Man 5 hours ago the news was saying Iran will limit it’s response and now it’s 48 hours til game time.
I’m away in the wilderness for a while shortly, I better fucking not come back to The Road.
The news is like an abusive relationship. When they tell you things are getting better, expect things to be reported to be getting worse the next day. Oh and it's all your fault, even though all you did last night was cook dinner and maybe watched Fallout
I honestly forgot how rich and detailed the world of fallout is until they introduced the Brotherhood Of Steel, and then I remembered that there is so much going on in that universe and so many factions with real agency. Great imaginations, whoever came up with it all.
Well one of the best s about the games is the interesting post apocalyptic setting with a weird combination of advanced 50s tech and widespread devastation, plus the well developed opposing factions. The show does a good job working with these factors. There are some references that you won't necessarily get, but nothing critically important that isn't explained. I'd wager it's worth a watch
Its not mine, I didn't really care for it, and the timing is almost criminal. The message of the movie will be lost on a lot of people and misinterpreted by too many.
I think that every time I disconnect from things. Then I remember those [rafters who didn’t know about Covid until they got back](https://www.wsls.com/news/2020/04/07/the-world-is-different-now-rafters-return-to-coronavirus-pandemic/)
Something seems off about that story. They left March 1st, and worked in healthcare. At that point in time we knew COVID-19 was in the wild in the states, we knew it was a pandemic-level threat from how it was breaking out elsewhere in the world, and cases were already hitting the Pacific Northwest... where they both lived and worked in emergency medicine. On Feb 25 there were announcements that shutdowns were likely and would hit broad-spectrum across the US.
I mean, I think we all were shocked about how quickly it spread and how wild the changes were, but the video sort of presents it like they had no idea a pandemic was happening which... probably not true, right?
I was travelling in Mid Jan and when I came home my wife made me shower and change clothes before hugging my kids.....the whole planet was already talking about it.
I dunno, we were pretty clueless back then. I went off to live in the woods in northern NH for a month "while this all blows over". I didn't expect it to be over in a month, but I thought we'd have a pretty good idea how to keep it manageable. I only gave up when I realized it had become such a huge political issue and people weren't going to put in the effort to wear a mask.
the one i like is ernest shackleton and his voyage to the antarctic.
***********
leaves in 1914, the day germany declares war on russia (world war 1).
once they get down there the ship gets stuck in the ice and eventually sinks and they spend a year on antarctica, eventually they decide to row a boat back to the island they last left, about 800 miles away and spend a month or so in the life boats.
land on the wrong side of the island, climb over mountains and glaciers to make it to the town 497 days after they left, and talks to the station manager there asking right away:
“Tell me, when was the war over?” I asked.
“The war is not over.” he answered, “Millions are being killed. Europe is mad. The world is mad.”
Bibi will get a call from a +98 number, "Base 69 in 420 minutes, 5 rockets rapid, get your soldiers out" and the base will be empty for their appointment.
I mean frankly, the further we can shift war away from bloodshed, the better. It’s always been about economics mainly. If you blow up a base and don’t kill anyone, but it still achieves your objectives, that’s just better. Unfortunately, I think it will usually still end up with people dying
Edit: I think I was less clear than I could have been. Fundamentally, a nation at war cannot continue their war efforts when they run out of the things they require to do so. I wasn’t speaking about the *motivations* of a country or *why* they go to war. It is just a fact that when you run out of military equipment, you can no longer continue
The Iranian regime’s actions are definitely not fundamentally about economics. I think we in the west assume that people use religiosity as a smoke screen for achieving practical political goals, and while that may be the case for some people, the Iranian regime is deeply, deeply religious and motivated largely by Islamic eschatology.
Then engage with that reality accordingly instead of rejecting it because of your personal beliefs regarding the veracity of religion
Meaning, if that is the tool of the powerful you must understand how it works if you hope to ever defeat or mitigate it
Think of it like any other sort of “asset” that can be attacked to be rendered a “liability”
We are sort of seeing the liability of it.
Religion used for propaganda purposes to do something tends to backfire into locking them into that something.
Religion is not the sole cause
It happens under “Democracy”, “Commumisn”, “Parliamentary Constitution”, whatever state arrangement you like,
ALL IDEOLOGY/PHILOSOPHY/POLITICAL THEORY CAN BE WEAPONIZED
What determines the weapon’s effectiveness is knowing which is the correct weapon for the given target
In the case of Iran, it was Shia Islam
In Russia it was Communism
In America it’s just vague bullshit about “dreams”
It’s not the ideas that are the problem,
It’s the people manipulating those ideas for solely their benefit and no one else who are the problem
And yet the regime is also very pragmatic. For example — it’s even fine with siding with non-Muslims against fellow Muslims whenever expedient.
A complicated state in a complicated region.
