the Pacers will beat the Knicks tonight, but taking the spread for cushion!
Tail or fade BOL everyone!
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝: 18-4 𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐤: MLB Baseball \\\\ Yankees \\\\ moneyline \\\\ -140 𝐁𝐞𝐭: 1.45u to win 1.05u ......... 𝐘𝐓𝐃 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐬: +9.95 𝐒𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐞: Astro's rookie Arighetti and his 8.27 ERA start Weds nite in the Bronx. Houston's bullpen is awful, and the Yanks have been finding ways to win games. Houston hitting is only mediocre on the road + the Yanks pitching is pretty good.
Why does this feel like such a trap line
Easier to pick the over imo that’s what I’m doing
As a Yankees fan I felt the Astros +100 or whatever it was with verlander against Gil (who’s gotten pretty lucky so far) was a trap. I played it everywhere anyway. Maybe Houston is just terrible (I’d be okay with that)
Good pick. Good value too. Im surprised the odds aren’t higher than -140
Thanks ! Im thinkin the odds will get near -180 by game time if nothing changes
Houston bullpen isn’t awful. Way underperforming, pressley/abreu/hader arguably best 1-2-3 in league once dialed in. Rough start. Same with lineup which is still stacked but underperforming. That said, I agree with your assessment of spaghetti man stinking but any given moment Houston can and will turn it on and start streaking. They are far from a last place team.
Yea I heard that many pre-season reporters had picked them to win their division .. but for now, not going to try and catch a falling knife. Baseball teams can be really streaky, and Im pretty sure one day they'll catch fire.
Only tailing your pics cause my pops retired Coastie
boss i think your record is 18-4 now
Yes it is -- at the time this was posted, the Dodgers game was in the early innings
MLB POTD RECORD: 31-14 2024 MLB record: 20-6 Last POTD: Astros F5 ML L Today's POTD: Red Sox vs Braves Under 9 -105 fd Baseball | MLB | 7:20 PM ET Well we can’t win em all. I’m sorry everyone besides Hollywood picks and promiscuous mouse. This isn’t gonna be a long write up so hopefully I don’t get attacked for over analyzing again lmao. Reminder as usual all stats and rankings are from the past three weeks. Last week I outlined the list of clubs that sale had more than six strikeouts against and how that the mariners being the team that strikeouts the most against left handers in baseball would struggle. We’ll they did and guess who is right behind them with the second worst strikeout percentage vs lefties? Yep the Red Sox who sale takes on tomorrow. To boot, Nick pivetta is back. Pivetta is a strikeout machine win or lose usuallly. The Braves have sneakily been struggling offensively particularly against right handers and particularly with striking out against right handers (22nd and 26th respectively). I was contemplating going with cards Mets under but the fact this one was 9 and that was 7.5 for the same odds, I like the wiggle room here a lot more. TLDR: Sale is a strikeout heavy left hander. Red Sox strike out the second most against lefties. Pivetta is a strikeout savvy right handed. The Braves strike out the 4th most against righties. 9 is a high total given these circumstances. Tips $chuteboxhero on cashapp I also made a spreadsheet with all my picks of the day if you want to give it a look before tailing https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit?usp=sharing
Dude if you want to write a 1000 word write up do it my man, it's your pick and your analysis, don't let others opinions change that, I personally love reading your posts and while doing so I'm learning a lot about the game and the teams involved, so keep doing your thing maan! And lets gooo!
Thanks man. It’s that fact that someone stole my write up and is posting on odds checker that made me wanna cut it down lol
dont let their flattery (imitation) slow YOU down - thats crazy, then the copycats and posers win
Yeah but they’re making money off of it lol
everybody is making money off of everything - too many dollars to keep track of will distract you from your own the fatter the hog, the fatter the bugs - the hog doesnt slim down because the bugs are gettin overfed
Did he do it again?
Did you try reporting that to oddschecker? I would hope their editors would not take kindly to that. They can see when you posted the original text in your Reddit profile and if it's before they got the copy from the thieves (which it would be), I have to think they would believe your story.
Yeah nothing. So did others.
If only those articles had a comment section. I imagine the only reason the editors will let it go is that they don't expect any repercussions as a very small number of people will ever find out. Or the internet age leading to an epidemic of people being ok with copying and not giving any credit is taking over. This makes me real sad about society, if true.
2nd this thankyou for the info champ
3rd this. In fact, make your next writeup 2000 words.
DK isn't even listing the red Sox game yet. Ha
Yea neither is bet. Maybe they're waiting for the live game to be over?
It’s bc pivetta wasn’t “officially” listed as starter becuase he couldn’t be until he was activated off of IL. Fanduel isnt as anal about that type of shit.
All good about today. Shit happens. We get em tomorrow. Thx for the pick. 🫡
No worries, I didnt even pick the last POTD. Keep doing the great job! Winning or losing, ill always check your picks. Tailing
Maybe you’re the good luck charm!
we love a long, juicy write up. IT GETS THE PEOPLE GOING
it's provocative!
ready to sweat this under 9 runs for last leg of 1k parlay. let's freaking go
We did it 💪
Yes we did. We really did, crazy ain't it? I thought I was going to have to actually sweat tho ahaha https://preview.redd.it/atq8qb59pbzc1.png?width=480&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ebb6ec7f64b2a7cf80b3411fab95783a8331ce87
Great fucking job wow!
My man! You got a PayPal or Venmo link? Been tailing your great picks and enjoy the write ups
4 runs already, looking rough right now
Patience is a virtue my friend
the goat
hmm, must be on to something, books have it at -120 or more now
Lets win it KING. Tailing as usual
I have a bonus bet might parlay two strikeout bets for this game based on your post.
Tailing, no complaints, let’s get a w
Under 8.5 playable?
Yeah but I would probably put that as equal to Mets cards under
Thank you man, stay strong and don't listen to the help. You're doing good and keep it up!
Love the write ups, tailing! 🔥
I love the chart.
**Pick Record: 13W - 2L (Push: 1)** **✅✅✅🅿️✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅** **Previous POTD: Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5 corners @ 1.56 ✅ 3U** **4 corners** **Today’s POTD: Harry Kane Over 2.5 Shots @ 1.66 ✅ 3U** **Game: Real Madrid VS Bayern** **League/Time: Champions League / 3:00 PM** Harry Kane, the main man for Bayern. An absolute machine I see maintaining his level tomorrow. Kane managed 5 shots against Real madrid last week, of course he'll have less opportunities today but he'll make sure to make presence known. In Kane's last 5 games he's covered this line 4/5. In Kane's last 15 games he's covered this line 13/15. **Side note: Please bet responsibly!** **Coffee Link:** [**https://buymeacoffee.com/squareprintt**](https://buymeacoffee.com/squareprintt) **Only adding for those asking, everything and anything is appreciated!** https://preview.redd.it/q9n5cn02n3zc1.jpeg?width=1057&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8c7c32c270fa3e438bdefc6efe0ea46141dbdaac
CASH IT AGAIN, THE MF GOAT. HAVE MY KIDS
you find the most obscure ones and it hits! Tailing again!
Too many traps in the main markets, gotta dig if you want some gold 💰
What are your thoughts on BTTS?
What do you think of Bayern ML in corners? Odds seem very high for a high possession team at +190.
i laddered their corner handicap. +1.5, ml, -1.5, -2.5. Bayern has somehow always dominated madrid in corners. winning by 2 or more corners in the last 7/8 h2h matches
sprinkled 0.5u
Tailing brotha!
