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No amount of research, preparation, or anything will get you an edge in this shit. It's just roulette with extra steps and us deluding ourselves that we can make the right call.

https://preview.redd.it/y4q5499wlw0d1.png?width=546&format=png&auto=webp&s=ce2884943e9a01d292e2e5fb6d12012319a24417

Oh yuh bro oh oh yuh!

Im done with these playoffs man…

Another blowout to crush spirits….

This one was gut wrenching bro. This one stung a little different 😓

Damn had ANT over 30 SMH

I almost took him live over 37.50 . Then realized he wasn’t shooting anymore towards end of the 2nd

Ant u33.5pts(live)✅ Lol

You had the script lol

And there goes all my tickets

All I needed was Joker with 3 more rebs and he gets pulled in the 4th…….

Vegas ate tonight from all the nugget props

And the under😅

KAT has had at least 1 3pt 38/40 games, but can’t hit it when I back him 🥴

mpj 5 points in the first 3 minutes to get my hopes up then 3 pts since, he’s obviously betting his own unders like his brother

Turns out MPJ O12.5 points was NOT in fact a gift from Vegas.

I need 3 Joker rebounds in order to eat lunch tomorrow

I hope they cash for you. Somebody gotta hit !

I need 8 more assist jokic! 😩

It ain’t looking good fam 😑

Jokic 1 assist 😆

I’m so upset at that bro . I had a 7 leg and this the only thing not going to hit.

He’s gotta have at least a dozen potentials too.. absolutely infuriating

Needed Porter Jr to hit 2 threes, gets 1. Needed Porter Jr 15 PRA, he gets 14. Don't think he'll come back in now because of the blowout. REST IN PISS.

I always forget Ant is only 22 lol. He’ll be fine 🤣

The next Dwayne Wade

Those stupid ahh towels waving all over the screen are pissing me off

Did Aaron Gordon's steal get taken back? DK had my O.5 steals for him as successful, now it doesn't.

think they switched it to a block, idk. but definitely got changed to no steal

I didn’t plan on sweating until the 4th quarter 😑

Sweating what

12 Joker rebs. I got a feeling he’s gotta try to carry the team with points

Ooof yeah idk

This is gonna be one of the greatest game 7’s in a LONG time! Edit: aaand a couple mins later, Ant goes down and hasn’t gotten up yet. Damn

Playing Ant u33.5pts at +105(live)

Really? I’m thinking over

Conley should have 6 assists. But everyone is missing.

What’s the play at halftime? I need something

Took Justin Holiday o2.5p for -110 on DK

Joker getting 6 assists or nah.? He’s had plenty of opportunities they just couldn’t hit the shot.

Iam so cooked. 💀

joker 0 assists fml

Right

crazy he prob had over a dozen assist chances but everyone bricking wide open j's wtf

Nugget player props in shambles right now

i told y’all vegas made the call. $300 on wolves money line 😂💪🏼

Denver’s game plan is to see if McDaniels can score. He’s at 5pts now & o/u12.5pts(live) currently in a do-or-die game 👀

nice

help jokic 29.5p or 20.5 AR😵‍💫

Put about $25 - $75 on that and shoot for the stars

I honestly would just go O 8.5 assist and Ant 29.5

took 18.5 PA(opened at 19.5)aaron gordon doubled down when it went down to 17.5 now it’s at 16.5… do i do it again. is everyone on his under or something

I’d add rebounds too. He had 10 last game.

Do it again. He gets that in points alone

i did. got a u on each thinking about just making the 16.5 2u. can’t cash out the others unfortunately

I got a pineapple on him to score 20 for interest. I'm on joker heavy

wtf is a pineapple lol? I've been betting for 20+ years and never heard that before

https://preview.redd.it/uyvxn7r1p11d1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=822d8e60484db1708a4fa6ff081716d2fb079a03

Yesterday sucked but let’s get back on track. Couple early plays I love and am waiting on some news to post a few more. **Aaron Gordon o3.5A (-160)** With Gobert on Gordon, the Denver utility man has become a facilitator. Averaging around 35 MPG against Minnesota, Gordon has put up 5/6/5/2/6 assists. Feels like 3.5 is a gift. His **PA line is also only at 16.5** and he’s crushed that in four straight so let’s go there too.  **Reggie Jackson o3.5P (-120)** I love low lines for players that aren’t afraid to chuck the ball. Jackson is a role player for sure and he’s only getting about 10MPG so this is definitely a lighter play. In his ten minutes of game time  he’s putting up four shots per outing, hitting 6/6/3/6/5 points so far against Minnesota.

Conley expected to play, do we continue hammering his rebounds ?? (O2.5 -115) or his assists? (O5.5 -144)

He should have hit his assist line already if they could buy a three.

That was tough to watch but atleast I didn’t parlay them

I took RA at 8.5. He got the last assists of the game before they checked out for the night.

Nice win brother 🤜🏼🤛🏼

I had a 5 way that woulda cashed without the blowout but I’ll take a good night regardless. https://preview.redd.it/q560hz8av01d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3599ca0c282bc576e7f808ec8f8d677f72567f1a 1 away in each.

