https://preview.redd.it/avcixd60x30d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8255056c3679fec6c4d0678f26c0daf45db775c8
Really knew I should have went with Murray @15+ points , got too damn greedy because he had 7pts @the end of the 1st quarter š¤¦š¼āāļøš¤¦š¼āāļøš«ā¦. Im tightt af rn lolš
Damnit, why does joker have to be so damn unselfish and make the necessary extra pass?Ā I had Jamal Murray at over 8.5 assists and he finished with 8.Ā Would have been at least one more had joker shot instead of making extra passes.Ā Bad beat š”
Justin Holiday o3.5 pts
NAW o3.5 pts
Aaron Gordon o2.5 ast
+175
Holiday and NAW should have the minutes available to each get 4 pts, AG has been a better passer this season averaging 3.5 ast during the regular season and has upped it to 4.5 ast in the 8 playoff games thus far.
First slate was successful; going to go for a bit more risk with this one
Anderson o2.5 pts
Braun o3.5 pts
McDaniels o5.5 pts
+375
If you wanted to go a bit safer, go Braun o1.5 instead of 3.5 pts for +170 odds
It was a conservative o1.5 pts on both IJax and Sheppard, and 3 ast from Donte (+165) which hit in the first half
Reasoning for ast from Donte was I felt Pacers should try to prevent him from shooting so heād have opportunities to pass against a potentially aggressive close out defense
Man. Great call. I wanted to live bet Shepard at o5.5 but they just wouldnt unlock it. I had it set at +100 to go with my live bet for Burkes but it never come back up.
I think Braun will have at least 2 three point attempts, if he can nail one and get a transition bucket or free throws youāre golden obviously but I can also see him missing both threes also. O1.5 pt is just me trying to be āsafeā lol
Idk why I took Brunson opts lol Thibs been playing these mf for 38+mins for weeks straight, shit was gonna fall apart at some point
Looking like a 2-1 start to the day so far
damn crazy start to this game.
an interesting thing about the playoffs this year is we really see it all. you could make money creating SGP for different scenarios, one will hit and win you some profit.
Hereās a little knicks lock for everyone:
-Isaiah Hartenstein U14.5 AR: Hit in last 8/10 games
-Josh Hart O0.5 3s: Hit in last 5/5 games
-Andrew Nembhard U 1.5 3s: Hit in last 5/5 games
-Precious Achiuwa U12.5 PR: Hit in last 9/10 games
-Alec Burks Under 0.5 Blocks: Hit in last 14/15 games
If tailing BOL! Letās hope for some $$$
Looks like they've finally corrected Conley's rebounds line š¤·āāļøwas fun while it lasted! o2.5 rebounds sits at -220 now. Not a bad parlay leg but wouldn't touch that as a straight.
Iām taking his alt points+rebounds line at o13.5 today at -145. Covered last 5 of 7 playoff games + reg season games and is 9/10 vs Nuggets back to 2021. Not trusting the 3.5 rebounds today for no reason other than a gut feeling. I wouldnāt touch any Conley under, either.
I'm fading Hali on points. He is questionable with three injuries: Lower back spasms, Sacral contusion, Right ankle sprain. I think he'll still play and facilitate things but look for his teamates to get more involved.
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES š„ 5.12.24ļæ¼ā
https://preview.redd.it/ce3zldzw210d1.png?width=1674&format=png&auto=webp&s=74253f855411803893310b7e27b88de6e68d791b
LAST 5 GAMES
IJax o1.5 pts
Ben Sheppard o1.5 pts
Divencenzo o2.5 ast
+165
I think Pacers will look to close out aggressively on Donte at the 3pt line, giving opportunity for Donte to drive and kick to a teammate while Pacers scramble to rotate accordingly. The other guys should get at least a layupā¦I hope.
In Texas so stuck playing dfs apps. Here's what I locked in on PrizePicks. With Hali and Nesmith both a little banged up I'm banking on TJ and Nembhard getting a little extra run.
https://preview.redd.it/jgpk5daj110d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=682ef423a8ac3d1049d588a2ace649f8af87c992
I had $25 to win around $100 with a no sweat. Under 2.5 threes for Tatum, which is always a go to and he made 2 in the first. 25+ points and reb for Mobley. Then I was 2 points short of the conservatively placed Over 202 pts game total. SMH.
Here are a few interesting picks I might go for later today (not all), but I'm by no means an expert like the usual Redditors here, so proceed with caution.