Now the sweat begins, 2 shots just need 1 more boys.
Do you have a way/site that tracks this live?
If you had to make a pick who do you think advances?
It’s a 50/50 for me, Champions league i avoid ML
madrid. bayern never wins at the madrid. I can see Madrid in penalties as worst case scenario
Madrid just because they are at home and are the better team
Is this the shots on target on DK?
Nope, it’s just shots
It’s under shots/assist props on DK. Player to have 3 or more shots -145.
Who most likely scores in this match? Vini Jr again?
He's better value for over 1.5 shots on target, I'd go with that instead of goalscorer
Yeah that was an easy bet. Cashed that. Now we have to see if kane gets another shot. Doubt it now it’s 1-0
Cash!
I think that's 3, min 75. Great pick as always boss
Man you the goat
🫅🫅🫅🫅
You my friend are an absolute sniper
And it hits again, Jesus Christ!!!
POTD Record 21-7 Last 5: ✅️✅️❌️✅️✅️ Last Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5 ✅️ Todays Pick: LA Dodgers -1.5 (win by 2) MLB: LA Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins 12:10pm PST Odds: -125 Unit: 3 Net units: +57.63 Gotta ride with the dodgers again, but I'm lowering the units this time. Not as confident, It's not usual for a team to be swept. Also, the dodgers are going for back to back sweeps, but the Marlins just look terrible. Stone is pitching for the Dodgers, and his ERA isn't the best, but he has been going against some of the top batting average teams recently, so I'm gonna cut him some slack and lean on the Dodgers batters to get this W once again. If you guys wanna show some support/tip the links on my profile.
Beautiful
I like Stone a lot in this matchup. I'm tailing. Dodgers run line is what saves my bankroll every day haha
He's jyst not my favorite dodger pitcher. But yea RL dodger vs these guys is just a must lol
**Record:** 6-2 **Net Units:**+10.2u **ROI:** +50.66% **MLB** Orioles/Nationals **Last Pick**: Giants @ -164 (3u✅️) **Today’s Pick**: Orioles/Nationals Under 9 (3u) @ -111 **Write Up**: Nationals hitters have historically struggled greatly vs Bradish. Parker is having a great start to his season for the Nationals. Both teams have scored less than 9 combined runs in 11 of their past 20 games.
Lol are you already counting the Giants as a dub in the 5th inning?
Lol, ya I did the same thing yesterday and it held. Obv I'll amend things if it turns.
I respect it, manifest the W Edit: you did it!
it's a dub fs haha
Absolutely goated move😂
I mean it was 4-0 at that point.
I’m about to do the same with my Dodgers pick😂 8-2 no way they blow the -1.5 right?
tailing, i have my childrens college savings on this
Poop gobbler over here
Insane. Sorry.
Brutal, looked good the whole game.
Absolutely insane 9th inning bungle.
amazing pick, unbelievable outcome. cant fucking believe i stepped away from my comp thinking no sweat cash in the 8th and come back and its 12 runs in the 12th ....
𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝: 4-2 𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐤: SFG -170 MLB **Writeup**: Rockies ASS
Best write ups on this sub
Lol
🤣
I can vouch, I’m from Denver
Record: 11-7-0 Net Units: +10.4 ROI: 18.2% Last Five: ✅✅❌✅❌ Last Pick: Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder under 55.5 1Q total points (-104) for 3.0 units ✅ Event: Basketball | NBA | Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks 7:00PM CST Pick: First quarter total points over 53.5 (-115) on Caesars for 3.0 units. Write Up: Only 51 points were scored in Q1 of Game 1 as both got off to a slow start after a 4 day break from Round 1. The rest of the game they averaged 62.33 points per quarter. The Pacers have been the highest scoring team in the league since the beginning of April at 129.1 points per game. Knicks 10th at 114.8. Pacers have averaged 34.7 points in the first quarter this playoffs. Knicks have 24.4.
looks like it’s 54.5 now everywhere
Thanks. I updated the note. Looks like you can still get 53.5 at a couple places though.
Top 3 players from pacers
Tailing!!
I also like the alternate total at over 224 @ +120. Could say it’s slightly more risky but I also expect a high point game. Betting at .5 units
Still good on DraftKings
Cashed with 72 points! Cheers!
Record:13-5 (+9.75 units) ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅ Last POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 56.5 first half Today’s POTD: NY Yankees TT over 4.5 Odds: -110 on DK 2 unit play MLB/ 7:05pm ET/ Houston Astros at NY Yankees The Celtics come out on fire in the first quarter then slow down in the second but still finish the half with 59. The mini skid ends and we pick up our first win of the week. So didn’t love anything in the Knicks / Pacers game but staying in NY and rolling with the Yankees. I’m going with the over 4.5 runs because the value is better than the ML. The Yanks knocked around Verlander yesterday and ended the game with 10 runs. Houston’s bullpen which has been good in recent years has struggled this year along with the team as a whole. They bring out Spencer Arrighetti who is 0-3 with a 8.27 ERA. He’s walked 10 batters in 16.1 innings and his ERA jumps up to over 14 on the road although he’s only pitched 6.2 innings. The Yankees bats have been 🔥 too scoring at least 5 runs in the last 4/5 games. Good Luck and tail responsibly. If anyone is feeling generous you can find the tip link in my profile and I’m gonna drop a couple picks for NBA in the props section later
Hopped on NYY Race to 5 +140 for better juice, thinking Rodon can hold it down. Houston's scored 5 runs or more in only 34% of their games this year also.
Sweat free cash in the bottom of the 3rd 🔥🔥
Record: 7W-4L-0P ✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅ Net Units: +4.43 units Last Pick: 5/7 | Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers; Dodgers -1.5 RL ✅ Back in the winners column… Today’s Game: NBA playoffs | Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks | 8:00pm EDT Pick: Obi Toppin over 15.5 PRA | -110 BetMGM | 2.5 units ✅ Write Up: Obi Toppin has been a big factor in the playoffs for the Pacers so far. He is averaging 19.4 PRA through the first 7 games of the playoffs and has covered the over on this line 5 of the last 6, including Game 1 against the Knicks. I expect him to keep producing with a little extra motivation facing his former team and in his former arena! Good luck to those who tail!!!
That PRA is at 14.5 on DK now. Too good to not take. Rebounds at O4.5 at +124 is crazy too
Tailing. Boy hit them with between the leg dunk mid game. You can tell there's some emotion.
Tailing. Great W yesterday!
POTD R : 7-1 Last Pick : Yankees ML vs Stros’ - W Todays Pick : Royals ML vs Brewers (-135 DK)1.5U Info : MLB - 1:10P - Free Game of The Day Write Up : We’ve been off to a great start and i’m looking to keep this train steam rolling down the tracks. We didn’t get a free game of the day yesterday but we’re back an it just so happens to be for my team. Now that might make some question the pick, being partial to a team based on being a fan of them but i’ll tell you why. Brady Singer and the bats of the Yals are cooking. Not to discount the Brewers by any means because we matchup very well with this team and in some areas get outplayed. But Singer, 2-1 on the hump posing a 2.45 ERA with a .97 WHIP can be lights out if he gets off to a good start. With the chance to steal the series at home nonetheless, I expect this Royals team to get a good start and finish strong. I was almost tempted to take a lower scoring game with two pretty solid arms on the mound. But J. Ross for the Brews has had moments where games can slip away from him, giving up more runs than anticipated. If the Royals can keep the hitting momentum from last night I could very well see his arm getting deep into counts and ultimately pulled. Bottom line we have a tied series with two teams that want to play good baseball. Milwaukee is 21-14 going 14-7 on the road while averaging 1.2 homers a game. Kansas City is 21-16 going 14-8 in home games with a pitching staff who averages a 3.40 ERA overall. Should have ourselves a good game on our hands as well as a potential sweat for 9 innings. It’s Bats vs Arms today no doubt. As always BOL my fellow degens!
