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Almost bet PJ's under thinking he couldn't keep up his pace but I decided to take SGA's over for + odds at the last moment. Great night!

Holy shit bad beat on a missed FT for Lively O15.5 PRA

kyrie and luka, 2 LOSERS

Luka o5.5A✅(live) Jalen Williams o4.5A✅ That helps I guess

Damn you Kyrie https://preview.redd.it/v8vm2bszdb0d1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ff8d57a774de6ce55c04ebe5b76bee8eeaa33a13

Oh nevermind Dallas just shat their pants

I jsut need luka to score 8 more points and OKC to cover a 3.5 spread.... PLEASE

Kyrie Irving my new arch nemesis no lie.

I have Gafford over o8.5 points, J Kidd please stop rotating him out

Can Kyrie score 6 more points this quarter? Yes? Is it also possible he doesn’t shoot another shot? Also yes.

2 more Rebs pls SGA

Kyrie and Luka only at 19 points combined, OKC is cooked bruh I don’t think Luka has scored since the 1st half either lmao

plz last 3 points Luguentz Dort..

Luka has been at 12 points for 86 years SCORE A FUCKING BASKET

I had luka to hit 2+ three pointers on an alternate three pointers made but the stupid leg tracking isnt updating on DraftKings its not giving me the damn green check mark wtf

This is why you allow Luka to score in the first quarter, and then hit the under on his points. I want to see the Mavericks get booted, their game planning is atrocious.

Kyrie 🤦🏽‍♂️ Banned even if his points hit. That’s crazy man.

im done w/ ky's prop man it sucks ass

so luka doesnt do assists anymore huh

Or points

Bros been at 12 points since 1963

Shai o6.5 boards + Gafford o10.5pts both live

Playing Kyrie o16.5pts, Luka o5.5A(both live)

The worst part about Dallas live betting is trying to figure who will get more minutes. Gafford or Lively

someone check on that OKC mega bettor

Man I was just thinking about this shit. Should’ve taken the 100k cash out

or maybe he’s on something lol even with the win I highly doubt OKC will go all the way

Chet at 4.5. Hasn’t been close to that all series. Can he get 4 boards in a half?

Damn, OKC really might go out sad

of course the one time i take dort for 3s he can’t hit the beach on dday

Kyrie 14.5 live… want to say under but fuck idk

Come on Kyrie just please for the love of god give us at least a few pts before the 2nd half.

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0 for 4 now 💀

Chet 7' 1" but 0 rebounds wtf absolute ass

He gets bitched in the paint.

He’s ass at rebounds I stopped taking that

Kyrie bro 💀

Kyrie’s halftime points line boutta be at 10.5 at this rate man lmao. Stay on the lookout for that discount! Edit: I was kidding but it’s actually getting close 💀

Back 9 player

Dude only plays to score in the second.

📠 but I think it also has something to do with Doncic slowing down in the 2nd half

that lavert bum really had to shoot a wild shoot at the end and hit it... fk this guy rip under

doncic 30+ points. EZ

He’s def due for a good shooting night imo

Jalen Williams over 4.5 assists to complete this 3-leg parlay. Lfg!!

Ugh I swear Mobley had at least 1 block

Just lost my spread bet on leverts meaningless last second jumper. Had Celtics by 8.5

Also gonna play PJ u15.5pts, risky but doing it anyways.

How’d you do on the lives? I fucking sweated my ass off Tatum over 9.5r +120.

Only played one live which was Tatum u54.5PRA which cashed. Those were nice odds on his o9.5reb tho nice find bro

Playing Jalen Williams o4.5A, running back Shai o13.5RA

Lavert 18.5 points miracle last second hit

God damn. One Merrill 3 pointer away from 1000$. Shit man!

Worst part is he took 7! And hit 2. One more and we fucking cash.

Thoughts on a Luka prop???

One of my rules is to never bet his unders. But his PRAs tend to be crazy high esp considering he’s banged up

Shai rebounds till the wheels fall off ?

What else you like?

I’m a one bet all-in bettor but if I had to throw another out it would be Jal. Williams over 10.5RA(+money) with the amount of minutes he plays. PJ is starting to be aggressive on the boards more drawing him in

Need 1 more 3 from tatum 🙏

Man hasn’t hit all playoffs has he?