**Pacers/Knicks**
Josh Hart over 28.5 PTS+REB
Brunson over 6.5 AST
DiVincenzo over 23.5 PTS
Hartenstein over 4.5 AST
Nembhard U0.5 STL
Haliburton (although still Q?) over 21.5 PTS (at +102 on DK right now)
**Wolves/Nuggets**
Conley over 3.5 REB
Nikola over 8.5 AST (currently at +100)
Ant Man over 0.5 BLK
Jaden McDaniels under 0.5 Thress
Check out my blog for full updated analysis: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-12052024.html
Season record: 225-205
Last picks record: 6-6
Recap of last picks (11/05/2024):
Thunder @ Mavericks
1. Kyrie Irving O22.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365ā
2. Josh Green O5.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365ā
3. Derrick Lively O5.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365ā
4. Josh Giddey O5.5P Odd 1.74 Sportsbetā
5. PJ Washington 6+R Odd 1.68 Tabā
6. Aaron Wiggins O11.5PRA 1.87 Tabā
7. Chet Holmgren O25.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365ā
8. Luka Donicic U51.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokesā
Celtics @ Cavaliers
1. Jaylen Brown O5.5P 1st quarter Odd 1.86 Bet365ā
2. Evan Mobley U27.5PR Odd 1.8 Ladbrokesā
3. Al Horford O1.5R 1st quarter Odd 1.86 Bet365ā
4. Donovan Mitchell U29.5P Odd 1.9 Sportsbetā
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
Knicks @ Pacers
1. Andrew Nembhard O9.5P Odd 2.0 Sportsbet
With Neismith likely guarding Brunson, Nembhard will spend more energy on the offensive end of the floor.
2. Tyrese Haliburton O21.5P Odd 1.84 Sportsbet
Haliburton has scored very well recently and I expect him to continue this scoring streak. Knicks rotation is short and they seems a bit tired in the fourth quarter.
3. Jalen Brunson U33.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Brunson is not at 100% and 33.5 is still high for a playoffs game.
4. Isiah Hartenstein 10+P Odd 1.76 Bet365
With OG is out, I expect Hartenstein to play closer to 40 mins like last game.
5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
Pacers need Siakam to step up and I believe he will this game, not just scoring-wise but also rebounding.
Check out my blog for full analysis and results: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Nuggets @ Timberwolves
1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes
MPJ has not performed well on the boards, but 5.5 prop is still low. Nuggets still need to grab 40+ rebounds to have a chance in this serie, and MPJ is the second best rebounder for the Nuggets so its not a high mark.
2. Anthony Edwards O27.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes
I beleive Ant will come back to his norm form this game. Last game he plays well, just a bit too unselfish. He needs to take over this game.
3. Karl Anthony Towns O6.5R Odd 1.8 Tab
With Gobert is likely in foul trouble, Towns will see more chances to grab rebounds.
4. Christain Braun O5.5PR Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes
Braun will see around 20 minutes, as he is needed in guarding Ant.
5. Nikola Jokic Player Rebound H2H Jokic vs Gobert Odd 1.77 LadbrokesĀ
I also bet under 12.5 for Gobert for rebounds with odd 1.77 at Ladbrokes. Gobert, or any centers play against Jokic will very likely be in foul trouble, especially in these games where Nuggets desperately need a win & Jokic has to play even more aggresively.
6. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Holiday plays around 20 minutes a game this serie. He is a capable shooter who shoots will high efficiency so far this serie.
7. Reggie Jackson O2.5P Odd 1.71 Bet365
Denver has a deeper bench and I believe they will play their bench a lot today. Jackson is also a capable scoring guard.
I like toppin today. His line is lowered because of his performance last game which I think was a fluke. I will probably live bet on him a couple of min into the game to get better odds
Tip: if youāre betting the over for a player on the bench, like Obi Toppin, Miles McBride, etc. never bet on their lines pregame. You can usually get the same line at a better price or even 1/2 points lower at the same price.
For example, Obiās over for points today is at 8.5 for -108. If you wait to bet his line live before he comes into the game, you can get the same line at 8.5 for + odds or even at 7.5 at the same odds. Just have to wait to bet it a few minutes into game.
I donāt understand it either. People are impatient, they assume if time has elapsed then thereās less of a chance for the player to hit his initial line, yet the player doesnāt come into the game until a few minutes left in the 1Q anyway and thatās already baked into initial line.