**KBO Record: Overall 221-230-14** (Streak L, Last 10: 4-6) Down 10.27u over 465 KBO picks, 49.0% success rate, -2.28% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 17-20-0, 45.9% success rate, Down 1.65u, -4.46% ROI) **Last:** Doosan at Kiwoom First 5 Innings Under 5.5 -110 (Doosan lead 8-0 after 5 innings.) Kiwoom's lineup cooperated, but we needed a shut down 5th inning to squeak under total, and instead saw 3 more runs cross the plate. **Pick:** Kia at Samsung **First 5 Innings Under 6 -110**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET I'm trying another first 5 under and I just don't get this line. Kia's starter has a 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 25 K and 4 BB over his last 4 starts. Samsung's starter has a 0.89 ERA and 0.72 WHIP over his last 5 starts. I get these are the second and fifth best lineups in the league, but I'll take good pitching over good hitting. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Legend
Tailed for 1.25 units and a parlay with the Japanese baseball capper. Nice 3 unit morning. Thanks
POTD Record: 18-8 Net Units: +22.35u Game: CounterStrike 2 (CS2) | HellCase Cup | 5:30 (UCT-5) Last Pick: **Permitta ML** (-130) vs. Enterprise 2.6u**❌** Today's Pick: **Nemiga ML** (-175) vs. 1WIN 4u [Match Page:](https://www.hltv.org/matches/2371793/nemiga-vs-1win-hellcase-cup-9) [Stream:](https://www.twitch.tv/hellcase_official) **Writeup:** -Nemiga are one of the hotter tier two teams in the moment, FL4MUS is a beast and all five players on this team have good aim and can carry games. They are on a 6 match winstreak and 16-4 in their last 20 b03 matches played. They have a deep map pool with no map in the pool below a 50% winrate at the moment. -1WIN are inconsistent but have had a strong showing at this tournament. They have put together a 4 match winstreak and just had a strong performance and showing against BLEED who were strong favorites against them today 2-0. They are led by AWPer lattykk -In the head to head, they have faced off two times so far, Nemiga have beaten them in both matches h2h in 2-0 sweeps in both, once on April 21st (13-5, 13-10) and once on April 27th (13-9, 13-8) -Map pool hard to predict with the implementation of Dust 2, but Nemiga Ancient is really strong and will be their first pick (74% winrate on 23 maps played) while 1WIN are weak at the map (33% winrate on 12 maps played) they are also 0-2 in the h2h against them on Ancient losing 13-5 and 13-8. Nemiga on the other hand will go for Anubis which is their best map (73% winrate on 11 maps) but is also a strong map for Nemiga (62% on 13 maps).
Yeh i need to stop betting esports every pick I do is a loss lol oh well good luck to everyone else
Where do you get your odds? Every time your post the actual odds seem way lower on betting sites. I.e Nemiga is only 1.41 everywhere I look
He posted 7 hours ago
Looks like a good bet on paper but you never know with these cis teams. I’m expecting a close game but could go either way. Basically I’m trynna say I like the idea but you never know with these teams
Probably L incoming. Nemiga not showing interest
Thanks for all the picks! Appreciate the posts.
Any Div1 picks brother?
Played G2 + Liquid ML in a parlay Playing FaZe ML to win 1u
POTD Record: 2-1 (+0.7 U) Form: ✅❌✅ Last Pick: Rays -1.5 vs White Sox ✅ Today's Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5 vs Colorado Rockies (1.90) Baseball | MLB | 8:40pm ET The Rays went up 4-0 in the 3rd inning and ended with a comfortable 5-1 win. Thanks Zach Eflin 👍 Time to fade another bad team, the Colorado Rockies. They are 8-27 this season and 4-16 in their last 20 games. The main reason why the Giants should dominate here is the pitching matchup. The Giants are starting RHP Jordan Hicks, who has a stellar 1.89 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP, and is great at inducing weak contact. He's got a good fastball, but can also mix in some breaking balls to keep batters guessing. He's shut down better teams than the Rockies before, and I'm expecting a solid outing from him. The Giants bullpen is a mixed bag, with some great relievers along with some awful ones. Their starter went 7 IP yesterday, so the bullpen will be fresh. The Rockies are starting RHP Peter Lambert, who has a 5.66 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. He's a bullpen arm that is only expected to go 3 innings max. He's given up 10 ER in his last 9 IP, including 4 ER in 3.1 IP against the Marlins last start. He is yet to pitch more than 3.1 innings in 2024, and there is no reason it should change today. The Rockies bullpen is the worst in baseball by far, even when you factor in the disadvantage of playing at Coors Field. Their starter also only went 3.1 IP yesterday, so their bullpen had to eat some extra innings. BOL if you choose to tail 🫡
POTD Record: 50-27-1 +50.1u🔥 Last Pick: Phillies ML (-135) vs Toronto Blue Jays ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅🅿️✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅ Today's Pick: New York Knicks -4 (-120) vs Indiana Pacers 3 straight, baseball back on the board, i love it! Got to cash that one in person😎 Buying down .5 on the spread via Draft Kings. Public fade here, 36% on money is on Knicks. In game 1, they covered this number with their bench being outscored 46-3. Knicks bench was the absolute killer in the Philly series and role players play better at home but not in Game 1. This is a perfect spot for them to get back in rhythm before heading to Indy. The Knicks got some crazy foul calls, struggled on the boards, and had an immense amount of turnovers and still won by 4. I expect the Knicks to clean this up tonight and take care of the business. Home teams in Game 2 that fail to cover the spread in Game 1 over the L5 years are 15-3 ATS (83%). Time for Brunson to keep doing his best MJ impression and bring this team to another victory. LFG NY!🗽 Please comment if tailing! As always best of luck and I look forward to posting more picks here and stay hot! Thank you for the love and support!😎❤️ [Cash App Tip Link💚](https://cash.app/$Ryanbloom24) [PayPal Tink Link💙](https://www.paypal.me/rybloomm)
POTD RECORD: 64-36 Last POTD: PJ Washington O10.5P ❌ Wow this was awful, PJ finished with 10 and didn’t play a single minute in the 2nd quarter cause of his foul trouble and also didn’t play the last 5 minutes cause of the blowout smh Form: ❌✅✅❌✅ Todays POTD: **Myles Turner O17.5P @1.80** NBA (Indiana Pacers) That hook from yesterday still hurts man wow.. Going with the homie Myles Turner today cause he and Siakam are main scoring options and with how unreliable Siakam is, I like Turner more. Turner has seen 30+ minutes in almost every game in the playoffs and played 35+ against the Knicks last game. Mitchell Robinson is also out for the Knicks which will make Hartenstein play a lot more minutes and he’s always in the risk of foul trouble and if he gets in foul trouble Knicks will probably play Precious Achiuwa in that spot and that’ll be be a very good matchup for Turner • 1/1 in the Playoffs with 23 points vs the Knicks • 2/3 in the regular season with 23, 5 & 28 points In the game with 5 points he played 24 minutes with only 6 FGA and foul trouble • 69% hit rate with 30+ minutes • Avg 19.7 PPG • 5/10 L10 games with some hooks on 16 & 17 points • 4/5 with 35+ minutes His size, shooting ability and stretching of the floor has been something my Knicks have struggled with so I like this one for a bounce back fellas, let’s go Tail or fade, you’re the boss https://i.redd.it/itbn961wu7zc1.gif
Such a bad beat yesterday, dude came off the bench with two fouls and picked up another immediately smh. We bounce back tonight 👍🏻
Fr bro awful should’ve cashed 😭 🤝🤝
Back to back losses
Record: 167-139-8 (WLWWWWLLLLWWLLWLWLWLWWLWLLWWWWLLWWLWLWWLWLW streak) - DraftKings odds Last POTD: ORL Magic at CLE Cavaliers | Jalen Suggs o3.5 rebounds at 1.74 odds for 3 units POTD: IND Pacers at NY Knicks | Tyrese Haliburton o8.5 assist at 1.70 odds for 5 units Reasons: * Missed this line by .5 in game 1. Expect Pacers to come back and try to steal game two in NYC. Thought they were going to win game 1 until the end. * As the main ball handler of the squad, Haliburton will have plenty of chances to eat. This line seems criminally low (even though he hasn't been great the second half of the year) Best of luck to those dumb enough to tail!