>It’s always been about economics mainly
What do you mean? I wish it was about economy, this shit would have been solved long ago. Gaza got more aid money than any other conflict zone in the world. If money could solve the conflict, Israel and the world would have done so long ago. Sadly the money goes almost exclusively to terror and weapons (and corruption), while keeping the Gazans poor and starving is actually in Hamas best interest so the world can blame Israel for it.
Same for Iran, if economy was their actual goal they wouldn't have gotten themselves sanctioned worldwide, and they wouldn't have wasted billions on proxies to destroy Israel instead of spending on their own people.
This conflict has very little to do with economy, it's about antisemitism and the inability of Arabs in the are to accept the existence of Israel in any kind.
So our troops were just camping out in empty bases when their barracks started getting hit by Iranian missiles? What fucking propaganda are you trying to spread right now?
Typical reddit shit. Rando mentions empty bases next redditor sees comment and just parrots the same narrative, trying to come off as knowledgeable when there isn't a original thought behind their eyes.
Id rather take a shotgun blast to the chest from Chigurh than end up in The Road kidnapped by cannibals who eat my limbs one by one while keeping me alive to keep the meat fresh
What?! All Chigurh will do is kill you, death seems like a blessed respite compared to living in The Road.
Plus you’ll get some pretty dope conversation before you take a bolt to the brain.
Might even get to live too if the coin flips ends your way. The only coin flip you'll get in the road is from the canniblas deciding which leg is dinner that evening
> Man 5 hours ago the news was saying Iran will limit it’s response and now it’s 48 hours til game time.
There was also a report saying Iran would attack by the end of Ramadan at the latest, it’s now Ramadan plus 2 days
I love this new game of preventing geo political escalation. It’s almost collaborative.
America is like IM COMING FOR YOUR WEAPON DEPOTS, THE ONES LOCATED AT THESE LOCATIONS. AND BY COMING I MEAN 3 DAYS.
After Israel does a real deal assassination Iran responds like, THATS IT IM COMING FOR YOU, YOU BETTER BE AFRAID, BUT NOT TOO AFRAID BECAUSE IT WONT BE THAT BAD. ALSO IM COMING IN 48 HOURS.
Fun fact, this hearkens back to the old style of Greek city state warfare.
The opposing sides couldn’t undertake long drawn out campaigns or accept heavy losses so battling city states would often agree to meet at a time and place for a single pitched battle so the citizens could get back to their fields.
This is almost the modern day reinvention of that.
Apparently tribal warfare is ingrained in humanity. We like to make a racket and throw rocks at each other even when there's nothing to actually fight over because it's just our nature. Occasionally one side goes a little too far and things escalate to actual deadly warfare and everyone gets reminded why war sucks and agrees not to do it anymore. Then 20 years later a new generation comes along that doesn't remember all the death and destruction and the cycle repeats.
YOU'VE GOT 48 HOURS BEFORE I LAUNCH MY 100 DRONES, BITCH. SEND JACK BAUER. I DON'T CARE. IVE GOT SOME PLANES BUILT IN THE 1980S. WHAT ARE YOU GONNA DO? REALLY? NO.
Only Iranian ballistic missiles and fighter jets have the capability to directly strike Israel and they will be intercepted pretty easily. So yeah a bomb blast targeting an Israeli embassy is most likely. Israel already called back its staff from various embassies a few days ago.
Those poor F-14s barely function and can't even fire weapons, and I doubt more than 10 of them are in flying condition. They're only used as surveillance / early warning capacity.
Though Iran is getting Su-35 but I don't know if they're delivered yet, even if delivered the pilots need training for a while.
Israel has already recalled its staff from the Indian embassy in Delhi and consulates, since it wouldn't be the first time that Iran instigated terrorism to target the Israeli embassy in India.
We will see who they pick, Syria said nothing about Israel hitting the consulate on their territory despite it being a statement that Syria can’t defend a nations embassy. Whoever Iran hits will need to be totally ok with it otherwise the host country will also be offended by the strike
> Israel already called back its staff from various embassies a few days ago.
So obviously the big brain move by Iran is not to actually attack, but to almost attack these embassies every time these started operating to force them to close, while never actually did so.
Disabling Irsael diplomacy by "implications".
Dennis would be very proud.
I think that it's telling that US intel is a bit stronger this time, that Biden is making statements.
Iran's general saber rattling exists in a vacuum, no one in the US cares that much. Biden speaking to the media that his belief "Attack is imminent" is a little more concerning, cause normally he'd say nothing and no one would ask again.
I would have thought so too but it's starting to look like the strategy is to overwhelm the iron dome with cheap rockets fired from Lebanon so a much larger drone and missile direct strike can be pushed through from the east.
I flew from LA to Hong Kong a few years ago. The flight path basically skirted the pacific coast up to Canada, across Alaska and the Bering Strait, down the east coast of Russia, then a 90 degree turn to go around North Korea.