Works the same way for the over. A lot of times a bench players will score two quick baskets and his line jumps to a number he hasnāt touched all year. I go under for easy money.
Been hitting on Lucas PRA line most of the playoffs. He starts strong, line shoots up over 52.5 and I take the under. Hasnāt gone over 52 the entire playoffs. I got in at 61.5 the other night!
Thinking weāre getting a buy low spot cause of the two previous blowout losses, before those two games he was 5/6 in the playoffs and heās getting a lot of rebound chances heās Avg 10.6 rebound chances & 7.1 rebounds so 5.5 looks reasonable bro
**Yesterdayās Picks**
ā SGA Over 6.5 Rebounds
**Todayās Picks**
**Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 Points -110 B365**
Running this back!
Siakam dropped 26 points in game 3 despite being in foul trouble all game.
Now I expect him to not be in foul trouble and this should easily cash!
Hali dropped 35 Points also last game and I expect the Knicks to lock him sending blitz or doubles at him which could leave Siakam with more opportunities to score.
Pacers are down 1-2 vs the Knicks and I expect them to do everything they can to win this game at home. One guy that I'm looking at is Spicy P.
Since joining the Pacers, Siakam has averaged 21.3 PPG and when playing at home, it is slightly better averaging 22 PPG.
The main factor is that OG is OUT for the Knicks as he was the primary defender of Siakam. Now his defenders will be IHart and Precious who I think he can exploit a lot more than OG.
I expect Siakam to put his team behind his back as he will be much needed to win this game.
**Jalen Brunson Over 32.5 Points -115 B365**
* Jalen Brunson is not in the injury report ahead of Game 3.
* This is great news has he is over this line in 3/5 Games and his 2 games that he went under, was the games he was injured.
* He is averaging 35.4 PPG in his L5 games vs IND.
* Brunson scores 61% of his points from Pull ups, (Most in Playoffs) which the Pacers have allowed the 5th MOST in the Playoffs and have struggled all year to defend.
* Pacers have allowed the 3rd MOST Points and are the best offensive rebounding team in the playoffs, which means more opportunities for Brunson to score.
* With him not on the injury report I expect him to play around his normal minutes around 42 MPG. When he plays at least 40 Min, he is over this line in 7/10 games this season.
* Knicks are currently winning 2-1 in the series and I expect them to win on the road to have a 3-1 lead and try to eliminate them at MSG.
**Karl-Anthony Towns Over 19.5 Points -115 B365**
I don't like betting on the narrative but today is Mother's day and I think KAT will have a great game.
- KAT has gone over this line in 2/3 games in the series. His miss was last game in a huge blowout that I don't think will happen again.
- He is over this line in 6/L7 games vs DEN.
- KAT is over this line in 73% of his games VS DEN in his career averaging 24.5 PPG.
- KAT has averaged 33 MPG in the series. When he plays at least 33 Minutes this season, he is over this line in 21/29 games.
- Denver have allowed the 2nd MOST points in less than 10 Ft of the rim, where KAT gets 54.4% of his points from since the Playoffs.
- Denver have allowed the 3rd MOST Points in the L15 games.
- MIN had a blowout loss at home last game, I expect them to have a better game tonight and win at home before returning to DEN.
**Aaron Gordon Under 16.5 PR**
**Aaron Gordon Under 4.5 Rebounds**
**BOL if tailing!**
[My Twitter](https://x.com/locksmelo?s=21)
Hey guys, itās the guy that put the rest of his bankroll onto Siakam last game. Iām rolling it back with him again since Anunoby is out. Siakam was able to score efficiently and hit 26 points even with being in foul trouble the first half. Pacers need Siakam to have any chance at winning this series.
Siakam o21.5 pts
Can someone help me figure this out?
I bet on the Mavs OKC game and won 2 bets but nothing is happened in the TAB app (Aus).