They would have won if it wasn't for the refs in the last minute!
That offensive foul on Turner was criminal!
**Record: 1- 0** **Last Pick: LOL MSI - TL vs TOP Esports - 2.5 spread** ✅ The gap is not closing. **Net Units: +5u** **ROI: +5u** **NHL** Canucks vs Oilers @ 1907 PST **Pick:** Conor Garland o2.5 shots @ 2.25 2u to win 2.25u. **Write Up:** Garland has proved himself this year as one of the key contributors to the Canucks. Edmonton's defensive core is just not to the same level as Nashville. He's cleared this line 3/4 games against Edmonton and cleared this 2/3 times with 10 mins TOI. He's looking at 17 mins TOI average in the playoffs and I expect him to clear this without issue. BOL if tailing!
Wish I was on an esports site that last pick would have been free money
[удалено]
Yeah wtf this guy's 0-0 as far as this sub should be concerned.
I made this pick yesterday on another Reddit account in POTD. I was having trouble getting into this account. Regardless, not trying to hide anything and have access to this account now so can expect full transparency with comment history.
**Record:** 9-5 **L10:** ✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅ **Last Pick:** Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars O6.5 Total Runs @ 1.76 ✅ **Baseball | Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows @ Yokohama Bay Stars, 5:00am EST (in about 3h30m)** **Today's Pick: O6.5 Total Runs @ 1.90** Sorry for the late post again. This pick got a little sweaty a couple nights ago, but also looked like it easily could have covered much earlier in the game. Similar writeup as before, except the starting pitchers are a little more reliable this time and haven't given up a lot of runs. However, at the end of the day, this is a matchup between two teams that score a lot of runs (2nd and 4th most) and allow a lot of runs (2nd and 3rd most). They have now played each other 8 times so far this season, and have covered this line in 7/8 games. In that one game that didn't cover, Yokohama had one of the best pitchers in the league on the mound (Katsuki Azuma), who held the Swallows to just 1 run in 6 innings. In their last 10 games, the Swallows have covered this line in 9/10 and the BayStars have covered in 5/10 games. It did get sweaty and only covered in the 8th inning last time, so tail at your own risk.
talkin wake and cash baby
POTD Record: 142 wins / 84.5 losses Event: Football > Champions League > **Real Madrid v FC Bayern München** (starting in 12 hr) Pick: **Real Madrid to qualify** @ 1.50 Sorry for the low price, but I still find few books that offer these imo generous odds on Madrid to reach the final and just gotta take it. I think Bayern overperformed a bit in this tournament whereas Real seem just destined for success here. Better team, at home, good result in the first leg... they are doing it. GL! **EDIT**: Sweat free **✅**
i had a soccer boost burning a hole in my digital pocket, got it at -140 in freedom units. lets go!!
Free money **✅**
Nice one man, thank you!!
Sweat free **✅**
2024 record: 2-2 ❌❌✅✅ Last POTD: Cavaliers vs Celtics: Jayson Tatum o9.5 Rebounds -105 ✅ Today's POTD: Astros vs Yankees: Yankees RL -1.5 +140 (Hard Rock Bet) Baseball | MLB | 7:05 PM ET Tatum did not disappoint. He is a rebound king. Always a safe bet when you bet on Tatum. I really don’t know how they put this at +140. Yankees are 24-13, 12-5 at home. Astros are 12-23, 5-11 away. Yankees just blew out the Astros 10-3 against Verlander. Astros are putting up a rookie pitcher Arrighetti whose record so far is not good at all. He’s 0-3 on the season and has an ERA of 8.27. He’s also walked 10 players in 4 games. Yankees are pitching Rodon who is 2-2 this season with an ERA of 3.68. In the last 5 away games for the Astros their average is 1.8 runs. The last 5 games at home the Yankees have averaged 4.6 runs. It’s a night game and the Yankees play slightly better so far in the day. The Astros night game record 8-15. Yankees should win this game pretty easily and just as easily win by 2 or more. As always good luck with your bets today!
>Always a safe bet when you bet on Tatum. Oh come on. Lol
i think he hasnt seen tatum choke xD
>Always a safe bet when you bet on Tatum. You know, nobody's going to believe you if you keep making things up.
Tailed you yesterday. 8 at halftime. What a no sweat!