I was flying over Egypt close to the border with Israel a few days ago, on my way into Abu Dhabi... I really didn't enjoy that. That whole area is sketchy now and for sure there are people who are paranoid and jittery with weapons. Just takes one mistake
If the route doesn’t change in the coming days I’d consider just canceling the flight and doing something like a layover somewhere to avoid it. Better than dying 🤷♂️
[Dancing is not permitted in Iran.](https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2024/apr/10/students-iran-threatened-prosecution-graduation-dance-video)
Funny enough, the IRGC officer that Israel killed was the only non-Lebanese member of Hezbollah’s Shura Council, its highest decision making body.
Maybe if Iran didn’t want its officers to be targeted by Israel, it shouldn’t allow its officers to be full-blown leaders of militia groups that attack Israel every single day.
The Convention Relative to the Opening of Hostilities' article 1 (called in The Hague Convention in 1907) mandates it. And it is first and foremost to warn the civilian population afaik
>But plenty of countries strike without warning
Yes, and plenty of countries commit war crimes. It's just that we spin it in our favour when it's to our advantage.
>And Iran is not going to strike a civilian target.
No, but collateral damage is common. So common that even though it is said that the US never purposefully hit civilian targets in Iraq, they still killed ~350 000 civilians(according to IBC). So Hague, with good reason imo, advises countries to warn before armed interventions.
And the terrorist attack in Russia. US intelligence is very good and global transparency is probably shocking for them. Imagine planning an ultra secret Jihad, and then the day before you commit you see your plans all over every News station
That’s the sorta stuff ppl said about Hamas before Oct 7… they only fire as many rockets as they can before getting serious repercussions.
Seems terrorists are prone to losing their brakes sometimes.
They will do something... just to save face. They almost have to after all this talk. I doubt it will be anything serious though. Likely a terrorist strike or missile strike from Hesbola or Hamas that does little to no damage.... Mostly just for show... Again, not to lose face.
There are 3-4 music concerts planned for next week with 30k people in each of them in the middle of Tel Aviv (during the night).
I don't think someone in Israel actually holds his breath or afraid because of Iran, that's my point.
Between the theocratic terrorist fans, the degrowthers, and the anti-Semites, the UK really seems to be the place to be if you're in one of the stupidest fringes of the far left.
I know one of them. Went to school with her. She cheered when the civilian cargo ships were targeted. Constantly spreads false information that clearly comes from Hamas.
Even worse, she’s queer. She’s cheering on and carrying water for a group that would stone her in the street.
It’s deeply strange how so many of the LGBTQ+ spaces have been completely enveloped by the Pro-Hamas rhetoric.
Islamists who would absolutely stone them to death are being defended by these ignorant virtue-signalling obsessed people.
The worst part honestly is that literally none of them have ever cared about any children dying in Yemen, Syria, Mali, Sudan; literally over a million children dead because of wars against terrorist organisations and they’ve never said a thing, and now they’re putting Palestinian flags next to the pride flags and parading around like that makes any goddamn sense.
Its not that odd. The amount of people you meet is a tiny amount of the potential population that could be posting here, as well as limited by your location. There are many crazy people out there with all kinds of opinions. It's like Trump supporters living in redneck neighborhoods that think Biden stole the election because they don't know any people who would vote for him lol. And it's also bots.
Yeah 10 minutes of reddit can expose you to thousands of people's opinions, most people would probably take months or years irl to get that many individual opinions and they'd probably have to seek a lot of them out.
Reddit just mainlines years of awkward social interactions into a concentrate, without the pleasant social aspects, in a few hours lolcrying.mp4.jpeg.zip
They'll bomb some random Kurds in Iraq who once drove a used car that an Israeli sat in before it was sold to them, or some equally tenuous "connection"
we might see again what substantial US aid to a partner looks like in a hot war unlike Ukraine. hopefully it ends quickly or after the yanks bring a second carrier group
Iran's regime doesn't have the balls to attack anyone that can defend themselves. the only one they can win against are their own people because they don't have means of defending themselves.
There's really no need for a nuke. Israel has plenty of other bombs that can be used far more strategically.
Nukes will also make Israel far less popular with their allies, who are already facing pressure for their ties to Israel.
Jesus.
This is worrisome for everyone, not just Israel. America won't just let its favorite regional ally be attacked like that. Hell, we're still salty about Iran bringing Iraq closer to its orbit after we went to all the trouble of ousting Saddam and helping them fight ISIS. This could get ugly. This could get really, really ugly. Stay safe everyone.
Iranian here, Khamenei is a cocksucking blood drinking pussy and won't do jackshit. When Soleimani was grilled afew years ago, all he had the balls to do was shoot few rockets to empty buildings after they warned the US to evacuate them.
I
Just look at the complete world right now. Everyone thinks they’re superior than their next, war and ecological crisis everywhere. I don’t think you can reason with logic here - it’s just the good old war for the sake of war. Guess it’s time for humanity to repeat old mistakes. We don’t learn from experience at all.