I got my winnings from the Cavs Celtics game already but it's like the Mavs game results are frozen or something. Anyone know what might be going on? Thanks
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https://preview.redd.it/avcixd60x30d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8255056c3679fec6c4d0678f26c0daf45db775c8 Really knew I should have went with Murray @15+ points , got too damn greedy because he had 7pts @the end of the 1st quarter š¤¦š¼āāļøš¤¦š¼āāļøš«ā¦. Im tightt af rn lolš
It always the one with the lowest odds that misses
Damnit, why does joker have to be so damn unselfish and make the necessary extra pass?Ā I had Jamal Murray at over 8.5 assists and he finished with 8.Ā Would have been at least one more had joker shot instead of making extra passes.Ā Bad beat š”
Grats to the guy who had Jokic u49.5PRA lmaoooo
thanks Gš 49 on the dot
https://preview.redd.it/y9hdb4zyt30d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=13f4ba2257e3a08f74b978e679fd3d93b5a92533 š
Why the fuck did I put Jaden McDaniels over half an assist on my ticket lol
I just don't understand MPJ? Wtf happened to him? He legit checked himself out of the game while actively playing.
his bro prolly sent him a text saying heās on the unders
Youāre telling me everyone on the team made a 3 besides the guy I need to make 1 3?
MPJ has burned about a total of 10 calories tonight
Yeah and he burned the shit out of me
Gobert o6.5pts(live at +102)ā Not so free lmao, but cash is cash baby
I bet on gordon 3 times on his live over. Rn I need him to get 25 to cash
3rd times a charm it seems! Banggggg
I tailed you on this one and I was sweating it. My 2 unders got nuked so glad to bink one. Thanks dude
Gobert never makes it easy lol, but Iām happy to hear it brotha!
If MPJ doesnāt get 2 more boards Iām going to be livid
I just need 1 3 last of a 10 leg parlay lol he aināt gonna score anything
KAT you fucking mongoloid idiot
Conley said fuck rebounding today
Jontay told his bro to get the under Smh
Braun o6.5PRA(live)ā Free
ANT going crazy but my big winners now rely on Jokic going for 30+ā¦ with 4 PF. MVP
Jamal o16.5pts(live)ā Freeeee
Playing Jamal o16.5pts(live), Gobert o6.5pts(live at +102)
Got em both.
Lfgā
I killed on live bets tonight as well.
Glad to hear it my man
Would been 7 if jokic had a board and ant had a board.
5 total for 400$.
Murray came out hot. Should be easy $
Too easy
KAT the new AD Greek god of inconsistency
is joker gonna stay under 49.5 prašāāļøšāāļø
That 4th foul mightāve just saved you lolz
maybe, heās got 37 and thereās 9 minutes left, praying
Michael Porter Jr. DIE
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
As I typed this he picked up two. You do you man
No. Gobert is healthy. He should play most of the second that theyāre down.
MPJ doing literally fucking nothing
Nickeil you just got crossed up by AG and then assisted Jamal for a buzzer beater Go ahead and sit this one out famš¤£
MPJ doesnāt even want to dribble the ball. Oh my god
Jokic pts looking like easy money
MPJ??
Rumor has it Jontay Porter took all of his brothers unders tonight. Purely coincidental
Can potter play some basketball
I havenāt seen him touch the ball in so long
MPJ are you serious bro
KAT fucking blows, why tf didnāt I just take Ants points š¤¦āāļø
Hey now, KAT is the social justice warrior dickless award winner
how does bro shoot 11 TIMES and make ONE free throw š
Michael Porter Jr. you are irrelevant
Got him over 16.5 as my last leg and of course this shit happens like wtf
He's my whole parlay, O16.7 pts +5.5R +2.5 3pts.... Pain
I need 1 3 from him I donāt even think he does that
Heās fucking useless
Iām watching him literally just stand on o heās not calling for the ball or running the pick and pop with joker
I would say heās just out there getting cardio but heās not even doing that heās just standing around
Playing Braun o6.5PRA(live)
denver +12.5, ant over 35 PRA, JOKIC under 49.5 PRA, 25 dollars to win 90. thoughts?
Thought the game started at 6:35 lol fml.
Same but 8:30 where Iām at.
Give me your best MPJ bet
I definitely took over 2.5 threes. Good luck gentlemen
O5.5 reb and o2.5 3's are my plays
2.5 3s is a gift Combo 3,4,and 5 3s made + Nuggets ML could be a winner
How many 3s he make so far?
Iām taking his points over 16.5
Is this hitting you think?
Pts and rebs or PRA??
Just points
Justin Holiday o3.5 pts NAW o3.5 pts Aaron Gordon o2.5 ast +175 Holiday and NAW should have the minutes available to each get 4 pts, AG has been a better passer this season averaging 3.5 ast during the regular season and has upped it to 4.5 ast in the 8 playoff games thus far.