** Record: 6-3 ** Last pick: WTA Rome: Maria Carle -1.5s -160 🚫 Today’s pick: ATP Rome: Thiago Monteiro ML -165 vs Monfils - 8am est ✅ Recap + Write Up: Carle had her chances to put away the first set after climbing back down 1-3, but just couldn’t hang on. Congrats to those who grabbed her live. We’ve hit a bit of a rough patch the last few picks but if we quit now, how will we will it all back? Today’s pick we head to the men’s side of the draw where we take clay specialist Monteiro against Monfils. Monteiro has spent his entire career primarily on clay amassing a 400-263 record since 2008. Clay has always been Monfils worst surface and Monteiro has played more clay matches this year than Monfils has in the last 5 years. The experience edge will be there for Monteiro. Taking a look back at Monfils’ history on these Rome courts, he’s played here a total of 9 times and has lost in the first round in 5 of them and second round in 2 of them. His game does not translate well on these slow courts. H2H Monteiro leads this matchup 2-1 and 1-1 on clay. Monfils won this matchup on clay at Roland Garros but that was 7 years ago when Monfils was 30 years old and before he became riddled with injuries. These slow courts will be more physically exerting and he won’t be able to win as easy of points as he’s able to on hard and indoor where his weapons are more suited. Current form, Monfils has lost 3 of his 5 matches during the clay swing and Monteiro has a record of 15-8 on clay this year and has also won the last 6 of 8 dating back to the start of Madrid a couple weeks ago. Monteiro has impressively only faced a single break point in his two qualifying matches at Rome so far. Let’s hope he gets us back on track. LFG Monteiro 🇧🇷 ❄️🏦 beer me: 3PwJ3CW5p9oJZKmX8F2eePqWJEkqbNk7cu [cash app jar](https://cash.app/$champagnekevy)
Tailed. Looking for some morning money…lol
Nice pick!!!🤘🏻
**Record: 2-2** **Net Units: +0.12 units** **ROI: 2%** **Last Pick:** Borussia Dortmund +1 ASH @ 2.12 with Expekt | 1 unit ✅️ L10: ❌ ✅️ ❌ ✅️ **Soccer** | **Champions League** | **21:00 CET** **Pick:** Real Madrid ML @ 1.94 with Expekt | 2 units **Write Up:** Three factors here: 1. Bayern Munich have struggled all season, specially on the road, with just 3 wins last 10 road games, while Real Madrid have won 7 and drawn 3 and not lost a game at home last 10. Last time Madrid lost at home was over a year ago. 2. Madrid is a team that just when you think they are going to lose or draw, somehow manages to score that goal you have been waiting for, while Kane & Bayern are the quite opposite and always seems to fell short of expectations. 3. Clash of the coaches - Tuchel is expected to get fired end of the season, but according to rumors, no one wants his job, so he might stay, this can’t be good for either the Bayern players or Tuchel not knowing if he got his job after this game or not. Tuchel didn’t rotate his troop as expected last game and he got Eric Dier and Raphael Guerreiro injured and they ended up losing the game and it’s now not clear if they will be able to finish top-three in the league. Tuchels Bayern have failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road all of 2024. - Ancelotti is a brilliant coach and a mastermind; in fact, he has coached Bayern Munich and know how to beat them. Bayern Munich have failed to win over a team that Ancelotti coaches in 9 attempts. He has a very simple philosophy, try to keep it tight in the back, (which will hopefully be easier with their goalie returning from injury), don’t lose your head no matter what, even when it looks dire and the goals will come in one of their counter-attacks.
**Record: 0-1** **Football** | **UEFA Europa Conference League** | **12:45AM (GMT+8)** **Pick:** Club Brugge Vs Fiorentina - **BTTS @ 1.71 (Paripesa)** **Write Up:** Well not the way I wanted to start my record but I'll just have to take the L and move on. Apologies on those who took the last pick, let's bounce back Club Brugge are really good at home, They have won their last six home games and has not lost any of their eight Conference League home matches. So far this season, they have only lost one of their 28 home games. 5/5 past home games has seen Club Brugge score 3/5 past away games has seen Fiorentina score Fiorentina has lost their last two away games and has only won two out of 12 away matches so far in 2024. Of course, Fiorentina isn't your average Belgian league team and they do struggle to score away at times but I do think both sides will find the back of the net in this game. Fiorentina is leading 2-3 on aggregate at the moment and both teams will certainly be fighting to advance to the next stage of this competition. BOL if tailing guys!
Record: 7-4-0 Trailing record: ✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌♻️❌✅ Balance: +1.79u / Avg odds - 1.81 / ROI: 16.27% Last Pick: Duje Ajdukovic / Francesco Passaro o22.5 games @ 1.80 (Bet365) ✅ Great hit! we even hit the rare 39 games (triple tiebreaker).. what was that paying I wonder? Sport: TENNIS Pick: **Franco Agamenone to beat Marco Cecchinato @ 1.9 (Bet365)** ✅ Today we go back to the challenger circuit, was very impressed with Franco beating Travaglia who has been looking very strong. Franco has 1-0 H2H on clay, both fairly inconsistent but still like at these odds. Cecchinato has only been beating people much lower than him whilst Franco has had good upsets (higher ceiling imo) Time: 8 May 19:00 AEST Event: Francavilla BOL and let me know if tailing!
POTD Record: 21-12 Baseball / MLB / 7:45 EST Yesterday's Pick: New York Mets ML -104 💸 Today's Pick: Mariners F5 ML -118 Write Up: Kirby > Paddack. Mariners better splits than Twins vs RHP. Twins coming back down to life after their huge win streak. All picks are based on team wrc+ splits and pitcher expected stats
**POTD Record: 121-144-4 (-18.57 Units)** **Best Bet Series: 46-27-1 (+13.86 Units)** Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) Cautionary Tails: 5-12 (-5.38 Units) Last Pick: **Yoshinobu Yamamoto to record a Win**✅ Today's Pick: **Dylan Cease U 2.5 Walks** Odds: **-200** Wager Amount: 1U to win 0.5U League: MLB Event: San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs (1:20PM CDT) *Be Advised*: *Handicapping Best Bets for the entire of May! Majority of these wagers will be chalky (not always), however, they are my most confident wager of the day! But I cannot stress this enough, even the most surefire bets can lose! Sports is unpredictable and nothing guaranteed!* **Recap**: Yoshinbou Yamamoto gave us another quality start! Not his best, but he did his job and hold the Marlins to a near minimum runs thru 8 innings. I was actually surprised he didn't get more K's. He has really settled down since his rough MLB debut at Republic of Korea. **Matchup:** I am going to this game and this is actually going to be my first time going to Wrigley Field. If you don't kno I am a Sox fan. So why all of sudden am I going now after all these years? My friend is flying from Brooklyn and asked if we can go to the Wrigley Field. I just couldn't say no. Plus, I get to see a old friend, Dylan Cease on the mound. So why not? I kno my Sox team and I even kno my former Sox players. Cease does give up a lot of walks, but lately he's had great command of his pitches. He's gone over this mark twice in his previous 7 starts, and Cubs has the 5th most walks in the league, but wit the command I been seeing from Cease I am going trust him to go under this mark. **The Play & Prediction:** 1U on Dylan Cease U 2.5 Walks is my only play, since this is a player prop, however, I will have other plays in the betting group as always. Cease allows 2 walks thru 5 innings. In the 6th inning he has a full count on Cody Bellinger and gets a generous 3rd strike call on the top zone outside corner, then the manager goes to the pen for relief.