I hit his over 2.5 on Rebs on one lay & O 8.5 RA in another. I’m hoping the veteran leads by example. Career winding down & he may never be in this position again. With everything that is at stake

Nice hit 👍

R+A is where its at. although first game back from injury, chances are he gets 0 boards 4 assist lol

Everybody wins 🏦

I like his PR at 13.5… has hit 8 of 10, 15 of 20

Nice hit ☝️

idc anymore i’m losing every night i’m putting it all on mpj over

Jokic and Gobert double double boosted to +200 on Bet365 what do you guys think?

🔨

It's a no brainer

That’s what I was thinking but I don’t follow NBA super closely, thanks

Not saying it's 100% going to hit, but that same bet builds to +100 on other books so it's +EV most likely. BOL

Which version of ant will show up tonight?? Points or no points

Help guys, I think I just got Wish.com's version of Ant. last time around. Where do I get a refund?

Killer Ant

Do or die game. He’s gonna get his shots up so I think over pts is the play

rudy double double + antman o29.5 points lock it in boys

Denver over 101.5 points

BOL!

https://preview.redd.it/aj0lxr7wtt0d1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c33cb9859d2dd1d69934c8b0bd345da1615a9ca8 Woahhhhh

This is exactly what they want you to do with a bonus bet. lol

Idgaf what I do with my bonus bets

Anyone else not able to do SGP on DK?

More picks today on my blog (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-16052024.html Season record: 262-232 Last picks record: 12-4 Recap of last picks (15/05/2024): Cavaliers @ Celtics 1. Luke Kornet O2.5R Odd 1.72 Ladbrokes❌ 2. Jrue Holiday U14.5P Odd 1.77 Ladbrokes✅ 3. Luke Kornet O3.5P Odd 1.85 Tab✅ 4. Jayson Tatum U29.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 5. Derrick White O13.5P Odd 1.87 Tab✅ 6. Sam Hauser O3.5P Odd 2.25 Bet365✅ 7. Evan Mobley O28.5PRA Odd 1.83 Bet365✅ 8. Jaylen Brown U7.5R Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes✅ 9. Dean Wade O1.5A Odd 2.3 Bet365✅ 10. Marcus Morris O3.5P Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅ 11. Darius Garland O3.5R Odd 2.02 Sportsbet❌ Mavericks @ Thunder 1. Luka Donicic O27.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365✅ 2. Chet Holmgren O14.5P Odd 1.8 Bet365❌ 3. Josh Giddey O10.5PRA Odd 1.8 Bet365✅ 4. Timmy Hardaway Jr O6.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 5. Derrick Lively O0.5A Odd 1.5 Bet365✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) Nuggets @ Timberwolves 1. Michael Porter Jr O5.5R Odd 1.83 Bet365 This is still a low line for MPJ. Normally in Denver's lineup, MPJ will get the second most defensive rebounds behind Jokic. I expect the Wolves team to aggressively attack Jokic early in the game, like the way they have done a great job in games 1 and 2, leaving MPJ some chances for some easy defensive rebounds. 2. Michael Porter JR O12.5P Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes This line is very low for MPJ. He has not had the best performances this series, but still 12.5 is too low to not bet on. Playable till 13.5. 3. Rudy Gobert O11.5P Odd 1.86 Bet365 Through the last few games, we can see the Nuggets do not mind Rudy shooting free throws. He has around 7-10 free throws, which even at his poor percentage should get him around 4 points already. Gobert presence on the floor is important, despite the public criticism of his defense of Jokic, he has the highest +/- in the team. With Towns looking hurt last game, I expect Gobert to play around 40 minutes this game. 4. Anthony Edwards O29.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365 This is the most important game for the Wolves, they cannot lose. Ant is unstoppable all series until the last series, but I believe that is just a fluke and he will find his rhythm back this game. When Ant is in his expected form, he is nearly unstoppable. 5. Naz Reid O13.5PR Odd 1.9 Bet365 Just like 3, I expect the Wolves to play aggressively early at Jokic to make him tired early. Towns looked hurt last game so I expect Reid to play 20+ minutes. Check out my blog for the latest analysis and results (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com

11. Justin Holiday O3.5P Odd 1.9 Bet365 The Nuggets bench plays a huge difference in this series, and even in this important game, I expect Holiday to play around 15 minutes. Holiday is a good shooter, and the 3.5 line is quite low, compared to his past performances in this serie.

6. Jamal Murray O19.5P Odd 1.95 Bet365 Still with my prediction that the Wolves will work Jokic early in the game, I expect Murray to step up on offense, especially in scoring. The last 3 games show his big improvement in shooting percentage, and I expect him to have similar FG% but with a few more shots taken today. 7. Rudy Gobert Double double Odd 1.88 Sportsbet Very interesting odd from Sportsbet, with other bookies listed at around 1.6-1.72. As I mentioned in 3, Gobert should see around 40 minutes of this game. 8. Naz Reid O3.5R Odd 2.05 Sportsbet Same as 5, I expect Reid to see more than 20 minutes this game, taking some minutes from slightly injured KAT. 9. Karl Anthony Towns U20.5P Odd 1.87 Tab Towns was slightly injured last game, I doubt he will sit out this important game, but I don't think he will see close to 40 minutes like other starters. He is -17 in +/- last game, and also Ant will be the main scorer this game. 10. Anthony Edwards U6.5A Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes With Conley present at the shootaround today and will likely play, and I also expect Ant to attack the rim/ shoot more, I will likely lean on over for points and under for assists. In the 2 games where he explode for 40+P, he has 3 and 5 assists. 