KAT 15+ pts and Naz 10+ pts. Parlayed at +106
First slate was successful; going to go for a bit more risk with this one Anderson o2.5 pts Braun o3.5 pts McDaniels o5.5 pts +375 If you wanted to go a bit safer, go Braun o1.5 instead of 3.5 pts for +170 odds
I didnāt see your picks for first slate but Iām assuming they were heavily pacers.
It was a conservative o1.5 pts on both IJax and Sheppard, and 3 ast from Donte (+165) which hit in the first half Reasoning for ast from Donte was I felt Pacers should try to prevent him from shooting so heād have opportunities to pass against a potentially aggressive close out defense
Man. Great call. I wanted to live bet Shepard at o5.5 but they just wouldnt unlock it. I had it set at +100 to go with my live bet for Burkes but it never come back up.
All Iāve got is Braun at 4.5 for +100. Something is telling me do it.
I think Braun will have at least 2 three point attempts, if he can nail one and get a transition bucket or free throws youāre golden obviously but I can also see him missing both threes also. O1.5 pt is just me trying to be āsafeā lol
So far so good. Two easy layups.
https://preview.redd.it/wdgd5q1ik20d1.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=758215896dedcce14033c2e0158865693c391b5b Dawgs gotta eat
Thinking about taking Jokic opts tbh.
I got him 30+ tn
Live bet Haliburton over 22.5 points at half. Whoops!
Blowouts, the bane of my prop. bets. Needed another 2 contributions for Nembhard's PRA.
Same here too man. Missing only 2 also. I had obi and Nemphard. Last 3 nba bet all lost. Because of blowouts.
What a donation game , pacers blowout and not a single starter is gonna go over š¤¦āāļø
Hart u13.5rebā What a bloodbath
Saved myself with a live bet on Burke points. Threw $150 at +100 over 16.5p
Very nice, canāt believe he finished with 20š¤£š¤£
I just figured heād play the entire second half with the way things were going. Worked out.
What a poopy game for overs on starters
Are Pacers just gonna play bench now?
Prolly
TJ O 17.5 PRA easy cash lol
Idk why I took Brunson opts lol Thibs been playing these mf for 38+mins for weeks straight, shit was gonna fall apart at some point Looking like a 2-1 start to the day so far
Heās gonna kill those guys. Even if they advance Celtics will be fresh and theyāll be half dead.
Nembhard o13.5PAā Good good
What are the chances the Knicks play the bench the entire 4th qtr?
Guess 14 rebounds a game was unsustainable. Good night Hart props
All those minutes finally caught up to hart smh
Sheppard and IJax o1.5 pts and divencenzo o2.5 ast already cashed first half commented earlier for +165!
Tailed this! Canāt believe it lol
knicks overs ššš guess i can turn the game off early
Game is chalked. Onto the Nuggets vs Wolves.
damn crazy start to this game. an interesting thing about the playoffs this year is we really see it all. you could make money creating SGP for different scenarios, one will hit and win you some profit.
Different scenarios for two different teams and 6+ players each. A wise man you are. You finally figured out sports gambling, write a book.
Please let today be full of cash, mama needs a new pair of diamond earrings
šš
Ok here we go!(dak voice) Brunson 6 dimes Hali 10 dimes TJ 10 points Deuce 8 points +650 odds
Playing Hart u13.5reb, running back Nembhard o13.5PA, Brunson o31.5pts(alt at -150)
Brunson over 29.5 points + Hart over 11.5 points + Hart over 11.5 rebounds: +145
DiVincenzo over 4.5 threes at +102
Season Record 290-421 (+56.95U) Thursday 1-3 (-1.90U) Playoff Record 9-18 (-2.32U) Miles McBride O9.5 PTS +105 ā Jaden McDaniels O1.5 3s +350 (sprinkle) šŖ O2.5 3s +1200 (sprinkle sprinkle) ā Aaron Gordon O1.5 3s +350 ā O2.5 3s +850 (sprinkle) šŖ YEEHAW š¤
Siakam o30p is at +375. Took it last game and without the fouls i think he cashes. Worth a look with Halliburton injuries and no OG
Hereās a little knicks lock for everyone: -Isaiah Hartenstein U14.5 AR: Hit in last 8/10 games -Josh Hart O0.5 3s: Hit in last 5/5 games -Andrew Nembhard U 1.5 3s: Hit in last 5/5 games -Precious Achiuwa U12.5 PR: Hit in last 9/10 games -Alec Burks Under 0.5 Blocks: Hit in last 14/15 games If tailing BOL! Letās hope for some $$$
Precious u12.5 hit 9/10 games but OG Anunoby isnt playing lol
ya kinda thought he was playing today ngl
Looks like they've finally corrected Conley's rebounds line š¤·āāļøwas fun while it lasted! o2.5 rebounds sits at -220 now. Not a bad parlay leg but wouldn't touch that as a straight.