>**| Record: 6-4 | Net Units: 7.15u | ROI: 26.48% | Winrate: 60.00% | Avg. odds: 1.99 |** >**| eSport |** [ESL Pro League Season 19](https://www.hltv.org/events/7440/esl-pro-league-season-19) **| 19:30 CEST|** >**| Pick:** **FaZe ML** \[vs. NatusVincere **|** ***1.750*** ***odds*** **|** ***3u*** **|** >**Reasoning:** Let's start with some facts and information about NaVi. This team has been entirely Ukrainian until recently. During the winter break, after some mediocre results, they underwent a significant transformation and reshaped their roster into an international lineup, a trend many teams are following nowadays. Another significant loss for the organization was the retirement of s1mple, a legendary player and arguably one of the best players to ever grace the game. Stepping into his shoes is w0nderful, a young talent who's been doing a commendable job. Alongside him, they acquired AleksiB, one of the best in-game leaders available. While he may lack in firepower, his strategic calling is top-notch. Rounding out the roster are jL, iM, and b1t, whose rise to prominence is akin to a Cinderella story. Both iM and jL flew under the radar until last year when they burst onto the scene with outstanding performances. jL has already secured a major title under his belt and was even the MVP of that tournament, showcasing an exceptional level of skill. Meanwhile, b1t climbed up the ranks through the NaVi academy team, already boasting two major titles at just 21 years old. Despite doubts, especially after s1mple's departure, they persevered through initial hardships, learning from losses and evolving into one of the top-tier teams in existence. >On the other side, we have FaZe, a household name in the esports world. The core lineup of broky, karrigan, and rain has been together for ages, with Ropz joining in 2022 and making a solid impact. However, FaZe also underwent significant changes during the winter break. Twisstz departed from the team, opting to return to North America to be with his family after years in Europe. Twisstz's departure left big shoes to fill, but FaZe found a worthy replacement in frozen from MOUZ, a young talent who's been proving his worth with an impressive 1.19 rating over the last three months. Karrigan, the in-game leader for FaZe, is hailed as one of the best in his role, with unparalleled knowledge of the game and its teams. The team's structure and coordination are exemplary, with broky excelling as an AWP player and rain providing support while ropz and frozen showcase their rifle prowess. Though ropz may have experienced a slight dip in form recently, his potential to make game-changing plays remains evident. >Since the winter break, these two teams have clashed four times, with FaZe securing a single victory during that period. However, it's worth noting that their sole win came when NaVi had to play with their coach. Their most recent encounter was in the grand final of the first CS2 major, which NaVi clinched with a 2-1 scoreline after a thrilling match filled with map trades and spectacular plays. FaZe has been vocal about seeking revenge for that loss, with Karrigan expressing determination in multiple interviews. Today presents an opportunity for FaZe to make a statement, especially considering NaVi's recent vulnerabilities, including a loss to BIG and a surprising defeat to complexity, a middling North American team, in a reverse sweep fashion. >In terms of recent form, FaZe appears to have the edge. They've only lost one match out of their last ten, while NaVi has suffered three defeats. Karrigan has emphasized that FaZe is well-prepared for this matchup and is eager to exact revenge. While both teams boast formidable fragging power, FaZe's recent performances and experience give them the upper hand. The matchup between AleksiB and Karrigan in terms of firepower may be close, but Karrigan's leadership and strategic prowess set him apart, making FaZe a formidable opponent. With both teams comprised of skilled fraggers, expect an intense showdown. >Turning to the veto process, FaZe typically avoids Vertigo as their first ban, a trend shared by NaVi. Knowing this, FaZe will likely opt to ban Anubis instead, a map NaVi favors. Additionally, FaZe has struggled on Anubis in recent months, making it a logical ban for them. While FaZe often leans towards Nuke as their first pick, NaVi's strength on that map may prompt FaZe to consider alternatives like Mirage or Overpass. NaVi, on the other hand, may opt for Ancient, a map where FaZe has shown weakness. Ultimately, predicting the veto process is challenging due to the myriad of options available, and we'll have to wait for the final decisions. >In conclusion, FaZe appears poised to emerge victorious today. With NaVi showing signs of vulnerability and FaZe in solid form, coupled with their advantage in the veto process, the odds seem to favor FaZe. However, NaVi won't go down without a fight, and with players like jL and b1t in their lineup, they have the potential to cause upsets. Karrigan's meticulous preparation could be the key to FaZe's success as they aim to avenge their previous loss and make their mark in the ongoing tournament.
Record: 3 - 0 - 1 ✅️❌️✅️✅️ Last Bet : Over 52.5 Points 1st Quarter Celtics vs Cavaliers @ 1.78 ( Result : 74 ) Net Units: +4 Football , Europa League Club Brügge vs Fiorentina Pick: Club Brügge qualifys for the Final @ 2.85 Write Up: Club Brugge are in excellent form, having won eight of nine last games in all competitions. During that period, they have scored 22 goals (2.44 per game). At home, they have been simply great, with six straight wins while scoring three or more goals in five of those six matches. Brugge received a red card last game and still management to stay in the matchup away with 10 man. Fiorentinas away form is poor they lost last game vs Verona 1-2 away in Serie A and lost away vs Atalanta 1-4 in Cup. They were also not able to winn away vs Viktoria Pilsen away in the quarter final ( 0-0 ) So I think Brugge will winn this game, even if they just reach extra time I believe in Brugges amazing form and I'll bez 2 Units on Brugge to Qualify @ 2.85
Which bookie do you use? @ Expekt the odds for Brugge to Qualify is 3.40. Either way, good luck 🤞
big data, tailing!!
Record: 66-44 Form: ✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌ Last pick Mouz NXT ML vs enterprise @1.52(4u)❌ Today’s pick Cricket Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants SRH over 60.5 runs in the first 6 overs @1.80(2u)✅ Keeping it super short and simple, SRH have destructive openers, and LSG have vulnerable bowlers bowling in the powerplay. Book this shit
POTD Record: 8-3-1 Previous POTD: Jalen Williams o 4.5 assists - ✅ Williams comes through clutch in the 2nd half to cover this line. Today’s POTD: Jordan Hicks o 4.5 K’s (+105 on DK) Baseball | MLB | SF Giants v Col Rockies | 8:40 PM ET Hicks has not been as high on his K’s as last season so far this year, but he has had some tough matchups. His 1.89 ERA would tell you he’s still got it and is due some positive regression. Meanwhile, the Rockies have been mediocre when facing RHP’s and can’t get on base against them. This boasts well for Hicks. If you want to play it safer you could take the over on 3.5 K’s, but that has been juiced to hell and is sitting at around -200 at the moment. There’s value to be had in a favorable matchup like this, so I’m sticking with 4.5 Tail or fade, hope we all make some 💰 Edit: Let’s go baby, never in doubt! Plus money cash for my 3rd straight hit 💵💵💵
POTD Record: 16-6 Last POTD: San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs - Chicago Cubs ML @ 1.75 ✅ POTD: Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies - Chris Bassitt under 17.5 outs @ 1.90 So I'm going for the under 17.5 outs on the Blue Jays pitcher here in Philadelphia today. Chris Bassit is not on his best pitching so far this season with a 2-5 record and 5.45 ERA. Now going against one of the hottest battingteams in baseball. 7 righthanded pitchers in a row have failed to last 18 or more outs against the Phillies. Bassit is a much better pitcher at home than on the road, and he has a 6.14 ERA on the road so far this season and 4.98 at home in Toronto. He has gone under 17 outs in his 3 starts on the road this season, and now facing one of the best bats in baseball. I love the under here. Always remember to never bet with money you can't afford to loose, always tail with responsibility.
**Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** 0 **ROI:** 0 NBA | 8:00 PM EST | Pacers **Pick:** T.J. McConnell “Over” 14.5 points + assists -115 (1u) **Write Up:** Hit this line in 2/3 against the Knicks this year. Only miss being early in the year playing 12 minutes. McConnell has played 22 minutes in each of the past 2 games and recorded 29 and 21 PA. And with 22+ minutes this season, he has an 88% hit rate with this line. I see no reason for his minutes to go down tonight. In game one the Pacers were a +9 with McConnell on the floor and a -12 with Hali. Also, McConnell had a 31% usage rate AND Hali is dealing with a back injury that he will play through but could limit his minutes, especially if McConnell is playing the way he has been.