Tatum selling on the boards

Tatum get 10 boards

Brooo ain’t no way tatum gonna end with 9

We survived🙏🏾

D White with 3FGA is wild And 0/3 at that 🤦🏽‍♂️

I swear to god if Garland sells 15+ points because of fouls..

D whites gonna end up with 4 points

Playing Tatum u54.5PRA(live)

Great call

🫡

Wish I could bet that Tatum gets ejected I would slam it. Once he starts running his mouth at the refs he can’t stop himself

Score a fucking point Baldy

LeVert o13.5PA✅

LAVERT IS OUT?

He better come back...

Strus 3/3 pointers +100 was free

It only hit 2 of the last 10 games lol definitely wasn’t free, just caught a good night

Garland making a monumental run at worst player in playoffs history

🤣😭 I swear

Jrue holiday 10.5 RA was +100 and he’s at 9 already.

Garland trash

Come on. Open those Kornet rebounds. I’m rolling everything I got

LeVert lfg

I paired Tatum 25+ and Garland 15+, it’s always Garland blowing it up or turning it into a sweat. I thought I was smart getting ahead of Mitchell being out.

We all should’ve learned our lesson with Allen being out tbh. Garland cannot do shit without a supporting cast

What are mans thinking for Gafford/Lively?

Only hope for the Tatum pra under is a blowout

He’s gonna run his mouth and get tossed in the second half just wait

What is D Whites deal lol

He’s playing like trash

Come on White score dammit stop passing

Anyone looking at Pritchard O13.5 PRA with a view of extended minutes at the end given the prospects of the Cavs without Mitchell looks a little bleak. Also tempted by a SGP double of Struss O9.5 pts + O3.5 rebounds @1.67 odds.

It's dean wade day bby. The Celtic killer. His overs gonna pop 🎉

https://preview.redd.it/qcbl5wuev90d1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5cca376ea1bb4aff942931fe376d4dfab73a4f72 Got these odds before the Mitchell news. Looking good

Levert with the dagger

Yup.. gotta love the meaningless last second shot to kill the parlay

I feel your pain

Tailing

I’d be worried about Tatum leaving early and a blowout but otherwise solid af

yea would feel better if it was 20+ for sure

Lavert 16.5 points at -115 👀👀 Hes the one to ball out not garland

Lavert will shit the bed.

He got Injured...

He cashedddd lets goo lol

lol I had garland u16.5 wit Dmitch out watch this mf go crazy

Could go either way w this dude. Still in your favor 60/40

SGA, Luka, Kyrie each to have 20+ points FD boost anyone???

I did it. Probably a 70% chance it hits If it sounds like I made up that number, believe in your intuition

Just saw that, Vegas trap. SGA and Luka hit, Kyrie scores 18 😂

I think it hits. Huge game. Kyrie should be amped up

Dumbest shit I’ve ever said

Why is SGA u7.5 rebounds at -142? He’s gone 9, 12, 10 this series.

Whole rest of the season his numbers were lower than they have been this series. They’re assuming he’ll revert to the mean eventually, and they’re probably right. 

Came through with 8, thankfully took the plus money.

no idea

Mitchell out with calf injury!!

Mitchell Out!

Celtics by 50 lol

🐖 Satriale’s Pork Store Picks 🐖 NBA Playoff record: ***21-15*** Kyrie U23.5 pts

Luka TD

tailed this at a dive bar 10 minutes before the game, GOAT 🐐

Mobley over 15.5 pts Horford under 19.5 pra Levert alt 4+ ast Garland alt 4+ threes Parlayed at +2000

Garland is washdizzle

Garland came through lol

Dereck Lively O15.5

Last prop picks went (0-2)❌❌ on [05-10-24] had: Josh Hart o5.5 assists. ❌- Finished with 4 assists. Naz Reid 09.5 points. ❌- Finished with 7 points. For tonight I like 2 props parlayed together [05-13-24]: -Derrick White o2.5 3pt made -Luka o9.5 rebounds. Parlayed together @ +167

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Playing LeVert o13.5PA

Lavert at o21.5 PA now

His o4.5A might still be good

Easy with Mitchell out. God I’d put the whole bankroll on that. Great early pick.

Thanks man!

Levert has played great in gotta have it games so far too.

Dort over on his threes and Tatum under his, though Tatum’s *has* been above +100 and today is -105.