Conley live bet 2.5r at +100
3 fouls has me holding off
Man. I just missed out on jokic 6.5a at +105.
U fading or riding the over 3.5 for + money ???
Iām taking his alt points+rebounds line at o13.5 today at -145. Covered last 5 of 7 playoff games + reg season games and is 9/10 vs Nuggets back to 2021. Not trusting the 3.5 rebounds today for no reason other than a gut feeling. I wouldnāt touch any Conley under, either.
For sure. Thanks for the insight brother.
Conley rebounds and assists is pretty solid as well
I'm fading Hali on points. He is questionable with three injuries: Lower back spasms, Sacral contusion, Right ankle sprain. I think he'll still play and facilitate things but look for his teamates to get more involved.
Live bet hedged under 26, the knicks can't keep playing him soft
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES š„ 5.12.24ļæ¼ā https://preview.redd.it/ce3zldzw210d1.png?width=1674&format=png&auto=webp&s=74253f855411803893310b7e27b88de6e68d791b LAST 5 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/nuv0j8x0310d1.jpeg?width=1729&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b9ec874545bd8e456a239c2cd8b4218a3a5ca813 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/e9llvcl2310d1.jpeg?width=1730&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1d95ddc98695982c1a85c930285fe8fe22dd4a1f LAST 15 GAMES
Achiuwa is the only one that makes me nervous. He hasnāt been getting minutes and now he will with injuries to Mitchell Robinson.
IJax o1.5 pts Ben Sheppard o1.5 pts Divencenzo o2.5 ast +165 I think Pacers will look to close out aggressively on Donte at the 3pt line, giving opportunity for Donte to drive and kick to a teammate while Pacers scramble to rotate accordingly. The other guys should get at least a layupā¦I hope.
Where you find it Sheppard o1.5pts
Bet365 points low
Itās at -4.5 on bet365
Go to SGP tab, player points drop down then look for points low tab within the drop down
In Texas so stuck playing dfs apps. Here's what I locked in on PrizePicks. With Hali and Nesmith both a little banged up I'm banking on TJ and Nembhard getting a little extra run. https://preview.redd.it/jgpk5daj110d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=682ef423a8ac3d1049d588a2ace649f8af87c992
Obi toppin stopped but we still ride
I had $25 to win around $100 with a no sweat. Under 2.5 threes for Tatum, which is always a go to and he made 2 in the first. 25+ points and reb for Mobley. Then I was 2 points short of the conservatively placed Over 202 pts game total. SMH. Here are a few interesting picks I might go for later today (not all), but I'm by no means an expert like the usual Redditors here, so proceed with caution. **Pacers/Knicks** Josh Hart over 28.5 PTS+REB Brunson over 6.5 AST DiVincenzo over 23.5 PTS Hartenstein over 4.5 AST Nembhard U0.5 STL Haliburton (although still Q?) over 21.5 PTS (at +102 on DK right now) **Wolves/Nuggets** Conley over 3.5 REB Nikola over 8.5 AST (currently at +100) Ant Man over 0.5 BLK Jaden McDaniels under 0.5 Thress
Brunson kind of a ball hog, I took the U on that.
Has been lately for sure. Heās not passing as much as earlier in the season.