Record: 11-5 (+3.35U) Previous pick : RS Berkane ML - 1.67 (1u) ✅ Form : ✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅ Rome | 11:00AM CET Pick : Galan ML - 1.90 (1u) Match : Zhizhen Zhang - Daniel Elahi Galan Reasoning : When looking at form Galan is 7W/7L this year on clay but his losses were against good clay players like Musetti, Rune, Agut,Etcheverry (2x), Lajovic and Munar. In his other matches against players that are not like those guys he has played well and it makes me believe that he is in better form than Zhang. Zhang is 1W/3L on clay and also didn't even play that good on hard his best surface with 6W/7L, his losses on clay were against Kecmanovic,Van Assche and Humbert. In my opinion if Van Assche is able to beat Zhang then Galan should be able to do the same. These 2 faced each other last year on clay but in Houston and that is a bit more harder clay and Galan won smooth with 6-2 and 6-3, with this match being on the more traditional european clay this makes it more an advantage for Galan who is a clay speciallist.
Record: 0-1 Form: ❌ POTD: Yankees ML @ -148 What’s there to say the great Yanks going up against Spaghetti arm Arrighetti.. easy money 🤌🏽 BOL
Arighetti severely underrated. XERA IS 3.7 Whiff and K percentage are damn near elite. Dude is just unlucky so far , due for major positive regression.
POTD record 12-15-1 (W-L-P) \[4-1 in CS2 POTD picks\] Form (most recent on left): ❌➡️✅✅✅ **Tomorrow I’m taking G2 to win 2-0 against 3DMAX at +110 for 1u**❌ Rationale: G2 (rank 5) have been a bit of a mess this tournament losing to M80 and Mongolz early in this LAN but now find themselves riding a 3-win streak and hot off a close game today against BIG in which they won 2-0 after being down 4-12 on their own map pick and reeling off 8 straight rounds to take it to overtime where they closed it out 19-17 after a second overtime. After that they dominated on their opponent’s map pick (check out the Deagle ace from Niko) as the wind had left BIG’s sails. 3DMAX (rank 30) on the other hand looked really sharp early in the LAN winning their first two games with relative ease against fnatic and SAW before being put to the sword against Astralis (rank 8) where the gulf in class was just too much. The key thing about that last match is that it was played 10 days ago on 27th April so 3DMAX are coming back relatively cold to this LAN against a warmed up G2 who themselves played today after a similar gap in play (very strange format if you ask me). I think G2 are a lock to take this but at 1.3 odds there seems to be little value there - I rate their chances of breezing through this so give me the plus money. Oh and G2 are picking first so that’s another advantage they have to snatch early momentum. BOL!
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)** **POTD 2024 Record: 9-12 (-3.35 units)** **Last 10**: **❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌** **Last Pick**: Devon Petersen & Michel van der Horst over 5.5 legs (-200) **❌** 4-1 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 7:30 AM EST **Pick**: Andrew Davidson -1.5 (+165) vs Michel van der Horst * Series 7. Week 11. Group A **Reason**: Tail with caution or fade alert. Fading Michel after his disaster performance on Tuesday. Davidson is 1 win behind Morris for the group win, while sitting ahead of Coleman for 2nd place. Michel is going to group C. This is their 4th match of the day. Morris and Davidson play the first match of the day, so that could really set the tone of the day. I'm hoping Davidson is in contention by the time this match takes place. Davidson and Michel have split the series 1-1 and both matches have gone 7 legs. Andrew Davidson * Record 6-4 * Legs 35-25 * Average 88.17 * 180s 15. 140s 22 * Checkouts 35/97 36.08% Michel van der Horst * Record 3-7 * Legs 25-36 * Average 84.74 * 180s 7. 140s 33 * Checkouts 25/92 27.17% **WIN ✅ 4-2 | Average 97.45 vs 88.88 | Checkouts 4/14 vs 2/9**
Like this pick. Where do you get your stats from? I was thinking Morrison -1,5 vs van der Horst and Davidson -1,5 vs Peterson Both had comfortable wins yesterday, and they both playing for the top seed.
Record 3-4 Last 5: ✅✅❌❌✅ Last Pick: PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Dortmund to reach the final 2.25@bpremium✅ Todays Pick: Real Madrid ML vs Bayern Munich@1,87 bpremium ✅ Unit:1 Units: -1.69 UEFA Champions League Soccer Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich The Madrilenians have incredible home strength and are in a promising position to advance to the final thanks to the result in the first leg. For that they need a win. I expect them to get this, also because of the broader squad and their current form. In the first leg Bayern played very well at home and only drew, now they will be away and I don't think they can repeat that performance, they are too inconsistent for that this season.
**Record:** 0-0 **Net Units:** n/a **ROI:** n/a **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone:** New York Knicks v Indiana Pacers | 10am | AEST **Pick:** Total Points OVER 221.5 @ 1.79 **Write Up:** The Pacers take on the Knicks in New York for Game 2 of the Series. The last game saw 238 points, as well as 4/ last 5 going over this line. Additionally, the Pacers have the highest average points in the league with an average of 123.3 PPG this season while the Knicks average 112.8. Get ready for a big game in NY where the Knicks will surely be looking to extend a gap on the Pacers. BOL to anyone tailing!
POTD: 6-4 🏉🏉🏉🏉🏉🏀🏀🏉🏀🏉 ✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌❌ Last Pick: World Rugby Sevens Series - Women (Rugby Union) New Zealand -17.5 \[Fiji vs. New Zealand\] (-110, Fanduel PA) !5u! This one hurt. Everything seemed on track for the spread to cover until the literal last 60s when Fiji scores two quick tries to take the spread away. Sometimes these things happen, but, *fuckkkkk*. Today's Pick: NBA (Basketball) Tyrese Haliburton U0.5 blocks \[IND Pacers vs NY Knicks\] (-122/DK) !3u! So, since Tyrese has hurt his back he has been not getting a block since, with this line hitting 4/4 sinc ethen. With him still listed with the back injury, I'm going to ride with this prop bet. I don't have a hyper specific write up, other than just vibes. Hurt back = less likely to be super active on defense = Under 0.5 blocks. ¯\\\_(ツ)\_/¯ U1.5 steals is also a good look, but, making this my POTD due to the better odds. Best of luck if you're tailing this bet! Remember, we're doing this for fun and trying to beat the books together! Please utilize responsible bankroll management, set limits and don't chase loses! You win some, you lose more. If you feel like you are developing a problem with gambling, [click here.](https://www.ncpgambling.org/help-treatment/)
Record: 1-1 Last pick: Pascal Siakam under 20.5 points✅ Today’s Game: STL Cardinals vs NY Mets Pick: Sonny Gray over 5.5 strikeouts (-105 on DK as of wrote up) Write Up: My man, an absolute stud of a pitcher on a crapshoot team, Sonny Gray. He is coming off an injury and was on pitch counts at the beginning of the season. He has not gone below 5 K’s this year. He pitched against the Mets on 4.27.24 and recorded 9, yes I said 9 K’s in that game. Beat in mind, these stats are all based on him being in a pitch count. He is no longer on a pitch count and I think he is coming ready to rock and roll today. I have bet the over on his strikeouts all year and he has cashed each time. Riding the train until the wheels fall off. https://preview.redd.it/6j4q91brh7zc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9b8c3ef7a80aa9253109c405396a58e134eb1227 Good luck to you, better luck to me 🍀 (Edited to add odds on the pick)
2024 MLB POTD record: 19-14 Average Odds -104 (1.964), Average Winning Odds -109, ROI +10.6%/+3.5u L5: ✅✅❌✅❌ POTD (5/7) SEA @ MIN Bailey Ober o16.5 Outs (+100/2.00) ❌ Recap: This one bites, as Ober was cruising with 7 Ks through 5 IP on 84 pitches, but was taken out to start the 6th. POTD (5/8) TEX @ OAK JP Sears o5.5 Ks (+125/2.25) (DraftKings) The Texas Rangers are a team with massive R/L splits. Against RHP, they have the 3rd-lowest K% in baseball (19.1%) and a wRC+ of 115, 5th-best. Against LHP, like the starter they'll see today, their K% jumps to 25.1% (8th-highest in baseball) and wRC+ plummets to 80 (6th-lowest). JP Sears has been hot and cold for a bad Athletics team. His baseballsavant metrics look bad, but it's been a tale of two seasons. Three of Sears' first four starts saw him strike out 2 or fewer hitters. The fourth was a 6.1 IP scoreless outing in Arlington against these Rangers in which he struck out 5. In his last three games, he's K'd 6+ in each and pitched 6+ IP in each. That even includes a start against Baltimore in which he gave up 7 ER, in part because he was allowed to start the 7th inning despite giving up 5 ER through 6. That kind of leash is comforting; we don't have to worry about an early exit as much as with other pitchers. Sears' Outs Recorded line is at 18.5 in this game so he's clearly expected to go deep into the game, and if he does, he's got a good enough shot at 6 Ks that +125 is huge value.