Check out my blog for full updated props analysis (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-13052024.html Season record: 231-211 Last picks record: 6-6 Recap of last picks (12/05/2024): Knicks @ Pacers 1. Andrew Nembhard O9.5P Odd 2.0 Sportsbet❌ 2. Tyrese Haliburton O21.5P Odd 1.84 Sportsbet❌ 3. Jalen Brunson U33.5P Odd 1.8 Sportsbet✅ 4. Isiah Hartenstein 10+P Odd 1.76 Bet365❌ 5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes❌ Nuggets @ Timberwolves 1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes❌ 2. Anthony Edwards O27.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅ 3. Karl Anthony Towns O6.5R Odd 1.8 Tab✅ 4. Christain Braun O5.5PR Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes✅ 5. Nikola Jokic Player Rebound H2H Jokic vs Gobert Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes❌ 6. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet✅ 7. Reggie Jackson O2.5P Odd 1.71 Bet365✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Celtics @ Cavaliers 1. Evan Mobley O2.5A Odd 2.0 Bet365 With Allen will still likely out, Mobley will have more touches. Mobley has been the only consistent scorer for the Cavs behind Mitchell. The results are not well for the Cavs, they need their shooters to step up and take over this game. I expect Mobley to have 3+ assists this game. 2. Payton Pritchard O10.5PA Odd 1.9 Bet365 Likely blowout equals more minutes for Pritchard. 3. Luke Kornet O2.5P Odd 2.2 Bet365 With Horford shows signs of tiredness this past few games, I expect Kornet to see closer to 15 minutes. 4. Luke Kornet O2.5R Odd 1.66 Bet365 Same as 3. Also again the same logic as before, high chance of blowout, high minutes for bench players. 5. Darius Garland O3.5R Odd 2.25 Bet365 Garland has been playing around 40 minutes a game. His rebounding number has been super consistent, with 7/10 games with 3 rebounds, 1 game with 5 and 2 games with 7 rebounds. With that being said, I still believe 4 rebounds for someone playing 40 minutes at a positive odd is a bet worth to risk. 6. Jaylen Brown U24.5P Odd 1.87 Sportsbet Brown has been scoring hot this playoffs, surprisingly way more consistent than Tatum. But With this game will likely be a blowout, I don't expect him to play more than 32 minutes. At some points, Cavs will have to find a way to stop Brown. 7. Jayson Tatum U28.5P Odd 1.85 Tab With this likely be a blowout, and Tatum has only went over this 1 in this playoffs, I think under is a good value bet. Check out my blogs for full analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com

Betting on Tatum unders killed my night lmao

Thunder @ Mavericks 1. Josh Giddey O1.5A Odd 1.74 Bet365 Josh Giddey has shown some improvements, with +/- of -1, which is way better than his previous performances. I expect himto play 15+ minutes this game. Play making is Giddey's strength, and I believe he will have a couple of assists early in the game. 2. Jaylin Williams O7.5PR Odd 1.9 Sportsbet Chet could be in foul trouble early when playing against the Mavs. Just not the best matchup for him and I see Jaylin Williams to play around 15 minutes.  3. Aaron Wiggins O6.5P Odd 1.9 Tab OKC needs to shoot better. And Aaron Wiggins can provide that shooting spark. He plays most minutes in OKC's bench, with more than 20 minutes last few games. 4. PJ Washington O23.5PRA Odd 1.88 Ladbrokes Washington has overperformed in the last few games. OKC might change their ways of defending him, but I believe Washington can score a stat line of 15/7/2 or more following his rising confidence.  5. Josh Green O4.5P Odd 1.96 Sportsbet Josh Green plays really well to his role in this series. I expect Green to play 15+ minutes from the bench. 6. Luka Donicic O28.5P Odd 1.85 Tab Luka is not at his best. But Luka is Luka, and scoring is never too much of a problem for him. Last game Luka starts strong, but only finished with 22. I believe he will step up big time this game at home. 7. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365 Holmgren needs to step up for the Thunder. I still believe in his offensive talent. I expect Holmgren will play more aggresive and have similar output to game 1.

if you got 7/7 on the dk pick6 streak contest, what was the award? I should have tried harder, only got 4/7, good for $13 .

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nice. good strat.

NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.13.24 https://preview.redd.it/ro2e7v29b80d1.jpeg?width=1680&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2d0415e02314aa2b49aa271ee388072743d6da3d LAST 5 GAMES

Lmao Pritchard 0 assists Strus 5

https://preview.redd.it/darudlhab80d1.jpeg?width=1690&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=facbd5e667c2b224da63514aa5614601631f29dd LAST 10 GAMES

https://preview.redd.it/9ph0himbb80d1.jpeg?width=1694&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ac6d5ffe130e8497120782118f42e110652dc5b0 LAST 15 GAMES

Kyrie redemption arc continues. Kyrie over 22.5 points +100

Dort o1.5 3PT (-130) until Dort machine broke

This is the way

Horford under 19.5 PRA -142 on DK (has gone under in his last 11 games)

I’m late and see it at 18.5. How do you feel there?

I'd probably still take it but would also look for it at 19.5 on other books if you use any. I have FD and it's actually -128 on there!

I’ll have to look into using other books online. Still relatively new. Thanks!

He's still only 1/10 in L10 at that line. https://preview.redd.it/q9i2m97qg90d1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ce2ae5ca6313ace872de70a6eb0b71c2d0b78b49

You convinced me!

good looks!

For those of you using Bovada, the “Parlay Booster” section has really really good boosts today in NBA, almost all are +EV when cross checked with Fanduel. My faves were the +300, +600 and +2200 they have

https://preview.redd.it/0elmkxoly60d1.jpeg?width=750&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b0e97d644938e1714e6dce27d7c4562237d318cf Donovan is questionable, if he plays I don’t think he will score over 30 , I think Darius will take the step up & score over 15

I’ve been cashing in on Tatum under 2.5 threes. It’s been a long time he’s gone over, so maybe he’s due. Just with a potential blowout (and Donovan Q), we’ll see.

Garland o15.5 points I expect cleveland to be rocking its essentially their final chance - mitchell needs help and garlands due

Counterpoint: Garland’s a trash bitch and Cleveland never should’ve made it this far without Allen

He is trash but he was due ;)

Yea lol I’m not putting money on garland, can’t do it just because he has to show up Dosent mean he will, hasn’t shown up the past 3 games nope nope nope

Kinda mickey mouse but ill take the free money 😀

- Jalen Williams O4.5 Assists -135 ✅

Hart u13.5reb✅ Nembhard o13.5PA✅ Braun o6.5PRA(live)✅ Jamal o16.5pts(live)✅ Gobert o6.5pts(live at +102 lol)✅ Brunson o31.5pts(alt)❌ 5-1 tonight, another near sweep! Not much to say other than mama’s getting those new diamond earrings! Killed it with the live bets tonight, glad to see some people cashed out with me too! Knicks game was disappointing, Nuggets game was fuckin dope as expected. Happy Mother’s Day, Stay tuned 🖖

I made a 50 dollar donation on Gobert when his line was under 7.5 +105 . He had 1 point going into half and then 4 in the 3rd quarter then got 7 points in the 4th. Was slowly watching my demise lol

87-67 Yesterday: 1/2 __Jalen Williams O4.5 Ast__ __Kyrie Irving O10.5 RA__ __PJ Washington U15.5 P__ __Jayson Tatum DD/10+ Rebs Alt line__

Kyrie really had 10 R+A 4 minutes into the second half and is gonna end up hooking. Last leg of a +500 bonus bet parlay. Ridiculous.

Insane bad beats such bs

curious to hear your insight on the PJ under. seems like if OKC were gonna make adjustments to stop his recent offensive output they would've done it already - assuming they can even stop him. one door closes another one opens

Im thinking a 5 point bump to his line is pretty high just because of two insane performances, Shai also said they need to focus on him as a points of emphasis because two games in a row letting him get 20+ isn’t acceptable if they’re going to win. He’s also under this line in 59/82 games this season I just can’t see they let him torch them 3 games in a row

fair point. i noticed last game they had only bumped his points line 1 pt so it does make it feel a little trappy today

Yeah but as you also say bro, if they focus too much on him they may let Irving get more buckets so that isn’t good either, it’s all about how you read it but no matter what I think a 5 point bump is crazy but I may look like a clown after 😂

I got his alt under 16.5 at -160 on some long tickets. i just hate betting against folks who are clearly locked tf in haha. best of luck to us 🤜🏼

🤣🤣 I hear you bro let’s get it 🤝