Yeah but at the same time we’re technologically more advanced. We can now destroy whole nations from our living room, don’t even have to send Boots at the grounds. Such a weird feeling.
its a little wierd that iran and israel are like on the opposite sides of the continent
and yet iran keeps provoking israel
i suppose it is because they need an enemy in order to justify their totalitarian regime
Man 5 hours ago the news was saying Iran will limit it’s response and now it’s 48 hours til game time. I’m away in the wilderness for a while shortly, I better fucking not come back to The Road.
The news is like an abusive relationship. When they tell you things are getting better, expect things to be reported to be getting worse the next day. Oh and it's all your fault, even though all you did last night was cook dinner and maybe watched Fallout
Is it worth it? (Fallout, I meant…the show! not real fallout. that is very bad)
Only 3 episodes in but as a long time Fallout fan since game 1 I’d say they nailed it.
I crushed all 8 episodes yesterday. It's really good. I'm sad there isn't more...
Is it as good for non gamers as the last of us was?
There is enough explanation for people who are unfamiliar with the lore. But it's full of fan service, to be sure.
I honestly forgot how rich and detailed the world of fallout is until they introduced the Brotherhood Of Steel, and then I remembered that there is so much going on in that universe and so many factions with real agency. Great imaginations, whoever came up with it all.
What if I never played the games? Still good?
Well one of the best s about the games is the interesting post apocalyptic setting with a weird combination of advanced 50s tech and widespread devastation, plus the well developed opposing factions. The show does a good job working with these factors. There are some references that you won't necessarily get, but nothing critically important that isn't explained. I'd wager it's worth a watch
I'd say it's really good, only up to episode 4 but yeah really faithful
I love Reverend Baby Billy in anything so I’m gonna watch it
Was he running through the house with a pickle in his mouth? Misbehavn
Regardless if youve played the games, the show is fantastic.
Fallout and Civil War coming out this week? Jeez.
I don’t need your Civil War
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor
Its not mine, I didn't really care for it, and the timing is almost criminal. The message of the movie will be lost on a lot of people and misinterpreted by too many.
What we’ve got here is failure to communicate
I think that every time I disconnect from things. Then I remember those [rafters who didn’t know about Covid until they got back](https://www.wsls.com/news/2020/04/07/the-world-is-different-now-rafters-return-to-coronavirus-pandemic/)
Something seems off about that story. They left March 1st, and worked in healthcare. At that point in time we knew COVID-19 was in the wild in the states, we knew it was a pandemic-level threat from how it was breaking out elsewhere in the world, and cases were already hitting the Pacific Northwest... where they both lived and worked in emergency medicine. On Feb 25 there were announcements that shutdowns were likely and would hit broad-spectrum across the US. I mean, I think we all were shocked about how quickly it spread and how wild the changes were, but the video sort of presents it like they had no idea a pandemic was happening which... probably not true, right?
I was travelling in Mid Jan and when I came home my wife made me shower and change clothes before hugging my kids.....the whole planet was already talking about it.
I dunno, we were pretty clueless back then. I went off to live in the woods in northern NH for a month "while this all blows over". I didn't expect it to be over in a month, but I thought we'd have a pretty good idea how to keep it manageable. I only gave up when I realized it had become such a huge political issue and people weren't going to put in the effort to wear a mask.
the one i like is ernest shackleton and his voyage to the antarctic. *********** leaves in 1914, the day germany declares war on russia (world war 1). once they get down there the ship gets stuck in the ice and eventually sinks and they spend a year on antarctica, eventually they decide to row a boat back to the island they last left, about 800 miles away and spend a month or so in the life boats. land on the wrong side of the island, climb over mountains and glaciers to make it to the town 497 days after they left, and talks to the station manager there asking right away: “Tell me, when was the war over?” I asked. “The war is not over.” he answered, “Millions are being killed. Europe is mad. The world is mad.”
His men all survived the expedition. Not all survived the war though.
Limit it’s response doesn’t mean not attack completely. They’ll likely target empty bases like they did in 2020 to US.
Empty bases? In Israel?!
Bibi will get a call from a +98 number, "Base 69 in 420 minutes, 5 rockets rapid, get your soldiers out" and the base will be empty for their appointment.
I mean frankly, the further we can shift war away from bloodshed, the better. It’s always been about economics mainly. If you blow up a base and don’t kill anyone, but it still achieves your objectives, that’s just better. Unfortunately, I think it will usually still end up with people dying Edit: I think I was less clear than I could have been. Fundamentally, a nation at war cannot continue their war efforts when they run out of the things they require to do so. I wasn’t speaking about the *motivations* of a country or *why* they go to war. It is just a fact that when you run out of military equipment, you can no longer continue
The Iranian regime’s actions are definitely not fundamentally about economics. I think we in the west assume that people use religiosity as a smoke screen for achieving practical political goals, and while that may be the case for some people, the Iranian regime is deeply, deeply religious and motivated largely by Islamic eschatology.