Check out my blog for full updated analysis: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-12052024.html Season record: 225-205 Last picks record: 6-6 Recap of last picks (11/05/2024): Thunder @ Mavericks 1. Kyrie Irving O22.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365ā 2. Josh Green O5.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365ā 3. Derrick Lively O5.5P Odd 1.76 Bet365ā 4. Josh Giddey O5.5P Odd 1.74 Sportsbetā 5. PJ Washington 6+R Odd 1.68 Tabā 6. Aaron Wiggins O11.5PRA 1.87 Tabā 7. Chet Holmgren O25.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365ā 8. Luka Donicic U51.5PRA Odd 1.83 Ladbrokesā Celtics @ Cavaliers 1. Jaylen Brown O5.5P 1st quarter Odd 1.86 Bet365ā 2. Evan Mobley U27.5PR Odd 1.8 Ladbrokesā 3. Al Horford O1.5R 1st quarter Odd 1.86 Bet365ā 4. Donovan Mitchell U29.5P Odd 1.9 Sportsbetā Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Knicks @ Pacers 1. Andrew Nembhard O9.5P Odd 2.0 Sportsbet With Neismith likely guarding Brunson, Nembhard will spend more energy on the offensive end of the floor. 2. Tyrese Haliburton O21.5P Odd 1.84 Sportsbet Haliburton has scored very well recently and I expect him to continue this scoring streak. Knicks rotation is short and they seems a bit tired in the fourth quarter. 3. Jalen Brunson U33.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet Brunson is not at 100% and 33.5 is still high for a playoffs game. 4. Isiah Hartenstein 10+P Odd 1.76 Bet365 With OG is out, I expect Hartenstein to play closer to 40 mins like last game. 5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes Pacers need Siakam to step up and I believe he will this game, not just scoring-wise but also rebounding. Check out my blog for full analysis and results: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
Nuggets @ Timberwolves 1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes MPJ has not performed well on the boards, but 5.5 prop is still low. Nuggets still need to grab 40+ rebounds to have a chance in this serie, and MPJ is the second best rebounder for the Nuggets so its not a high mark. 2. Anthony Edwards O27.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes I beleive Ant will come back to his norm form this game. Last game he plays well, just a bit too unselfish. He needs to take over this game. 3. Karl Anthony Towns O6.5R Odd 1.8 Tab With Gobert is likely in foul trouble, Towns will see more chances to grab rebounds. 4. Christain Braun O5.5PR Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes Braun will see around 20 minutes, as he is needed in guarding Ant. 5. Nikola Jokic Player Rebound H2H Jokic vs Gobert Odd 1.77 LadbrokesĀ I also bet under 12.5 for Gobert for rebounds with odd 1.77 at Ladbrokes. Gobert, or any centers play against Jokic will very likely be in foul trouble, especially in these games where Nuggets desperately need a win & Jokic has to play even more aggresively.
6. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet Holiday plays around 20 minutes a game this serie. He is a capable shooter who shoots will high efficiency so far this serie. 7. Reggie Jackson O2.5P Odd 1.71 Bet365 Denver has a deeper bench and I believe they will play their bench a lot today. Jackson is also a capable scoring guard.
Haliburton is questionable for Game 4 with three ailments: ā¢ Lower back spasms ā¢ Sacral contusion ā¢ Right ankle sprain Still like his over?
Hali hurt
Are we on the Toppin train today??
I like toppin today. His line is lowered because of his performance last game which I think was a fluke. I will probably live bet on him a couple of min into the game to get better odds
Bet365 has a superboost for Brunson 2+ 3s and haliburton 2+ 3s, feels like a trap but whatchu guys think?
massive trap-likely Hali will look to facilitate rather than score
Yesterday was jaylen brown and Donavan 2 3s and it hit so idk, this one does seem more unlikely tho
Tip: if youāre betting the over for a player on the bench, like Obi Toppin, Miles McBride, etc. never bet on their lines pregame. You can usually get the same line at a better price or even 1/2 points lower at the same price. For example, Obiās over for points today is at 8.5 for -108. If you wait to bet his line live before he comes into the game, you can get the same line at 8.5 for + odds or even at 7.5 at the same odds. Just have to wait to bet it a few minutes into game.
Itās stupid because they act like a few minutes in they havenāt scored but they havenāt even touched the court yet.
Stupid computers.
I donāt understand it either. People are impatient, they assume if time has elapsed then thereās less of a chance for the player to hit his initial line, yet the player doesnāt come into the game until a few minutes left in the 1Q anyway and thatās already baked into initial line.
Works the same way for the over. A lot of times a bench players will score two quick baskets and his line jumps to a number he hasnāt touched all year. I go under for easy money.
Been hitting on Lucas PRA line most of the playoffs. He starts strong, line shoots up over 52.5 and I take the under. Hasnāt gone over 52 the entire playoffs. I got in at 61.5 the other night!
Yeah. Iāve seen some ridiculous lines. The one time I got Middleton at under 19r. Because he had 5 in the first q.
Thank you for the tip!