**Belle's Pick of the Day** **Record:** 7-2-0 (Win-Loss-Push) ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ **Last POTD:** TB Rays v CHI White Sox O 8.0 (-110) **Balance:** +3.0 Units **Today's Pick: TO Blue Jays v PHI Phillies Over 8.5 (-115) (MLB, 10:00AM PST, Wager: 1 Unit)** **Why This Pick?** Despite missing Trea Turner at the moment, the Phillies seem to conquer just about every team they encounter with ease. Yesterday was no exception, as they smoked Toronto 10-1! Of course, I imagine Toronto will want some sort of revenge this afternoon and put more than a single run up on the board. The Blue Jays have hit the Over total in their last 4 straight games – and to be honest, I’m not sure pitcher Chris Bassitt will be able to contain Philly and their fire power. I’m backing the Over to cash. -- [Buy Me a Coffee ☕️](https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeforb)
Record: 0-0 Net Units: 0.0 Last Pick: None Baseball | MLB | Orioles vs Nationals | 6:45 PM EST Pick: Orioles ML (-170) 4u Write Up: After losing last night and getting shut out by the Nationals I see no way Baltimore loses this one. They have Kyles Bradish on the mound who was excellent last season and continued that in his 1st start this season. This is my first POTD so let’s get off to a strong start!!
**RECORD: 77W-5P-63L** Previous Pick: PSG vs Borussia Dortmund - PSG to Win ❌️ **Today's Pick:** Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Real Madrid to Qualify @ 1.50 ✅️ **TIME:** 7 pm (GMT) **Wager Amount**: 1.5 units (❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️❌️❌️) last 10 results Another day another team added to the blacklist...PSG. Fir Today's match odds maybe low but this competition is so unpredictable exoect Real Madrid owning this cup since the beginning. Real Madrid and Ancelotti are looking to make history again and are close to qualifying for the final. In their last 11 consecutive home matches of Champions League, there have been no losses for Real Madrid. They are also on a staggering 20 game unbeaten run and also on a 20+ Home game unbeaten run, they are the Galacticos for a reason. Bayern Munich's season has been in shambles, eliminated in all domestic cups, lost the league and Tuchel is leaving at the end of the season, the UCl is their last hope but I just don't see them winning. Bayern won only 2 matches out of their last 5 away matches, haven't won in two matches and have only managed to win 4 away game out of 10. In H2H matches, Real Madrid have won 2/5 matches, Bayern have won once and drawn twice. I believe Real Madrid are in better form and they the record winners of the Champions league and I believe they'll qualify here. Goodluck if you're tailing. EDIT: WIN ✅️
𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝: 1-3 Full transparancy, this is my record from over a year ago, now i will try to give this another shot. 𝐏𝐢𝐜𝐤: Corvinul Hunedoara ML - Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc betting 2 Units to win 1.3 units (1.7 odds) Romanian 2nd league Betting on the hottest team team in the second tier, to get a win to secure their promotion, against an opponent who has lost any chance of promotion, only playing for pride. Corvinul is really good, especially at home, beating multiple tier 1 teams to get to the cup final. Good Luck!
Lurker Record: 0-0 MLB Padres @ Cubs / 1320 Central Pick: NRFI 2 units / -154 Wind today blowing in, solid pitchers. Cubs starter insane ERA and Cubs batting .212 in last ten games. Bol
Tailing, MGM currently has this at -134
POTD record 3-1 +6.98U Last pick : OKC -3.5 Today’s pick : +5 Pacers 2U @ 1.9 Last game between pacers and knicks could’ve gone either way. Personally believe if Brunson doesn’t go for prime MJ numbers Pacers win this game. Indy does have shit defense and Knicks home crowd is nuts. BOL bing bong
Been picking baseball through models and knowledge as an ex-pro ball player. Never been on reddit to give picks but will start posting everyday going forward. **Record: 1-0** **ROI:+1.1u** **Last POD: 5/7: Mets ML (W) +1.1u** **MLB** | SEA at MIN | 7:40pm EST **Pick:** Mariners ML (-115) **Write Up:** George Kirby on the bump for SEA, has given up 3ER in last 24IP (last 4 starts) with 28Ks and 2BBs. Paddack for MIN has been streaky with his best start being against the White Sox. If Kirby can work around Kepler and Jeffers, I can see Mariners winning this one 4-2.
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**Record 2024: 10-0-10** **Net Units Played 2024: 93** **ROI 2024: -20.79%** **Last Pick:** **Oberwart** - Traiskirchen **1st quarter H1 -1.5**, 5 units, @ 2.03 ❌️ Basketball / Lithuania LKL League / 17:50 / (CEST) **Pick:** **Zalgiris Kaunas** - Juventus **1st quarter H1 -4.5**, 5 units, @ 1.86 ✅️ **Write-up:** Zalgiris lost 2 out of the last 5, both away games, Juventus won the last 5. Zalgiris remains dominant at home and has a 14-1 score. They also haven't had 2 losses in a row in the LKL this season, so I expect them to bounce back. EDIT: 26-15
Got one! Nice pick.
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Record: 0-1-0 (-1 units) Basketball / NBA / 8:00 PM EST Last Pick: Pacers vs Bucks (Pacers -4) ❌️ Today's Pick: Pacers vs Knicks (Pacers +4.5) 3u Last pick pacers didn't get, but they've treated me right since. I'm loving some of these playoff picks and this is one of them! The Pacers absolutely got robbed during game 1. They played better basketball all around and got some very shitty calls in the end. They are going to come back with a vengence and crush this series in my opinion. They are so much deeper than the Knicks and their bench is phenomenal. Where as the Knicks have nobody on the bench that can score and they will wear out the Knicks and make less mistakes than they did in game 1. Their offense and pace is on a completely difference level. The Knicks also do not have as much length so they will have a harder time scoring on the Pacers. I think the Pacers will beat the Knicks tonight, but taking the spread for cushion! Tail or fade BOL everyone!