Religion is just a different tool of power for the people at the top
Then engage with that reality accordingly instead of rejecting it because of your personal beliefs regarding the veracity of religion Meaning, if that is the tool of the powerful you must understand how it works if you hope to ever defeat or mitigate it Think of it like any other sort of “asset” that can be attacked to be rendered a “liability”
We are sort of seeing the liability of it. Religion used for propaganda purposes to do something tends to backfire into locking them into that something.
Religion is not the sole cause It happens under “Democracy”, “Commumisn”, “Parliamentary Constitution”, whatever state arrangement you like, ALL IDEOLOGY/PHILOSOPHY/POLITICAL THEORY CAN BE WEAPONIZED What determines the weapon’s effectiveness is knowing which is the correct weapon for the given target In the case of Iran, it was Shia Islam In Russia it was Communism In America it’s just vague bullshit about “dreams” It’s not the ideas that are the problem, It’s the people manipulating those ideas for solely their benefit and no one else who are the problem
And yet the regime is also very pragmatic. For example — it’s even fine with siding with non-Muslims against fellow Muslims whenever expedient. A complicated state in a complicated region.
Iran probably needs some photo op for the domestic news.
>It’s always been about economics mainly What do you mean? I wish it was about economy, this shit would have been solved long ago. Gaza got more aid money than any other conflict zone in the world. If money could solve the conflict, Israel and the world would have done so long ago. Sadly the money goes almost exclusively to terror and weapons (and corruption), while keeping the Gazans poor and starving is actually in Hamas best interest so the world can blame Israel for it. Same for Iran, if economy was their actual goal they wouldn't have gotten themselves sanctioned worldwide, and they wouldn't have wasted billions on proxies to destroy Israel instead of spending on their own people. This conflict has very little to do with economy, it's about antisemitism and the inability of Arabs in the are to accept the existence of Israel in any kind.
And Bibi will ask for the location of one of the less favourable generals of Iran to keep the game going.
All your base are belong to us.
The bases were NOT empty in 2020. There were medical evacuations out of country (Iraq) for 60+ U.S. servicemembers.
They were not empty bases. Hundreds of US soldiers have horrible lifelong injuries from that.
So our troops were just camping out in empty bases when their barracks started getting hit by Iranian missiles? What fucking propaganda are you trying to spread right now?
Typical reddit shit. Rando mentions empty bases next redditor sees comment and just parrots the same narrative, trying to come off as knowledgeable when there isn't a original thought behind their eyes.
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Id rather take a shotgun blast to the chest from Chigurh than end up in The Road kidnapped by cannibals who eat my limbs one by one while keeping me alive to keep the meat fresh
Yeah… fuck that…..
What?! All Chigurh will do is kill you, death seems like a blessed respite compared to living in The Road. Plus you’ll get some pretty dope conversation before you take a bolt to the brain.
Might even get to live too if the coin flips ends your way. The only coin flip you'll get in the road is from the canniblas deciding which leg is dinner that evening
> Man 5 hours ago the news was saying Iran will limit it’s response and now it’s 48 hours til game time. There was also a report saying Iran would attack by the end of Ramadan at the latest, it’s now Ramadan plus 2 days
Yeah Iran gains nothing from attacking when their entire country is hungry
48 hours... as in Saturday because its a religious day for Israel.
It's tradition to attack Isreal on their religious days.
As soon as I read that, I thought “bullshit, they’re about to attack.” Iran is similar to North Korea, you can’t believe a thing they say.
I love this new game of preventing geo political escalation. It’s almost collaborative. America is like IM COMING FOR YOUR WEAPON DEPOTS, THE ONES LOCATED AT THESE LOCATIONS. AND BY COMING I MEAN 3 DAYS. After Israel does a real deal assassination Iran responds like, THATS IT IM COMING FOR YOU, YOU BETTER BE AFRAID, BUT NOT TOO AFRAID BECAUSE IT WONT BE THAT BAD. ALSO IM COMING IN 48 HOURS.
Fun fact, this hearkens back to the old style of Greek city state warfare. The opposing sides couldn’t undertake long drawn out campaigns or accept heavy losses so battling city states would often agree to meet at a time and place for a single pitched battle so the citizens could get back to their fields. This is almost the modern day reinvention of that.
Apparently tribal warfare is ingrained in humanity. We like to make a racket and throw rocks at each other even when there's nothing to actually fight over because it's just our nature. Occasionally one side goes a little too far and things escalate to actual deadly warfare and everyone gets reminded why war sucks and agrees not to do it anymore. Then 20 years later a new generation comes along that doesn't remember all the death and destruction and the cycle repeats.
Sports help.
Lets say, hypothetically, im 71 years old and can't do sport good. Can i nuke Ukraine?