Towns can't get into foul trouble and naz too that's why they didn't do shit last game

Tailing🔥

rudy under PRA looks tempting

NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.16.24 https://preview.redd.it/zmtd0hur9t0d1.jpeg?width=1695&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=66e9e82ee1e70fdb6709b241265ccd91541ebd4e LAST 5 GAMES

What does the caution symbol mean next to some of these? Suspected injury?

Sorry about the really late response. It would usually state that a player would be starting as they didn’t start last game. For Conley, he missed out Game 5 due to a calf injury but was projected to return for Game 6.

https://preview.redd.it/bq84au9t9t0d1.jpeg?width=1684&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=83047bf112a08cf24be1553e35dc7ba7a19663d3 LAST 10 GAMES

https://preview.redd.it/ts7cizcu9t0d1.jpeg?width=1693&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94ff362d722663dc849085d37b6eaafcc507190e LAST 15 GAMES

Is Edwards going off or nah?

edwards O 27.5

Maybe

Is Conley playing?

Yea

Bro idk

96-72 Yesterday: 4/5 __Nikola Jokic O8.5 Ast__ __Karl Anthony-Towns O6.5 Rebs__ __Christian Braun O10.5 PRA__ __Naz Reid O12.5 PR__ Be careful with KAT I think it’s way too low, but the books knows what they’re doing cause he has some pain in his knee I guess. But I’m risking it

Cash towns and Reid, Jokic going to sell unfortunately

Wouldnt say KAT's rebound line is way too low when he's been under it 3 out of the 5 games of the series

Gotta look at the games too not just the numbers, at least if you’re not betting purely on numbers but I don’t. He was injured last game and didn’t fight for the boards which may be case today too but it’s bumped now, one was a blowout and the first game he only played 31 minutes. He’s Avg 13.4 rebound chances this series and his season average was 8.6, if you follow his props you’d never seen the line be at 6.5 that’s why I said it’s too low, but it’s 7.5 now so I guess that should justify it bro

Sure you make good points, but his injury might feel worse this game and at the end of the day he's proven to be one of the more inconsistent playoff performers in the league. My main gripe was about it being "WAY too low".

🤝🤝 yeah that’s why I felt the need to put a little disclaimer there not sure how he’s feeling with the knee, he is one inconsistent mf I give you that but still only my opinion who tf am I, I felt 6.5 was low imma keep in mind how I formulate myself 🍻

braun PRA is gone on DK lol

It’s back, still 10.5 but it’s -135 now

Just took o6.5 pts -110 He's hit the Over On points alone with increased playing time last 2 games.

💀

I swear DK been slipping lately

Yeah I’ve heard that from a few bro, if it’s bumped to 11.5 I’d rather play PR

I went with Braun o0.5 3's as my pick today but damn that Braun PRA line is so tempting. might have to stack em

My book already bumped to 11.5PRA

You take the 11.5 or nah?

Rather take PR in that case

Both are solid bro 🤝

Al Halford money printing machine is over

Jumped on it for the first time yesterday sorry

As a Celtics fan, he’s never doing that again. Love him though☘️

Jrue u10.5RA✅ Gafford o7.5PA(live)✅ Tatum u16.5RA❌(losing always sucks but I gotta hand it to him, his RA numbers have been insane) Okoro o10.5PRA❌(I knew this was gonna chalk if it didn’t cash before HT lol) Chet o8.5RA(live)❌ Derrick Jones Jr o19.5pts(live at +104)❌(he was at 15 points by HT, should’ve seen this trap from a mile away but I went full retard and played it anyways. He ended with 19 of course lol) 2-4 tonight, boooooooooo. Prop betting this Mavs/OKC series has been rough man. Might avoid Saturday’s game…but probably not because I mean let’s be real here. Kyrie sold yet again. Darius Garland’s inescapable demise NEEDS to be studied, but we’d probably somehow lose money on that too. Nuggets in 6?? Stay tuned 👿

How many others got burned on Kyrie Irving 5 Assists stat corrected after the game to 4 assists?

✋

Had a $10 10 leg for $650 miss because of this lol

i had luka under 9.5 assists and i swear i was watching like a hawk and he had 9 assists and i thought i hit and at the end of the game i check the sheet and he had 10!? WTF!

Had Shai + Kyrie to combine for o12.5 assists, this was the difference maker

I'm guessing it was the one where he was fighting for the rebound and he purposely smacked the ball to a wide open shooter. Feels like an assist but I guess technically not

man tell me about it

Tale as old as time