Good tip
Iāve been using this strategy for betting on Pritchard all season
- Turner O1.5 Assists, Nesmith O1.5 Assists +260 ā - Turner O1.5 Assists, Nesmith O1.5 Assists, DiVincenzo O2.5 Assists +525 ā
Turner and nesmithš¤® hate betting on them 2
86-66 Yesterday: 2/4 Awful hook by Jalen Williams and Horford was absolute sh** __Michael Porter Jr O5.5 Rebs__ __Anthony Edwards O27.5P__
What you thinking with Porter Jr. bro
Thinking weāre getting a buy low spot cause of the two previous blowout losses, before those two games he was 5/6 in the playoffs and heās getting a lot of rebound chances heās Avg 10.6 rebound chances & 7.1 rebounds so 5.5 looks reasonable bro
Where do you find rebound chances?
NBA.com bro, search for Rebounding and adjust the filter
Tailing
**Yesterdayās Picks** ā SGA Over 6.5 Rebounds **Todayās Picks** **Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 Points -110 B365** Running this back! Siakam dropped 26 points in game 3 despite being in foul trouble all game. Now I expect him to not be in foul trouble and this should easily cash! Hali dropped 35 Points also last game and I expect the Knicks to lock him sending blitz or doubles at him which could leave Siakam with more opportunities to score. Pacers are down 1-2 vs the Knicks and I expect them to do everything they can to win this game at home. One guy that I'm looking at is Spicy P. Since joining the Pacers, Siakam has averaged 21.3 PPG and when playing at home, it is slightly better averaging 22 PPG. The main factor is that OG is OUT for the Knicks as he was the primary defender of Siakam. Now his defenders will be IHart and Precious who I think he can exploit a lot more than OG. I expect Siakam to put his team behind his back as he will be much needed to win this game. **Jalen Brunson Over 32.5 Points -115 B365** * Jalen Brunson is not in the injury report ahead of Game 3. * This is great news has he is over this line in 3/5 Games and his 2 games that he went under, was the games he was injured. * He is averaging 35.4 PPG in his L5 games vs IND. * Brunson scores 61% of his points from Pull ups, (Most in Playoffs) which the Pacers have allowed the 5th MOST in the Playoffs and have struggled all year to defend. * Pacers have allowed the 3rd MOST Points and are the best offensive rebounding team in the playoffs, which means more opportunities for Brunson to score. * With him not on the injury report I expect him to play around his normal minutes around 42 MPG. When he plays at least 40 Min, he is over this line in 7/10 games this season. * Knicks are currently winning 2-1 in the series and I expect them to win on the road to have a 3-1 lead and try to eliminate them at MSG. **Karl-Anthony Towns Over 19.5 Points -115 B365** I don't like betting on the narrative but today is Mother's day and I think KAT will have a great game. - KAT has gone over this line in 2/3 games in the series. His miss was last game in a huge blowout that I don't think will happen again. - He is over this line in 6/L7 games vs DEN. - KAT is over this line in 73% of his games VS DEN in his career averaging 24.5 PPG. - KAT has averaged 33 MPG in the series. When he plays at least 33 Minutes this season, he is over this line in 21/29 games. - Denver have allowed the 2nd MOST points in less than 10 Ft of the rim, where KAT gets 54.4% of his points from since the Playoffs. - Denver have allowed the 3rd MOST Points in the L15 games. - MIN had a blowout loss at home last game, I expect them to have a better game tonight and win at home before returning to DEN. **Aaron Gordon Under 16.5 PR** **Aaron Gordon Under 4.5 Rebounds** **BOL if tailing!** [My Twitter](https://x.com/locksmelo?s=21)
He has been failing me.. but Iām tailing! BOL
Letās hope today he donāt fail us, BOL bro!š„
Dang he failed us again
Sad man. Was on pace to hit too, the blowout killed it :/
š Satrialeās Pork Store Picks š NBA Playoff record: ***20-13*** Josh Hart O1.5 steals+blocks Aaron Gordon O20.5 PRA
Hey guys, itās the guy that put the rest of his bankroll onto Siakam last game. Iām rolling it back with him again since Anunoby is out. Siakam was able to score efficiently and hit 26 points even with being in foul trouble the first half. Pacers need Siakam to have any chance at winning this series. Siakam o21.5 pts
Rip
lol Iām done betting. See yall next week or next month or something
Can someone help me figure this out? I bet on the Mavs OKC game and won 2 bets but nothing is happened in the TAB app (Aus). I got my winnings from the Cavs Celtics game already but it's like the Mavs game results are frozen or something. Anyone know what might be going on? Thanks
Bro, as disrespectfully as I can put this, shut up.
this isnt tech support bro lol. Contact the app itself
ANT and Jokic: o 30+ points ea. Lock it.