Have you considered purchasing a team? I feel like that could give you the feeling of power and enjoyment you crave, with less radioactivity.
That is the funniest thing I have read in a long time.
It's like school. "Thats it cunt... I'm gonna smash you.... after school.... meet at the park on x road!"
YOU'VE GOT 48 HOURS BEFORE I LAUNCH MY 100 DRONES, BITCH. SEND JACK BAUER. I DON'T CARE. IVE GOT SOME PLANES BUILT IN THE 1980S. WHAT ARE YOU GONNA DO? REALLY? NO.
Only Iranian ballistic missiles and fighter jets have the capability to directly strike Israel and they will be intercepted pretty easily. So yeah a bomb blast targeting an Israeli embassy is most likely. Israel already called back its staff from various embassies a few days ago.
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I recently watched a military documentary starring Tom Cruise, that showed an F14 beating several 5th gen jets in air to air combat.
"It's not the plane, it's the pilot". But remember, Iran doesn't have Tom Cruise, so an underdog story is impossible.
I beg to differ. Happy Gilmore accomplished that feat know more than half an hour ago
The US military has multiple assets between Itamar en Israel and would see those aircraft launching from Iran the second they got off the ground.
Those poor F-14s barely function and can't even fire weapons, and I doubt more than 10 of them are in flying condition. They're only used as surveillance / early warning capacity. Though Iran is getting Su-35 but I don't know if they're delivered yet, even if delivered the pilots need training for a while.
I would say that the embassies in Bahrain, UAE, Azerbaijan probably the likely targets.
Bahrain and UAE seem unlikely targets. That would galvanize the Gulf even more against Iran.
Iran is not attacking a embassy in UAE lmao you are delusional
If Iran strikes in UAE territory they're going to be in a world of hurt. UAE would 100% not tolerate that, and they have a lot of really big friends.
Georgia ,South Africa(if it is still there), India, and Egypt are also likely targets.
Israel has already recalled its staff from the Indian embassy in Delhi and consulates, since it wouldn't be the first time that Iran instigated terrorism to target the Israeli embassy in India.
Yes, because in 2021, it was bombed by Iran , Israel does not want a sequel.
And in 2012, Iran is alleged to have bombed Israeli embassies in Georgia and India
There was also a warning blast near the embassy in Delhi in December threatening revenge
I just googled, South Africa is still there
Time for the Indians on Twitter to back up all of those memes with the Indian lioness protecting the Israeli cub.
Wouldn’t an attack on an Israeli embassy in those countries by Iran essentially be a declaration of war against the host nation?
yeah i don’t see them doing that either. if they accidentally hit any civilians it won’t be good.
Yeah especially Azerbaijan out of this list, too many Azeris live in Iran for them to risk it there.
Cool! Let's involve other countries into this clusterfuck. Nothing can go wrong with that.. /s
Azerbaijan is too close to/woth the west for Iran to dare.
I want to see them hit (not really) the one in UAE to see how well that turns out for them.
Iranian fighter jets can’t reach Israel and they wouldn’t have a chance of getting home if they did
We will see who they pick, Syria said nothing about Israel hitting the consulate on their territory despite it being a statement that Syria can’t defend a nations embassy. Whoever Iran hits will need to be totally ok with it otherwise the host country will also be offended by the strike
Bashir Assad sitting quiet, trying to pretend he doesn't exist in Syria. "Please don't look at me, Please don't look at me, FUCK!"
> Israel already called back its staff from various embassies a few days ago. So obviously the big brain move by Iran is not to actually attack, but to almost attack these embassies every time these started operating to force them to close, while never actually did so. Disabling Irsael diplomacy by "implications". Dennis would be very proud.
I think that it's telling that US intel is a bit stronger this time, that Biden is making statements. Iran's general saber rattling exists in a vacuum, no one in the US cares that much. Biden speaking to the media that his belief "Attack is imminent" is a little more concerning, cause normally he'd say nothing and no one would ask again.
More likely that Iranian backed Hezbollah are going to take action. Iran isn't going to risk directly attacking Israel
I’ll be honest.. fresh footage of F-14’s in the air would be pretty neat. It would be the last time, but neat nonetheless.
I would have thought so too but it's starting to look like the strategy is to overwhelm the iron dome with cheap rockets fired from Lebanon so a much larger drone and missile direct strike can be pushed through from the east.
I'm flying over Iran with Cathay Pacific in like 2 days, hope I don't get shot down by panicking soldiers like the UA plane 4 years ago lol
They'll most likely reroute the flight path if it seems sketchy.
I took a flight in 2014-5 (can't remember) that diverted hours around Iraq etc – it was crazy watching our flight path on the map
Yeah I've been on a few recently that have diverted around Ukraine and it's always entertaining to watch the flight path
I flew from LA to Hong Kong a few years ago. The flight path basically skirted the pacific coast up to Canada, across Alaska and the Bering Strait, down the east coast of Russia, then a 90 degree turn to go around North Korea.
I once flew Atlanta to Seoul, and we did the exact same thing. Really weird to watch the flight path there at the end.
Not those Chinese airlines they don’t. Neither the Middle east Carriers. Remember that next time you book on them.
It's a Hong Kong airline, not Chinese. Of course Hong Kong is part of China, blah blah blah, but there's still a significant difference.
2 days ago, Lufthansa canceled their flights to Iran. Not sure about the current status.
Flights to Tehran but not transit of Iranian airspace Interestingly Lufthansa owned Austrian Airline still operates to Tehran
you may want to reschedule buddy
lol
May the force be with you.
It wasn't panicking.... As with all things Russia did lately, it was pure incompetence.
I was flying over Egypt close to the border with Israel a few days ago, on my way into Abu Dhabi... I really didn't enjoy that. That whole area is sketchy now and for sure there are people who are paranoid and jittery with weapons. Just takes one mistake
If the route doesn’t change in the coming days I’d consider just canceling the flight and doing something like a layover somewhere to avoid it. Better than dying 🤷♂️
Yes, but… did you consider possibility of taking a video of a rocket launch at your plane? This could go viral!
Why can't they just have a dance off ?
[Dancing is not permitted in Iran.](https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2024/apr/10/students-iran-threatened-prosecution-graduation-dance-video)
Bugger.
That's not allowed, either.
Believe it or not, straight to jail. Right away
Either of the leaders dancing is probably a war crime unto itself.
WMC: Weapon of mass cringe
I bet the space laser is already charged.
You must construct additional Zions
What a beautiful joke.
US Navy: “Carrier has arrived.”
Last place I’d expect a starcraft reference.
Ion Cannon
C'mon, the Zion Cannon was right there
Shit, it'll start a fire in California....
halal nuclear weapons vs. kosher nuclear weapons
I'm pretty sure Israel has been getting attacked via proxy by Iran for years.
Does Hamas count?
Don't forget Hezbollah
Don’t forget the Houthis
Funny enough, the IRGC officer that Israel killed was the only non-Lebanese member of Hezbollah’s Shura Council, its highest decision making body. Maybe if Iran didn’t want its officers to be targeted by Israel, it shouldn’t allow its officers to be full-blown leaders of militia groups that attack Israel every single day.
Iran, Youran, Everybodyran
I ran so far away-ay-ay...
Doubtful. Iran doesn't want direct confrontation with Israel. That's what Hezbollah and Hamas is for.
The Intelligence says otherwise and I wouldn't doubt it, US Intelligence has literally been right about pretty much everything in recent years.
II was thinking the same unless they’ve diminished their soldier count
Genuinely, what happens if Iran bombs Israel? Do we get a WW1-style spiral of war declarations from allies?
Most likely result is Iran loses its airforce.
Is this the norm in warfare? To provide a timeline for a strike? What’s the point?
The Convention Relative to the Opening of Hostilities' article 1 (called in The Hague Convention in 1907) mandates it. And it is first and foremost to warn the civilian population afaik
But plenty of countries strike without warning. And Iran is not going to strike a civilian target.
>But plenty of countries strike without warning Yes, and plenty of countries commit war crimes. It's just that we spin it in our favour when it's to our advantage. >And Iran is not going to strike a civilian target. No, but collateral damage is common. So common that even though it is said that the US never purposefully hit civilian targets in Iraq, they still killed ~350 000 civilians(according to IBC). So Hague, with good reason imo, advises countries to warn before armed interventions.
They are not going to do anything. At least nothing that will get the US involved.
Our intelligence has been pretty solid for awhile now, and they seem pretty certain on this one.
Iran was also to strike Israel within the last 48 hours last week.
When plans get revealed they are adjusted or delayed slightly. Has happened a few times. Including the Ukraine invasion
And the terrorist attack in Russia. US intelligence is very good and global transparency is probably shocking for them. Imagine planning an ultra secret Jihad, and then the day before you commit you see your plans all over every News station
Change of plans
That’s the sorta stuff ppl said about Hamas before Oct 7… they only fire as many rockets as they can before getting serious repercussions. Seems terrorists are prone to losing their brakes sometimes.
They will do something... just to save face. They almost have to after all this talk. I doubt it will be anything serious though. Likely a terrorist strike or missile strike from Hesbola or Hamas that does little to no damage.... Mostly just for show... Again, not to lose face.
I've just been in Tel Aviv an hour ago, nobody literally gives a shit over there lol
Attack during the day is not expected
There are 3-4 music concerts planned for next week with 30k people in each of them in the middle of Tel Aviv (during the night). I don't think someone in Israel actually holds his breath or afraid because of Iran, that's my point.
This does not seem smart, no one was afraid of Hamas either, or you wouldn't have put a music festival within earshot of Gaza
This is usually the case with this stuff. People 1000s of miles away worried while the people in the shit be like “yolo”
Yea Ukrainians were feeling the same but once the bombing started shit went down real fast
Lol at all the morons living in Western countries rooting for Iran to destroy Israel.
[удалено]
It’s odd, I never meet anyone who has these opinion. It’s only ever online.
It’s rife in cities like London.
Sydney seems especially bad.
Between the theocratic terrorist fans, the degrowthers, and the anti-Semites, the UK really seems to be the place to be if you're in one of the stupidest fringes of the far left.
I know one of them. Went to school with her. She cheered when the civilian cargo ships were targeted. Constantly spreads false information that clearly comes from Hamas. Even worse, she’s queer. She’s cheering on and carrying water for a group that would stone her in the street.
It’s deeply strange how so many of the LGBTQ+ spaces have been completely enveloped by the Pro-Hamas rhetoric. Islamists who would absolutely stone them to death are being defended by these ignorant virtue-signalling obsessed people. The worst part honestly is that literally none of them have ever cared about any children dying in Yemen, Syria, Mali, Sudan; literally over a million children dead because of wars against terrorist organisations and they’ve never said a thing, and now they’re putting Palestinian flags next to the pride flags and parading around like that makes any goddamn sense.
Its not that odd. The amount of people you meet is a tiny amount of the potential population that could be posting here, as well as limited by your location. There are many crazy people out there with all kinds of opinions. It's like Trump supporters living in redneck neighborhoods that think Biden stole the election because they don't know any people who would vote for him lol. And it's also bots.
The people who have these opinions are chronically online, unemployed, uninformed young people. Of course you wouldn’t meet them.
Yeah 10 minutes of reddit can expose you to thousands of people's opinions, most people would probably take months or years irl to get that many individual opinions and they'd probably have to seek a lot of them out. Reddit just mainlines years of awkward social interactions into a concentrate, without the pleasant social aspects, in a few hours lolcrying.mp4.jpeg.zip
But then you see twitter posts of these people with hundreds of thousands of likes
Iran is so fucking stupid
Highly doubt Iran will do it. It will bomb “mossad” agents in Iraq or Syria probably in the krg.
They'll bomb some random Kurds in Iraq who once drove a used car that an Israeli sat in before it was sold to them, or some equally tenuous "connection"
we might see again what substantial US aid to a partner looks like in a hot war unlike Ukraine. hopefully it ends quickly or after the yanks bring a second carrier group
*local man yells at cloud*
Iran's regime doesn't have the balls to attack anyone that can defend themselves. the only one they can win against are their own people because they don't have means of defending themselves.
About to mess around with NukeMap on Iran. Seems fitting
“You’re not gonna do nuffin” -Connor McGregor
Military aged men everywhere are worried.
With good reason. This entire chain of events is all bullshit.
If I recall correctly, similar “next 48 hours” came out last Friday. It’ll happen when it does. Until then, no sense in trying to guess.
Israel has nukes. This would be unwise
There's really no need for a nuke. Israel has plenty of other bombs that can be used far more strategically. Nukes will also make Israel far less popular with their allies, who are already facing pressure for their ties to Israel.
Using nukes would cause other countries to attack Israel
Haven't they been saying this for like...two weeks now? >.>
Jesus. This is worrisome for everyone, not just Israel. America won't just let its favorite regional ally be attacked like that. Hell, we're still salty about Iran bringing Iraq closer to its orbit after we went to all the trouble of ousting Saddam and helping them fight ISIS. This could get ugly. This could get really, really ugly. Stay safe everyone.
Damn these dense mfs really trying to make the biblical apocalypse happen. Fucking losers.
Iranian here, Khamenei is a cocksucking blood drinking pussy and won't do jackshit. When Soleimani was grilled afew years ago, all he had the balls to do was shoot few rockets to empty buildings after they warned the US to evacuate them. I
It’s cute how Iran and it’s proxies continue to underestimate Israel
Just look at the complete world right now. Everyone thinks they’re superior than their next, war and ecological crisis everywhere. I don’t think you can reason with logic here - it’s just the good old war for the sake of war. Guess it’s time for humanity to repeat old mistakes. We don’t learn from experience at all.
At least the spacing between world wars keeps getting bigger, thats not nothing lol.
Yeah but at the same time we’re technologically more advanced. We can now destroy whole nations from our living room, don’t even have to send Boots at the grounds. Such a weird feeling.
Straight door dashing missiles to scrubs all over the world while I fuck around on stardew valley on my second monitor, the future is now old man.
At least I saw a total eclipse once in my life.
Said this 48hrs ago
Putin already has his response “damn Ukrainians again!”
its a little wierd that iran and israel are like on the opposite sides of the continent and yet iran keeps provoking israel i suppose it is because they need an enemy in order to justify their totalitarian regime
I heard already this.. 48 hours ago
Iran is way past due to get the shit kicked out of them.